Special Report:Employment In The Hudson Valley 2013 With A Preliminary Examination Through 2014.Q3

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Special Report:Employment
In The Hudson Valley 2013
With A Preliminary Examination
Through 2014.Q3
MARIST COLLEGE
Dr. Christy Huebner Caridi
Marist Bureau of Economic Research
School of Management
Poughkeepsie, New York 12601
Edited by Polly Sparling
June 2015
This report is available on the Bureau of Economic Research homepage at
http://www.marist.edu/management/bureau
The support of student research assistants Kristen Sandberg and Kristen Lawler is
acknowledged and appreciated.
While every effort has been made to ensure that the information in this report is accurate, Marist College
cannot be held responsible for any remaining errors.
The Hudson Valley 2013
With A Preliminary Examination
Through 2014.Q3
In the 10-year period from 2004 to 2013, private-sector jobs in the Hudson Valley
region increased slightly, rising at an annual rate of 0.12 percent. Of these jobs,
those paying above-average wages declined nearly 1.5 percent, while those that pay
below-average wages increased 0.91 percent. This shift in the private sector jobcount from high- to low-wage jobs is consistent with state and national trends.
During the same period, public-sector jobs declined, especially after the Great
Recession of 2008; as of 2013, there were five private-sector jobs in the region for
every one in the public sector. Public-sector wages, however, saw an increase in
relation to the private sector. The ratio of average private-sector wages was 92
cents for every dollar of public-sector wages in 2004; that ratio fell to 82 cents per
dollar by 2013, reflecting the systematic wage increases common in the public
sector.
From the third quarter of 2009 through the third quarter of 2014, a number of
industries in the region experienced significant job-count gains, including health
care, retail trade, and tourism-related fields (such as food services and
accommodations). In most of the seven counties, construction and manufacturing
saw the smallest job-count increases over the same time period.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
HUDSON VALLEY
2-17
DUCTHESS COUNTY
18-26
ORANGE COUNTY
27-35
PUTNAM COUNTY
36-43
ROCKLAND COUNTY
44-52
ULSTER COUNTY
53-61
WESTCHESTER COUNTY
62-70
Hudson Valley Job-Count CAGR
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
0.91%
0.91%
1.04%
0.70%
0.85%
0.12%
-0.28%
-1.44%
2004-2013
-2.49%
2007-2013
2004-2007
Total Private
Above Average Wages
Below Average Wage
Over the period, total private-sector jobs grew at an annual rate of 0.12 percent; the job-count in the
high-wage sectors fell 1.44 percent per annum, while low-wages jobs grew 0.91 percent. Negative
growth occurred in each of the nine high-wage sectors and five of the 11 low-wage sectors. The net
result was a 4.70 percent shift away from high-wage toward low-wage jobs. This outcome is
consistent with both the national and state trend.
Hudson Valley: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average
Wage. Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
CAGR Job-Count
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Finance and Insurance
Utilities
Manufacturing
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Information
Wholesale Trade
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Construction
Above Average
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Health Care and Social Assistance
Transportation and Warehousing
Educational Services
Administrative and Support and Waste Management
Unclassified
Retail Trade
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Accommodation and Food Services
Below Average
Average
Wages
2013
$165,949
$117,604
$117,813
$81,479
$97,113
$72,356
$72,399
$67,360
$60,536
$89,101
$53,098
$48,586
$44,499
$42,516
$38,932
$34,934
$29,518
$29,903
$31,774
$29,575
$23,330
$37,455
2004-2007
2007-2013
2004-2013
3.99%
1.84%
-0.46%
-1.73%
1.08%
-3.24%
0.39%
-0.90%
4.09%
0.70%
0.44%
1.80%
1.19%
2.43%
-0.11%
-6.66%
0.87%
-1.08%
1.35%
1.06%
0.75%
1.04%
-0.56%
-2.59%
-1.19%
-3.68%
0.08%
-3.81%
-1.94%
-6.96%
-3.85%
-2.49%
-0.78%
1.26%
-0.73%
1.42%
0.92%
-2.69%
0.10%
0.97%
0.20%
0.23%
2.66%
0.85%
-5.12%
-7.02%
-1.93%
-5.63%
-0.91%
-4.38%
-4.28%
-13.02%
-11.80%
-5.68%
-2.00%
0.73%
-2.65%
0.41%
1.95%
1.28%
-0.67%
3.02%
-0.96%
-0.61%
4.56%
0.66%
2
Hudson Valley Average Private-Sector Employment
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above-Average Wages
Job-Count and Average
Wages
Total
Private
Below-Average Wages
Job-Count and Average
Wages
%
Above
Average
%
Below
Average
Ratio
Low- to
HighWage JobCount
Ratio
Average
Wages: Low
per dollar of
High
2004
716,584
257,272
$69,391
459,312
$30,017
35.9%
64.1%
1.79
0.43
2005
722,241
259,637
$71,128
462,604
$31,508
35.9%
64.1%
1.78
0.44
2006
727,040
260,616
$75,196
466,427
$32,556
35.8%
64.2%
1.79
0.43
2007
736,434
262,711
$80,132
473,725
$33,766
35.7%
64.3%
1.80
0.42
2008
730,559
255,724
$81,437
474,837
$34,608
35.0%
65.0%
1.86
0.42
2009
699,586
234,847
$80,323
464,740
$34,996
33.6%
66.4%
1.98
0.44
2010
697,726
226,268
$85,200
471,457
$35,701
32.4%
67.6%
2.08
0.42
2011
709,840
227,320
$86,873
482,519
$36,358
32.0%
68.0%
2.12
0.42
2012
716,416
225,736
$89,979
490,681
$37,058
31.5%
68.5%
2.17
0.41
2013
724,199
225,841
$89,101
498,359
$37,455
31.2%
68.8%
2.21
0.42
Hudson Valley Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
459,312
462,604
466,427
473,725
257,272
259,637
260,616
262,711
474,837
255,724
464,740
234,847
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Above Average Wages
2009
471,457
482,519
490,681
498,359
226,268
227,320
225,736
225,841
2010
2011
2012
2013
Below Average Wages
3
Hudson Valley Percent of Jobs Paying
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
64.1%
64.1%
64.2%
64.3%
65.0%
35.9%
35.9%
35.8%
35.7%
35.0%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
66.4%
67.6%
68.0%
68.5%
68.8%
33.6%
32.4%
32.0%
31.5%
31.2%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
% Above Average
% Below Average
As of 2013, there were 2.21 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job. On average, low-wage jobs
paid $0.42 for each dollar paid in a high-wage job.
Hudson Valley Annual Average Job-Count Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
2.08
2.12
2.17
2.21
2012
2013
1.98
1.79
1.78
1.79
1.80
2004
2005
2006
2007
1.86
2008
2009
2010
2011
Hudson Valley Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One Dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
$0.44
$0.44
$0.43
$0.43
$0.42
$0.42
$0.42
$0.42
$0.42
$0.41
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
4
Hudson Valley Average Private Sector Job-Count Sorted by Wages 2004-2007-2013
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
2007
Percent
Total
Private
Sector
JobCount
2013
Percent
Total
Private
Sector JobCount
11,927
1.66%
13,414
1.82%
12,967
1.79%
5,821
0.81%
5,741
0.78%
5,342
0.74%
Finance and Insurance
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
32,410
4.52%
34,236
4.65%
29,254
4.04%
41,251
5.76%
42,596
5.78%
42,804
5.91%
Manufacturing
61,814
8.63%
58,654
7.96%
46,827
6.47%
Wholesale Trade
33,593
4.69%
33,987
4.62%
30,209
4.17%
Information
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
23,593
3.29%
21,371
2.90%
16,925
2.34%
930
0.13%
905
0.12%
587
0.08%
Construction
45,933
6.41%
51,807
7.03%
40,926
5.65%
257,272
35.90%
262,711
35.67%
225,841
31.18%
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
15,844
2.21%
16,052
2.18%
15,311
2.11%
Health Care and Social Assistance
126,525
17.66%
133,482
18.13%
143,922
19.87%
Transportation and Warehousing
22,928
3.20%
23,753
3.23%
22,730
3.14%
Educational Services
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management
26,425
3.69%
28,396
3.86%
30,900
4.27%
40,748
5.69%
40,612
5.51%
42,901
5.92%
3,602
0.50%
2,929
0.40%
2,487
0.34%
36,511
5.10%
38,007
5.16%
38,454
5.31%
16,601
2.32%
16,071
2.18%
17,029
2.35%
3,166
0.44%
3,268
0.44%
3,313
0.46%
112,551
15.71%
115,512
15.69%
116,194
16.04%
54,411
7.59%
55,643
7.56%
65,118
8.99%
459,312
64.10%
473,725
64.33%
498,359
68.82%
Utilities
Above Average
Unclassified
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting
Retail Trade
Accommodation and Food Services
Below Average
5
Average Private Sector Job-Count: High-Wage and Low-Wage Sectors by Area
2004-2007-2013
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
N
% Private N
33,049
35.11%
61,084
64.89%
94,131
54,969
55.11%
44,778
44.89%
99,746
11,067
57.16%
8,144
42.06%
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Dutchess County
Orange County
Putnam County
Rockland County
Sullivan County
Ulster County
Westchester County
Hudson Valley
Region
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
19,363
34,735
56,271
91,006
7,620
11,814
19,434
26,114
21,253
47,367
105,207
240,330
345,537
257,272
459,312
716,584
38.17%
61.83%
39.21%
60.79%
55.13%
44.87%
30.45%
69.55%
35.90%
64.10%
N
32,620
62,027
94,647
56,001
46,621
102,620
12,377
8,733
2007
% Private N
34.46%
65.54%
54.57%
45.43%
58.23%
41.09%
21,255
36,567
57,551
94,118
8,143
11,438
19,681
26,410
21,607
48,017
106,199
249,897
356,096
262,711
473,725
736,434
38.85%
61.15%
41.37%
58.12%
55.00%
45.00%
29.82%
70.18%
35.67%
64.33%
N
26,087
63,705
89,792
56,020
50,858
106,876
11,323
8,764
2013
% Private N
29.05%
70.95%
52.42%
47.59%
55.91%
43.27%
20,253
31,630
64,425
96,055
8,049
10,741
18,888
23,250
20,949
44,199
92,809
255,330
348,136
225,841
498,359
724,199
32.93%
67.07%
42.61%
56.87%
52.60%
47.40%
26.66%
73.34%
31.18%
68.82%
High-wage jobs as a percent of all private-sector jobs continue to decline. Dutchess reported the
highest 10-year decline at 6.06 percent, followed by Rockland at 5.24 percent. In both cases, the
primary cause was a reduction in manufacturing.
High-Wage Jobs as a Percent of Total Private Sector Jobs
Dutchess
Orange
Putnam
Rockland
Sullivan
2004
35.11%
55.11%
57.16%
38.17%
39.21%
2007
34.46%
54.57%
58.23%
38.85%
41.37%
2013
29.05%
52.42%
55.91%
32.93%
42.61%
2004
2007
Westchester
Hudson
Valley
55.13%
30.45%
35.90%
55.00%
29.82%
35.67%
52.60%
26.66%
31.18%
Ulster
2013
6
Average Private Sector Job-Count High-Wage and Low-Wage Sectors by Area
2004-2007-2013
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
Dutchess County
Orange County
Putnam County
Rockland County
Sullivan County
Ulster County
Westchester
County
Hudson Valley
Region
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
High-Wage
Low-Wage
Total, All Private
Average
Wages
$62,248
$27,402
$39,637
$39,206
$21,887
$31,432
$45,490
$25,127
$37,183
$61,258
$28,834
$41,209
$36,230
$20,153
$26,456
$34,296
$20,330
$28,030
$93,109
$36,057
$53,428
$69,391
$30,017
$44,153
2007
% Private
Wage
157.0%
69.1%
124.7%
69.6%
122.3%
67.6%
148.7%
70.0%
136.9%
76.2%
122.4%
72.5%
174.3%
67.5%
157.2%
68.0%
Average
Wages
$68,940
$30,681
$43,867
$43,250
$23,481
$34,269
$49,779
$26,967
$40,627
$67,129
$32,719
$46,088
$37,714
$22,649
$29,176
$39,069
$22,413
$31,574
$111,840
$40,858
$62,027
$80,132
$33,766
$50,307
2013
% Private
Wage
157.2%
69.9%
126.2%
68.5%
122.5%
66.4%
145.7%
71.0%
129.3%
77.6%
123.7%
71.0%
180.3%
65.9%
159.3%
67.1%
Average
Wages
$77,915
$35,246
$47,643
$48,702
$24,728
$37,295
$56,516
$28,297
$44,614
$77,521
$36,999
$50,342
$40,293
$25,609
$32,210
$42,304
$24,993
$34,099
$122,712
$44,183
$65,118
$89,101
$37,455
$53,561
% Private
Wage
163.5%
74.0%
130.6%
66.3%
126.7%
63.4%
154.0%
73.5%
125.1%
79.5%
124.1%
73.3%
188.4%
67.9%
166.4%
69.9%
Across the region, average private-sector wages advanced 21.3 percent, on average, with Orange
and Putnam reporting the lowest outcomes at 18.65 percent and 19.98 percent, respectively.
Rockland County reported the highest 10-year change at 22.16 percent.
7
Hudson Valley Public to Private Sector Job-Count
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Hudson Valley
Ratio Private to
Public
Private
Region
Public
2004
158,091
716,584
4.5
2005
158,173
722,241
4.6
2006
158,702
727,040
4.6
2007
160,393
736,434
4.6
2008
162,423
730,559
4.5
2009
161,508
699,586
4.3
2010
159,560
697,726
4.4
2011
154,113
709,840
4.6
2012
148,909
716,416
4.8
2013
146,220
724,199
5.0
Over the 10-year period, the ratio of private-sector to public-sector jobs increased from 4.5 to 5.0.
This reflects the significant decline in the public-sector job-count following the Great Recession.
Hudson Valley Region
Ratio Private to Public Job-Count
5.0
4.8
4.5
2004
4.6
2005
4.6
2006
4.6
2007
4.6
4.5
2008
4.3
4.4
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public to Private Sector Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
Private
$46,759
$48,959
$52,054
$53,657
$56,479
$58,419
$60,489
$61,679
$63,956
$65,551
$44,153
$45,751
$47,841
$50,307
$51,000
$50,212
$51,753
$52,535
$53,733
$53,561
Ratio Prviate
to Public
$0.94
$0.93
$0.92
$0.94
$0.90
$0.86
$0.86
$0.85
$0.84
$0.82
8
As of 2013, the ratio of private- to public-sector average wages was .82 to one, down from .94 to one
in 2004. This decline indicates a trend that began with the onset of the Great Recession and is the
outcome of the relative decline in high-wage private-sector jobs.
Hudson Valley Region
Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
$0.94
$0.93
$0.94
$0.92
$0.90
$0.86
$0.86
$0.85
$0.84
$0.82
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Average Public and Private Sector Job-Count by Area
2004-2007-2013
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
Average
Job-Count
Dutchess County
Public
Private
Orange County
Public
Private
Putnam County
Public
Private
Rockland County
Public
Private
Sullivan County
Public
Private
Ulster County
Public
Private
Westchester County
Public
Private
Hudson Valley Region
Public
Private
22,040
94,131
26,751
99,746
4,679
19,363
20,147
91,006
6,149
19,434
14,412
47,367
63,913
345,537
158,091
716,584
2007
Public as a
Percent of All
Jobs
19.0%
21.1%
19.5%
18.1%
24.0%
23.3%
15.6%
18.1%
Average
Job-Count
21,904
94,647
27,371
102,620
4,645
21,255
21,475
94,118
6,269
19,681
14,229
48,017
64,501
356,096
160,394
736,434
2013
Public as a
Percent of
All Jobs
18.8%
21.1%
17.9%
18.6%
24.2%
22.9%
15.3%
17.9%
Average
Job-Count
20,173
89,792
25,196
106,876
4,399
20,253
19,887
96,055
5,699
18,888
13,008
44,199
57,858
348,136
146,220
724,199
Public as
a Percent
of All Jobs
18.3%
19.1%
17.8%
17.2%
23.2%
22.7%
14.3%
16.8%
9
Ratio Private to Public Job-Count 2004-2007-2013
6.0
5.4 5.5
4.3 4.3
4.6 4.6
4.5
4.2
5.0
4.8
4.5
4.5 4.6
4.4
4.1
3.7 3.7
Dutchess
Orange
Putnam
Rockland
2004
3.3 3.4 3.4
3.3 3.4 3.4
Sullivan
Ulster
2007
Westchester Hudson Valley
2013
Across the region, Sullivan and Ulster are the most dependent on public-sector jobs at 23.2 and 22.7
percent of all jobs, respectively. Westchester is the least dependent at 14.3 percent of all jobs.
2004
Average
Wages
Dutchess County
Orange County
Putnam County
Rockland County
Sullivan County
Ulster County
Westchester County
Hudson Valley
Region
Public
$41,497
Private
$39,637
Public
$58,047
Private
$31,432
Public
$58,047
Private
$37,183
Public
$45,903
Private
$41,209
Public
$26,456
Public
$34,230
Private
$28,030
Public
$52,626
Private
$53,428
Private
Private
Wage as a
Percent of
Public
95.52%
Private
Wage as a
Percent of
Public
$43,867
54.15%
$34,269
90.61%
$40,627
69.39%
$46,088
71.23%
$29,176
88.29%
$31,574
64.80%
$62,027
67.79%
$50,307
$44,614
65.01%
$50,342
77.74%
$32,210
60.93%
$34,099
61.67%
$74,820
103.57%
$53,657
94.43%
63.72%
$55,294
$59,891
101.52%
$37,295
$52,867
$46,578
81.89%
82.08%
$64,760
$45,025
57.46%
$47,643
$68,627
$52,198
89.77%
Private Wage
as a Percent
of Public
$58,525
$57,034
64.06%
Average
Wages
$58,047
$49,388
$46,759
$44,153
Average
Wages
2013
$48,415
$46,044
Private
Public
2007
$65,118
87.03%
$65,551
93.76%
$53,561
81.71%
10
Average private-sector wages relative to average public-sector wages is the highest in Westchester
at .87 to one. The lowest ratio is in Sullivan at .61 to one, closely followed by Ulster at .62 to one.
Across the region, there is a close correlation between a county’s dependence on public-sector jobs
and the level of private-sector wages. On average, the higher the dependence on public-sector jobs,
the lower the average private-sector wage.
Average Private-Sector Wage per One Dollar
of Average Public-Sector Wage
$0.96
$0.91
$0.82
$0.65
$0.61
$0.57
$0.54
Dutchess
$0.87
$0.78
$0.71
$0.69
$0.65
$0.64
$0.64
Orange
Putnam
Rockland
2004
$0.94
$0.94
$0.90 $0.88
$0.82
$1.02
$1.04
Sullivan
2007
$0.82
$0.68
$0.62
Ulster
Westchester Hudson Valley
2013
Preliminary Job-Count Data by County
2009.Q3-2014.Q3






