United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station Pacific Northwest Research Station RE TU DE PA RT First Quarter, 2013 MENT OF AGRI C U L Now online! See inside cover for more information. Contents About the Pacific Northwest Research Station .................................................... 1 Subscribe to Our RSS Feeds .................................................................................... 2 Locate Publications by Using Treesearch ............................................................ 3 Station Publications ................................................................................................... 4 Journals and Other Publications .............................................................................9 Order Form/Mailing List Updates .............................................Inside back cover Publications are also available at http://www.fs.fed/us/pnw/publications/index.shtml Now Available Online! The Pacific Northwest Research Station offers an interactive online version of our Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station (quarterly list). This Web page allows you to: • Preview publications before ordering. • Instantly request printed copies of station publications. • Subscribe to RSS feed or ListServe to be notified when new quarterly lists of recent publications are released. This resource can be found at: http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/publications/qlist.shtml. To unsubscribe from hardcopy delivery of this publication, or to receive this publication electronically, change your delivery preference here: http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/publications/subscription.shtml. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, sexual orientation, marital status, family status, status as a parent (in education and training programs and activities), because all or part of an individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program, or retaliation. 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The PNW Research Station was established in 1925. The station has its headquarters in Portland, Oregon; 11 research laboratories and centers in Alaska, Oregon, and Washington; and 12 active experimental areas (watershed, range, and experimental forests). The station also conducts research in more than 20 research natural areas. Our mission is to generate and communicate impartial scientific knowledge to help people understand and make informed choices about natural resource management and sustainability. PNW Research Station Laboratories and Centers Anchorage Forestry Sciences Laboratory 3301 C Street, Suite 200 Anchorage, AK 99503-3954 Corvallis Forestry Sciences Laboratory 3200 SW Jefferson Way Corvallis, OR 97331-4401 Fairbanks Boreal Ecology Cooperative Research Unit University of Alaska Fairbanks P.O. Box 756780 Fairbanks, AK 99775-6780 Juneau Forestry Sciences Laboratory 11175 Auke Lake Way Juneau, AK 99801 La Grande Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory 1401 Gekeler Lane La Grande, OR 97850-3368 Olympia Forestry Sciences Laboratory 3625 93rd Avenue SW Olympia, WA 98512-9193 Portland Forestry Sciences Laboratory 620 SW Main, Suite 400 P.O. Box 3890 Portland, OR 97208-3890 Prineville Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center 3160 NE 3rd Street P.O. Box 490 Prineville, OR 97754 Seattle Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Laboratory 400 N 34th Street, Suite 201 Seattle, WA 98103 Sitka Alaska Wood Utilization Research and Development Center 204 Siginaka Way Sitka, AK 99835-7316 Wenatchee Forestry Sciences Laboratory 1133 N Western Avenue Wenatchee, WA 98801-1229 1 PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION Receive publications electronically by subscribing to our RSS feeds http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/RSS/index.shtml What Is RSS? 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Available Feeds Publications by Type Publications by Topic • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • General Technical Reports Journal Articles Resource Bulletins Research Notes Research Papers Science Findings Science Update Quarterly List of Recent Publications • All Publications 2 Climate Change Economics Ecosystem Services Ecosystem Structure and Function Fire Forest Management Geomorphology and Hydrology Invasive Plants and Animals Landscape Ecology Land Use Economics • • • • • • • Monitoring Range Management Resource Inventory Silviculture Social Sciences Wildlife Wood Utilization News • PNW Research Station News Releases Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station, First Quarter, 2013 Locate USDA Forest Service Research Publications online at http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us What Is Treesearch? Treesearch is an online system for locating and delivering publications by Research and Development scientists in the USDA Forest Service. Publications in the collection include research monographs published by the agency as well as papers written by our scientists but published by other