Challenging Gait Conditions Predict 1-Year Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Apparently Normal Gait Jennifer S. Brach, Subashan Perera, Jessie M. VanSwearingen, Elizabeth S. Hile, David M. Wert and Stephanie A. Studenski PHYS THER. 2011; 91:1857-1864. Originally published online October 14, 2011 doi: 10.2522/ptj.20100387 The online version of this article, along with updated information and services, can be found online at: http://ptjournal.apta.org/content/91/12/1857 Collections This article, along with others on similar topics, appears in the following collection(s): Diagnosis/Prognosis: Other Gait Disorders Outcomes Measurement Tests and Measurements e-Letters To submit an e-Letter on this article, click here or click on "Submit a response" in the right-hand menu under "Responses" in the online version of this article. E-mail alerts Sign up here to receive free e-mail alerts Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 Advances in Disability Research Challenging Gait Conditions Predict 1-Year Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Apparently Normal Gait Jennifer S. Brach, Subashan Perera, Jessie M. VanSwearingen, Elizabeth S. Hile, David M. Wert, Stephanie A. Studenski Background. Mobility often is tested under a low challenge condition (ie, over a straight, uncluttered path), which often fails to identify early mobility difficulty. Tests of walking during challenging conditions may uncover mobility difficulty that is not identified with usual gait testing. Objective. The purpose of this study was to determine whether gait during challenging conditions predicts decline in gait speed over 1 year in older people with apparently normal gait (ie, gait speed of ⱖ1.0 m/s). Design. This was a prospective cohort study. Methods. Seventy-one older adults (mean age⫽75.9 years) with a usual gait speed of ⱖ1.0 m/s participated. Gait was tested at baseline under 4 challenging conditions: (1) narrow walk (15 cm wide), (2) stepping over obstacles (15.24 cm [6 in] and 30.48 cm [12 in]), (3) simple walking while talking (WWT), and (4) complex WWT. Usual gait speed was recorded over a 4-m course at baseline and 1 year later. A 1-year change in gait speed was calculated, and participants were classified as declined (decreased ⱖ0.10 m/s, n⫽18), stable (changed ⬍0.10 m/s, n⫽43), or improved (increased ⱖ0.10 m/s, n⫽10). Analysis of variance was used to compare challenging condition cost (usual ⫺ challenging condition gait speed difference) among the 3 groups. Results. Participants who declined in the ensuing year had a greater narrow walk and obstacle walk cost than those who were stable or who improved in gait speed (narrow walk cost⫽0.43 versus 0.33 versus 0.22 m/s and obstacle walk cost⫽0.35 versus 0.26 versus 0.13 m/s). Simple and complex WWT cost did not differ among the groups. Limitations. The participants who declined in gait speed over time walked the fastest, and those who improved walked the slowest at baseline; thus, the potential contribution of regression to the mean to the findings should not be overlooked. Conclusions. In older adults with apparently normal gait, the assessment of gait during challenging conditions appears to uncover mobility difficulty that is not identified by usual gait testing. J.S. Brach, PT, PhD, Department of Physical Therapy, School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Pittsburgh, 6035 Forbes Tower, Pittsburgh, PA 15260 (USA). Address all correspondence to Dr Brach at: jbrach@pitt.edu. S. Perera, PhD, Division of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine and Department of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh. J.M. VanSwearingen, PT, PhD, FAPTA, Department of Physical Therapy, School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Pittsburgh. E.S. Hile, PT, PhD, NCS, Department of Physical Therapy, School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Pittsburgh. D.M. Wert, PT, Department of Physical Therapy, School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Pittsburgh. S.A. Studenski, MD, MPH, Division of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh. [Brach JS, Perera S, VanSwearingen JM, et al. Challenging gait conditions predict 1-year decline in gait speed in older adults with apparently normal gait. Phys Ther. 2011;91:1857–1864.] © 2011 American Physical Therapy Association Published Ahead of Print: October 14, 2011 Accepted: March 13, 