Breeding Bird Surveys Trend Analyses for the Management Indicator Species present in the Six Rivers National Forest, California Prepared by Josée Rousseau and C. John Ralph, Humboldt Bay Bird Observatory, Klamath Bird Observatory, and USFS Redwood Sciences Laboratory, Arcata For Six Rivers National Forest Biologists February 17, 2012 Breeding Bird Surveys Trend Analyses for the Management Indicator Species present in the Six Rivers National Forest, California Overview of BBS ................................................................................................................................. - 1 Report Background .............................................................................................................................. - 1 Methodology ........................................................................................................................................ - 1 Results.................................................................................................................................................. - 3 Management Indicator Species Trends ................................................................................................ - 5 Discussion ............................................................................................................................................ - 8 Literature Cited .................................................................................................................................... - 9 List of Figures .................................................................................................................................... - 10 Appendix A ........................................................................................................................................ - 11 Appendix B ........................................................................................................................................ - 31 Overview of BBS The first Breeding Bird Surveys (BBS) started in 1966. Today, more than 3,000 routes are being surveyed annually largely in the month of June. A BBS route consists of 50 stationary threeminute point counts, separated by a distance of at least 0.5 miles (Ziolkowski et al., 2010). Routes are usually located along a road. The points remain at the same location from year to year to maintain consistency. Data bring essential information about long-term trends for over 420 species of North American birds. It is being used by Partners in Flight for the State of the Birds report (North American Bird Conservation Initiative, 2011), and by a multitude of agencies, organizations and institutions to get information about our breeding bird populations. Report Background The purpose of this report is to update the Bird Breeding Survey trend analysis results presented in the previous report by Redwood Sciences Laboratory (Miller et al., 2007). Many of these analyses now include data up to and including 2010. A series of maps, one per Management Indicator Species (MIS), has also been added to this report to provide information about the location of the routes, and their associated trends. MIS are high vulnerability species based upon projected habitat trends and is used by the Forest Service to focus attention on certain species. Methodology Data Portions of the BBS data set were downloaded from www.pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/. The data included counts of birds per species, routes, and years. Some trend estimates and associated spatial information were also obtained from the website at http://www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/ (Sauer et al., 2011). Results are presented at five different scales: route, Six Rivers National Forest and surrounding land, Bird Conservation Region (BCR), California, and the USA. -1- Route and Forest scale analysis We performed linear regressions for each MIS and route using SAS. No covariates such as observer were used. As with the previous report, only data since 1990 were used in order to provide relevance to recent management and other habitat altering events (e.g., fire, landslides). On the Forest scale, we used all 18 routes that had at least one point surveyed within 30 kilometers of the Forests (Figure 1; Appendix A) between 1990 and 2010. The slopes (trends) obtained through the regressions were identified as positive or negative. Slopes with a p-value lower than 0.05 were identified as significant. A list of all species detected within the boundaries of the Forest each year can be found in Appendix B. BCR, State, and Country scale analysis The Six Rivers National Forest falls entirely within the Northern Pacific Rainforest BCR (Figure 1). Trend estimates for each species at the scale of the Rainforest BCR, California, and the United States were obtained from the BBS website. Those trends include data from 1966 to 2009. The trend analyses were performed using a hierarchical model analysis (Sauer and Link, 2011). The resulting models are thought to better reflect population changes over time than regression models. The hierarchical models use the following explanatory variables: slopes, observer-route combinations, year, observer start-up year, stratum-specific intercepts and overdispersion effects. Maps GIS files and associated metadata representing