Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Notes on stationary random processes and fields Hans-Jörg Starkloff Westsächsische Hochschule Zwickau DFG SPP 1324 - Mathematische Methoden zur Extraktion quantifizierbarer Information aus komplexen Systemen Seminar Stochastische Galerkin Methoden TU Bergakademie Freiberg 15.09.2009 Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 1 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 2 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Introductory remarks I aim of the talk: give some basic facts about stationary random processes and random fields and related concepts I stationary processes constitute a class of important and well investigated random processes often used in applications I basic property: probabilistic behaviour or certain probabilistic characteristics do not change for certain transformations I coefficients and/or inhomogeneous terms in random differential equations are often assumed to be stationary, e.g. κ = κ(x, ω) in uncertain (random) subsurface flow problem −∇ · (κ ∇u) = f u=0 Hans-Jörg Starkloff in D ⊂ Rd on ∂D Notes on stationary random processes and fields 3 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Strictly stationary random fields I I Let (Ω, A, P) be a fixed probability space. I Let (X, SX ) be a measurable space. An X-valued random process (X (t); t ∈ T = Rd ) is called a strictly stationary random process or field, if all finite dimensional distributions are translation invariant, i.e., it holds n n \ \ P X (tj ) ∈ Bj = P X (tj + t) ∈ Bj j=1 j=1 for all n ∈ N, t ∈ T, tj ∈ T, Bj ∈ SX , j = 1, . . . , n. I The parameter set T can also be N, Z, a linear space or group, . . . , or a subset thereof; in this case the additional restriction tj + t ∈ T (j = 1, . . . , n) must be included in the definition. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 4 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Strictly stationary random fields II I Here value sets are X = R or X = C and parameter sets are T = Rd (d ∈ N) or their subsets. I other names: • T = N, T = Z stationary sequence • T = R stationary process • T = Rd (d ∈ N, d > 1) homogeneous field ”stationary in the strong sense” or ”in the narrow sense” I important results: ergodic theorems (coincidence of spatial and ensemble means; laws of large numbers) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 5 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Strictly isotropic random fields I An X-valued random field (X (t); t ∈ T = Rd ) is called a strictly isotropic random field (with respect to 0), if all finite dimensional distributions are rotation invariant, i.e., it holds n n \ \ X (V tj ) ∈ Bj P X (tj ) ∈ Bj = P j=1 j=1 for all n ∈ N, tj ∈ T, Bj ∈ SX , j = 1, . . . , n and rotation (orthogonal) matrices V . I Very often strictly isotropic random fields are considered which are also strictly stationary (and they are called strictly isotropic random fields simply). Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 6 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Moments of strictly stationary random fields I I If for a strictly stationary random field moments exist they are invariant with respect to translations. I mean value m(t1 ) := E{X (t1 )} = E{X (t1 + t)} = m(t1 + t) = m = const. I covariance function (real case) KX (t1 , t2 ) := Cov{X (t1 ), X (t2 )} = E{[X (t1 ) − m(t1 )][X (t2 ) − m(t2 )]} = KX (t1 + t, t2 + t) = KX (t1 − t2 , 0) = K (t1 − t2 ) ”autocovariance function” in S TEIN I analogous: mixed second order moment function (real case) CX (t1 , t2 ) := E{X (t1 )X (t2 )} = C(t1 − t2 ) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 7 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Moments of strictly stationary random fields II I correlation function RX (t1 , t2 ) := Corr{X (t1 ), X (t2 )} = p Cov{X (t1 ), X (t2 )} p Var{X (t1 )} Var{X (t2 )} = RX (t1 + t, t2 + t) = RX (t1 − t2 , 0) = R(t1 − t2 ) I variance function (real case) Var{X (t1 )} = E{[X (t1 ) − m(t1 )]2 } = E{X (t1 )2 } − m(t1 )2 = Var{X (t1 + t)} = K (0) = const. ≥ 0 I analogous in the complex case with Cov{X (t1 ), X (t2 )} := E{[X (t1 ) − m(t1 )][X (t2 ) − m(t2 )]} = E{X (t1 )X (t2 )} − m(t1 )m(t2 ) Var{X (t)} := E{|X (t) − m(t)|2 } = E{|X (t)|2 } − |m(t)|2 Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 8 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Weakly stationary and isotropic random fields I I A scalar-valued random field (X (t); t ∈ T = Rd ) is called weakly stationary, if the first two moments exist and they are translation invariant, i.e., it holds E{X (t)} = m(t) = m = const. Cov{X (t1 ), X (t2 )} = K (t1 − t2 ) I I A scalar-valued random field (X (t); t ∈ T = Rd ) is called weakly isotropic (with respect to 0), if the first two moments exist and they are rotation invariant. A scalar-valued random field (X (t); t ∈ T = Rd ) is weakly stationary and isotropic iff it holds with Euclidean norm | · | E{X (t)} = m(t) = m = const. Cov{X (t1 ), X (t2 )} = K (|t1 − t2 |). Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 9 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Weakly stationary and isotropic random fields II I other name: wide sense stationary or isotropic random fields I there exist strictly stationary/isotropic random fields, which are not weakly stationary/isotropic (if moments do not exist) I there exist weakly stationary/isotropic random fields, which are not strictly stationary/isotropic simple example: (X (t); t ∈ Rd ) with independent random variables X (t) for t ∈ Rd , equal means and variances, but different distributions I for some classes both concepts coincide, e.g. normal random fields, lognormal random fields (as exponentials of normal random fields) I in the following we consider mainly weakly stationary and isotropic random fields Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 10 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Mean square calculus I I I I different convergence concepts for random variables ⇒ different regularity or smoothness types for random processes for weakly stationary/isotropic random fields important are pathwise regularity and mean square regularity mean square properties of random processes are related to properties of the mean value function and the covariance function (or mixed second order moment function) mean square limit (limit in quadratic mean) of a sequence of random variables 2 Xn →L X I (n → ∞) ⇔ lim E{|Xn − X |2 } = 0 n→∞ it follows convergence in probability (stochastic convergence), almost sure convergence in general does not follow Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 11 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Mean square continuity I I given: metric space T ; scalar valued random process (X (t); t ∈ T) with E{|X (t)|2 } < ∞ ∀ t ∈ T I random process (X (t); t ∈ T) is m.s. continuous at t0 ∈ T ⇔ 2 X (tn ) →L X (t0 ) for tn → t0 ⇔ mixed second order moment function T × T 3 (s, t) 7→ E{X (s)X (t)} is continuous at (t0 , t0 ) ⇔ mean value function T 3 t 7→ E{X (t)} is continuous at t0 and covariance function T × T 3 (s, t) 7→ Cov{X (s), X (t)} is continuous at (t0 , t0 ) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 12 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Mean square continuity II I for weakly stationary random processes: (X (t); t ∈ T ⊂ Rd ) is mean square continuous at t0 ∈ T ⇔ (X (t); t ∈ T) is mean square continuous at any t ∈ T ⇔ autocovariance function K (t) is continuous at t = 0 ⇔ autocovariance function K (t) is continuous at t ∈ T ∀ t ∈ T (and is uniform continuous) (or mixed second order moment function or correlation function) I mean square continuity does not imply continuity of paths I If a weakly stationary process is not mean square continuous, then there does not exist a modification which is measurable. Measurable random process: mapping T × Ω 3 (t, ω) 7→ X (t, ω) is B(T) ⊗ A−measurable. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 13 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Mean square differentiability I I given: open interval T ⊂ R ; scalar-valued random process (X (t); t ∈ T) with E{|X (t)|2 } < ∞ ∀ t ∈ T I random process (X (t); t ∈ T) is m.s. differentiable at t0 ∈ T X (t0 + h) − X (t0 ) L2 0 ⇔ → X (t0 ) for h → 0 h ⇔ for mixed second order moment function T × T 3 (s, t) 7→ C(s, t) := E{X (s)X (t)} exists at (t0 , t0 ) ∂ 2 C(s,t) ∂s ∂t C(s+h,t+h0 )−C(s+h,t)−C(s,t+h0 )+C(s,t) h h0 h,h →0 = lim 0 ⇔ mean value function T 3 t 7→ m(t) is differentiable at t0 and for covariance function T × T 3 (s, t) 7→ K (s, t) exists ∂ 2 K (s, t) generalized second derivative at (t0 , t0 ) ∂s ∂t Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 14 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Mean square differentiability II I for weakly stationary random processes: (X (t); t ∈ T ⊂ R) is mean square differentiable at t0 ∈ T ⇔ (X (t); t ∈ T) is mean square differentiable at any t ∈ T 2 ⇔ for autocovariance function K (t) exists d dtK2(t) at t = 0 (or for mixed second order moment or correlation function) I I I autocovariance function of m.s. derivative (X 0 (t); t ∈ T ⊂ R) d2 K (t) (this is again a weakly stationary process) equals − dt 2 mean square differentiability does not imply differentiability of paths but there is a modification with continuous paths analogous for mean square partial derivatives in case of T ⊂ Rd (d ∈ N, d > 1) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 15 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Preliminary remarks to positive definite functions I autocovariance functions of weakly stationary random processes are positive definite functions I this concept is useful for the investigation of many properties of weakly stationary random processes I positive definite functions play a role also in functional analysis, theory of integral equations, approximation theory, . . . I in stochastics mainly two types: • autocovariance functions and mixed second order moment functions of weakly stationary processes • characteristic functions of real random variables or random vectors Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 16 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Positive definite kernels I given: nonempty set T; function T × T 3 (s, t) 7→ K (s, t) ∈ C I This function is called a positive definite kernel if for arbitrary n ∈ N, t1 , . . . , tn ∈ T and complex numbers z1 , . . . , zn it holds n X K (tk , tl )zk zl ≥ 0. (1) k ,l=1 K (tk , tj ) k ,l=1,...,n are I equivalent condition : all matrices non-negative definite I for real-valued functions equivalent condition : K (s, t) = K (t, s) and equation (1) holds for real numbers z1 , . . . , zn I e.g. K (s, t) = s − t, t, s ∈ R is not positive definite although (1) holds for real numbers z1 , . . . , zn Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 17 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Positive definite kernels and random processes I given: nonempty set T; positive definite kernel (s, t) 7→ K (s, t) I Then there exists a random process (X (t); t ∈ T) with covariance function K (s, t) on an appropriate probability space. (The same holds for the mixed second order moment function.) It can be prescribed also an arbitrary mean value function T 3 t 7→ m(t). One can take a Gaussian process for instance. I For other distributions of random processes there may be restrictions to the allowed covariance functions. I On the other side, any covariance function and any mixed second order moment function of a random process with finite second order moments is a positive definite kernel. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 18 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Properties of positive definite kernels I I K (t, t) ≥ 0 ∀t ∈ T I K (s, t) = K (t, s) ∀ (s, t) ∈ T × T I |K (s, t)|2 ≤ K (s, s)K (t, t) ∀ (s, t) ∈ T × T I |K (t1 , t3 ) − K (t2 , t3 )| ≤ K (t3 , t3 ) [K (t1 , t1 ) + K (t2 , t2 ) − 2<K (t1 , t2 )] ∀ t1 , t2 , t3 ∈ T I If K is a positive definite kernel, then so are the functions K and <K . I If K1 , K2 , . . . , Kn are positive definite kernels and n X ci ≥ 0, i = 1, . . . , n, then K (s, t) := ci Ki (s, t) is a positive i=1 definite kernel. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 19 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Properties of positive definite kernels II I If each Kn , n ∈ N, is a positive definite kernel and the limit K (s, t) := lim Kn (s, t) exists pointwise, then K (s, t) is a n→∞ I I I positive definite kernel. The product of positive definite kernels is a positive definite kernel. If K (s, t) is a positive definite kernel, then so are the functions exp(K (s, t)), exp(K (s, t)n ) (n ∈ N), sinh(K (s, t)), cosh(K (s, t)). A function T × T 3 (s, t) 7→ K (s, t) ∈ C is a positive definite kernel if and only if there exists a family (fi ; i ∈ I) of functions X on T with |fi (t)|2 < ∞ ∀ t ∈ T, such that it holds i∈I K (s, t) = X fi (s)fi (t). i∈I Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 20 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Positive definite functions I given: nonempty set T ⊂ Rd ; function T 3 t 7→ K (t) ∈ C I This function is called a positive definite function if for arbitrary n ∈ N, t1 , . . . , tn ∈ T and complex numbers z1 , . . . , zn it holds n X K (tk − tl )zk zl ≥ 0. (2) k ,l=1 K (tk − tj ) k ,l=1,...,n are I equivalent condition : all matrices non-negative definite I for real-valued functions equivalent condition : K (t) = K (−t) and equation (2) holds for real numbers z1 , . . . , zn Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 21 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Positive definite functions and weakly stationary random processes I given: positive definite function K (t) on Rd I Then there exists a weakly stationary random process (X (t); t ∈ Rd ) with autocovariance function K (t) on an appropriate probability space. (The same holds for the mixed second order moment function.) One can take a Gaussian process for instance. I For other distributions of random processes there may be restrictions to the allowed covariance functions. I On the other side, any autocovariance function and any mixed second order moment function of a weakly stationary random process is a positive definite function. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 22 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Properties of positive definite functions I I K (0) ≥ 0 I K (t) = K (−t) ∀ t ∈ Rd I |K (t)| ≤ K (0) ∀ t ∈ Rd I |K (t1 ) − K (t2 )| ≤ 2K (0) [K (0) − <K (t2 − t1 )] I If K is positive definite, then so are the functions K and <K . I If K1 , K2 , . . . , Kn are positive definite and ci ≥ 0, i = 1, . . . , n, n X then K (t) := ci Ki (t) is positive definite. I If each Kn is positive definite, and K (t) := lim Kn (t) exists ∀ t1 , t2 ∈ Rd i=1 n→∞ pointwise, then K (t) is positive definite. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 23 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Properties of positive definite functions II I The product of positive definite functions is positive definite. I If K (t) is a positive definite function, then so are the functions exp(K (t)), cosh(K (t)), exp(i(t, x))K (t) (x ∈ Rd ), . . .. I d If K (t) is a positive definite function Z on R for which the Fourier transform exists, K̂ (α) := K (t) exp(−i(t, α)) dt, Rd α ∈ Rd , then it holds K̂ (α) ≥ 0, α ∈ Rd . I I Conversely, a function with non-negative Fourier transform is a positive definite function. Z If K is positive definite with |K (t)| dt < ∞, then it holds Rd Z K (t) dt ≥ 0. Rd Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 24 Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Characteristic functions of random variables I I given: real random variable ξ with distribution function Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x) and probability density fξ (x) if exists characteristic function of ξ : complex-valued function of a real variable Z n o Z ϕξ (u) = E eiuξ = eiux dFξ (x) = eiux fξ (x) dx R I I I I R it determines uniquely the distribution of the random variable it is a uniform continuous positive definite function on R; ϕξ (0) = 1 it is real if and only if the distribution of ξ is symmetric smoothness of ϕξ (u) at u = 0 is related to the existence of moments of the random variable; (∃ ϕ(2n) (0) ⇒ E{ξ 2n } < ∞, . . . ) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 25 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Characteristic functions of random vectors I I analogous for real random vectors ξ = (ξ1 , . . . , ξd )T with joint distribution function Fξ (x) = P(ξ ≤ x), x ∈ Rd , and probability density fξ (x) if exists characteristic function of random vector ξ : complex-valued function on Rd Z n o Z i(u,x) i(u,ξ) e dFξ (x) = ei(u,x) fξ (x) dx ϕξ (u) = E e = Rd I I Rd with Euclidean scalar product (u, x) it is a uniform continuous positive definite function on Rd For each continuous positive definite function ϕ on Rd with ϕ(0) = 1 there exists a corresponding uniquely defined probability distribution on Rd , such that it is the characteristic function of this distribution. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 26 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Characteristic functions and random processes I I I I I I given: continuous positive definite function K on Rd with K (0) = 1 consider random vector ξ in Rd with characteristic function K (u) = E{exp(i(u, ξ))}, u ∈ Rd consider a random variable η with uniform distribution on [0, 2π) which is independent of ξ then the complex-valued weakly (and strictly) stationary random process X (t) := ei((ξ,t)+η) , t ∈ Rd , has as its autocovariance function the function K analogous: real random process X (t) := 2 cos((ξ, t) + η) for random vector ξ with real characteristic function all paths of these weakly stationary random processes are infinitely often differentiable (although not all these processes are mean square differentiable) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 27 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Spectral representation of positive definite functions I Theorem (B OCHNER -K HINCHIN) For a given continuous positive definite function K on Rd there exists a uniquely defined finite measure F on (Rd , B(Rd )) with F (Rd ) = K (0), such that it holds for all t ∈ Rd Z K (t) = ei(t,α) F (dα). Rd The measure is called the spectral measure of the weakly stationary random process if K is the covariance function of the random process. If the measure is absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure on (Rd , B(Rd )) the density is called the spectral density. Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 28 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Spectral representation of positive definite functions II Z I |K (t)| dt < ∞, the spectral density exists and it is If Rd continuous and bounded on Rd . I Linear transformations of weakly stationary random processes can be desribed with corresponding operations on the spectral functions or densities. I Let (X (t); t ∈ R) be a weakly stationary random process on R with existing spectral density f . Then the process is mean square differentiable, iff the function R 3 α 7→ α2 f (α) is Lebesgue-integrable on R. The spectral density of the mean square derivative is the function α 7→ α2 f (α). I Analogous for higher order derivatives and partial derivatives of weakly homogeneous random fields on Rd . Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 29 Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Example I Example: α1 , . . . , αn ∈ R; random variables ξ1 , . . . , ξn with E{ξk } = 0, E{ξk ξl } = δkl fk ≥ 0 n X ξk eitαk , t ∈ R, is weakly stationary with Then X (t) := k =1 autocovariance function K (t) = n X itαk fk e k =1 with F (B) = X Z = eitα F (dα) R fk , B ∈ B(R). k :αk ∈B (superposition of harmonic functions with random amplitudes) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 30 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Measurable isotropic autocovariance functions I A measurable covariance function of a wide sense stationary and isotropic random field on Rd with d ∈ N, d ≥ 2 has the form K (t) = Kc (t) + a1{0} (t) I I with a continuous isotropic autocovariance function Kc , 1 t =0 1{0} (t) = and a ≥ 0. 0 t 6= 0 The second term corresponds to the so called nugget effect. as already was mentioned: measurable modification Hans-Jörg Starkloff for a > 0 there does not exist a Notes on stationary random processes and fields 31 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Weakly stationary and isotropic fields I I A function K (t) : R+ → R is an isotropic autocovariance function of a mean square continuous wide sense stationary and isotropic random field on Rd if and only it can be represented as K (t) = 2 I I I d−2 2 Z ∞ J d−2 (st) d 2 Γ G(ds), d−2 2 0 (st) 2 0 ≤ t < ∞, where G is a finite measure on [0, ∞) with G ([0, ∞)) = K (0). Z ∞ d = 2 K (t) = J0 (st) G(ds) 0 Z ∞ sin(st) d = 3 K (t) = 2 G(ds) st 0 Jν (x) Bessel function of first kind Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 32 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Definitions and basic properties Mean square properties Positive definite functions Spectral representation Weakly stationary and isotropic fields II I differential equation for Bessel functions x 2 Jν00 (x) + xJν0 (x) + (x 2 − ν 2 )Jν (x) = 0 I series representation ν+2k ∞ X (−1)k x2 Jν (x) = k !