.ii i1TIT. ILL.:_Ti. by iitted to L;1 In part1J r:..iriiient of the xecu1re:..Fut foxy the degree of icbo AP?ROVIID: Redacted for Privacy 1rofesaor of gricu1tu?a1 conomica Redacted for Privacy i2'2' of £epa.rtient of Aiicu1tur91 eo:e>niie Redacted for Privacy of School Gi.uto CornJ. te Redacted for Privacy of Redacted for Privacy Typist ãuat 3ciool The author ratetui1y acnow1odge5 the generously contribatd by Dr. charge of major. aro1d r .dol1and-:, i'rofe8sor in iurtier aekw1edeut is critjcjsn kIndly oifsred b incc and a$sJ.stace ;er 01' te ad or the oontructjTe r1cuitura]. BCoflo:rjiCs Department and of the cooertjon and aitariee çIven by retail store nianagers and vcrious other soures wIth te cnried. industry. U CiiTh 1, -. \_*.jA._ 4 * a. 7 7 000...,.,..0 ......0*500*0 Subject I)etjnecL..,,.,.,,,...,...,,,.,.,.,...,..,.. Purpose of tao :tu(ty..,_.....,..........,,,..,,,.,. rocedure of t..c tuc1y. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . * . . , , . . CPTR Ii IIISISIS 14 of .ers eporting In . . . . . .. ...... 14 ISSIS 1urnbers of Trees nd Ore;on. . . . . . . . .. of Liwu 10 10 at1t runo irees............... Producti.on of Prunes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3nited states. . .,,.,.,.,,... ,....,.,. Oregon.. OS 1 14 16 16 19 orQe Faotor8 Causjn the Growth end Decline or Protiuction of &runes. . , , . . . . . ....... . . . . . . . . .izaticn, of Fruries.....,........................ 22 ..... Oregon 120's........... 00S0*50 26 3. GreLoi 1930' a and. i9 000 SI00000I* OI' .bOCQrS Causing Variationi in tUe Voiueie s 2b at t;e Uti1ization of J.une irodued in Oregon. ......... . 00....... cijU-rR III, I UkiND rhUr: I UTkY 31 Froduction of Canned Prunes.,.,,,........,,...,.,. 3]. ....... . ...*.*.,. .... *0lI*$* ol l.er1,, Development. . . . * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ore-:on..... . United. al1foruia. S00I0I.0 kx1anatIoxi of the ilictuatioiu in tne FwctiOfl of Canned .Frunes, 5000000 0000000 64 35 1III*000 Jize of the Italian Prune crop................ Carryover..... ....... Imports and Exports of Oanned Pruneu.....,.... 35 38 Per Capita Consumption. . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xp1anation of te 1uctuations in the CoiiunTption of Canned .Erunes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . Appare7it s pba..i Only On Price for Canned Prunes,. .,.,... ...000....S.. 1000*I 050050000 as1softheConu4er7.Itudy........................ 49 4? 50 4., Development or the Tabulation.. , . ,.*..,.,,. .. . .. 53. b3 RIS[JITS OF IJ:RVIEW8 WITH ci 1 'T1TP\T Y&&A ,..... ...,...,... Introduction,, , Pre1iriri.ary Remarks.. . .. , ... . . .,. .. . . . . . , . * . . . * . . ** A-Section. . , , * * . . . . . , . , . . . . , . . . * . , * B-Sectjøn, * . , . . , . * . . . , , . . . . 4 . , . . . * . . . . . * . 7 * beetion, ... ,., .... . . .... *., 4 -setion.. I * B13LIoGR,APl3Y. 65 .*..... .. *.,...,,,.,. * ,. . * , . . . . . . * , . . , * . . . . 66 68 70 71 * 73. I-Section. . . , . , . . CHAPTER VI, ,,.* * *4 4*0 72 ***44 S'iAY LTD C)iCWSIQNS,,,....,,,.,...,,..., 4 * 59 * **.. 75 .* 7? 04040*4*404440*444000**** 4*0*4*0404I 78 ** . ... u: VLLL( ri uiii1 iiw 1- rv .4 IT5iX? t The Italian and Petite Yarieties of prunes diseuzsed in this paper are ought to be native to Southeastern iurope or ostern Asia. These and other plums and prunes ware introduced into tle atates of Oregon and ash1ngtoz about 1350. Pluiiis and prunes were rown in California soaehat earlier, Ibst of the early day production of prunes in those Pacific Coast stite w:s dried and consum&d locally, Dried prunes served as a stp1e food for years before modern cirnin and recigerated many iippin iethods of handling fresh fruits wore developed. Limited comrciai transactions involving dried prunes began aeon after prune propagation was established on te Pacific Qoast, Lost of the early commercial production of rune; WL. in California. The principal variety in that State wa the medium to small sweet Petite. st of the small production of prunes in the Pacific Northwest was of the scraowhat larger tart-sweet Italiai. variety, When dried the prunes from the:e to areas ce into direct com- petition for foreign and domesi markets. :srune produoers in Oregon hoped that demand for their 1arer and distinctively tart-sweet Italians would bring higher prices to offset the lower costs of production of Petitos in California. It competition from California which cone I prune rowars in On on rirty ye:.rs ao. (4,pp.2-4) .Liateiy after ;wnld Inc as r I t?:'.ere W a lerge for dried prunes for export end for ich higher export prices. These f'ctors were partially reoonsIble for the extensive plantings of prune trees In the i1ll&iette Valley and elsev*ere on the PacIfic Coast in tI'e early l82O's. But te export demend weakened and to high prices for dried prunes exported decresed by the middle and .Lte fl20' s causin the prune Industry nch concern. With the advent of the world-wide depresSIon or the l9O's the export price for dried prunes fell to new low levels at the. save time that moat of the he vy plertin of prunes in the eanl lS2O'L had come to bearIng age. Prunes were in economic surplus In the United States throughout the i's. limited, f2'os- prune Industry was developed in the Pacific Northwest along witn t:e early deveiopent of shIpment of rreth plums from California. Principal early districts producing prunes for fresh shipment were the Milton-reewater