organizations in their journals, conference proceedings, or books. Research results behind these publications have been peer-reviewed to ensure the best quality of science. Searching for Publications Treesearch lets you search listings by author, keyword, originating station, or date. Keyword searches examine both the title and abstract. Viewing and Printing Publications Once you have selected a publication, you can view and print the entire publication online. All publications listed in Treesearch have their full text available online, usually in Adobe’s Portable Document Format (PDF). In some cases, the publications have been scanned from the original using optical character recognition, a process that can result in errors. For this reason, some publications offer two PDF versions, a compact file with captured text plus a larger “pristine” version in which text is represented graphically. Either way, your computer will need Adobe Acrobat Reader installed to view and print the document. If you need this free plug-in, see Adobe’s Acrobat Reader download page at http://www.adobe.com/products/ acrobat/readstep2.html. 3 PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION Station Publications These publications are available for download at the Web site listed under each abstract. To order a printed station publication, circle its five-digit number on the inside back cover, cut out the order form, place in an envelope, and send it to the address indicated. Please do not remove the label containing your name and address. It is used to send your publications. If there is no label, please fill in your name and address. Supplies of these publications are limited. We will not be able to fill your order after our current supply is exhausted. Copies may be purchased, however, from the U.S. Department of Commerce, National Technical Information Services, Springfield, VA 22161 (http://www.ntis.gov). Bibliographies 13-110M ►Pacific Northwest Research Station. 2013. Recent publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station, fourth quarter, 2012. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 18 p. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/publications/qlist.shtml Climate Change 13-046M ►Barrett, T.; Parks, N. 2013. Tangled trends for temperate rain forests as temperatures tick up. Science Findings 149. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 6 p. Climate change is altering growing conditions in the temperate rain forest region that extends from northern California to the Gulf of Alaska. Longer, warmer growing seasons are generally increasing the overall potential for forest growth in the region. However, species differ in their ability to adapt to changing conditions. For example, researchers with the Pacific Northwest Research Station examined forest trends for southeastern and south-central Alaska and found that, in 13 years, western redcedar showed a 4.2-percent increase in live-tree biomass, while shore pine showed a 4.6-percent decrease. In general, the researchers found that the amount of 4 live-tree biomass in extensive areas of unmanaged, higher elevation forest in southern Alaska increased by as much as 8 percent over the 13-year period, contributing to significant carbon storage. Hemlock dwarf mistletoe is another species expected to fare well under warmer conditions in Alaska. Model projections indicate that habitat for this parasitic species could increase 374 to 757 percent over the next 100 years. This could temper the prospects for western hemlock—a tree species otherwise expected to do well under future climate conditions projected for southern Alaska. In coastal forests of Washington and Oregon, water availability may be a limiting factor in future productivity, with gains at higher elevations but declines at lower elevations. Keywords: Climate change, Alaska, biomass, dwarf mistletoe, hemlock, yellow-cedar. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/sciencef/scifi149.pdf 13-070M ►Hennon, P.; Oliver, M. 2013. Forest in decline: yellow-cedar research yields prototype for climate change adaptation planning. Science Findings 150. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 6 p. Yellow-cedar has been dying across 600 miles of North Pacific coastal rain forest—from Alaska to British Columbia—since about 1880. Thirty years ago, a small group of pathologists began investigating possible biotic causes of the decline. When no biotic cause could be found, the scope broadened into a research program that eventually Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station, First Quarter, 2013 encompassed the fields of ecology, soils, hydrology, ecophysiology, dendrochronology, climatology, and landscape analysis. Combined studies ultimately revealed that the loss of this culturally, economically, and ecologically valuable tree is caused by a warming climate, reduced snowpack, poor soil drainage, and the species’ shallow roots. These factors lead to fine-root freezing, which eventually kills the trees. The considerable knowledge gained while researchers sought the cause of widespread yellow-cedar mortality forms the basis for a conservation and adaptive management strategy. A new approach to mapping that overlays topography, cedar populations, soil drainage, and snow enables land managers to pinpoint locations where yellow-cedar habitat is expected to be suitable or threatened in the future, thereby bringing climate change predictions into management scenarios. The research program serves as a prototype for evaluating the effects of climate change in other landscapes. It shows the value of long-term, multidisciplinary research that encourages scientists and land managers to work together toward developing adaptive management strategies. Keywords: Climate change, yellow-cedar, Alaska, conservation. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/sciencef/scifi150.pdf 12-218S ►Vose, J.M.; Peterson, D.L.; P.-W., Toral, eds. 2012. Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-870. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 265 p. This report is a scientific assessment of the current condition and likely future condition of forest resources in the United States relative to climatic variability and change. It serves as the U.S. Forest Service forest sector technical report for the National Climate Assessment and includes descriptions of key regional issues and examples of a risk-based framework for assessing climate-change effects. By the end of the 21st century, forest ecosystems in the United States will differ from those of today as a result of changing climate. Although increases in temperature, changes in precipitation, higher atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2), and higher nitrogen (N) deposition may change ecosystem structure and function, the most rapidly visible and most significant short-term effects on forest ecosystems will be caused by altered disturbance regimes. For example, wildfires, insect infestations, pulses of erosion and flooding, and drought-induced tree mortality are all expected to increase during the 21st century. These direct and indirect climate-change effects are likely to cause losses of ecosystem services in some areas, but may also improve and expand ecosystem services in others. Some areas may be particularly vulnerable because current infrastructure and resource production are based on past climate and steady-state conditions. The ability of communities with resource-based economies to adapt to climate change is linked to their direct exposure to these changes, as well as to the social and institutional structures present in each environment. Human communities that have diverse economies and are resilient to change today will also be prepared for future climatic stresses. Significant progress has been made in developing scientific principles and tools for adapting to climate change through science-management partnerships focused on education, assessment of vulnerability of natural resources, and development of adaptation strategies and tactics. Although uncertainty exists about the magnitude and timing of climate-change effects on forest ecosystems, sufficient scientific information is available to begin taking action now. Building on practices compatible with adapting to climate change provides a good starting point for land managers who may want to begin the adaptation process. Establishing a foundation for managing forest ecosystems in the context of climate change as soon as possible will ensure that a broad range of options will be available for managing forest resources sustainably. Keywords: Adaptation, carbon, climate-change effects, National Climate Assessment, climatesmart management, ecological disturbance, forest ecosystems, mitigation. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr870/pnw_ gtr870.pdf 5 PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION Fire/Fuels 12-270S ►Vaillant, N.M.; Ager, A.A.; Anderson, J. 2013. ArcFuels10 system overview. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-875. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 65 p. Fire behavior modeling and geospatial analyses can provide tremendous insight for land managers as they grapple with the complex problems frequently encountered in wildfire risk assessments and fire and fuels management planning. Fuel management often is a particularly complicated process in which the benefits and potential impacts of fuel treatments need to be demonstrated in the context of land management goals and public expectations. The fuel treatment planning process is complicated by the lack of data assimilation among fire behavior models and weak linkages to geographic information systems (GIS), corporate data, and desktop office software. ArcFuels10 is a streamlined fuel management planning and wildfire risk assessment system that creates a trans-scale (stand to large landscape) interface to apply various forest growth and fire behavior models within an ArcGIS platform to design and test fuel treatment alternatives. The new version of ArcFuels has been implemented on Citrix at the Forest Service Enterprise Production Data Center, eliminating the need for desktop GIS, improving connectivity to the corporate geospatial databases housed at the data centers, and enabling sharing of information among Forest Service employees. This overview introduces ArcFuels10 and the tools available within the system. Further information, including download information, demonstration data, and a tutorial, can be found at http://www.fs.fed.us/wwetac/arcfuels/index.html. Keywords: ArcGIS, fire behavior models, forest growth models, fuel treatment planning, wildfire hazard, wildfire risk. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr875.pdf 12-248S ►Wright, C.S.; Vihnanek, R.E.; Restaino, J.C.; Dvorak, J.E. 2012. Photo series for quantifying natural fuels. Volume XI: eastern Oregon sagebrush-steppe and northern spotted owl nesting habitat in the Pacific Northwest. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-878. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 85 p. Three series of photographs display a range of natural conditions and fuel loadings for sagebrushsteppe types that are ecotonal with grasses, western juniper, and ponderosa pine in eastern Oregon, and one series of photographs displays a range of natural conditions and fuel loadings for northern spotted owl nesting habitat in forest types in Washington and Oregon. Each group of photos includes inventory information summarizing vegetation composition, structure, and loading; woody material loading and density by size class; forest floor depth and loading; and various site characteristics. The natural fuels photo series is designed to help land managers appraise fuel and vegetation conditions in natural settings. Keywords: Woody material, biomass, fuel loading, natural fuels, sagebrush-steppe, old-growth forest, greater sage-grouse, Centrocercus urophasianus, northern spotted owl, Strix occidentalis caurina. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr878.pdf Landscape Ecology 13-036S ►Kerns, 2012. B.K.; Shlisky, A.J.; Daniel, C.J., tech. eds. Proceedings of the First Landscape State-andTransition Simulation Modeling Conference, June 14–16, 2011, Portland, Oregon. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-869. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 215 p. The first ever Landscape State-and-Transition Simulation Modeling Conference was held from June 14–16, 2011, in Portland, Oregon. The conference 6 Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station, First Quarter, 2013 brought together over 70 users of state-and-transition simulation modeling tools—the Vegetation Dynamics Development Tool (VDDT), the Tool for Exploratory Landscape Analysis (TELSA) and the Path Landscape Model. The goal of the conference was to (1) provide opportunities for sharing experiences with different applications of the tools, (2) identify major existing conceptual or technological gaps, and develop goals for future state-and-transition simulation model (STSM) development, and (3) start building an international network of STSM users. Eighteen oral presentations and thirteen posters were presented. This proceeding includes thirteen papers that build on some key STSM concepts, applications, and innovations from that conference, and shares them with a wider audience. The goal of these proceedings is to provide a state-of-the-science reference for STSM modelers and users. All papers were peer-reviewed by two blind reviewers and one editor. The presentation of these papers reveals that the STSM approach has been applied to a wide range of management and land-use questions and ecosystems, with an equally wide variation in the amounts of scientific data and expert knowledge available for model parameterization. Keywords: Climate change, FVS, ILAP, Path Landscape Model, state-and-transition simulation model, TELSA, vegetation dynamics, vegetation ecology, VDDT, LANDFIRE. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr869.pdf Plant Ecology 12-199S ►Schuller, R.; Mayrsohn, C. 2013. Mohawk Research Natural Area: guidebook supplement 45. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-876. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 24 p. This guidebook describes major biological and physical attributes of the 119-ha (293-ac) Mohawk Research Natural Area. The area supports oldgrowth Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) forest characterized by plant associations representative of the western Cascade foothills. These include the western hemlock/Oregon grape-salal (Tsuga heterophylla/Berberis nervosa-Gaultheria shallon); western hemlock/Oregon grape/swordfern (Tsuga heterophylla/Berberis nervosa/Polystichum munitum); and western hemlock/Oregon oxalis (Tsuga heterophylla/Oxalis oregana) forest plant associations. Keywords: Research natural area, area of critical environmental concern, old-growth Douglas-fir. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr876.pdf 12-201S ►Schuller, R. 2013. Fox Hollow Research Natural Area: guidebook supplement 44. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-873. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 29 p. This guidebook describes Fox Hollow Research Natural Area (RNA), a 66-ha (163-ac) area that supports dry-site Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii)–ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) forest within the Oregon Coast Range ecoregion. Major forest plant associations represented at Fox Hollow RNA include Douglas-fir/ salal/western swordfern (Pseudotsuga menziesii/Gaultheria shallon/Polystichum munitum) forest and Douglas-fir/Oregongrape (Pseudotsuga menziesii/Berberis nervosa) forest. Other forested communities are represented within the RNA in minor amounts including: Douglas-fir/ poison oak (Pseudotsuga menziesii/Toxicodendron diversilobum) forest, ponderosa pine-Douglas-fir/ California fescue (Pinus ponderosa-Pseudotsuga menziesii/Festuca californica) woodland, and ponderosa pine-Douglas-fir-California black oak (Pinus ponderosa-Pseudotsuga menziesii-Quercus kelloggii) woodland. Keywords: Research natural area, area of critical environmental concern, old-growth ponderosa pine. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr873.pdf 7 PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION Resource Inventory 12-165S ►Cross, J.C.; Turnblom, E.C.; Ettl, G.J. 2013. Biomass production on the Olympic and Kitsap Peninsulas, Washington: updated logging residue ratios, slash pile volume-to-weight ratios, and supply curves for selected locations. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-872. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 30 p. Biomass residue produced by timber harvest operations is estimated for the Olympic and Kitsap Peninsulas, Washington. Scattered residues were sampled in 53 harvest units and piled residues were completely enumerated in 55 harvest units. Production is based on 2008 and 2009 data and is stratified by forest location, ownership type, harvest intensity, and harvest method. An additional sampling was taken to ascertain the mass of wood present in a pile of biomass: 20 piles of biomass were measured for gross volume, processed into hog fuel, and remeasured for volume; five samples were drawn from each pile and examined for volume, green mass, and bone-dry mass. An equation relating mass of wood in a pile to the gross biomass volume is derived. Finally, the availability and average delivered cost per ton of biomass is calculated for five delivery centers on the Olympic Peninsula. Keywords: Biomass, residue, slash, hog fuel, production, volume, density, supply curve. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr872.pdf Science Accomplishments 13-061M ►Mazza, R. 2013. 2012 Science Accomplishments of the Pacific Northwest Research Station. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 64 p. This report highlights significant research findings and accomplishments by the Pacific Northwest Research Station during fiscal year 2012. 8 Keywords: Climate change, fire, smoke, forest management across landscapes, watersheds, fish, wildlife, woody biomass, experimental forests and ranges. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/2012-science-accomplishments.pdf Silviculture 12-219S ►Devine, W.D.; Footen, P.W.; Harrison, R.B.; Terry, T.A.; Harrington, C.A.; Holub, S.M.; Gould, P.J. 2013. Estimating tree biomass, carbon, and nitrogen in two vegetation control treatments in an 11-yearold Douglas-fir plantation on a highly productive site. Res. Pap. PNW-RP-591. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 29 p. We sampled trees grown with and without competing vegetation control in an 11-year-old Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii var. menziesii (Mirb.) Franco) plantation on a highly productive site in southwestern Washington to create diameterbased allometric equations for estimating individualtree bole, branch, foliar, and total aboveground biomass. We used these equations to estimate per-hectare aboveground biomass, nitrogen (N), and carbon (C) content, and compared these results to (1) estimates based on biomass equations published in other studies, and (2) estimates made using the mean-tree method rather than allometric equations. Component and total-tree biomass equations were not influenced by the presence of vegetation control, although per-hectare biomass, C, and N estimates were greater where vegetation control was applied. Our biomass estimates differed from estimates using previously published biomass equations by as much as 23 percent. When using the mean-tree biomass estimation approach, we found that incorporating a previously published biomass equation improved accuracy of the mean-tree diameter calculation. Keywords: Douglas-fir, plantation, biomass, allometry, carbon, nitrogen. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_rp591.pdf Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station, First Quarter, 2013 Journals and Other Publications The following publications were not published by the Pacific Northwest (PNW) Research Station, although the work was supported by the station. These publications may be viewed online at the USDA Research and Development Treesearch Web site listed under each article. If you would like a hard copy, you may print the articles from this Web site. For more information about Treesearch, see page 3 of this report. You may also obtain hard copies through university libraries or from the publisher; some outlets may charge for these services. Forestry libraries in the Northwest receive proceedings volumes and subscribe to the journals in which PNW authors publish. Some forestry libraries in the Northwest are: Valley Library Natural Sciences Library Oregon State University Box 352900 Corvallis, OR 97331 University of Washington (Visit or request article from Seattle, WA 98195-2900 the Interlibrary Loan section) (To visit only) Interlibrary Borrowing Services Suzzallo Library, FM 25 University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195 (To request article only) Atmosphere ►Jovan, S.; Riddell, J.; Padgett, PE; Nash [et al.]. 2012. University of Alaska Library 3211 Providence Drive Anchorage, AK 99508 (Visit or request article from the Interlibrary Loan section) Ecosystem Structure and Function ►Gray, A.N.; Spies, T.A.; Pabst, R.J. 2012. Eutrophic lichens respond to multiple forms of N: implications for critical levels and critical loads research. Ecological Applications. 22(7): 1910–1922. Canopy gaps affect long-term patterns of tree growth and mortality in mature and old-growth forests in the Pacific Northwest. Forest Ecology and Management. 281: 111–120. Keywords: Ammonia, bark pH, bioindicators, critical levels of N gas concentrations, critical loads of N deposition, eutrophic lichens, lichens, nitric acid, nitrogen, nitrophytes, southern California, throughfall deposition. Keywords: Canopy gaps, disturbance, mortality, growth, spatial pattern, structural diversity. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43305 Climate Change ►Baird, R.A.; Verbyla, D.; Hollingsworth, T.N. 2012. Browning of the landscape of interior Alaska based on 1986-2009 Landsat sensor NDVI. Canadian Journal of Forestry Research. 42: 1371–1392. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43302 ►Hayes, D.J.; Turner, D.P.; Stinson, G. [et al.]. 2012. Reconciling estimates of the contemporary North American carbon balance among terrestrial biosphere models, atmospheric inversions, and a new approach for estimating net ecosystem exchange from inventory-based data. Global Change Biology. 18: (4). 1282–1299. Keywords: Climate change, NDVI, timeseries, Bonanza Greek Experimental Forest, Alaska. Keywords: Agriculture, carbon cycle, climate change, CO2 emissions, CO2 sinks, forests, inventory, modeling, North America. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43297 http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/41274 9 PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION ► Kasischke, E.S.; Turetsky, M.R.; Kane, E.S. 2012. Effects of trees on the burning of organic layers on permafrost terrain. Forest Ecology and Management. 267: 127–133. Keywords: Boreal forest, fire ecology, surface organic layer, permafrost. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/41407 Fire/Fuels ►Ager, 2012. A.A.; Buonopane, M.; Reger, A.; Finney, M.A. Wildfire exposure to analysis on the national forests in the Pacific Northwest, USA. Society for Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/j.15396924.2012.01911.x. 21 p. Keywords: Burn probability, exposure analysis, national forests, risk assessment, wildfire risk. ► Salis, M.; Ager, A.A.; Arca, B. [et al.]. 2012. Assessing exposure of human and ecological values to wildfire in Sardinia, Italy. International Journal of Wildland Fire. DOI: 10.1071/WF11060. 17 p. Keywords: Fire risk, burn probability, spatial patterns. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43317 ►Woolley, T.; Shaw, D.C.; Ganio, L.M. [et al.]. 2012. A review of logistic regression models used to predict post-fire tree mortality of western North American conifers. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 21: 1–35. Keywords: Fire behavior, fire injury, modelling, prescribed fire, wildland fire. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43320 http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43332 Forest Management ►Kasischke, E.S.; Hoy, E.E. 2012. Controls on carbon consumption during Alaskan wildland fires. Global Change Biology. 18: 685–699. Keywords: Boreal carbon dynamics, disturbance, fire ecology, fire emissions, fuel moisture, remote sensing. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43314 ► Miller, C; Ager, A.A. 2012. A review of recent advances in risk analysis for wildfire management. International Journal of Wildland Fire. DOI: 10.1071/WF11114: 14 p. Keywords: Burn probability, fire likelihood, hazard, risk assessment, risk assessment and analysis, risk science, technical reports and journal articles. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43316 ►Hummel, S.; Kennedy, M.; Steel, E.A. 2012. Assessing forest vegetation and fire simulation model performance after the Cold Springs wildfire, Washington USA. Forest Ecology and Management. 287: 40–52. Keywords: Forest structure, Forest Vegetation Simulator (FVS), multi-criteria assessment, Pareto optimality, fire behavior and effects. