UNCTAD Secretary-General's High-Level Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue on Commodities in the context of UNCTAD XII 28-29 January 2008 Successful Commodity Development and Diversification Strategies – the Case of Brazil By Mr. Luis F. Vieira Coordinator, Embrapa Labex Europe, France The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of UNCTAD Successful Commodity Development and Diversification Strategies: The Case of Brazil Luis F. Vieira Embrapa Labex Europe UNCTAD Secretary-General’s High Level Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue on Commodities in the Context of UNCTAD XII January 28-29, 2008 Geneva Embrapa Labex Europe Outline • Industrial Development in Brazil • Modern Agriculture Development in Brazil • Implementation of the Green Revolution • Integration to National, Regional and Global Supply Chains • Scientific Intensification & Construction of a Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Platform Embrapa Labex Europe Industrial Development in Brazil • First Industrial Censuses: - 1907 (1st): 3,000 companies - 1920 (2nd): 13.000+ companies - Consumption goods for the internal market - Coffee exports still represented 70% of the total exports • 1930- 1956 “Industrial Revolution” Natl. Council of Petroleum (1938) Natl. Steel Co. (1941) Vale do Rio Doce (1943) Natl. Bank for Economic (& Social) Devlpt. (1952) PETROBRAS (1953) Embrapa Labex Europe San Francisco Hydroelectric Co. (1945) Industrial Diversification in Brazil • Internationalization: 1956 - … - Increase petroleum production - Increase supply of electricity - Development of transportation network – Industrial Growth 1956 – 1964 37% Capital Goods; 63% Consumption Goods - Metal and Steel (automobile makers - Chemical and pharmaceuticals - Ship building - Installation of several transnational groups – Consolidation: from 1964 - … - Industry expansion supported by internal market growth - 1979: semi & industrial exports Embrapa Labex Europe Modern Agriculture Development in Brazil • 1st Phase: late 60’s thru the 80’s - Implementation of the Green Revolution National Policy (mainly) & Economic Oriented • 2nd. Phase: mid-80’s thru the 90’s - Integration to National, Regional and Global Supply Chains Natl. & Intl. Policy (mainly), Market & Intl. Econ. Oriented • 3rd. Phase: early 90’s thru … - Scientific Intensification & Construction of a Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Platform Global Market (mainly) & Intl. Economic Oriented Embrapa Labex Europe Implementation of the Green Revolution - Food & agric. raw-material shortages - Import substitution - Urbanization & Industrialization: – The need for wage-goods (cheap food) - Comparative Advantages – – – – Land availability Abundant natural resources (water, weather, …) Industry potentially able to provide inputs Some well established Ag. Research capacity Embrapa Labex Europe Policy and Development Strategy - Institutional Development (New institutions and New Governance models) - Strengthening Public Policy Capacity - Strengthening Public Ag. Research capacity - Strengthening Public Ag. Extension system - International cooperation in S&T - Infra-structure development (electricity, roads, storage facilities, etc..) - Credit, price support, public stocks, etc… Embrapa Labex Europe New Institutions & Governance Models - CFP: Commission for Financing the Production - COBAL: Brazilian Food Corporation - EMBRATER: Braz. Corp. of Tech. Assistance & Rural Extension (SIBRATER System) - EMBRAPA: Braz. Ag. Research Corporation (SNPA System) - CEPLAC: Exec. Comm. of the Cocoa Crop Plan - IBC: Brazilian Coffee Institute - IAA: Braz. Institute of Sugar & Alcohol - … Embrapa Labex Europe Strengthening Agricultural Research Agricultural Research was a powerful tool to boost Brazilian development through Agriculture, with the other policy support Commodity Centers 1 600 1 400 1098 968 1 000 800 724 1018 1001 890 717 955 965 91 79 1120 1012 1257 1019 1020 902827 821 499 404 226 298 89 162 78 1069 561 548 509 320 74 1143 793 645 194 1135 1088 403 133 36 15 1128 1046 699 400 - 1001 882 600 200 1407 1337 1150 1 200 82 274 86 315 435 324 247 156 104 67 90 BSc Embrapa Labex Europe 94 MSc 98 2000 PhD 58 2002 50 47 44 2004 Thematic Centers EcoRegional Centers S&T International Cooperation Embrapa Labex Europe CERRADO: A New Frontier The invention of the “Tropical Agriculture” Brazilian Savannah (CERRADO) • Total Area - 204 Million Hectares • Well defined dry and rainy seasons • Water availability • Until the 70’s considered inapt for Agriculture Embrapa Labex Europe Some Results and Impacts • Productivity Growth • Production Growth • Solution for Shortages of Food & Raw- Materials • Import Substitution • Auto-sufficiency • New Agriculture Frontier • Intense Diversification Embrapa