district or reonashinton and the Boise and Payette aJ.leys of Idaho. o.uewht later a fresh prune inthstry was developed In the i.kia Velley of .aehington. The fresh trade outlet for prunes produced in the Pacific Northwest did. not ex.nnd to alleviate the surpluses In the prune Industry duni: ti depression of th lO'. Co As the comrcial cennn Industry devioped on the Pacific t least as eorly as ic;oo. me fre.h prunes were can But It was not until after orld ;r I that cenned fresh prunes began to be recognized and to be do7eioped as a standard erticle for coxrnsrcia1 sale in appreciable voluiQe, Canning w5 exa:r;ineü. as a possible outlet for the large and isuntir economic surpluses of prunes in 0re,on during the late 1920's. However, canning of prunes enjoyed nediocre success as an outlet adecuate enough to absorb the surpluses of prune ' in Oregon in ani of the years from 1929 through 19'. ?st of the reduced production of prunes in the Pacific Northwest was uses for fresh ship:nent fro.n 1940 t.rcuph 1948. Drying aLnost dispasred except in Cc1if'rnie where most of the crop was still dried. Canning und otter uses icremed in iltonFreeweter, aidiia, and o eciu1J in the il1astte Valley; but uot &dequstely to prcvent large surp1uies, neLeet of prune orchards, and eventually large decresses in numbers of prune trees in those districts. Varieties grown in the various prune ro.cing districts of the Pacific Coast reaeined essentially thc the e- r1; of the prune i.aitry. prunes in Croon, washington, and idaho t.irough 19 entire production of s of the Italian viriety with the ezception of sna11 quantities of Petites produced in dis- tricts in ostern Creon. Pro.uction of prunes in California remained aLo.t c:itire1:. of the Petite variet through 1948. However, a few Italian prune were grown in California also, in the more Northern districts. The ppro...iate locations of districts on the Pacific Coast which produced prunes in 1948 are indicated in F1uree 1, 2, 3, and 4. At that tine prunes were prod.uoe cc?nntercially in the 4 Willamette Valley, Roseburg, }.&rord, The Daues, Milton-Freewater, and Maiheur districts in Oregon.. (See Fig. 1) Districts in included the Washington which produced prunes in In Idaho prunes (See Fig. 2) Milton-Freewater, and Claric County. aic1ma Valley, were produced in the Boise and Payette VaLLeys, Gem County end a limited wunt at Buhi. centrsted prune producing California. (See Fig. ) districts on The largest and nst conthe Paciric They included the Sonoma-MandocnO, Coast were in and the Sacraiuento, San loaquin, and Santa Clara Valley districts. (See Fig. 4) Fig. 1 OREGON Prune Producing Districts 1-Willarnette Valley 2-Roseburg -Medford k-The Dalles 5-Milton-Freewater 6-Maiheur County Fig. 2 WASHINGTON Prune Producing Districts 1-Yakima Valley 2-Milton-Freewater 3-Clark County Fig. IDAHO Prune Producing Districts 1-Payette Valley 2-Boise Valley 3-Gem County k-Buhl Fig. k CALIFORNIA Prune Producing Districts 1- Sonoma-Mendoc mo 2-Sacramento Valley 3-San Joaquin Valley u-Santa Clara Valley Sub j ec t A prune is any plum capable of beint dried without ferns tation eccordin to ebstor's New Inte.rnt1onai Dictionary. Both the Italiarn and Petite vr1eties of prunes meutioned froquently in this paper are of the name genus and species, PrunusLo::ietica, and are illustrated and described in Bgures and 6. Italian prunes were particuiar1 wl1-suited for canning because uan: persona believed that, when cinned, their light tartness was more Petite prunes. The lsL1 than t toss of canned eit.r .; acif1e Northet L:t: oL area in the United 2tatea where Italian priiei attaiuez. size and volume of yield to cause thot varit to be jrodced conercially. Italian prunes ser also knovi as reilen rg 2-L;i5 CflQ Prunes, eseciailj I rs heir of he United tatoa. etite prunes were we11-sdt onlc for drixig. Potites dried one pound far evsr tea an one-half pouads fresh while Italians required three to four pounds fresh for every one pound dried. Also the sweetness of Petite prunes did not seem to be objectionable when they were dried. Californis achieved the highest pro- duction of this prune, Other names for the Petite verety were Prune d'ge. :ru, an hoe de srent. California otlo rrunes wore sold under the trade na.e ;any dried aata Clara Prunes.' The term "conned pranes' as used in this paper aiwas refers to caed fros.t It1ian prunes, unless otherwise specified. The 10 ITALIAN PRUNE--Size, mediimi to large, roundish but tapering at both ends; suture small but distinct; color, dark purple; salk, one inch long; cavity, shallow; flesh, yellowish-green, juicy, parting easily from the stone; flavor, sweetish sub-acid; hardy; very productive. ig. 6 PETITE PRUNE--Size, medium to small, oval to eggshaped, not uniformly pyriform; suture, small distinct; color, violet purple; stalk short, slender; cavity, small and sriallow; flesh, greenish-yellow, sweet, full of sugar, rich; hardy; very productive. 