the routes and grids’ trend per species were downloaded from the BBS website. The routes and grids’ value were combined together to create a map for each MIS. Each map contained two scales of information: the Forest and surrounding land and northern California, western Oregon. Trend analysis of change on the routes was accomplished using Poisson regression methods over all years the routes were surveyed between 1966 and 2003, and observer differences were accommodated using covariates (http://www.mbrpwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/geographic_information/BBS_Polygon_Analysis_metadata.html). The grids’ trend were obtained using kriging, a statistical “smoothing” using inverse distancing of route data to cover the area surveyed by BBS. The grid resolution used is 21.5 x 21.5 kilometers (each cell being associated with one trend value per species). The following caution regarding the maps is presented on the website: “Maps are designed primarily for visual display of survey data. The abundances provide a view of general patterns of regional differences in counts of birds along survey routes. However, we caution users that factors such as observer differences and habitats can influence detectability of birds among routes. A variety of more sophisticated analyses should be used for ecological studies.” -2- Results The BBS detected 115 species on the routes in or within 30 km of Six Rivers National Forest (Appendix B) during its surveys in June. Of the 22 MIS, five species showed at least one significant decreasing route trend while 13 showed at least one significant positive route trend (Table 1). Note that three species had both negative and positive routes. There are three species with insufficient BBS data at the Forest scale: the Ruffed Grouse, Western Screech-Owl, and Spotted Owl, which are not included in Table 1. Of a total comparison of 18 routes and 19 species, there are a potential of 342 comparisons, less the 108 with too few data for analyses, for a total of 234. By chance alone, five percent, or about 12, should be significant. We found 36 significant, which is three times the number by chance alone. Table 1. Number of routes in or within 30 km of the Forest with sufficient data for analyses since 1990 and the number of routes with a significant (p < 0.05) negative or positive trend. The last column is the number of birds detected and used in the analysis. Number of routes with Sufficient Significant Significant Insufficient Number of data negative positive data individs. trend trend detected Wood Duck 4 0 0 14 105 Common Merganser 9 0 0 9 63 Vaux's Swift 8 0 1 10 332 Acorn Woodpecker 13 0 0 5 831 Red-breasted Sapsucker 13 0 0 5 190 Downy Woodpecker 10 0 1 8 87 Hairy Woodpecker 18 0 2 0 376 White-headed Woodpecker 5 0 0 13 83 Pileated Woodpecker 18 0 2 0 217 Hammond's Flycatcher 7 0 1 11 256 Western Scrub-Jay 14 0 3 4 676 Pacific Wren 18 3 2 0 1343 Brown Creeper 18 1 1 0 407 American Dipper 5 1 0 13 27 Western Bluebird 9 0 2 9 202 Yellow-breasted Chat 12 0 1 6 448 Western Tanager 18 0 7 0 3976 Black-headed Grosbeak 18 1 4 0 2933 Lazuli Bunting 17 0 3 1 1943 At a larger scale within the Rainforest BCR (Table 2), Pacific Wren is the only MIS with a significant negative trend. This BCR has five other species with a significant positive trend within the past decade (1999 – 2009): Acorn Woodpecker, Hammond’s Flycatcher, Western Scrub-Jay, Yellowbreasted Chat, and Western Tanager. For the same time period, no MIS are showing a significant negative trend at the state level, while four species have positive trends – Hairy Woodpecker, Pileated Woodpecker, Western Bluebird, and Western Tanager. There are three additional MIS for which the Rainforest BCR and California do not detect any recent significant trends (negative or positive) but which appear to be increasing on the USA level – Wood Duck, sapsuckers, and Black-headed Grosbeak. -3- Table 2. Trends (T) of yearly percentage change of MIS population abundances for two time intervals: 1966 to 2009 and 1999 to 2009 on three geographic scales. Trends in bold characters may be significant. C = Credibility: a 1 reflects data with at least 14 samples in the long term, of moderate precision, and of moderate abundance on routes; 2 reflects data with a deficiency; 3 reflects data with an important deficiency. For more information, see http://www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/credhm09.html. N = number of survey routes on which the species was encountered during the long-term (1966-2009) interval. (95% CI) = Confidence interval for trend estimates: these values represent the 2.5% and 97.5% percentiles of the posterior distribution of trend estimates. If the confidence interval does not include 0, the result could be judged significant. Northern Pacific Rainforest 1966 - 2009 1999-2009 C N T (95% CI) T (95% CI) Wood Duck 2 64 -0.8 (-3.8, 2.1) 0.6 (-4.9, 6.7) Common Merganser 2 94 -1.1 (-3.0, 0.9) -0.4 (-3.5, 4.4) Ruffed Grouse 2 59 -1.7 (-4.6, 1.3) -1.0 (-7.4, 10.2) Western Screech-Owl 3 32 1.3 (-3.0, 5.7) 2.0 (-8.8, 12.0) Vaux's Swift 1 95 -0.6 (-2.6, 1.1) -1.0 (-5.8, 2.5) Acorn Woodpecker 1 42 0.2 (-1.1, 1.5) 4.2 (1.0, 7.8) Sapsuckers* 1 130 0.6 (-1.1, 2.2) 1.7 (-2.2, 6.9) Downy Woodpecker 2 117 -1.1 (-2.3, 0.1) -1.1 (-4.5, 2.1) Hairy Woodpecker 1 141 0.5 (-0.6, 1.6) 0.5 (-3.0, 3.2) White-headed Woodpecker 2 12 -1.0 (-5.1, 3.2) -0.4 (-8.9, 12.2) Pileated Woodpecker 2 128 0.4 (-0.9, 1.6) 0.4 (-2.3, 3.3) Hammond's Flycatcher 1 100 (3.0, 6.9) 7.2 (1.8, 13.9) 4.8 Western Scrub-Jay 1 64 (0.4, 1.6) 1.5 (0.4, 3.0) 1.0 Pacific Wren 1 131 -1.2 (-2.1, -0.3) -5.5 (-8.0, -3.0) Brown Creeper 1 137 0.3 (-1.0, 1.5) 0.7 (-2.3, 3.5) American Dipper 3 48 0.4 (-2.4, 2.9) 0.8 (-3.7, 4.9) Western Bluebird 2 55 -0.9 (-3.0, 1.2) 0.9 (-4.1, 6.5) Yellow-breasted Chat 1 55 -0.1 (-1.1, 0.9) 2.4 (0.2, 4.9) Western Tanager 1 139 (0.0, 1.3) 1.4 (0.0, 2.8) 0.6 Black-headed Grosbeak 1 131 (0.1, 1.2) 0.9 (-0.2, 2.0) 0.7 Lazuli Bunting 1 78 -1.0 (-2.0, 0.0) -0.1 (-1.9, 2.2) * Data from the sapsuckers are analyzed as a group on the BBS website. English Name C 2 2 . 