Journal and Stochastic Analysis, 13:3 of Applied Mathematics (2000), 261-267. NEGATIVELY DEPENDENT BOUNDED RANDOM VARIABLE PROBABILITY INEQUALITIES AND THE STRONG LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS M. AMINI and A. BOZORGNIA Ferdowsi University of Mathematical Sciences Faculty Mashhad, Iran E-maih Bozorg@science2.um.ac.ir (Received January, 1998; Revised January, 2000) Let Xl,...,X n be negatively dependent uniformly bounded random variables with d.f. F(x). In this paperwe obtain bounds for probabiliis the ties P(I Y=IXil >_nt) and P(l(pn-pl >e) where is the pth quantile of F(x). Moreover, we sample pth ^quantile and show that under mild^ is a strongly consistent estimator of restrictions on F(x) in the neighborhood of We also show that (pn converges completely to Key words: Probability Inequalities, Strong Law of Large Numbers, the^ pn pn p p. p. p Complete Convergence. AMS subject classifications: 60E15, 60F15. 1. Introduction In many stochastic models, the assumption that random variables are independent is not plausible. Increases in some random variables are often related to decreases in other random variables so an assumption of negative dependence is more appropriate than an assumption of independence. Lehmann [12] investigated various conceptions of positive and negative dependence in the bivariate case. Strong definitions of bivariate positive and negative dependence were introduced by Esary and Proschen [7]. Also Esary, Proschen and Walkup [8] introduced a concept of association which implied a strong form of positive dependence. Their concept has been very useful in reliability theory and applications. Multivariate generalizations of conceptions of dependence were initiated by Harris [9] and Brindley and Thompson [4]. These were later developed by Ebrahimi and Ghosh [6], Karlin [11], Block and Ting [2], and Block, Savits and Shaked [1]. Furthermore, Matula [13] studied the almost sure convergence of sums of negatively dependent (ND) random variables and Bozorgnia, Patterson and Taylor [3] studied limit theorems for dependent random variables. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of quantiles for negatively dependent random variPrinted in the U.S.A. @2000 by North Atlantic Science Publishing Company 261 M. AMINI and A. BOZORGNIA 262 ables. Definition 1" The random variables X1,...,X n are pairwise negatively dependent if __ - P(Xi <_ xi, X j <_ xj) <_ P(X <_ xi)P(X j <_ xj) for all x i, x j e R, , 7 j. It can be shown that (1) (1) is equivalent to P(X > xi, X j > xj) <_ p(X > xi)P(X j > xj) for all xj, x E # j. Defmition 2: The random variables X1,... X n are said to be ND P(NY= I(Xj <- xj)) and P(N= I(Xj > xj)) H= 1P(XJ if we have xj), (3) IIY= 1P(Xj > xj), (4) for all Xl,...,x n R. Conditions (3) and (4) are equivalent for n- 2. However, Ebrahimi and Ghosh [6] show that these definitions do not agree for n >_ 3. An infinite sequence {Xn, n >_ 1} is said to be ND if every finite subset {X1,...,Xn} is ND. Definition 3: For parametric function g(0), a sequence of estimators {Tn, n >_ 1} is strongly consistent if Tn--og(O Definition 4: The sequence completely (denoted limn__,ocX n a.e. {Xn, n > 1} of random variables converges to zero 0 completely) if for every > 0, P[IXl >1 (5) <c. n--1 In the following example, we will show that the ND properties are not preserved for absolute values and squares of random variables. Example: Let (X, Y) have the following p.d.f: f(- 1, 1) f(1,0) 0, f(- 1,0) f(0,0) f(0, 1) f(0,1) f(1,1) 1/9, f(-1,1)- f(1,-1)-2/9. Then X and Y are ND random variables since for each x, y G R we have F(x,y) <_ Fx(x)Fy(y ). (ii) X and V-y2 are not ND random variables because for -1 <x<0 and 0<v<l we have Negatively Dependent Bounded Random Variable Probability Inequalities 263 F(x, v)- 1/9 > Fx(x)Fv(v -(3/9)(2/9). U X 2 and V y2 are not ND random variables nor are since0_<u<l, 0<v<l we have (iii) IX land YI F(u, v)- 1/9 > Fu(u)Vv(v -(2/9)(3/9). The following lemmas are used to obtain the main result in the next section. Detailed proofs of these lemmas can be founded in the Bozorgnia, Patterson and Taylor [3]. Lemma 1: Let {Xn, n > 1} be a sequence of ND random variables let {fn, n > 1} be a sequence of Borel functions all of which are monotone increasing (or all are monotone decreasing). Then {fn(Xn),n > 1} is a sequence of NO random variables. Lemma 2: Let X1,...,X n be ND random variables and let tl,...,t n be all nonnegative (or all nonpositive). Then E[e i=1 Ee tiXi < i=1 Lemma3: Let X be a r.v. such that