2011 Submitted: November 15, 2010 Post a Rapid Response to this article at: ptjournal.apta.org December 2011 Volume 91 Number 12 Physical Therapy f Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 1857 Prediction of Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Normal Gait M obility disability in older adults is a major factor in loss of independence and contributes to higher rates of morbidity and mortality.1– 4 In addition, mobility disability is considered to be a sentinel predictor of other disabilities that restrict independent living.5 Although the current practice is to maintain fitness in individuals who are healthy, or wait until walking is difficult and then rehabilitate it, an alternative is to develop novel ways to anticipate future walking difficulty and prevent it. In order to prevent a problem, screening tests are needed that detect the problem at an earlier and possibly more treatable phase. Gait speed is a simple measure that can serve as a screening test to detect risk for future mobility disability, but it is limited because of insensitivity to early but important mobility changes.5 Although a gait speed of less than 1.0 m/s is considered “abnormal,” and is a consistent indicator of increased risk of future problems,4 older adults with “normal” gait speeds greater than 1.0 m/s continue to have significant rates of morbid outcomes, including mobility disability rates of 38% within 3 years.4 Fried and colleagues5 concluded that gait speed alone is not a sufficiently sensitive indicator of early decline or preclinical disability. Gait speed traditionally is measured under ideal conditions (well-lit, Available With This Article at ptjournal.apta.org • Audio Podcast: “RCTs on Disability Intervention in Physical Therapy and Rehabilitation: Unique Challenges and Opportunities” symposium recorded at PT 2011, National Harbor, Maryland. 1858 f unobstructed walkway) without distractions, but ideal conditions may not provide sufficient challenge to stress the ability to adapt walking in the presence of subclinical physiological abnormalities. Challenging gait conditions combine walking with other physically and cognitively demanding tasks that require shared attention.6 Challenging gait conditions are thought to approximate “real-world” walking. Examples of some challenging gait conditions reported in the literature include stepping over obstacles, carrying an object, walking on uneven surfaces or around curves, and walking while talking.6 –10 Challenging gait conditions may stress the ability to adapt walking in the presence of subclinical abnormalities. Thus, challenging walking conditions may provide the means to detect early alterations in walking and a potential strategy to detect and characterize underlying biomechanical and subclinical physiological abnormalities. The use of challenging conditions to detect subclinical risk has been reported in other types of aging research. For example, fall risk was predicted more accurately by gait characteristics on an irregular, challenging surface compared with a smooth, nonchallenging surface in individuals with peripheral neuropathy.11 In addition, in a systematic review, gait performance under challenging conditions was predictive of falls; however, this association was found to be stronger in frail older adults compared with older adults who are healthier.12 Method The purpose of this study was to determine whether gait during challenging conditions predicts decline in gait speed over 1 year in older people with apparently normal gait (ie, gait speed of ⱖ1.0 m/s). The assessment of gait during challenging conditions may uncover mobility difficulty that is not identified with usual gait testing. Procedure This study was a 1-year cohort study with clinic visits at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. All testing was conducted at the University of Pittsburgh Pepper Center SMART (Senior Mobility Aging Research Training) Center by physical therapists or researchers trained in the measures. Testing sessions lasted, on Participants The study participants were 120 community-dwelling older adults who were participating in an observational cohort study at the University of Pittsburgh Pepper Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Participants were recruited from the University of Pittsburgh Pepper Center Research Registry of older adults who previously consented to be contacted for studies