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 N 58 56 . 42 48 145 99 137 149 75 73 65 180 52 118 41 156 94 175 208 175 California 1966 - 2009 T (95% CI) (3.6, 7.8) 5.7 1.5 (-0.3, 3.3) . . -0.6 (-4.2, 2.3) -1.3 (-3.6, 0.9) 0.2 (-0.5, 0.9) 0.4 (-0.7, 1.6) -0.7 (-1.7, 0.3) (0.5, 2.1) 1.3 1.0 (-0.1, 2.2) (1.2, 3.3) 2.3 0.5 (-0.9, 2.0) 0.4 (-0.1, 1.0) 0.6 (-0.6, 1.9) -0.5 (-1.3, 0.3) 0.1 (-1.6, 1.9) (0.3, 2.1) 1.2 0.6 (-0.3, 1.4) (0.6, 1.6) 1.1 0.2 (-0.4, 0.7) 0.0 (-0.9, 0.8) -4- 1999-2009 T (95% CI) 5.4 (-1.8, 10.3) 2.7 (-0.9, 6.7) . . 0.9 (-5.0, 8.6) -1.6 (-6.2, 2.0) 1.6 (-0.1, 3.3) 2.5 (-0.2, 5.6) 0.8 (-1.5, 4.2) (0.3, 4.2) 2.1 2.0 (-0.3, 5.1) (0.7, 5.4) 3.0 0.5 (-2.8, 3.8) -0.3 (-1.7, 1.1) 0.2 (-3.0, 3.2) 0.4 (-1.2, 2.3) 0.7 (-2.6, 4.2) (0.3, 4.7) 2.0 0.9 (-1.3, 3.0) (0.2, 2.4) 1.3 0.9 (-0.4, 2.3) 0.0 (-1.8, 1.7) C 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 N 1889 505 665 97 201 197 968 2721 2498 114 1940 342 474 592 772 184 433 1871 730 867 683 USA 1966 - 2009 T (95% CI) (1.7, 3.0) 2.4 -0.2 (-5.8, 1.6) 0.0 (-2.4, 1.2) -1.9 (-7.7, 2.0) -1.1 (-4.2, 0.6) 0.5 (-0.2, 1.2) (2.0, 2.9) 2.4 0.1 (-0.1, 0.3) (0.3, 0.9) 0.7 0.9 (-0.2, 2.0) (1.0, 1.4) 1.2 1.1 (-0.1, 2.1) -0.2 (-0.7, 0.3) 0.4 (-0.2, 0.9) 0.4 (-0.2, 1.0) 0.4 (-0.9, 1.7) 0.9 (-0.7, 1.6) (-0.6, -0.1) -0.3 (1.0, 1.8) 1.4 (0.5, 1.2) 0.9 (-1.7, -0.3) -1.0 1999-2009 T (95% CI) (1.3, 4.6) 3.0 2.3 (-0.1, 4.5) 2.4 (-0.5, 5.1) 3.1 (-4.4, 11.2) -0.1 (-3.2, 2.4) (0.2, 3.5) 1.8 (2.1, 4.1) 3.1 -0.1 (-0.5, 0.4) (0.5, 1.8) 1.1 2.0 (-0.1, 4.8) (1.2, 2.3) 1.8 (0.7, 3.8) 2.2 -0.4 (-1.6, 0.7) -3.3 (-4.4, -2.2) 1.2 (-1.8, 2.5) 0.8 (-1.6, 3.3) (0.6, 3.7) 2.0 (0.2, 1.1) 0.6 (1.5, 3.0) 2.2 (1.0, 2.4) 1.7 0.3 (-0.9, 1.7) Management Indicator Species Trends Here, we summarize the trends for each MIS, combining information obtained from various geographical and temporal scales for each species. Only routes with a significant trend are discussed. Whenever trend results do not show any significance at the smaller scale (i.e. Route or Forest) some indication of the state of the bird population may be obtained through considering the significance of that species’ trend at a larger scale (BCR, California, or U.S.). Within the Six Rivers National Forest, some species will be more common in a given District of the Forest than others. Whenever appropriate, we used the maps and their associated grid trend values to give guidance as to where a bird species may be doing poorly, having a stable population, or may be doing well. The maps created contain several potential biases, including sampling design, number of replicates (years surveyed), and route density (Sauer et al., 1995). Habitat variables were not used to create the grids’ values in the spatial analyses. The value and locations of the routes as well as the distance (crow’s flight) between the routes provided the information to determine the value of the trend for each cell of the grid. Habitat did however indirectly impact the resulting trends through changing species detectability. Still, at a large scale, maps are a helpful qualitative display of the distribution and general tendency of the bird populations. Wood Duck Between 1990 and 2010, this species was found in only four routes, none with a significant trend (Table 1). Those four routes are located to the east of the Forest (i.e. no detections within the Forest). Data prior to 2003 (Figure 2) had an increase in population on the southern half of the Forest (Figure 2). Over the USA, this species has an overall significant increase in population (Table 2). Common Merganser None of the routes within and immediately around the Forest showed a significant trend. Within northern California and western Oregon, two main areas had a decrease in population, one of them on the southern half of the Forest, the other some kilometers north of the Forest (Figure 3). The BCR, California and USA levels had no significant trends, although this species seem to be doing slightly better in the last decade (Table 2). Ruffed Grouse Very little data are available, as only four individuals have been detected through the BBS surveys since 1990 in and around the Forest. Data are also lacking for California level trends. No significant trends are detected at the BCR or USA level. Western Screech-Owl There are only six detections of this nocturnal species within the BBS surveys since 1990. Trends are available for the BCR, California and USA level, although data are too few even at that scale (Table 2). Vaux’s Swift This species was detected in 8 of the 18 routes. Using data from 1990, one route showed a