Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Implications of Using Identity-by-Descent versus Identity-by-State Matrices in Genetic Analyses R.L. Fernando H. Cheng X. Sun Department of Animal Science Iowa State University International Plant and Animal Genome XXII Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary IBD Matrices Pedigree Analyses: IBD probabilities conditional on pedigree Estimation of genetic variance components: ANOVA, ML, REML Prediction of genetic merit: BLP (Selection Index), BLUP Marker Analyses: IBD probabilities at unobserved QTL, conditional on markers and pedigree LE: Chevelat et al. (1984), Fernando and Grossman (1989), Goddard (1992) LD: Meuwissen and Goddard (2000) Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary IBD Matrices Pedigree Analyses: IBD probabilities conditional on pedigree Estimation of genetic variance components: ANOVA, ML, REML Prediction of genetic merit: BLP (Selection Index), BLUP Marker Analyses: IBD probabilities at unobserved QTL, conditional on markers and pedigree LE: Chevelat et al. (1984), Fernando and Grossman (1989), Goddard (1992) LD: Meuwissen and Goddard (2000) Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary IBS Matrices Suppose QTL genotypes are observed: IBS probabilities for X\Y AA AA 1 Aa 0.5 aa 0 individuals X and Y: Aa aa 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 Nejati-Javaremi et al. (1997): Mixed model analysis with A replaced by T, which is twice the matrix of IBS probabilities averaged across all QTL. Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary IBS Matrices Suppose QTL genotypes are observed: IBS probabilities for X\Y AA AA 1 Aa 0.5 aa 0 individuals X and Y: Aa aa 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 Nejati-Javaremi et al. (1997): Mixed model analysis with A replaced by T, which is twice the matrix of IBS probabilities averaged across all QTL. Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Equivalent Models QTL effects model y = 1µ + Qα + e 0 T = QQ 2k (Fernando, 1998), for Q with two columns per locus Assuming α ∼ (0, Iσα2 ) makes this equivalent to model of Nejati-Javaremi et al. Breeding value model y = 1µ + a + e a =Qα Var (a|Q) = T2kσα2 Is Tσα2 a genetic covariance matrix? Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Equivalent Models QTL effects model y = 1µ + Qα + e 0 T = QQ 2k (Fernando, 1998), for Q with two columns per locus Assuming α ∼ (0, Iσα2 ) makes this equivalent to model of Nejati-Javaremi et al. Breeding value model y = 1µ + a + e a =Qα Var (a|Q) = T2kσα2 Is Tσα2 a genetic covariance matrix? Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Two-allele and One-allele Models Two-allele Model One-allele Model Genotype A-column a-column AA 2 0 Aa 1 1 aa 0 2 2 columns per locus in Q Genotype A-column AA 2 Aa 1 aa 0 1 column per locus in Q The one-allele model is used in most genome analyses: 0 G = QQ k replaces A Using T or G in mixed model analysis gives identical predictions Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Genetic Covariance Matrices IBD Var (a|P) ∝ A Var (a|A) ∝ A IBS Var (a|?) ∝ G Var (a|Q) ∝ G, given random α, but not a genetic covariance matrix. Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Genetic Covariance Matrices IBD Var (a|P) ∝ A Var (a|A) ∝ A IBS Var (a|?) ∝ G Var (a|Q) ∝ G, given random α, but not a genetic covariance matrix. Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Compare Var (a|P) to Var (a|Q) Consider diagonal element i of: Var (a|P) = Aσa2 : aii σa2 this is the genetic variance among animals with inbreeding (aii − 1) expected genetic progress from selection is related to this variance Var (a|Q) = Gkσα2 : gii kσα2 this is the variance among animals with genotypes q0i over different realizations of α expected genetic progress from selection among such animals is zero! so, gii kσα2 is not a genetic variance! Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Compare Var (a|P) to Var (a|Q) Consider diagonal element i of: Var (a|P) = Aσa2 : aii σa2 this is the genetic variance among animals with inbreeding (aii − 1) expected genetic progress from selection is related to this variance Var (a|Q) = Gkσα2 : gii kσα2 this is the variance among animals with genotypes q0i over different realizations of α expected genetic progress from selection among such animals is zero! so, gii kσα2 is not a genetic variance! Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary What is Var (a|G, α)? Recall, G = QQ0 k = ∑ qj q0j k So, interchanging the columns of Q will give the same G Also, changing the sign of one or more columns of Q does not change the value of G The different Q matrices that result in the same G gives rise to a distribution for a = Qα Unfortunately, Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary What is Var (a|G, α)? Recall, G = QQ0 k = ∑ qj q0j k So, interchanging the columns of Q will give the same G Also, changing the sign of one or more columns of Q does not change the value of G The different Q matrices that result in the same G gives rise to a distribution for a = Qα Unfortunately, Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary What is Var (a|G, α)? Recall, G = QQ0 k = ∑ qj q0j k So, interchanging the columns of Q will give the same G Also, changing the sign of one or more columns of Q does not change the value of G The different Q matrices that result in the same G gives rise to a distribution for a = Qα Unfortunately, Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary What is Var (a|G, α)? Recall, G = QQ0 k = ∑ qj q0j k So, interchanging the columns of Q will give the same G Also, changing the sign of one or more columns of Q does not change the value of G The different Q matrices that result in the same G gives rise to a distribution for a = Qα Unfortunately, Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary What is Var (a|G, α)? Recall, G = QQ0 k = ∑ qj q0j k So, interchanging the columns of Q will give the same G Also, changing the sign of one or more columns of Q does not change the value of G The different Q matrices that result in the same G gives rise to a distribution for a = Qα Unfortunately, Var (a|G, α) 6∝ G in general Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Solution Following Sorensen et al. (2001), define the genetic variance as V (a) = 1 n ∑ (ai − ā)2 n i=1 This is the variance of a randomly sampled ai Estimate V (a) as V̂ (a) = E [V (a)|y, Q] Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Alternative Solution Following Powell et al. (2010), model breeding values as k a = qj ∑ p2pj qj p 2pj qj αj j=1 k = ∑ xj βj j=1 = Xβ Then, Var (a|X) becomes XX0 2 kσβ k = Gβ kσβ2 Var (a|X) = If βj are observed, MLE of σβ2 is ∑ βj2 k = ∑ 2pj qj αj2 k Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Alternative Solution (Cont.) So, given HWE, LE and sufficient data, MLE(kσβ2 ) = ∑ 2pj qj αj2 = V (a) Then, Var (a|X) = Gβ V (a) This is still not a genetic covariance matrix Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Simulation Results 200 observations from 2 or 40 fullsib families; V (a) = 1, h2 = 0.5, k = 100 HWE LE V̂ (a) σ̂β2 Families Y Y N N Y N Y N 0.99 1.01 0.99 0.99 1.03 1.30∗ 1.29∗ 1.26∗ 40 40 2 2/400 Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Summary When QTL genotypes are not observed, IBD probabilities are useful to model genetic covariances. When QTL genotypes are observed, they can be included in the model explicitly to estimate substitution effects. The equivalent breeding-value model may have a computational advantage. The G matrix is not a genetic relationship matrix. When two individuals have identical genotypes, their relationship is irrelevant Background Genetic Variance Simulation Summary Acknowledgements Colleagues: Dorian Garrick Jack Dekkers Ania Wolc Jian Zeng Funding NIH Grant R01GM099992 USDA/AFRI project EBIGS