MODELLING CHILDREN IN A FAMILY BARGAINING MODEL Elisabeth Gugl and Linda Welling Department of Economics, University of Victoria PO Box 1700, Victoria, BC Canada V8W 2Y2 FIRST DRAFT Abstract: We present a two period model, with the child as a public good for the parents. Central to our model is the fact that children need considerable time investment from parents. In the …rst period a couple is married, with a young child. Parents decide on private consumption, total e¤ort to devote to the child, and the division of this e¤ort, given current and future expected wages and parental leave policies. In the second period, parents can renegotiate the marriage contract taking divorce as the threat point. One innovation of this paper is that it incorporates more realistic features of children: we model them as a mix of experience goods and goods with an existence value, and capture their need for regular time inputs to survive. Another innovation in the paper is that we explicitly model the a¤ect e¤ect of …rst period childcare time on the caregiver’s second period market productivity, and hence the parents’relative opportunity costs in terms of second period market wages. Our paper builds on the two period bargaining model in Gugl (2003). Parents can commit to a …rst period sharing rule, but at the beginning of their marriage cannot commit to a sharing rule in the second period. Their incentives to establish a secure threat point for the second period induce an ine¢ cient allocation of household labor in the …rst period. Since the quality of care in the …rst period has repercussions for the child later in life - and hence for the utility of altruistic parents - this ine¢ ciency has lasting e¤ects. The division of parental time is generally ine¢ cient, since the parent who can dictate the time arrangement focuses not only on what maximizes marriage surplus, but also what maximizes his or her share of resources in marriage. This share depends on the threat point in the second period and the threat point depends on …rst period division of time thus causing ine¢ ciency in the model. We consider various extensions on the basic model. 1 Introduction The amount of time and energy devoted to children and their care in any economy is mind boggling, involving not only parents and more remote relatives but 1 also the large body of civil servants employed in analyzing and running various public support schemes. Crucial to the economic and social analysis of any policy directed at the family is an understanding of the transmission mechanisms by which these policies a¤ect the interactions between and well-being of the various members of a family. In this paper we review the various ways in which children appear in theoretical economic models, and present a new model which we argue is more comprehensive. Our model captures essential features of nurturing children and potentially leads to di¤erent policy implications than previous models. Children frequently appear in economic models as household public goods, and are arguably the most important example of these. (Becker 1984, and Weiss and Willis (1985)). However, certain essential features which distinguish children from other household public goods have been ignored/downplayed in previous work. In this paper we capture these features, and illustrate their impact on intrahousehold allocation. First, children require time. Of course, we are not the …rst to incorporate this: various authors have highlighted parental investment in children, and broadly interpreted this as time. For the most part, ”time is money” in these models, and staying home to care for a child has little or no impact on future earnings. In this paper, we explicitly incorporate both current and future implications of this time investment by using a dynamic framework. In the …rst period children need parental time, and parents choose to allocate their time between work and leisure/care for their child. The income implications of parental childcare are re‡ected in the second period wage rates, which depend on the amount of time spent in the labour force in the …rst period. In the second period, both parental time and purchased goods are necessary inputs. Second, children have experience good qualities: there is a learning curve to parenting, and the pleasure one obtains from a child changes over time. We capture this by assuming that, for each parent, own time spent caring for a child in the …rst period a¤ects the utility parents receive from the child in the second. Thus there are elements here of a ”warm glow” public