Demography/Social Movements April 25, 2005 http://www.iastate.edu/~soc.134 © 2005 David Schweingruber Consequences of demographic transition Most worldwide population growth happened in past 200 years • First billion reached in 1804, sixth billion in Oct. 1999 World population growth is stabilizing • Highest growth rate (2.04%) in late 1960s; now at 1.31% • U.N. projects world pop. stabilizing at 10 billion after 2200 Growth rates vary among nations • Most growth is in developing (stage 2) nations • Some stage 3 nations approach zero population growth (ZPG) Age structures and sex ratios vary among nations ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Birth rates/death rates of six nations, 1998 Births/deaths per 1,000 people 60 Birth rate Death rate 53.0 50 42.4 40 30 20 23.4 17.4 14.4 8.8 10 0 Niger (2.9%) Afghanistan U.S. (1.0%) (5.9%) 12.1 11.710.8 9.7 9.6 7.3 Canada (1.2%) Sweden (0.4%) Spain (0.1%) Nations (with annual growth rate) ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Total fertility rates of 20 nations, 1998 At or approaching ZPG Bulgaria 1.14 Italy 1.19 Germany 1.25 Russia 1.34 Austria 1.37 Canada 1.65 United Kingdom 1.70 China 1.80 Australia 1.82 United States 2.07 Higher TFR Niger Yemen Zambia Sudan Haiti Kenya Egypt India South Africa Mexico 7.30 7.14 6.41 5.68 4.67 4.07 3.41 3.24 3.16 2.91 ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Age structures in six nations, 1998 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 3.2% 4.6% 12.7% 12.5% 65.7% 67.7% 21.6% U.S. 16.3% 17.6% 68.5% 68.0% 19.8% 15.2% 14.4% Canada Spain Italy 49.4% 60.9% 47.4% Mali 34.5% India Under 15 15-64 Over 64 ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Sex ratios Sex ratio at birth: 105 males to 100 females Sex ratio for world population: 101 Nations with older populations have fewer men than women because women live longer • E.g., Italy 94 sex ratio, Spain 95, Japan 96, U.S. 96 Other nations have more men than women because women are selectively neglected or killed • China (107 sex ratio) has one-child policy • India (107) has dowry tradition • Afghanistan (106) limits women’s medical care ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Individuals as cause of society Social movements: continuous, large-scale, organized collective action motivated by the desire to enact, stop, or reverse change in some area of society ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Types of social movements How much change? Specific Individuals Who is changed? Everyone Limited Radical Alternative Social Movement Redemptive Social Movement Revolutionary Social Movement Reform Social Movement ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Old vs. new social movements Old social movements: related to economic struggles between “haves” and “have-nots” E.g., labor movement, Grange movement New social movements: focus on non-economic quality of life issues E.g., feminism, gay rights, peace movement, environmentalism, pro-choice/pro-life, animal rights ©©2005 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber