Bulletin of Arunachal Forest Research 22 (1&2) : 33-39, 2006. ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL , MIZORAM ( INDIA ) Ramesh Chandra Tiwari Department of Physics , Mizoram University, P.B.-190 Aizawl – 796 009, Mizoram (India) ABSTRACT The climatic conditions play an important role in every sphere of human activities such as water supply, agriculture, forestry, tourism. Among the various climatic parameters viz. pressure, humidity, temperature, wind-speed, rainfall etc. the rainfall assumes special significance as it affects not only agricultural activities directly, but also the water supply in the hilly states like Mizoram. The development of forest cover is very much dependent on the amount of rain received by the area concerned, which in turn affects the environment as a whole. In the present paper an attempt has been made to study the variation in the rainfall with temperature and also to correlate this variation with the forest cover at Tuirini area in Aizawl district of Mizoram. weather conditions of a particular area. The important climatic parameters are temperature, humidity, sunshine hours, cloudiness, pressure, rainfall, number of rainy days, wind velocity etc. and any change in one parameter affects the other either directly or indirectly. The climatic conditions of a particular area are of great importance as they control a variety of human activities like tourism, agriculture, water-supply etc. Any change in the climatic conditions also affects the living organisms by imbalancing the ecology of the physical environment. INTRODUCTION Mizoram, one of the eight north east Indian states is located between 200 15’ and 230 30’ N and 92 0 16’ and 93 0 26’ E. ( Pachuau,1994).The tropic of cancer i.e. 23030’ N latitude divides the state in almost two equal parts. The Aizawl District in Mizoram also lies on the tropic of cancer. Mizoram assumes strategic importance as it has international boundaries with Myanmar (Burma) in the east and Bangladesh in the west. The state is also bordered by Manipur and Assam on north and Tripura on west. The weather of the state is highly affected due to any cyclonic development in the Bay of Bengal because of its short aerial distance from the ocean system. The state receives quite a sizable amount of rainfall not only during the monsoon season, but also as and when any cyclonic system hits the area. The climate of Mizoram is neither very hot nor very cold, but moderate throughout the year. The whole state falls under the directinfluence of south-west monsoon and receives an adequate amount of rainfall. The climate of the state is humid-tropical, characterized by short winter, long summer with heavy rainfall. The fluctuation in temperature is not much and the highest temperature is observed during The term climate refers to the regular 33 ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL DISCUSSION May to July and starts decreasing with the onset of monsoon. This fall of temperature continues with the span of monsoon and becomes more evident with the retreating monsoon. The temperature becomes minimum in December and January. In autumn the temperature ranges between 180 C to 250 C. During winter season, the minimum and maximum temperature ranges between 110 C to 310 C. During the last two decades, a substantial increase in average temperature has been observed, which may be due to global-warming. The global warming is mainly due to non-sustainable model of development and mismanagement of environment ( Lalunmawia,2006). The plot 1.1 describes the variation of total amount of rainfall annually with mean maximum temperature for the period (1991-2000) at Aizawl (Tuirini river). The plot shows the rainfall variation from 1984 to 2000 but the mean temperature variation is shown for the period 1991-2000 due to non availability of data for the period 1984-1990. The variations in the curve gives interesting information. The curve shows a continuous increase in annual rainfall from 1986 to 1990 except for the year 1989 where a sharp decline is observed. From the period 1985 to 1996, there has been a periodic decrease in the amount of rainfall for the years 1996, 1989, 1992 and 1995 although this trend does not sustain further. The highest amount of rainfall has been recorded in the year 1993 followed by the year 1990 with its second highest amount. The sharp increase and decrease in rainfall is recorded in the year 1993 followed by the year 1990 with its second highest amount. The sharp increase and decrease in rainfall is recorded during the year from 1992-‘93 and 1993-‘94 respectively. The rainfall has an approximately stable trend during the years 1996 to 1999. A substantial increase in the rainfall is observed during the year 2000. THE CLIMATE OF STUDY AREA The present study has been carried out at Tuirini river in Aizawl district of Mizoram. The climatic conditions (Sinha,2001) of the study area may be divided in to 4 seasons viz. winter season (December to February), summer season (March to May), monsoon season (June to September) and retreating monsoon season (October to November). The winter season is characterized by cold weather, occasional thunderstorms and frequent fog in the morning. During the summer season, temperature is high with occasional thunder-showers and clear sky in morning times. In monsoon season, the weather is cloudy and humid with low speed wind which blows from different directions. Rainfall is heavy in this season and the temperature starts falling with the onset of south-west monsoon during the beginning of June. In post-monsoon season, the rainfall gets reduced drastically followed by clear sky and decrease in temperature and morning fog. There is hardly any major variation in mean maximum temperature; except for the year 1999 the variation is between 1-20 C. But the variation looks significant (about 30 C) if we compare the mean maximum temperature for the year 1991 with the year 2000. But the overall change in mean temperature certainly affects the amount of rainfall and its pattern. The decline in the rainfall during 1996-2000 as compared to 1990 and 1993 may be due to rise in the mean maximum temperature as one of the factors. Table .1 describes the mean temperature and annual rainfall data of Tuirini river during 1991-2000, but the rainfall data is from 1984-2000. In the present paper, the author has attempted to study the variation in rainfall with mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures and its impact on the forest cover. 