good. Third, children are not only a public good within marriage, but they remain so if the parents divorce. In a number of papers Greenwood and various authors have developed dynamic general equilibrium models with endogenous fertility and divorce. In each of these, it is assumed that fathers care about children only while they are married to the children’s mother, and never choose (in some cases, are never given the choice) to engage in discretionary child care. (See, for example, Greenwood et al (2000 ) We consider this as a special case; in our basic model both parents derive utility from the existence of a child, regardless of the marital state and the custodial arrangement. We allow the form of this utility to vary across states. Fourth, children are durable goods and once you have a child, you are responsible for raising it all your life. We incorporate this idea by …xing the total investment in the child in the second period based on the amount of investment in the …rst period. Although the “production function” for the child changes from the …rst to the second period, capturing the changing needs of children as 2 they grow, having the child in the …rst period commits the parents to maintaining a particular level of child quality. We incorporate these features into a household allocation model, where forward-looking parents recognize that they can renegotiate their marriage contract in the second period. The anticipation of future renegotiations, and altered child care patterns, a¤ect their current decisions. The focus of this paper is how parental time is determined when all of these elements are incorporated in the decision. Our model takes as given the existence of a household consisting of two adults and one child; the household lives for two periods. The child requires one unit of parental time in the …rst period, and a mix of time and consumption goods in the second. Parents make all decisions, based on their endowments of one unit of time per person per period, exogenously determined …rst period wage rates, and perfectly anticipated income trajectories dependent on …rst period labour force participation. The household allocation problem has three components: who does the childcare in each period? how are goods distributed between the adults in each period? how much time is devoted to child care /how is child quality produced in the second period? In the …rst period, the adults agree on the division of the surplus, but cannot make intertemporal commitments. In the second (and last) period, they renegotiate their marriage contract and split the gains from marriage equally, given the payo¤s available if they divorce and the …rst period child investment choice. We derive the optimal choices in each period, and investigate deviations from e¢ ciency. We show that parents disagree over the optimal childcare, and examine conditions under which the wife/mother would prefer the husband/father to spend more time with the child, so that she could spend more time in the labour market. The e¢ cient time distribution lies between those allocations preferred by the wife and the husband. . 2 2.1 Related Literatures Family Bargaining/Dynamic Use of the Nash bargaining solution (NBS) to determine intra-household allocation is typically justi…ed on the basis that because partners in marriage are involved in repeated interaction, it ”makes sense”to assume that they will manage to achieve an e¢ cient outcome. The (NBS) is chosen to pick the outcome either because it is straightforward, or because it can be justi…ed as the outcome of an appropriately structured non-cooperative game, or both. A number of recent papers have presented dynamic models of marital bargaining. A common thread is that although the NBS is e¢ cient in a static/one period model or alternatively if spouses negotiate over intertemporal utility, with period-byperiod bargaining the outcome is not generally intertemporally e¢ cient. Current 3 choices a¤ect subsequent threat points, and rational agents consider this when they make their moves. Typically, the ine¢ ciency shows up as an underinvestment in the public good in the initial period - thus reducing the gains from marriage. This plays out in a variety of contexts: a number of references are given and discussed in Gugl (2003). Gugl analyses labour supply and household production, and …nds an oversupply of the former and undersupply of the latter, relative to the choices which would be made if the spouses could write a binding contract at the beginning of their marriage. In this paper we build on this by carefully modelling childcare as the good produced in the household. 