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43304 Invasive Plants and Animals ► Fischer, A.P.; Charnley, S. 2012. Private forest owners and invasive plants: risk perception and management. Invasive Plant Science and Management. 5: 375–389. Keywords: Nonindustrial private forest owners, ponderosa pine zone, invasive plant mitigation, forest management policy. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43299 10 Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station, First Quarter, 2013 ► Seipel, T.; Kueffer, C.; Rew, L.J. [et al.]. 2012. ► Juday, G.P.; Alix, C. 2012. Processes at multiple scales affect richness and similarity of non-native plant species in mountains around the world. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 21: 236–246. Consistent negative temperature sensitivity and positive influence of precipitation on growth of floodplain Picea glauca in Interior Alaska. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 42: 561–573. Keywords: Alien, altitude, beta-diversity, elevational gradients, plant invasions. Keywords: Climate sensitivity, dendrochronology, Picea glauca. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43318 http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43313 Mount St. Helens ► Spear, ►McCormick, [et al.]. 2012. S.F.; Crisafulli, C.M.; Storfer, A. 2012. Limitations on orchid recruitment: not a simple picture. Molecular Ecology. 21(6): 1511–1523. Genetic structure among coastal tailed frog populations of Mount St. Helens is moderated by post-disturbance management. Ecological Applications. 22(3): 856–869. Keywords: Amphibians, Ascaphus truei, coastal tailed frog, disturbance, inbreeding, landscape genetics, natural regeneration vs. management, recolonization, salvage logging. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43333 Keywords: Fungal distribution, Goodyera pubescens, Liparis liliifolia, mycorrhizae, Orchid, Orchidaceae, Tipularia discolor, Tulasnella. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/40955 ► Verbyla, 2012. A.J.; Camelini, C.M.; Rossi, M.J. [et al.]. Keywords: Browning, NDVI, drought, warming, remote sensing. Systematics of the Gomphales: the genus Gomphus sensu stricto. Mycotaxon. 120: 385–400. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43319 Keywords: Gloeocantharellus, Phaeoclavulina, Turbinellus. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43301 Ecosystem Structure and Function ►Grubisha, D.L. 2012. L.C.; Levsen, N.; Olson, M.S.; Taylor, Intercontinental divergence in the Populusassociated ectomycorrhizal fungus, Tricholoma populinum. New Phytologist. 194(2): 548–560. DOI: 10.1111/j.1469 8137.2012.04066.x. D. 2011. Browning boreal forests of western North America. Environmental Research Letters. 6: 041003. 3p. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/041003. Mycology ► Giachini, M.K.; Taylor,D.L.; Juhaszova, K. Social Sciences ► Fischer, A.P. 2012. Identifying policy target groups with qualitative and quantitative methods: the case of wildfire risk on nonindustrial private forest lands. Forest Policy and Economics. 25: 62–71. Keywords: Policy design, policy target groups, segmentation, nonindustrial private forest owners, fuel reduction policy. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43298 Keywords: Host specificity, mycorrhizal fungi, obligate symbiont, phylogeography. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43303 11 PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION ► Fischer, A.P.; Charnley, S. 2012. Risk and cooperation: managing hazardous fuel in mixed ownership landscapes. Environmental Management. 49: 1192–1207. Keywords: Wildfire risk perception, cooperation, landscape management, nonindustrial private forest owners, multi-method design, logistic regression, qualitative analysis, social exchange. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43300 Wildlife ►Miller, 2012. S.L.; Raphael, M.G.; Falxa, G.A. [et al.]. Recent population decline of the marbled murrelet in the Pacific Northwest. The Condor. 114(4): 771–781. Keywords: Brachyramphus marmoratus, marbled murrelet, Northwest Forest Plan, old-growth forest, population decline, population trends, seabird. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/42450 12 To receive a printed publication from this list, circle the appropriate number, and cut out this order card, place it in an envelope, and mail to: PNW Publications Portland Habilitation Center, Inc. 5312 NE 148th Portland, OR 97230-3438 Please leave label attached. 12-165S (GTR-872) 12-219S (RP-591) 13-046M (SF-149) 12-199S (GTR-876) 12-248S (GTR-878) 13-061M (SciAccomp) 12-201S (GTR-873) 12-270S (GTR-875) 13-070M (SF-150) 12-218S (GTR-870) 13-036S (GTR-869) 13-110M (RecentPubsQ4/2012) Check here to remove your name from (paper copy) mailing list or to indicate changes that you made on the address label. I would like to receive an email notification when the Recent Publications of the Pacific Northwest Research Station is available online. 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