The following charts and discussion examine private-sector job growth by county and industry
sub-sector. The data used for 2014.Q3 is preliminary and subject to change.
Industry sub-sector data captures approximately 90 percent of sector data. As a result, it is an
estimate of job growth.
The cutoff for inclusion was the addition of 100 or more jobs in Dutchess, Orange, Rockland
and Westchester, and 50 or more jobs across the balance of the region.
The period of analysis is 2009.Q3 — last quarter of the Great Recession — through 2014.Q3.
A check mark in the first column indicates that the average wage paid in the sub-sector as of
2014.Q3 exceeded the average private-sector wage as of the same date. If the check mark is
red, the average exceeded the average high wage.
The NAICS — North America Industry Classification System — is shown in column two and
provides the following information: The first two digits give the industry (sector), the third digit
is the industry sub-sector. Sub-sector information helps to pinpoint areas of growth (decline) in
otherwise declining (increasing) sectors.
11
Dutchess County: Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage
NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
Average
Wages
2014.Q3
2009.Q32014.Q3
% change
Jobs
Added
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
$17,512
19.58%
1,310

621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
$64,284
19.55%
1,129

611
Educational Services
$48,582
8.76%
552
445
Food and Beverage Stores
$23,792
11.25%
387
811
$59,805
41.26%
339
451
Repair and Maintenance
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book
Stores
$18,830
49.89%
229
721
Accommodation
$25,150
15.87%
193
238
Specialty Trade Contractors
$57,925
5.50%
184
311
$31,740
103.46%
169
444
Food Manufacturing
Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies
Dealers
$31,982
13.04%
155
111
Crop Production
$24,163
52.48%
148
236
Construction of Buildings
$52,250
9.71%
146
562
$57,440
44.55%
144
813
Waste Management and Remediation Services
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar
Organizations
$31,042
12.45%
132
441
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
$50,301
8.70%
125
812
Personal and Laundry Services
$19,555
10.96%
121
623
$33,464
2.20%
115
711
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related
Industries
$29,042
24.83%
110
712
Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions
$20,806
126.91%
105
446
Health and Personal Care Stores
$32,555
10.82%
103
713
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
$16,084
5.63%
101




*2014 Preliminary Data
Of the 21 sub-sectors that added 100 or more jobs between 2009.Q3 and 2014.Q3, six paid average
wages above the average private-sector wage. The health care sector (62) continues to be an
important source of growth: Over the period, ambulatory and health services (621) added 1,129 jobs,
while nursing and residential care facilities (623) added 115. The most significant job growth occurred
in food services and drinking places (722) at 1,310 jobs. The job growth in food services,
accommodation (721), performing arts (711), and amusement (713) is symptomatic of the increasing
importance of tourism in Dutchess as well as in the surrounding counties.
12
Orange County Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage





NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
Average Wages
2014.Q3
2009.Q32014.Q3
% change
Jobs Added
561
Administrative and Support Services
$28,668
41.25%
1,836
448
Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
$22,944
36.40%
1,471
621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
$52,308
14.65%
1,085
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
$17,040
13.11%
1,036
445
Food and Beverage Stores
$22,129
20.90%
799
322
Paper Manufacturing
$46,618
235.34%
573
624
Social Assistance
$23,533
14.80%
540
493
Warehousing and Storage
$32,823
159.98%
476
423
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
$55,666
17.57%
449
611
Educational Services
$28,347
19.46%
360
813
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional,
and Similar Organizations
$23,913
17.86%
320
812
Personal and Laundry Services
$22,789
20.03%
318
424
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
$46,592
9.63%
309
453
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
$23,451
16.64%
296
311
Food Manufacturing
$70,426
29.95%
217
711
Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and
Related Industries
$26,313
68.30%
204
$48,723
10.65%
198
$48,350
88.02%
191

441

562
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Waste Management and Remediation
Services
721
Accommodation
$21,642
18.59%
177
447
Gasoline Stations
$21,502
24.54%
174
484
$55,416
9.40%
163
485
Truck Transportation
Transit and Ground Passenger
Transportation
$27,506
10.22%
157

488
Support Activities for Transportation
$42,607
76.63%
149

517
Telecommunications
$63,775
10.97%
127

236
Construction of Buildings
$43,006
13.10%
124
$33,746
10.68%
120

446
Health and Personal Care Stores
*2014 Preliminary Data
Of the 27 sub-sectors that added 100 or more jobs between 2009.Q3 and 2014.Q3, 11 paid average
wages above the average private-sector wage. The retail sector (44) added the highest number of jobs
at 2,763, with all sub-sectors — with the exception of motor vehicle (441) — paying below the
average private-sector wage. An encouraging sign in the manufacturing sector (33) was the 235.34
percent (573 jobs) increase in paper manufacturing jobs. As was the case in Dutchess, ambulatory
health care (621), food services and drinking places (722), and accommodation (721) were important
sources of growth.
13
Putnam County Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage




NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
Average
Wages
2014.Q3
% change
2009.Q32014.Q3
Jobs
Added
623
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
$34,005
33.89%
285
621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
$89,681
18.95%
256
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
$18,642
14.40%
215
713
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
$21,541
27.38%
156
453
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
$25,413
87.11%
104
445
Food and Beverage Stores
$21,896
9.91%
88
236
Construction of Buildings
$46,069
19.98%
83
811
Repair and Maintenance
$34,743
17.81%
77
424
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
$58,510
18.15%
76
812
Personal and Laundry Services
$29,265
17.10%
68
452
General Merchandise Stores
$14,353
27.37%
60
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
$59,544
14.11%
54
423

*2014 Preliminary Data
Of the 12 industry sub-sectors that created 50 or more jobs, five paid average wages above the
private-sector average wage. The primary sources of growth were health care, retail, and
wholesale. Health care added 541 jobs; the job-count in nursing (623) increased by 285 jobs while
the job-count in ambulatory health (621) advanced by 256. Retail (44-45) added 192 jobs across
two sub-sectors. Wholesale (42) added a total of 130 jobs.
14
Rockland County Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage
NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
Average
Wages
2014.Q3
% change
2009.Q32014.Q3
Jobs Added
561
Administrative and Support Services
$37,375
34.17%
1,604
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
$19,602
18.02%
1,082

621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
$55,497
15.37%
1,052

721
Accommodation
$104,782
98.34%
868
623
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
$30,930
17.70%
837
624
Social Assistance
$25,698
21.92%
823
445
Food and Beverage Stores
$26,239
28.75%
758
238
Specialty Trade Contractors
$59,958
16.65%
635
611
Educational Services
$31,842
17.65%
521
424
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
$59,141
21.77%
349