2.2 Divorce and Child Custody From a social perspective, the nurture of children is one of the most important components of marriage, and conditions a¤ecting this nurture in the event of divorce have long been a focus of economic analysis. The seminal paper of Weiss and Willis (1985) identi…ed the ine¢ ciency arising from the agency problem created by sole custody, and subsequent papers have further examined the interaction between custody arrangements and child support payments (ie, Del Boca and Ribero (2003), Farmer and Tiefenthaler (2003)). Welling and Bearance (2002) extend the Weiss and Willis framework to consider goods shared by the custodial parent and the child, and show how such goods a¤ect the willingness to pay child support. Recent closely related papers by Francesconi and Muthoo (2003) and Rasul (2006) compare existing custodial regimes with those that would be chosen if parents could write binding contracts determining custody prior to making investments in children Here we consider custody as exogenous, and important to the allocation achieved/ decisions made by a married couple because the custodial regime determines the threat points should marriage break down in the second period. Early investments of parental time a¤ect the threat points, and thus the second period married outcomes through this indirect route, as well as directly through the impact on second period wages. Other models that assume away utility derived by a non-custodial parent from children eliminate this link. Here, the impact of …rst period childcare on second period wages explicitly di¤erentiates time and monetary investments. 3 The Model We consider a married heterosexual couple, with partners called the husband ( h ) and the wife (w), over two periods, denoted by p = 1; 2: Partners care for their minor child over both periods. In this section we …rst develop our model of child quality, and then discuss the utility parents derive from the child. Finally, we describe the family budget constraints 4 3.1 Child Quality The basic resource available to parents is time. Each adult is endowed with one unit of time in each period;and must choose how to allocate this time between earning income and spending time with their child. Denote by tjp ; j = h; w;the time parent j spends with their child in period p ; thus, for example, (1 tw2 ) is the time the wife spends earning income in period 2 : From the perspective of the child, time with one parent is a perfect substitute for time spent with the other, so tp = thp + twp . In the …rst period the infant child requires parental time of t1 = 1: We abstract from any other input in the child ”production function”, as an infant does not require signi…cant amounts of purchased food, space etc. Child quality in this …rst period is de…ned to be equal to the inputs, so q1 = t1 = 1. In the second period, the child needs private consumption goods, xc > 0, as well as time investment from the parents; these are substitutes to a limited extent. Child quality in the second period is determined by quality in the …rst period of life. Second period child quality is therefore given by q2 = xc t2 = xc (th2 + tw2 ) = q1 = 1; 0 < ; < 1; + < 1: (1) The assumption that child quality is …xed at unity in each period simpli…es our analysis considerably. 3.2 Utility from children: In each period, the utility parents receive from their child depends on both the child’s quality and the amount of a¤ection they feel for the child. We assume that a¤ection is increasing in the amount of time spent with the child in the previous period.Since our model has only two periods, this means that the …rst period choices drive most of the results. In the …rst period, the time parent j spends with the child increases the parent’s enjoyment of the child, but at a diminishing rate. In each period parents must determine the allocation between themselves of the time spent with the child. While we …x the total time at one for the …rst period, in the second period parents must also choose how much of the desired child quality will be provided by time, and how much by consumption goods. Further, we assume parents receive utility from the existence of their child; this ”existence value”we denote by , and assume it to be invariant across parents. Thus the utility derived from the child by parent j in the two periods is given by the equations below. cj 1 cj2 = + tj1 q1 = ( + tj1 ) (th1 + tw1 ) = + tj1 = ( + tj1 ) q2 = ( + tj1 ) cj1 as 1 5 (2) Thus, a¤ection does not enter parents