A User's Guide to the World 011l Project Demand Data Base* by Jacqueline Carson August, 1978 MITEL78 - 016 WP *This data base was assembled as part of an econometric study of world energy demand. The work was funded by the National Science Foundation under Grants SIA75- 00738 and AR78- 19044, and is part of a project to develop analytical models of the world oil market. The data base now resides on the TROLLsys- tem at the MIT Information Processing Service. the membersof the World Oil Project for their The author is indebted to conmments and suggestions. TABLE OF CONTENTS page Chapter 1: Introduction .................. Chapter 2: Industrial Sector Demand Data . . . . . . . . . Table 2-1: Chapter 3: . Residential Sector Data File Listing . . . Transportation Sector Data File Listing. Petroleum Product Demand Data . Table 5-1: . . 9 . 22 . Transportation Sector Demand Data . . . . . . Table 4-1: Chapter 5: Industrial Sector Data File Listing . 1 Residential Sector Demand Data . . . . . . . . Table 3-1: Chapter 4: . 56 66 83 90 .... 113 Petroleum Product Data File Listing . . . 129 Chapter 6: Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 Chapter 7: TROLL Data File Names . . . . . . . . . . . . Chapter 8: ConversionFactors Chapter 9: Purchasing Power Parities . . . . . . . . . . 218 Chapter 10: Accessing the Data Base . . . . . . . . . . 237 .. 191 . . . 208 . CHAPTER ONE Introduction The User's Guide to the World Oil Project Demand Database* is designed to serve several purposes. One objective is to document the data used in the World Oil Project demand analysis; to report the sources used, and to describe the transformations standardized units. required to convert the data to The guide should also be helpful as a reference for finding out what information we have compiled, how to access this data, and to understand some of the issues involved in energy consumption information. This information will be presented with separate chapters for the different sections of the database and for the different issues involved. Most of the information is also presented in tabular form for quick reference to a complete listing. The data has been .compiled on TROLL,** a computer software package which provides a comprehensive environment for creating, estimating and simulating economic models. All of the data files cover years 1950-1974. The data base can easily be made available to other groups. A brief background of the origin of the database may help the user to understand its structure and organization. The data to be described *This data base was assembled as part of an econometric study of world energy demand, and is part of a project to develop analytical models of the world oil market. **For further information contact Information Processing Service at MIT. -2- here is the demanddata, used for econometric estimation and analysis. There was an interaction between the data collection and the modeling effort: detailed questions concerning the oil market were to be investigated and data avAilability had to be ascertained before precise research questions could be formulated. The result has been an emphasis on the following: 1) for the industrial sector data: data on oil and other fuels consumed by industry amd prices of energy, capital and labor; 2) for the residential sector: data on consumers' expenditures on energy and other consumer items, prices and disposable income; 3) for the transportation sector: data on the stock of vehicles, gasoline and fuel consumption, prices, and taxes on fuels; and 4) data on oil diesel consumption by product, prices, and levels of economic activity for individual countries and aggregate world regions. The most important oil consuming countries have the most extensive energy price, quantity, and expenditure data available and therefore are included in the database in the most detail. The data is organized by sector as described above, rather than by country. Since some data is common to more than one sector there may be some duplication of information between sectors, and in order to locate all of the data available for one country it may be necessary to look at several sectors. At the end of this section, Tables 1-1 through 1-4 present summarized data availability, listing the countries and variables fdr each sector. Chapters Two through Five deal exclusively with the data. Chapter Two discusses the industrial data, consumption of fuels, prices of energy, capital and labor, as summarized in Table 1-1. and from where, and from where, will will How the information was obtained, be described in Chapter be described in Chapter Two, Two, followed by a followed by a -3- table which alphabetically lists all of the data files. on data have the same format. The other chapters Chapter Three presents the residential data, consumers expenditures and retail prices as summarized in Table 1-2. Chapter Four gives the transportation data, stocks of vehicles and fuel prices, summarized in Table 1-3. Chapter Five contains the petroleum product demand data, consumption of petroleum by product, fuel prices and economic activity indicators, summarized in Table 1-4. Chapter Six contains a bibliography of all the sources used. The bibliography is not an alphabetical listing of sources, but is numbered, the numbers referring to a bibliography code number contained in the comment section of each of the data files. The bibliography code numbers are also those in the tables in Chapters Two, Three, Four and Five. The tables and indexes of Chapter Seven should help the user understand the data file names and to locate specific variables. The data file names are actually mnemonics for the variables concerned, and these mnemonics are listed alphabetically and defined. There is also an index of terms which refers to the data file names and indicates in which section a particular variable can be found. The next two chapters deal with some of the issues involved in compiling this database. Chapter Eight contains the fuel conversion factors, defines the units used and discusses a few of the problems encountered. Chapter Nine deals with purchasing power parities, the conversions used to convert currencies to US dollars, and contains tables of the purchasing power parities used. Chapter Ten provides information for those who may wish to access the data on TROLL, or to otherwise obtain part of this data. Some -4- information on TROLL data editing is included, with examples of data vectors or files. The following tables, 1-1 through 1-4 summarize data availability by sector and country. These tables will give the reader an overall viewof the scope of the database and will aid in directing the reader to specific chapters . -5- 1-1 Table Industrial Sector - Chapter 2 countries: Canada, France, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom, USA, West Germany data: industrial consumption of petroleum, coal, electricity, gas industrial prices of petroleum, coal, electricity, gas expenditure on fuels price of capital price of labor gross value of output value added long term interest rate asset price indices producer durables non-residential structures wages purchasing power parities -6- Table Residential Sector - 1-2 Chapter3 countries: Belgium, Canada, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, United Kingdon, USA, West Germany data: private consumption expenditure on: gas, electricity, petroleum, coal, food, clothing, durables, transportation, other, and indices for all items retail prices of electricity, gas, liquid fuel, and coal personal disposable income population temperature purchasing power parities -7- Table 1-3 Transportation Sector - Chapter4 countries: Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, USA, West Germany data: stock of vehicles, buses, goods vehicles, passenger cars new registrations traffic volume, buses, goods vehicles, passenger cars consumption of motor gasoline, diesel fuel percentage of motor gasoline and diesel fuel, used in road vehicles price of motor gasoline, diesel fuel taxation of motor gasoline, diesel fuel -8- Table 1-4 Product Demand Data - Chapter 5 Group I countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, USA, West Germany data: total consumption of petroleum products: aviation gas, crude, fuel oils, gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, LPG prices of some petroleum products population temperature gdp and index purchasing power parities for some countries Group II countries: Argentina, Brazil, India, Mexico, South Africa, Venezuela data: consumption of petroleum products: aviation gas and motor fuel, fuel oil, jet fuel and kerosene, production of feedstocks prices of some petroleum products population gdp, index temperature -9 - CHAPTER TWO Industrial Sector Demand Data Our industrial sector energy demand data was compiled for the World Oil Project analysis of the industrial sector. It contains historic time series for ten major energy-consuming countries on value added, capital, labor and energy prices, expenditure shares of manufacturing output, and industrial consumption of the four major fuels. Also included in this section of the database are the components used for the construction of the price indices of capital and labor, such as asset price indices, depreciation rates, and gross fixed capital formation. The components of expenditures on capital, labor and energy are also included, as well as nominal prices of fuels, gdp, and gdp deflators.* This chapter describes the data in the industrial section, and indicates where it was obtained and how indices and shares were constructed. The reasons for choosing certain sources of information will be explained and all data transformation will be described. A few examples of the TROLL data file names for the variables will be given. At the end of this chapter is an alphabetical listing of all of the data file names in the industrial section. *All of the data is stored on TROLL, a computer software package which provides an environment for creating, estimatingand simulating economic models. TROLL is at the Information Processing Service at MIT. For more information see Chapter 10. - 10 - Countries Ten countries are included in this section of the database: Canada, France, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, the United Kingdom, the United States and West Germany. All of the variables to be described here are stored for each of these countries. Variables Value Added Data on value added at factor cost was obtained from the United Nations' Growth of World Industry, or the UN Annual Yearbook, for eight of For France and West Germany, however, value added the ten countries. was available only at producer cost. For these two countries value added tax, from the Statistical Office of the European Economic Community (SOEEC) Tax Yearbook, was subtracted from value added at producer cost to obtain factor cost. Value added does not include energy expenditures. These series range from 1960-1973 and are expressed in units of millions of local currency, nominal terms. The data file name for value added is "country" VA LC, and for value added tax is "country"_VAT_LC. Expenditure on Labor Expenditure on labor has been defined for our purposes to be wages and salaries as well as supplements to wages and salaries, facturing sector. paid to the manu- Supplementsto wagesconsist of bonuses, profit sharing, stock options, sick pay, pension plans, holiday pay, health benefits, or other - ll fringe benefits. - As a share of total compensation supplements to wages varies from country to country, but in all cases it is a substantial component and therefore very important to include in total remuneration. Because of complicated benefits packages, however, supplements to wages is a difficult category for which to locate complete information. For Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway and West Germany, wages and supplements to wages were obtained from the UN Growth of World Industry, for the years 1960-1973 or 1974. This publication lacked any information on supplements for some of the other countries, or for some of the years, so in a few cases this was determined by using the percentage of total compensation which was supplemental, according to the International Labor Organization's Statistical Yearbook. The percentage of total compensation which is accounted fr by the manufacturing sector was determined from UN National Accounts and ILO tatistics for the United Kingdom and Sweden. Finally, for the US, Japan and France, national statistical yearbooks such as Annuaire Statistique, Japan Economic Yearbook, and the President's Economic Report were used to fill in the missing years for this category. The data files are stored on TROLL in millions of local currency, in nominal terms. The data is stored both as the components, wages, ad plements, and as total compensation. sup- For example, for France there is a data file for wages, FRAN WAGSLC; for supplements, FRAN_WSUP_LC; and total compensation, or expenditure on labor, FRAN_EXPLAB_LC. The expenditures on labor for all countries have also been combined in matrix format, with data file name, EXPLAB LC. Chapter Ten contains a complete description 6f the format of TROLL matrices, their construction and how to read them.) - 12 - Expenditures on Capital Services .Expenditures on capital services was determined by subtracting labor expenditures from value added. expenditures on capital services _ value added at factor cost expenditures on labor (Figure 2-1) The available data covers years 1960-1973. for this variable is "country" EXPCAP_LC. The TROLL data file name All of the ten data files for the ten countries have also been combined in matrix format, with data file name EXPCAPLC, Price of Labor The price of labor is determined implicitly by dividing labor expenditures by total manhours of employees. price hour e expenditure on labor total manhours of employees (Figure 2-2) Total manhours of employees is not directly available, but can be determined implicitly using the following formula and data Growth of World Industry: (next page) from the - 13 - *total manhours manhours operatives of employees number of employees number of operatives * (Figure 2-3) Operatives are all employees directly engaged in production, and employees are all persons engaged, other than working proprietors and unpaid workers.1 The price of labor was derived in this way for Canada, Italy, Japan, Norway, Sweden, the US and West Germany for 1967. For the remaining countries another method was employed, using the average working hours from the International Labor Organization and the number of employees from the UN: total manhours of employees = average working hours * number of employees (Figure 2-4) For the United Kingdom, this information was obtained from OECD Labor Statistics. Having constructed a price/hour for 1967 we then used a wage index, 1967=100, from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics to convert our price/hour for 1967 to a time series, 1960-1974, for every country except Norway. The Bureau of Labor Statistics wage index includes both wages and supplements. The time series for Norway was calculated directly from the data in the Growth of World Industry, using the equation in Figure 1-2. Note that this index is not quality adjusted. - 14 - These components for the price of labor are all stored as data files on TROLL except for the US Bureau of Labor Statistics index. The TROLL data file names are, for the number of operatives, "country"_NOP; for the number of employees, "country" NEMP; for manhours of employees, "country" MANHOP. The price of labor data file, in local currency, nominal terms, is stored as "country"_PL_LC. There is an additional data file for the price of labor, where the price has been deflated using the 1970 gdp deflator, and converted to US currency using the 1970 gdp purchasing power parity (see Chapter Nine). file is "country"_PL. a matrix and indexed The file name for the constructed data These individual country data files were combined in to US 1970=1. The matrix file name is PL. Price of Capital Services We compute a capital service price index separately for nonresidential structures (PNR) and producers durables (PD), and aggregate these two series into a final price of capital services using a Divisia index, where the investment shares of non-residential structures and durables serve as the Divisia weights. The computation of the price of capital services of each component is based on Christensen and Jorgenson, i.e., we assume that the investment price of an asset q is equal to the present value of its future services evaluated at the service price (which is the price we wish to ascertain).3 Then, disregarding taxes, the asset price is related to the service price by: qt= P~ rldj -t +l l+r q ~ ¶(1-d)-t Pj+t s ls (Figure 2-5) P We also assume that the service from an asset declines geometrically over time. j=t L 2 - 15 - where d is the depreciation rate and r is the appropriate interest rate. From this we can obtain the equations that relate the price index for each type of capital service to the corresponding asset price index: PNR(t) = Rt)qNR(t-l PD(t) = R(t)qD(t-1 ) ) + dNRqNR(t) - + dDqD(t) - (qNR(t)- (qD(t)- qNR(t-1) qD(t-) ) ) (Figure 2-6) Here R is a long-term government bond interest rate and qNR and qD are tne asset price indices for non-residential structures and 4_ durables. _. The data required to compute the price of capital are time series on depreciation rates, interest rates, asset price indices and investment shares. The interest rate used is the long-term government bond yield, from International Financial Statistics, a publication of the IMF. data covers years 1955-1974. This The depreciation rates were taken from those in Christensen, et.al., or from life of capital figures in Denison. 