significant positive trend (Table 1). The grids value in the map (data from 1968 to 2003) shows a decrease in population in all of Northern California (Figure 4). Although not significantly, the Northern Pacific Rainforest BCR, California and USA are also showing a negative trend. -5- Acorn Woodpecker The breeding population seems stable within the Forest with no routes having a significant trend (Table 1). Acorn Woodpeckers were detected in 13 of the 18 routes within or neighboring the Forest since 1990. The map’s grids (1968 to 2003 data) show an overall increase within Northern California and Southwest Oregon (Figure 5). This species is experiencing a recent significant population increase within the Northern Pacific Rainforest BCR and in USA (Table 2). Red-breasted Sapsucker None of the 13 routes in which the Red-breasted Sapsucker was detected showed a significant trend (Table 1). Most of the routes without detections are on the northeast side of the Forest (Figure 6). The map’s grids show a negative trend on the northern part of the Forest and a positive one on the southern part. BBS analyses from the website have grouped all sapsucker species. This group has a significant positive trend on USA level (Table 2). Downy Woodpecker This species is absent in 8 of the 18 routes within or surrounding the Forest. The regression analysis using data between 1990 and 2010 shows one significant positive trend (Table 1). The map (Figure 7: data from 1968 to 2003) is showing a more negative picture. Since the map is using older data than used for the Forest analysis, this could indicate a recent increase in the population which is consistent with the trends at the California level (Table 2). Hairy Woodpecker Hairy Woodpeckers have a slightly more positive picture than Downy Woodpecker with detections in all 18 routes. Two had a significantly positive trend since 1990 (Table 1). Trends for both California and USA show a significant increase in population (Table 2). White-headed Woodpecker This species was detected in only five routes, all of them on the top part of the southern half of the Forest. No routes had a significant trend (Table 1). This species is also relatively stable at the BCR, California and USA level although showing a slight increase in population within the past decade (Table 2). Pileated Woodpecker Pileated Woodpeckers were detected in all 18 routes. Two routes showed a significant positive trend (Table 1). Most of the increase in population is in the southern part of the Forest (Figure 10). The population at the California and USA scale is experiencing a significant increase (Table 2). Hammond’s Flycatcher With detections in only seven of the 18 routes, this bird does have one significant positive route trend (Table 1). The map, with data up to 2003, shows a general decrease in population on and around the Forest (Figure 11). Along with the Forest level, data from the Rainforest BCR and USA have a recent significant increase. Western Scrub-Jay Data from 1990s shows of the 11 routes with sufficient detections three were positively significant (Table 1). Four routes, all in the northwest corner of the Forest, did not have any detection. -6- This species is also significantly increasing at the BCR level in contrast with the California and USA level, where no significant trends were observed (Table 2). Pacific Wren Of the species with a fair amount of detections, this species had the strongest decrease with three of the 18 routes with a significant negative trend. The grids value on the map suggests that the coastal population is most affected (Figure 13). The BCR, California and USA scale have similar trends with a recent significant decrease in population. It is important to note that the species formerly known as Winter Wren was recently divided. The data from the National level have trends associated with the previous species name, the “Winter Wren”. Brown Creeper This species has one significantly positive and one negative route trends (Table 1) with the decreases being located at both the northern and southern ends of the Forest (Figure 14). The Rainforest BCR, California and USA have no significant trends (Table 2). American Dipper Only 27 of this species were detected within the 18 routes since 1990. This species has one route with a significant negative trend (Table 1). The map shows an increase in population on the eastern and northern sides of the Forest while the rest remained stable (Figure 15). The populations at the BCR, California and USA scales are showing a slight increase although not significantly (Table 2). Western Bluebird Western Bluebirds were detected in half of the routes within or the Forest. Two routes had a significant increase in population (Table 1). The routes without detections are all located on the northern half of the Forest. At the larger scales, there was a significant increase in population at the California and USA levels (Table 2). Yellow-breasted Chat This species was detected in 12 routes, one of which had a significant positive trend (Table 1). Five of the six routes without detections are in the Forest. At a larger scale, the Rainforest BCR had a significant increase in population. The USA scale is showing a significant negative trend for 1966 to 2009, but a positive significant trend for 1999 to 2009, suggesting a recent