utility in the …rst period, but appears as a predetermined variable in the second period. Parents also derive utility from the consumption of private goods. The private consumption of parent j in period p is denoted by xjp ; we assume that these goods, like the private consumption of the child, have a unit price of 1. The utility of parent j in period p is then ujp = xjp + cjp 3.3 Budget constraints: Each parent can earn a wage rate wjp in the labour market; this wage depends on their education and other labor market factors. We assume that the wife’s …rst period wage rate is no higher than the husband’s: ww1 wh1 ; an assumption often made in the literature.1 The second period wage rate depends on …rst period labour force participation: wj2 = (1 + (1 tj1 )) wj1 In the …rst period spouses commit to a sharing rule that awards of the total utility to the wife and (1 ) to the husband. The second period allocations are determined by a bargaining process, the outcome of which depends in part on the custodial regime if the parents divorce. For reasons that will become clear later, we assume that the …rst period share of wife is bounded below by child support payments, so 0 < < 1; where denotes the fraction of the husband’s earnings that will be paid in child support payments to the wife in the case of divorce when the wife has sole custody. 4 Second Period In the second period spouses renegotiate their marriage contract and split any marriage surplus equally (given the linearity of the UPF, this division is consistent with a symmetric Nash bargaining game where the partners have equal bargaining weights) Using the divorce outcomes as the threatpoint in the bargaining game, marriage surplus is determined by the di¤erence in the sum of the parents’utilities in marriage and in divorce. After divorce, both parents receive utility from having had a child with each other, but because they are apart and a child is to some extent a relationship-speci…c investment, their utility from the child is discounted (from the utility if married); denote this discount rate by d < 1 Thus, if the parents divorce, the utility each derives from this child is cdj2 = d ( + tj1 ) < ( + tj1 ) We assume that if the couple divorces the wife will have sole custody of the child and that support payments are a …xed fraction, , of the non-custodial parent’s income. This implies that a divorced father simply maximizes his private consumption, since child quality is exogenously given and he cannot change the support payment. In the divorce threatpoint, with the ex-husband paying 1 Alternatively, we de…ne the wife as the partner with the lower …rst period wage rate. 6 of his income in support, his utility is dh d = (1 < 1 ) wh2 + d ( + th1 ) : (3) The divorced mother, who has custody of the child, must determine her time allocation as well as the division of consumption goods between herself and the child. Thus her problem is max dw xc ;tw2 s:t: xc [(th2 + tw2 )] = = = max f(ww2 (1 tw2 ) + wh2 xc ;tw2 xc ) + d ( + tw1 )g (4) 1 n max ww2 + wh2 + d ( + tw1 ) tw2 ww2 tw2 (th2 + tw2 ) Notice that many of the terms in the above problem are functions of tw1 , and so are predetermined; therefore solving the mother’s second period problem is equivalent to minimizing the cost of producing child of unit quality (of course quasi-linear utility leads to no income e¤ect!) where the inputs of time and child’s private goods have unit prices of ww2 and 1, respectively: The …rst order condition for the time spent with her child is d(dw ) dtw2 ( + ) = ww2 + tw2 =0 Solving this for tw2 , and substituting this value into the production constraint to solve for the optimal amount of the child’s private goods, yields + tw2 = xc = ww2 ww2 + Observe that as ww2 increases, the mother chooses less childcare time in the second period, substituting more consumption goods to maintain child quality. Overall, given the assumption that a unit of the child’s consumption goods has a price of unity, the minimized cost of maintaining a child of unit quality is (ww2 ) = tw2 ww2 + xc (5) 1 + = ww2+ 0 + 1 + = ww2+ K where K = > 0> " 7 + o The minimum cost of second period child quality is increasing (at a decreasing rate) in the contemporaneous wage rate of the caretaker, Since second period wages are increasing in …rst period labour force participation, the …rst period time allocation decision of the couple will a¤ect the second period cost of childcare. 