531
Real Estate
$44,153
27.46%
323

441
$57,789
28.43%
292
813
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and
Similar Organizations
$24,304
11.71%
290
236
Construction of Buildings
$47,696
29.02%
271
448
Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
$17,874
13.20%
240
442
$38,148
27.11%
223
451
Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and
Book Stores
$17,905
35.06%
191
237
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
$81,959
41.21%
186
812
$23,302
17.79%
183
711
Personal and Laundry Services
Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related
Industries
$40,559
92.09%
175

311
Food Manufacturing
$41,830
20.67%
167

493
Warehousing and Storage
$46,514
25.43%
144
492
Couriers and Messengers
$50,333
47.75%
141
811
Repair and Maintenance
$42,836
13.51%
112
485
Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation
$27,092
11.32%
111
312
Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing
$35,120
984.85%
108



*2014 Preliminary Data
Of the 26 industry sub-sectors that created 100 or more jobs, nine paid average wages above
the private-sector average wage. The primary sources of growth were accommodation and
food services (72), followed by health care (62), retail (44-45), and administration and support
services (56). Of the high-growth sectors, only two sub-sectors — ambulatory health care (621)
and motor vehicle (441) — paid above-average wages. Consistent with Orange County,
Rockland witnessed an increase in manufacturing. For the period, the county added 167 jobs in
food manufacturing (311) and 108 jobs in beverage manufacturing (312). Of the two, food
manufacturing paid above-average wages.
15
Sullivan County Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage
NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
721
452
Accommodation
General Merchandise Stores
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar
813
Organizations
524
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities

711
Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries
713
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
238
Specialty Trade Contractors

621
Ambulatory Health Care Services

423
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods

Credit Intermediation and Related Activities
522

*2014 Preliminary Data
Average
Wages
2014.Q3
Jobs
Added
25,085
21,380
%
change
2009.Q32014.Q3
29.81%
72.22%
21,768
52,696
NA
27,386
38,896
55,689
46,153
42,253
35.08%
64.52%
NA
17.97%
19.70%
9.95%
31.48%
27.49%
281
167
96
92
91
84
68
68
465
342
Of the 10 sub-sectors that created 50 or more jobs, half paid wages above the private-sector average.
The primary sources of growth were accommodation (721), general retail (452), and category 813
(this sub-sector focuses primarily on advocacy). Important high-wage growth was also reported in
finance and insurance (52), sub-sectors 524 and 522.
Ulster County Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage
NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar
Organizations

522
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities

524
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
323
Printing and Related Support Activities

448
Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores

454
Nonstore Retailers

334
Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing
451
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores
511
Publishing Industries (except Internet)

485
Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation

622
Hospitals
493
Warehousing and Storage

333
Machinery Manufacturing
517
Telecommunications

624
Social Assistance
443
Electronics and Appliance Stores
*2014 Preliminary Data
813
Average
Wages
2014.Q3
%
change
2009.Q32014.Q3
$18,271
$42,697
$46,603
$40,487
$14,872
$44,455
$44,989
$22,019
$28,631
$19,855
$41,991
$38,135
$51,183
$83,418
$23,032
$26,348
52.57%
26.48%
43.94%
185.30%
38.23%
28.34%
184.81%
37.56%
157.31%
14.43%
5.73%
74.09%
10.34%
40.24%
3.68%
26.62%
Jobs
Added
392
208
193
193
175
147
146
141
133
98
89
81
81
66
58
55
Similar to Sullivan County, over half of all Ulster sub-sectors that added 50 or more jobs paid wages
above the private-sector average. Sub-sector 813 added the most jobs, followed by the finance and
insurance sector (52) — intermediation (522) and insurance carriers (524). Manufacturing (31-33)
added 420 jobs across three sub-sectors — printing (323), computer (334), and machinery (333).
Overall, the job trend is toward high-wage sub-sectors.
16
Westchester County Areas of Growth 2009.Q3 — 2014.Q3P*
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Above
Average
Wage
NAICS
Industry (Sub-Sector)
722 Food Services and Drinking Places
561 Administrative and Support Services
621 Ambulatory Health Care Services

445 Food and Beverage Stores
812 Personal and Laundry Services
713 Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
441 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
236 Construction of Buildings
452 General Merchandise Stores
424 Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods

512 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries
622 Hospitals

446 Health and Personal Care Stores
811 Repair and Maintenance
524 Insurance Carriers and Related Activities

454 Nonstore Retailers
442 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores
623 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
444 Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers
711 Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries
485 Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation
311 Food Manufacturing
721 Accommodation
493 Warehousing and Storage

237 Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
447 Gasoline Stations
492 Couriers and Messengers
562 Waste Management and Remediation Services
484 Truck Transportation
315 Apparel Manufacturing