5 Asset price indices for producer durables and non-residential structures for Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the USA were obtained from Christensen, et.al. for the remaining countries were derived Asset price indices implicitly using gross fixed capital formation for producer durables and non-residential structures in current and constant terms, as available in the UN or OECD National Accounts, or the national statistical yearbooks. The asset price indices were converted to 1970 terms, relative to the US, using purchasing power parities. - 16- The investment shares of producer durables and non-residential structures used to compute the Divisia index were derived from gross fixed capital formation for those categories, obtained for all countries from UN or OECDNational Accounts or national For some years completely gross fixed disaggregated. from the aggregate historical figures capital formation statistical yearbooks. from these sources is not In these cases the data points were derived by assuming a certain percentage based on the ratios of the separate categories to the totals. Our price index for capital services must be viewed as approximate for several reasons, one of which is that differences in corporate tax structures are not taken into account. The price of capital was computed for each country and each year, and then combined into one data file for each country, covering years 1955-1973, but because the price is approximate, for some years the computed values are negative for some countries in some years. In these cases, Japan, Sweden, and West Germany in 1960, a new value was calculated 1961 and using that by averaging the observations for 1959, 1960 and new value for 1960. All of the price of capital data series were then indexed, relative to US 1970=1. The data series for each country were also combined in matrix format, so there are both individual country data files for PK and a matrix. The TROLL file names for the individual data files are "country"_PK, and for the matrix, simply PK. Expenditure on Fuels Industrial expenditure on fuels was determined using data on consumption of fuels in tcals and price/tcal for the four major fuels. - 17 - expenditure = on fuels quantity * price consumed (Figure 2-7) The expenditure figures are in millions of local currency, expressed in nominal or undeflated terms. The data is stored both as individual "country" EXPFUEL_LC,and as combined data files country data files, matrix format, EXPFUELLC. in Below is a discussion of the quantities and prices used to compute the expenditures on fuel. Fuel Quantities Quantities of four fuels used in the industrial sector (which excludes energy conversion), coal, gas, electricity, and petroleum obtained from OECD publications. were all Two different publications were used, Energy Balances of OECD Countries: 1960-1974 (Paris, 1976), which reports the data in net tons of oil equivalent, and Energy Statistics, which reports the data in metric tons or tcals. The 1976 publication was used for 1960-1974 because it contains recent, revised data. were related to those regressions. These data series in the earlier OECD publications via simple linear These regressions were used to extrapolate the OECD 1960-1974 series back to 1955. The units were then converted to net tcals. (For a definition of net tcals, see Chapter Eight.) The US was treated differently from the other countries in that the 1976 publication showed a large amount of "crude oil and ngl" consumed by industry. Investigation of other publications and consultations with the - 18 - OECD and the International Studies division of the FEA have led us to conclude that this category probably erroneously contains some petroleum products used for petroleum feedstocks, non-petroleum hydrocarbons, and refinery gas. To keep our accounting consistent with other countries, this category was not included in our industrial petroleum total for the US. are: Some examples of TROLL data file names for industrial fuel consumption "country"_FINDPRFO (for fuel oil), "country"_FINDGAS (for gas). For a complete list of the data file names see Table 2-2 at the end of this chapter. Fuel Prices Industrial prices of heavy fuel oil, natural gas, coal and electicity were obtained from SOEEC publications, the FEA, and the Edison Electric Institute. The prices were originally in the form of local currency/volumetric unit or heat unit, and were converted to local currency/tcal (using the conversion factors in Chapter 8). The prices cover the years 1955-1974. Examples of the TROLL data file names for prices are: FRANSINDPRFOLC (for fuel oil), FRAN_SINDGAS_LC (for gas). All of the data file names in the industrial section are listed alphabetically in Table 2-2 at the end of this chapter. Price of Energy An average "price of energy" was calculated from a translog price aggregator.6 It is therefore not an explicit part of the database but rather a product of one of the econometric models. GDP deflators and purchasing power parities are part of the database, and are used to deflate -19 and convert the fuel prices to a standard unit, 1970 US dollars. For a discussion of purchasing power parities, see Chapter Nine. Net Value of Output Net value of output is defined here as value addedat factor cost plus expenditure on fuel. This was calculated on TROLL with our matrices for value added and expenditure on fuel. There is therefore no individual country data file for net value of output but only a matrix containing all of the countries, with file name NVOLC. Expenditure Shares Expenditures on fuel, labor and capital as a fraction of net value of output were calculated. share of abor = expenditure on labor net value of output (Figure 2-8) There are no individual country data files for the shares, but as with net value of output, this data is stored in matrix format, containing all of the countries. The data file names for the shares are SHARECAP, SHARE ENG, and SHARE LAB. Fuel Shares The share of each fuel 'as a fraction of total industrial fuel consumption was calculated for oil, gas, coal and electricity consumed in the industrial sector. - 20 - industrial share of coal coal consumption - total industrial fuels consumption (Figure 2-9) The data series on fuel shares are stored both as individial country data files covering years 1955-1974, and in a ntrix containing all years, all countries, named SH FINDELEC, SH FINDGAS, etc. Deflators A gdp price deflator was collected for every country. from Christensen, et al., or from OECD National Accounts. cover years 1950-1974, with 1970 = 100. They were obtained All gdp deflators These data files are stored with data file name, "country" IPRIC_GDP. Purchasing Power Parities Purchasing power parities were used to convert different currencies into US dollars. Chapter Nine contains a discussion of why prchasing were used and how they were derived. power parities Tables of PPP's used are also included. Tables Examples of data file names which are also mnemonics for the have been included in the above text. ariables The following table, Table 2-1, is an alphabetical listing of all of the data file names in this section of the database. Note that all of the industrial data files are stored in the section or archive "ind". This means that all data file names are preceded by the letters "ind"'. For an index of terms and data file names and an explanation of TROLL naming conventions see Chapter Seven. Included in the following table Is information on the range of years for each file, the units, the definition, and a bibliography code number which refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. - 21 - References 1. The Growth of World Industry, Vol. I, General Industrial Statistics, 1975, Publishing Service, United Nations, New York, NY. 2. Christensen, L.R., and D.W. Jorgenson, "The Measurement of U.S. Real Capital Input, 1929-1967," Review of Income and Wealth, Series 15, 1969, pp. 293-320. 3. Denny, M., and M. Fuss, "The Use of Approximation Analysis to Test for Separability and the Existence of Consistent Aggregates," Working Paper No. 7506, Institute for the Quantitative Analysis of Social and Economic Policy, University of Toronto, August 1975. 4. Diewert, W.E., "An Application of the Shepard Duality Theorem: A Generalized Leontief Production Function," Journal of Politcal Economy, 5. Vol. 79, No. 3, May 1971. The Brookings Institution, Denison, E.F., Why Growth Rates Differ, Washington, 1967. 6. Pindyck, R.S., "Interfuel Substitution and the Industrial Demandfor An International Comparison," Working Paper No. MIT EL 77-026WP, Energy: MIT Energy Laboratory, August, 1977. - 22 - -o "0 -o 4) S.- S4.) S.4.) L/, 0 C L0 C o Li U U - a) 4 .4. C m o "j o o Li e- r-. r'. ¢ - U, "m #-. 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S U U a)C E a) E5 0a) >a'a'a' ' (C > >i 3 _ J J -~~ -~ > 4J 0 0 0 ~000 0 00 (A 4Q .4J o o. o. o. o o _ ~ __ Ii -LJ CL CL -i : CD CL Z CL . 0. 0 L. 0 CL J 1 0 0 >. v.) I I ~ I :w :2 z- CD0 O" = Z Lo Co = iLU C.) C L&J L LJ -.r- lI IEl :L-C L. LU -J ,1I -j cL .- . . LUJ cm :3 C= m: = X x Z X Z . C: = Z 0.- ri ~., - 56 - CHAPTER THREE Residential Sector Demand Data The residential sector demand data was constructed for econometric analysis of residential energy demand.1 Annual data needed for the model were historical times series covering years 1955 or 1960 through 1974, of residential consumers' expenditures on petroleum and its substitutes, coal, electricity and gas, as well as other consumption categories such as food, clothing, and durables. Other variables needed for this analysis were price deflators for these consumption categories, prices of fuels, disposable income, temperature data and population. Purchasing power parities were also needed to convert different currencies into one comparable monetary unit.* This section will describe these variables and explain how and from where they were obtained, why certain sources were chosen, and includes examples of the computer data file names. Following the discussion is a table which alphabetically lists all of the data file names, a definition of each, the units, and a bibliography number which refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. This section of the World Oil Project data base in an updated version of the data which was previously documented in "A User's Guide to the MIT World Energy Demand Data Base," May 1976. Some data has been changed from the first version, all variables have had recent years' observations added, and *All of the data is stored on TROLL, a computer software package which provides an environment for creating, estimating and simulating economic models. TROLL is at the Information Processing Service at MIT. See Chapter Ten for more information. - 57 - in a few cases a data series was totally replaced. It is important to any readers who are familiar with the model to remember that this is the "raw" data base which was used by the modelers. This data was often transformed to different units or aggregated for the purpose of analysis. Where appropriate, the type of conversion performed will be very briefly described in order to help the reader understand the transition from data base to data for analysis. Countries The countries included in this section are: Belgium, Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, the United Kingdom, the United States and West Germany. All of the variables described below have been collected and stored on TROLL for each of these nine countries. Variables Private Consumption Expenditure Private Consumption Expenditure is defined as the value of final expenditure by households and private non-profit institutions on current goods and services or purchases of goods, less the sales of second-hand goods and excluding land and buildings. Households, as a consumer group, include all individuals who are normal residents and groups with less than two full-time employees.2 It was necessary to find sources with a consistent disaggregation of not only the usual categories of consumption, clothing, food, housing, etc., but that also included expenditures on individual fuel products. The four fuels concerned are liquid fuel or distillate fuel oil, solid fuel or coal, gas, and electricity. - 58 - Private Consumption Expenditure on Fuels One of the main objectives in the data collection effort was to obtain a breakdown of private consumption expenditure on fuels. The Statistical Office of the European Economic Community (SOEEC) National Accounts includes expenditures with a fuel breakdown for years 1960-1970 or 1972, for EEC countries. currency This data, in millions of local in nominal or undeflated terms, was used. Additional sources were needed to update these categories because the SOEEC has discontinued this disaggregation in recent years. For this reason a different approach was used to arrive at this expenditure category for the remaining years. Expenditures for the four fuels in recent years were determined by multiplying the quantity consumed by the price. Data for the residential consumption of the various fuels was taken from the OECD Energy Statistics on magnetic tape for these recent years' observations. The 'residential' category here refers only to private dwellings and private non-profit institutions; it is a subset of the domestic category which also includes agriculture, public utilities, commerce, returns to refineries, miners coal and "all other." An implicit private consumption expenditure on fuels was calculated for EEC countries using retail prices of the four fuels and these OECD quantities. expenditure on gas _ retail gas price (Figure 3-1) * quantity consumed - 59 - An expenditure figure in local currency, nominal units was obtained in this way, and then converted to millions of local currency units. In a few cases the OECD tape, Energy Statistics, did not disaggregate the domestic sector, and residential sector consumption data was unavailable. Where this occurred the historical ratio of residential consumption, as implied in the SOEEC, to "domestic" consumption in OECD was applied to the domestic consumption data from the OECD for recent years, to obtain a residential consumption approximation. For the United Kingdom the same methodology was used for 1972-1974, but quantity data was taken from the United Kingdom Digest of Energy Statistics. The data sources used for the other countries, the USA, Canada, and Norway, to obtain private consumption expenditure on fuels for 1960-1970 or 1972 as well as the update through 1974 were the U.S.-Survey of Current Business, the Economic Report of the President, Norway's national statistical yearbooks, Detailed Supply and Demand Statistics of Canada, and Canada's Energy Databank. All of these data series are in millions of local currency units in nominal terms, i.e., no adjustments made to account for inflation. Examples of the data file names follow. private consumption expenditure on: gas "country"_NEXGAS_LC liquid fuel "country"_NEXFLIQ_LC (Figure 3-2) - 60 - Private Consumption Expenditure on Food For most countries, expenditures on food was obtained from SOEEC, OECD, or UN National Accounts. For the United Kingdom, the UK Annual Abstracts of Statistics was used for 1955-1972, and UN and OECD National Accounts were used for 1972-1974. All series were collected as available in both current and constant terms, in millions of local currency. Each constant or real currency series has a base year of 1970, and this was used to compute an implicit price index. In some cases a price index, base year 1970=100, was obtained from OECD National Accounts. The TROLL data file name for this category is: nominal units: "country" NEXF_LC price index: "country"_Y70 NEXF (Figure 3-3) Private Consumption Expenditure on Clothing For most countries, expenditures on clothing SOEEC,OECD,or UN National Accounts. UK Annual Abstract of Statistics data was obtained from For the United Kingdom, the was used for 1955-1972 and OECDNational Accounts was used for 1972-1974. All series were collected as available in both current and constant terms, in millions of local currency. Each constant or real currency series has a base year of 1970, and this was used to compute an implicit price index. In some cases a price index, base year 1970=100, was obtained from OECDNational Accounts. the data file nameformat, see Figure 3-3. For an example of - 61 - Private Consumption Expenditure on Durables Expenditures on durables for most countries SOEEC, OECD, or UN National Accounts. For the United Kingdom, the UK Annual Abstract of Statistics was used for Accounts was used for 1972-1974. was obtained from 1975-1972 and OECO National All series were collected as available in both current and constant terms, Each in millions of local currency. constant or real currency series has a base year of 1970, and this was used to compute an implicit price index . In some cases a price index, base year 1970=100, was obtained from OECD National Accounts. For an example of the data file name format, see Figure 3-3. Private Consumption Expenditure on Transportation and Communication Expenditures on transportation and communication for most countries was obtained from SOEEC, OECD, or UN National Accounts. For the United Kingdom, the UK Annual Abstract of Statistics was used for 1955-1972 and OEOD National Accounts was used for 1972-1974. All series were collected as available in both current and constant terms, in millions of local currency. Each constant or real currency series has a base year of 1970, and this was used to compute an implicit price index. In some cases a price index, base year 1970=100, was obtained from OECD National Accounts. For an example of the data file name format, see Figure 3-3. Private Consumption Ependiture, Total Data for most countries' total private consumption expenditure was obtained from OECD National Accounts. All series were collected in millions of local currency, current terms. A price index, base year 1970=100, - 62 - was also collected. Figure For an example of the data file name format, see 3-3. Private Consumption Expenditure, All Other Data for this category was constructed by subtracting from the total the expenditures for food, clothing, durables, transportation and communication and the four fuels. Also, a price index, using base year 1970=100, for the "all other" category from the OECD National Accounts