improvement in population (Table 2). Western Tanager Out of all MIS, the Western Tanager had the most detection for the Forest since 1990s, with 3976. This species also has the most routes (seven) with a significant positive trend and was detected in all 18 routes. The map, using data prior to 2003, however shows a more conservative, if not decreasing, trend (Figure 18). This species’ increase at the Forest level may be recent. This is supported by the trend result for the larger scales. The BCR, California and USA levels all have recent more pronounced significant positive trends (Table 2). Black-headed Grosbeak This is also one of the most numerous MIS, with 2933 individuals detected since 1990. There are four routes with a significant positive trend but also one showing a significant negative one. The northern half of the Forest seems to have a more stable or increasing breeding population (Figure -7- 19). Both the Rainforest BCR and USA level have had a significant increase in population since 1966 (Table 2). Lazuli Bunting Three of the eleven routes with birds showed a significant positive trend (Table 1). The map shows colorful variation in trend, depending on the location of the grid on the Forest (Figure 20). On the USA level, they are having a significant long-term decrease since 1966. However, the trend is positive when looking at more recent years (since 1999). Discussion Data from the Breeding Bird Surveys (BBS) provide an invaluable source of information about bird abundance and distribution across North America. Its strengths lie in its simple and consistent protocol, long-term commitment, affordable and enthusiastic human resource, and wide yet intensive geographical scope. In turn, sufficient sample size and the availability of statistical tools provide the means to extract population trends at various geographical and temporal scales. Several Management Indicator Species have been detected through the BBS surveys in the Six Rivers National Forest. Some of those species have – and for many recently – increased in abundance although not always significantly. The species with the most noticeable increases are Western ScrubJay, Western Bluebird, Western Tanager and Black-headed Grosbeak. While it is essential to continue managing for those MIS experiencing an increase in population, there is a need to establish or improve management actions for those with a stable or decreasing trend. The species with the strongest decline is the Pacific Wren. In terms of habitat, California Partners in Flight produced a Coniferous Forest Bird Conservation Plan where they recommend prioritizing the protection of old-growth / latesuccession coniferous forest and decreasing fragmentation to improve habitat quality for the Pacific Wren. They also recommend managing for forest floor complexity, tree species diversity, and manage or create “soft” edges appropriate to historical vegetation patterns (California Partners in Flight 2002). While BBS data provide considerable information for many bird species, its taxonomic and temporal scope is limited. On a taxonomic level, complementary monitoring techniques are needed to assess the presence or trend associated with the following groups of birds within the Forest: waterfowls, shorebirds, gallinaceous birds, owls and other nocturnal species. BBS surveys started at a time where our knowledge of the state of our bird populations was centered and thought to be dependent mainly on breeding status and success. We now know that in order to adequately manage and conserve our bird populations, actions needs to be implemented during breeding season but also fall migration, winter, and spring migration (e.g., Faaborg et al., 2010). While BBS trend analyses do tells us what is happening to the abundance of our bird populations, it is only through combining this information with that obtained through complementary survey techniques, such as demographic studies, that we can find out why the birds are doing well or where we should prioritize our management actions. -8- Literature Cited CalPIF (California Partners in Flight). 2002. Version 1.1. The coniferous forest bird conservation plan: a strategy for protecting and managing coniferous forest habitats and associated birds in California (J. C. Robinson and J. Alexander, lead authors). PRBO Conservation Science, Petaluma, CA. http://www.prbo.org/calpif/plans.html. Faaborg, John, Richard T. Holmes, Angela D. Anders, Keith L. Bildstein, Katie M. Dugger, Sidney A. Gauthreaux Jr., Patricia Heglund, Keith A. Hobson, Alex E. Jahn, Douglas H. Johnson, Steven C. Latta, Douglas J. Levey, Peter P. Marra, Christopher L. Merkord, Erica Nol, Stephen I. Rothstein, Thomas W. Sherry, T. Scott Sillett, Frank R. Thompson III, and Nils Warnock. 2010. Conserving migratory land birds in the New World: Do we know enough? Ecological Applications 20:2, 398-418 Miller, Sherri, C. John Ralph and Pablo Herrera. 2007. Trend Analyses for Management Indicator Species in the Six Rivers National Forest. Redwood Sciences Laboratory, U.S. Forest Service, Arcata, CA. 5 pages. North American Bird Conservation Initiative, U.S. Committee, 2011. The State of the Birds 2011 Report on Public Lands and Waters. U.S. Department of Interior: Washington, DC. 48 pages. Sauer, J. R., J. E. Hines, J. E. Fallon, K. L. Pardieck, D. J. Ziolkowski, Jr., and W. A. Link. 2011. The North American Breeding Bird Survey, Results and Analysis 1966 - 2009. Version 3.23.2011 USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, MD. Sauer, John R. and William A. Link. 2011. Analysis of the North American Breeding Bird Survey using hierarchical models. The Auk 128(1): 87-98. Sauer, J. R., G. W. Pendleton, and S. Orsillo. 