532 Rental and Leasing Services

519 Other Information Services

*2014 Preliminary Data
Average
Wages
2014.Q3
$22,860
$41,829
$66,797
$25,849
$28,654
$30,042
$58,458
$61,794
$24,780
$89,707
$38,873
$66,821
$37,135
$40,670
$95,802
$60,724
$29,212
$37,974
$42,422
$50,432
$36,400
$60,830
$37,032
$63,664
$99,177
$25,376
$39,489
$59,882
$45,078
$70,694
$66,748
$64,604
% change
2009.Q32014.Q3
29.49%
20.03%
8.29%
14.39%
23.82%
13.64%
24.46%
17.51%
11.89%
14.77%
78.22%
2.68%
11.25%
12.90%
5.12%
20.81%
22.17%
2.17%
11.10%
28.15%
4.28%
11.42%
7.66%
83.55%
7.14%
17.75%
15.42%
20.09%
18.40%
46.08%
7.52%
13.03%
Jobs Added
6,161
3,721
1,915
1,642
1,410
1,358
1,125
870
851
769
454
404
389
374
373
350
343
338
324
245
226
220
219
215
210
201
183
164
158
139
114
107
Of the 32 sub-sectors that added 100 or more jobs, eight paid average wages above the average
private-sector wage. The two most important sources of growth were food services (722) at 6,161
jobs, followed by administrative and support services (561) at 3,721. The job-count in the retail sector
(44-45) advanced 5,994, second only to the food services and accommodation sector (72) at 6,380. As
is the case across the region, health care (62) continued to advance, adding 2,658 jobs across three
sub-sectors. All but nursing and residential care (623) paid average wages below the average privatesector wage. Within the manufacturing sector, job gains were reported in both the food and apparel
industry sub-sectors.
17
Dutchess County Job-Count CAGR
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
0.47%
0.18%
0.51%
0.45%
-0.43%
-0.52%
-0.87%
-2.59%
-3.66%
Total Private
Above Average Wages
2004-2013
2004-2007
Below Average Wage
2007-2013
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, the private-sector job-count declined at an annual rate of
0.52 percent. The job-count in the high-wage sectors fell 2.59 percent per annum, with six of the nine
sectors reporting job losses. In the low-wage sectors, the job-count advanced in seven of the 11
sectors and grew 0.47 percent per annum.
Dutchess County: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average
Wage. Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
CAGR Job-Count
Average Wages
2013
Utilities
Manufacturing
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Wholesale Trade
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Finance and Insurance
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Construction
Information
High-Wage Sectors
Health Care and Social Assistance
Educational Services
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Transportation and Warehousing
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Unclassified
Retail Trade
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Low-Wage Sectors
2004-2007
2007-2013
2004-2013
$122,497
$102,161
$75,969
$73,591
$66,129
$60,678
$59,783
$53,168
$50,085
-3.69%
-3.94%
24.33%
0.91%
2.39%
0.98%
3.45%
3.29%
-0.38%
0.21%
-5.09%
4.67%
-2.35%
4.40%
-2.57%
-0.88%
-4.96%
-5.13%
-1.11%
-4.71%
10.85%
-1.28%
3.72%
-1.40%
0.54%
-2.28%
-3.57%
$77,915
-0.43%
-3.66%
-2.59%
$47,358
$42,748
0.64%
3.06%
1.37%
1.33%
1.12%
1.90%
$38,977
$37,512
$36,883
$34,246
$30,791
$27,482
$27,039
$18,911
$17,229
-2.06%
2.65%
-1.95%
0.41%
-8.04%
-0.74%
3.41%
4.78%
0.95%
0.88%
-9.06%
1.16%
0.86%
-6.03%
-0.14%
1.59%
-2.24%
1.91%
-0.11%
-5.32%
0.12%
0.71%
-6.70%
-0.34%
2.19%
0.04%
1.59%
$35,246
0.51%
0.45%
0.47%
18
Average Private Sector Employment 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
HighWage
JobCount
LowWage
JobCount
Average
WageHigh
% HighWage of
Total JobCount
Average
WageLow
% LowWage Of
Total JobCount
Ratio
Low to
High JobCount*
Ratio High
to Low
Wage
Average
Pay**
Year
Total
Private
2004
94,131
33,049
$62,248
61,084
$27,402
35.10%
64.90%
1.85
0.44
2005
95,108
33,626
$64,046
61,483
$28,135
35.40%
64.60%
1.83
0.44
2006
95,652
33,593
$66,056
62,059
$29,518
35.10%
64.90%
1.85
0.45
2007
94,647
32,620
$68,940
62,027
$30,681
34.50%
65.50%
1.90
0.45
2008
92,662
31,387
$71,741
61,275
$31,710
33.90%
66.10%
1.95
0.44
2009
89,275
28,616
$73,699
60,659
$32,803
32.10%
67.90%
2.12
0.45
2010
88,005
27,507
$74,612
60,498
$33,146
31.30%
68.70%
2.20
0.44
2011
88,666
27,125
$78,054
61,541
$33,825
30.60%
69.40%
2.27
0.43
2012
89,274
26,344
$78,140
62,930
$34,777
29.50%
70.50%
2.39
0.45
2013
89,792
26,087
$77,915
63,705
$35,246
29.10%
70.90%
*For example: In 2004, there were 1.85 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job.
**For example: In 2004, low-wage jobs paid on average $0.44 per $1.00 earned in high-wage jobs.
2.44
0.45
Dutchess County Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
61,084
61,483
62,059
62,027
61,275
33,049
33,626
33,593
32,620
31,387
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Above Average Wages
62,930
63,705
27,125
26,344
26,087
2011
2012
2013
60,659
60,498
61,541
28,616
27,507
2009
2010
Below Average Wages
19
64.9%
Dutchess County
Percent of All Private-Sector Jobs that Paid
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
70.5%
69.4%
68.7%
67.9%
66.1%
65.5%
64.9%
64.6%
35.1%
35.4%
35.1%
34.5%
33.9%
32.1%
31.3%
70.9%
30.6%
29.5%
29.1%
2009
2010
2011
% Below Average
2012
2013
High Wage Jobs Peaked in 2005
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
% Above Average
Dutchess County Annual Average Job-Count
Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
2.39
2.12
1.85
1.83
1.85
2004
2005
2006
1.90
2007
2.20
2.44
2.27
1.95
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Dutchess County Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One Dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
$0.45
$0.45
$0.44
$0.45
$0.44
$0.45
$0.44
$0.45
$0.44
$0.43
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
20
Average Private-Sector Job-Count: High-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Percent
Total
PrivateSector JobCount
Percent Total
Private-Sector
Job-Count
Percent
Total
PrivateSector
JobCount
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to
Lowest Average Annual Wage
2004
Manufacturing
15,752
16.73%
13,963
14.75%
10,204
11.36%
693
0.74%
619
0.65%
627
0.70%
136
0.14%
146
0.15%
189
0.21%
Wholesale Trade
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
2,078
2.21%
2,135
2.26%
1,851
2.06%
385
0.41%
740
0.78%
973
1.08%
Finance and Insurance
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
2,937
3.12%
3,024
3.20%
2,587
2.88%
3,552
3.77%
3,932
4.15%
3,729
4.15%
Construction
5,555
5.90%
6,122
6.47%
4,513
5.03%
Information
1,961
2.08%
1,939
2.05%
1,414
1.57%
33,049
35.11%
32,620
34.46%
26,087
29.05%
Utilities
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
Above Average
2007
2013
The contraction in high-wage jobs is a national trend that has impacted both the county and
the region. The most significant decline continues to occur in the computer and electronic
manufacturing sub-sector followed by the publishing industries (information sector) and the
wholesale trade sector. The construction industries continue to be impacted by the 2007
housing crisis and subsequent credit crunch. Preliminary data for 2014 and 2015 suggests a
resurgence in the construction industries.
.
Dutchess County Manufacturing Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
15,752
13,963
12,972
11,168
10,204
7,820
2,616
Manufacturing
Computer and Electronic Product
Manufacturing
31
2004
334
2007
2,593
2,384
All Other Manufacturing
-
2013
21
Dutchess County Information Select Sub-Sectors Job-Count
1,961
1,939
153, Average
Wage $51,775
1,414
470
1,462
1,528
1,262
412
Information
Publishing Industries (except Internet)
All Other Information
51
511
-
2004
2007
2013
Dutchess County Wholesale Trade Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
2,078 2,135
1,851
1,191 1,275 1,185
629
544
478
258
317
188
Wholesale Trade
Merchant Wholesalers,
Durable Goods
Merchant Wholesalers,
Nondurable Goods
Wholesale Electronic
Markets and Agents and
Brokers
42
423
424
425
2004
2007
2013
Dutchess County Construction Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
5,555
6,122
4,513
3,543
4,107
2,922
1,741 1,718 1,449
271
297
143
Construction
Construction of Buildings
Heavy and Civil Engineering
Construction
Specialty Trade Contractors
23
236
237
238
2004
2007
2013
22
Average Private-Sector Job-Count: Low-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to
Lowest Average Annual Wage
2004
Percent
Total
PrivateSector JobCount
2007
Percent Total
Private-Sector
Job-Count
2013
Percent
Total
PrivateSector
JobCount
Health Care and Social Assistance
16,670
17.71%
16,991
17.95%
18,434
20.53%
Transportation and Warehousing
3,041
3.23%
3,289
3.48%
1,860
2.07%
Educational Services
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management and
Remediation Services
6,295
6.69%
6,890
7.28%
7,459
8.31%
5,310
5.64%
4,988
5.27%
5,257
5.85%
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting
1,607
1.71%
1,515
1.60%
1,624
1.81%
529
0.56%
585
0.62%
643
0.72%
14,411
15.31%
14,094
14.89%
13,979
15.57%
3,467
3.68%
3,510
3.71%
3,694
4.11%
351
0.37%
273
0.29%
188
0.21%
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
1,804
1.92%
2,075
2.19%
1,811
2.02%
Accommodation and Food Services
7,599
8.07%
7,817
8.26%
8,756
9.75%
61,084
64.89%
62,027
65.54%
63,705
70.95%
Retail Trade
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
Unclassified
Below Average
The health care sector continues to expand, increasing from 17.71 percent of private-sector
employment in 2004 to 20.53 percent in 2013. Ambulatory and health services posted the largest
advance, followed by nursing and residential care facilities. The job-count in the hospital sub-sector
remained steady. Over the past 10 years, average wages within the sector have risen 45.00 percent
from $32,665 in 2004 to $47,358 in 2013, just shy of the 2013 average private-sector wage. Retail
trade — along with accommodation and food services — remain important employers, accounting for
25.32 percent of all private-sector employment in 2013. Transportation and warehousing continued
to contract.
23
Dutchess County Transportation and Warehousing Select Sub-Sector JobCount: Limited Data Available
3,041
3,289
1,860
498
487
703
277
602
541
Transportation and Warehousing
Truck Transportation
Transit and Ground Passenger
Transportation
48
484
485
2004
2007
2013
Dutchess County Arts Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,804
2,075
1,811
1,350
356
399
379
97
80
1,596
1,345
86
Arts, Entertainment, and Performing Arts, Spectator Museums, Historical Sites, Amusement, Gambling,
Recreation
Sports, and Related
and Similar Institutions and Recreation Industries
Industries
71
711
712
2004
2007
713
2013
Dutchess County Accommodation and Food Services Select
Sub-Sector Job-Count
8,756
7,599
7,817
7,805
6,645
954
1,063
6,754
951
Accommodation and Food Services
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
72
721
722
2004
2007
2013
24
Relationship Between Public and Private Job-Count 2004-2013
Dutchess County Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
Private
22,040
22,300
21,903
21,904
22,344
22,196
22,149
21,450
20,486
20,173
94,131
95,108
95,652
94,647
92,662
89,275
88,005
88,666
89,274
89,792
Ratio Private to
Public
4.3
4.3
4.4
4.3
4.1
4.0
4.0
4.1
4.4
4.5
Post-Great Recession, the number of private-sector jobs has risen relative to the public sector. As of
2013, there were 4.5 private-sector jobs for every one public-sector job, compared to 4:1 at the
height of the downturn. This increase is directly attributable to the contraction in the public-sector
job-count. Overall, public-sector jobs have declined on average 1.0 percent relative to a 0.5 percent
decline in the private sector.
Dutchess County
Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.3
4.3
4.3
4.5
4.4
4.3
4.1
4.2
4.1
4.1
4.0
4.0
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.7
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Ratio Private to Public
25
Dutchess County Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Public
$41,497
$43,999
$46,307
$48,415
$51,018
$52,589
$53,912
$54,742
$57,538
$58,047
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Private
$39,637
$40,832
$42,350
$43,867
$45,270
$45,911
$46,107
$47,356
$47,573
$47,643
Ratio
0.96
0.93
0.91
0.91
0.89
0.87
0.86
0.87
0.83
0.82
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, there has been a steady decline in the level of average
annual wages paid in the private sector relative to the public sector. Public-sector wages have grown
on average 3.80 percent per year, compared to a 2.10 percent increase in the private sector. This
reflects the steady decline of high-wage jobs in the private sector in concert with systematic wage
increases in the public sector. As of 2013, the average private-sector job paid $0.82 for every $1.00
paid in the public sector.
Dutchess County
Ratio of Private to Public Average Annual Wages
1.00
0.96
0.95
0.93
0.91
0.91
0.90
0.89
0.87
0.86
0.87
0.85
0.83
0.82
2012
2013
0.80
0.75
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
26
Orange County Job-Count CAGR Sorted by Above and Below Average Private
Sector Wages. Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
1.42%
1.35%
1.46%
0.95%
0.77%
0.68%
0.62%
0.21%
0.01%
Total Private
Above Average Wages
2004-2013
2004-2007
Below Average Wages
2007-2013
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, the private-sector job-count grew at an annual rate of
0.77 percent. The job-count fell in eight of the 11 high-wage sectors and two of the nine low-wage
sectors. Overall, the job-count in high-wage sectors grew 0.21 percent per annum while the job-count
in the low-wage sectors increased 1.42 percent per annum.
Orange County: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average
Wage. Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
CAGR Job-Count
Utilities
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Information
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Finance and Insurance
Wholesale Trade
Construction
Manufacturing
Health Care and Social Assistance
Transportation and Warehousing
High-Wage Sectors
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Administrative and Support and Waste Management
Unclassified
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Retail Trade