of balance and mobility. Individuals were included if they were 65 years of age or older and had the ability to walk a minimum of a household distance with or without an assistive device and without the assistance of another person. Participants were excluded if they had any of the following conditions that would affect safety during testing or that would affect mobility over the following year: neuromuscular disorders that impair movement, cancer with active treatment, hospitalization for a life-threatening illness or major surgery in the previous 6 months, severe pulmonary disease, or chest pain with activity or a cardiac event such as a heart attack in the previous 6 months. One hundred twenty individuals were enrolled in the main study. For the current analyses, those with a baseline gait speed of ⬍1.0 m/s (n⫽36) or missing data at the 1-year follow-up (n⫽13) were excluded, leaving a total of 71 participants. All participants provided written informed consent prior to the study. A flow diagram of the study participants is presented in Figure 1. Physical Therapy Volume 91 Number 12 Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 December 2011 Prediction of Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Normal Gait average, 3 to 4 hours, with adequate rest breaks. Gait Measures Usual gait speed. Usual gait speed was determined as the participants walked over a 6-m course. A stopwatch was used to time the participants as they walked at their usual speed over the central 4 m of the 6-m course. The initial meter and final meter were to allow for acceleration and anticipatory deceleration. The distance covered (ie, 4 m) was divided by the time taken to complete the 4-m walk to derive gait speed in meters per second. Participants completed 2 trials, and the mean of the 2 trials was considered their usual gait speed. Measurements of usual gait speed were collected at baseline and at the 12-month visit. The outcome of interest, change in gait speed, was defined as follows: (1) decline—a decline in gait speed from baseline to 12 months of ⱖ0.10 m/s, (2) stable—an increase or decrease in gait speed from baseline to 12 months of ⬍0.10 m/s, and improvement—an increase in gait speed from baseline to 12 months of ⱖ0.10 m/s.13 Figure 1. Narrow walk. As previously described by Bandinelli et al,6 participants were asked to walk a 4-m distance at their usual walking pace within a 15-cm-wide path marked on the floor with tape. They were instructed to walk keeping their feet within the taped lines. The time for each participant to complete this task and the number of deviations from the 15-cm-wide path were recorded. Participants who could not complete the task independently or who stepped outside the walkway more than 10 times were classified as “unable.” The distance covered (4 m) was divided by the time to determine gait speed for the narrow walk. Each participant completed 2 trials, and the mean from the 2 trials was calculated. Narrow walk cost was December 2011 Flow diagram of study participants. determined by subtracting the mean baseline narrow walk speed from the baseline usual gait speed. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for test-retest reliability of the narrow walk was .76.6 Obstacle walk. As previously described by Bandinelli et al,6 participants were asked to walk a 7-m course at their usual pace and step over 2 obstacles of different heights. One obstacle was 6 cm tall and positioned 2 m from the starting line, and the other obstacle was 30 cm tall and positioned 4 m from the starting line. Participants were instructed to “get past the obstacles without touching them.” The time for each participant to complete the task was recorded. The distance covered (7 m) was divided by the time to determine gait speed for the obstacle walk. Each participant completed 2 trials, and the mean of the 2 trials was calculated. Obstacle walk cost was determined by subtracting the mean baseline obstacle walk speed from the baseline usual gait speed. The obstacle walk has demonstrated test-retest reliability (ICC⫽.89).6 Simple and complex walking while talking tasks. The simple and complex walking while talking Volume 91 Number 12 Physical Therapy f Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 1859 Prediction of Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Normal Gait (WWT) tasks were developed as cognitive challenges during walking by imposing a need