every real number h we have E(X)-O Ee hX < Proof: For c- 1, see Chow replaced by X/c. e and XI <_c<oc a.e. Then for h2c2. [5]. For general c, apply the c-1 result with X 2. An Extension of the Theorem of Hoeffding for ND Random Variables In this section we extended the theorem of Hoeffding (Theorem 1 below) and then obtain the strong law of large numbers for ND uniformly bounded random variables. Theorem 1: (Hoeffding [10]) .Let X1,...,X n be independent random variables satisfying P[a <_ X <_ b]- 1 for each where a < b, and let S n l(Xk- EXk). Then for any t > O and c b-a = P[S n >_ nt] <_ exp c2. j. Theorem 2: Let X1,...,X n be ND random variables satisfying for each where a<b, and let S n- =I(Xk-EXk). Then P[a <_ X <_ b]- 1 for any t>O and c-b-a, p[s _> ] _< txp 4: j. Proofi We define YI c a.e. Yk- Xk-EXk for k- 1,...,n. Then we have EY k -0 and we have Hence, by Lemmas 2 and 3, M. AMINI and A. BOZORGNIA 264 p(Sn >_ nt) <_ exp(- nth)Ee hSn _< exp[- nth] H EehYk <- exp[- nth + nh2c2]. k-1 for h- t__._2" exp[- nt2] 2 The right side of this inequality attains its minimum value Thus, for each t > 0, P[S n>_nt]<_exp Corollary 1: Under the assumptions 4c 2 P( Sn > nt) V! j. of Theorem 1, for P[IS.I >-nt]<-2exp every t >0 ]. 4c 2 P[S n >_ nt] + P[ S n >_ nt] nt 4c 2 P[S n >_ nt] + P[S’n >_ nt] <_ 2exp whereS2nE=lZkandZ k- -Yk, k-1,...,n. Theorem Theorem 3: Under the assumptions 1 --a n 2c 4c of 2] j 2, for every a > 1/2 we have n Z (Xk- EXk)-*O completely. k=l Proof: By Theorem 2 and Corollary 1, for each ZP(ISnl >na)<2exp n--1 n--1 >0 we have 2n2a l 4c 2 j’ < ] Hence, for a- 1 we obtain the strong law of large numbers for negatively dependent uniformly bounded random variables. 3. Asymptotic Behavior of Quantiles for ND Random Variables pn The following two theorems and one corollary given conditions under which is contained in a suitably small neighborhood of with probability one for all sufficiently large n. Theorem 4: Let Xl,...,X n be ND random variables with d.f. F(x). Let O < p < 1. Suppose that is the unique solution x of F(x- <_ p <_ F(x). Then for every > 0 and n we have p p P( "p.- p > ) <_ 2exp(- n62/4) (6) Negatively Dependent Bounded Random Variable Probability Inequalities where min{F(p + ) p, p F(p Proof: For every^ > 0 we have P[ pn- p 265 pn is the sample pth quantile. + p] + P[pn < p- ] )} and >] P[pn > Pip > Fn(p + )] + PIp < Fn( p We define V I[x > p+ e] and U I[x < p_e] for Since X,...,X n are ND random variables, by Lemma 1 ND random variables. Hence, by Theorem 2 23 have P(P > Fn(p + )) E (Yi- E(Yi) P 1,2,...,n. U,...,U n and V1,..., V n are > nl) -< exp i=1 1 F(p + )- p. Similarly we have exp ..’4... P[p < Fn(v-)] P (U i-EUi) > n52 where 5 p- F(p- ). Define 5e min{51, 52}. Thus we have (6). where Corolly 2: Let X1,...,X n be ND random variables with the sample pth quantile. Then pn----p completely as d.f. F(x) H and let pn be n--,cx. Proof: By Theorem 4 we have n1( n52 ) P[l’p -p[ >1< 2 n n=l pn---p Hence completely. By the Borel-Cantelli lemma, we have exp 4 <" Vl pn---p a.e. Thus pn is a strongly consistent estimator of (p. Theorem 5: Let X1,...,X n be ND random variables with d.f. F(X). Let with F’(p) f(p) > O. Then for 0 < p < 1. Suppose that F is differentiable at some fl > O and O < a 1 p <_- (2 + fl)lna(n) Proof: Since F is continuous at p with F’(p)> 0, p is a unique solution of F(x-) < p < F(x) and F(p)- p. Thus, we may apply Theorem 4. Writing (2 + 3)lnC(n) we have r(p + n) P nf((p) + (n) > (2 /3)inC’(n) M. AMINI and A. BOZORGNIA 266 where n is sufficiently large. Similarly p (2 F(p n) nf(p) + (n) > + fl)21n(n) Thus for all sufficiently large n, )21n2a(n) (2 + )21n(n) n(2 n /4 > (2 +4n2a1 4 where 6% Hence, for min{F(p + en) P, P F(p en)}" a constant c we have n--1 n=l n (+/2) 2 which completes the proof. Let X1,...,X n be independent random variables with d.f. F(x). Then in this case, all the above theorems and corollaries are true. In particular, Theorems 4 and 5 are extensions of Theorem 2.3.1 and Lemma B, respectively, pages 96 of Settling [14]. Acknowledgement We wish to express our appreciation and gratitude to the referees for their suggestions which improved the exposition. References [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [8] [9] Block, H.W., Savits, T.H. and Shaked, M., Some concepts of negative dependence, Ann. Probab. V10:3 (1982), 7???-772. Block, H.W. and Ting, M.L., Some concepts of multivariate dependence, Comm. Star. Theor. Math. A10:8 (1981), 762. 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