Educational Services
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Low-Wage Sectors
Average
Wages 2013
$116,394
$70,402
$60,669
$56,091
$55,575
$53,058
$50,985
$48,307
$48,155
$44,043
$40,245
$48,702
$36,511
$28,507
$26,369
$26,135
$26,060
$25,663
$24,820
$20,023
$17,049
$24,728
2004-2007
2007-2013
1.94%
-12.64%
1.97%
0.33%
-5.77%
-2.64%
-0.56%
2.65%
-1.62%
1.60%
3.12%
0.62%
2.59%
0.17%
-4.00%
2.06%
1.76%
2.58%
-0.11%
-1.89%
1.06%
1.35%
-3.82%
0.29%
0.22%
-2.30%
-0.65%
-3.30%
-0.32%
-3.78%
0.18%
2.10%
-0.14%
0.01%
-4.19%
5.40%
-1.30%
0.46%
1.03%
2.87%
1.24%
3.16%
1.38%
1.46%
2004-2013
-1.94%
-4.22%
0.80%
-1.43%
-2.39%
-3.08%
-0.40%
-1.68%
-0.43%
1.93%
0.93%
0.21%
-1.98%
3.62%
-2.21%
0.99%
1.28%
2.77%
0.79%
1.45%
1.28%
1.42%
27
Average Private Sector Employment 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Year
HighWage
JobCount
Total
Private
LowWage
JobCount
Average
WageHigh
Average
WageLow
% HighWage of
Total JobCount
% LowWage Of
Total JobCount
Ratio Low
to High
JobCount*
Ratio Highto Low-Wage
Average Pay
**
2004
99,746
54,969
$39,206
44,778
$21,887
55.11%
44.89%
0.81
0.56
2005
100,854
55,343
$40,776
45,511
$22,468
54.87%
45.13%
0.82
0.55
2006
101,889
55,749
$41,992
46,141
$23,066
54.72%
45.29%
0.83
0.55
2007
102,620
56,001
$43,250
46,621
$23,481
54.57%
45.43%
0.83
0.54
2008
102,894
55,968
$44,661
46,928
$23,868
54.39%
45.61%
0.84
0.53
2009
100,092
54,731
$45,561
45,364
$23,921
54.68%
45.32%
0.83
0.53
2010
100,813
54,241
$46,170
46,571
$24,476
53.80%
46.20%
0.86
0.53
2011
103,103
54,468
$47,912
48,634
$24,490
52.83%
47.17%
0.89
0.51
2012
104,822
54,689
$48,727
50,134
$24,582
52.17%
47.83%
0.92
0.50
0.91
0.51
2013 106,876
56,020
$48,702
50,858
$24,728
52.42%
47.59%
*For example: In 2004, there were 0.81 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job.
**For example: In 2004, low-wage jobs paid on average $0.56 per $1.00 earned in high-wage jobs.
Orange County Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
54,969
55,343
55,749
56,001
56,020
55,968
54,731
54,241
54,468
54,689
50,134
50,858
48,634
44,778
2004
45,511
2005
46,141
2006
46,621
2007
46,928
46,571
45,364
2008
Above Average Wages
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Below Average Wages
28
Orange County
Percent of All Private-Sector Jobs that Paid
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
55.1%
54.9%
54.7%
54.6%
54.4%
54.7%
44.9%
45.1%
45.3%
45.4%
45.6%
45.3%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
% Above Average
53.8%
46.2%
2010
52.8%
52.2%
52.4%
47.2%
47.8%
47.6%
2011
2012
2013
0.92
0.91
2012
2013
% Below Average
Orange County Annual Average Job-Count
Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
0.89
0.86
0.81
0.82
0.83
0.83
0.84
0.83
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Orange County Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One Dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
0.56
0.55
0.55
0.54
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.51
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0.5
2012
0.51
2013
29
Average Private Sector Job-Count: High-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to Lowest
Average Annual Wage
2004
Utilities
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
Information
Percent
Total
Private
Sector JobCount
Percent
Total
Private
Sector JobCount
2007
2013
Percent
Total
Private
Sector
JobCount
557
0.56%
590
0.57%
467
0.44%
87
0.09%
58
0.06%
59
0.06%
4,645
4.66%
4,925
4.80%
4,990
4.67%
2,447
2.45%
2,471
2.41%
2,149
2.01%
Management of Companies and Enterprises
1,054
1.06%
882
0.86%
848
0.79%
Finance and Insurance
3,878
3.89%
3,579
3.49%
2,926
2.74%
Wholesale Trade
7,390
7.41%
7,267
7.08%
7,129
6.67%
Construction
5,163
5.18%
5,585
5.44%
4,433
4.15%
Manufacturing
8,120
8.14%
7,732
7.53%
7,814
7.31%
Health Care and Social Assistance
16,816
16.86%
17,636
17.19%
19,973
18.69%
Transportation and Warehousing
4,812
4.82%
5,276
5.14%
5,232
4.90%
54,969
55.11%
56,001
54.57%
56,020
52.42%
Above Average
Over the period, the high-wage sectors added 1,051 jobs. The job-count increased in health care
(3,157), transportation and warehousing (420), and professional services (345). All other sectors
declined during the period. As was the case across the region, the most significant job gains occurred
in the health care sub-sectors, with ambulatory health care services increasing by 2,616 jobs, followed
by nursing and residential care facilities with 750. Manufacturing fell overall, but witnessed significant
growth in food, beverage and paper manufacturing, adding 796 jobs. Job losses were concentrated in
plastics and rubber manufacturing and fabricated metal product manufacturing at 441 and 196,
respectively. The decline in finance and insurance centered on the insurance sub-sector, while the
information sector reported declines in both motion pictures and sound and publishing.
Telecommunications expanded, adding 194 jobs. The construction sector remains under pressure.
Orange County Health Care Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
19,973
16,816 17,636
5,859
6,165
8,475
4,965
4,834
Health Care and Social
Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care
Services
62
621
2004
2007
4,121
2,700
3,026
3,450
Hospitals
Nursing and Residential Care
Facilities
622
623
2013
30
Orange County Manufacturing Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
8,120
7,732 7,814
959
534 636
49
Manufacturing
Food Manufacturing
31
311
497 333 741
103 176
Beverage and Tobacco Paper Manufacturing
Product Manufacturing
312
1,446 1,328 1,365
Chemical
Manufacturing
Fabricated Metal
Product Manufacturing
325
332
322
2004
2007
1,068 1,096 872
2013
Orange County Finance and Insurance Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
3,878
3,579
2,926
2,297
1,785
1,427 1,624 1,435
1,298
140
159
180
Finance and Insurance
Credit Intermediation and
Related Activities
Securities, Commodity
Contracts…
Insurance Carriers and Related
Activities
52
522
523
524
2004
2007
2013
Orange County Information Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
2,447
2,471
2,149
1,021
649
617
580
303
286
1,049
1,215
187
Information
Publishing Industries (except
Internet)
Motion Picture and Sound
Recording Industries
Telecommunications
51
511
512
517
2004
2007
2013
31
Orange County Wholesale Trade Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
7,390
7,267
7,129
3,819
2,683
2,955
2,850
3,408
3,551
887
903
728
Wholesale Trade
Merchant Wholesalers,
Durable Goods
Merchant Wholesalers,
Nondurable Goods
Wholesale Electronic Markets
and Agents and Brokers
42
423
424
425
2004
2007
2013
Average Private Sector Job-Count: Low-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to Lowest
Average Annual Wage
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Unclassified
Other Services (except Public Administration)
2004
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
2007
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
2013
Percent
Total
Private
Sector
JobCount
1,628
1.63%
1,758
1.71%
1,360
1.27%
4,384
4.40%
4,406
4.29%
6,040
5.65%
434
0.44%
384
0.37%
355
0.33%
4,845
4.86%
5,150
5.02%
5,293
4.95%
20,829
20.88%
21,948
21.39%
23,346
21.84%
1,824
1.83%
1,969
1.92%
2,333
2.18%
888
0.89%
885
0.86%
953
0.89%
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
1,654
1.66%
1,562
1.52%
1,883
1.76%
Accommodation and Food Services
8,292
8.31%
8,559
8.34%
9,295
8.70%
44,778
44.89%
46,621
45.43%
50,858
47.59%
Retail Trade
Educational Services
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Below Average
Over the period, six low-wage jobs were created for every one high-wage job. The most significant
increases were in retail trade, administrative and support and waste management, and
accommodation and food services. Collectively, these three sectors accounted for 5,176 of the 6,080
jobs created.
32
Orange County Administrative and Support and Waste Management and
Remediation Services Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
6,040
4,384
4,406
5,589
4,217
4,152
232
188
451
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Administrative and Support Services
Waste Management and Remediation
Services
56
561
562
2004
2007
2013
Orange County Accommodation and Food Services
Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
8,292
8,559
9,295
7,318
975
786
7,773
8,338
957
Accommodation and Food Services
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
72
721
722
2004
2007
2013
Orange County Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,628
1,758
1,360
1,055
973
825
634
690
527
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Real Estate
Rental and Leasing Services
53
531
532
2004
2007
2013
33
Orange County Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,654 1,562
1,883
1,203 1,308
358
Arts, Entertainment, and
Recreation
71
157
321
97
93
118
Performing Arts, Spectator Museums, Historical Sites,
Sports, and Related Industries and Similar Institutions
711
712
2004
2007
1,444
Amusement, Gambling, and
Recreation Industries
713
2013
Relationship Between Public and Private Job-Count 2004-2013
Orange County Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Orange County
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
26,751
27,203
27,098
27,371
27,639
27,603
27,531
26,675
25,847
25,196
Private
99,746
100,854
101,889
102,620
102,894
100,092
100,813
103,103
104,822
106,876
Ratio Private to
Public
3.7
3.7
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.6
3.7
3.9
4.1
4.2
Post-Great Recession, the number of private-sector jobs has risen relative to the public sector. As of
2013, there were 4.2 private-sector jobs for every one public-sector job, compared to 3.7:1 at the
height of the downturn. This increase is directly attributable to the contraction in the public-sector
job-count. Overall, public-sector jobs have declined on average 0.66 percent relative to a 0.77
percent increase in the private sector.
34
Orange County
Ratio Private to Public Job-Count
4.4
4.2
4.2
4.1
4.0
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.8
2004
2005
2006
3.7
3.9
3.7
3.6
3.7
2009
2010
3.6
3.4
3.2
2007
2008
2011
2012
2013
Orange County Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
Private
$44,270
$45,241
$47,246
$49,388
$51,454
$53,086
$55,321
$56,743
$57,868
$58,525
$31,432
$32,514
$33,422
$34,269
$35,179
$35,755
$36,148
$36,863
$37,180
$37,295
Ratio
0.71
0.72
0.71
0.69
0.68
0.67
0.65
0.65
0.64
0.64
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, there has been a steady decline in the level of average
annual wages paid in the private sector relative to the public sector. Public-sector wages have grown
on average 3.15 percent per year compared to a 1.92 percent increase in the private sector. This
reflects the steady decline of high-wage jobs in the private sector in concert with systematic wage
increases in the public sector. As of 2013, the average private-sector job paid $0.64 for every $1.00
paid in the public sector.
Orange County
Ratio Private to Public Average Wages
0.74
0.72
0.70
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.62
0.60
0.58
$0.71
$0.72
$0.71
$0.69
$0.68
$0.67
$0.65
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
$0.65
$0.64
$0.64
2011
2012
2013
35
Putnam County Job-Count CAGR
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
3.80%
3.16%
2.35%
0.82%
0.50%
0.25%
0.06%
-0.80%
-1.47%
Above Average Wages
Total Private
2004-2013
2004-2007
Below Average Wage
2007-2013
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, the private sector job-count increased at an annual rate
of 0.50 percent. The job-count fell in four of the nine high-wage sectors and three of the nine lowwage sectors. Overall, employment grew at a faster pace in the low-wage sectors than in the highwage sectors, resulting in a 1.30 percent increase in low-wage jobs relative to high-wage jobs.
Putnam County: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average
Wage. Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
CAGR Job-Count
Average Wages
2013
2004-2007
2007-2013
20042013
Information
Finance and Insurance
Wholesale Trade
Manufacturing
Health Care and Social Assistance
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Construction
Transportation and Warehousing
$67,761
$63,994
$61,946
$57,875
$55,884
$55,316
$52,086
$43,846
-2.68%
-4.02%
3.76%
0.12%
1.90%
0.48%
-1.60%
0.19%
-1.62%
-8.07%
8.93%
6.36%
4.90%
1.16%
6.12%
5.46%
-3.20%
-1.93%
1.27%
-2.86%
0.44%
0.14%
-5.24%
-2.35%
Above Average
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Educational Services
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Administrative and Support and Waste Management
Retail Trade
Unclassified
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Accommodation and Food Services
Below Average
$56,516
$44,451
$37,334
$31,905
$31,538
$27,899
$27,781
$25,712
$23,222
$18,216
$28,297
0.25%
-4.90%
2.00%
0.00%
1.67%
0.75%
-1.31%
-0.99%
1.42%
2.69%
0.82%
3.80%
-3.72%
0.79%
2.05%
5.86%
1.53%
-1.26%
-0.66%
0.00%
6.19%
2.35%
-1.47%
-5.49%
2.61%
-1.01%
-0.36%
0.37%
-1.33%
-1.15%
2.14%
0.98%
0.06%
36
Average Private Sector Employment 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
HighWage
JobCount
LowWage
JobCount
Average
WageHigh
Average
WageLow
% HighWage of
Total JobCount
% LowWage of
Total JobCount
Ratio
Low to
High JobCount*
Ratio
High- to
Low-Wage
Average
Pay**
Year
Total
Private
2004
19,363
11,067
$45,490
8,144
$25,127
57.16%
42.06%
0.74
0.55
2005
20,150
11,558
$45,925
8,411
$25,375
57.36%
41.74%
0.73
0.55
2006
20,773
12,153
$47,964
8,476
$26,443
58.50%
40.80%
0.70
0.55
2007
21,255
12,377
$49,779
8,733
$26,967
58.23%
41.09%
0.71
0.54
2008
20,466
11,559
$51,620
8,765
$27,721
56.48%
42.83%
0.76
0.54
2009
20,081
11,515
$53,045
8,397
$27,538
57.34%
41.82%
0.73
0.52
2010
19,921
11,219
$53,895
8,567
$27,589
56.32%
43.00%
0.76
0.51
2011
20,103
11,177
$55,819
8,795
$27,412
55.60%
43.75%
0.79
0.49
2012
19,883
11,102
$55,749
8,633
$27,690
55.84%
43.42%
0.78
0.50
0.77
0.50
2013
20,253
11,323
$56,516
8,764
$28,297
55.91%
43.27%
*For example: In 2004, there were .74 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job.
**For example: In 2004, low-wage jobs paid on average $0.55 per $1.00 earned in high-wage jobs.
Putnam County Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