1995. Mapping of bird distributions from point count surveys. Pages 151-160 in C. J. Ralph, J. R. Sauer, and S. Droege, eds. Monitoring Bird Populations by Point Counts, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, General Technical Report PSW-GTR-149. Ziolkowski, Dave Jr., Keith Pardieck, and John R. Sauer. 2010. On the road again for a bird survey that counts. Birding 42(4): 32-40. -9- List of Figures Figure 1. Breeding Bird Surveys Routes – Six Rivers National Forest, California Figure 2. Wood Duck – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 3. Common Merganser – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 4. Vaux’s Swift – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 5. Acorn Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 6. Red-breasted Sapsucker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 7. Downy Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 8. Hairy Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 9. White-headed Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 10. Pileated Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 11. Hammond’s Flycatcher – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 12. Western Scrub-Jay – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 13. Pacific Wren – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 14. Brown Creeper – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 15. American Dipper – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 16. Western Bluebird – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 17. Yellow-breasted Chat – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 18. Western Tanager – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 19. Black-headed Grosbeak – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends Figure 20. Lazuli Bunting – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 10 - Figure 1. Breeding Bird Surveys Routes – Six Rivers National Forest, California - 11 - Figure 2. Wood Duck – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 12 - Figure 3. Common Merganser – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 13 - Figure 4. Vaux’s Swift – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 14 - Figure 5. Acorn Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 15 - Figure 6. Red-breasted Sapsucker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 16 - Figure 7. Downy Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 17 - Figure 8. Hairy Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 18 - Figure 9. White-headed Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 19 - Figure 10. Pileated Woodpecker – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 20 - Figure 11. Hammond’s Flycatcher – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 21 - Figure 12. Western Scrub-Jay – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 22 - Figure 13. Pacific Wren – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 23 - Figure 14. Brown Creeper – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 24 - Figure 15. American Dipper – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 25 - Figure 16. Western Bluebird – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 26 - Figure 17. Yellow-breasted Chat – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 27 - Figure 18. Western Tanager – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 28 - Figure 19. Black-headed Grosbeak – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 29 - Figure 20. Lazuli Bunting – Breeding Bird Surveys Trends - 30 - Appendix A. Years each route within and surrounding the Six Rivers Forest was run since 1968 (bold routes are located partly or entirely within the boundaries of the Forest). Route Name Crescent City Holmes Hazel Camp Martins FY Orleans Offield MTN Alderpoint Korbel Hiouchi Lonesome RDG Burnt Ranch Big Flat Hayfork Friday Ridge Ship MTN. Pilot Creek Redwood N.P. South Fork M Route ID 4 6 57 74 167 174 178 200 401 402 409 428 431 435/905 902 903 908 953 68 69 70 71 X X X X Route Name Crescent City Holmes Hazel Camp Martins FY Orleans Offield MTN Alderpoint Korbel Hiouchi Lonesome RDG Burnt Ranch Big Flat Hayfork Friday Ridge Ship MTN. Pilot Creek Redwood N.P. South Fork M Route ID 4 6 57 74 167 174 178 200 401 402 409 428 431 435/905 902 903 908 953 80 X X X X X X X X 81 X X X X X X X X 82 X X X X X X X X 83 X X X X X X X 72 X X 73 X X X 74 X X X 75 X X X X X X X X X X X X 84 X 85 X 86 X X X X X X X X X - 31 - X X X X X X X X X X 76 X X X X X X X X 77 X X X X X X X X 87 X 88 X 89 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 78 X X X X X X X X 79 X X X X X X X Appendix A (continued). Route Name Crescent City Holmes Hazel Camp Martins FY Orleans Offield MTN Alderpoint Korbel Hiouchi Lonesome RDG Burnt Ranch Big Flat Hayfork Friday Ridge Ship MTN. Pilot Creek Redwood N.P. South Fork M Route ID 4 6 57 74 167 174 178 200 401 402 409 428 431 435/905 902 903 908 953 Route Name Crescent City Holmes Hazel