was collected. The data file is "country"_Y70 NEXO. No price index was collected, or implicit index computed for the categories representing the fuels, as these categories received different treatment in the econometric analysis. An average price of energy was derived from the fuel prices, estimated with the translog aggregator.1 The fuel price indices obtained in this way are not stored as data files. For use by the translog aggregator, the data was deflated to 1970 terms using the total consumption expenditure index, and converted to US dollars using purchasing power parities. Fuel Prices Retail prices of home heating oil (#2 fuel oil), electricity, coal, and gas were needed for this analysis. The original price series and all updates were obtained from SOEEC publications Studien and Erhabungen and Energy Statistics, from the IEA and FEA, The Basic Petroleum Data Book, the Edison Electric Institute, the UK Digest of Energy Statistics, the Economic Report of the President, and Norway's national statistical yearbooks. - 63 - The price series range from 1955 or 1960 through 1974 and all are in local currency/tcal, current prices. in "natural" units, such as tons, These prices are usually published barrels, or liters and were tcals, or Tera Calories, which is a heat measurement. defines tcals and lists the conversion factors. converted to Chapter Eight The SOEEC figures were published in "eurs"/natural unit, as quarterly observations. "Eurs" is an international monetary unit, and these were converted to local currency using the SOEEC exchange rates. annual figure. Quarterly data was averaged to obtain an For use in econometric modeling these data files were deflated to 1970 values using the total private consumption expenditure index, 1970=100, and converted to 1970 US dollars/tcal with purchasing power parities. For a discussion of purchasing power parities, see Chapter Nine. Although the consumption expenditure categories are called liquid fuel and solid fuel, these categories include mainly fuel oil and coal respectively. The retail prices for fuel oil and coal therefore are assumed to correspond to these categories. Examples of the data file names follow. retail price: fuel oil "country" gas SRETPRFO LC "country" SRETGASLC (Figure 3-4) Some changes that were made in the original data will be of interest to users who have obtained the first edition of the User's Guide and a copy of the data base prior to January 1977. Errors were detected and the following steps were taken to correct the data. (Next page) - 64 - Data File Correction France retail gas price * 10 Italy retail gas price * 10 Netherlands retail gas price * 10 Norway retail gas price replaced Japan retail gas price deleted (Figure 3-5) Personal Disposable Income Personal disposable income, with data file name "country"_NDI_LC, was obtained from certain editions of OECD National Accounts. This is a subset of national disposable income, which does not include corporate enterprises and government. disaggregate this item. Not all issues of the OECD publication Data is in millions of local currency and covers from 1950 to 1955 through 1974. Population Population data was taken from several editions of the UN Yearbook. countries. Demographic Data is in millions and covers years 1950-1974 for all This is filed on TROLL as "country"_POP. Temperature Temperature data is an average temperature of the five coldest months, taken from monthly data published in the U.S. Weather Bureau's Monthly Climatic Data for the World. For a small country the average of - 65 - the capital city was collected, for large or geographically and climatically diverse countries, data for the largest cities was collected. in degrees Fahrenheit and covers from 1955 to 1975. Data is Data file names are "country" TEMP, or "country" "city" TEMP. Data Tables Examples of data file names, which are also mnemonics for the The following table, variables, have been included in the above text. Table 3-1, is an alphabetical listing of all of the data file names in Note that all the residential data files are stored in this sector. TROLL in the section "TWOTIME". This means that all data file names are preceded by the word "TWOTIME". For an index of terms and data file names see Chapter Seven. Included in the following table is information years for each file, the units, the definition, on the range of and a bibliography code number which refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. References 1. Pindyck, R.S., "International Comparisons of the Residential Demand for Energy," Working Paper #MIT EL 76-023WP, MIT Energy Lab, Cambridge, MA. . 2. . . . . . . . . . ... ... .... .... .... Yearbook of National Accounts Statistics, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Statistical Office of the UN, New York, NY. - CJ N LI) I.- S.. 4- 6bb - .I C)J CD' C'J CJ t e, , d n n r% N. I.0 SF 0-~ C S 4co '4Ca 0 LA Pr. I LA LA r-.. I LA LO LA C\ a% CY) 4.) u S. 4- C E E E S E E E E E E I I I I I I I I I I LA ULA O u 4.) S. -4 LU cn L LA LA LA LA 0 %O LA LA 0 0 ko OD L. 0 LO ko LO U- 0a I- 0. C _.. t)-4 I x .D o- C F- 0 LUJ .I -J U) C co -4 L I 0C ._ -o ._0 4 .-C C a) a) *.- r1 0 o U to. 9- Q - 4. u 4i 0 S-. '0 *r- 0 (U' r-0 4- S- ~.1 .9- CL 4- S. U) - C 4.J a) 9-( a .. 4 4- IV 9-- (A 0 4.) S.. CM4) to ._~~L -*,. e 90 _ 4W . a) a)_ o 4 . 0. L a 0. : (i - i.. -4 C I Z o iL Z 0 C - . ! 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I LO L H CKz cn _=== - U) LA I LA LO 4-) .4- C *) 0. C I-0. I=- _CLL . ZZ. xGJ C .I- 0 4- C eU 00 4- ._- X 4- 0m la E = C 0 0) a-( .c4-J .0 0 ru L. Ln C *c- EU S.. - : 0 0. $.. - ( Lf C - EU E 4 4- 4 0 L X X X X Z Z 0 4- 40 . 0 0 4) 4U .9- < X L LJ b_ 0I I o ZCF- Cs 0" &.I o:- ,, LLJ~~~~L - C =1 u Cs . 3 L La) C,,t_ 03 -cc 0H,,I i--< LiJ JLJL -.JC 0 X LiJ Z Z be LU UJ 0-_ 0-4 Z Lii _- - L Z 0- - 83 - CHAPTER FOUR Transportation Sector Demand Data The Transportation sector data has been compiled for the purpose of estimation and analysis of petroleum consumption by the transportation sector. The focus of this section is actually on passenger vehicles and consumption of diesel fuel and gasoline. Air, rail and water transport vehicles and the associated fuels are not included. All of the data to be described here has been collected from public sources and stored as time series on the computer system, TROLL*. The data generally covers years 1960-1973 as annual observations for fifteen major energy consuming countries. The variables contained in this section are: vehicles in use, new registrations of vehicles, traffic volume, consumption of motor gasoline and diesel fuel, taxation of those fuels, the quantity of each of those fuels consumed by road vehicles, an index of private consumption expenditure on personal transportation equipment, an auto depreciation rate, and a price index for autos. The sources of the information and the character- istics of the data will be briefly discussed in this chapter, and followed by a table which alphabetically lists all of the computer data file names along with the units used, a brief definition of the variable, and a source code number which refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. *TROLL is a computer software package which provides a comprehensive environment for economic models. TROLL operates at the Information Processing Service at MIT. For more inormation see Chapter Ten. - 84 - Countries The countries included in this section are: Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, the United States, and West Germany. For Austria, Denmark, Finland, and Spain, however, complete information was not available. The variables described below are always available for the remaining eleven and sometimes available for Austria, Denmark, Finland, and Spain. Variables Vehicles in Use Data on vehicles in use, or the stock of vehicles for passenger cars, buses and goods vehicles (commercial use) was collected. The data represents the number of each type of vehicle registered as of December 31 of the given year. The sources used were the UN Statistical Yearbook, World Road Statistics, The Motor Industry in Great Britain, Canada Yearbook, and Highway Statistics. The range of years available varies from country to country but most often the data is available from 1950 through 1975. Often several sources had to be used for one country to obtain a complete time series. Examples of the data file names used on the computer system follow. "country"_SPC stock of passenger cars "country"_SB stock of buses "country" SGV stock of goods vehicles (Figure 4-1) - 85 - New Registrations The number of new registrations of vehicles for the same categories, passenger cars, buses and goods vehicles, was also collected. The data indicates the number of vehicles registered for the first time in the given country. The sources used were: World Road Statistics, The Motor Industry in Great Britain, World Motor Vehicle Data, and Highway Statistics. Several sources were often used for one country in order to obtain a complete time series. An example of the data file name used to store the data on TROLL follows. "country" NRPC new registrations of passenger vehicles (Figure 4-2) Traffic Volume A means of measuring actual traffic volume in addition to number of vehicles was required. World Road Statistics contains such a measure of traffic volume, as million vehicle kilometers, (the number of kilometers travelled per million vehicles). The unit of measure for the United States is miles per million vehicles. available for the years 1962-1975. The data was generally An example of the TROLL data file name appears below. "country" TVPC traffic volume of passenger vehicles (Figure 4-3) - 86 - Consumption of Motor Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Final internal consumption of motor gasoline and diesel fuel was obtained from OECD Energy Statistics 1960-1973. The information is published as thousands of metric tons but the figures were converted to tcals for incorporation in the data base (See Chapter Eight for a definition of tcals and a table of conversion factors used). The data is stored under these file names: "country"_FPRMG final consumption of motor gas "country"_FPRDS final consumption of diesel fuel (Figure 4-4) Consumption of these two fuels for road transport purposes was also found in OECD Energy Statistics, 1960-1973. The data was converted to tcals and is stored as: "country" VCMG vehicular consumption of motor gas "country"_VCDL vehicular consumption of diesel fuel (Figure 4-5) Taxation of Motor Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Taxation of motor gasoline and diesel fuel was found in World Road Statistics. price. The data is expressed The data is not always as a percentage available of the total retail for each of our countries but - 87 - the range of years is generally 1962-1975. The data file names are: "country"_TMG taxation of motor gas "country"_TDL taxation of diesel fuel (Figure · 4-6) Index of Private Consumption Expenditure on Personal Transportation Equipment An index of private xpenditure on personal transportation equipment was created using the ratio of expenditure in current purchasers value (local currency) to expenditures in constant purchasers values at 1970. The information is from the UN National Accounts Yearbook, where personal transportation equipment is found under transpcrtation and communication. The data file name is: "country"_INEXPTE_Y70 index of private consumption expenditure on personal transportation equipment (Figure 4-7) Consumption of Motor Gasoline Per Distance Unit Total consumption of motor gasoline per million vehicle kilometers was calculated using final consumption of motor gasoline and the measure of traffic volume. The measure of traffic volume in the US was converted from miles to million vehicle kilometers for this calculation, so the units of this variable are always tcals/million vehicle kilometers. This measure - 88 - is actually the inverse of fuel efficiency. The TROLL data file name is: motor gasoline consumed/million vehicle kilometers "country"_CPMK (Figure 4-8) Depreciation Rate A depreciation rate for autos was derived from the data on stock of passenger cars and new registrations of passenger cars. The de- preciation rate is measured as the fraction of autos registered December 31 of the previous year not registered December 31 of the current year. Depreciation+ = (SPC+ 1 - SPC+ + NRPC)/SPC+1 (Figure 4-9) The data file name for this variable is: "country"_DEPRATE (Figure 4-10) Price Index for Passenger Vehicles A relative price index of cars was constructed using the index of private consumption expenditure on personal transportation equipment, 1970=100, and dividing by the gdp price index, 1970=100. This ratio was - 89 - then scaled to 1970=100 and stored as: relative price of cars, 1970=100 "country"_RPCARS_Y (Figure 4-11) A Note About Data Reliability Most of the sources used are annual publications and sometimes a minor change in definition or reporting occurred from year to year. This means that a particular time series as reported is not actually a continual time series. This employed for this sector. occurs quite frequently in the sources In addition, we detected a number of transposed years and other printing errors. Where we detected these errors we corrected the numbers, and in some cases "smoothed" a few years. Where this was done is noted in the "comments" section of the data file. Tables The following table, table 4-1, is an alphabetical listing of all of the data files in the transportation section of the database. The user should note that all of this data is in the transportation "archive" which means that all data file names are preceded by the character string "trans". The table that follows includes a brief description of the variable, the range of years included, the units, and a bibliography code number that refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. An explanation of TROLL data file naming conventions can be found in Chapter Seven along with an index of terms. Chapter Ten contains information on accessing TROLL, and obtaining the database. - 90 - 00o := 0- co C 0 CV) 0 0 0 o- o0 e,') C,) C') cn m 0 C\J N LL 0 *0o 0(0, CD co A ( C X: 0 0 0 (N CQ CV) C C) CV, .-4 co l-.. * z 4- 4- 0 4- '.0 '.0 I LA rI ULA r I IA LA LO 0 LA P-4 *- 0 r- 4- o 4.) u 4. 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C i- I- - 112 - 0 0 0 oC -4 C\j CNJ CY) CY) -I- 4. r-i ri = -- 4 E: E E rE r* id) i U) E ri' U) E a c LO LO LO I I I 10 0li 1.0 1.0 O) t S- 0*. o u 0 r-. coCz F-% r". 0LA 0LA r- i-- I.., C -- I 0 E 2) > 0 F- a : U) U) I-0 IU .0 cm 0. 0 PO u I- U) U) 0) I- .c Q) S- u .-U) 4. 0 (A -o O 0 2 r- u 4'4to ._C S.- 4 LU -4 IJ.. 2 P- co C ( > I- o I-" .. cc z L.J CD 3 LA 2 zI-) <: 2 H Lu-i 'C P-4 iu LA.CC C .. -J co j a _- > LL F im CL 0 _j in CD Z C r.) 2U - 113 - CHAPTER FIVE Petroleum Product Demand Data The product demand data of the World Oil Project data base is the result of an attempt to account for all petroleum consumption in the nonCommunist countries and to provide information for an aalysis consumption.* of petroleum Unlike the other sections of the data base which contain fuel consumption by sector (residential, industrial, etc.), this section concerns total oil consumption by product. All petroTeum products consumed are included for years 1950-1973 or 1974, in addition to prices of fuels, economic activity indicators, temperature, and purchasing power parities.