12,153
12,377
11,559
11,558
11,515
11,219
11,067
8,144
2004
8,411
8,476
2005
2006
8,733
8,765
8,397
2007
2008
Above Average Wages
2009
8,567
2010
11,177
8,795
2011
11,102
11,323
8,633
8,764
2012
2013
Below Average Wages
37
Putnam County
Percent of All Private-Sector Jobs that Paid
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
57.2%
57.4%
42.1%
41.7%
2004
2005
58.5%
58.2%
56.5%
42.8%
40.8%
41.1%
2006
2007
2008
57.3%
41.8%
2009
% Above Average
56.3%
55.6%
55.8%
55.9%
43.0%
43.7%
43.4%
43.3%
2010
2011
2012
2013
% Below Average
Putnam County Annual Average Job-Count Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
0.79
0.76
0.74
2004
0.77
2011
2012
2013
0.49
0.50
0.50
2011
2012
2013
0.73
0.73
2005
0.78
0.76
0.70
0.71
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Putnam County Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.54
0.54
0.52
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
0.51
2010
38
Average Private Sector Job-Count: High-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to
Lowest Average Annual Wage
2004
Percent
Total Private
Sector Job
Count
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job Count
2007
2013
Percent
Total
Private
Sector Job
Count
Information
563
2.91%
536
2.52%
441
2.18%
Finance and Insurance
910
4.70%
707
3.33%
629
3.11%
Wholesale Trade
677
3.50%
875
4.12%
944
4.66%
Manufacturing
1,388
7.17%
1670
7.86%
1,403
6.93%
Health Care and Social Assistance
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
3,736
19.29%
4312
20.29%
4,427
21.86%
1,166
6.02%
1207
5.68%
1,217
6.01%
Construction
2,275
11.75%
2719
12.79%
1,968
9.72%
289
1.49%
339
1.59%
294
1.45%
11,067
57.16%
12,377
58.23%
11,323
55.91%
Transportation and Warehousing
Above Average
Putnam is the only county in the region to have more high-wage jobs than low-wage jobs. Like the
rest of the region, however, the trend is toward the latter. Within the high-wage sectors, the jobcount declined in information, finance and insurance, and construction. Health care, wholesale trade,
and professional services expanded, adding 691, 267 and 51 jobs, respectively. Manufacturing added
jobs in both fabricated metal product manufacturing and computer and electronic manufacturing.
Putnam County Health Care Sub-Sector Job-Count
4,312 4,427
3,736
1,582
1,322 1,474
521
659
1,150
1,044 1,178 810
Health Care and Social
Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care
Services
Nursing and Residential Care
Facilities
Social Assistance
62
621
623
624
2004
2007
2013
39
Putnam County Construction Sub-Sector Job-Count
2,719
2,275
2,042
1,968
1,628
498
528
1,478
424
150
149
65
Construction
Construction of Buildings
Heavy and Civil Engineering
Construction
Specialty Trade Contractors
23
236
237
238
2004
2007
2013
Putnam County Manufacturing Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,670
1,403
1,388
613
241
322
125
109
112
103
144
144
Manufacturing
Fabricated Metal Product
Manufacturing
Machinery Manufacturing
Computer and Electronic
Product Manufacturing
31
332
333
334
2004
2007
2013
Putnam County Wholesale Trade Sub-Sector Job-Count
875
944
677
382
435
410
401
472
236
Wholesale Trade
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable
Goods
42
423
424
2004
2007
2013
40
Average Private Sector Job-Count: Low-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to
Lowest Average Annual Wage
2004
Real Estate and Rental and
Leasing
Percent
Total Private
Sector Job
Count
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job Count
2007
Percent
Total
Private
Sector Job
Count
2013
316
1.63%
282
1.33%
201
0.99%
Educational Services
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management
713
3.68%
730
3.43%
852
4.21%
1,323
6.83%
1,406
6.61%
1,323
6.53%
945
4.88%
1,121
5.27%
1,097
5.42%
Retail Trade
2,619
13.53%
2,741
12.90%
2,802
13.83%
161
0.83%
155
0.73%
143
0.71%
762
3.94%
747
3.51%
697
3.44%
Unclassified
Arts, Entertainment, and
Recreation
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting
Accommodation and Food
Services
59
0.30%
59
0.28%
67
0.33%
1,246
6.43%
1,492
7.02%
1,582
7.81%
Below Average
8,144
42.06%
8,733
41.09%
8,764
43.27%
For the period, the job-count expanded in accommodation and food services, retail trade,
administrative and support and waste management, and education services. The job-count fell in
real estate and arts and entertainment. Overall, low-wage sectors added 620 jobs compared to 256 in
the high-wage sectors.
Putnam County Accommodation Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,492
1,582
1,423
1,246
1,510
1,183
63
68
72
Accommodation and Food Services
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
72
721
722
2004
2007
2013
41
Putnam County Administrative Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,121
945
1,097
1,044
876
998
68
77
99
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Administrative and Support Services
Waste Management and Remediation
Services
56
561
562
2004
2007
2013
Relationship between Public and Private Job-Count 2004-2013
Putnam County Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
Private
4,679
4,481
4,594
4,645
4,747
4,744
4,696
4,513
4,441
4,399
19,363
20,150
20,773
21,255
20,466
20,081
19,921
20,103
19,883
20,253
Ratio Private to
Public
4.1
4.5
4.5
4.6
4.3
4.2
4.2
4.5
4.5
4.6
Putnam County
Private vs. Public Employees
4.7
4.6
4.5
4.4
4.3
4.2
4.1
4.0
3.9
4.5
4.5
4.6
4.6
4.5
4.5
2011
2012
4.3
4.2
4.2
2009
2010
4.1
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2013
Ratio Private to Public
42
Putnam County Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Public
$48,866
$52,903
$54,965
$57,034
$59,788
$61,738
$63,211
$65,595
$66,728
$68,627
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Private
$37,183
$37,797
$39,458
$40,627
$41,677
$42,673
$42,913
$43,738
$43,921
$44,614
Ratio
0.76
0.71
0.72
0.71
0.70
0.69
0.68
0.67
0.66
0.65
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, there has been a steady decline in the level of average
annual wages paid in the private sector relative to the public sector. Public-sector wages have grown
on average 3.85 percent per year compared to 2.05 percent growth in the private sector. This reflects
the decline of high-wage jobs in the private sector in concert with systematic wages increases in the
public sector. As of 2013, the average private sector job paid $0.65 for every $1.00 paid in the public
sector.
Putnam County
Private vs. Public Employees
0.78
0.76
0.74
0.72
0.70
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.62
0.60
0.58
0.76
0.71
0.72
0.71
0.70
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
0.69
2009
0.68
2010
0.67
2011
0.66
2012
0.65
2013
43
Rockland County Job-Count CAGR
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
0.60%
1.13%
1.73%
1.51%
0.34%
1.90%
0.75%
-1.04%
-2.39%
Above Average Wages
Total Private
2004-2013
2004-2007
Below Average Wage
2007-2013
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, the private-sector job-count increased at an annual rate
of 0.60 percent. The job-count fell in five of the nine high-wage sectors and two of the 11 low-wage
sectors. Overall, low-wage sectors grew at a faster pace than did high-wage sectors, resulting in a
decline in high-wage jobs relative to low-wage jobs.
Rockland County: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average
Wage. Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
CAGR Job-Count
Average
Wages 2013
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Utilities
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Manufacturing
Finance and Insurance
Wholesale Trade
Information
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Construction
High-Wage Sectors
Health Care and Social Assistance
Transportation and Warehousing
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Accommodation and Food Services
Administrative and Support and Waste Mng.
Educational Services
Unclassified
Retail Trade
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Low-Wage Sectors
$181,761
$111,443
$85,102
$79,091
$76,935
$76,563
$74,832
$68,985
$59,365
2004-2007
2007-2013
2004-2013
4.33%
-0.51%
-3.30%
-0.16%
5.09%
2.30%
-2.59%
2.21%
5.56%
-1.36%
2.54%
-15.14%
-3.68%
-3.69%
-1.38%
-3.02%
-0.39%
-2.31%
0.50%
1.51%
-11.36%
-2.52%
-0.85%
-0.17%
-2.88%
0.47%
0.25%
$77,521
1.73%
-2.39%
-1.04%
$44,073
$43,261
$41,872
$41,430
$39,037
$30,525
$29,144
$28,956
$27,427
$26,358
$18,862
1.03%
-4.23%
-1.60%
1.49%
5.09%
1.59%
-5.28%
-0.15%
0.41%
0.79%
-0.38%
2.00%
3.93%
2.27%
3.61%
1.65%
1.59%
-0.46%
0.93%
1.35%
1.76%
-11.25%
1.68%
1.14%
0.96%
2.90%
2.79%
1.59%
-2.10%
0.57%
1.04%
1.44%
-7.76%
$36,999
0.75%
1.90%
1.51%
44
Average Private Sector Employment 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
HighWage
JobCount
LowWage
JobCount
Average
WageHigh
Average
WageLow
% HighWage of
Total JobCount
% LowWage Of
Total JobCount
Ratio
Low to
High JobCount*
Ratio High- to
Low- Wage
Average
Pay**
Year
Total
Private
2004
91,006
34,735
$61,258
56,271
$28,834
38.17%
61.83%
1.62
0.47
2005
91,575
34,935
$62,734
56,640
$29,588
38.15%
61.85%
1.62
0.47
2006
92,090
35,079
$65,586
57,011
$30,483
38.09%
61.91%
1.63
0.46
2007
94,118
36,567
$67,129
57,551
$32,719
38.85%
61.15%
1.57
0.49
2008
93,872
35,466
$72,472
58,406
$32,815
37.78%
62.22%
1.65
0.45
2009
90,040
32,922
$71,466
57,118
$32,822
36.56%
63.44%
1.73
0.46
2010
90,607
31,665
$73,902
58,944
$35,643
34.95%
65.05%
1.86
0.48
2011
93,083
31,898
$76,083
61,185
$36,015
34.27%
65.73%
1.92
0.47
2012
94,179
31,651
$79,346
62,528
$37,451
33.61%
66.39%
1.98
0.47
2.04
0.48
2013
96,055
31,630
$77,521
64,425
$36,999
32.93%
67.07%
*For example: In 2004, there were 1.62 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job.
**For example: In 2004, low-wage jobs paid on average $0.47 per $1.00 earned in high-wage jobs.
Rockland County Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
61,185
56,271
56,640
57,011
34,735
34,935
35,079
2004
2005
57,551
36,567
58,406
57,118
2007
64,425
58,944
35,466
32,922
2006
62,528
2008
Above Average Wages
2009
31,665
31,898
31,651
31,630
2010
2011
2012
2013
Below Average Wages
45
Rockland County
Percent of All Private-Sector Jobs that Paid
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
61.8%
61.9%
61.9%
61.1%
38.2%
38.1%
38.1%
38.9%
2004
2005
2006
2007
62.2%
63.4%
37.8%
36.6%
2008
2009
% Above Average
65.1%
65.7%
66.4%
67.1%
34.9%
34.3%
2011
33.6%
2012
32.9%
2013
2010
% Below Average
Rockland County Annual Average Job-Count: Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
2.04
1.98
1.92
1.86
1.73
1.65
1.62
1.62
1.63
2004
2005
2006
1.57
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
0.47
0.47
2011
2012
2013
Rockland County Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One Dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
0.49
0.47
0.48
0.47
0.46
0.48
0.46
0.45
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2013
46
Average Private Sector Job-Count: High-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to Lowest
Average Annual Wage
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
2004
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
2007
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
2013
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
973
1.07%
1,105
1.17%
1,018
1.06%
927
1.02%
913
0.97%
1,061
1.10%
459
0.50%
415
0.44%
155
0.16%
11,432
12.56%
11,377
12.09%
9,084
9.46%
Finance and Insurance
2,710
2.98%
3,145
3.34%
2,510
2.61%
Wholesale Trade
4,530
4.98%
4,850
5.15%
4,463
4.65%
Information
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
3,090
3.40%
2,856
3.03%
2,376
2.47%
5,346
5.87%
5,709
6.07%
5,576
5.81%
Construction
5,268
5.79%
6,197
6.58%
5,387
5.61%
34,735
38.17%
36,567
38.85%
31,630
32.93%
Utilities
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
Manufacturing
Above Average
Over the period, high-wage jobs fell from 38.17 percent of total private-sector employment to 32.93
percent. The job-count fell 3,105. Of this total, the most significant decline occurred in manufacturing at
75.60 percent of all jobs lost. The job-count in chemical manufacturing fell 2,165. In contrast to trend,
food manufacturing advanced throughout the recessionary period, increasing 86.80 percent overall.
Professional services and utilities advanced 230 and 134, respectively. Rockland is the only county in
the region to witness a rebound in the construction sector, with the job-count in heavy and civil
engineering rising above both the 2004 and 2007 levels. The decline in finance and insurance was
spread evenly across the three sub-sectors, while the decline in the information sector was highly
concentrated in the high-wage telecommunications sub-sector.
Rockland County Manufacturing Sub-Sector Job-Count
11,377
11,432
9,084
5,788 5,770
3,623
561 723 1,048
785 722 721
Manufacturing
Food Manufacturing
Chemical Manufacturing
31
311
325
2004
2007
809 800 633
Plastics and Rubber
Fabricated Metal
Products Manufacturing Product Manufacturing
326
332
2013
47
Rockland County Finance Sub-Sector Job-Count
2,710
3,145
2,510
1,252 1,343 1,160
1,161
294
Finance and Insurance
337
522
Insurance Carriers and
Related Activities
523
2004
2007
1,076
265
Credit Intermediation and
Securities, Commodity
Related Activities
Contracts, and Other Financial
Investments and Related
Activities
52
1,463
524
2013
Rockland County Information Sub-Sector Job-Count
3,090
2,856
2,376
592 709
1,622
1,285
1,022
376
404 428 498
209 112 262
Information
Publishing Industries
(except Internet)
Telecommunications
Data Processing,
Hosting, and Related
Services
Other Information
Services
51
511
517
518
519
2004
2007
2013
Rockland County Construction Sub-Sector Job-Count
6,197
5,387
5,268
3,753
1,197
1,552
1,043
318
352
4,293
3,750
594
Construction
Construction of Buildings
Heavy and Civil Engineering
Construction
Specialty Trade Contractors
23
236
237
238
2004
2007
2013
48
Average Private Sector Job-Count: Low-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2007
18,073
2,107
1,553
6,767
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
19.20%
2.24%
1.65%
7.19%
2013
20,355
2,656
1,777
8,371
Percent
Total
Private
Sector
JobCount
21.19%
2.77%
1.85%
8.71%
4.69%
3.49%
0.66%
15.74%
1.42%
4,955
3,329
509