Labex Europe Traits and Costs Main Traits: - High Performance Genetics - Input-Intensive Prod. Systems - PS specialization (Low Diversity) - Focus on Productivity The negative side: - Environmental Impacts - Social Inequities - Regional imbalances - Pressure over fragile biomes Embrapa Labex Europe Integration to National, Regional and Global Supply Chains • External Debt Pressures • Hyper-Inflation • Escalating petroleum prices • Globalization pressures • Low competitiveness Embrapa Labex Europe Integration to National, Regional and Global Supply Chains • Opening of the Brazilian Markets • Integration of the MERCOSUL • Reform of the Ag. Policy: – Extinction of institutions – Lowered barriers to imports – Substantial reduction of support policies • Consolidation of the Ethanol Program • Consolidation of the Agribusiness as a Global Player Embrapa Labex Europe Reshaping the Strategy of Ag. Research • Understanding the markets • Aiming at the overall productivity of Supply Chains • Improving and Introducing Quality and Safety Systems • Developing Post-Harvest Tech. • Research to support Exports • Changing Goals of Genetic Improvement Programs • Increase R&D for family-base farming and other social groups Embrapa Labex Europe Some Results and Impacts Embrapa Labex Europe Some Results and Impacts 2006 Embrapa Labex Europe Some Results and Impacts Embrapa Labex Europe Scientific Intensification & Construction of a Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Platform - Food and Non-Food Agriculture (BioEnergy, Drugs, Raw-materials, Tourism …) - Global Issues (Global Climate Change, Sustainability, Safety, Security, Emergent diseases, ...) - Economic Issues (Competitiveness, Market Access, Economc Growth, Energy Cost, …) - Social Issues (Wars, Stakeholders Involvement, Benefit distribution, Jobs, Income, Integration to markets, …) Embrapa Labex Europe The need for a new knowledge-intensive revolution -To address: -The raising cost of energy and the pressure to reduce the use of chemical inputs - The need to increase the productivity of environmental services and natural resources, and to protect fragile biomes - The multi-functional role of agriculture - The growing social and technological divide between social groups & regions - The need to reduce poverty - The vulnerability of agricultural systems to Global Climate Change - The growing demand for traceability and certified sustainable production Embrapa Labex Europe The need for a new knowledge-intensive revolution Will require in the next 10 to 20 years: - New genetic materials, at a faster pace, and new tools for safety, diseases and pests monitoring and combating - The widespread application of the concepts of precision farming - The use of multi-product system (agro-animal-forest) - The widespread use of IT as a production, but also as a trade tool - Integration of small farmers to the supply chains - The continuous overall increases in production and productivity - New policies and new institutions to deal with inequalities and poverty Embrapa Labex Europe How to move forward? - Countries, even the poor, need to invest as much as possible to build Human Resource and infra-structure research capacity - Investments will be necessary to provide the “side conditions” to promote Agricultural Driven Development (policy design, to build mgmt. and institutional capacity, etc) - International cooperation / partnership will be more than ever necessary to develop S&T, to provide expertise for institutional and capacity building and to grant access to advanced research platforms - International cooperation / partnership will be necessary to support the “side conditions” creation - Low-tech and top-down ready-to-use packages will not be enough to promote sustainable development due to the complexity of the issues. At least local R&D capacity for technology adaptation is necessary Embrapa Labex Europe Thank you! vieira@agropolis.fr Embrapa Labex Europe Embrapa Labex Europe Commoditty Research Centers Plant Research Animal Research Cotton Goats Rice & Beans Beef Cattle Coffee Dairy Cattle Forestry Southeastern Cattle Vegetables Southern Cattle & Goat Cassava & Fruit Swine & Poultry Corn & Sorghum Soybean Wheat Embrapa Labex Europe Eco-Regional Research Centers Amazon Other Regions Rondonia Western Region Acre Cerrados Roraima Temperate Zone Amapa Mid-North Region Western Amazon Pantanal Eastern Amazon Tropical Semi-Arid Coastal Table Region Embrapa Labex Europe Thematic Research Centers Research Centers Special Service Units Agro-biology Technology Transfer Food Science & Technology Publishing Agency Tropical Agro-industrial Tech. Intellectual Property Bureau Environmental Management Satellite Monitoring Genetic Resources & Biotech Soil Science & Survey Bioenergy R&D Embrapa Labex Europe