2 = ww2+ K = (1 + (1 tw1 ))ww1+ K; @ <0 @tw1 (6) Having solved for the optimal choices of the divorced mother, the mother’s utility in divorce is dw ww2+ K + d ( + tw1 ) + d( + tw1 ) = ww2 + wh2 = ww2 + wh2 (7) The parents’utilities when divorced provide the threat points for the cooperative solution in the second period. Notice that if parents stay married (as they do in this model), with quasi-linear utilities the second period utility possibility frontier is linear over a certain range of utilities. We assume that negative transfers cannot be made - that is, a transfer cannot exceed the combined labor income of the ex-spouses. In any case, the sum of second period utility is maximized when the values of private goods for the child, and the time allocations of the parents, satisfy max xc ;th2 ;tw2 [wh2 (1 th2 ) + ww2 (1 tw2 ) xc ] + 2 + tw1 + th1 (8) s:t: 1 = xc (tw2 + th2 ) or equivalently h max wh2 (1 th2 ;tw2 th2 ) + ww2 (1 tw2 ) (tw2 + th2 ) + 2 + tw1 + th1 i 2 Given our assumptions about the parameters and an interior solution is indeed a maximum but we need to make sure that the solution is feasible, given the time and …nancial constraints of the wife. First, child care time cannot exceed the wife’s total available time in the second period, so tw2 1. This will always be true if : ww2 Second, the total cost of the child cannot exceed the wife’s full income, so ww2+ 1 + ww2 + wh2 ; + 8 The …rst order conditions are @U2 @th2 @U2 @tw2 ( + ) = wh2 + (tw2 + th2 ) = ww2 + (tw2 + th2 ) =0 ( + ) =0 We have a corner solution whenever wh2 6= ww2 : so long as the parents remain married, the partner with the lower opportunity cost of time does all the child care. Suppose ww2 < wh2 : Then the …rst order condition for tw2 binds, and reduces to @U2 @tw2 ( + ) = ww2 + (tw2 ) =0 Notice that this equation is the same as that determining the mother’s optimal time allocation when the parents are divorced, and she is the custodial parent. This occurs because we have assumed that child quality is predetermined; in a more general model where quality is a choice variable we would expect action on this margin as well. Thus in this model, the sole source of surplus from marriage in the second period is that d < 1! If, on the other hand, wh2 < ww2 ;then the couple also bene…ts from having the lower waged spouse taking care of the child in marriage, while custody is awarded to the higher-waged spouse in divorce.3 Result 1: In the Nash bargaining solution in the second period, the decomposition of childcare into parental time and child consumption goods is the same in marriage as when the mother has sole custody in the divorce threatpoint. The husband works full-time,while the wife works part-time. The minimized cost of childcare is increasing in the …rst period wage of the wife and the second period increment to the wage ( );and decreasing in the …rst period childcare time of the wife. For the moment we assume that ww2 is always lower than wh2 ; even if the wife works full-time and the husband takes care of the child in the …rst period. For the NBS, each spouse receives half the marriage surplus in addition to their respective threatpoint utility, so 3 The assumption that the wage rate of the wife does not exceed the wage rate of the husband in the …rst period does not rule out the possibility that the wife’s second period wage rate is higher than her husband’s. 9 uj2 = uj2 = U2 dh dw + dj 2 dk + dj 2 U2 The parents will split the second period utility equally only if they have equal utilities if divorced. Since divorce utilities depend on …rst period decisions as well as the initial wage rates and the child support transfers, equal utilities within marriage is unlikely in general. To verify that marriage and not divorce is the outcome in the second period, consider …rst the wife’s utility 2 3 wh2 + ww2 + (2 + tw1 + th1 ) 4 5 (1 ) wh2 d ( + th1 ) + wh2 + ww2 + d ( + tw1 ) uw2 = 1 2 uw2 = [ wh2 + ww2 ]+ + 1 (tw1 (1 + d) + th1 (1 2 (9) d)) The …rst term in square brackets is the private consumption of the mother when divorced, and is positive (non-negative?) by assumption. The last term in square brackets is always strictly positive as d<1. We therefore conclude that the wife is better o¤ in marriage than divorced. The husband’s second period utility in marriage 2 3 w + ww2 + (2 + tw1 + th1 ) 1 4 h2 5 + (1 ) wh2 + d ( + th1 ) uh2 = (10) 2 wh2 ww2 + d ( + tw1 ) uh2 = (1 ) wh2 + + 1 (tw1 (1 2 d) + th1 (1 + d)) also exceeds his utility in divorce. Result 2: The couple stays married in the second period, since both are strictly better o¤ married than divorced. Consider comparing the NBS utilities with an outcome in which each spouse obtains utility equal to their own full income