Camp Martins FY Orleans Offield MTN Alderpoint Korbel Hiouchi Lonesome RDG Burnt Ranch Big Flat Hayfork Friday Ridge Ship MTN. Pilot Creek Redwood N.P. South Fork M Route ID 4 6 57 74 167 174 178 200 401 402 409 428 431 435/905 902 903 908 953 90 X 91 X X X X 92 X X X X X X X X 93 X X X 94 X X 95 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 00 X X 01 X X 02 X X X X X X X 03 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 04 05 X X X X 96 X X 97 X X 98 X X 99 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 06 07 08 09 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X - 32 - Total # of years 33 36 21 24 24 30 30 26 4 8 13 4 10 17 16 3 16 8 Appendix B. Species detected within the boundaries of Six Rivers National Forest and their associated number of observations per year. Between years comparison should take into consideration the number of routes surveyed each specific year (Appendix A). Missing years represent years for which no BBS routes were surveyed within the Forest. English Name Common Merganser Canada Goose Great Blue Heron Virginia Rail Spotted Sandpiper Mountain Quail California Quail Sooty Grouse Ruffed Grouse Band-tailed Pigeon Rock Pigeon Mourning Dove Turkey Vulture Sharp-shinned Hawk Cooper's Hawk Northern Goshawk Red-tailed Hawk Red-shouldered Hawk Bald Eagle Peregrine Falcon Osprey Spotted Owl Northern Pygmy-Owl Belted Kingfisher Hairy Woodpecker Downy Woodpecker White-headed Woodpecker Red-breasted Sapsucker Pileated Woodpecker Acorn Woodpecker Northern Flicker Scientific Name Mergus merganser Branta canadensis Ardea herodias Rallus limicola Actitis macularius Oreortyx pictus Callipepla californica Dendragapus fuliginosus Bonasa umbellus Patagioenas fasciata Columba livia Zenaida macroura Cathartes aura Accipiter striatus Accipiter cooperii Accipiter gentilis Buteo jamaicensis Buteo lineatus Haliaeetus leucocephalus Falco peregrinus Pandion haliaetus Strix occidentalis Glaucidium gnoma Megaceryle alcyon Picoides villosus Picoides pubescens Picoides albolarvatus Sphyrapicus ruber Dryocopus pileatus Melanerpes formicivorus Colaptes a. cafer grp. 94 . . 1 1 . 31 7 8 . 8 . 2 5 . 1 . 1 . . 2 1 . . . 12 . 6 15 7 6 32 95 . . . . . 37 4 4 . 9 . . 5 . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1 11 7 6 4 18 96 . . . . . 58 19 5 . 3 1 1 . . . . 2 . 1 . . . . . 8 . 7 4 4 1 21 97 1 . . . . 40 3 9 . 1 . . . . . . . 1 . . . 2 1 . 4 . 1 3 3 4 18 - 33 - 98 . . . . . 22 . 3 . 11 . 2 . . . . 1 . . . . . . . 3 . . . 2 1 20 99 . . . . . 16 . 2 . 4 . 3 . . . . . . 1 . . . 1 . 1 . . 1 5 2 5 00 . . . . . 58 3 5 . 7 . 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 . 4 6 5 3 15 01 . . . . . 27 2 . . 2 . 1 . . . . . 1 . . . . . . . . . 6 . 1 19 02 . . . . 2 26 7 4 . 13 . 8 4 . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1 3 15 7 11 49 03 4 1 1 . 6 43 11 10 1 5 1 7 6 . . 1 1 . . 1 2 . 3 . 7 . 1 16 5 4 29 04 2 . 1 . 3 38 11 8 . 12 . 2 5 . . . . 1 . 1 . . . 1 28 1 12 19 10 9 27 05 . . . . . 38 2 5 1 4 . 3 . . . . . . . . . . 1 . 1 . 6 6 2 11 19 06 2 . . . 2 40 6 4 . 5 . 3 1 . . . . . . . . . 1 . 11 1 3 2 11 4 24 07 . . . . . 5 3 . . 8 . 1 7 . . . 4 . . . . . . . 14 . 7 8 6 7 13 08 . . . . . 3 1 4 . 6 . 2 . 1 1 . . . . . . . . . 5 . 8 12 2 8 27 09 1 . . . 3 2 3 2 . 4 . 1 . . . . . . . . 1 . 1 . 4 1 . 4 5 5 17 10 . . . . . . 3 1 . 1 . 1 . . . . 1 4 . . . . . . 1 1 . 1 1 4 8 Total 10 1 3 1 16 484 85 74 2 103 2 39 33 1 2 1 10 7 2 4 4 2 8 1 125 6 69 125 81 85 361 Appendix B (continued). English Name Common Nighthawk Vaux's Swift Anna's Hummingbird Rufous Hummingbird Allen's Hummingbird unid. Hummingbird Western Kingbird Ash-throated Flycatcher Black Phoebe Olive-sided Flycatcher Western Wood-Pewee Pacific-slope Flycatcher Hammond's Flycatcher unid. Hammond's Flycatcher / Dusky Flycatcher Dusky Flycatcher Steller's Jay Western Scrub-Jay Common Raven American Crow European Starling Brown-headed Cowbird Red-winged Blackbird Western Meadowlark Bullock's Oriole Brewer's Blackbird Evening Grosbeak Purple Finch Cassin's Finch Red Crossbill American Goldfinch Lesser Goldfinch Pine Siskin Grasshopper Sparrow White-crowned Sparrow Chipping Sparrow Scientific Name Chordeiles minor Chaetura vauxi Calypte anna Selasphorus rufus Selasphorus sasin Trochilid sp Tyrannus verticalis Myiarchus cinerascens Sayornis nigricans Contopus cooperi Contopus sordidulus Empidonax difficilis Empidonax hammondii Empidonax hammondii/wrightii Empidonax oberholseri Cyanocitta stelleri Aphelocoma californica Corvus corax Corvus brachyrhynchos Sturnus vulgaris Molothrus ater Agelaius phoeniceus Sturnella neglecta Icterus bullockii Euphagus cyanocephalus Coccothraustes vespertinus Carpodacus purpureus Carpodacus cassinii Loxia curvirostra Carduelis tristis Carduelis psaltria Carduelis pinus Ammodramus savannarum Zonotrichia leucophrys Spizella passerina 94 1 . 1 . 10 . . . 3 55 8 64 10 . 95 1 . 2 . 10 . 1 . . 32 3 37 14 . 96 . . 1 . 6 . . . . 37 4 23 14 . 97 . . . . 3 2 . . . 24 2 18 6 . 98 . . . . 6 . . 1 . 18 2 9 2 . 99 . . 2 . . . . 1 . 10 1 15 6 . 00 . . 2 . 8 . . . . 35 11 19 14 . 01 1 . 2 . 6 . . . . 17 1 5 4 . 02 . . 3 . 5 . . . 4 42 15 33 19 . 03 . . 1 . 3 . 2 . 4 48 12 45 25 . 04 2 2 . . 4 6 . . 4 36 17 47 17 . 05 . . . . 3 . 3 4 . 25 6 12 14 . 06 . . 2 . . 8 2 . 6 47 15 45 24 . 07 . . . . 2 . 2 2 . 18 19 18 7 . 08 . . . . 4 . 1 . . 11 12 19 4 2 09 . . 2 5 . . . . 1 7 8 22 . . 