for divided attention.9 During the simple WWT task, participants were asked to say the letters of the alphabet out loud while walking down a 6.1-m (20-ft) corridor. The complex WWT task differs from the simple WWT task in that participants are asked to say every other letter of the alphabet out loud over the 6.1-m corridor. Participants were instructed to pay equal attention to both tasks. The distance covered (6.1 m) was divided by the time to determine gait speed for the simple and complex WWT tasks. Each task was repeated twice, and an average for each task was calculated. Simple and complex WWT task cost was determined by subtracting the mean baseline simple or complex WWT task gait speed from the baseline usual gait speed. The interrater reliability for the simple WWT task was demonstrated by a Pearson r value of .60. The simple WWT task has demonstrated a specificity of 89.4% and a sensitivity of 46.1%, with a threshold time of 20 seconds or longer (on a 40-foot corridor), as a predictor of falls.9 The complex WWT task predicts falls in older adults with a threshold time of 33 seconds or longer (on a 40-foot corridor) with a specificity of 95.6% and a sensitivity of 38.5%.9 Other Measures Demographics. Data were collected on the following demographic factors: age, sex, race or ethnicity, and education level. Comorbidity Index. This measure is a self-report of common physiciandiagnosed medical conditions, including cardiovascular disease (angina, congestive heart failure, or heart attack), neurologic conditions (stroke or Parkinson disease), lung disease, musculoskeletal conditions (arthritis, osteoporosis, fracture, or joint replacement), general condi1860 f tions (depression, sleep problems, or chronic pain syndrome), cancer, diabetes, or visual conditions (glaucoma or cataracts).14 For each medical condition, participants were asked if they had ever been told by a physician that they had the condition. The number of affirmative responses was summed to yield a total score. Body mass index. Height and weight were measured using a Tanita BWB-800 scale and HR-200 wall-mounted height rod (Perspective Enterprises, Portage, Michigan). Participants were measured while wearing indoor clothing and socks without shoes. Assistance was given to get into position for both height and weight measurements, including cues to stand up straight with heels against the wall for assessment of height, but measurements were recorded in unsupported stance. Weight was recorded to the nearest tenth of a kilogram, and height was recorded to the nearest tenth of a centimeter, with the height rod at the top of the participant’s head in midline. Height and weight measurements were used to determine body mass index (BMI). Fall history questionnaire. Participants were asked to respond to the following questions: (1) Are you afraid of falling? and (2) Have you had a fall in the previous year? Responses to the questions were recorded as “yes” or “no.” Data Analysis Differences in baseline characteristics between the gait speed change groups (declined, stable, and improved) were described and tested using the chi-square test for categorical measures and one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) for continuous measures. Differences in usual gait speed, challenging task speed, and challenging task cost (usual speed minus challenging task speed) were described and com- pared among the 3 gait speed change groups using ANOVA. Because the 3 gait speed change groups differed on baseline gait speed, additional analyses were conducted in an attempt to account for these differences in gait speed. First, the differences in challenging task cost among gait speed change groups were compared using ANOVA in a subgroup of participants with similar baseline gait speeds (ie, baseline gait speed between 1.0 and 1.4 m/s). Second, logistic regression models were used to examine the association between each challenging task cost and decline in gait speed 1 year later (combining the stable and improved groups), adjusting for baseline gait speed as a covariate. Odds ratios (ORs) corresponding to 0.1 m/s in gait speed and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are reported. In order to assess the sensitivity of the findings, all analyses were repeated using challenging task cost normalized to usual baseline gait speed (ie, challenging task cost divided by usual gait speed). All analyses were