Hindawi Publishing Corporation International Journal of Stochastic Analysis Volume 2013, Article ID 961571, 5 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/961571 Research Article Some Limit Properties of the Harmonic Mean of Transition Probabilities for Markov Chains in Markovian Environments Indexed by Cayley’s Trees Huilin Huang College of Mathematics and Information Science, Wenzhou University, Zhejiang 325035, China Correspondence should be addressed to Huilin Huang; huilin huang@sjtu.org Received 7 August 2013; Revised 24 October 2013; Accepted 31 October 2013 Academic Editor: Onesimo Hernandez Lerma Copyright © 2013 Huilin Huang. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. We prove some limit properties of the harmonic mean of a random transition probability for finite Markov chains indexed by a homogeneous tree in a nonhomogeneous Markovian environment with finite state space. In particular, we extend the method to study the tree-indexed processes in deterministic environments to the case of random enviroments. 1. Introduction A tree π is a graph which is connected and doesn’t contain any circuits. Given any two vertices πΌ =ΜΈ π½ ∈ π, let πΌπ½ be the unique path connecting πΌ and π½. Define the graph distance π(πΌ, π½) to be the number of edges contained in the path πΌπ½. Let π be an infinite tree with root 0. The set of all vertices with distance π from the root is called the πth generation of π, which is denoted by πΏ π . We denote by π(π) the union of the first π generations of π. For each vertex π‘, there is a unique path from 0 to π‘ and |π‘| for the number of edges on this path. We denote the first predecessor of π‘ by 1π‘. The degree of a vertex is defined to be the number of neighbors of it. If every vertex of the tree has degree π + 1, we say it is Cayley’s tree, which is denoted by ππΆ,π . Thus, the root vertex has π + 1 neighbors in the first generation and every other vertex has π neighbors in the next generation. For any two vertices π and π‘ of tree π, write π ≤ π‘ if π is on the unique path from the root 0 to π‘. We denote by π ∧ π‘ the farthest vertex from 0 satisfying π ∧ π‘ ≤ π and π ∧ π‘ ≤ π‘. We use the notation ππ΄ = {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π΄} and denote by |π΄| the number of vertices of π΄. In the following, we always let π denote the Cayley tree ππΆ,π . A tree-indexed Markov chain is the particular case of a Markov random field on a tree. Kemeny et al. [1] and Spitzer [2] introduced two special finite tree-indexed Markov chains with finite transition matrix which is assumed to be positive and reversible to its stationary distribution, and these treeindexed Markov chains ensure that the cylinder probabilities are independent of the direction we travel along a path. In this paper, we omit such assumption and adopt another version of the definition of tree-indexed Markov chains which is put forward by Benjamini and Peres [3]. Yang and Ye[4] extended it to the case of nonhomogeneous Markov chains indexed by infinite Cayley’s tree and we restate it here as follows. Definition 1 (T-indexed nonhomogeneous Markov chains (see [4])). Let π be an infinite Cayley tree, X a finite state space, and {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} a stochastic process defined on probability space (Ω, πΉ, P), which takes values in the finite set X. Let π = {π (π) , π ∈ X} (1) be a distribution on X and ππ‘ = (ππ‘ (π | π)) , π, π ∈ X, (2) 2 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis a transition probability matrix on X2 . If, for any vertex π‘, P (ππ‘ = π | π1π‘ = π, ππ = π₯π for π‘ ∧ π ≤ 1π‘) = P (ππ‘ = π | π1π‘ = π) = ππ‘ (π | π) , P (π0 = π) = π (π) ∀π, π ∈ X, ∀π ∈ X, (3) (4) then {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} will be called X-valued nonhomogeneous Markov chains indexed by infinite Cayley’s tree with initial distribution (1) and transition probability matrices {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π}. The subject of tree-indexed processes has been deeply studied and made abundant achievements. Benjamini and Peres [3] have given the notion of the tree-indexed Markov chains and studied the recurrence and ray-recurrence for them. Berger and Ye [5] have studied the existence of entropy rate for some stationary random fields on a homogeneous tree. Ye and Berger [6, 7], by using Pemantle’s result [8] and a combinatorial approach, have studied the ShannonMcMillan theorem with convergence in probability for a PPG-invariant and ergodic random field on a