plus the utility derived from the child in marriage, minus half the cost of the child. For this latter case, spouse j would receive utility of uj2 = wj2 + ( + tj1 ) 10 ww2+ K Although we have assumed that parents take the child support to be a …xed fraction of the non-custodial parent’s income, independent of the income of the custodial parent, for purposes of comparison we consider a "representative" divorced couple, for whom the child support payments are such that each parent bears half the opportunity cost of raising the child, so wh2 = ww2+ K. In this case under NBS we have BS uN = ww2 w2 ww2+ K + + 1 [tw1 + th1 2 ww2+ K + + 1 [tw1 (1 2 d (th1 tw1 )] for the wife and BS uN = wh2 h2 d) + th1 (1 + d)] for the husband. Only if tw1 + th1 d (th1 2 tw1 + th1 + d (th1 2 tw1 ) tw1 ) = tw1 = th1 that is, will each spouse obtain utility equal to their own full income plus the utility derived from the child in marriage, minus half the cost of the child in the NBS, only if th1 = tw1 . This also means that both parents have invested equally in learning to love their child. If the father spends less time than the mother in the …rst period then, given the mother has sole custody in divorce, the father receives less than his own full income minus half the child cost plus child utility in marriage. Why? Since the child quality is …xed at one in each period, a parent’s own …rst period time investment determines the second period utility each parent derives from the child. Unilateral decreases in the amount of time the father spends with the child in the …rst period decrease his utility when divorced, while increasing the …rst period commitment - and hence the second period utility - of the mother. 5 First Period Given the renegotiation in the second period, using divorce as the threatpoint, we can now solve for the household’s labour allocation decisions in the …rst period. Once we have these, we can track the consequences of this …rst period decision for second period wages, labour force participation, the trade-o¤ between goods and time in maintaining child quality, and the endogenous a¤ection for the child. While the couple never divorces in this model, it is nonetheless true that the divorce regime a¤ects the marriage allocations. Although our functional forms are simple, the model is su¢ ciently complex that explicit solutions are not possible. Moreover, the constraint that the child 11 requires full-time care in the …rst period (with no third party available to provide it) means that we cannot always appeal to standard solution concepts. In this section we …rst consider two ad hoc rules for determining childcare, and ask if the parents would agree on one or both of these rules. We then solve for the e¢ cient labour allocation in the …rst period, and then compare other solutions to this benchmarks. To make the comparisons somewhat easier, in all cases we solve for the childcare time of the wife,tw1 , and invoke the constraint that th1 = 1 tw1 . 5.1 Exogenously determined allocations: We consider two allocations which might arise as rules of thumb, and ask if there would be agreement between the parents as to which rule was better. 5.1.1 Gender role specialization: Suppose that, because of enforced gender roles, the wife does all the child care, so tw1 = 1;and th1 = 0. In this case, the intertemporal utilities of the husband and wife are Uh = uh1 + uh2 = (1 ) (wh1 + 2 + 1) [1 d] ) (1 + ) wh1 + + 2 + (1 Uw = uw1 + uw2 = (wh1 + 2 + 1) +ww1 + (1 + ) wh1 5.1.2 (11) (12) (ww1 ) + [1 + d] + 2 Equal sharing Suppose parents split …rst period child care duty equally. Then the intertemporal utilities are Uh = (1 ) + (1 Uw ww1 + wh1 + 2 + 2 :5 2 1 ) 1+ wh1 + [2 + 1] 2 2 ww1 + wh1 +2 +2 2 = + 1+ 2 wh1 :5 1+ 12 2 (13) + 1+ ww1 ww1 2 1 + [2 + 1] 2 (14) Would the partners agree or disagree on which rule is better? That is, who would prefer (tw1 ; th1 ) = (1; 0); and who would prefer (tw1 ; th1 ) = (:5; :5)? Note that if the husband could choose between these two child care arrangements, he would prefer that his wife were the sole care taker if (1 ) (2 1 1) + d 2 :5 < (1 ) wh1 ww1 2 + (1 ) 3 wh1 4 To evaluate this inequality, recall that d 2 (0; 1) and < 1. Then the LHS of the above inequality is more likely to be negative the smaller are both these parameters: that is, the greater the reduction in utility from a child upon divorce and the less important …rst period childcare time is in determining the parent’s a¤ection for the child. The RHS of this inequality is unambiguously positive, given our assumptions. Moreover, this latter expression