Thermal Control of Electronics: Perspectives and Prospects Dr. Robert Hannemann Rohsenow Symposium on Future Trends in Heat Transfer Massachusetts Institute of Technology 16 May 2003 Introduction Thermal control of electronics is posing significant challenges (again) New, or re-invented technologies will be needed Moore’s Law is the iconic driver of electronics progress – but it will continue until physics gets in the way (cooling!) Research and development is needed as never before Note: what follows is computer-centric, but… Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 2 Perspective on microelectronic heat flux Heat Flux (W/cm2) Current Chips T, K Hannemann, Bar-Cohen, and Oktay, ca. 1986 Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 3 Technology generations Timeframe Generation Representative Product 1945-1955 Historic Specialty Computers 1955 - 1965 Transistor Early Mainframe 1965 - 1975 SSI Mainframe 1975 - 1985 MSI Minicomputer 1985 - 1990 LSI Microcomputer 1990 - 2000 VLSI PC, Notebook, Portables 2000 - ULSI Micro-based Server Trouble Rohsenow Symposium Chip Power Design care 5/16/03 Module Power Density Rack Power Ignore 4 What’s old is new again… Heroic measures to maintain air cooling… Heat pipe concepts… Two-phase system cooling… Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 5 Design / technology drivers Performance Size Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 Cost Reliability 6 Cost of cooling Cost of cooling a microprocessor, Intel Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 7 Intel’s inflection X86 power dissipation 100 90 80 Pentium 4 Chip Power (W) 70 60 50 40 30 Pentium 3 20 10 Pentium 486 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year of Introduction Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 8 Chip power trends High Performance Chip Power (W) 250 200 150 W SIA 1993 NTRS 1999 NTRS 2002 100 50 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year of Release Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 9 Heat flux trends at chip level Chip Heat Flux 80 70 60 W/cm2 50 SIA 1993 40 NTRS 1999 NTRS 2002 30 20 10 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year of Introduction Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 10 A new problem: machine-room heat density Data from Amdahl, Compaq, Dell, HP, IBM, SGI, Sun, Unisys, Lucent, Nortel, and Cisco Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 11 Key challenges: large systems Solutions for very high chip powers (100 – 200W) High reliability / availability Rack-level cooling Machine-room cooling Cost management Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 12 Key challenges: office systems Cost / performance microprocessors will reach 80 – 100W within 2 years Air cooling must be optimized Acoustics Reduced cost Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 13 Other challenges Telecom systems: central offices already stretching power limits Photonic components provide very serious cooling challenge Thermal control at heat fluxes ~ 2 x 103 W/cm2 Performance very sensitive to temperature Harsh environments Automotive Telecom Military Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 14 Research areas Materials Devices Design Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 Optimized fluids for liquid cooling Materials for package construction / thermal spreading Phase change materials for transient applications High static pressure, low acoustic noise blowers Micro heat pipe structures Two-phase cooling approaches MEMS components for liquid / two phase cooling Small-footprint liquid cooling systems Package-scale jet impingement / spray cooling Advanced, integrated thermal design tools Frame and rack coolers Equipment room thermal design 15 Conclusion The importance of thermal management in electronics devices and systems has waxed and waned over the past 50 years Current technologies and applications are once again providing a serious challenge – perhaps show-stopping – to heat transfer engineers Breakthroughs are needed in advanced cooling technologies (and pragmatic design!) at all levels Rohsenow Symposium 5/16/03 16