m useum D F0 ° Royal Belgian Institute of Natural Sciences (RBINS) Operational Directorate Natural Environments (DO Naturel no B-FishConnect VLIZ Young Marine Scientists’ Day 2014 ILVO LEUVEN How sensitive is sole larval dispersal in the North Sea to the parameterization of larval duration? A modelling study Léo Barbut1'2. Sophie Delerue-Ricard2, Andreas V anden Bavière23, Johan Robbens3, Filip A.M. V o lckae rt2, G eneviève Lacroix1 JL 1. R oyal B e lgian Institute o f N a tu ra l S cie n ce s (RBINS), O p e ra tio n a l D ire c to ra te N a tu ra l E nviron m en ts (O D N a tu re ), B elgium 2. L a b o ra to ry o f B iodiversity a n d E v o lu tio n a ry G e n o m ic s , K a th o lie k e LJnlversltelt L e uven (KIJ Le uven), B elgium 3. Institute fo r A g ric u ltu ra l a n d fisheries R esea rch (ILVO), O o s te n d e , B elgium Objective Introduction To investigate the im pact of larval stage duration parameterization on sole larval dispersal and recruitment at nurseries with a Larval Transport Model Connectivity of flatfish remains an open question, especially at the early life stages. The case of sole ( Solea solea) is of particular interest because it is one of the most valuable com mercial species in the North Sea. It is crucial to understand how the spawning grounds and nurseries are connected and what are the processes influencing larval retention and dispersal in order to propose appropriate m anagem ent measures. Sole Larval Transport Model (LTM) À ( Y o lk -S a c L a rva e Egg The sole LTM results from the coupling between the 3D hydrodynamic model COHERENS and an Individualhy Based Model (IBM) for sole larvae [1]. * Lacrea et a l . 2013 • Rochette et al 2012 • Fonds 1979 * Van der Land et a l . 1991 •— temperature mm/ma* m Belgian zone — Mean temperature in Belgian zone The larval stage duration depends on the environmental conditions met by the larvae. In this study, we com pare two parameterizations (tem perature dependent) issued from [1][2] and derived from the same data set (mainly [3]) (Figs. 1 & 2). i « a w m w » 1 a First F e e d in g L a rv a e \ 1\ I » O U • It M e ta m o r p h o s in g L a rv a e » B • aT* • aT8 c f i. d T . o Fig. 2. Stage duration in function o f temperature for each stage and temperature range in the Belgian zone. s - temperature Lacroix et al. Egg 0 Embryonic Egg Yolk sac Egg larvae larvae 2013 [1] Rochette et al. 2012 [2] 1 Larval pelagic 2 I 3 4a Settling 4b 5a First-feeding Metamorphosing larvae larvae Larvae Yolk sac First-feeding L a rv a l s ta g e d u ra tio n Settled^ 5b Lacroix et a t . 2 0 13 Interval Lacroix/Rochette Interval Bolle e t a l .2 00 5 [5] Settlement if suitable substrate Fig. 1. Modelling o f larval stages between spawning and recruitment at nurseries according to [1] and [2J. The classification of Lagardôre et al. (1999) [4] is used as reference. The total pelagic stage duration shows a large variation (Fig. 3) particularly important when comparing different models based on different studies [1 ][2] and [5]. Fig. 3. Random combination o f the pelagic phase duration for different models tem perature Results S p a w n in g g ro u n ds Four simulations, considering the minimum and maxim um pelagic stage duration within the range of Fig. 3 (on the basis of [1][2]) for two m ean temperatures (10°C and 15°C) have been performed for the year 1998. Fig. 5 shows the larval distribution and the connectivity matrix (spawning grounds and nurseries in Fig. 4). MinlO M a x i 0. ngitude ( E) -ongitude ( E) M ini 5 M axi 5 IO6 C o n n e c tiv ity : Fig. 4. Up: main spawning grounds in the North Sea and mean number o f eggs spawned. Eastern Channel (EC), Belgian Coast (BC), Texel (Tx), German Bight (GB), Norfolk (N) and Thames (Th). Down: nurseries. France (FR), Belgium (BE), The Netherlands (NL), Germany V(GE), Norfolk (No), Thames (Tha). Fr Be NI Se No Tha Be NI Ce No Tha Fig. 5. Left: Fina! larval distribution for eggs spawned in the BC spawning grounds. Right: connectivity matrix between spawning grounds and nurseries (see in Fig. 4). MinlO: minimum larval stage duration at 10°C, Max10: maximum larval stage duration at 10°C, M ini 5: minimum larval stage duration at 1S°C and MaxIS: maximum larval stage duration a t 15°C (Fig. 3, based on [1][2]). Conclusions & Perspectives M any biotic and abiotic parameters might influence dispersal patterns. Before building more com plex models, it is necessary to better represent the biological processes influencing the dynamics of marine species. This study highlights the im portance to parameterize biological processes with accuracy and the need to collect sufficient data and conduct experimental studies to derive biological processes parameterizations in order to improve m odel’s reliability. Acknowledgements: This work has been carried out in the framework of the B-FishConnect project (G.0702,13N) funded by Het Fonds Wetenschappelijk k_______ Onderzoek - Vlaanderen (FWO)_______ /'w w w .m u m m .ac.b e/ Fr I High (m o re 55% ) M e d iu m (25-55% ) Sm all (0% -10% ) I No c o n n e x io n Small differences in the ' pelagic stage duration parameterization may induce significant differences in the dispersal pattern (Fig. 5, left), larval recruitment at nursery and connectivity (Fig. 5, right). Connections appear or disappear when the highest values [max] of the range are considered instead of the lowest values [min]: +1/-1 at 10°C and +3 at 15°C. Such differences might be of great importance in fisheries m anagem ent. RECOMMENDATIONS: Cross models of larval duration to maximize the likelihood • Take into account result uncertainties PERSPECTIVES: Model validation with other approaches (otoliths, genetic, dem ography). REQUEST We are looking for life-history data of sole to validate the model References: [1] Lacroix G., Maes G. E., Bolle L. J., Volckaert F. A. M. 2013. Modelling dispersal dynamics of the early life stages of a marine flatfish [Solea solea). J. Sea Res., 84,13-25 [2] Rochette S., Huret M., Rivot E., Le Pape 0 . 2012. Coupling hydrodynamic and individual-based models to simulate long-term larval supply to coastal nursery areas. Fish. Oceanogr. 21,229-242. [3] Fonds M. 1979. Laboratory observations on the influence of temperature and salinity on development of the eggs and growth of the larvae of Solea solea ( Pisces). Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser, 1, 91-99. [4] Lagardère F., Amara R., Joassard.L. 1998. Vertical distribution and feeding activity of metamorphosing sole, Solea solea, before immigration to the Bay of Vilaine nursery (northern Bay of Biscay, France), in: Copp G.H., Kovác V., Hensel K. (Eds.). When Do Fishes Become Juveniles?, Developments in Environmental Biology of Fishes. Springer Netherlands, pp. 213-228. [5] Bolle L. J., Dickey-Collas M ., Erftemeijer P. L. A., van Beek J.K.L. and others. 2005. Impacts of Maasvlakte 2 on the Wadden Sea and North Sea coastal zone. Track 1: detailed modelling research. Part IV: fish larvae. Baseline study MEP Maasvlakte 2. Lot 3b: fish larvae. RIVO Report C072/05, RlVO-Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, IJmuiden. , leo.barbut@mumm.ac.be