homogeneous tree. Yang and Liu [9] and Yang [10] have studied a strong law of large numbers for Markov chains fields on a homogeneous tree (a particular case of tree-indexed Markov chains and PPG-invariant random fields). Yang and Ye [4] have established the Shannon-McMillan theorem for nonhomogeneous Markov chains on a homogeneous tree. Huang and Yang [11] has studied the strong law of large numbers for finite homogeneous Markov chains indexed by a uniformly bounded infinite tree. The previous results are all about tree-indexed processes in deterministic environments. Recently, we are interested in random fields indexed by trees in random environments. In the rest of this paper we formulate a model of Markov chain indexed by trees in random environment especially in Markovian environment and study some limit properties of the harmonic mean of random transition probability for finite Markov chains indexed by a homogeneous tree in a nonhomogeneous Markovian environment. We are also interested in the strong law of large numbers of Markov chains indexed by trees in random environments which we will prepare for in another paper. Definition 2. Let π be an infinite Cayley tree, X and Θ two finite state spaces. Suppose that {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is a Θ-valued random field indexed by π, if, for any vertex π‘ ∈ π, P (ππ‘ = π | π1π‘ = π, ππ = π₯π , for π‘ ∧ π ≤ 1π‘; ππ , π ∈ π) = ππ1π‘ (π, π) , a.s., P (π0 = π | ππ , π ∈ π) = π (π | π0 ) ∀π ∈ X (5) Θ} and one-step transition probability matrices πΎπ‘ = {πΎπ‘ (πΌ, π½), πΌ, π½ ∈ Θ, π‘ ∈ π}, we call {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} a Markov chain indexed by tree π in a nonhomogeneous Markovian environment. Remark 3. If every vertex has degree two, then our model of Markov chain indexed by homogeneous tree with Markovian environments is reduced to the model of Markov chain in Markovian environments which was introduced by Cogburn [12] in spirit. Remark 4. We also point out that our model is different from the tree-valued random walk in random environment (RWRE) that is studied by Pemantle and Peres [13] and Hu and Shi [14]. For the model of RWRE on the trees that they studied, the random environment process π := (π(π₯, ⋅), π₯, π¦ ∈ π) is a family of i.i.d nondegenerate random vectors and the process π = {ππ , π ∈ Z+ } is a nearest-neighbor walk satisfying some conditions. But in our model,our environmental process π = {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} can be any Markov chain indexed by trees. Given π, the process {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is another Markov chain indexed by trees with the law ππ . In this paper we assume that {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is a nonhomogeneous π-indexed Markov chain on state space Θ. The probability of going from π to π in one step in the πth environment is denoted by ππ (π, π). We also suppose that the one-step transition probability of going from πΌ to π½ for nonhomogeneous π-indexed Markov chain {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is πΎπ‘ (πΌ, π½). In this case, {ππ‘ , ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is a Markov chain indexed by π with initial distribution π = (π(π, π)) and one-step transition on Θ × X determined by ππ‘ (πΌ, π; π½, π) = πΎπ‘ (πΌ, π½) ππΌ (π, π) , where π(π, π) = P(π0 = π, π0 = π). Then {ππ‘ , ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} will be called the bichain indexed by tree π. Obviously, we have (π) (π) (π) (π) P (ππ = πΌπ , ππ = π₯π ) = π (πΌ0 , π₯0 ) ∏ ππ‘ (πΌ1π‘ , π₯1π‘ ; πΌπ‘ , π₯π‘ ) . (8) π‘∈π(π) \{0} 2. Main Results For every finite π ∈ N, let {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} be a Markov chain indexed by an infinite Cayley tree π in Markovian environment {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π}, which is defined as in Definition 2. Now we suppose that ππ‘ (πΌ, π, π½, π) are functions defined on Θ × X × Θ × X. Let π be a real number, πΏ 0 = {0}, Fπ = (π) (π) π(ππ , ππ ); now we define a stochastic sequence as follows: (6) for each π, π ∈ X, where ππ₯ = (ππ₯ (π, π))π,π∈X , π₯ ∈ Θ is a family of stochastic matrices. Then we call {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} a Markov chain indexed by tree π in a random environment {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π}. The ππ‘σΈ π are called the environmental process or control process indexed by tree π. Moreover, if {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is a Tindexed Markov