11 Northwest Cainers' Asociation ate?.:1pteO. for a number of ye&r iuãiate1y prior to this study to brine shout industry-wide adoptiori of the trade name "Purple Plums" for canned fresh Italian prunes. .i-ur1e 'l usm occasionally i;i t1s paper and denotes that product; is, cined fxs Itliau punes. "iflaiette Valle.y c siar' as u.ed in this paper always refers tz the 400 parsons interviewed in roer store in vrious towns in the i1lemette Vllei; of Orezori in Lrc of l49 in conjunction with the fieldwork for this study. It w&.. asumed that they constituted a representative sample of opinion toward canned prunes at that time Purpose of the ta This study was undertaken for the dual purposo of deterniln 1) why uses for prunes pred in Oregon, mainii canning, so 1iited from .L9 through 1946 that s lr. s decline in the prune industry in ure'on CWI1O about and, 2) how sales of canned prunes might be ittcre.: S Procedure of the Various data regardin.: t tudy rune industry in ths United tato and in Oreoa were examained and trends noted with some exaiiination of data regt.rdin soiie important competing fruits. Parts of such previous work as of a nature similar to this study and found useful wore also ax iined and incorporated into this study1 Data wore analyzed and corparad with the present situation and policies as an indication of basic charies and direction of study 'Co increase sales of canned prunes. The twenty-year period from lc;2 throug l3 wes often con- centratod upon. It was duriri that 2eriod that the market outlet for dried prunes procuced in Oro:on bco thdeuate to absorb profitably eli. of t.tete's productiox of prunes. Other market outlets, maInly carnIng, wee eveioped and became of importance to the prune industry in Oregon. The Vorld War II period of rationing of carmed fruits (l43- 44-4) was often c:;lete1y eliminated fra. analysis, The nor1 play of both supnly rs1deration in the n deman'l wa diutorted ';hile that proEra. us i effeet.* All other ththg beIng equal, consumption ol' cLrIred prunes should have been stimulated by the low retlon-point values on canned beavy-syrup canned fruits. axd prunes rela'tivs to other lLowevar, wartime ;acks of canned prunes In the United States were made OIIISJi prices to (7, p. 133) owar for prunes. by OPA rui.igs ragulatin Canners, trade ox'&:aizetjons, wholesale grocers, retel end consumers weie considered a a major ource of o;Itiins for study to determine how sales of canned prunes could be increased. Consuzrz were eiected since it ws believec that thy v;ero the ultirrate source of the opinions desired, it wa to avoid bias and to pet the desired information "firsthand" that the other ouroesmentioxiod were not used ao tbe ma3or ource of opinions Table XVIiI (appendix) shows L rtIon-poiut values for elocted cLrine1 fruits. to determine how s1es or oann.sd prunes ooi1d bo inczased. Oe tora1 questionnaire w&s prepared and it Wa used only with conswaers. Infria1 diessions vere hold with eauner, store rnar'ars, tind other industry sorce during th coure ot the fieldwork for thi study, fruits, but cussod also. ee diacisicns ereroi1 eocorned margins oi the: camned aspects ot areting of canned fruits were die- Iii most osacs the sorce of data obtained in this porona1 annor re'ueted to be held corfi T :itja, 14 0TiL II P115 iuI 1:Du,2iy EXi41iThED Numbers of Trees and Uumber of Farms oi Ii urezon Nwnbers of Flu and Prune Tr008 Nwnbers of plum and prune trees of all ages in Oregon increased from 2,193,000 in 1914, to 4,331,000 in 1919 an to 5,678,000 In 1924. (See Table I) By 1929 these numbers decreased alightly to 6,622,000 end by 1934 to 4,720,000; after large-scale reductions ere begun, By 1U39 a further decrease to 3,684,000 occurred, and by 1944 numbers or plum and prune trees of all ages in Oregon decreased to 3,099,000. Unfortunately In 1924 and In 1944 the separation of numbers of plum trees into bearing the Census. and and prune non-bearing age grop v:as not rnade by There remains, however, the picture of heavy plan ing in Oregon iwdiate1y after I, the decrease In the rate of planting in the late 1920's and the large-scale or1d Wa reductions in the numbers of pluLn and prune trees begiuiIng at least by 1934. Numbers of Farms Nu.abers of farms in Oregon reQortjng numbers or p1ui and prune trees were not recorded by the Census until 1924. Little reduc- tion In the numbers of thee farms took place between 1924 and 1934. lb TAI3LE I 0? PIATh4 aND F1UJNi TREES OF B RIiC £) UQ G10LWS AW FIVE-YEA Category 1Y14 Th' FJ3L R T.t1'G £i. 0EiG(Th, AT TVAL3 1914-44 1919 1924 1929 1934 1. 39 000 omitted - T?ees not ot beaxing ae Tree8 of bearing age Farms reporting 428 1,332 329 u.S 104 3 1,765 2,9c9 5,283 25 24 4,720 3,6o 25 22 i/Not avai1b1e Sources: 1914-39, U. S. Dept. of Corirrc, Birecu or tlic. Census, 16th Ceuu of th 'Jitd huitoa D. C. 1040. 1944, U. S. Dept. of Coirimerce, Bureau or thi Census, U. S. Cenaus ot Agriculture, washington 1). 0. 1945. 16 Fro: 33 to ic44 the reduction in rwibers of rars reporting Ws not proportion&rtejy e Large as Th:' decrease Li tr:s nibers of plum and prune trees during the period. Acoit 000 terms in Oregon reported pluii ant3jor prune trees in 1924 and about 20,00Q still did in 1944. .vidently, many prune 1934, producers in Oregon rei.uced their tree nuirbers but did not pull their entire orchards. Nwnbers of plum and prune trees were not recoried separately by the Oeusus in the ye:r acted in Thhlo I. 3ut since rela- tively small quantities of p1ws were produced in Oregon, 8uc data may be used as an approxjatjon of numbers of prune trees alone. (2, p. 1) Production of United States The ist rapid increases in production of prunes in the United tates were in the latter half or the 1920's, although significant volume waii aehievod prior to iiorl War I. roduc- tion of prunes in the Jn1ted States 1ncreaed from 445,bOO tons in 192b to b8,20O tons in 1926. (See Table II) In 192? pro- duction increased further to 887,900 tons. In 1930 the produc- tion of prunes in the United States reached 84,800 tons, which was the 1arest crop recorded through 1948. The output in 1930 indicates the production potential built up in the prune industry. But average production or prunes in pu '8'6T ..tQqwa&o UOTUx D0 flO3 tJO8.r '8dQX 'vgyfl uoocJrj X txo?ox UOOT '.lr JO UO 'G1 '3TTTA.IoD 3flO*Içj UT ''5T JTT1 JO tb 'ioonpo.x (o.qpnoT1) ULZ1 eOTA.zec PUQ.ZL lIfl 4E61 ) (J UOtja T1fl PU 'T119 rt.x '698t '0 'CI UOTt9t 8176! UOTTodsTG '1'6t-59$1 '91t'' J° U0TZTTT.fl PtIT 'tA 'UOi4DflpOL (nOI1.TOtrOtr) rLr :rnoG £u T1aXt-(1 0004qcg 000'662 00!' 