** Where this data was found and how it was transformed for inclusion in the data base will be described. The countries included will be enumerated and the world aggregate regions used will be defined. Following this is a table which alphabetically lists all of the data file names used on the computer, including a brief variable definition, the units, the range of years, and a bibliography number which refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. The product demand data is the most straightforward of all the sections of the data base, since it often appears virtually unchanged from the form in which it was published. Very little transformation or manipulation *The petroleum product demand data was constructed for the purposes of estimation and ahalysis ad also as data inputs for a simulation model. **All of the data is stored on TROLL, a computer software package which provides a comprehensive environment for creating, estimating, and simulatinq economic models. TROLL operates at the Information Processing Service at MIT. For more information see Chapter Ten. - 114 of data was required to standardize the information. Quantity data was converted to tcals and prices are expressed in terms of local currency/tcal. Chapters Eight and Nine define tcals and explain the conversion factors used to standardize units. Countries and World Regions The Product Demand Data accounts for total world oil consumption excluding the Sino-Soviet area. The following OECD countries are accounted for in the most detail: Austria France Sweden Australia Italy United Kingdom Belgium Japan United States Canada Netherlands West Germany Denmark Norway Turkey Finland Spain The non-OECD countries which are included are: Argentina Mexico Brazil South Africa India Venezuela (Figure 5-1) The remainder of the non-Communist world is dealt with as aggregated regions, according to the UN groupings, with both totals for the regions and as net regions, that is, net of all the countries listed individually above: (next page) - 115 - North America Western Europe Carribean America Asia Other America Oceania (Figure 5-2) Some of these net regions are also aggregated in another way, as two regions, oil exporting countries (OEXP), and net less developed countries (NLDC). will Different data files exist for all of these aggregations, which be described below: NLDC OEXP The Middle East India (net Turkey) Net Africa Nigeria Net Asia Algeria Net Oceania Libya Net Americas Indonesia Mexi co Venezuela (Figure 5-3) - 116 - Variables Demand by Product Total demand for petroleum was disaggregated into demand by product. For the OECD countries which are included, the following categories were taken from the OECD Energy Statistics 1950-1973, which was chosen for its inclusion of all products for the greatest time period. Consumption Category Final Internal Product Consumption: In Data File aviation gas FPRAG diesel FPRDS oil fuel oil FPRFO jet fuel FPRJF kerosene FPRKS LPG FPRLG motor gas FPRMG Industrial Sector Consumption: fuel oil FINDPRFO Domestic Sector Consumption: fuel oil FOPRFO Transformation Sector Consumption: LPG TRANPRLG fuel oil TRANPRFO crude TRANPCRU Other: oil feedstock refinery gas fuel oil (Table 5-1) tail FFDSK FREFTG FOTHPRFO Name as: II - 117 - Note that fuel oil (light and heavy) is included as four consumption categories, industrial, residential, transformation and all "other" sector consumption, because of the varied uses of this product. The category 'final internal consumption of fuel oil' is actually a redundant category because it constitutes industrial, residential and all "other" consumption. It is not used to compute total demand. To obtain a demand total which excludes bunkers and refinery losses, all of the other categories must be included. Japan is the only country which reports crude oil consumption by the transformation sector, but otherwise all of the countries' totals are obtained in the same way. All of this OECD data was published in units of thousand metric The data was converted to tcals, using the conversion factors in tons. Chapter Eight. The total obtained by adding all of the categories still excludes refinery losses and bunkers. To obtain a total in volumetric terms, convert tcals to millions of barrels per day (MBD), add 9% for refinery. losses and 1% for bunkers. The 9% refinery loss is assumed because of the conversion from tcals to a volumetric unit. See Chapter Eight for a discussion of refinery loss. When the industrial and residential models were incorporated in the simulation model, (See Chapters Two and Three) the data files for industrial and residential consumption had to correspond to the data files used for those models. Different sources and different methods were used for the product demand data, and consequently the 'industrial' and 'domestic' fuel oil categories do not correspond to those used for the industrial and residential models. For those countries involved, the data files for residential and industrial consumption were used and the "other" fuel oil category was adjusted to account for discrepancies between different classifications. (Figure 5-4, next page.) - 118 - product demand data, industrial demand data, remainder" industrial industrial fuel oil fuel oil ("country"_SECOND_FINDPRO) ("country" fuel oil INDFINDFPET) *This data file in product demand archive **This data file from industrial archive and used by simulation model ***Added to "other product" category for use by the model product demand data, residential data, domestic residential fuel oil consumption ("country" SECONDFOPRFO) fuel oil "remainder" = fuel oil consumption ("country"_TWOTIME_FRESPRFO) *This data file in product demand archive **This data-file from residential data archive, used by simulation model ***Added to "other product" category for use by the model (Figure 5-4) The table below (next page) shows how the data files, as organized on TROLL, were aggregated for use in the World Oil Project simulation model, and also demonstrates how the files should be manipulated to obtain a petroleum consumption total for an OECD country. - 119 UNITS: - tcals TROLL Archive Data File product demand diesel product demand motor gas fuel industrial demand industrial residential demand residential product demand aviation gas product demand jet fuel product demand kerosene product demand feedstocks product demand "other" product demand refinery gas product demand transformation fuel fuel fuel oil fuel oil product demand transformation LPG product demand transformation crude product demand (industrial and domestic fuel net the residential and industrial archive fuels) "remainder" Total fuel oil tcals tcals x 685/365/1,000,000 = MBD MBD + 10% = final total (Table 5-2) - 120 - The UN publication World Energy Supplies 1950-1974 was used for the "- ~ rest of the non-Communist world. individual countries: and Venezuela. This UN data was used for the following Argentina, Brazil, India, South Africa, South Korea, The rest of the world, dealt with as total regions, consists of the UN aggregations net of the individual country data to avoid double counting. The UN data was chosen because of the range of years available, but consumption of feedstocks is not available. World Energy Supplies breaks petroleum product consumption into four categories: Products In Data File Name as: aviation and motor gas FPRMG kerosene and jet fuel FPRKS distillate and residual fuel oil FPRFO LPG FPRLG (Figure 5-5) The regions listed in the 'countries' section are defined in more detail in Table 5-3 below. (Next page) . ~~~~ ~. .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. . , - 121 Table 5-3 UN Aggregation In Data File UN Region Africa: North America: Central America: Other America: Middle East: Far East: Western Europe: Countries Includes every country from South Africa to the Suez Canal, including Egypt Includes Canada, U.S.A., Bermuda, Greenland, St. Pierre, S. Miguelan Includes Costa Rica, E Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Bahamas, Barbados, Columbia, Cuba, Dominica, Haiti, Jamaica, Mexico, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trinidad, U.S. Virgin Islands, Venezuela Name as: AFR NAMR CAMR Includes Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Surinam, Uruguay OAMR Bahrain, Cyprus, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, DM Yemen, Syria, Turkey MIDE Includes Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Burma, Cambodia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Laos, Macau, West Malaysia, Nepal, Pakistan, Phillippines, Singapore, Thailand, South Vietnam FARE Includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, West Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom WEUR (continued) - 122 - Table 5-3, continued Other Europe: Oceania: Includes Gibraltar, Greece, Malta, Spain, Yugoslavia OEUR Includes Australia, American Samoa, Fiji, Polynesia, Guam, Samoa, New Zealand, Pacific Islands OCEN There is a data file for each of these regions for each of the four categories of consumption. There is also a net region data file for the four categories net of the UN data for the individual countries. The construction of these net regions is shown below with the sources of the data included. Table 5-4 Data Region Definition File Name Net Africa: UN Africa, net UN South Africa EAFR Net North America: UN North America, net UN U.S.A. and Canada ENAMR UN Central America, net UN Mexico and Venezuela ECAMR UN Other America, net UN Brazil and Argentina EOAMR Net Central America: Net Other America: (continued) - 123 - Table 5-4, continued Net Far East: UN Far East, net UN Japan EFARE Net Middle East: UN Middle East, net UN Turkey EMIDE Net Other Europe: UN Other Europe, net UN Spain EOEUR Net Western Europe: UN Western Europe, net UN Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom and West Germany Net Oceania: UN Oceania, net UN Australia EWEUR It can be seen that wherever possible OECD data was used. EOCEN The UN data for consumption is not the optimal source for consumption data, lacking feedstocks, and does not compare favorably with other International sources of consumption data, such as the tureau of ines. Because of this problem, an alternative set of remaining world regions from a different source, the Bureau of Mines, was constructed. From the International Petroleum Annual, two regions of oil consumption were constructed, oil exporting countries (OEXP) and net less developed countries (NLDC). (Figure 5-6, next page.) - 124 - Bureau of Mines Data, Alternative Aggregation OEXP: Middle East (excluding Turkey), Algeria, Indonesia, Libya, Mexico, Nigeria, Venezuela NLDC: India, Net Africa (net OEXP countries and South Africa), Net Asia (net Japan), Net Oceania (net Australia), Net Americas (net Canada, U.S., Mexico, Venezuela) (Figure 5-6) Economic Activity Indicators and Deflators For OECD countries OECD National Accounts was used. GDP in current and constant local currency was collected and stored on TROLL in the product demand section. The data file mnemonic name is "country"_GDP_LC for the current currency series and "country" GDPLCY58, the constant series. Y63, Y70, for The constant series has a base year which is reflected in the file name. The base year indicates that the information is reported in terms of the currency of that year, therefore non-inflated currency. An implicit price index was then constructed, using the current and constant series. An implicit price index, base year 1970=100, was computed for all the OECD countries. There are also data files in current and constant units for total private consumption expenditure, NEX1_LC or NEX1_LCYNN, "country"_Y70NEXI. in addition to a constructed price index There are also data files for disposable income, in - 125 nominal currency, data file name "country"_NDI_LC. For the remaining countries, Argentina, Brazil, India, Mexico, South Africa and Venezuela, UN National Accounts was used for the same data series, gdp and private consumption expenditure in current and constant units. Population Population data for all countries was collected from the UN Demographic Yearbook. The unit of measurement is millions and the range of years is 1950-1974. Temperature Temperature data for 1950-1974 was collected for all countries from the American Meteorological Association's Monthly Climatic Data for the World. The temperature is the average of the five coldest months measured in degrees Fahrenheit. Data was collected for the capital city, or in cases of large or climatically diverse countries, for the major population centers. Prices of Petroleum Products For most of the data series the range of the observations usually covers years 1950-1973 or 1974, but prices are the exception. To obtain a consistent set of average annual prices for a variety of retail and wholesale products has not been possible. The price information for developed countries is more available and reliable than the information for developing countries. There are also problems posed by prices that - 126 - are quoted for a country that has large fluctuations in its currency value. This can be compounded by prices being quoted in U.S. dollars, and not local currency. In some cases we have compiled and stored as data files on TROLL two different price same country. series for the same product, This is because it was found that two different sources quoted contradictory prices and the validity of one over the other could not be established. Retail and wholesale prices of all petroleum products and their substitutes, such as coal, natural gas and electricity, were collected. For European countries, Canada and the U.S., Japan and Australia, the IEA, the FEA, the Edison Electric Institute, and Canada's Energy Databank were used. The Basic Petroleum Data Book also contained price information, as did the President's Economic Report and the United Kingdom Digest of Energy Statistics. Price information for developing countries seems to be characterized mainly by its scarcity. In all cases we were looking for a complete range of prices in addition to reliability of source. finally used for developing countries are: Some of the sources The International Petroleum Annual for gasoline, diesel oil, fuel oil and Bunker "C", and Americas en Cifras, and Exxon. National statistical yearbooks were useful for some countries, Annuario Estadistico for Mexico, Statistiches Bundesamt yielded prices for Germany as well as other countries, and Norwegian yearbooks. The FEA also provided us with some unpublished fuel prices and fuel price indices. All price units were converted to tcals. currency/tcal. Most are stored in local Some data files are in US dollars/tcal, as the method of - 127 - original conversion from local currency to U.S. dollars is not known. Although the units in the TROLL data files are usually local currency, these are converted to 1970 U.S. dollars for analysis. This is done with the use of purchasing power parities and price deflators. power parities are not available, exchange rates are used. When purchasing Although the PPP's are a constant 1970 value, they are stored as time series, 1950-1974, for convenient use with the other time series. For a discussion of purchasing power parities, see Chapter Nine. Some examples of data file names for fuel prices follow: retail price electricity "country".SRETELEC LC gas "country" SRETGAS_LC (Figure 5-7) If the data is not in local currency, the namedoes not contain If there is more than one file ' 1' or ' 2' for the same price, the file '_LC'. name is at the end. Example: BRAZ_SRETELEC 1 BRAZ SRETELEC 2 (Figure 5-8) The wholesale or industrial prices have the same name format, except the 'SRET' part of the name is replaced by 'SWH' for wholesale and 'SIND' for industrial. An index is indicated with 'IWH' or 'IRET'. - 128 - Tables Examples of data file names which are also mnemonics for the variables have been included in the above text. The following table, Table 5-5, is an alphabetical listing of all of the data file names in this section of the database. Note that all of the the section or archive "second". preceded be the letters "second". product data files are stored in This means that all data file names are For an index of terms and data file names and an explanation of TROLL data file naming conventions see Chapter Seven. Included in the following table is information on the range of years for each file, the units, the definition, and a bibliography code number that refers to the bibliography in Chapter Six. - 129 - aC-L 0 C O C r CD CUJ r Cl C\J .4. rr~ CUJ CD rC) I'-. C CJ CUj L. 4.3 L, C. U U U E 43 4) 4 4.3 44-; o-. I I'. rlI q' r-. I C r' I'. r' I 2 cl CO LO 0% I""" C L) C U') LA 0 kD r-. rl~. C) C\j C) -v 0 4U kD tD (U (U U' 0) ( cLo LA LA0 C) Cj C C\j 0 (A (A1 0 (,A Ln -: U) rO U fOU r U) ,'0 U 4.3 43 4.3 4-i 4.3 I I'~ I Itt I Iut I I~ I In I LA LO LO LO LA LO -O I r" C LA a) c) a) I rl-% CJ LA I C C C C C C B.- a 0.J E L. C a0 Li. 4 Z I- U) .- o0 ,) 0U 4- S 0 s) Q ,- 0 U 0(A (M . C CD 4)a. a. -e -J 0 4J 0 F · 4 U) 't . o @ LC ~ 0o ~ be v co a : (J 0 0 -D 0 o a 4.3 (1 4. V- (A Co a) *caJ 0 oo 0_ 4 .I- o0 _j C i- ") 4- - 4. cm U) [3 9- s- CZ a 0. -J c (D o0 4- o 0 2 Co ,'0 4-) o 0 4-) E 4.3 0; 0 4.3 E E U) C 0 : w LiJ i- O J U. LL LA Z C 0,-DCD-ILa) C) CY ) ILI L 0 Ld. 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IL c IL 0 LL L 0~ I--- 14 (,3 0. le Z 0 I.~ 1=1.. 1i oc a- 0I.1 Q_ O O z oL L IL LL 1 CZ I~ I - 184 - CHAPTER SIX Bibliography Table 6-1 is a bibliography compilation of the data base. of all of the sources used in the These references are not listed alpha- betically, but each has a number which corresponds to the number in both the tables in Chapters Two, Three, Four and Five, and in the 'comments' section of each TROLL data file. - 185 - Table 6-1 Bibliography and Code Numbers 1. World Currency Charts, 7th Edition, San Francisco, American International Investment Corporation, Dewey Library, HG 3863.A512. 2. Petroleum Facts and Figures, Washington D.C., American Petroleum Institute, 1971, Dewey Library, HD9563.A512. 3. Yearbook of the Commonwealth of Australia,Canberra, Australia, Commonwealth Bureau of Census and Statistics, Dewey Library, HA3001 .A938. 4. Annuaire Statistique de la Belgique, Bruxelles, Institut National de Statistique, Ministere des Affaires Economiques, Dewey Library, HA1391.A25, Lamont Library, Documents. 5. National Accounts Income and Expenditure, Historical Revision, Canada Statistics, 1926-1971, Dewey Library HClll.A42. _ 6. Statistics Canada, Catalogue, Ottawa, Canada, Dewey Library, ZHA741.A3. 7. Energy Statistics Yearbook, E.E.C., Brussels, Statistical Office of the European Economic Community (SOEEC), Dewey Library, QC73.5797. 8. Basic Petroleum Data Book, Petroleum Industry Statistics, American Petroleum Institute, Washington D.C. 9. Annuaire Statistique de la France, Paris, Institut National de la Statistique, Ministere de l'economie et des finances, insee, Dewey, HA1213AY. 10. Les Collections de L'INSEE, Les Comptes des Entreprises par Secteur, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes, Dewey Library, HA1213,A43, Series C. 11. Monthly Abstract of Statistics, India, Central Statistical Organization, Delhi Manager of Publications, Dewey Library, Periodicals. 12. Statistical Abstract of the Indian Union, New Delhi, Central Statistical Organization, Cabinet Secretariat, Gov't of India, Dept. of State, Dewey Library, HA1712,A34. 13. International Financial Statistics, International Monetary Fund, Dewey Library, Periodicals. - 186 - 14. Annuario Statistico Italiano, Rome, Instituto Centrale di Statistica, Dewey Library, HA1360.A2. 16. Annual Report on National Income Statistics, Japan, Economic Planning Agency, Government of Japan, Dewey Library, HC465.I5.A3. 17. Energy of Japan, Tokyo, Institute of Energy Economics, Dewey Library. 18. Japan Economic Yearbook, The Oriental Economist. 19. Japan Statistical Yearbook, Bureau of Statistics, Office of the Prime Minister, Dewey Library, HA1832.J35. 20. The Petroleum Industry in Japan, Tokyo, Japanese National Committee of the World Petroleum Congress, Tokyo, Dewey Library, HD9576.J32. 21. World Petroleum Congress, An Annual Review of International Oil Operations, Dewey, HD9560.4W927. 22. Encyclopedia of Chemical Technology, Kirk and other eds., John Wiley and Sons, New York, Science Library, TP9.E56. 23. Chemistry of Coal Utilization, Lowry Homer, Ed., National Research Council, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., New York, Science Library, TP953.N276. 24. De produktstructuur, Netherlands Central Bureau of Statistics, Dewey Library, HC325.A3. 25. Statistical Yearbook of the Netherlands, Netherlands Central Bureau of Statistics, Den Hague, Staatsuitgeverij, Annul. 