chain with initial distribution π = {π(π), π ∈ (7) ππ (π, π) = ππ ∑π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) . ∏π‘∈π(π) \{0} πΈ [ππππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ] (9) At first we come to prove the following fact. Lemma 5. {ππ (π, π), Fπ , π ≥ 1} is a nonnegative martingale. International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 3 if there exist two positive constants π and π such that Proof of Lemma 5. Obviously, we have (π−1) P (ππΏ π = πΌπΏ π , ππΏ π = π₯πΏ π | ππ =πΌ π(π−1) ,π π(π−1) =π₯ (π) = π(π−1) (π) 1 lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ ππ/ππ‘ = π < ∞. σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} ) (π) (π) P (ππ = πΌπ , ππ = π₯π ) (π−1) P (ππ (π−1) = πΌπ (π−1) , ππ (10) (π−1) = π₯π ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) = ππ‘ (ππ‘ , ππ‘ | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ) ; Here, the second equation holds because of the fact that {ππ‘ , ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} is a bichain indexed by tree π and (8) is being used. Furthermore, we have | Fπ−1 ] σ΅¨σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨σ΅¨ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ 1 σ΅¨ σ΅¨ = lim −1 π→∞ ππ ∑π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) ππ (π, π) = π (π, π) < ∞ lim π πΌπΏ π ,π₯πΏ π (π−1) (π−1) , ππ ) lim π→∞ (11) × P (ππ‘ = πΌπ‘ , ππ‘ = π₯π‘ | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ) = ∏ ∑ π lim sup π→∞ × P (ππ‘ = πΌπ‘ , ππ‘ = π₯π‘ | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ) (19) ln ππ (π, π) ≤ 0 a.s. σ΅¨σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨σ΅¨ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ (20) We arrive at a.s. 1 lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈πΏ π On the other hand, we also have × ππ (π, π) = ππ−1 (π, π) ∑ π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ ∑π‘∈πΏ π ππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) . ∏π‘∈πΏ π πΈ [ππππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ] (12) Combining (11) and (12), we get πΈ [ππ (π, π) | Fπ−1 ] = ππ−1 (π, π) a.s. (13) Thus, we complete the proof of Lemma 5. Theorem 6. Let {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} be a Markov chain indexed by an infinite Cayley tree π in a nonhomogeneous Markovian environment {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π}. Suppose that the initial distribution and the transition probability functions satisfy π (πΌ0 , π₯0 ) > 0, (18) which implies that π‘∈πΏ π (πΌπ‘ ,π₯π‘ )∈Θ×X × a.s., ln ππ (π, π) = 0 a.s., σ΅¨σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨σ΅¨ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ πππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1π‘ ,πΌπ‘ ,π₯π‘ ) = ∏ πΈ [ππππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ] (17) so that = ∑ ∏ ππππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,πΌπ‘ ,π₯π‘ ) πΌπΏ π ,π₯πΏ π π‘∈πΏ π a.s. Proof. By Lemma 5, we have known that {ππ (π, π), Fπ , π ≥ 1} is a nonnegative martingale. According to Doob martingale convergence theorem, we have = ∑ ππ ∑π‘∈πΏ π ππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1π‘ ,πΌπ‘ ,π₯π‘ ) × P (ππΏ π = πΌπΏ π , ππΏ π = π₯πΏ π | ππ (16) then we have π‘∈πΏ π πΈ [π Denote |Θ| = π, |X| = π, and ) = ∏ P (ππ‘ = πΌπ‘ , ππ‘ = π₯π‘ | π1π‘ = πΌ1π‘ , π1π‘ = π₯1π‘ ) . π ∑π‘∈πΏ π ππ‘ (π1 π‘ ,π1π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) (15) ππ‘ (πΌ, π; π, π) > 0, for ∀πΌ0 , πΌ, π ∈ Θ; π₯0 , π, π ∈ X, ππ‘ = min {ππ‘ (πΌ, π; π, π) , πΌ, π ∈ Θ; π, π ∈ X} , π‘ ∈ π \ {0} , (14) {πππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ , ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) − ln [πΈ [ππππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1 π‘ ,ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ]]} ≤ 0 a.s. (21) Combining (20) with the inequalities ln π₯ ≤ π₯ − 1 (π₯ > 0) and 0 ≤ ππ₯ − 1 − π₯ ≤ 2−1 π₯2 π|π₯| and taking ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ , ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) = ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ )−1 , it follows that 1 −1 lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ [ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) π − πππ] σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ (π) π‘∈π \{0} 1 ≤ lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ × ∑ π‘∈π(π) \{0} −1 {ln [πΈ [ππππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1π‘ ;ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ]] − πππ} 