4176! g 61 OOC't14 000'40c 008 'r'?9 91761 61 178t oo 'g 176T 006 '89 001 'cc 11761 01761 00 '49 6 6! 009 cg ec 6! 6c 8t 9c 6t 009 'fr16 00"99Q 98t 0017 009 '6 ec 17 6! cc 61 00 'iec O08'989 6! 004 '1799 tc 61 OO8t'c8 009 4tc OO8'ar4 oc 61 6t 86t 008' 6 009Q 1T 008 'cc 5T OO1'917 5! oo 'g ooc 009 0 51 ooc '1i 8161 UOT.OflpO.Xd (Tq £117-Ole! 'Hvg' JS ''fJ t19.ZJ 'uo) (TTJ1INfl 'TJ NI TiThkT I0 T0LLOflaog i 6! FIGURE 7 TCYrAL PRODUCTION OF FRITNES INTTE UNITES STATES, BY YEARS, 1929-48 a .bx Least-sjuares trend: Y a 641,145 tons b -2173 tons x 6 months Origin at mid-year 1938 I I I I I I I I I T I ruch saUer than in 1930. The trend or production ot prunei in tie United States declined in that twenti-year period. The decline was a resu.lt of the United States front 1029 through 1043 the large proth.ction or prunes iii 1030, lI3b, and 10Z not being offset by correpond1ngly 1arr;e production in the 1940's. Ignoring those years ot large produotion in the l0's, the trend or produeto: prunes in the United States was about constant from .W29 through The acti.iai. trend of production or prunes In te United ;ties Was downward from 1'20 t1irou 14 at toe avsr. race or 434 tons per year or about 0,7 per cent or tIle mid-yea least-squares a1uo 641,14b tons. (See Fig. 7) The least-squares straight-line method of fitting the trend was selected because no regular periodic factors were known whose effects hold be removed, and because no curvilinear relationship was noted in the series. Oreg Production of prunes In Oregon to 1929 was siailar to that in the Uni.te States as a whole except that the Oregon output waS more eratic from year to year. The production of 186,300 tone of prunes in Oregon In 1029 was the 1arjest recorded through 1948. (See Table II) From 1929 through 19, however, production of prunes in Oregon declined proportlonatelj rre than in the United States as a whole. The trend-line of production of prunes in Oregon from 1929 through 19 illustrates the decline which 20 T3L:., III TOThL P1-tuiiC.I0i 07 ki (Pois rre L 0LG0i, BY riw basl$) Pout1on Ye r 1919 1) )(j, 1 3. 47,500 1922 1923 102,bOO 124 69,900 1925 49, 00 1$2Ô ,500 60,000 ic 2? 1 (9 46, bOO 12$ 186,300 107,700 100,800 101,700 95,600 118,800 139,600 133,000 30,700 92,700 154,300 42,700 69,400 70,500 104,000 1030 1933. 1932 p 1934 19 3b 1933 193? Ii' L 1940 141 19.2 19 1944 1945 1946 194? 60,400 9'10Q 101,100 34,400 48,800 143p p-Prel .n1nary Source: "?1u&3 ami Prunes, hoviect US1i.-BAi GrO) 1943. JJ.so ttmates or Pr,duction, WU-41" eortinj Joird. 1ter rvj cray r D. C. or or the B'. Soptexber FIGURE 8 cf 210 -_ TOT.L PRODUCTION OF PRThES IN OREGON Lea5t-.Qre trnd: Y a b x 180 BY YRARS, 1929-48 & + bx 95,730 tona -1990 tons 6 months Origin at mid-year 1938 120 90 T i29 I r I I 43 II I 45 I 46 47 I 48 22 aiunted to an averac.o or 0 tons per year, or 4.2 per cent of the fnld-year least-sçuars vU.ue 9b,7Z0 tons. (See Figure 8) The least-squares trend was used for tao som reasons a3 for the trend of production or prunes in the United states in F1ure 7. Sons Factors Causing the Growth and Decline of Production of Prunes The reatly increased demand and higher prices for dried prunes exported from the United. states, especiaLLy in 191v ana 1920, helped to bring about the ra.id expansion in the prune industry in the 1920's. (See Table IV) Also euch factors as increasing popuJ.wtion and general agricultural prosperity iimriediately after World War I probably helped to influence the increased plantings of 'prune trees in the ac1fic Ooaat states in the early 1920's. Since prune trees require from six to eight years to coxr to bearing age (1, P. 37), production of prunes began to increase ehorply about l92 arter the hoary plantings begun about 1919. The avsrae price for dried prunes exortea tros tne United. StateB broke somewbet earlier, in 1921, partially under the unuually large yolurne of dried prunes exported in that year. The average price for dried prunes exportea troui the United States decreased from cents per pound in 1920 to 7.9 cents per pound in 1921. In 1922 the corresponding average export price increased to 9.8 cents per pound, but then decreased to .O cents per pund by l24. From 192b through 192 the aversUe price for dried prunes exported from the United States stayed in the raigo 5.b to 7? cents per TJ3Li L UNITED $TAT.S 1CiO1ST$ OF D1L 2L .'QUND, BY (Calendar Year years l/-4, Ju1 3.912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 3.918 1919 1920 1921 3.922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1926 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1930 1936 1937 3.938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1945-46p 1946-'?p 3.94?