performed using SAS statistical software, version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, North Carolina). Role of the Funding Source This work was supported by the Pittsburgh Older Americans Independence Center (National Institute on Aging grant P30 AG024827) and a Beeson Career Development Award (National Institute on Aging grant K23 AG026766). Results Table 1 provides the baseline characteristics of the entire study cohort and the cohort stratified by gait speed change over the 1-year follow-up period. The study cohort was predominantly Caucasian women who were college educated. More than half of the cohort reported their health as very good or Physical Therapy Volume 91 Number 12 Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 December 2011 Prediction of Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Normal Gait Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of 71 Participants Stratified by Subsequent Gait Speed Decline Over 1 Year Total Cohort (Nⴝ71) Declined 0.1 m/s or More in Gait Speed (nⴝ18) No Decline (Change of <0.1 m/s) in Gait Speed (nⴝ43) Improved 0.1 m/s or More in Gait Speed (nⴝ10) P Age (y), X (SD) 75.9 (5.8) 76.2 (5.9) 76.3 (5.7) 74.1 (6.6) .55 Caucasian, n (%) 65 (92) 16 (89) 40 (93) 9 (90) .86 Male, n (%) 20 (28) 3 (17) 13 (30) 4 (40) .38 College education, n (%) 54 (76) 13 (72) 32 (74) 9 (90) .53 41 (58) 11 (61) 24 (56) 6 (60) .92 Variable Demographics Health related Self-reported health as very good or excellent, n (%) No. of chronic conditions X (SD) 4.3 (2.1) 4.9 (1.8) 4.4 (2.2) 3.1 (1.5) .08 Body mass index (kg/m2), X (SD) 28.4 (4.9) 28.5 (5.0) 28.6 (5.4) 27.5 (2.2) .84 Fallen in previous year, n (%) 34 (49) 9 (50) 20 (48) 5 (50) .98 Fearful of falling, n (%) 28 (40) 7 (39) 18 (43) 3 (30) .75 excellent. Of the 71 participants, 18 (25%) experienced a decline in gait speed of at least 0.10 m/s over the 1-year follow-up period, and 10 (14%) experienced an improvement in gait speed of at least 0.10 m/s. Participants who had a decline in gait speed over the 1-year follow-up period did not differ on the baseline characteristics compared with participants who did not decline or improved in gait speed (Tab. 1). Participants who declined in gait speed over the 1-year follow-up period walked the fastest at baseline, and individuals who improved in gait speed walked the slowest at baseline (Tab. 2). Gait speed during the challenging conditions at baseline did not differ among the gait speed change groups (all P⬎.40). However, participants who declined in gait speed had a greater cost during the narrow walk and obstacle walk conditions than those who were stable or who improved in gait speed (narrow walk cost⫽0.43 versus 0.33 versus 0.22 m/s, P⫽.009; obstacle walk cost⫽0.35 versus 0.26 versus 0.13 m/s, P⫽.003). Simple and com- Table 2. Mean (SD) Gait Speed, Baseline Challenging Task Speed, and Baseline Challenging Task Cost by Gait Speed Change Status Over 1 Year Declined in Gait Speed (nⴝ18) Stable Gait Speed (nⴝ43) Improved Gait Speed (nⴝ10) P Baseline usual gait speed, m/s 1.31 (0.17) 1.24 (0.15) 1.18 (0.10) .09 12-mo usual gait speed, m/s 1.12 (0.18) 1.24 (0.15) 1.38 (0.08) .0001 Narrow walk speed, m/s 0.90 (0.22)a 0.90 (0.23)b 0.97 (0.20) .67 a b 0.22 (0.18) .009 1.05 (0.09) .44 Variable Narrow walk cost, m/s 0.43 (0.16) Obstacle walk speed, m/s 0.96 (0.25) 0.97 (0.18)b 0.33 (0.17) Obstacle walk cost, m/s 0.35 (0.15) 0.26 (0.12) b 0.13 (0.11) .003 Simple WWTc task speed, m/s 1.16 (0.15) 1.12 (0.19) 1.14 (0.14) .79 Simple WWT task cost, m/s 0.14 (0.15) 0.11 (0.10) 0.05 (0.08) .10 Complex WWT task speed, m/s 1.00 (0.24) 0.96 (0.22) 0.95 (0.23) .79 Complex WWT task cost, m/s 0.31 (0.18) 0.28 (0.17) 0.24 (0.18) .58 a n⫽16. b n⫽42. c WWT⫽walking while talking. December 2011 Volume 91 Number 12 Physical Therapy f Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 1861 Prediction of Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Normal Gait 0.6 Cost (m/s) 0.5 0.4 0.3 Declined 0.2 Stable 0.1 Improved 0 Narrow Walk Obstacle Walk Simple WWT Task Complex WWT Task Figure 2. Baseline challenging task cost by gait speed change status over 1 year. Sample limited to individuals with baseline gait speed between 1.0 and 1.4 m/s (declined, n⫽14; stable, n⫽38; improved, n⫽10). *P⬍.05, **P⬍.01. plex WWT task costs did not differ among the groups. In a subsample of the participants who had a restricted range of gait speeds at baseline (ie, 1.0 –1.4 m/s), baseline gait speed was similar among the 3 groups (declined: gait speed⫽1.24 m/s, n⫽14; stable: gait speed⫽1.20 m/s, n⫽38; and improved: gait speed⫽1.18 m/s, n⫽10; P⫽.42). However, narrow walk cost and obstacle walk cost differed among the 3 groups, with those who declined in gait speed having the greatest cost and those who improved having the lowest cost (Fig. 2). Simple and complex WWT task costs did not differ among the 3 groups. Similar findings were obtained from the gait speed– adjusted logistic regression models. In baseline gait speed–adjusted models, narrow walk cost (OR⫽1.46, 95% CI⫽1.02⫺2.11) and obstacle walk cost (OR⫽1.82, 95% CI⫽1.16⫺2.86) were related to decline in gait speed 1 year later. In other words, a 0.10-m/s increase in narrow walk cost corresponded to a 46% increase in odds of gait speed decline (P⫽.04) and a 0.10-m/s increase in obstacle walk cost corre1862 f sponded to an 82% increase in odds of gait speed decline (P⫽.01). Simple and complex WWT task costs were not related to decline in gait speed. When analyses were repeated using the alternative definition of cost (ie, challenging task cost normalized to usual speed), all findings were similar (data not shown). Discussion In older adults with apparently normal gait (ie, gait speed of ⱖ1.0 m/s), challenging gait cost during the narrow walk and obstacle walk was a significant predictor of decline in gait speed over the following year. Interestingly, the environmentally induced challenges (narrow and obstacle walk) were related to decline, whereas the cognitive dualtask challenges were not. The cost of completing a challenging gait task may be a novel way to identify future walking difficulty. Gait during challenging conditions may be an earlier indicator of future disability than usual gait speed because it uncovers underlying impairments that are not apparent during low challenge testing situations. Walking requires the success- ful integration of numerous physiologic systems.15 The biologic systems responsible for walking have an efficient adaptive response that can restore the organism to equilibrium during everyday challenges (eg, stepping over an object, walking on curved paths). If there is a slight decrement in one system, other systems may be able to compensate, and under low challenge conditions, the deficit may not be apparent.16,17 It is only when the individual has to adapt to a more challenging condition that the decrement becomes apparent. Testing older people only while walking in low challenge situations may fail to distinguish those with early mobility difficulty. Individuals who are unable to adapt to the more challenging circumstances (ie, inadequate compensation) are likely to have underlying (subclinical) problems that would increase their risk for future disability. Because the walking difficulty was not apparent under low challenge conditions, it may be considered a subclinical deficit similar to high blood pressure or cholesterol. The concept of early identification of gait difficulty (ie, a subclinical mobility deficit) and treatment with targeted interventions to prevent the development of mobility disability is analogous to identification and treatment of high blood pressure or cholesterol for the prevention of stroke and heart disease. Once the subclinical deficit of walking difficulty is identified and the underlying impairments are defined, preventive rehabilitation (“prehabilitation”) could be instituted to treat the underlying deficits before they can progress to overt mobility disability. Prevention of mobility disability may be a more cost-effective alternative to the treatment of mobility disability once it has occurred. When interpreting our findings, several limitations should be consid- Physical Therapy Volume 91 Number 12 Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 December 2011 Prediction of Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Normal Gait ered. First, our outcome was a change (decline or improvement) in gait speed of ⱖ0.10 m/s. We selected a 0.10-m/s decline in gait speed because we had previously shown it is a meaningful decline in older adults.13 It may be questioned whether a decline of 0.10 m/s is meaningful in older adults walking faster than 1.20 m/s; that is, is a decline in gait speed from 1.30 m/s to 1.20 m/s meaningful? In a sample of older adults for the Health Aging and Body Composition Study who walked at