10 . . . . . . . . . 1 . 8 . . Total 5 2 18 5 70 16 11 8 22 463 136 439 180 2 54 131 8 23 15 . 12 3 . 2 15 . 15 6 4 1 2 8 . 5 8 53 121 10 9 . . . . 1 2 . . 14 5 . . 5 11 . 3 1 60 101 4 13 2 2 1 . 1 . . 1 4 3 2 . 2 8 . . 7 28 87 8 14 5 . . . . 2 1 . 9 . . . 2 . . 2 2 16 79 4 6 1 . . . . . . . 4 . 1 . . . . 4 2 16 73 1 2 1 . . . . . . 1 . . . . . 11 . 3 . 41 119 1 2 1 . . . 2 . . . 9 . . . 4 2 . 2 3 24 79 1 1 . . . . . . . . 9 . . . . . . . 3 61 239 7 19 5 . 1 . 1 2 . . 15 . 3 . 8 1 . 7 15 51 166 8 8 7 . 3 . 5 . . . 15 5 5 . 9 4 . 4 2 62 202 12 19 4 . 1 . 3 5 . . 6 4 12 . 13 2 . 5 4 37 103 7 7 1 . . . 1 4 2 1 3 4 3 . 4 . . 4 5 52 182 7 13 3 33 1 . 2 4 . . 13 3 3 . 7 4 . 6 4 43 96 2 7 . 6 . . 1 3 . . 6 5 . . 11 1 . 1 8 37 85 2 9 . 3 . . . . . . 8 . 4 . 4 5 . . 15 21 89 5 8 . 1 1 . . 3 . . 10 1 . . 8 15 1 . 3 5 46 4 6 . . . . . . . . 3 . 11 . 3 5 . 1 . 661 1998 91 166 45 45 20 3 17 27 18 3 143 36 48 1 82 77 1 47 82 - 34 - Appendix B (continued). English Name Dark-eyed Junco (Oregon Junco) Song Sparrow Fox Sparrow Spotted Towhee Green-tailed Towhee Black-headed Grosbeak Lazuli Bunting Western Tanager Cliff Swallow Barn Swallow Tree Swallow Violet-green Swallow Bank Swallow Northern Rough-winged Swallow Cedar Waxwing Warbling Vireo Cassin's Vireo Hutton's Vireo Nashville Warbler Orange-crowned Warbler Yellow Warbler Yellow-rumped Warbler (Audubon's Warbler) Black-throated Gray Warbler Hermit Warbler MacGillivray's Warbler Common Yellowthroat Yellow-breasted Chat Wilson's Warbler American Dipper Rock Wren Bewick's Wren House Wren Winter Wren Brown Creeper White-breasted Nuthatch Scientific Name Junco h. oreganus grp. Melospiza melodia Passerella iliaca Pipilo maculatus Pipilo chlorurus Pheucticus melanocephalus Passerina amoena Piranga ludoviciana Petrochelidon pyrrhonota Hirundo rustica Tachycineta bicolor Tachycineta thalassina Riparia riparia Stelgidopteryx serripennis Bombycilla cedrorum Vireo gilvus Vireo cassinii Vireo huttoni Vermivora ruficapilla Vermivora celata Dendroica petechia Dendroica c. audoboni grp. 94 159 1 25 93 4 51 38 96 21 . 10 14 . 34 1 34 61 7 60 31 5 56 95 140 . 38 73 13 43 45 112 . . . . . . . 18 25 7 60 13 . 54 96 113 1 26 64 18 59 14 101 . . 4 2 . . . 27 42 5 49 29 . 70 97 69 4 20 52 9 49 23 72 . . 5 . . . . 12 30 4 56 27 1 36 98 33 . 19 27 14 16 13 42 . . . . . . . 20 25 6 22 12 1 15 99 22 . 7 24 12 20 11 26 . . . . . . . 8 9 2 21 14 . 17 00 124 . 51 39 16 56 32 102 . . . . . . . 14 18 . 42 19 . 83 01 32 . 15 28 19 49 15 73 . . 1 . . . . 7 25 4 46 10 . 11 02 132 7 46 101 24 86 69 226 23 2 8 5 . 23 . 26 71 28 69 34 9 86 03 135 11 42 78 12 145 23 248 . 2 11 40 . 2 . 24 44 17 128 27 7 90 04 138 10 52 93 26 89 46 213 2 1 12 34 . 19 . 31 48 25 97 20 7 81 05 70 . 28 21 31 64 25 114 . . 4 2 . . . 7 11 4 32 12 . 61 06 125 5 43 69 20 126 43 245 4 2 6 11 . 7 . 26 54 22 90 34 4 74 07 124 . 60 49 31 33 90 103 2 . . . . . . 20 3 8 27 20 . 100 08 114 . 54 54 25 45 39 103 5 . . . . . . 18 11 3 36 19 2 67 09 56 . 13 49 13 76 27 103 5 . 7 5 5 2 . 17 53 7 68 30 3 35 10 47 . 10 35 1 8 15 21 . . . . . . . 2 2 1 6 5 . 12 Total 1633 39 549 949 288 1015 568 2000 62 7 68 113 5 87 1 311 532 150 909 356 39 948 Dendroica nigrescens Dendroica occidentalis Oporornis tolmiei Geothlypis trichas Icteria virens Wilsonia pusilla Cinclus mexicanus Salpinctes obsoletus Thryomanes bewickii Troglodytes aedon Troglodytes troglodytes Certhia americana Sitta carolinensis 24 158 64 . 13 19 1 . 1 8 6 7 1 29 157 40 . 12 7 . 1 . 21 3 14 . 60 166 48 2 8 13 . . . 11 5 4 . 41 104 25 . 12 7 . 1 . 8 2 2 . 16 55 23 . 3 2 . . . 2 4 . . 1 55 10 . 2 2 . . . . 1 1 . 4 150 18 . 2 7 . . . 13 2 17 . 7 79 21 . 2 5 . 2 . . 3 1 . 28 211 56 . 22 41 3 1 1 17 12 19 . 32 210 54 . 18 51 3 1 . 10 6 5 . 68 145 72 . 25 35 6 1 1 13 11 18 . 2 114 21 . 2 1 . . 1 17 . 14 2 62 233 47 . 15 61 4 . . 17 9 5 1 21 117 63 . 3 5 . 1 . 11 . 4 . 89 64 38 . 3 3 . . . 5 3 9 4 72 115 46 . 15 8 1 . . 2 1 8 . 4 14 15 . 3 2 . . . 2 . 7 . 560 2147 661 2 160 269 18 8 4 157 68 135 8 - 35 - Appendix B (continued). English Name Red-breasted Nuthatch Oak Titmouse Mountain Chickadee Chestnut-backed Chickadee Wrentit Bushtit Golden-crowned Kinglet Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Townsend's Solitaire Swainson's Thrush Hermit Thrush American Robin Varied Thrush Western Bluebird Total number of species Scientific Name Sitta canadensis Baeolophus inornatus Poecile gambeli Poecile rufescens Chamaea fasciata Psaltriparus minimus Regulus satrapa Polioptila caerulea Myadestes townsendi Catharus ustulatus Catharus guttatus Turdus migratorius Ixoreus naevius Sialia mexicana 94 116 . 33 21 28 12 33 . 33 9 96 54 . 6 85 95 132 . 29 13 22 . 45 1 32 8 120 23 . 1 65 96 92 . 25 17 22 2 33 1 12 3 87 39 1 3 73 97 47 . 18 11 26 6 13 . 7 8 86 19 . 1 67 - 36 - 98 19 . 6 5 27 3 13 1 14 2 73 6 . . 56 99 54 . 1 1 6 . 1 . 9 . 46 4 1 . 54 00 97 . 18 6 10 . 17 . 29 6 62 31 . 1 58 01 64 . 3 7 10 . 2 . 18 10 52 21 1 . 53 02 133 . 25 29 49 10 21 . 37 46 133 37 . 1 77 03 98 . 29 13 56 6 13 . 23 41 121 67 3 3 86 04 173 . 30 41 74 4 17 . 36 44 177 41 1 2 86 05 99 . 25 11 16 . 20 2 36 8 100 11 . 10 70 06 181 . 21 23 48 1 28 1 35 34 99 22 . 1 82 07 92 . 40 17 1 4 28 . 8 7 79 34 . 4 65 08 68 . 27 19 6 7 23 . 15 7 56 40 . . 64 09 40 1 9 29 7 4 8 1 3 5 62 26 . 5 75 10 52 . 4 26 7 2 7 1 1 . 12 15 . 7 54 Total 1557 1 343 289 415 61 322 8 348 238 1461 490 7 45 115