26. OECD Economic Surveys, Paris, OECD, Dewey, HC325.08. 27. Electrisitet Statistikk, Norway, Oslo, Norway, Lamont Library. 28. Historical Statistics, Norway, Oslo, Norway, Lamont Library. 29. Industristatistikk Annual, Norway Offisielle Statistikk, Oslo, Norway, Lamont Library. 30. National Accounts, Oslo, Norway, Lamont Library. 31. Statistisk Arbok, Norway, Central Bureau of Statistics, Oslo, Norway, Dewey Library. 32. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, National Account Statistics, OECD, Statistics of Energy (publication and magnetic tape). - 187 - 33. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Historical Statistics, Main Economic Indicators, Dewey Library, HC59.068. 34. OECD Economic Surveys: HC325.068. 35. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, National Accounts Statistics, Dewey Library, HC79.I5.068. 36. Statistich Bundesamt,Wiesbaden, Preise Lohn Wirtsehaftsrechnunger, Preise und Preisindizesim Ausland, 1973, Harvard University Econ., 8075.2009.5/ 37. Energy Statistics, Brussels, OECD, 1974, Dewey Library. 38. Energy Statistics, L'Evolution des Prix des Charbon Dans les Pays de la Communaute, SOEEC, 1973, Dewey Library. 39. SOEEC, L'Evolution des Prix du Fuel-Oil dans les Pays de la Communaute, SOEEC, Dewey Library. 40. SOEEC, National Accounts, Luxembourg, SOEEC, Dewey Library. 41. SOEEC, Statistiche Studien und Eihabungen, SOEEC, Dewey Library. 42. Industri Sveriges Officiella Statistik, Sweden, Lamont Library. 43. Statistisk Arbok for Sverige, Statistika Centraobyran, Stockholm, Sweden. 44. Annual Abstract of UK Statistics, United Kingdom Central Statistical Office, 1968. 45. The British Economy: Key Statistics, London and Cambridge Economic Service, Cambridge, Dewey Library 1137.L847. 46. Bureau of Mines, Coal Statistics. 47. Digest of Energy Statistics, United Kingdom, 1974, Dewey Library, Great Britain, Department of Trade and Industry. 49. UNIPEDE: Netherlands, Paris, OECD, Dewey Library, Statistics, Dewey Library, HD9685.Al.I61. 50. Annual Bulletin of Coal Statistics for Europe, UnitedNations, Economic Commission for Europe, Dewey UN Collection and HD9555.A1.U571. 51. Annual Bulletin of Gas Statistics for Europe, United Nations, Economic Commission for Europe, Dewey Library, UN Collection and HD9685.E52.U58. 52. Annual Bulletin of Gas Statistics for Europe, United Nations, Economic Commission for Eruope, Dewey Library, UN Collection and TP732.U57. - 188 - 53. Quarterly Bulletin of Coal Statistics for Europe, United Nations, Economic Commission for Europe, Dewey Library, Periodicals. 54. Growth of World Industry, United Nations, Dewey Library, HA40.I6.U5852. 55. Indexes to the International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities, New York, UN Statistical Papers, 1971, Dewey Library, UN Collection. 56. United Nations Standard Country Code, New York, UN Statistical Papers, Kewey Library, UN Collection. 57. VN Yearbook of National Accounts Statistics, New York, United Nations, Dewey Library, HC79.I5.U57. 58. Annual Survey of Manufacturers, Washington, US Bureau of the Census, Dewey Library, HD9724.A211. 59. US Bureau of Labor Statistics Bulletin, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dewey Library, HD8051,A61. 60. Historical Statistics of the US, US Department of Commerce, Dewey Library, HA202.A385. 61. Petroleum Facts and Figures, Washington, D.C., American Petroleum Institute, Dewey, HD9563.A512. 62. National Income and Product Accounts, The National Income and Product Accounts of the US, 1929-1965, US Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics. 63. US Statistical Abstract, US Department of Commerce, Dewey Library Reference. 64. Statistical Yearbook of the Electric Utility Industry, Edison Electric Institute, New York. 65. Survey of Current Business No. 7, 1971, US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Washington, D.C., Dewey Library, HCllO.I5.A2. 66. Monthly Climatic Data for the World, USA Weather Bureau and the World Meteorological Organization. 67. Anuario Estadistico de Espana, Madrid, Instituto Nacional de Estadistica, Dewey Library, HA1543.A2, Lamont Library. 68. La Contabalidad Nacional, Spain, Lamont Library. 69.. Statistisk Arbok, Danmarks Statistisk, Dewey Library, HC351.A. 79. Zccicmic RPeportof the President, US Government, Washington, D.C. - 189 - 80. Canada Yearbook, Ottawa, Minister of Industry, Trade, and Commerce, Dewey Library, HA744.c212. 86. Statistical Abstract of Latin America, eds. K. Ruddle and D. Oberman, Latin American Center, UCLA. 89. GNP; Growth Rates and Trend Data, US Agency for International Development, Statistics and Reports Divison, Office of Financial Management, Dewey Library. 92. Demographic Yearbook of the United States, Dewey Library, HAS383 U.25. 98. Statistics of Energy, Magnetic Tape, OECD. 99. Energy Databank: Canada 1960-1973, 1975 Version, University of Toronto, Institute for Policy Analysis. 100, Real Product, Real Factor Input 101. and Productivity, 103. Basic Statistics 110. Gross National International Christensen, et. al. of the Community, SOEEC, Paris. Product, Growth Rates and Trend Data, Agency for Development. 123. Energy Balances of OECDCountries, 207. World Energy Supplies, 1950-1974, 1960-1974, UN Collection Paris, 1976. ST/ESA/STAT/ser. J/19, New York, 1976. 211. Oil Statistics: Supply and Disposal, OECD, 1975, Dewey, HD9560.4, .068 (ref.). 214. Comite Professionnel du Petrole, Bulletin Mensuel, 20 Septembre, 1976. 223. Federal Energy Administration. 224. International Petroleum Annual, US Bureau of Mines, United States Department of the Interior, 225. Annuario Estadistico, 250. Handbook of Labor Statistics, 266. Monthly Climatic 1966-to date. Commison Nacional de Seguros, Mexico. US Department of Labor. Data for the World, US Environ. Data Service, US Weather Bureau. 270. Americas en Cifras, Secretaria General de la Organizacion de los Estados Americanos, Washington, D.C. 272. Statistical Yearbook of the Netherlands, Netherlands Central Bureau of Statistics, Dewey Library, HA1381.A3, 1974, The Hague, 1975. - 190 - 279. Economic Report of the President, US Government, Washington, D.C. 282. Japan Economic Yearbook, The Oriental Economist 76/77, Dewey Library, HC461 J35e. 292. Eurostat: Tax Statistics, EEC, Paris, Dewey, HJ2599.5 300. U.N. Statistical Yearbook 1974, HA12.5 .U57 (Dewey), United Nations, 1976. 310. World Road Statistics, 1968, 1972, 1976, HE333.I61, 1976, (Eng.), International Road Federation, Washington, D.C. 1972 Issue is at D.O.T. Kendall Sq., 8th Floor Library. 1968 Issue is at I.R.F. Headquarters in Washington. 320. The Motor Industry in Great Britain, HD9710.G71.M919 (Dewey), Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders LTD, Statistical Dept. 321. Canada Yearbook, HA744.C212, 1970, 1971, (Dewey), Canada Dominion Bureau of Statistics. 330. World Motor Vehicle Data, HD9710.A39, (Dewey), Automobile Manufacturer's Association, 1966, Detroit. 331. Highway Statistics, HE355.A3.A47, Federal Highway Administration, D.O.T. .J797. - 191 - CHAPTER SEVEN TROLL Data File Names Each variable for each country has a TROLL* data file name under which it is stored on the computer system. The file names consist of mnemonics or abbreviations for the sector, the country and the variable. A brief description of the TROLL naming conventions will help the user understand the construction of the data file names. The TROLL data file name can haveseveral characters separated by an underscore. segments, or strings of The successive segments will here be referred to as 'first level,' 'second level,' etc. Examples Format of Data File Name: Data File Name: xxxxxxxx_ xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx first second third level level level IND_ BELG_ FPRMG (Figure 7-1) *The data base is stored on TROLL, a software package which provides a cormonrhnsive environment for creating, estimating, and simulating -C.nr r in ra-is . F;or further information, contact the Information Processinc, Service at MIT. - 192 - The irst level of the name is known as the "archive name." The archive names in the World Oil Project data base indicate the sector; for example, 'IND' indicates industrial data. The second level is an abbreviation for a country or region and indicates the country or region of that data file. The third and fourth levels of the name indicate the variable. There are many variables and the abbreviations or mnemonics employed are quite complex. Table 7-1 alphabetically lists all of the archive names, or character strings that are in the first level, and which sector each represents. Table 7-2 alphabetically lists the second level character strings, abbreviations for all the countries and regions. Table 7-3 alphabatically lists the mnemonics for the variables. Table 7-4 is an index of all of the variables in the data base. This index refers to the third and fourth level or the mnemonic for the variable. of the data file name, The index will also refer to the archive, or sector, in which the variable can be found. - 193 - Table 7-1 First Level TROLL Names - Archive Names ind industrial sector data second product demand data trans transportation sector data twotime residential sector data - 194 - Table 7-2 Second Level TROLL Names - Country or Regions Abbreviation Defin i tion afr African continent, UN classification arg Argentina ausl Australia aust Austria belg Belgium braz Brazil camr Central American countries, UN classification can Canada den Denmark eafr Africa, excluding South Africa fare Far East, UN classification fin Finland fran France indi India ital Italy jap Japan mex Mexico mide Middle Eastern countries, UN classification namr North America, UN classification reth the Netherlands nor Norway 195 - (Table 7-2, continued) Abbreviation Definition oamr Other America, UN classification ocen Oceanic countries, UN classification oeur Other European countries, UN classification safr South Africa skor South Korea span Spain swed Sweden swit Switzerland turk Turkey uk United Kingdom usa USA ven Venezuela weur Western Europe, UN classification wger West Germany - - 196 - Table 7-3 Third and Fourth Level TROLL Names - Variables Mnemonic Definition a apparel allfuels all fuels consumed by industrial sector b beverages c communication cap capital cbkb lignite briquettes ccok coke oven coke cdl consumption of diesel fuel (transportation sector) cgo gas oven coke cmg consumption of motor gasol ine (transportation sector) colb brown colh hard con construction cpat patent d durables dm durables and maintenance dnr depreciation rate, non-residential structures dpd depreciation rate, producer durables elec electricity eng energy er education and recreation expcap expenditure on capital expfuel expenditure on fuels (industrial sector) explab expenditure on labor coal coal fuel - 197 (Table 7-3, continued) Mnemonic Definition f food f* * ** total consumption of * * * * (fuel type) (example: fpcru = total consumption of crude oil) fb food and alcoholic find* * * * * * * * (fuel type) consumed by industry fliq liquid fres* * * * * ** fdsk feedstocks * * * fo veverages fuel * (fuel type) consumed by residential sector * * * * (fuel type) consumed by "other" sector foth* * * * * * * * (fuel type) consumed by domestic sector fpet petroleum products, all fref* * * * * * * * (fuel type) consumed by refineries fsol solid fuel all fuels f* * * 2 same as f* * * *, but from a different source gas gas gman town, or manufactured gas gnat natural gas gvo, ngvo gross value of output gdp gross domestic product gnp gross national product i** * * fuel index of * * * * iaspric asset price index inex index of private consumption expenditure ind industrial inr gross fixed capital formation, non-residential structures ipd gross fixed capital formation, producer durables - 198 (Table 7-3, continued) - Mnemonic Definition iret retail price index iwh wholesale price index lab labor lc local currency m medical man manufacturing manhop manhours worked by operatives mars Marseille me gross fixed capital formation, machinery and equipment ndi net private disposable income nemp number of employees nex private consumption expenditure nexl total private consumption expeintures ngnp gross national product nop number of operatives nr non-residential structures nrb new registrations, buses nrgv new registrations, goods vehicles nrpc new registrations, passenger cars o other oc other construction oeq other machinery and equipment p* * * productionof * * ** (fud type) pcdlrv percentage of diesel fuel used in road vehicles pcmgrb percentage of gasoline used in road vehicles pcru crude oil pd producer durables 199 - (Table 7-3, continued) Mnemoni c Definition - pdl price of diesel oil (transportation sector) pet all petroleum products pk price of capital pl price of labor pmg price of motor gas (transportation sector) pop population PPPf ppp~f purchasing power parity: Fisher ideal _g German n native pr petroleum product prag aviation prbc heavy prds diesel pref refinery prfo fuel oil prjf jet fuel prks kerosene prl g LPG prmg motor gas prmp premium motor fuel prmr regular motor fuel r government bond yield ros Rosario sb stock of buses sh * * ** fuel fuel oil fuel fuel share of * * * * sind* * * * industrialprice of * * * * (fuel type) spc stock of passenger vehicles sret* * * * swh* * * * wholesale price of * * * * (fuel type) - 200 - (Table 7-3, continued) Mnemonic Definition tc transportation and communication tdl taxation, temp temperature tmg taxation, motor gasoline tran* * * * * * * * (fuel type) consumed by transporation sector traneq transportation equipement, gross fixed capital formation tvb traffic volume, buses tvgv traffic volume, goods vehicles tvpc traffic volume, passenger cars u_pppnr purchasing power parity, non-residential structures u_ppppd purchasing power parity, producer durables va value added vat value added tax vcdl vehicular consumption of diesel fuel vcmg vehicular consumption of motor gas wags wages and salaries wsup wages and supplements xeurs monetary conversion, eurs xrate exchange rate Y_ base year * * (example: y70 = base year 1970) diesel fuel - 201 - Table 7-4 Index of Terms - - mnemonic found in archive: Apparel private consumption expenditure on a twotime nexa twotime Brown coal colb consumption of, see Consumption Buses new registrations traffic volume tvb sb trans trans trans cap ind nr,inr oeq,ipd ind Chemical feedstocks production of fdsk pfdsk second second Communication private consumption expenditure on c nexc twotime twotime Construction con ind Consumption expenditure, private, on apparel nex twotime nexa nexeng nexfsol nexd nexelec nexf twotime twotime twotime vehicles nrb in use (stock) Capital see Price of gross fixed capital formation non-residential structures producer durables all energy coal durables electricity food fuel oil gas nexfl iq medical other transportation nexm total nexgas and conmmnunication nexo nextc nexl ind twoti me twoti me twotime twotime twoti me, twoti me twoti me twotinme twotime - 202 - (Table 7-4, continued) - mnemonic found in archive: Consumption of fuel * * * * f Consumption by industrial sector, of fuel* * * * find* * * * ind Consumption by residential second, of fuel**** fres* * * * twotime Consumption total petroleum fprtot second Consumption by transformation sector of fuel * * * .* tran* * * * second * * * Consumption by transportation sector, of fuel * * second trans Crude oil pcru pcru second Depreciation rate non-residential structures producer durables dnr dpd ind consumption of, see Consumption percentage consumed by road vehicles price of, see Price pcdlrv trans tax on tcl trans elec twotime, ind nexelec twotime nemp nop ind ind Diesel oil Electricity consumption of, see Consumption prices of, see Prices private consumption expenditure on Employees number in industry number of operatives I - ind - 203 - (Table 7-4, continued) - mnemonic found in archive: Energy private consumption expenditure on eng nexeng twotime twotime Exchange rates also see Purchasing Power Parities xrate twotime,second Expenditure see Consumption, expenditure, private on Capital expcap on (industrial) fuels on labor expfue Feedstocks, chemical Final internal consumption ind explab ind fdsk second second of fuel Food and beverages Fuel oil, ind 1 total light heavy f twotime prfo prfo prbc twotime,second twotime,second second,ind gas gnat twotime,ind nrgv sgv trans trans trans r incI Fuels see Consumption, and individual products Gas natural manufactured' Goods Vehicles new registrations traffic volume vehicles (stock of) Government bond yield tvgv d ern Gross domestic product gdp, in( A gnp - - - .a I -W.. - I - 204 - (Table 7-4, continued) found in archive: mnemonic - Gross Fixed capital formation non-residential structures producer durables nr,inr oeq,ipd ind ind Hard coal colh twotime,second, ind prbc second,ind Hours worked by operatives manhop ind Income,personal disposable ndi second,twotime Index of **** i **** ind,twotime, second inexl iaspric twotime iaspricnr ind iaspric_pd ind i ret**** iwh**** second second Heavy fuel oil Hourly wage rate see Price of labor of total private consumption expenditure asset price non-residential structures producer durables of retail price of **** of wholesale price of **** ind Industrial data all in one archive all industrial data preceded ind ind si nd**** second,ind findprbc allfuel ind ind by; ind Industrial price of **** Industrial sector, consumption of heavy fuel all fuels - - - I - 205 - (Table 7-4, continued) mnemonic found in archive: Interest rate government bond yield r ind Jet fuel prjf second prks second Labor compensation of labor expenditure on labor number of employees in industry supplements to wages wags explab nemp wsup ind ind ind ind Light fuel oil prfo second,ind, twotime Liquid fliq twotime Liquified petroleum gas consumption of, see Consumption prl g second Local currency lc second,ind, twotime Machinery and Equipment gross fixed capital formation me me ind ind Manhours of operatives manhop ind gman twotime consumption of, see Consumption Kerosene consumption of, see Consumption Fuel consumption of, see Consumption LPG see Liquified