-48p TOTAL VALUE J1W AV.FAG 1909-47-48 1-Jrne 30 tor 1945-46 through 1947-48) Ave race Value Volui-ie ot Exports (pounds) 1909 1910 1911 23 22,602,268 89,014,660 51,030,711 74,323,074 117,950,875 69,813,711 43,?8,392 57,422,827 59,645,141 32,926,546 108,08,2b7 '15,138 ,'179 117,933,740 94,216,105 59,103,757 220,911,703 146,484,984 156,070,067 229,bi9,30 267,706,790 197,227,583 235,037,406 257,799,889 210,203,920 193,039,202 171,b1,83 197,78,86 16?,39Z,104 1&9,lbl,132 235,L88,256 157,702,061 61,565,496 166,537,063 103,073,047 117,006,635 117,270,&b4 71,249,276 154,414,000 137,740,000 213,034,000 Total Value (dollars) 1,073,210 4,0].,5b4 3,271,973. 4,995,053 6,665,870 4,662,546 3,274,197 3,9ri,3g6 4,934,329 2,177,976 15,?1,9b1 11,738,312 9,280,298 9,211,630 5,211,262 13,218,266 11,265,773 10,635,123 12,613,770 16,221,383 14,837,915 13,560,241 11,520,860 7,782,494 9,352,494 9,609,155 9,4U,0 9,203,oSl 9,867,961 7,067,201 2,950,352 8,565,467 6,91b,382 10,707,737 15,696,07? 9,956,060 19,013,000 22,456,000 17,039,000 per pound (cents) 4.8 4.5 6.4 6.7 5.6 6.7 7.5 6.9 8.3 6.6 14.5 15.8 7.9 9.8 8.8 6.0 7.7 6.7 5.5 6.1 7.3 5.8 05 3.? 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.5 6.? 9.2 13.4 14.0 12.3 16.3 .0 p-Preliminary Sources: 1909-45, "Foral8n Coiiierce and Navi8ation at tue U. S." Bureau or orierce, ah1netoa 3). 0. 1945-46 to 47-6, ".oroign r. Trade," Dec. 1948, Oti'ice ot loregin gr elationa, Ji1'., ashin toil 3). 0 24 pound. ian prune producers in Oregon and Iashington operated at a loss even during those years. for seTercj. years prior to (1928) growers in certain sections and some growers throughout this producing area (Oregon and Vashiugton) had not been obtainiu.g from their prunes sufficient returns to operate their farms and orchards and maintain their customary standard of living. (1, p.1) Ia 1228 and 129 prices ror prunes were sowhat sore favorable for producers than for several years prior to then. (5, p.1) The situation of most prune producers in Oon did not become desperate u.ntii. the advent of the world-wide deprossion ol' the 1930's. By 132 the average price for dried prunes exported from the United States fell to 3.? cents par pound. In spite or ts dollar devaluation by the United States Government in ic and 1934 and. the intended favorable effects upon foreign trade and prices, the aYere price for dried prunes exported from the United States topped .0 cents per pound only once from 1931 through 1940. The average price of dried prunes exported from the United States again increased to 14.0 cents per pouni during World .ar II with the lend-lease program. The 1JNRRA and other foreign civilian aid. by the Ud.ted States Government after or1d War U helped to keep the ayerago price for dried prunes exported from the United :tatos relatively high until 194?- Then the prioe dropped to an average of 8.0 cents per pound. possile factor causin... production of prunes to decline in Oregon proportionately nre th.n in the United States as a whole, froi i92 tbrougZ 14S, was the apparcnt 10 outlet for dried prunes to other urcs, in:i of the remaimig marzet Oalifornia. .nother he fziiure of other outict, suci as car possible factor to be devoloped adequately to absorb profitably all of the pro duction of prunes in Oregon. ttr fvorjng the dried prune industry in California over Oregon an other areas in the Pacific Northwest was that casts in producing dried prunes in California wouJ. seem to have bcn Lower than in the pacific Northwest. some 01' the factors that would seem to have resulted in lower costs i producing dried pruLIes in California were: 1) the prune drying ratio in Oalifornia wa; pounds fresh to 1 pound dried as opposed to 3 to 4 pounds fresh to 1 pound dried in the xacif to orthwest, 2) priiaes wars eu;toar1ly driod In sunlight out-of-dcor in California whereas prunes were custom- arily ctried by artificial host In the Pacific Northwest and, large dried prune industry was s3aintained in Csiifornia through 1c44. (Jee Table OD appendix) Utilization of Prunes Beeui in the aar] days of the prune industry 1 Oregon, as In the other ixaportsnt pruue producing areas of the Pacific Coast, most of the crop was dried. however, 1?45 that situation remained only in Celifornia. in the acIfic orthwest, ospciall In Oregon and Washington, mar prunes were then used for fresh shipment and for canning as well as for Jrying. (2, p. 1) In Idaho nerl all the crop of runes was shipped fresh. ot Of tL ::rothiction a!' canned 26 prunes was in Oregon. Oregon 1920's In the 1920's, drying was atlU. oy far the largest commercial use of prunes in Oregon. portion of the Oregon about bO per in cent Eowever, tho average pro- dried declined from aoout O per cent to during that decade oecause production of prunes Oregon increased trade in crop (see Table v) faster than did the quantity dried. The fresh prunes was just getting wel]. established in Oregon in 1920's. At that time, tue volume the or fresh shipments of prunes produced in Oregon was erratic from year to year, especially in the early 1920's. Canning of prunes was in its infancy airing most of the 1920's, although by 1929 canning was the outlet for 11,000 tons or prunes produced in Oregon. Oregon 1930's and 1940'S The drying of prunes produced in Oregon from 1930 to 193? was more uniform from year to year than it had been during However, such drying Was at about the same the 1920's. average annual volume as during the 1930's. Only the canning of prunes made increases during the middle 1930's. In 1933 commercial canning of prunes used 11,600 tons of prunes produced in Oregon, and by 1936 it used 25,bOO tons. In 13?, for ;ne first time, canning used about tue same proportion of the prunes produced in Oregon as did drying. ]. the last before duced in The year 1939 was during which a J.arger volume of prunes pro- Oregon was used for drying than ror any other use. From TiO3L UTILIZATION OF Year 191 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 12b 1926 1947 1929 1930 1901 1932 1933 19i4 1935 1936 193? 