14,262
1,308
5.26%
3.54%
0.54%
15.15%
1.39%
5,467
3,660
495
15,075
1,418
5.69%
3.81%
0.52%
15.69%
1.48%
4,493
4.94%
4,600
4.89%
5,108
5.32%
89
56,271
0.10%
61.83%
88
57,551
0.09%
61.15%
43
64,425
0.04%
67.07%
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to
Lowest Average Annual Wage
Health Care and Social Assistance
Transportation and Warehousing
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Accommodation and Food Services
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management
Educational Services
Unclassified
Retail Trade
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting
Below Average
2004
17,525
2,399
1,630
6,474
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
19.26%
2.64%
1.79%
7.11%
4,269
3,175
599
14,326
1,292
Over the period, the job-count in the low-wage industries advanced 8,154 with the greatest number of
jobs added in health care, followed by accommodation and food services, and administration and
support and waste management. Collectively these three sectors added 5,925 jobs, 72.66 percent of
the total job gain. Within the health care sector, ambulatory and health services added 1,369 jobs. As
of 2013, the average annual wage in this sub-sector was $53,898, well above the private-sector
average. If this current trend continues, health care will move from a low-wage to a high wage
industry. Given its consistent improvement and relative importance to overall job growth, this move
would have a significant and positive impact on the county’s economy.
Rockland County Health Care Sub-Sector Job-Count
20,355
17,525 18,073
6,306 6,598
7,675
4,682 4,751 5,527
3,522 3,581 4,154
Health Care and Social
Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care
Services
Nursing and Residential Care
Facilities
Social Assistance
62
621
623
624
2004
2007
2013
49
Rockland County Administrative Sub-Sector Job-Count
4,269
4,955
5,467
3,891
4,190
4,842
378
766
625
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Administrative and Support Services
Waste Management and Remediation
Services
56
561
562
2004
2007
2013
Rockland County Accommodation and Food Services Sub-Sector Job Count
8,371
6,474
6,767
5,709
5,964
6,692
1,678
765
803
Accommodation and Food Services
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
72
721
722
2004
2007
2013
Rockland County Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Public
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
20,147
20,468
21,234
21,475
22,002
21,771
21,386
20,707
20,257
19,887
Private
91,006
91,575
92,090
94,118
93,872
90,040
90,607
93,083
94,179
96,055
Ratio Private to
Public
4.5
4.5
4.3
4.4
4.3
4.1
4.2
4.5
4.6
4.8
50
Relationship Between Public and Private Job-Count 2004-2013
Post-Great Recession, the number of private-sector jobs has risen relative to the public sector. As of
2013, there were 4.8 private-sector jobs for every one public-sector job, compared to 4:1 at the
height of the downturn. This increase is directly attributable to the contraction in the public sector
job-count. Overall, public-sector jobs have declined on average 0.14 percent relative to a 0.60
percent increase in the private sector.
Rockland County
Private vs. Public Employees
5.0
4.8
4.8
4.5
4.6
4.6
4.5
4.3
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
4.2
4.1
4.2
4.0
3.8
3.6
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Ratio Private to Public
Rockland County Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
$45,903
$46,768
$49,592
$52,198
$53,431
$54,309
$56,950
$58,513
$60,303
$64,760
Private
$41,209
$42,233
$43,854
$46,088
$47,797
$46,952
$49,014
$49,746
$51,531
$50,342
Ratio
0.90
0.90
0.88
0.88
0.89
0.86
0.86
0.85
0.85
0.78
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, there has been a steady decline in the level of average
annual wages paid in the private sector relative to the public sector. Public-sector wages have grown
on average 3.90 percent per year compared to a 2.25 percent increase in the private sector. This
reflects the steady decline of high-wage jobs in the private sector in concert with systematic wage
increases in the public sector. As of 2013, the average private-sector job paid $0.78 for every $1.00
51
paid in the public sector, compared to $0.90 for every dollar in 2004.
Rockland County
Private vs. Public Employees
0.95
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.88
0.88
0.89
0.86
0.86
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.78
0.80
0.75
0.70
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Ratio Private to Public
52
Ulster County Job-Count CAGR
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
0.46%
0.55%
0.38%
-0.16%
-0.51%
-0.77%
-1.28%
-1.37%
-2.10%
Total Private
Above Average Wages
2004-2013
2004-2007
Below Average Wage
2007-2013
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, the private-sector job-count declined at an annual rate of
0.77 percent. The job-count fell in eight of the 13 high-wage sectors and three of the seven low-wage
sectors. Overall, the job-count in high-wage sectors declined 1.28 percent per annum, and fell 0.16
percent per year in the low-wage sectors.
Ulster County: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average
Wage Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Utilities
Finance and Insurance
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
Wholesale Trade
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
Manufacturing
Construction
Health Care and Social Assistance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Information
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Unclassified
Above Average
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Transportation and Warehousing
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Educational Services
Retail Trade
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
Accommodation and Food Services
Below Average
Average Wages
2013
$94,477
$58,091
$54,536
2004-2007
CAGR Job-Count
2007-2013
2004-2013
-1.52%
-3.92%
5.51%
-3.58%
0.98%
15.30%
-0.47%
-6.28%
0.93%
$49,460
$48,971
-5.57%
0.17%
-0.72%
-0.74%
-7.90%
0.63%
$46,964
$45,083
$44,520
$37,656
$37,046
$36,662
-1.12%
-3.59%
-2.73%
0.75%
1.48%
-7.08%
-2.65%
-3.13%
1.60%
0.87%
4.75%
-18.35%
-0.34%
-3.81%
-4.83%
0.68%
-0.11%
-0.87%
$34,504
$31,136
$42,304
$35,538
$30,720
$30,177
$27,460
$27,295
0.11%
-8.03%
-1.28%
2.55%
-0.33%
0.20%
0.69%
-0.64%
15.78%
-13.01%
0.38%
6.16%
0.69%
-0.04%
4.80%
0.81%
-6.91%
-5.43%
-2.10%
0.79%
-0.84%
0.32%
-1.30%
-1.35%
$26,725
$17,825
$24,993
-1.24%
0.46%
-0.16%
-1.73%
-0.07%
0.55%
-0.99%
0.72%
-0.51%
53
Average Private Sector Employment 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
HighWage
JobCount
LowWage
JobCount
Average
WageHigh
% HighWage of
Total JobCount
Average
WageLow
% LowWage Of
Total JobCount
Ratio Low
to High
JobCount*
Ratio
High- to
LowWage
Average
Pay**
Year
Total
Private
2004
47,367
26,114
$34,296
21,253
$20,330
55.13%
44.87%
0.81
0.59
2005
47,426
26,072
$35,650
21,354
$20,598
54.97%
45.03%
0.82
0.58
2006
48,109
26,617
$37,690
21,492
$21,627
55.33%
44.67%
0.81
0.57
2007
48,017
26,410
$39,069
21,607
$22,413
55.00%
45.00%
0.82
0.57
2008
46,047
24,440
$39,575
21,607
$23,035
53.08%
46.92%
0.88
0.58
2009
44,282
23,405
$39,938
20,877
$23,022
52.85%
47.15%
0.89
0.58
2010
44,078
23,372
$40,321
20,706
$23,334
53.02%
46.98%
0.89
0.58
2011
43,629
23,040
$41,090
20,589
$24,123
52.81%
47.19%
0.89
0.59
2012
43,705
22,930
$41,608
20,775
$24,672
52.47%
47.53%
0.91
0.59
0.90
0.59
2013
44,199
23,250
$42,304
20,949
$24,993
52.60%
47.40%
*For example: In 2004, there were .82 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job.
**For example: In 2004, low-wage jobs paid on average $0.59 per $1.00 earned in high-wage jobs.
Ulster County Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
26,617
26,114
26,072
26,410
24,440
23,405
21,253
2004
21,354
2005
21,492
2006
21,607
2007
23,372
23,040
22,930
23,250
21,607
2008
Above Average Wages
20,877
20,706
20,589
20,775
20,949
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Below Average Wages
54
Ulster County
Percent of All Private-Sector Jobs that Paid
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
55.1%
55.0%
55.3%
44.9%
45.0%
44.7%
2004
2005
2006
55.0%
53.1%
52.9%
53.0%
52.8%
52.5%
52.6%
46.9%
47.1%
47.0%
47.2%
47.5%
47.4%
2009
2010
2011
% Below Average
2012
2013
45.0%
2007
2008
% Above Average
Ulster County Annual Average Job-Count: Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
0.81
0.82
2004
2005
0.81
2006
0.88
0.89
0.89
0.89
2008
2009
2010
2011
0.91
0.90
2012
2013
0.82
2007
Ulster County Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One Dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
0.59
0.59
0.59
0.58
2004
2005
0.58
0.57
0.57
2006
2007
0.58
2008
2009
0.59
0.58
2010
2011
2012
2013
55
Ulster County Average Private Sector Job-Count: High-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Utilities
Finance and Insurance
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
Wholesale Trade
Professional, Scientific, and
Technical Services
Manufacturing
Construction
Health Care and Social Assistance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Information
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management and
Remediation Services
Unclassified
Above Average
2007
216
2,040
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
0.45%
4.25%
2013
210
1,382
Percent
Total
Private
Sector
JobCount
0.48%
3.13%
0.58%
420
0.87%
444
1.00%
139
1,358
0.29%
2.87%
136
1,328
0.28%
2.77%
83
1,379
0.19%
3.12%
1,707
4,673
2,527
8,275
670
1,863
3.60%
9.87%
5.33%
17.47%
1.41%
3.93%
1,575
4,248
2,650
8,493
770
1,014
3.28%
8.85%
5.52%
17.69%
1.60%
2.11%
1,543
3,364
1,969
8,848
765
962
3.49%
7.61%
4.45%
20.02%
1.73%
2.18%
2,166
240
26,114
4.57%
0.51%
55.13%
3,362
158
26,410
7.00%
0.33%
55.00%
2,188
113
23,250
4.95%
0.26%
52.60%
2004
241
1,981
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
0.51%
4.18%
274
Over the period, there has been a noticeable shift away from high-wage towards low-wage jobs.
Overall, there are 2,864 fewer high-wage jobs compared to 2004, and 3,160 fewer compared to
2007. As is typical in the region, the largest job loss occurred in manufacturing at 1,309, followed by
information and finance and insurance at 901 and 599, respectively. Health care and social assistance
added 573 positions. Of this total, ambulatory and health care services added the most jobs at 336;
the job-count in the hospital sub-sector declined 187.
Ulster County Health Care Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
8,848
8,275 8,493
3,268
2,932 3,085
2,128 2,054 2,557
1,687 1,752 1,500
Health Care and Social Ambulatory Health Care
Assistance
Services
62
621
2004
1,529 1,602 1,524
Hospitals
Nursing and Residential
Care Facilities
Social Assistance
622
623
624
2007
2013
56
Ulster County Manufacturing Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
4,673
4,248
3,364
68
60
169
673
874
866
332
310
109
47
32
61
Manufacturing
Beverage and Tobacco
Product Manufacturing
Machinery
Manufacturing
Computer and
Electronic Product
Manufacturing
Transportation
Equipment
Manufacturing
31
312
333
334
336
2004
2007
2013
Ulster County Administrative Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
3,362
3,211
2,188
2,166
2,067
2,017
149
Administrative and Support and Waste Administrative and Support Services
Management and Remediation Services
56
2007
122
Waste Management and Remediation
Services
561
2004
151
562
2013
Ulster County Information Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,863
1,014 962
266 294
126
100 96
88
255 243 195
121 134 220
Information
Publishing Industries
(except Internet)
Motion Picture and
Sound Recording
Industries
Telecommunications
Other Information
Services
51
511
512
517
519
2004
2007
2013
57
Ulster County Finance and Insurance Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
1,981 2,040
1,382
1,069 1,210
842
772
66
Finance and Insurance
103
Credit Intermediation and
Securities, Commodity
Related Activities
Contracts, and Other Financial
Investments and Related
Activities
52
522
2007
486
Insurance Carriers and
Related Activities
523
2004
720
122
524
2013
Ulster County Average Private Sector Job-Count: Low-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data
Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Percent
Total
Private
Sector Job
Count
2007
Percent
Total
Private
Sector Job
Count
2013
Percent
Total
Private
Sector
Job
Count
636
1.34%
761
1.58%
798
1.81%
1,437
3.03%
1,467
3.06%
1,395
3.16%
921
1.94%
920
1.92%
938
2.12%
688
1.45%
792
1.65%
732
1.66%
Retail Trade
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
9,128
19.27%
9,351
19.47%
8,619
19.50%
2,234
4.72%
2,120
4.42%
1,997
4.52%
Accommodation and Food Services
6,209
13.11%
6,196
12.90%
6,470
14.64%
21,253
44.87%
21,607
45.00%
20,949
47.40%
Transportation and Warehousing
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and
Hunting
Educational Services
Below Average
For the period, the job-count expanded in the traditional tourist industries — arts and
accommodation and food services — and fell in the retail trade sector. Job growth across the balance
of the sectors was relatively flat. Overall, low-wage sectors lost 304 jobs relative to 2004 and 658
relative to 2007.
58
Ulster County Accommodation and Food Sub-Sector Job-Count
6,209
6,196
6,470
4,157
2,053
2,052
4,144
4,517
1,953
Accommodation and Food Services
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
72
721
722
2004
2007
2013
Ulster County Arts Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
636
761
798
441
135
Arts, Entertainment, and
Recreation
71
174
518
458
286
59
69
54
Performing Arts, Spectator Museums, Historical Sites,
Sports, and Related Industries and Similar Institutions
711
Amusement, Gambling, and
Recreation Industries
712
2004
2007
713
2013
Ulster County Retail Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
9,128 9,351 8,619
1,162 978
872
591
595
612
531
532
539
Retail Trade
Motor Vehicle and Parts
Dealers
Health and Personal Care
Stores
Nonstore Retailers
44
441
446
454
2004
2007
2013
59
Relationship between Public and Private Job-Count 2004-2013
Ulster County Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Public
Private
14,412
14,252