petroleum gas Manufacture, or town gas consumption of, see Consumption - 206 -' (Table 7-4, continued) mnemonic I J i found in archive: prmg second prmp prmr second second Net Personal disposable income ndi second,twotime Number of employees, industry nemp ind Operatives number of manhours worked by nop ind manhop ind Other private consumption expenditure on o twotime nexo twotime Other construction oc ind Passenger cars new registrations traffic volume vehicles in use (stock of) nrpc tvpc spc trans trans trans Petroleum Products total consumption of, excluding refinery loss and bunkers fprtot second Population pop second Premium motor fuel consumption of, see consumption prices of, see Prices prmp second Motor fuel consumption of, see Consumption premium regular prices of, see Prices also, see individual products see Consumption - 207 - (Table 7-4, continued) mnemonic found in archive: temp twotime,second tvb tvgv tvpc trans trans trans Transformation sector consumption of **** tran**** second Transportation private consumption expenditure on next twotime trans trans Units local currency lc second, twotime Value va ind ind Value added tax vat ind Vehicles in use (stock of) buses goods vehicles passenger cars sb sgv spc trans trans trans ynn second,ind, twotime Temperature Traffic volume bus goods vehicles passenger cars Transportation data all transportation sector data preceded by "trans'" Added Wages total compensation, see Expenditure on Labor hours, see Prices of Labor Year base year nn of data - 208 - CHAPTER EIGHT Conversion Factors All of the quantity and price data is expressed in terms of tcals, which is a measure of heat content. In this section tcals will be defined. Some issues which are important when using heat measurements and when defining total consumption will be discussed. The tables which appear at the end of this chapter show how tcals relate to BTU's, metric tons, and barrels, in addition to other relevant conversion factors. Tcals A tcal, or 109 kcals, is a precise, scientific measure of heat energy. One kcal, or kilogram calorie is the amount of heat required to raise the temperature of one kilogram of water at 14.5 degrees Celsius, one degree Celsius. There are however, net tcals and gross tcals for the purpose of measuring heat content of fuels. The difference between net and gross values is the amount of heat lost as steam during combustion. For coal and oil, there is approximately a 5% difference between net and gross measures of heat value, for gas approximately 9%, and no difference in electricity. It is usually the European convention to use net tcals and the American convention to use gross tcals. The World Oil Project data is expressed as gross tcals, except for the industrial data, which is in net tcals. - 209 - Refinery Loss: Heat and Volumetric Measures As part of the larger effort to analyze the world oil market, a means of calculating all of the non-communist world oil consumption was required. While using the demand by product information in tcals, a total in millions of barrels/day (crude equivalent) was desired. Switching from a heat measure to a volumetric measure, however, poses some problems and certain factors must be accounted for. When product consumption is added by heat content rather than by volume, a 4% loss in the apparent energy content results. While industry sources may display balance sheets using volumetric data which indicates a 5% refinery loss, is the 5% volumetric the true loss in conversion loss plus an additional from crude 4% loss. This oil to products is because the average barrel of product has about 4% less energy than a barrel of crude. This can be illustrated with a few examples. A misleading error occurs when consumption categories are added volumetrically and deemed equivalent to that volume of crude oil, as in Figure 8-1. 1 barrel gasoline + 1 barrel distillate = 2 barrels crude (Figure 8-1) A barrel of gasoline in terms of energy content, however, is not equivalent to a barrel of crude oil, as Table 8-1 shows. (Next page) - 210 - Table 8-1 Heat Content in Tcal/bbli Product crude oil .00146 distillate oil .00147 residual .00159 oil kerosene .00143 gasoline .00132 diesel oil .00146 Adding by energy content, it can be seen that the method used in Figure 8-1 leads to inaccuracies. 1 barrel + gasoline 1 barrel distillate = .00132 tcals = .00147 tcals .00279 tcals crude = 1.91 barrels of crude (Figure 8-2) This shows that when product demand is added by heat content rather than by volume, the result is underestimation. By using a 9% refinery loss when converting from tcals to barrels, the resultant equivalent demand for crude is correct. - 211 - Defining Consumption There are several definitions of total demand involving different accounting methods. The consumption data on the data base, from OECD and UN sources, categorizes by end-use and defines consumption as "total inland consumption." consumption = production + imports -exports - bunkers + stock changes (Figure 8-3) This formulation excludes bunkers from maritime vessels. 2 To arrive at a "total consumption" figure from the information in the data base, something must be added for bunkers. The category "stock changes" is often used to account for statistical differences, although some more recent publications now use a separate category for this. Demand can also be defined as "apparent inland consumption." consumption = production + imports - exports - bunkers (Figure 8-4) Changes in inventory are not accounted for in this formulation. is used, input/output tables do not balance. When this With all'definitions of demand there is room for error; fuel in transit is not explicitly accounted for and may appear in the statistical difference, or stock change category, or may not be accounted for at all. These differences - 212 - in accounting are significant and must be compensated for in order to compare different demand figures. Tables Following are tables of the conversion factors used to convert different units to tcals, in addition to other relevant conversion factors. There are variations in the actual values of fuels between countries and different grades or qualities of fuels and products, but the conversion factors used here are all average values. References 1. The Energy Index, Environment Information Center, Energy Reference Department, New York, NY, 1973. 2. Darmstadter,Joel, Energy in the World Economy, Johns Hopkins Press, Baltimore, 1971. - 213 - Table 8-2 Conversion Factors, Gross Values From tons to tcal To Convert cubic meters to tcal KWH to tcal liters to tcal gallons to tcal barrel to tcal - Multiply by Crude oil .0107 * * Fuel oil, .0107 * * residual .16residual .0106 * * * .32x10 .00146 * 4 .00892x10 3 .00147 .00851xlO 3 .00159 .00875x10 - 3 .00143 .008259x10 3 .00132 .00892xlO0 3 .00146 1 ight Kerosene .0112 * * .325x10 Motor gas .0112 * * .315xlO Diesel oil .0110 * * .32x10 gas .0108 * * .315xlO - 4 .008254x10- 3 .00127 Jet fuel .0112 * * .325x10- 4 03 .00875xlO .00143 Naphtha .0134 * * * LNG .0124 * * * Aviation Natural gas *.009xO .~~~~~~~ 3 4 4 ** ** *** * * Not applicable, or not used in WOP data base. , - 214 - (Table 8-2, continued) From To tons cubic KWH Convert to tcal meters to tcal to tcal liters gallons to tcal barrels to tcal to tcal * Multiply by * Manufactured .0042xlO 3 * * * * * * gas Coal .007 Coke .0047 Electricity * * * * .859x10 6 * * Not applicable, or not used in WOPdata base. ** * - 215 - Table 8-3 Volumetric and Calorific Conversion Factors 1012 calories 1 Tcal 1 Kcal 1 cal 1 BTU 3.968 BTU - .003968 BTU 252 calories - : 1 KWH : ton calories - : 1 therm 1 therm 1 metric 103 : -5 10 BTU 2.52 x 10 tcals 3412 BTU 2204 1 bs. 1000 kg. 1 barrel 42 US gallons 159 liters 1 US gallon .833 imperial gallons 3.785 liters 1 imperial gallon 1.2 US gallons 1 liter .2642 US gallons 1 kiloliter 6.29 barrels Table 8-4 Conversion Fac;ors Used ill [.le oil a .. e .ilctare cntnjed n thc vlumes publishedjointly hy c AmericanSocietyor Testing uil olticiacnnvcrin, :.ntl -'i. tlb Compiled y "Ice l'ornilcm lcnnnt. MeusurcmentTables". Materialsand thc nstilutc of Pcirolcum.undertihetitle "AblM/111i'etIolcusim Linear and square mensures I inch Ioz = 16.387 cubic centimetrcs =0.0254 mctrc =28.35 grammes I pint I foot I lb -0.453592 kilogrammc -0.009 cwt =0.5683 litre =0.333 yard - 12 inches I litre =0.305 m -I 000 cubic centimetres =61.024 cubic inches -1.7597 pints =0.26117 American gallon =0.21997 Imperial gallon -0.035314 cubic foot I yard -3 feet =?6 inches -0.914 m I metrc (m) = 1.094 yards =3.281 feet e39.37 inches I kg =2.20462 lb -0.01 quintal I cwt =112 lb -50.802 kg I hectolitre I metric ton -0.98421 long ton - 100 litres I American gallon =231 cubic inches -3.7854 litres -0.83268 Imperial gallon -0.133681 cubic foot -0.0238095 American barrel =0.0037854 cubic metre I Imperial gallon -277.42 cubic inches -0.001 km I kilometre (kin) I 000 mctres -0.621 mile I statute mile =1 760 yards -1.609 km I nautical mile =4.5461 -6080 feet -1.15152 statute miles I square foot -0.093 square metro 1 square yard =9 square feet -0.836 square metre 1 square metre - 1.196 square yards - Weights Cubic measures I cubic inch 10.764 square feet I ace -0.405 hectare -4 840 square yards I hectare (ha) -0.01 square km -2.471 acres I square km =0.386 square mile -100 ha I square mile -2.590 square km -640 acres -259 ha -1.10231 -2000 lb itres "Theseconversionsare basedon theassumption thatallweightsare eights min air. vhich is the correctbasisfor computingbulk commercial quantitiesof peuolcum. =0.160544 cubic foot -1.20094 American gallons =0.028594 American barrel =0.0045461 cubic metre I cubic foot =28.317 litres -7.4805 American gallons -6.2288 Imperial gallons =0.17811 American barrel -=0.028317cubic metre I American barrel Power and hcat uits I hp (horsepower) -550 foot pounds per second -0.746 kilowatt - 1.014 PS (or Cheval Vapeur) 1 PS (Pfcrdestacrke) -9 702 cubic inchcs -0.986 hp -0.736 k =158.99 litres -42 American gallons -34.9726 Imperial gallons =5.6146 cubic feet =0.15899 cubic metre I cubic metre -35.315 cubic feet -1 000 litres -264.17 American gallons -219.97 Imperial gallons -6.2898 American barrels -1000 litres -6.2898 American barrels I gross ton (shipping) Source: of -100 cubic feet or 2.83 cubic nimetres permanently cnclosed space I kW (kilowatt) -I 000 watts -1.340 hp -1.359 PS or CV -737 foot pounds per second I foot pound per second -0.00136 kilowatt -0.00182 hp -0.00184 PS or CV I therm -100000 Btu (British thermal units) -25 200 kilocalories =25.2 themlics =29.3 kilowatt hours I 000 kilocalorics (large calories) =3 968 Bizu -1.163 kilowatt hours Liquefied methane -1 thermic I ton of liquefied mcthane =approximately 16 barrels -approximately or CV (Clicval Vapcu,,) -542 foot pounds per second I kilolitre Specific gravity: volume per ton Barrels per Spec. Degrees gravity long ton met. ton API 7.09 6.98 0.904 25 7.02 7.13 0.898 26 7.18 7.06 0.893 27 7.10 7.22 0.887 28 7.15 7.27 0.882 29 7.19 7.31 0.876 30 7.24 7.36 0.871 31 7.28 7.40 0.865 32 7.33 7.45 0.860 33 7.37 7.49 0.855 34 7.42 7.54 0.850 35 7.46 7.58 36 0.845 7.51 7.63 0.40 37 7.55 7.67 0.835 3S /.0 7.72 0.,30 39 7.64 7.76 0.8::5 40 0.820 7.69 7.81 41 7.73 7.85 0.816 42 "Approx figures 60'F short tons -2 204.6 lb I English or ous ton -1.01605 metric tons* -1.12 short tons I short ton =0.892857 long ton' =0.907185 metric ton* I kilowatt hour 50 000 cubic feet (I 400 cubic mnetrcs)of natural gas, depending on mliethanei content Specific gravity ranges SPwcC. grnavity 0. 80-0.97 Crude oils Aviation gasolines 0. 70-0.78 Motor gasolincs 0. 71-0.79 0. 78-0.84 Kcrosines 0.z;2-0.90 Gas oils 0. 82-0.92 Dicscl oils Lut)ricating oils 0.1;5-O.9S 0. 92-0.99 Fucl oils Asphaltic bitumens 1.00-1.10 Petroleum Economist (June 1975) =3 411 Btu = 1.340hp hours =859.6 kilocalories Colorific value of fuels Iarrels per metric on 8.0-6.6 9.1-8.2 9.0-".; ,Roughgross values in Btu per lb Crude oils Gasolines Kcrosines . 18 300-19 500 20 500 19 800 8.2-7.6 ,Bfnzolc 7.8-7.1 Ethyl alcohol Gas oils Fucl oils (Bunkcr) I 1 .) 19 20 18 300 Coal (lituminous) LNG 10 200-14 600 22 300 7.8-6.9 7.5-6.7 6.9-6.5 6.4-5.8 18 100 - 217 - References for Tables The Energy Index, Environment Information Center, Energy Reference Department, New York, NY, 1973. Petroleum Economist, June 1975. Petroleum Facts and Figures, American Petroleum Institute. - 218 - CHAPTER NINE Purchasing Power Parities ..... 9.1 . ~ - . .. Methodological Problems in the Use of Purchasing Power Parities There are three conceivable ways to generate international price and expenditure comparisons: (i) (ii) (iii) at official exchange rates at purchasing power parities at "free market" exchange rates. A competent discussion of the merits and demerits of various methodologies can be found in Samuelson1 and in Chenery and Syrquin.2 Method (i), conversion at official exchange rates, will receive no further attention here since such rates are a priori inadmissable (due to distortions, rigidities and controls) to deflate nominal to real values in an economically meaningful way. Method (iii) may prove to be of some value. "Free market" rates between individual countries may loosely be had for a large number of countries (i.e., those with minimal tariff distortions and exchange controls) by selecting pairs of countries with substantial trade balances and a timeperiod thought to qualitatively reflect "equilibrium" forces. Alternatively, estimates of the "effective rate of protection" can be found for those countries with substantial distortions and used to deflate to nominal values - 219 3 (see Schydlowsky and Syrquin ). Such estimates may be found in Balassa and Associates4 and in Balassa.5 But there is little formal theoretical defense for such procedures and they, too, will receive no further discussion. The remaining option is to deflate nominal values by estimates of the relative purchasing power of the various national currencies. There are three ways such comparisons can be made: (i) Implicitly: one can take a nominal national currency estimate of national product and base currency (such as US$) estimate of the same national product and produce an implicit purchasing power deflator. Such a procedure is followed in Lluch and Powell6 and Lluch and Williams7 . (ii) Explicitly, making binary comparisons. A formula of the form EPAQA/zPBQA- EPAQB/EPBQB (Figure with P PPPA = PPP 9-1) Q, A, and B representing price, quantity, country A and country B respectively, gives the A and B weighted (Laspeyre and Paasche) price index numbers, PPPA and PPPs and Kloek and Theil As Samuelson1 points out, theoretically, show empirically, there are good reasons to prefer a Fisher "ideal" geometric mean of these two numbers as a single index of relative purchasing power. These binary comparisons, in turn, can be used to make multilateral purchasing power comparisons. While the use of a single "bridge" country to make these comparisons guarantees a transitive international ordering, such an ordering is not invariant with respect to changes in the choice of "bridge" country. It can also be argued tat, in the case - 220 - of incomplete data, the binary comparison of "included" prices neglects valuable information on "excluded" prices that could be utilized in multilateral price level comparison. Kravis, et.al.,9 discusses these issues in Chapter 5. (iii) Explicitly, making multilateral comparisons. Within a regression model, a variance components strcture is used to estimate the purchasing power parity for a single category of expenditure, as a function of all other international price ratios. Such a formulation is both transitive and base-country invariant in the orderings produced. 9 Kravis, et.al., have implemented such an approach. After we have obtained base-year parities, we are faced with the problem of constructing intertemporal conversion indices to deflate our time series data. To do this, note that such an exchange rate between countries A and B equals the relative prices, in the national currency, of some given market basket of goods, i.e., XAB = PA/PBfor some base year (Figure b PA(b)/PB(b) 9-2) and that PA(b+t) PA(b+t)/PB(b) = PA(b) XAB. (Figure 9-3) Given a base-year purchasing power parity, and time series of the consumer price indices, we can easily construct the implicit ratio of relative intertemporal purchasing powers in terms of the base-year numeraire. - 221 - 9.2 Availability of Data In all the following, estimated PPP ratio. listed. B denotes a bilateral PPP ratio, M a multilaterally Countries for which the comparisons have been made are A * denotes that both home and foreign country weighted (i.e., Laspeyne and Paasche) price indices have been constructed; otherwise, assume that only the weights of the country (or author's country) of issue are used. "DET" indicates PPP ratios by detailed category of consumer expenditure are available; "INV" indicates a ratio for the gross investment deflator has also been constructed. 