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 3.945 1946 1947 1948 J1iS HODUC.:j) Fresh / D SOLD L. (RLjGCu EY YiJiBS, 1919 (Tons) Dried 1,bOO 1,0L'u ,1O0 4,200 10,100 9,400 19,500 l2,Ou 30,000 22,:0..) 2O,.0 8,200 8,600 2? V / Canned .?J Other , LI 1,600 1,100 1,400 0,100 2,(i0 12,bOO 14,0OL. 5D,OUQ 1L,300 18,200 23,200 20,500 7,OoO 4c,7O0 23,100 2.,9O0 23,600 21,600 18,900 130O 13,500 13,400 20,700 14,200 18,700 13,900 17,900 20,300 17,000 13,800 19,000 17,600 17,000 23,600 16,100 13,000 21,000 2,600 33,000 24,000 ,10O 13,00: 2,603 2,600 6,bOO b,900 11,300 4,100 7,700 8 ,0O 300 1,600 / Fresh Basis ,,/ Dry Basis (Drying ratio 3 to 7,300 11,000 6,103 10,600 8,000 11,00 13,600 20,500 2,50O 23,200 12,700 28,600 11,300 29,600 15,0O 31,000 14,800 1,000 44,200 13,700 8,000 100 300 1,00 12,bOO 9,200 10,900 8,200 1,bOO 800 pounds fresh t 1 pound dried.) Waiziy frozen For some years siil1 arnØunt were not harvested on account of econothc conditions, $ourees: 1919-28 Reports o1 tiW 0k 1929-44"Fruits (noncitrous) Production, Farm Disposition, Value and Utilization of Sales, 16D-i94." (ashington D.C. May 1946 p. c) 194-4? Same 19b-47, .Tuly 1948, p.36 1948 Prelininary Utilization of ?runes "Prunes 1948 ProductIon and Utilization-1946 "USDA-BAk Estimates, 306 Courthouse, Portland, Oregon 1940 to 1U48, with the possible exception ot 1'i4, canning used at least as much oi the prune crop proaucea in Oregon as did drying. The two seasons, 1U.? and i94, saw the virtual disappearance of drying of prunes produced in Oregon. Drying of prunes produced in Oregon actually decreased xore from 1929 through 194C than canning increased, Fresh shipment at prunes produced in Oregon remained ircre unifox'm in volume than did the other commercial uses tnroughcut 1U31 to 148. Little year-to- year fluctuation took place in th fresh trade and no apparent absolute growth or decline occurred. freezing, jaeis, and preserves were other co.ieDcial uses for prunes tro 1929 through 1948. ueh uses were of importance for prunes produced in Oregon only during World ar II. In 1943, there sre 12,500 tons ci' prunes produced in Oregon used i'or proc- essing other than drying or canning or sold for fresh iipment. In 1948, theco other uses had decreased so that Ofllj 600 tons of prunes produced in Oregon were so absoroed. Some Factors Causing Variation in the Vo1we of the Utilizations of Prunes Produced in Oregon The dried and calmed utilizations of prunes produced in Oregon fluctuated rre from year to year d.iring the period covered c this study than did. th ftath utilization. Part of the explanation oX' this was In tr1e fact that usually relatively few prunes prouucea in Western Oregon were snipped fresh. Prunes prod.ucea in Vestern Oregon deteriorated ire when shipped fresh than did prunes 29 produced in. iastern Oregon. (5, p.c) Jthough otherwise good areas for producing :prues for drying and cann.in:, prunes distrios in 1estern Oregon er often drenched with rai.r at blossom-time resultin in a poor sett' of primes and srnaJ.ler amounts or prunes for drying end canning In certain itai1ar1y, faoraD1e weather helped to produce unusually large crops or prunes in disrictn iz Western Oregon In other yers. Apparently the tresn market outlet for prunes produced in Oregon Was more stmole then the other outlets available for prunes produced in the tite from 192 throuI1 1941. Most of the pro- duction of prunes for froan sn.i.iert rro.r; Oregon was in iastern Oregon districts becaue prunes from triose areas w"re setter adapt- ed to that use. Also fresh utIlization peld the ihest 'En.sona1 average price to growers for primes in Qregon from 1933 through l9'. (eo Table XL, pendli) In occe sional years, suet as 1931 end 193, when the volume of production of prunes in astern Oregon was far b3iow everage,* large volumes ci' prunes produced in estern Oe.nn were usi to supplennt the 1' roh utilization. (ee Table VI) Howeve when prunes produced in .asteru Oregon were of average volume, few prunes produced i ed. fresh. et.rn Oregon were From these facts it would appear that a sustained increase in. ecanU for pn.nes for fresh shipment would Damage frau frost aoout slossom-ti.ie occasionally causec. roauctIon o p;nes in fle;torn Ore;on to s s:.11er than averaLe. eav,y damage from frost was less frequent ii ser oregon tha was .rsn.vy dame frori rein at biosscm-tth- ir ster hresn fros tii. 19. 30 result in increased production o± frune in kestern Oregon and be of little benefit to producers of prune in Western Oregon. I PBODUCTi0L OP .astcirn Oregon Tons, fresh Basis (ear OB'3N I3 YiMiS Ti3IJT AN1) 1929 1?, 300 11 iQ 2.931 2.932 14,200 ,400 2.933 1,O00 1'3,0O ,800 11,400 10,400 / Western Oregon Tons, Fresh 19 3 19 6 133? V2,40c1 'OO bOO 100,300 132,800 121, bOO 19 33 i',000 ._0, OO '?U, 700 1939 1940 14, .O0 1O,UL0 1, ':oo lb,400 19 1 as1s / 1e9,0OO 93,z0(J 1,20O 1934 1929-4 54, iiOO information nt uviiab1e for earlier years. rie to Converted fr. pounds fresi:. Sou.rea 'Plu c a U$fl-B. . 