Timing of Decision Aid Rollout
& Getting Help
• Decision aids announced already
• If you need help – call AFPC/FAPRI directly
– (888) 890-5663 AFPC
• Joe, James, George, Marc, Brian, David, Steven, Henry
– (800) 863-2925 FAPRI
• Peter, Pat, Scott
• If a producer needs help
– Help desk staffed from 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
CST
– (844) 229-7373
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Corn Ex.)
7
6.5
6
5.5
5.28
$/bu
5
5.28
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
4.82
Benchmark Price
4.5
4
86%
4.07
3.96
3.5
3
2.5
2
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
76%
Ref Price
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Soybeans Ex.)
16.00
14.00
$/bu
12.00
12.27
12.27
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
11.81
Benchmark Price
10.88
10.00
86%
9.99
76%
Ref Price
8.00
6.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Wheat Ex.)
8
7.5
7
$/bu
6.5
6
6.60
6.67
6.67
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
6.13
5.77
5.5
86%
76%
Ref Price
5
4.5
4
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Grain Sorghum Ex.)
6.50
6.00
5.50
$/bu
5.00
5.09
5.09
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
4.73
Benchmark Price
4.50
4.00
86%
4.05
76%
3.95
3.50
3.00
2.50
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Ref Price
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Long Grain Rice Ex.)
16.00
15.00
14.00
14.17
14.17
14.17
14.17
14.00
$/cwt
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
13.00
86%
76%
Ref Price
12.00
11.00
10.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Med. Grain Rice Ex.)
18.00
17.00
16.00
$/cwt
15.00
14.00
15.13
14.68
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
14.45
14.35
14.11
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
13.00
Ref Price
12.00
11.00
10.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Barley Ex.)
7
6.5
6
$/bu
5.5
5
5.45
5.45
5.45
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
5.32
Benchmark Price
4.95
86%
76%
4.5
Ref Price
4
3.5
3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Oats Ex.)
4
3.8
3.6
3.45
3.4
$/bu
3.2
3.45
3.35
3.25
3.20
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
3
86%
76%
2.8
Ref Price
2.6
2.4
2.2
2
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Peanuts Ex.)
650
600
550
557.33 557.33 557.33
$/ton
535.00 535.00
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
500
86%
76%
Ref Price
450
400
350
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Sunflower seed Ex.)
30
27.5
25
$/cwt
22.5
20
23.40
23.40
22.43
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
20.68
20.23
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
17.5
Ref Price
15
12.5
10
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Canola Ex.)
27.5
25
$/cwt
22.5
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
21.58
21.58
Benchmark Price
21.58
86%
20
20.30
20.15
76%
Ref Price
17.5
15
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Flaxseed Ex.)
26
24
23.69
23.73
23.73
22.70
22
21.92
$/cwt
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
20
86%
76%
Ref Price
18
16
14
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Lentils Ex.)
28
26
$/cwt
24
22
20
23.80
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
21.89
Benchmark Price
20.21
86%
19.97
19.97
76%
Ref Price
18
16
14
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Safflower Ex.)
30
27.5
25
$/cwt
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
22.5
22.75
22.92
Benchmark Price
22.92
86%
21.54
20
20.65
17.5
15
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
76%
Ref Price
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Mustard seed Ex.)
40
35
33.27
33.55
33.55
32.57
31.17
30
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
$/cwt
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
25
Ref Price
20
15
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Dry Peas Ex.)
16
15
14.17
14
14.17
13.63
$/cwt
13
13.15
12.51
12
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
11
Ref Price
10
9
8
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Rapeseed Ex.)
28
26
26.00
25.03
$/cwt
24
24.48
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
22.88
22
Benchmark Price
21.78
86%
76%
Ref Price
20
18
16
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Lg. Chickpeas Ex.)
45
40
$/cwt
35
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
33.17
Benchmark Price
33.17
86%
31.82
76%
30
Ref Price
27.74
26.26
25
20
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Sm. Chickpeas Ex.)
29
27
$/cwt
25
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
23
Benchmark Price
21.70
21
21.70
86%
21.19
76%
20.37
19
Ref Price
19.24
17
15
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Crambe Ex.)
40
36.37
35
35.03
34.95
33.36
32.34
30
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
$/cwt
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
25
Ref Price
20
15
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Sesame seed Ex.)
50
45
43.27
44.15
40.38
40
$/cwt
37.00
35
32.53
30
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
Ref Price
25
20
15
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Producer Price Outlook a Factor in
ARC/PLC Decision (Japonica Rice Ex.)
22.00
21.00
20.00
$/cwt
19.00
18.00
18.77
18.58
Sept. 2014 FAPRI Prices
18.40
17.96
17.46
17.00
Benchmark Price
86%
76%
Ref Price
16.00
15.00
14.00
13.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Educational Curriculum
Development
• Decision Aid is only part of what we said we would do
• Mental Giants from Land Grants across the U.S.
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Keith Coble
Nathan Smith
Art Barnaby
Jody Campiche
Brad Lubben
Chad Hart
Pat & Peter
Scott Brown
Mickey Paggi
Darren Hudson
Mississippi State Univ
Univ of Georgia
Kansas State Univ
Oklahoma State Univ
Univ of Nebraska
Iowa State Univ
Univ of Missouri
Univ of Missouri
Fresno State Univ
Texas Tech Univ
Regional Training Meetings
•
•
•
•
Atlanta – October 27th
Salt Lake City – November 10th
Indianapolis – November 17th
Omaha – December ??
Wrap Up and Evaluation
• Thanks for coming!!
• Please do not delete the email from David
Ernstes - has the link to evaluation form
that will take you less than a minute to fill
in
• If you would like to have our copies of
screen captures, input sheets, or anything
else – email Brian Herbst
[herbst@tamu.edu]