1. Implicit ratios (N.C.U. = (_N.C.U. GNP ) $ GNP national currency unit) Table (i) Lluch and Powell6 Year = variable, Thailand generally S. Korea in early '60's (ii) 9-1 Greece Panama U.K. W. Germany Phillipines Taiwan Ecuador Chile Jamaica S. Africa Australia Sweden U.S.A. Thailand Greece U.K. W. Germany S. Africa Australia Sweden U.S.A. Ireland Puerto Rico Italy Israel Lluch and Williams7 Year of comparison occasionally varies from above study S. Korea Taiwan Ireland Italy Jamaica Israel - 222 - 2. Explicitly calculated PPP series. Table 9-2 (i) Gilbert, et.al., 0 B Year (ii) = 1950, DET, INV U.S * France * Denmark * U.K. * Norway * Belgium * Netherlands * Germany * U.S. Japan Italy * Watanabe & Komiya, 1 B Year (iii) = 1952, DET, INV Economic Communityty, 12 Communi Statistical Office of the European Economic B Year = 1955-61 Germany * France * Italy * Netherlands* (iv) Belgium * Saarland * Statistical Office of the EuropeanEconomic 13 Community,1 B Germany * France * Belgium * Luxembourg * Netherlands * (v) Economic Commision for Latin America,1 4 B Year = 1960, 62, DET, INV All 18 Latin American countries* (vi) Salazar-Carrillo, 5 B Year = 1968 Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Co 1ombi a Ecuador Mexico Paraguay Peru Uruguay Venezue 1a - 223 - (Table 9-2, continued) (vii) Kravis, et.al.,9 B, M Year = 1970, DET, INV Colombia * France * Germany * Hungary * India Italy Japan Kenya * * * * UK * US * B Year = 1967, DET, INV Hungary * India * Japan * (viii) Kenya * UK * US * Statistiches Bundesamt,16 B Year = 1949-73, DET Belgium* Denmark * Finland * France * UK * Italy * Israel * Poland Greece Yugoslavia Spain Czechoslovakia Turkey Hungary Ethiopia Ghana Cameroun Mauretania Niger Senegal South Africa Tunisia Chad Uganda Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Costa Rica Dominican Rep. Guatema 1a Colombia Portugal Mexico Luxembourg * Netherlands * Norway * Austria * Sweden * Switzerland * USSR * Kenya * Rhodesia * Tanzania Canada * US * Panama Paraguay Peru Uruguay Venezuela India Australia * New Zealand - 224 - 9.3 Calculation of 1970 Base-Year Purchasing Power Parities for Detailed Expenditure Classes We are currently using Fisher ideal values from the Statistiches Bundesamt and much of Kravis' data. For overall purchasing power parities, we used all expenditures without rent, since rent figures are of dubious reliability. For detailed expenditure losses, two methods were used, depending on the availability of detailed expenditure indices. A. Detailed Expenditure Class Indices Available The final result we want is a 1970 base-year parity with the U.S. as the base country. (All U.S. purchasing power parities = e.g., for England we want Pd.'70/$'70. by definition), The data available (see Table 9-3) from the Statistiches Bundesamt is in the form of a purchasing power parity with Germany as base-country and with a base-year which varies for different countries and is usually not 1970. The first step in arriving at a U.S.-based purchasing power parity will be to transform the Germany-based PPP's to 1970 base-year. An example, using Norway, which has a June 1960 PPP (see table), follows: DM '70/Pd. '70 = PM June'60/Pd. June'60 x DM'60/DM June'60 Pd.-'60/Pd.June'60 x PdM'70/PdM'60 Pd.'70/Pd.'60 (Figure 9-4) The two expressions on the right can be obtained from indices for the expenditure transportationand classes we used--apparel,durables, food, communication, and other. To obtain the precise index value for a month and year, e.g. June '60, we simply extrapolated using the midyear point of the preceding year and the midyear - 225 - point of the succeeding year as base points. 1960 is presumed to be an average That is, an index given for for the 12 months. Since one has to pick a single point in closest approximation, this index number is presumed to be that of June, 1960 exactly. Thus, the index for August, 1960 would be extrapolated 2/12ths of the way between the 1960 and the 1961 index. Once the German-based 1970 PPP is obtained, the U.S. based PPP is simply Pd.'70 (or any currency)/$70 (DM'70/$'70)/(DM'70/Pd.'70) (Figure 9-5) Since DM'70/$'70 = 3.32, this reduces to (US-based lg7OPPP)-1 97 0 LC'70 (US-based 197PPP)- $7 0 3 DM'2O .3 2 /-rLC'70 (German-based PPP) (Figure 9-6) B. General Expenditure Index Available Only In cases where indices for detailed expenditure classes were not available, the following formula was used as the next best approximation (ants is used): DM'70 Pd'70 (17 PPP for apparel) DM'70(apparel)/DM'72(apparel) DM'72 Pd'70(general/Pd'72(general) x Pd'72 1970 PPP for apparel' (Figure 9-7) All four terms in the middle expression above are expenditure indices. Note that all the indices for Germany were available, whereas England is used as an example of a country for which the index for apparel was not available. -226- 0H- 0 co --t Uf) 'IO l Ln un 0 I r en H rn C4 <1 14 1H -< ej4 1£. 0o co %T Ltn %D . t o oC C4 ,n * H . (N Uo 0 c. .4 D m . '.0 r- (N %tc C; 4 c) * N e H- m C', * r-i HO CH '. 0 '.4 H 0 um * 00 oo o o oC oj- 1 H U% C', ·* * * o~ * '.. in- 0 CU * H co 0o ' c' He~.* '.v * -4 0-1 * N H H en, 0 C cc -T N 4 C', co CO - C' D '.0 oo (4t '. 0o ' Lx C4 cnl I Cr) .0 c0 C', O% -T 0 H H U, C' Pk F4 44 <& $. C 4 4 H Cd H Vc4 ;L, 0 4-'-4 s-I 0 4-4 en) H- 0 '. Cn 0c * rX 44 0 a co co Cr P MI r-I U E -H 0 CU *14 H. ml <~~~~~~~~~~~1 -'- 0 ne u o: Co co CU H r5co -i CU u~L a1) I co C) u c X4 o a) z 0 z CdQ $C 04-iw % > U p- 0 r4 0 ::) CO 03i 3 - - 227 C. - r",,} o0 4+- c,. cI ) tot) " c ~5 ~~O O 0 LO 0 cO ' o) 0i1 O-CD .. co a) I-, 13 C) CU a LU .-j Ur Cn CM~ LO C\ O~~~Y IC*- -cn ._ _ 0~~~~~~~~ o oo . (V) L.) U. co H5 L) o,,.o> o,,:, oo C 0) LO¢. LO tO O 0 6CC CO cS O Co,,, - S.- 0 4 Ln to I- S.. 4' (A -4 L) ecoS (D4.JC - 4_)C_ O_..... ,,>co] ·to I.~ ~--~Z C ,( a 4) 07 ()~* _ ) = Z ~ 3 ~~Q 0. , 0S- 2 .-4) 4( , - 228 - Table 9-5 PPP = Rent Country Date Unit G N F Belgium July 1953 100 Bfr 4.89 4.89 4.89 France Oct./Nov. '58 100 Ffr 1.29 1.59 1.43 Italy April '52 10,000 Lr 102.52 102.52 102.52 Netherlands Nov. 1 Hfl 1.52 1.54 1.53 United States March '53 1 vs. $ 1.17 1.17 1.17 Spain April 100 Ptas '60 '53 14.43 - 229 - 9.4 Computing the Relative Price in US$ of a Good in Another Country Note _tatwe_bave_available: PPP defined 1, where currency) basket of all goods in LC; is the price of the same basket of all goods in US$. PLC is the price of a market P$ (LC = local as PLC/P$ PPP can be interpreted as "the price of 1 U.S. dollar's worth of all goods in terms of LC." 2. PPPi defined as PLC/Pi$ where PiLC is the price of good i in LC; P$ is the price of good i in US$. PPPi can be interpreted as "the price of one U.S. dollar's worth of good in in terms of LC." Thus, to compute the relative price in US$ of good i in another country, and PPP.: venPPP. gives the LC price of one US$ worth of i PPP1 1/PPP * gives the overall purchasing power in US$ of X units PP Conclusion: * /PPP pPPPi/PPP of LC, so gives the overall purchasing power in US$ of the LC necessary to buy one US$ worth of i. gives the relative price in US$ of good US price = 1 $ US. Foreign price = PPPi/PPP $ US. i. - 230 - To compute the relative price in US$ of good given a price series for i /PPP in another country, in LC(PiLC) and another price series for in $ (in the US) (P ius), recall X * i i that gives you the real value in US$ of X LC, PLc/PPP = real price in US$ of good i abroad; PUS = real i in US. price in US$ of good so Finally, note that all of the above computations have assumed PPP's and price series are in a single constant year's currency units. 1. To convert PiLC in nominal units to PiLC in constant year units, (a) normalize PLC to 1 in desired base year t*. Call this PLC(t*). (b) let PLC(t*) = PiLC in constant year t* LC units. Then P LC(t*) 2. To convert = PiLc/PLC(t*) a PPP (or PPPi) from base year * (a) set PPP(t2 ) = PPP(t) to base (l) P~t~ LC(tl) / i(t3 PLC(t2) b) t i$(t2 (tl) Pi$(tl(t (b)2set PP( i II xFPiLC(tl) LC(t2T Pi set PP~i~i2) PPP = t2 , TABL- -- 7 )1: TIlL MU'LTlI. ATLRAL ('ONiPARlSO'.S ,,LrS sirllw ary ui!:!at:a! rAnie14.3. Purhasing-Pcwer Line nutner ! I Contunpzim. lP "! ti,'t i tu 3J I to 33 ! o 6 7to 12 13 to 14 15to 17 Oils & fts .8 to 20) Fruits & vegetables 21 to 26 Coffee, tea. cocoa 27 to 29 30 to 33 Spices & sweets. suga 4 to 37 lBeverages '83to 39 Tobacco 40( to I Clothing & tootwear 41) to 47 Clothing Footw*.r 48to 51 Gross rent, uel 52o 4; . Gross rents 52 to 53 54 to 57 F:uel & nower i to i71 Housc turnihmnin.S. orera ion Furniture. appliancs 58 tO 66 Suppliei & oper.ation 6? to 71 MNledical ca:e '2 :o 7 Transport & comir;u::i.a vons 79 to 91 Equipment 79 to 80 Operation cots 81 to 84 Purchased transport 85 to 39 n to 91 (Commll:lica.tion 92 to 103 Recreation & ducation RP.ecreation 92 to 98 Education 99 to 103 Other expenditure 104 to 109 Personil care 104 to 106 Mcise!lanneous crvices 1q)7to 109 Capital formation 111 to 148 Construction 111 to 124 Residential I11 to 112 Nonresidential blds. 113 to 120 Other construction 121 to 124 Producers' durables 125 to 146 Transport equipment 125 to 131 Nonelect:ical machinery 132 to 140 Electrical machinery 141 to 144 Other diur:ables 14.5to 146 (Goenment 149 to 153 Compenation 149 to 152 Commodities 153 C~si i:re.,tc prroilct I to 153 - 72 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 ood, t'e'crage, ib..ou Food Bread & cereals Meat Frish Milk, chcee, eggs - 14 IS 16 !7 - - _l) 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 23 29 33 14 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 15 a6 47 4, __. ,ote: Line numbers reer - :.S. . U'r,.ie, I.Diar, t970 (;CrColominainy, bia Franc:e I .R. (peo)) (ftrar:J I .rr 8.3 9.5 9.8 9.3 10.1 12.6 10.7 14.9 8.5 12.1 8.7 11.6 4.1 1l1.1 12.2 7.3 10.6 10.8 7.8 9.0 13.7 5.5 3.0 11.5 37.5 9.9 5.4 2.8 5.5 12.4 2.9 7.5 11.1 6.8 8.1 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.8 22.8 21.9 25.9 20.5 17.7 6.4 4.9 8.0 3.0 4 64 4.I. 5.24 5.33 5.33 6.18 3.92 6.15 4.94 7.85 6.24 3.25 4.00n b.69 6.98 5.19 3.86 3.16 7.71 4.91 5.78 3.63 2.3' 7.25 6.23 8.62 5.66 4.52 5.39 4.92 6.59 3.80 5.84 3.27 4.51 3.96 4.71 3.77 3.19 5.04 4.86 5.17 4.43 , 1U.1India '0:r. 3.32 7.3 -3.96 3.78 3.95 3.43 2.9S 4.61 3.94 9.70 4.36 2.50 4.41 21.2 11.3 28.0 15.1 17.3 30.0 .8.5 95.5 24.9 23.3 4 3.n) 2.86 2.43 4.87 3.21 3.77 2.40 1.53 . 5 4.8-4 4.23 6.01 3.68 9X <' 3.31 3.36 3.37 2.7 3.85 2.37 S.)3 2.43 2.60 2.31 2.32 3.81 4.67 5.44 3.50 3.22 4.21 4.3S 3.Sa 4.63 4.48 3.11 3.38 3.16 3.14 23.9 25.0 !8.3 ).5 24 6) 3 3.13 2.24 4.41 1.43 622. 645. 523. 677. 691. 3.20 5.73 - 4.07 4.26 _ 3.43 6.55 4.55 13.19 ~.RO 3.48 3.57 3.26 2.19 t.32 s5.1 5.23 1.83 1.63 1.64 21.5 23.3 !..3 1.4 '6.4 46.2 21.5 16.9 9.5 6.4 9.7 7.2 15.1 12.6 15.5 20.8 15.4 16.9 18.1 11.6 29.9 29.2 32.8 21.7 29.1 13.7 6.8 21.2 16.1 Italyv Japan (rupe) I 619. 649. 571. 1657. 786. 3.52' 8.76 3.34 2.32 - 1.71 0.61 4.71 6.35 3.44 667. 577. 591. 404. 240. 251. 4.64 3b7. 290. 853. 493. 55i 395 I-~l. 69. 643. 852. '58. 2.31 3.74 1.91 2.74 1.69 1.69 1.85 1.54 453. 591. 1.15 0.67 2.45 2. 1 0.309 0.4 23 0.307 0.286 0.315 0.37 3 3.43 3. - 378. 0.232 4.03 4.06 381. (,. 34 8.40 .10. 414. 4_0. 377. 437. '63. 293. 595. 739. 5 30. 453. 679. ' . 532. 472. 483. 0.301 3.34 474. 523. 595. 7.31 8.23 326. 283. 361. 0,333 0.5 16 0.6t4) 5.!3 1 iSi. 0.334 0.3b0 0.22? 5.41 2.46 289.1 257. 414. 4.68 4.92 3 O.331 0.277 0.457 258. 308. 191. 67. 240. 404. 4.7h 0.342 5.87 3 0.407 0.254 01.133 0.439 490. 127. 200. 195. 249. 1A. 169. 255. 150. 286. 249. 254. 328. 196. 329. 382. 291. 327. 351. 215. 166. 254. 244. U.S. (pound) I ul!:ir) ( I312 I .')') ".369 4.29 4.19 '6.59 5.10 2.60 7.92 7.96 430. II.K. 316. - _)t 9 233. 339. 343. 238. Kenya ~.i4 10.39 3.87 4.-22 3.49 2.53 0.519 5.46 0.288 0.220 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00' 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.0'0 I .00 t1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 l.00 1.01) 00 1.00 · 1.00 ;;! .9'3 .,.U! .OO 0.397 0.399 1.0) 0.236 0.2 36 1.51 3.06 4.91 0.2~1 0.269 0.28.6 2.76 5.39 4.06 0.311 0.24. 0.192 3.23 3.45 7. 7 .30') 0.257 0.395 7.19 7.16 7 78 0.572 7.30 0.350 0.252 0.356 , 07 1.1) 1I .00 .00 1.01) !1.00 .U0 1.00 1.00 1.0 1.00 1.00 1.01) 1.00 1.00 11.00 .Ort) 11.00 .GO 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 . 0314 41.79 I" 3.1 0.285 ( 300) 3.74 ').36I ! ."0 : .0 I1.00 o the Appendix Table 14.4 and show the de ti:ed categories that are inudedc in tact, afrceation. Source: Kravis, et.al . - . - . - - :,. - - , _*4__ '. TABLE9-7, continued TIlE RESULTS OF TMI: COMPARISONS Appendix Tab!e 14.2. Continued Colombia 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 II- ".~O 1: 1.500 U ,; irmal hudtl'lg% 11.600 1 .701 I I.,O 12.[00 'rns-n:,;v J,m. Ulility lines 12.200 Other construction 12.300 13.000 Land mprovernent 14.110 Locomotives Other 14.120 14.200 Pissenger cars 14.300 Trucks. huses. trailers 14.400 Aircr aft sh ,1'i.b ir*s 14.50t 14.O00 Uthcr r.nqprt 15.100 Enrines and turbines 15.210 ractors 15.220 Other agricultural machinery 15.300 Office machinery 15.400 Metalworking machinery 15.500 Construct:oti. niining 15.600 Special industrial 15.700 General tnduitrial 15.30.:t :'rv~e t.lu.~trfl 1o.100 iec;riCal transmnli.on 16.200 C(,imurcatlon equipment 16.300 Other electrical 16.400 Liistrurnents 17.100 Furniture. fixtures 17.200 Other durahle oods' ld.000 [ncruase in stocks 19.000 Lxports less imports 20.100 1.lue-cillar. uki1led 20.2;0 Llue-.1r. <ikled 20.20 ',, e-cotlar t52 20.300 Professional 153 2 .000 Government expenditure commodities on France 0.23 0.54 0.81 0.27 0.s$ 0.11 0': I 1.7 5 0. 79. 2.06. 0.10 1.46 1.02 1.57 0.14 0.07 0.09 O.IS 0.00 0.03 0.69 1.14 0.I5 0.14 0.20 0.01 0.07 0.35 0.S9 0.53 0.73 0.97 0 04 0.44 0.29 O.S . 0.29 0.29 0.24 . 1.7S 1.63 0.64 0.1 0.8o 0.16 O).4 5 0.41 0.29 0 i1.) 1.53 0. 16 2.33 I .~6 2.98 0.22 0.07 0.02 0.42 0.23 0.3S 1.00 1.16 0.56 ') I O.91 .0.62 0.18 0.76 0.43 0.72 2.88 0.20 0.1S 0..6 1. $ t) ! , Italy Japan 0.11 0.34 0.07 0.63 0.24 0.43 0.68 0.24 0.17 1 33 I .'8, 0.09 .52 2.51 1.08 1.10 O.0S 0.11 0.05 0.9 0.03 0.85 0.82 0.07 0.52 0.07 0.07 1.16 1.16 0.21 o 5 0.10 0.22 .1j71 0.17 O.1S 0.08 0.02 0.11 0.07 0.23 0.17 2.32 3.07 0.07 0.11 0.01 1.5a 1.98 O.05 0.54 0.21 0.29 0.06 0.27 0.03 0.I5 0.10 0.20 0.33 0.19 0.76 !.04 0.66 1.49 .17 .)1 0.90 0.20 0.7S 0.70 0.70 2.23 1.82 0.30 0.85 2.90 2.50 0.82 . I2 ,4. 0 36 0.07 0.62 1.40 0.14 3.83 2.92 0.71 0.C04 U.o) 0.27 0.75 0.06 '1.5A 0.$o 0.10 O.Oo 0.02 0.47 2.59 0.67 1.5S 0.13 1.74 0.48 0.50 0.0') 0.75 0.30 0.33 0.27 0.32 0.66 I.S6 0.09 1.31 0.53 2.19 1.72 1.63 ). I i.0o 1.I 0.31 0.58 0.74I 0.40 4.36 1.26 1.37 2.70 0.o6 1.56 0.17 0.23 0.79 0.60 0.66 0.97 0.76 0.20 0.38 india 1.00 0.21 0.51 0.00 0.05 0.07 0.14 0.U12 Hungary 0.09 0.93 0.78 0.98 0.32 0.47 Germany, .R. ).48 0.20 !.25 0.26 0.40 0.59 0.33 0.64 0.68 U.K. U.S. 0).3S 0.68 0.36 0.07 0. 0 ) 1.13 0.8S 1.36 0.4S 0.27 0.48 0.99 0.33 0.67 0.35 0.07 Kenya 0. I 8 O.410 0. ) 2 0 39 1.07 1.46 0.S4 0.29 0.24 0.02 0.28 0.21 0.02 0.13 0.71 0.92 0.30 0.03 0.68 0.07 0.20 1.14 0.26 0.64 0.40 0 04 0.05 0.21 0.08 0.04 0.13 0.01 0.10 0.23 0.33 0.18 0.:. 0. 5S 0.25 0.67 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.41 0.35 0.3s 0.11 0.49 0.46 0.99 0.94 0.20 0.40 0.29 0.11 0.14 0.19 0.52 2.32 1.73 .29 0.30 1.17 0.51 0.8S 2.36 0.06 0.73 0.95 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.05 0.74 0.79 2.49 0.31 1.97 OIS. 0.03 0.33 0 0.41 r.35 0.15 0.38 97 2.2, 1.64 1.25 0.57 0.60 1.15 0.37 0.39 2.91 0.90 2.77 2.0 3.3 6.0 5.8 3.3 2.8 2.2 2.7 3.4 7.0 Note: The net exprenditure of residents abroad, line 10 in the bnary tables, has been consolidated with othcr services (line 109) in the multilatcral comparisons. Thus, there are 152 categories in this table. See page 70. Appendix Table 14.3. Purchasing-Power Parities per U.S. Dollar. Nine Countries, and International Prices, 1970 France (franc) Getmany, ! unF.R. gary D.markl Iforint) India Itrpee) Italy (lir.) 12.0 15.4 11.4 22.2 16.4 7.1 8.7 4.3 8.9 4.80 8.32 2.65 8.65 6.53 4.30 4.97 4.42t 5.02 5.20 6.56 2.14 4.43 3.60 3.67 4.16 3.66 3.84 49.7 19.9 S.1 22.3 R.2 IS.9 40.4 13.0 45.7 4.50 3.07 :.56 8.58 3.05 10.96 2.48 4.01 2 II 539. 1.042. 321. 759. 896. 4S6. 6St. 542.t 696. 18.0 6.31 ;.01 30.5 6.55 8 I. 4 9.3 13.4 4.92 -.05 4.53 4.99 17.4 8.1 14.3 17.4 15.6 8.07 3.17 3.36 5.54 6.16 4.39 r 4.28 1.06 7.93 2.77 5.06 S-35 474. I 1.7 10.0 23.2 8.5 62.4 12.4 15.4 31.2 26.2 410.1? 438. 299. 421; 375. 348; 261. Coloebia (peso) I 2 3 4 01.101 Rice 01.102 Meal, other cereals 01.103 Bread.rolls 01.104 Bficuits. cakes 5 01.105 Cereal preparations 6 01.106 Maaroni. spaghetti, related foods 7 01.111 Fresh eel, veil 8 01.112 Fresh limb, mutton 9 01.113 1-reih pork 1 0 (1!.! 14 -re, I rtil:rv II 01.115 uin r resm mreat 12 O.1 16 Frozen. salted mc.st 13 01.122 Iresh. frozen fish 14 01.122 Canned fish IS 01.131 lesh milk 16 01.1 32 ktill products 17 01.1 33 t-gg. e. products I 23 24 .2 Il,1 2 01.15- 3 01.161 /,)tl'cr fre'.lt rruits r¢% vec:etihjes 1-ruit other than fresh .!.3 .I.5 22.6 7.1 28.4 5.79 3.18 4.77 2.37 3.30 3.17 A I) I -, I75 ,., .4 00 7 II .- ',. 1 2.92 2.6') 8.70 2.1-' 5.18 7.5 4Q.2 676. 648. 749. 526. 643. 706. 3 4.3 2.42 6.00 o!2. Japan IvenI Kenya (shilfin!) 440. 311. 178. 314. 352.t 352. 597. 377.t 448. 4.16 4.L6 2.50 1.06 8.06 11.8S 3.41 3.30 6.01 .1 I'). I ,~.? .; A 4 270. 299. 1,022. 37 3. I'0 .. J37. . .1' J.19t 6.21 2.79 12.64 4.29 S.17 5.64 .1 4 5i U.K. (pound) 17'e1r~ivonail prtes 0.$90 0.317 O.S3 0.243 0.240 0.384 0 241 0.247 0.347 .39 I 0.324 1.00 1 39 0.55 1.21 0.90 1.05 1.10 0 93 I 60 I 1.1' 0.3-10 1.3I 0.387 0.490 0.81 1.71 0.37S 1.00 0.186 1.0 I 1.14 0.376 I ¢ ) .).:!7 I .:-, 2.'i1I 14.77 1.7') 3.59 i'. 53 ~"' ,0.7 0.370 0.21IS 0.2''1 3i ! ..4 - - lAj RESULTS o TABLE9-7, continued Till: NIULTILATERALCONIPARIS:. 49 Appendix Table 1.3. Cuntinued Colorbia (peso) 25 26 27 28 01.162 01.170 01.191 01.192 Vegetables other than fresh Pot.itoes. manioc. other tubers Coffee Tea 29 30 01.103 0I.1S0 CJcoa Siir 31 32 33 34 35 36 01.201 01.202 01.203 01.310 01.321 01.322 J.iil. s>r'p. honey Chocolate. ice cream S.dIt. spices, s.auces Nonalcoholic beverages Spirits Wine, cider 37 01.323 Beer 38 39 40 41 42 01.410 01.420 02.11 0 02.121 02.122 ; "W" - Cigarettes Other tobacco Cl,,thM, naterials 'Men's .hotnins Women's clothing 02.123 Boys'.girls' clothint 02.131 02.132 Men's, bo)s' underwear Women's, $irls' undlerwear 4', 02.150 02. 