'ci baois b te ratio of 3 to pound iried. .evisect :.j1'L5t J.roduction, 190941." ijiorting 3oard, e;'ternbr 194$. :' c;ii T?roduction ot Canned Prunes Deveiient Before the 1920' 8 production of canned prunes in Oregoxi relatively small. (See Teblo VII) This wa boeuse virtually all usc& ror arin. iot until the rket OUtlet ror dried pine began to be iat::iete to absorb proritabiy 1l of the runting prodctiü of prunes abou; or tfle output of rrur 3.92h w in Orogon w co;IerCtTJ. eanLi.n! or prunes widely co$darea a a e Ia or prune. large eü':.tJ os.t otLer uses for p'i were tmined and wie pru.d intc rest developed in Oreci ith respect to the possibilities of oannir as an additional uarkot outlet roi prunks Nortiwest. (, p. 1) .t'cte In Oregon in 13O ulletiu xperimant Station jihlished it ii the othie o. i1eultux&1 S entirely devotod to the canned rreii orune with special r'.gerd to ith market sit- uation and outloc. That piiblicaion urged the rnpid expern3ion of ttie.ve otlet" for coi:ercia1 cannL prodie Li tne £'ao1ic rines t 0rgon or o ,J4 oas of cenaed basic or standard cc Oontai lag o. isi Oregon 6Tz t ';.t[ P cJ76! fl 'F8T =tr) 'PUTZO 'uOooy .tOc-T T°T 1XGTxtrT ;T T6T Trzo:v PtV r' TZTX Al flqij, ;rtDf TJrLT t3 c6T l41cy)31 Q U9r(nc eT!3 flOZ() l-6tVt OtPI P oo inq.ov 'UOUI4U OiQSI ur-aTeA 8'8t 000 '000 '1: C 419 /eP6t 'qg g 06 ' 6t ECO6'1 L11'1 t 0 'T 6t r9810cfl'T nofl' r; W' St T7 St 69 8iO ' .t '419 OT'60G ir)q Tc3' /O' '1: t' St O' 6t 3' 3cSt 6 q?o1 o oøme '1: o et 'i 41c St yi '1c:;4 '1 09I,,99 5 o0z'goq 0' Sh 194 '0"T't t 'Tc c. 6t 8t 9 St t St oc:? 0c6t 66T 19 ,/ 41' 99 1cO /a 8t 6L41 'OOQ 'yg4 8t cyt'ggt n roi. ;o t!Ce.X( .UGO eic ?TtX1 's p.xm,m TT8 x) rt 6tT tflt1'I iIT'L X !0 Try9() 'ir t'Y1? T:trm '; 'I r'!r -' L:O P1L fIY o ILIt riv1r4 FIGURE 9 TOTAL PRODUCTION OF CANNED PRUNES IN OREGON, BY YEARS, 1929-48 Least-squarea trend: Y = a + bx Thousands of 1,111,085 canoe 42,549 oases one year Origin at mid-year 1938 a aeoe of b x 24 No. 2e 3,000 2,750 - 2,500 2,250 2,000 / 1,750 - Two.. ear mo'rin. averae 1,500 -J 1,260 - Leant-squares trend 1,000 750 - 500 250 0 I '30 '31 Source: Table 1929 '32 '33 I '34 I '35 I '36 '37 I '38 I '39 I '40 I '41 I '42 I '43 1 '44 I '45 F '46 '47 '48 in 1929 was nct exceacd until. 134 when 804,16? cases of prunes were canned in te state. (3ee b.i.e VII) Output of eanned prunes in Oregon inerouseti to 1,3YL,$3 cases in 1S ina re&ained between 1,3b0,00u and. i3OO,OOQ eases until i3, when production decreased to ?274O3 cacs. Froi W7 through 1947 production of canned prunes in 0reon incroasu nd ctecreaseU in aiternL fluctuations were 1ar; in certain years such a 1,676,56 cases in 1S9 to 809,210 in 1940. yer. The deeoe IOia fo 1are increase over 193-7 production or canned Puxias 1 0reon w iie UAtII In that year production of canned prunes in Oreon ir deceo.rd oses, }iowever, i.i L47 the cutput to to 1,260,031 cases and in 194B de r.;i rurtln3r to 7b?,u3 cui; not iaucb above te lu tt or Ttoj rodutjor of canned vrunes Ii 0reon from 19 tirough 14G ! Wa in Figure 9. Much or to a1trnating incr and decreases in ttiat figure were of a two-year ooving average. otbed by tho a.1cstion To il1utra tAe rt or To\ctb e least-squares streight-line trend wa; corn ana ap:iied to the series. Unitcd t.jtes Prothction of canned pruno in the nation as a wfloJe wai alRlller k: t produetio In reo in the period flJ9-47 beaaue Ore..on nstituted sou1. three-rourtrs of tue total in the Unjte States on tiie average. (LJut in Orej:on averageO. ?2.B per cent or the total. prociuction of canned prun in trio United States in those (see Table VII) For the five-year eriod 1c444-4E3 proctuctlon of cennod prunes in Oregon constitutea an avsrne of ?4Se per cent of all 3iat ouxi.tect to i5C Dduction in the United per cent in l44. Betien 1J2.9 end 1q46 production of canneu prunes in tin. UniteC tnte 111 U areas out&ide Or','n did not to a.i. ter the ren of the proportion of such roductjen in Oroon to the totel in the. Unitea htates California lthouli the source cited revlow1r for utilizt.&t ion of prunes n Celifornia flesiod onIp e ccL;:OTcia1 UJE pr .ries a record of production of cenne founct fo &ppendix) co:t:in It orrij.a wes Icr, s Of ttLt prunes: in aliThr.ia w are rro 192b through 19.c. (dee Table XLI peared that production of cezmo prunes in CaLif- bith absoluteiy ena crocortionately in the 1920's than it was during the l3O's. California Uid not account for over 8. per cent of the production of cnnod prunes in the United dttee in any year froiri 1933 tirowh 1940. lanation of Fiactattozw In Production of Cinned .Prune Jize of the Italian Prune Crop Total voleno ol' productior4 of cennd Stete aro wac &rtially dependent upon t- ruxie in the United of tne Italian prune 143. 199 t : noted revio1y of tne crops of prunes &cn :eofl, a u.uon, and dz erioi. 1r . 