will be larger the greater is the di¤erence between the spouses’…rst period market wages, the smaller the fraction of the husband’s income paid as child support in the event of divorce, and the larger is the wage increase in the second period from …rst period labour force participation. The wife would rather do all the child care than share it equally with her husband if wh1 ww1 2 > (2 :5 1) + 4 ( wh1 ww1 ) + 1+ + 4 1 (ww1 ) d 2 the LHS is positive. Thus the wife would always rather do all the child care than share the care equally with her husband, if these are the only choices available. Result 3: it is possible that the couple would agree on standard gender roles, but not on equal sharing, if these were the only two possibilities. Again, notice that in this model divorce serves as the threat point in the second period, but never occurs. 5.2 E¢ cient time allocation: Consider …rst the choice which maximizes the intertemporal utility of the (always married) household. Using the …rst period time constraint, the problem is to max[(1 tw1 tw1 )ww1 + tw1 wh1 + 2 + tw1 + (1 +(1 + tw1 )ww1 + (1 + (1 13 tw1 ) tw1 ))wh1 + 2 + (1 (15) (tw1 )] The …rst order condition for the e¢ cient amount of …rst period childcare undertaken by the wife, denoted by tew1 , satis…es (1 + )(wh1 e ww1 ) + [tw1 1 (1 tew1 ) 1 ] @ =@tew1 = 0 (16) Notice that if …rst period utility is either linear in own child care time ( = 1) or independent of own child care time ( = 0), the left hand side of this equation is always strictly positive, so that it is always e¢ cient for the wife, the lower-waged spouse, to do all the child care in both periods. Since an increase in the time the wife spends in childcare in the …rst period decreases her second period wage rate and hence the cost of child care in the second period, @ =@tew1 < 0: Thus at any solution for which the parents split e 1 …rst period childcare, so tew1 (; 1);it must be true that [tw1 (1 tew1 ) 1 ] < 0; e implying that tw1 > 0:5: Result 4: if the parents do not completely specialize in the …rst period, it is e¢ cient for the wife to do more of the childcare in the …rst period and all of the childcare in the second. This means that in the second period, the wife will care more for the child than will the husband. 5.3 First mover outcomes: If the spouses were to choose their own childcare time simultaneously, there is no guarantee that in the Nash Equilibrium time spent with the child will sum to the required full time child care. To circumvent this problem, we now investigate the outcome when one spouse can determine the division of child care by him or herself (i.e. has all the bargaining power in the …rst period over t1 ). That is, we suppose that one of the partners can choose their childcare time, knowing that the other partner will cover the remaining time. For the moment we assume that no matter how much time the mother spends in the labour force in the …rst period, her second period wage rate can never exceed that of her husband: max ww2 5.3.1 = min (1 + ) ww1 < wh2 = wh1 Wife chooses childcare Consider …rst the outcome when the wife chooses the time allocation. Using the constraint that tw1 + th1 = 1;given no discounting, her problem is to maximize her intertemporal utility; her choice solves maxtw1 [ ((1 tw1 ) ww1 + tw1 wh1 + 2 + tw1 + (1 tw1 ) ) + (1 + tw1 )wh1 + (1 + (1 tw1 )ww1 + + 21 [1 d (1 2tw1 )] 14 (17) w The FOC for her choice, ww1 ;satis…es [(wh1 ww1 )+ [tw w1 1 (1 tw w1 ) 1 ]]+ wh1 ww1 @ =@tw1 +d = 0 (18) If the couple split the total marriage utility equally in the …rst period, so = 0:5, then the wife would choose her childcare time (and, hence, her husband’s) e¢ ciently if [ ( wh1 ww1 ) @ =@tw1 + d]= = (wh1 ww1 ) @ =@tw1 , where the partial for childcare is evaluated at the e¢ cient level. This will hold if @ =@tw1 + (d (1 )wh1 ) = 0: The …rst term is the decrease in second period childcare cost of an increase in the wife’s …rst period childcare time. The second term is the increase in the divorced husband’s share of an increase in his second period wage due to a increase in his …rst period childcare time, and represents the change in the second period utility of the husband as the wife’s …rst period childcare time decreases. ??? 