Γ(ν + k + 1) k =0 I different representations of covariance functions useful for investigation of properties Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 33 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Exponentially correlated random processes I I I I I basic object: measurable second order random process (Xt ; t ∈ T ⊂ R) with properties • m(t) := E{Xt } = 0 ∀ t ∈ T • K (s, t) := E{Xs Xt } = σ 2 exp(−a|t − s|) ∀ t, s ∈ T with parameters σ 2 > 0, a > 0 (⇒ weakly stationary) Z ∞ 1 −a|τ | = e dτ is often called correlation length a 0 covariance function K (s, t) is continuous ⇒ ∃ always a measurable modification for stochastic processes with such a covariance function Z T moreover, due to R(t, t) dt < ∞ there exist a modification 0 with paths in the space L2 ([0, T ], dt) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 34 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Exponentially correlated random processes II I the corresponding spectral function and spectral density of such a stationary process (on R) are α 1 1 + arctan 2 Zπ a ∞ a 1 exp(−iαt)r (τ ) dτ = f (α) = 2π −∞ π(a2 + α2 ) F (α) = I such processes are mean square continuous but not mean square differentiable (because the autocovariance function is continuous but not 2 times differentiable at τ = 0) Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 35 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Exponentially correlated random processes III I a Gaussian exponentially correlated stationary random process is also strictly stationary and has a modification with continuous paths: application of Kolmogorov’s theorem, using E{|Xt − Xs |4 } ≤ 2a2 e2T |t − s|2 I s, t ∈ [0, T ] but there exist exponentially correlated random processes for which there does not exist a modification with continuous paths ! Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 36 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process I I I centered Gaussian process (Xt ; t ∈ [0, ∞)) with covariance function E{Xt Xs } = σ 2 exp(−a|t − s|) is stationary solution of the stochastic differential equation √ dXt = −a Xt dt + 2a σ dWt or as integral eq. Z t √ Xt = X0 − a Xs ds + 2a σ Wt 0 I or solution of this stochastic differential equation with initial condition X0 ∼ N (0, σ 2 ) indpendent of the standard Wiener process (Wt ; t ∈ [0, ∞)) heuristic writing with white noise Ẇt : √ Ẋt + a Xt = 2a σ Ẇt Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 37 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process II I properties of paths e.g. from representations −at Xt = X0 e Xt = X0 e−at √ Z t 2a σ ea(s−t) Ws ds + 0 Z t √ + 2a σ ea(s−t) dWs +a √ 2a σ Wt 0 I time discretization on grid tk := kh, k ∈ N0 (h > 0) leads to approximate random difference equation √ Yk +1 = (1 − a h) Yk + 2a h σ ξk with i.i.d. N (0, 1) r.v. (ξk ; k ∈ N) and Y0 := X0 Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 38 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Matérn class of isotropic autocovariance functions I I I I S TEIN recommend to use Matérn class of isotropic autocovariance functions parameters can be chosen such that different mean square smoothness properties can be achieved for weakly stationary random process on R: spectral density : with c > 0, a > 0, ν > 0 f (α) = (a2 c , + α2 )ν+1/2 α∈R autocovariance function √ c π K (t) = (a|t|)ν Kν (a|t|), 2ν−1 Γ ν + 21 a2ν Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields t ∈R 39 Introduction Stationary and isotropic random fields Examples Exponentially correlated random processes Matern class Matérn class of isotropic autocovariance functions II I Kν is a modified Bessel function I parameter ν defines mean square smoothness : Z if α2m f (α) dα < ∞ then the process is m times mean square R differentiable I for values ν = m + 21 , m ∈ N0 rational spectral density, e.g. 1 2 3 ν= 2 ν= I ⇒ ⇒ cπ −a|t| e a cπ K (t) = (1 + a|t|)e−a|t| 2a3 K (t) = extends also to the case of random fields on Rd with d ≥ 2 Hans-Jörg Starkloff Notes on stationary random processes and fields 40