14,236
14,229
14,335
14,234
14,093
13,698
13,336
13,008
47,367
47,426
48,109
48,017
46,047
44,282
44,078
43,629
43,705
44,199
Ratio Private to
Public
3.3
3.3
3.4
3.4
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
Ulster County
Ratio Private vs. Public Employees
3.5
3.4
3.4
3.3
3.3
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.0
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.4
3.3
3.3
3.2
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
3.2
3.1
3.1
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Post-Great Recession, the number of private-sector jobs has risen relative to the public sector. As of
2013, there were 3.4 private-sector jobs for every one in the public sector, compared to 3.2:1 at the
height of the downturn. This increase is directly attributable to the contraction in the public sector
job-count. Overall, public-sector jobs have declined on average 0.98 percent relative to a 0.52
percent decline in the private sector.
60
Ulster County Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Public
Private
Ratio
2004
$34,230
$28,030
0.82
2005
$37,618
$28,873
0.77
2006
$44,994
$30,514
0.68
2007
$46,578
$31,574
0.68
2008
$49,148
$31,814
0.65
2009
$50,155
$31,963
0.64
2010
$51,767
$32,341
0.62
2011
$52,649
$33,083
0.63
2012
$54,744
$33,558
0.61
2013
$55,294
$34,099
0.62
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, there has been a steady decline in the level of average
annual wages paid in the private sector relative to the public sector. Public-sector wages have grown
on average 5.47 percent per year, compared to 2.20 percent annual growth in the private sector.
This reflects the steady decline of high-wage jobs in the private sector in concert with systematic
wage increases in the public sector. As of 2013, the average private-sector job paid $0.62 for every
$1.00 paid in the public sector, compared to $0.82 in 2004.
Ulster County
Ratio Private vs. Public Employees
0.85
0.80
0.75
0.70
0.65
0.60
0.55
0.50
0.45
0.40
0.82
0.77
0.68
2004
2005
2006
0.68
2007
0.65
0.64
0.62
0.63
0.61
0.62
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
61
Westchester County Job-Count CAGR
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor, Author Calculations
1.31%
1.01%
0.67%
0.36%
0.31%
0.08%
-0.38%
-1.38%
-2.22%
Above Average Wages
Total Private
2004-2013
2004-2007
Below Average Wages
2007-2013
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, the private-sector job-count grew at an annual rate of .08
percent. The job-count fell in five of the eight high-wage sectors and seven of the 12 low-wage
sectors. Overall, the job-count increased 0.67 percent each year.
Westchester County: CAGR by Sector Ranked from Highest Average Wage to Lowest Average Wage
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
CAGR Job-Count
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Finance and Insurance
Utilities
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Information
High-Wage Sectors
Construction
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Health Care and Social Assistance
Transportation and Warehousing
Educational Services
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Administrative and Support and Waste Management
and Remediation Services
Unclassified
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Retail Trade
Accommodation and Food Services
Low-Wage Sectors
Average Wages
2013
$209,070
$193,994
$149,147
$122,951
$122,111
$104,210
$85,669
$83,170
$122,712
$67,616
$63,175
$53,719
$51,680
$48,991
$45,451
$42,754
$42,268
$35,236
$34,103
$32,593
$23,743
$44,183
2004-2007
2007-2013
2004-2013
51.83%
3.66%
3.01%
0.16%
0.54%
-1.89%
-0.06%
-2.84%
0.31%
4.37%
0.59%
2.20%
1.14%
2.34%
3.78%
-2.54%
-1.20%
-1.89%
-2.19%
0.41%
-5.01%
-3.08%
-4.39%
-2.22%
-3.64%
-0.90%
0.80%
-0.66%
1.26%
-2.50%
12.98%
0.39%
-0.28%
-1.41%
0.45%
-3.98%
-2.09%
-3.88%
-1.38%
-1.04%
-0.41%
1.26%
-0.07%
1.62%
-0.45%
-3.04%
-6.94%
2.06%
-3.02%
1.38%
1.21%
1.31%
0.79%
-3.18%
0.04%
1.37%
-0.07%
4.20%
0.36%
-0.50%
-4.45%
0.71%
-0.11%
0.41%
3.19%
0.67%
62
Average Private Sector Employment 2004-2013
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
HighWage JobCount
Average
WageHigh
LowWage JobCount
Average
WageLow
% HighWage of
Total JobCount
% LowWage of
Total JobCount
Ratio Low
to High
JobCount*
Ratio
High- to
LowWage
Average
Pay**
Year
Total
Private
2004
345,537
105,207
$93,109
240,330
$36,057
30.45%
69.55%
2.28
0.39
2005
347,540
106,106
$95,419
241,434
$38,212
30.53%
69.47%
2.28
0.40
2006
349,159
106,130
$102,338
243,029
$39,454
30.40%
69.60%
2.29
0.39
2007
356,096
106,199
$111,840
249,897
$40,858
29.82%
70.18%
2.35
0.37
2008
355,153
103,923
$110,034
251,230
$42,222
29.26%
70.74%
2.42
0.38
2009
336,938
96,395
$106,419
240,543
$41,985
28.61%
71.39%
2.50
0.39
2010
335,422
93,804
$116,043
241,618
$42,257
27.97%
72.03%
2.58
0.36
2011
342,245
93,857
$117,934
248,388
$42,949
27.42%
72.58%
2.65
0.36
2012
345,429
93,925
$123,639
251,505
$43,470
27.19%
72.81%
2.68
0.35
2013
348,136
92,809
$122,712
255,330
$44,183
26.66%
73.34%
2.75
0.36
*For example: In 2004, there were 2.28 low-wage jobs for every one high-wage job.
**For example: In 2004, low-wage jobs paid on average $0.39 per $1.00 earned in high-wage jobs.
Westchester County Annual Average Job-Count
Data Source: NYS Department of Labor
241,434
240,330
105,207
2004
106,106
2005
243,029
106,130
2006
249,897
251,230
106,199
103,923
2007
2008
Above Average Wages
240,543
241,618
248,388
251,505
255,330
96,395
93,804
93,857
93,925
92,809
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Below Average Wages
63
Westchester County
Percent of All Private-Sector Jobs that Paid
Average Wages Above and Below the Average Private-Sector Wage
NYS Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
85.0%
75.0%
69.6%
69.5%
69.6%
70.2%
70.7%
71.4%
72.0%
72.6%
72.8%
73.3%
30.4%
30.5%
30.4%
29.8%
29.3%
28.6%
28.0%
27.4%
27.2%
26.7%
2004
2005
2006
2009
2010
Below Average
2011
2012
2013
65.0%
55.0%
45.0%
35.0%
25.0%
15.0%
2007
2008
Above Average
Westchester County Annual Average Job-Count
Low-Wage Jobs to High-Wage Jobs
2.28
2.28
2.29
2004
2005
2006
2.50
2.58
2.68
2.75
2.42
2.65
2.35
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Westchester County Average Low-Wage Wages
Per One Dollar of Average High-Wage Wages
2.84
2.74
2005
2010
2011
2.78
2.53
2.50
2004
2.75
2.61
2.59
2.58
2.75
2006
2007
2008
2009
2012
2013
64
Average Private Sector Job-Count: High-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New
York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to
Lowest Average Annual Wage
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
2004
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
Finance and Insurance
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
2007
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
2013
2
0.00%
7
0.00%
6
0.00%
8,964
2.59%
9,986
2.80%
9,287
2.67%
19,062
5.52%
20,835
5.85%
18,586
5.34%
Utilities
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
3,141
0.91%
3,156
0.89%
2,764
0.79%
24,299
7.03%
24,695
6.93%
25,312
7.27%
Manufacturing
19,393
5.61%
18,315
5.14%
13,452
3.86%
Wholesale Trade
16,903
4.89%
16,874
4.74%
13,983
4.02%
Information
13,443
3.89%
12,331
3.46%
9,419
2.71%
105,207
30.45%
106,199
29.82%
92,809
26.66%
Above Average
Over the period, the number of high-wage jobs has declined 12,398. Of this total, manufacturing lost
5,941 jobs, information 4,024, and wholesale trade 2,920. As was the case in Dutchess, the largest
decline in manufacturing employment occurred in the computer and electronic product sub-sector at
3,362. Similar to Rockland, the job-count in food manufacturing increased. Job losses in both
warehousing and information were widespread, impacting all sub-sectors.
Westchester County Manufacturing Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
19,39318,315
13,452
6,665
5,469
3,403
1,866 1,825 2,095
1,819 1,863 1,618
Manufacturing
Food Manufacturing
Fabricated Metal Product
Manufacturing
Computer and Electronic
Product Manufacturing
31
311
332
334
2004
2007
2013
65
Westchester County Finance and Insurance Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
19,062
20,835
18,586
8,076 7,111
5,995
Finance and Insurance
Credit Intermediation and
Related Activities
52
522
3,439
5,568
4,809
7,422 8,007
Securities, Commodity
Insurance Carriers and Related
Contracts, and Other Financial
Activities
Investments and Related
Activities
523
2004
7,755
2007
524
2013
Westchester County Wholesale Trade Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
16,903 16,874
13,983
8,563 8,973
6,436
6,350 5,587 6,060
1,990 2,314 1,486
Wholesale Trade
Merchant Wholesalers,
Durable Goods
Merchant Wholesalers,
Nondurable Goods
Wholesale Electronic Markets
and Agents and Brokers
42
423
424
425
2004
2007
2013
Westchester County Information Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
13,443
12,331
9,419
4,406 4,044
4,376 3,987
3,199
4,376
2,587
2,245 1,057
Information
Publishing Industries (except
Internet)
Telecommunications
Data Processing, Hosting, and
Related Services
51
511
517
518
2004
2007
2013
66
Average Private Sector Job-Count: Low-Wage Sectors 2004-2007-2013. Data Source: New York
State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Percent
Total Private
Sector JobCount
Sectors: Sorted from Highest to Lowest
Average Annual Wage
2004
Construction
24,120
6.98%
2007
Percent Total
Private Sector
Job-Count
27,426
7.70%
2013
21,960
Percent
Total
Private
Sector JobCount
6.31%
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
9,564
2.77%
9,733
2.73%
9,219
2.65%
Health Care and Social Assistance
59,154
17.12%
63,141
17.73%
66,228
19.02%
Transportation and Warehousing
10,397
3.01%
10,758
3.02%
10,336
2.97%
Educational Services
13,552
3.92%
14,524
4.08%
15,658
4.50%
374
0.11%
418
0.12%
359
0.10%
23,240
6.73%
21,187
5.95%
22,213
6.38%
1,722
0.50%
1,388
0.39%
1,143
0.33%
18,818
5.45%
20,003
5.62%
20,048
5.76%
9,875
2.86%
9,008
2.53%
9,775
2.81%
Retail Trade
47,880
13.86%
49,885
14.01%
49,685
14.27%
Accommodation and Food Services
21,634
6.26%
22,426
6.30%
28,706
8.25%
240,330
69.55%
249,897
70.18%
255,330
73.34%
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
Unclassified
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Below Average
Since 2004, the number of low-wage jobs increased by 15,000. Health care, accommodation and food
services, and retail trade added the most jobs at 7,074, 7,072 and 1,805, respectively. As is the case
across the region, the largest increase in health care occurred in the ambulatory and health care subsector. As of 2013, the average wage in this sub-sector was $68,475, the highest average wage within
the health care sector. Employment in the construction industries continues to struggle, remaining
well below pre-recessionary levels.
Westchester County Health Care and Social Assistance Select Sub-Sector
Job-Count
66,228
59,154 63,141
24,846
19,942 22,237
14,801 14,804 14,740
15,268 16,011 15,766
Health Care and Social
Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care
Services
Hospitals
Nursing and Residential Care
Facilities
62
621
622
623
2004
2007
2013
67
Westchester County Retail Trade Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
47,880 49,885 49,685
10,593 11,151 12,790
6,336
6,988
6,247
5,390
8,251
6,911
Retail Trade
Food and Beverage Stores
Clothing and Clothing
Accessories Stores
General Merchandise Stores
44
445
448
452
2004
2007
2013
Westchester County Accommodation and Food Service Sub-Sector Job Count
28,706
25,878
22,426
21,634
18,952
2,682
2,701
19,725
2,828
Accommodation and Food Services
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
72
721
722
2004
2007
2013
Westchester County Construction Select Sub-Sector Job-Count
24,120
27,426
21,960
15,781
5,502 6,105 5,242
18,591
14,489
2,837 2,731 2,230
Construction
Construction of Buildings
Heavy and Civil Engineering
Construction
Specialty Trade Contractors
23
236
237
238
2004
2007
2013
68
Westchester County Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculation
Ratio Private
Public
Private
to Public
2004
63,913
345,537
5.4
2005
63,293
347,540
5.5
2006
63,375
349,159
5.5
2007
64,501
356,096
5.5
2008
64,954
355,153
5.5
2009
64,666
336,938
5.2
2010
63,497
335,422
5.3
2011
61,207
342,245
5.6
2012
58,749
345,429
5.9
2013
57,858
348,136
6.0
Post-Great Recession, the number of private-sector jobs has risen relative to the public sector. As of
2013, there were 6.0 private-sector jobs for every one public-sector job — the highest ratio in the region
— compared to 5.2:1 at the height of the downturn. This increase is directly attributable to the
contraction in the public sector job-count. Overall, public-sector jobs have declined on average 0.98
percent relative to a 0.52 percent decline in the private sector.
Westchester County
Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count
6.2
6.0
6.0
5.9
5.8
5.6
5.4
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.0
4.8
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
69
Westchester County Ratio of Private to Public Average Wages
Data Source: New York State Department of Labor QCEW Series, Author Calculations
Public
Private
Ratio
2004
$52,626
$53,428
1.02
2005
$55,475
$55,678
1.00
2006
$59,155
$58,568
0.99
2007
$59,891
$62,027
1.04
2008
$63,914
$62,065
0.97
2009
$66,729
$60,419
0.91
2010
$69,107
$62,892
0.91
2011
$70,203
$63,513
0.90
2012
$73,172
$65,268
0.89
2013
$74,820
$65,118
0.87
Over the 10-year period beginning in 2004, there has been a steady decline in the level of average
annual wages paid in the private sector relative to the public sector. Public-sector wages have grown on
average 3.99 percent per year compared to a 2.22 percent yearly increase in the private sector. This
reflects the steady decline of high-wage jobs in the private sector in concert with systematic wage
increases in the public sector. As of 2013, the average private-sector job paid $0.87 for every $1.00 paid
in the public sector compared to $1.02 in 2004.
Westchester County
Ratio of Private to Public Job-Count
1.05
1.04
1.02
1.00
1.00
0.99
0.97
0.95
0.91
0.91
0.90
0.90
0.89
0.87
0.85
0.80
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
70
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