5.3.2 Husband chooses childcare Suppose now that the husband dictates how much time he and the wife should spend taking care of the child (again, taking into account both that the sum of the time devoted to child care in the …rst period must be one, and that the second period child quality is unity). Then his problem is max (1 ) [(1 tw1 + (1 tw1 )ww1 + tw1 wh1 + ) (1 + tw1 )wh1 + + tw1 + + [1 + d (2(1 tw1 ) + (1 tw1 )] (19) 1)] =2 The FOC for thw1 is (1 )[(wh1 h ww1 ) + [tw1 1 (1 thw1 ) 1 ]] + wh1 d=0 (20) ) 2 wh1 + (1 ) (wh1 ww1 ) = d; Notice that thh1 = 1 tw1 = 21 if (1 that is, if the positive e¤ects on father’s share of …rst and second periods’family full income are equal to the negative e¤ect of decreasing the father’s love for the child in divorce. If (1 ) wh1 +(1 ) (wh1 ww1 ) d > 0; for an interior solution we must h 1 have [tw1 (1 thw1 ) 1 ] < 0; which implies thw1 > 12 > thh1 : if the ”income e¤ect” dominates the ”love e¤ect”, the father will choose to devote less than half the time to child care. Result: comparing individual choices to e¢ cient outcome: (pending; both would choose wife doing more than half of …rst period care, as in e¢ cient outcome) 15 6 Discussion and implications:Why don’t you take care more? In the equilibrium of our model, the lower-waged spouse, the wife, works parttime in the second period while the higher-waged spouse works full time. For a wide range of parameter values, in the …rst period all the child care is done by the wife. By construction, total parental time is lower in the second period than in the …rst; thus our model re‡ects the pattern of a mother re-entering the labour force as the child grows. When maternal-custody-upon-divorce serves as the threatpoint for the second period bargaining game, even when initial wage rates are su¢ ciently similar that parents are inclined to share childcare in the …rst period, maintaining child quality in the second period becomes more expensive the more the wife works in the …rst period, reinforcing the incentive for the lower-paid spouse to undertake more of the …rst period care. Changing the child custody default in the divorce threatpoint would alter the results of our model, as joint custody should increase the incentive for shared …rst period child care. An alternative interesting change would be to consider the implications of child support being …xed as equal to half of the second period costs ,rather than a …xed proportion of the husband’s income. When child support is a …xed proportion of the husband’s income, the wife incurs all the bene…ts of lower second period costs, increasing her incentive to undertake the …rst period childcare. If actual childcare costs were split, the wife would be more likely to work part-time in the …rst period, since her incentive to minimize these costs declines. In a model where divorce is only a threat, but never occurs, this is not e¢ cient; however, if divorce could arise - as, perhaps, the result of a bad draw on the realization of marital happiness independent of the child - this might change. Our model endogenizes parental altruism, rather than taking caring as completely exogenous. The exogenous component of caring, , is supplemented by "learned" caring, as a parent spends time with the child in the early stages of the child’s life. We have modelled these components as strictly positive and common to both parents; clearly we could make these parent-speci…c, and trace the results of these di¤erences through. The Greenwood et al papers referenced earlier explicitly set both the existence value (for divorced fathers) and the husband’s …rst period child care time, th1 , equal to zero; we extend the choice set of the couple in the …rst period to allow the husband to spend time with the child. This choice undoubtedly complicates the problem facing the household, but does take a step towards reality. Of the simplifying assumptions in our model, the most serious is that of quasi-linear utility for the parents. With quasi-linear utility thesecond period utility possibility frontier has a linear segment, which simpli…es the solution of second period problem and hence makes the …rst period problem somewhat tractable. This simplicity comes at the cost of income e¤ects: all of the results 16 we have on the trade-o¤s involved in childcare derive from substitution e¤ects. It is possible to introduce income e¤ects and public goods, and still retain transferable utility, but this becomes very complicated. One implication of this is that perhaps the Nash bargaining solution is not the best concept to use for examining the intertemporal choice problems which are endemic in family life. 7 REFERENCES (incomplete) Becker, G (19...), A Treatise on the Family Del Boca, D. and R. Ribero (2003), ”Visitations and Transfers after Divorce”, Review of Economics of the Household, 1, pp.187-204 Farmer, A. and J. 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