60 Other clothin Clothing rental. repair 48 49' 02.211 02.212 Men's footwear Women's footwear 50 02.213 (hildren's fotwear 51 52 53 54 SS S6 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 02.2.0 03.110 03.120 03.210 03.220 03.230 03.240 04.110 04.120 04.200 04.310 04.320 04.330 04.340 04.350 04.360 04.400 04.510 l-ootwear repairs Gross rents Indoor repair, upkeep Electricity Gas Liquid fuels Other fuels, ice F:urniture. fixtures Floor coverin_ Hrue,.ihold rexr-I,. etc. ,:fr .:raitors. etc. Washling a'Plances Cooking ap11iances lle:ttinz appliances Cleaning appliances Other household appliances Household utensils Nondurable household goods ·. .520 Domestic serviaces , 4.530 lloi.elhntJ 73 t'ou'eho i t n, iting repairs Drugs. medic:sl preparations Medical supplies 74 05.200 Therapeutic equipment 75 76 77 78 79 05.310 05.320 05.330 05.410 06.110 Oo.120 0o.210 06.220 06.230 06.240 06.310 Physicians' services Dentists' ervieeServices. nurses. other personnel Hospitals. etc. Personal cars Other ertonal ransport Lires. ukes. accessories Repatr charces Gasoline ol. etc. P'arking, toils, etc. Local transport 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 ,1 94 9S 06.321 IRail transport 06.322 06.32 3 06.330 06.410 , 3.420 Bus transport Air transport Miscelicaeous traisport I',;tal omini:unic.i:in clephoocv.tcie.t aph 07.110 Radio. IV phtnotraph.etc. 07.120 07.130 Major durable recreation equip. Other recreatirn equipment 07.210 P'ublic ntert.iinment 96 07.230 ,ther 97 07.310 98 99 100 07.320 07.411 07.4 2 - re.i-t,il. ultur.il eents ., c¢,, I.1 itan-S Sttionery U,,, Te..hcrs. 1it. nd Tleacher. clleze 27.8 6.7 I 1.1 16.6 11.9 10.2 14.3 8.91 2.01 8.67 5.72 5.40 4.77 4.75 6.79 2.88 10.88 7.53 4.98 4 54 3.31 13.9 9.45 5.88 5.4 9.4 5.99 3.00 4.51 2.87 10.3 3.98 2.48 S0.0 1.93 2.03 8.3 3.6 7.4 2.96 4.46 2.47 2.23 4.97 2.14 13.2 10.1 17.2 .39 5.32 9.81 5.24 3.02 5.00 12.9 12.7 4.84 6.16 4.23 4.98 13.3 10.0 h.2 7.7 9.13 5.14 5.17 3.44 3.94 4.56 5.18 3.19 6.9 5.84 2.90 7.3 o.4 10.6 13.2 4.47 5.00 3.02 4.02 3 0 2.55 2.42 2.49 7.3 . 7.76 9.76 5.61 4.24 5.3t I0.5 S.8S 4.67 4.38 2.17 10.3t 6.22 3.91 11.2 6.66 5.69 Z5S.9 4.82 2.h2 64.2 9.14 5.22 16.2 36.6 65.1 6.29 10.78 7.57 4.38 5.52 4.79 45.1 7.8 7.90 4.03 4.86 2.70 10.4 1.0 5.7 18.6 18.5 9.3 10.4 3.4 4.5 0. 5.45 5.55 5.90 5.5 2.76 3.50 2.77 7.13 14.78 0.59 3.65 3.66 4.14 3.66 3.35 2.27 1.99 3.65 5.34 0.70 I.S 0.40 0.27 38.2 35.9 17.9 4.5 17.1 4.4t 2.7 3.7 4.0 8.8 6.3 7.1 2.6 24.3 23.8 24.2 6.8 5.') 10.2 10.1 1.3 6.4 6.26 6.54 5.30 7.51 11.81 3.06 3.91 3.22 5.23 6.19 4.52 4.15 5.47 10.4S 6.04 o.16 2.98 3.24 3..92 4.49 4.29 4.32 3.S3 4.15 4.29 8.02 2.43 2.95 2.62 2.63 4.42 2.79 2. 22 3.13 4.81 3.37 4.12 1.68 3.35 3. i . 3.62 2.54 7.57 6.1 10.8 - ric 04.600 0.110 05.120 SO - - Germany, France I.R. (franc) (.m:nark) 13.40 Hungpry lorint) 29.4 11 .4 109.9 45.9 45.3 - - 31 7 17.9 29.0 14.7 24.4 26.1 15.3 17.2 8.3 17.1 S7.7 21.4 26.8 22.7 26.8 24.7 1.4 - 9.0 22.9 19.5 11.7 16.9 8.6 .1 31.3 15.9 7.91 3.34 41.9 - 6.9 19.1 23.7 25.0 53.3 29.S 11.9 43.7 32.8 24.4 23.s 28.3 9.3 - I 3.9 10.4 11.5 21.5 3.2 2.0 1.4 1.9 3.9 62.1 - 241 14.6 18.1 28.6 5.4 9.0 11.9 1S.0 20.1t - 25.3 12.8 7.3 37.9 26.3 2S.2 4.8 !.5 44.6 3.8 5.3 Ildia Irupec) Italy (lira) 6.48 2.95 10.46 2.38 7.50 7 37 S.2u 6.10 2.23 5.41 9.95 18.49 9.97 8.10 2.63 7.27 2.95 3.30 2.46 1.78 S.53 6.73 1.19 3.52 3.40 2.68 3.2: .1.38 0.87 7.39 722 12.97 2.89 3.19 0.49 2,39 9.t95 7.50 6.02 4.99 7.50 4.09 3.98 979. 394. 1,553. 957. 1.144. 3.; n. 5 30. 1.137. 444. S17. 396. 304. 408. 676. 559. 747. 505. 859. 461. 611. 769. 453. 254. 566. 484. 488. I.1. 292. .228. 761. 1,359. 644. 739. 469. 706. 744. 417. 591. 436. 1,099. 897. 769. 369. Kenya Jpain {(hflvyen) ling) InterU.K. ntional (pound) pricer SOS. 283. 709. 236. 312.t 508. 367. 512. 159. 328. 266. 292. 332. 211. 157.t 410. 243. 235. 268. 264. 255. 191. 12.t 195. 202.. 177. 12. 261. 184. 303. 1,039. 414. 192. 239. 313. 323. 59 285. 21I. 566. 427. 312. 212. 5.13 2.02 7.82 2.54 8.70 i.44 3.37 18.05 5.22 12.59 6.51 13.21 8.21 5.14 4.59 7.71 4.6-4 9.46 3.09 8.85 4.39 4.14 3.02 2.99 1.73 1.89 4.01 4.94 3.59 9.34 11.33 17.14 I.8u 3.71 8.71 't.i ,.11 i.10.31 12.14T 11.1' 14.35? 13.26t 13.71 3.59 0.348 0.201 0.369 0.159) 0.293 (. 291 0.1 )3 0.349 0.343 0.345 0.418 0.S96 0.571 0.638 0.658 0.380 0.313 0.441 0.299 0.432 0.350 0.245 0.320 0.237 0.242 0.195 0.220 0.264 0.348 0.338 0.323 0.413 0.2:)2 .0.530 0.) 2 t 0..33! 0.435 0.357 0.814 0.823 0.643 0.376 2.20 0.69 2.50 0.39 1.49 I .)2 13 1.77 0.93 1.18 1.i2 0.70 1.27 . 1.12 1.12 2.09 1.13 1.46 1.15 1.36 1.47 1.02 0.65 1.05 1.01 0.89 . 36 0.84 '0.78 1.29 1.69 1.61 0.91 1.07 0.73 1.34 I.i 1.60 1.14 2.13 2.02 1.59 1.05S 4.39 549. 266. 6.66 0.278 1.30 0.24 1.10 0.61bit 2.44 2.32 1.06 625. 526. 396. 152. 432. 136. 21. 178.' 140. 194. 69. 0.67 3.72 1.70 3.55 4.25 1.90 0.185 0.2 42 0.138 0.1i2 0.211 0.17! 0 17 0.3 . .;1 0.79 0.86 0.63 0.23 0.04 424. 492. 50. 35. I.53 2.86 0.178 0.273 0.60 1.17 31. 34. 363. .o7. 279. 347. 590. 273. 58. 117. 147. 237. 96. 257. 192. 198. 198. 2(:6. 362. 153. 0.40 1.00 10.57 10.01 9.77 . 1.36 7.31 2.04 1.97 3.15 2.66 11.98 2.26 4.96 3.1n 0I.51 11.57 7.2 3 2.0. 2.5 0.113 0.092. 0.520 0 08 .216 0.164 0.587 0.298 0.223 0.283 0.233 0.117 0.720 0130 U 17 0.560 0.444 0.408 0.130 1 0.25 0.22 1.63 I. t 1.13 0.95 1.82' 0.71 O.45 0.69 0.87 1.46 0.36 1) 7 0.74 7.12t 5.63 2.34 1.0! 61. 43. 652. 626. 436. 487. 1,642. 231. 333. 255. 343. 619. 340. 519. 372. 91. 621. 653. 459. 380o. 1.55 0.17 429. 267. 0.45 0.22 1.93 6.3.1 7.'6 1.10 7.S7 1.341 1.42 2.19 2.10 7.22 1.61 1.97 1.o9 7.12 ' :,6 ' (.2 625. 505. 5. 1q. ... ;. 92. I .1. I1.30 0.65 , I i , O i'.t . - hl 1.28 :; I 3.74 ).70, 3S .' l . TABLE9-7, continued TIE RESULI.S Of: TIE COMPARISONS 250 ' Appendix Table I 4.3. ontinued I! 112 113 114 !IS 116 117 118 119 120 10.100 10.200 11.100 11.200 11.300 11.400 i I.500 11.600 11.700 11.800 Frducatinal fIJcilities upples E-Jual.nia Other euL.tl.In expenditures 13Bjrler. eauty shops Tlet :rties goods Othilr ersonlcare cafes Rer.urnt,. H- fels. e:c. Other 'ervices I- and :-dweilin4 buildings MultuIcd-.ellingbuildings litels. etc. Indutrial buildings Cormr.ercul baildings Office bili ns Edu.cational buildings HoFiltai lbuildings Az.ricultural buildings Other buildirics 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 12.100 12.200 12.300 13.000 14.1 o 14.120 14.200 14.300 14.400 I .,:0 Roz. h:hways utility lines Tr:nmssion. Other construction Lind iproement Lnmotives Other Passenger cars Trucks. eutes. trailers Aircraft . hi 3.31 14.600 Uir.r tr;:mrort 132 15.100 15.210 15.2 20 Ehr.gnes 3arl turbines 07.420 101 102 07.431 103 07.432 08.100 104 105 08.210 08.220 106 08.310 107 08.320 108 S.400 109 I 13 134 135 136 137 138 139 laO I ! '° I&1 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 ISO 151 152 - .1 I i 7,J 4.8 . 21.8 Special industrial General industrial Service ;n.!u,:ral - [.lec:rlJl tranemission Coimmunicatiun eqluipment Other electrical Other durablte goods Increase n stocks Exports less imports Ulue.collar. unskilled Bl'.:e -c, re 20.300 %:h fte-collar i'r. fe¢sional z I.UUUI ~o~¥Ilerntne ll d CxpxnulalI, - on;11 18.3 16.7 14.0 18.6 2.3 3.0 3.0 6.4 1.99 3.41 0.89 1.32 4.95 4.50t 5.61 4.57t 3.35 h 35.:.,01- I6.o+ ' 32.1.4, .. - 3.59 9.13 390 3.68 2.74 5.66 3.38 2.57 - 3.60 5.46 3.60 4.23 4.24 - 1.A 6.61 5.26 S.55 3.23 3.12 30.7 23.0 45.1. 29.0 36.5 34.3 3.41 4.89 I 1.lt 24.9 Instruments Furniture. ixtures - 29.9 36.5 32.3 23.7 17.0 10.7 10.6 11.7 62.2 31.6' 69.5 27.8 31.1* 2.03 5.38 S.S7 3.04 7.89 13.9 32.1 5.02 2.70 3.53 1.33 S.52 4.09 3.15 3.79 3.60 2.06t 4.35 2.53' 4.89 44.0 24.1 1.1 23.2 3.4 11.7 '8.9 19.7 16.8 0.4 17.0 15.7 16.8 24.5 19.6 12.4 14.1 11.7 21.8 21.4 2'.10 .4' 19.5 32.3 1.71 3.0 4.04 2.11 1.39 2.44 1.65 4.92 .9 I 6 tforllt 2.05 3.76 4.'95 2..0 2.47 2.95 3.54 1.83 3.30 8.93 4.8St 4.65 irunpce} tIhra) .D.ni.rkl 403 4.93t 3S.6 Construrion. mining - . 23.1 Trictors 1S.4,00 15.500 15.600 15.700 15..30( 16.100 16.200 16.300 16.400 17.100 17.200 13.000 19.000 20.100 _20.w10 20.224) 15.1 9.4 10.5S 8.1 4.6 4.5 3.9 3.8 6.4 4.3 2.8 2.8 3.6t 5.6t 4.4t .. 3 5.5 4.3 4.4 16.58 13.6t 35.0 31.6 Other arculcural machinery Office inachinery ,:kinzmachinery '.:etJl- I .30) 5.65 3.94 5.39 '2.97 5.34 8.39 3.93 3.72 3.61 5.85 3.93 1.97 4.04 2.47 3.45 6.45 3.341 6.00 4.10t 9.3 10.7 12.7 27.8 6.80 - 2.3. 3.66 2.96 2.89 3.71 4.67 3.98 3.66 2.75 - 4.00 4.03 4.63 Itly Indi. 1: R. ,-ary France (tfranc) bin (rs¢) 2.4.9 2.39 3.56 3.16 37.3 22.1 15.3 27.1 25.6 23.9 51.2 23.4 30.0 4.4 - 5.0' 5.3 5.9 21.2 0 690. 507. 595. 280. 694. 692. 520. 451. '1.76 3o14 1.68 1.60 1.70 2.31 1.64t 1.55 1.72 1.34 2.51t 1.99+ 506. 302. 229. 413. 257. 327. 460. 333.t 542. 1.61 1.631.51 1.10 11.74+ 6.80 S.81 901 S.1' 3 3.4 6 " 244. 4019. 83. 309. 986. 739.t 73. 4aIR.'r 51. 661. 4.+C ne:- Kenya ! J;pin t(hil- U.K. Iyen) hi. Itun- :,ny. Coluom-. prict (pjUnltd) 7.09 5.81 .4.97 2.3, 12. 31 3.76 2.56 4.01 14 3.27 3.61 4.36 4.48 3.59 2.59 2.63 3.19 2.38 4 044 35. 322. 331. ! l5 307. 194. 130. 267. 1 . 256. 247. 290. 435. 426. 284. 206. 181. 765. 13. nflit,' 3.95 291. 7.05 154. 8.96 188. 3.59 149. 6.84 549+ 9.46 334.+ S.15 374. 6.99 390.6.761374.7 - . - 5.4 267. 0.417 0.154 0.330 0.133 0.351 0.279 0. 37 0.2Si 0. _7 0.1 38 0.199 0.399 0.379 0.339' 0.253 0.306 0.242 0.245 0 373 13 0.95 1.33 0.53 I 2 IJ 1,0 ).!7 , , 0).91 0. O.h) 1. )6 0,73 0.72 0.94 0.74 1.19) I.q 0.249 0.209 0.324 0.336 0.300 0.560t 0.670 0.77 0.78 0.70 0.61 2.35, 1.72 1.59 1.61 1.46 0.92 0569t 0.553 .335 U 0.Sa; 4:I !~~~~~~~ 4.57.'~~~~~~~~ 62},. 28 557. 6.81 2,38 .' 0.32 2 ·f%;J J 5.14 6.77 6.31 3.32 J 20, 5.83 7.53 7.63 i I. '563. 670. 327. 881. 521. 4 2. 523. 9.0UK 401. .08t 5.7ft 591. 272. .35 I. 3.38 6.30 577. 568. .195. 314.' 9.68t 736. 3.45 7.50 0.34 0 37 .3d 1.21 2.4S 606. 625. 346. 345. 391. 492. 472. v I.5 22.U -1. -~ 301.- 303.: 410. 303. 217. 792. "02.'` 4.48 9.92 0.23 - 4.19 1.19 0.540 0.21 O.164 1.12 0.3 10 r 7.14 0.48 13 1418 1 .() i 4.26 1.73 1.34 1.5 3 1.12p1 1. 3 1.43 5.44 11.93 5.5 1 326. 360. 142. 0.357 0.366 0.314 0. 3 3 t 5.91 6.S65 leas 1.35 1.38 1.3 1.11 0.43 I 1 1.09 4.89 t 7.28 370.t IS. 0.3~8 7.54 47.+ 124. 243.' 254. 9.56 9.08 6.64 50. . . I 1.00 1."2 0.199 0.442'I 0.381 0.417 1.65 1.3 1.50 0.23 0.153 0.1. 35 0.201 0.274 0.309 - 0.51 0.33 1.06 comm)oudities of residents abroad, line 110 in e inary tables. has been consolidated with other services tine 109) in the Note: The net ex'ndtuure multilateral comparisons. Thus there are 15 2 cateories n this table. See plage 70. een estimated by applying the doutble-weighted CPD tcre rnssine hae tThe PPPs or these items where price and quantity data n;methodand are considered less reliable than direct esuinates. he corresponding quantity estunates in Table 14.5 share the same weakncss. Appendix Table 14.4. Quantities per Capita with U.S.=I 00, 1970 Colombia 01.101 J -) .3 6 2 ' ,. .; I.:i 3 Lr.,.'. . '.-.,;- I .I 4 01.105 01.106 432.0 Rice t ,I.If, .43.9 2. .7 s , :; ..,.: c-e.re.ti, . i:kcs i. -t Cereal pr- r itmns sphiettil. M\acaroni. related (()ds 3.8 12.3 146.8 France ,6.2 '.1.5 -i3 5.4 81.0 3.5 216.7 Germany, F.R. 62.4 9.3 306.8 55.9 '8.1 188.6 Hun gary India 69.2 1.7 2 7.2 129. 3 0.6 21.9 113.7 II.S ~1 -I 0.7 0.2 1.6 2.1 Italy Japan I . I 2.. 4o . 5 1 .3. 25.4 39.6 1.8 9)80.2 54.3 108..1 I tS. 4 6.2 287.4 Kenya U.K. U.S. 1. .I;,q 7' '.24..? 0.6 I 31.4 1.2 0.7 56.5 43.1 111.6 4 3. 1'. I 1!:.) 100.1 I )OO. Iso0. - 235 - References 1. Samuelson, "Analytical Notes on International Real Income Measures," Economic Journal, September 1974. 2. Chenery and Syrquin, Patterns of Development, 1950-1970, 1975. 3. Schydlowsky and Syrquin, "The Estimation of CES Production Functions and Neutral Efficiency Levels Using Effective Rates of Protection as Price Deflators," Review of Economics and Statistics, February 1972. 4. Balassa and Associates, The Structure of Protection in Developing Countries, 1971. 5. Balassa, "Tarrif Journal Protection in Industrial of Political Countries; An Evaluation," Economy, December 1965. 6. Lluch and Powell, "International Comparisons of Expenditure Patterns," European Economic Review, 1975. 7. Lluch and Williams, "Cross Country Demand and Savings Patterns: An Application of the Extended Linear Expenditure System," Review of Economics and Statistics, August, 1975. 8. Kloek and Theii, "International Comparisons of Consumer," Econometrics, July 1965. 9. Kravis, et al., A System of International Comparisons of Gross Product and Purchasing Power, 1975. 10. Prices and Quantities Gilbert and Associates, Comparative National Products and Price Levels, 1958. Gilbert and Kravis, An International Comparison of National Products and the Purchasing Power of Currencies, 1954. 11. Watanabe and Komiya, "Findings from Price Comparison; Principally Japan vs. the United States," Weltiwirtschaftliches Archiv, October 1958. 12. Statistical Office of the European Economic Community, "Nota Statistica," General Statistics, Nos. 3, 7, 8, 1962. 13. Statistical Office of the European Economic Community, Statistiche Studien und Erhebungen, No. 3, 1972, p. 63. 14. ECLA, "A Measurement of Price Levels and the Purchasing Power of Currencies in Latin America, 1960-62," Economic Bulletin for Latin America, October 1963. ECLA, "The Measurement of Latin American Real Income in U.S. Dollars." Economic Bulletin for Latin America, No. 2, 1968. - 236 - 15. Salazar-Carrillo, "Price, Purchasing Power and Real Product Comparisons in Latin America," Review of Income and Wealth, March, 1973. 16. Statistiches Bundesamt, "Internationaler ergleich der Preise fur die Lebenshaltung," Preise Lohne Wirtschaftsrechsnungen, Reihe 10, various years. - 237 - CHAPTER TEN Accessing the Data Base 10.1 Access to TROLL As stated elsewhere in this document, all of the data is stored at the Information Processing Service at MIT on TROLL, a software package which provides a comprehensive environment for creating, estimating and simulating economic models. Any profit or non-profit organization can obtain a computer account at IPS and access it via Telenet, which allows the user to make a local phone call to connect with IPS. TROLL, contact Charlie Byron at IPS (address: 253-8421). For more information on 39-485 MIT; telephone: Special arrangements must be made with the World Oil Project at the Energy Lab at IT to obtain the privilege to 'read' the project's account at IPS. 10.2 Accessing on Tape Most users in the past have obtained copies of the data base on magnetic tape. involved There is a charge for the computer time and other costs in making the tape. The tape can be formatted to be compatible with TROLL,or put on the tape in a general or fortran type of format. - - 23 The specifications of a TROLL format type of tape are: 9 track density = 1600 BPI fixed block record format logical record length = 80 block size = 20,000 The specifications of a standard format type of tape are: 9 track density = 1600 BPI fixed block record format = 80 logical record length block size = 1600 For information on obtaining a copy of the tape, contact Jackie Carson at the MIT Energy Laboratory, Building E40-132, telephone 253-1443. 10.3 TROLL Two Data Files types of files are utilized the one-dimensional data file. TROLL format. In includes the file name, comment section, and the data. TROLL COM!tAND: prtdata SECOND ARC, FPRM1 AT& QUANTITY OF TCALS 1950 1954 19 8 1962 1966 1970 1974 - FROM the data arg_fprmg; DATE RVISED: 1950 is "not available". TO 3/14/77 1974 4MOTOR AND AVIATIOtN GASOLINE 207 CONV 18312. 18692.8 22635.2 32054 .4 39648. RO{ MHMET TOt{S 17001.6 19 R 91. 2 19409.6 30329.6 39715.2 48070.4 44968. 470/40. TROLL CO't)IAND: Most common is Below is a copy of that kind of data file, in 'NA' is used to fill a year when ANNUAL for this database. . (Figure 10-1) BY: *11200 17494.4 19230.4 22601.6 3236 q . 40376. 49795.2 17505.6 22097.6 27563.2 37654.4 44329.6 55059.2 - 239 - Data is sometimes stored in a matrix format which is created from data files with a special command. A matrix has two dimensions, rows and columns, the rows being the years, the columns headed by countries. The countries for the columns are always ordered alphabetically, from left to right. (See next page, Figure 10-2). Matrices can have accompanying label files which are created by the user to label the rows and columns, but these have not been used in Figure 10-2. Both data files and matrices are used in the data base, the majority of data stored as the single dimension data file. Matrices are easy to identify from data files, because in the list of data file names they are the only names not preceded by a country or region, i.e., "arg_fprmg" (arg for Argentina) for final consumption of motor gas and "pl" for price of labor, for all countries in the industrial section. The print commands are included here just to show the different This is not an exhaustive list of data storage types of data files used. possibilities on TROLL. text. No other commands have been explained in this For complete information on data manipulation and data editing on TROLL, consult the TROLL Primer or manual. 240 - Figure T OLL C('i'IA';'): pftnt .8 ( 10-2 ); PL RO'J ¢,Cl'JNN 1 I $ 2 1 ';A !1& 4A ttA NA YA 'IA ';A 4A A N. 4A NA IqA NA NA N1 A NA N.4A 7 NA It NA 9 NiA A 0.5 653 8 11 12 '. 4A ql ,A NA NA NA 10 C1LIl11t 4 N1N1 '(I ~~~~~~~ St ~ 4 S 6 C(I.?! 2 cOI.tI' 0.600121 NA NA NA 11A 'I A Rows q% 1: 1950 2: NA 1951 NA 0.2 ')3 0.175949 0. tS394 T .1 0.299104 1 4 0 . 305527 0.12A652 O.334104 O.346613 0.369215 O . 21 q3 0.220559 rj). 337 01 7 0.209077 0.223343 0.240449 0.257698 1 . 27$5948 0.270594 0.4sR98 0.52R7$1 0.59.[5) O.63114 13 14 15 0.607137 0.620~96 0.627017 16 17 0.643395 0.659n84 13 19 0.6A3894 '.71 Ol 2O 21 0.730993 0.753792 22 0.797071 54 0.4231 23 0.304023 24 25 9.906081 0.800625 0.444302 0.467799 0.335445 , A 65 0.35 0.192128 0 .36 1 l 0.3979(5 0.422969 0.4637s1 0. 4703 13 0. 7767 1 NMA 25: 1974 0.18951 o.2q9595 0.322234 0.365012 0.40601 1.450074 0.496714 0.553923 Col umns .NA 1: Canada COLUMN 6 COLUMN 7 COLU1M 8 2: France NA .4A NA NA NA NA ,A 3: Italy 4 NA NA NA NA 5 NA MA Japan NA NA NA 4: 6 .A NA 0.37749 5: Netherlands 0 .31 2942 0.330543 0.33321$ 0.350638 0.3600n6 0.377903 0.374736 6: Nornay 7: Sweden 8: UK 0.442657 0. 0.462251 6 25 4 9: USA 0. 514676 10: COLT{I ROW 1 2 3 7 8 9 10 5 .NA NA NA 0.3 1 344 11 12 13 14 15 16 NA NA NA INA NA NIA 1A O.407356 . 40911 NA 5A 5A ,A 'ITA NA. 0.50103 0.347306 0.426102 0. 532q34 O0.357369 0 45065 0. 4 5325 0. 403107 0.450595 0.~1347 0. 5 72 15 . 6 29 l4 0. 652129 1? ItI 18 0.44qql 3 0. 479501 0.504619 0.534985 19 0 .5 5 6 4 1 0.5 8 11 0.6/7412 .6 * Q 307 0 .73 6q1 0.791179 0.542555 0.623604 0* 3 0. 21557 0.871322 0 .37337 0.425104 20 0.594159 0.627764 21 22 23 24 25 0.66 33 0.705536 NA COLUMN I ~NA 1A NA NtA 9q4 ~~~~~N.Ak 6 0.722262 COLIIMN 10 NA .A NA A Nt 7 Nt M;A N.A II~~~~~~~I 13 n. 9360n 0.9 %Q V!1 14 6.R775(4 11 12 \ 17 IA 17. n. I ~ ~, ~~, .~ . 0. 946 3 1 04% RoY 2 3 4 0.663684 n . nnsq Q . 1'',0.6 1%')2 f'. . 3,0~,2 ~?"I .!. ft. 4%1 S 1 ,,,,, A- '1. . '.,) ! ;; ),2. q'-" 0 . ,,S '* '. I 32 0.916597 09q76461 1.0132 I *( 1 3 2 1. n RS3 0.312835 n. 3825 30.394192 . 39 92 0.420461 West Germany