34 ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL Table. 1 : Mean temperature and annual rainfall data of Tuirini river ( from meteorological register of Pushpak Project, Zemabawk (Aizawl) Mizoram) Sl. No. Year 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Mean Maximum Temperature (in 0 C) N.A N.A N.A N.A N.A N.A N.A 25.37 24.30 25.12 26.37 25.62 26.25 25.15 26.30 28.30 26.05 Mean Minimum Temperature (in 0 C) N.A N.A N.A N.A N.A N.A N.A 16.47 16.12 15.40 16.87 19.35 19.37 16.85 17.75 17.85 16.22 The plot 1.2 describes the variation of annual rainfall with temperature except that the temperature along X-axis is the annual mean minimum temperature. The variations in the mean minimum temperature curve are more significant than that in the case of mean maximum temperature. This curve interestingly shows that the amount of rainfall was maximum for the year 1993, with lowest mean minimum temperature. The temperature data gives few more important informations which may have significance in the explanation of the net decrease in the amount of annual rainfall. Annual Rainfall (in cm.) 216.61 206.34 173.06 178.95 219.75 186.50 266.89 248.03 248.03 330.45 217.29 192.36 220.06 229.62 226.00 229.05 238.75 ture but the mean minimum temperature has been deduced to increase by 2.180 C during the period of 1996-2000 as compared to the period of 1991-1995. The plot 1.3 describes the bi-yearly variation in the area of forest cover in Mizoram. The curve indicates that the highest forest area was recorded during the reporting year 1987 followed by the reporting year 1991, while the reporting year 1989 indicates the minimum forest cover during the period 1987-2004. As per the availability of data ( Lalnundanga, 2006), there has been a sharp decline in the forest cover during the period for 1997-2004 (Table.2). The decline in the mean forest cover may be responsible for the increase in the mean temperature values which in turn may be affecting the amount of rainfall also ( De & De, 2001 ). The analysis of the temperature data shows that there has been a rise in mean maximum temperature by 1.80 C during the period of 1996-2000 as cam pared to the period of 19911995. Not only the mean maximum tempera- 38 ANALYTICAL STUDY ON VARIATION OF CLIMATIC PARAMETERS AT AIZAWL ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Table 2 : Bi-yearly forest cover of Mizoram ( from State of Forest Report 1997, Survey of India.*Directorate of Environment and forest, Government of Mizoram). Year 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 2004 The author is grateful to Dr. Lalnundanga and Dr. F. Lalnunmawia, Department of Forestry, Mizoram University Aizawl for fruitful discussions; to Shri Kalidas Upadhyay, Department of Forestry, Mizoram University for the data of forest cover and to Dr. R.K. Thapa, Department of Physics, Mizoram University for computer facilities . Forest Cover (in Sq. Km.) 19084 18170 18853 18697 18576 18775 18338* REFERENCES Pachuau, Rintluanga (1994). Geography of Mizoram. R.T. Enterprise Publication Aizawl , Mizoram. CONCLUSION Anonymous ( 1997 ) . State of Forest Report , Survery of India-Ministry of Environment and Forest, Govt. of India, New Delhi : 2-10. From the above data analysis it may be concluded as (1). There has been erratic behaviour of rainfall during the period of study. However, for certain years a periodic decrease in rainfall is recorded but it does not continue for the whole period. There has been an increase in the mean maximum temperature by 1.80 C just in 5 years which seems to be one of the reasons for erratic and non periodic nature of the rainfall. This increase in mean max. temperature may be linked with overall decrease in mean forest cover by 20.33 sq. km during the period of 5 years. (2). The mean minimum temperature shows an alarming rise of 2.180 C during the period of 5 years. The analysis also interestingly shows that the highest mean annual rainfall coincides with minimum mean temperature. However, mean rise in annual rainfall by a 27.83 cm is reduced for the period 1993-2000 as compared to that for the period 1985-1992. ( 3 ). Irregular behaviour of rainfall and the rise in mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures may be due to a sharp decline in the forest cover due to various activities like road construction, lack of proper implementation of the forest acts and absence of the monitoring body. Lalnunmawia, F. (2006). Environmental and Socio-economic Impacts of Gregarious Bamboo Flowering in Mizoram. Proceedings of the U.G.C. sponsored State level Seminar on Environmental Issues in Mizoram : 2-06. Lalnundanga (2006), Impact of Road Construction in Mizoram. Proceedings of the state level seminar on Environmental Issues in Mizoram : 7-13. Sinha, N.K. (2001). Micro-watershed Management Study of Tuirini River. (Ph. D. Thesis )North-Eastern Hill University, Shillong. De, Anil Kumar and Arnab Kumar De (2001). Environmental Studies . New Age International Publications. 39