4 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 1 ≤ lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ × If −π < π < 0, similar to the analysis of inequality (24), by using (15), (22), and (23) again, we can arrive at 1 −1 lim inf σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ [ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) − ππ] π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ σ΅¨ σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} −1 ∑ π‘∈π(π) \{0} {πΈ [ππππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1π‘ ;ππ‘ ,ππ‘ ) | π1π‘ , π1π‘ ] − 1 − πππ} ≥ 1 ≤ lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ × ∑ ∑ ∑ ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; πΌ, π) × [π ≤ 1 π lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ σ΅¨ 2 π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ 1 1 π πππ ( ) lim sup ∑ 2 π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π(π) σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ ππ ≥ πππ π a.s. 2π (π + π) ∑∑ 1 1 |π|/ππ‘ π2 ππ π lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ 2 π π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} π‘ × π₯>0 0 < πΎ < 1. (23) πππ 1 1 π/ππ‘ π lim sup ∑ 2 π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π(π) σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ 1 1 π−π 1/ππ‘ π/ππ‘ πππ = (π ) π lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ 2 π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ π‘∈π(π) \{0} (24) a.s. −1 [ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) π (π₯0 ) > 0, ππ‘ (π, π) > 0, π‘ ∈ π \ {0} , 1 lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ ππ/ππ‘ = π < ∞. π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} 1 lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ ∑ − ππ] ≥ 0 a.s. (28) if there exist two positive constants π and π such that Here, the second equation holds because by letting π → 0+ in inequality (24), we get × −1 Combining (25) and (27), we obtain that our assertion (17) is true. ππ‘ = min {ππ‘ (π, π) , π, π ∈ X} , 1 −1 lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ [ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) − ππ] σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨σ΅¨ (π) π‘∈π \{0} πππ π ≤ 2π (π − π) [ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; ππ‘ , ππ‘ ) Corollary 7. Let {ππ‘ , π‘ ∈ π} be a nonhomogeneous Markov chain indexed by an infinite Cayley tree π. Suppose that the initial distribution and the transition probability functions satisfy Let 0 < π < π. It follows from (15), (22), and (23) that ≤ ππ/ππ‘ (27) a.s. Note that the following elementary fact holds: π−1 , ln πΎ ∑ π‘∈π(π) \{0} (22) max {π₯πΎπ₯ } = − (26) 1 lim inf σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ σ΅¨ σ΅¨ 1 π|π|/ππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1π‘ ;πΌ,π) π (π , π ; πΌ, π) (π) π‘ 1π‘ 1π‘ π‘∈π \{0} πΌ∈Θ π∈X ∑ 1/ππ‘ Letting π → 0− in inequality (26), we get 2 × ≤ π −1− ] ππ‘ (π1π‘ , π1π‘ ; πΌ, π) −π ≥ π‘∈π(π) \{0} πΌ∈Θ π∈X π/ππ‘ (π1π‘ ,π1π‘ ;πΌ,π) 1 1 −π/ππ‘ πππ π lim sup σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨ ∑ σ΅¨ σ΅¨ 2 π → ∞ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ − ππ] ≤ 0 a.s. (25) Denote |X| = π; then we have σ΅¨σ΅¨ (π) σ΅¨σ΅¨ σ΅¨σ΅¨π σ΅¨σ΅¨ 1 σ΅¨ σ΅¨ = lim −1 π→∞ π ∑π‘∈π(π) \{0} ππ‘ (ππ‘ | π1π‘ ) (29) a.s. (30) Proof. If we take Θ = {π}, that is, |Θ| = 1, then the model of Markov chain indexed by tree π in Markovian environment reduces to the formulation of a nonhomogeneous Markov chain indexed by tree π. Then we arrive at our conclusion (30) directly from Theorem 6. Corollary 8 (see [15]). Let {ππ , π ≥ 0} be a Markov chain in a nonhomogeneous Markovian environment {ππ , π ≥ 0}. Suppose that the initial distribution and the transition probability functions satisfy π (πΌ0 , π₯0 ) > 0, ππ (πΌ, π; π, π) > 0, ππ = min {ππ (πΌ, π; π, π) , πΌ, π ∈ Θ; π, π ∈ X} , π ≥ 1, (31) International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 5 if there exist two positive constants π and π such that 1 π lim sup ∑ ππ/ππ = π < ∞. π → ∞ π π=1 (32) Denote |Θ| = π, |X| = π, and ππ (ππ−1 , ππ−1 ; ππ , ππ ) = ππ (ππ , ππ | ππ−1 , ππ−1 ) ; (33) then we have lim π→∞ π ∑ππ=1 −1 ππ (ππ−1 , ππ−1 ; ππ , ππ ) = 1 ππ a.s. (34) Proof. If every vertex of the tree π has degree 2, then the nonhomogeneous Markov chain indexed by tree π degenerates into the nonhomogeneous Markov chain on line; thus, this corollary can be obtained from Theorem 6 directly. 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