a desired speed, we have shown that a 0.10-m/s change in gait speed from 1.40 m/s to 1.30 m/s is meaningful.18 Given that the group of older adults who declined in gait speed over time walked the fastest at baseline and those who improved in gait speed over time walked the slowest at baseline, the potential contribution of regression to the mean to the findings should not be overlooked. However, several factors do not support the regression to the mean explanation of findings. First, although baseline gait speed was different among the groups, the baseline gait speed values were still within the range of “normal usual walking speed” and the range of baseline gait speeds was similar among the groups (declined⫽ 1.05⫺1.65 m/s, stable⫽1.00⫺1.59 m/s, and improved⫽1.02⫺1.38 m/s). Second, we used different analytic techniques to control for the differences in baseline gait speed (ie, limiting the sample to a range of baseline gait speeds and adjusting for speed in the logistic regression analyses) and obtained similar findings. Third, although the differences in challenging condition costs were statistically significant, we do not know whether these differences were clinically meaningful. Additional research is needed to determine a meaningful difference in challenging condition cost. Fourth, differences in December 2011 testing protocols (static versus dynamic start and different distances) could explain some of the differences in gait speeds recorded for the usual and challenging conditions. Future studies examining challenging condition cost should use similar testing protocols for the baseline usual and challenging conditions to minimize the impact of the protocol on challenging condition cost. Lastly, the group that demonstrated an improvement in gait speed over the 1-year period appeared to differ, although the difference was not statistically significant, from the declined and stable groups on the baseline characteristics. Compared with the declined and stable groups, the group that improved was younger, more likely to be college educated, reported fewer chronic conditions, and had a lower BMI, and all of these factors potentially contribute to an improvement in gait speed. Given the low power to detect differences in baseline characteristics (ie, power ⬍0.80), it would be important to repeat this study with a larger sample. Conclusion In older adults with apparently normal gait, the assessment of gait during challenging conditions appears to uncover mobility difficulty that is not identified by usual gait testing. Gait during challenging conditions may be a way to anticipate future walking difficulty so that interventions can be instituted to prevent the decline in mobility instead of waiting for the decline to occur and trying to rehabilitate it. Dr Brach, Dr VanSwearingen, and Dr Studenski provided concept/idea/research design. All authors provided writing. Dr Brach, Dr Hile, and Mr Wert provided data collection. Dr Brach and Dr Perera provided data analysis. Dr Brach and Dr Hile provided project management. Dr Brach provided fund procurement and participants. Dr Brach and Dr Studenski provided facilities/ equipment. Dr Perera, Dr VanSwearingen, Dr Hile, Mr Wert, and Dr Studenski provided consultation (including review of manuscript before submission). This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Pittsburgh. A portion of this work was presented at the Third International Congress on Gait and Mental Function; February 26 –28, 2010; Washington, DC. 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Physical Therapy Volume 91 Number 12 Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012 December 2011 Challenging Gait Conditions Predict 1-Year Decline in Gait Speed in Older Adults With Apparently Normal Gait Jennifer S. Brach, Subashan Perera, Jessie M. VanSwearingen, Elizabeth S. Hile, David M. Wert and Stephanie A. Studenski PHYS THER. 2011; 91:1857-1864. Originally published online October 14, 2011 doi: 10.2522/ptj.20100387 References This article cites 18 articles, 7 of which you can access for free at: http://ptjournal.apta.org/content/91/12/1857#BIBL Subscription Information http://ptjournal.apta.org/subscriptions/ Permissions and Reprints http://ptjournal.apta.org/site/misc/terms.xhtml Information for Authors http://ptjournal.apta.org/site/misc/ifora.xhtml Downloaded from http://ptjournal.apta.org/ at University of Delaware 56464886 on July 2, 2012