Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation– North Carolina The NC Race to the Top Evaluation: Findings and Future Direction of the Evaluation March 2013 Jessica Anderson, SERVE Center, UNCG Trip Stallings, Friday Institute, NCSU Julie Marks, CIPP, UNC-CH NC Race to the Top Evaluation: 2013 Forward NC RttT is designed to be a “game changer” A coordinated set of innovative activities and policy reforms designed to collectively improve the performances of students, teachers, leaders, and schools Evaluation contributes to NC RttT “changing the game” in two ways: 1. Program Evaluation: Provide formative information on the implementation of NC RttT initiatives Inform decisions to improve implementation Ending in 2013 2. Policy Evaluation: Assess – from the perspective of students, teachers, leaders, and schools – the improvements that have occurred as a result of NC RttT initiatives collectively and individually: Includes LEA-level outcomes for some initiatives Inform decisions about sustainability and impacts Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 2 Focus of the Evaluation • External evaluation provides objective analysis of the activities described in NC’s RttT grant proposal: Implementation fidelity Short‐term outcomes Collective/overall impact • Even with the shift from formative to summative, however, this is still not an evaluation of specific teachers, leaders, or schools Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 3 NC RttT Evaluation: Team Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation-NC (CERE-NC): SERVE Center, Carolina Institute for Public Policy, and Friday Institute Steering Committee: Gary Henry, Terri Shelton, & Glenn Kleiman Principal Investigator: Gary Henry Management Committee: Julie Marks, Jessica Anderson, and Trip Stallings Team Leaders: Teacher and Leader Effectiveness – Heather Higgens Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders – Trip Stallings Professional Development – Jeni Corn Turnaround of LEAs and Schools – Charles Thompson Local-Level Implementation and Spending – Nate Barrett Overall Impact – Gary Henry and Julie Marks Other Leadership Roles: LEA Coordinator – Lynn Amwake (camwake@serve.org; 336 574-8739); State Liaison - Trip Stallings (dtstalli@ncsu.edu; 919 513-8576) Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 4 NC RttT Initiatives: Evaluation Organization 1. Teacher and leader effectiveness Integration of value-added student achievement measures into educator evaluation system 2. Equitable supply and distribution of teachers and leaders Teach for America, NC Teacher Corps, Regional Leadership Academies, Teacher Induction Program, Virtual Public School, Incentives 3. Professional development All professional development activities in support of RttT initiatives, including: PD for standards and assessment, IIS, and data use; and PD delivery capacity-building efforts 4. Turnaround of LEAs and schools Low-achieving LEAs and schools; STEM schools 5. Local-level implementation and spending on RttT Cloud computing, allocation of RttT funds, cost savings 6. Overall impact of RttT on students, teachers, and school leaders Cross-Initiative: Omnibus survey of teachers and principals Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 5 Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org) Local Strategic Staffing – 18 LEAs developed full strategic staffing plans, and 55 others developed partial plans. Highlights: emergence of 2nd-generation strategic staffing plans; potential for sustainability; diversity in strategic staffing approaches; and opportunities for idea-sharing across LEAs. Distinguished Leadership in Practice – In Year 1, DLP sessions were conducted for 194 principals (157 completed the program). Principal feedback and observation data indicate that face-to-face and online sessions were of high quality. Principal feedback and focus group data suggest that participants developed specific leadership knowledge and skills. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 6 Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org) Online Professional Development – Approximately half of the state’s educators completed at least one online module by the end of the 2011-12 school year. Overall, most participants agreed that the webinars and modules were relevant to their professional development needs, though some content was redundant with prior PD activities and not always content- or grade-specific, and some modules did not meet Learning Forward/NSDC standards. Most online modules were completed independently and not in PLCs. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 7 Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org) LEA Expenditures – Total RttT funds allocated to LEAs averages to $36 per pupil per year. Based on analyses of DSWs, LEAs plan to use the largest proportion of their RttT funds (49%) for technology, followed by professional development (21%) and strategic staffing (15%). In terms of planned activities, LEAs plan to prioritize RttT funds for professional development (43%) followed by technology (24%) and strategic staffing (20%). Value-Added Models – Evaluation of nine commonly-used teacher value-added models suggests that, while none of the models performs sufficiently well for high-stakes purposes, four models (a three-level hierarchical linear model with one year of pretest scores, a three-level hierarchical linear model with two years of pretest scores, EVAAS, and a student fixed effects model) are sufficient for lower-stakes purposes. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 8 Key Findings, 2012 (http://cerenc.org) NC Teacher Corps & TFA – NCTC recruitment yielded 441 candidates, of whom 34 were selected (29 remain the in program; 22 have teaching jobs). TFA placed 157 corps members in 2011-12, and 219 in 201213—many in teaching “pods” of 3 or more. Almost 90% of TFA corps members complete two-year commitments. STEM Affinity Network: Second-Year Report – Anchor schools have improved instruction and implemented STEM features (such as project-based learning and partnering for improvement of student learning) internally. Structures for networking, PD, curriculum development, and partnerships are in place to support affinity schools, though some of these activities have been delayed. There is not yet universal buy-in among anchor school staff, but many report improved instruction and implementation of STEM strategies. Students in anchor schools enjoy personalized attention and exhibit high motivation, engagement, and a passion for learning. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 9 Omnibus Teacher and Leader Survey • Administered to probability sample of 365 schools across the state – a selection of schools that is reflective of the state as a whole • Assesses “Instructional Climate” 23 dimensions on leadership and organizational conditions affecting instruction • Baseline and Second Round Surveys completed – Fall 2011, Spring 2012 • Next administration in progress (launched February 2013) and again in 2014 (last administration) Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 10 School-Level Activities Reports: https://s3.amazonaws.com/evaluation.tool s/evaluationdb/index.html Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 11 Jess Anderson. SERVE Center, UNCG janderson@serve.org; (336) 543-6185 Julie Marks, CIPP, UNCCH jtmarks@email.unc.edu; (919) 962-7422 Trip Stallings, Friday Institute, NCSU dtstalli@ncsu.edu; (919) 513-8576 Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 12 1. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness Purpose of this Evaluation Project • To ensure quality, consistency, and fairness of new and ongoing teacher and principal evaluation processes through examination of validity and reliability across multiple observational perspectives • To examine educators’ perspectives on new evaluation standards and the effect of these standards on educators’ practices Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 13 1. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness Evaluation Questions • • • • Have valid and reliable measures of student growth been identified for inclusion in the teacher and administrator/principal evaluation process? Does the revised evaluation process allow for/make meaningful distinctions between teachers’ and administrators’ effective and ineffective performance? How do educators view the implementation/rollout of the evaluation process? Does the new evaluation process change educators’ attitudes? Does it change educators’ practices? Do performance incentives for teachers in low-performing schools have positive effects on student and teacher outcomes? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 14 1. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness Evaluation Approaches • Data sources: existing scholarship; quantitative data (including longitudinal DPI data and survey data collected from principals, teachers, and students); and qualitative data (including teacher and principal interviews, focus group data, and observations of teachers). Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery A. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness: Evaluation Preliminary Report: Reliability analysis of multiple VA models 2/2012 Report: Preliminary evaluation of contractor's proposed approach to measuring educator impact on student achievement (based on existing data) 10/2012 Final Report: Evaluation of new EES elements and their implementation 9/2014 B. Teacher and Leader Effectiveness: Incentives Report: School-level bonuses 8/2013 Report: School-level and individual teacher bonuses Final Report: Summative evaluation 6/2014 9/2014 Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 15 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders Purpose of this Evaluation Project • To provide both summative and formative information about RttT efforts to increase the overall supply and to ensure the equitable distribution of effective educators statewide Evaluation Strands • Baseline • Regional Leadership Academies • NCTC & TFA Expansion • Strategic Staffing • New Teacher Induction • NCVPS Blended STEM Courses Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 16 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders Overall Evaluation Questions • What is the nature and quality of the experiences provided by each of the initiative programs? • Are students affected by each of these programs better off than students in schools and districts not served by these programs? • Are these initiatives cost-effective and sustainable? • To what extent did the initiatives further the goal of having an effective teacher in every classroom and an effective principal in every school? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 17 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders Baseline RLAs NCTC/TFA Strategic Staffing Induction NCVPS Accounting Data Quant Analyses Artifact Review Interviews Surveys Focus Groups Observations Evaluation Approaches: Not just . . . . X X X X X X Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 18 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders Baseline RLAs NCTC/TFA Strategic Staffing Induction NCVPS X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina Accounting Data Quant Analyses Artifact Review Interviews Surveys Focus Groups Observations Evaluation Approaches: Also . . . X X X X 19 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery (I) A. Evaluation of overall changes in distribution of higher-quality & effective teachers & leaders Develop baseline estimates of the distribution of higher-quality teachers and school leaders, revised from initial RttT proposal estimates. Develop estimates of changes and trends in the distribution of higherquality teachers and school leaders. 4/2013 6/2014 B. Evaluation of Regional Leadership Academies Cost-effectiveness analyses Final 2012 activity report Final 2013 activity report Final Report 2/2012 2/2013 2/2014 9/2014 C. Evaluation of TFA Expansion & NC Teacher Corps (NCTC) Report: Characteristics and placement of TFA and NCTC candidates 10/2012 Interim Report: NCTC impact on teacher retention 9/2013 Final Report: Impact, qualitative assessment, and policy recommendations 9/2014 Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 20 2. Equitable Supply and Distribution of Teachers and Leaders Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery (II) D. Evaluation of Induction Program for Novice Teachers Preliminary report/briefing on 1st year implementation 2/2013 Report: Impact and implementation of the 1st year of the 2-year cycle 7/2013 Final Report: Program effectiveness, implementation, and sustainability 10/2014 E. Evaluation of Strategic Staffing Efforts Report: Local SS plan and implementation review 9/2012 Report: State SS Y1 & Y2 review 9/2013 Final Report: Summative evaluation of local and state SS 9/2014 F. Evaluation of NCVPS Blended Courses Initial Report: Estimates of blended course impact on teachers, students 4/2013 Report: Qualitative assessment of Y1 and Y2 course offerings 9/2013 Final Report: Impact, qualitative assessment, and policy recommendations 9/2014 Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 21 3. Professional Development Purpose of this Evaluation Project • To conduct ongoing analysis of the delivery and quality of state- and local-level professional development, with the goal of analyzing the impact of the PDI on local capacity, teacher practices, and student achievement. • We will examine longitudinal education data combined with data collected using a sample of schools approach. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 22 3. Professional Development Major Evaluation Questions • State Strategies: To what extent did the state implement and support proposed RttT PD efforts? • Short-Term Outcomes: What were direct outcomes of State-level RttT PD Efforts? • Intermediate Outcome: To what extent did RttT PD efforts successfully update the NC Education Workforce? • Impacts on student performance: To what extent are gains in student performance outcomes associated with RttT PD? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 23 3. Professional Development Evaluation Approaches • • • • • Interviews and focus groups Observations PD, teaching practices, PLCs, local PD Sessions Research-based review of PD content and delivery, including reviews of the NCDPI Online Repository and eLearning Portal diagnostics Data reviews and analyses administrative data, PDI-specific data (PDI Participation Database data, survey data including PD Exit Surveys, leadership inventory, reflection), NCEES summary data, student data including EOG/EOC, graduation rates; LEA PD expenditure data Document reviews LEA PD Action Plans, other PDI-specific documents Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery First Annual Report 1/2012 Annual Report: Status of PDI (2 of 4 reports completed) 12/2012 Annual Report: Status of PDI 12/2013 Final Report: Impact Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 9/2014 24 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Purpose of this Evaluation Project • To understand the extent to which and the ways in which interventions by the District and School Transformation division (DST) improve outcomes for students in the state’s lowest-performing schools and districts • To explore the fidelity of implementation of the STEM Schools initiative and examine its impacts on students, teachers, principals, schools, and school networks. Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 25 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Evaluation Questions • What problems are identified in the low-performing schools and districts? • What are the main intervention strategies that the District and School Transformation unit employs to improve low-performing schools? • What are the intended mechanisms of improvement? • How do the strategies work? Do the strategies and mechanisms play out as intended? • What is the impact of the intervention strategies on intermediate outcomes as well as student achievement and graduation rates? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 26 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools STEM Anchor Evaluation Questions • • • • To what extent have the network of STEM anchor and cluster schools been implemented as intended? What are the impacts of the network of STEM anchor and cluster schools on student and on school-level outcomes and how do these impacts compare with the impacts of other transformation models? Can the impacts on student performance be disaggregated by student and school characteristics? What mechanisms are put in place for the sustainability and scaling up of the model, or its most successful elements? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 27 4. Turnaround of LEAs and Schools Evaluation Approaches • DST: 30+ site visits, multiple interviews (over the next three years with multiple people), observations, focus groups, surveys, artifact review, document analysis, and quantitative analyses. • STEM: Predominantly qualitative analyses (observations of professional development, site visits to STEM schools, interviews with providers), with quantitative analyses (student and school staff surveys, administrative data). Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery A. Evaluation of District and School Transformation RttT Work Preliminary Baseline Report 12/2011 Report: Formative Assessments of the Efforts to Transform the Lowest-Performing Schools 2/2013 Annual Report 12/2013 Final Report: Quantitative and qualitative findings 9/2014 B. Evaluation of STEM Anchor School System Development Baseline Scan and Year 1 report 12/2011 & 3/2012 Year 2 Report 11/2012 Year 3 Report 12/2013 Year 4 Report 9/2014 Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 28 5. Local-Level Implementation & Spending Purpose of this Evaluation Project • To determine how Race to the Top funding is being allocated and used across districts and schools throughout NC Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 29 5. Local-Level Implementation & Spending Cloud Questions • • • To what extent does the Cloud reduce state & local expenditures for technology? To what extent does the Cloud provide reliable, secure, accessible, and efficient service? How satisfied are LEAs with the Cloud Computing infrastructure? Local Spending Questions • • How do local districts spend RttT funds? Are some local RttT spending patterns associated with higher student performance in schools and districts? Local Efficiencies and Savings Questions • Do RttT funds alter costs incurred by the state and districts? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 30 5. Local-Level Implementation & Spending Evaluation Approaches • Mixed-method approach, combining document review, interviews, surveys, and quantitative analysis of administrative data Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery Conduct baseline analysis of local education expenditures in preparation for cost analyses, which will specifically include the technology initiative 9/2012 Site reports on local RttT spending; survey findings; baseline productivity report 4/2013 Follow-up to 2012 report; interval and summative productivity report 9/2014 Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 31 6. Overall Impact Purpose of this Evaluation Project • To provide estimations of the overall impact of RttTfunded initiatives • To explore under what conditions and circumstances the initiatives collectively and in various combinations appeared to be most effective, and for whom • To consider sustainability options beyond the life of the grant • To track and compare the metrics/goals defined in the proposal Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 32 6. Overall Impact Evaluation Questions • Was each RttT initiative implemented as intended? • To what extent has RttT enhanced North Carolina’s latent capacity to provide and support an effective workforce (e.g. provision of EVAAS data to all teachers, creation of the Cloud etc)? • To what extent has RttT enabled North Carolina to leverage capacity to provide and support an effective education workforce (i.e. once the capacity is created, to what extent is it utilized?) Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 33 6. Overall Impact Evaluation Questions cont’d... • How has RttT increased the effectiveness and equitable distribution of North Carolina’s Education Work Force? • How has RttT increased student performance and decreased achievement gaps? (NAEP scores, graduation rates, college readiness & enrollment, state testing data) Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 34 6. Overall Impact Evaluation Questions cont’d... • How does the impact of RttT on capacity, educator effectiveness, and student performance vary between different types of schools and LEAs? (I.e. high-poverty or low performing schools) • What initiatives show promise for continuing impact on capacity, educator effectiveness, and student achievement? Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 35 6. Overall Impact Evaluation Approaches • The Overall Impact evaluation will consider selected quantitative and qualitative data and results from all initiative-level evaluations, as well as cross-initiative and all-inclusive data Key Deliverables and Estimated Delivery Summary of key formative findings, Years 1 and 2 2/2013 Overall cost and sustainability analysis of the RttT initiatives 12/2013 Final Report: Synthesis and policy recommendations across initiatives Consortium for Educational Research and Evaluation–North Carolina 9/2014 36