36 Idaho were shipped fresh in that period. Apparently few canning type (Italian) prunes were producect in California from 1929 through 1948. At any rate few were canned. Petite prunes, which ooxisti- tuteci the bulk of the production of prunes in California, are not well-sutea for CeT)nlnJ. Production of prunes in Western Oroon ws probably a large dotor1ninant or year-to-year tlucuttjos in the production of canned prunes in tfle United States frori 1929 through 143. production in estern Lregon w o;ever, not te tole do;xnt tota.L volume of production of cennsd prunes In the Jnited during tnat period. ot even fro 14 did the cnning 1Y40 of prunes utilize all of the i1uction of r-; &eater regon, By that time proauction of prunos i Ore-oii wa much reduced from ita high levels of the 1930's end conuitiQn of omnned pzunos in te .nited States reached ne high levels. Carryov r Total volume or production of canned prunes wa probably also depenuent upon the carryover from the previous year. VIII) (See Table Carryover or canned plums C: :runes iricreaued from 1934 through 1936. About 193? the tridmicy and decreasing carr:.iov'r o aiterae ta tfle y:yr3 of increasing evident. .L'his alternation of volume of carryover was in tie years opposite t that noted previously in the production of canind prunes. (..ee Table VU) For instance, in 1939 ,.roduction ol: cnnad prunes in the United C0 AT OF RcIAL SPOC? JGI FiJiL: I Ci? C_L_L iLJ.;;. Ai) ... i Ii ' rj ' 1(jJ. LL Lt b ±CK C I .1um and 195 / / 193? 1E3,0)0 19 2?,000 24 1943 1944 194b 1946 runes 25 19 16 18 10 8 18,000 36,000 22,500 21,620 8,eGb 10,12b 9,67 12,375 190 1941 142 P £, 1'? 4,0Ju 1938 1939 21J Prviou Year Pack 3,0u() 31,O0 193Q IT of Ciiri. rune3 (1,000'3 ib.) 193' T £ 24 o, 2 cans eqiai to 43 jounda) Pc'r Cent of (Weight pe Year 14-46 I 5 8 6 / inQjues stocks of whoieaje ditribt.itors and stocks in ciinstore warehotos &'ot available tar ecrile: years. Source; 2ureau of r.Lcu1turai LCC.1C;10E, Cozupi1e fi reports of ti U. ii h1iiti. D, 0 De;t. of Coierce . . eac aac 400,UUU ce of canxed plumo and Statee wac ruinea were earriec ovr fr. th t1n or IUiLOa Ia eoc,00c jj rviooi err, hi. 1940 proc[uc- te was 1,2ti,11 TTijt arict Cr eaxwd plum an hrrnoo were carried ov.'r rroni tte pr: viotis year. Uarryover of cari.xe p1Ui JJer durin anu prunea Wei ar II tlmn in the pre-&r period tron 1934. Data rerd1 World carrver of a rune in 14? and. 14 wore not available for this study. iowcver, th2 rclativeiy large OC prunes in the nited tates in i4b doereesee. lurthei in i43 wouLI 11sui.L ee 01' C...utied ix J.''7 arid t a larr than irtd1c.Lt carryover in those eare, * Isiporto and oort of ei an1 prunes itf .totes in Liports of oannoa ;.Lw; aa pruneo into t. yerb fro i7 trou.d11 14.i wore smaLl WiOU. C:. a 4 with the pductio of c;.nao. iu .a urto tho Jmzitd ...tates in cettalut . those yecro. (See 2able L) Lcports of cannad ilwns and prunes were so sxisJJ. frOm 1929 through 1948 that t.1.8g Como'ce cad Naviatii: o! time tilted. :tai.,es" did not hat tbemi in a 3 quantity of enad. 4u1 and ,r of ¼IC i *Ca1u.im .i.CiO 1:. i.datr,, soarc.a coat for tIa s.idy indieute.i caiov.mr o 1ar,e, especially in 1.. kre: rEd. arid £ruueUas, n, e. a.(not e1se,here e BratC equal to 1.9 per cent ji.. t.:e ;.:iited d.tates o ul tin ie1dwork cta uausually rved plum, prune sj'eeifieU) * 39 J- 41V4/V flTrtrt Lt# c.L '-... V 2 - . '':. ..r ..... ,r . . . .-. - . .. 1937, LiA3, 193'.), L4.., li)4(, . J. - .L- rear .er eit 1937 1938 1.0 1.0 1°43 194 1947 0.8 / Less then 0.0 per' cent. ourc: "irrmrtes o: .itarlfl' 1riformt1oxi," VoIu rocsucts aU .rOV1eiOflE1, u. 1948. . .ritt OiS31OTt, ..-;gr1CuitU11 ingtou, I. C. 40 quantity of eaime d..d. u of detic production n ln in that year accorI:1:.n wee 0,2 p ent in. ioi .runeu equal to 1.9 per cent iiorted into the United Otetes o Te1e IP Ths cor 'ng poreeze per cent in 1047. aru5 that inçorte of cnec p1w prunes into t: It would appear .miti tates wore 8mall in the period rrorrL 1537 tirouh lç47. he iaport dutp on eanrie3 pi ad vnlorem froi 1; 2 thi 1047. anU prunes wa Zb per cent Eov;ever, tin; a i.s oduced to 17.5 per cent ad valoreni lo 19' by the 0cnc-ia Uofnrenee (6, p. 152). Lnport of conne luio. aet c)rLine Into the Onited 5ttae nia tncreese aft:n 11046. prt6 of cr1 u; n.rc pruaen fro iaeCc. continuelly fro. 1029 thro volume of theee e.portu. ua 1047-48 n1ip thu Unite tate (see Table X) wore The aae11 and erratic averaging about the eqiivalent of 64,000* ce:cn out of an nmia1 pack averaging about 1,000,000 case, trend upwu'd or donwrd wa apparent in this series aithougl an upn:U tronn of production of caimed prunes in the united tate wau apparent fron 1029 through 1046. Table VII ehowod that 1946 was the year of largest production of canned prunes on record in the hnited. states. however, eporte of canned p1uns and prunes froo the Uniten ;Otates in the first two years following the large pack in 194 wore not the 1arest on record. hxport of canred prunes from the United htates fron u1y 1, 194-6 through Tune uO, 1947 were the equivalent of 174,555 cases, the largest since 14l. 5ii b 947 through Ju.ue d3 'ro e:knortu of conned prunes from the of stancmara cu-is conLain:p ho. 2 cans. '0 a :T 'flOtTc, TTT1OTIT :j( L frOj '-i3T 'Ut,'rq tflt tj tt jo uo- ;o r.xti 'eziwo ;o pu onwo TtO JO JJC) -Q61 thrj fl OoO'; ' 1.tT' OQ qgg'it 000' OO9'O' c? 1g 7LjLi '19 1136 9'c;9c'1 oo ''Lj cc'3' &1 L 3' 'o 'g 2C0T00'c iTY'T : ct 1T'T'T Q8T 0fr'9t9' tn'T X2pt Jo JO I51 68t Vpt1no) IcI tiC) -5t -Q3T XOJ C$ flC-T O7L --: $7 ' 'rL' arTnn UiL - IrnL ar rir r io rrz x na Un1ti $tat o1ui o .1 ox;cTt of In 12 vher t. with tc t .1 p!u 274,000 caoo wo anti f1ur oi eort 1.9 juivLLcnt o zi cC,311 actu11 ie& thui 8,144 cs. The yeor run 1L3 eortei, That I 41 wie tb:: f1j; tie Jnited iiv1ent of 43 Capita Consuaption The civilian per capita consumption of canned plums* and prunes in the United States averc. about 0.3 oound per capita annually for the period 1909-47. (See Tb10 XX) To indicate how small a quantity this was it is noted that even olives averaged 0.b pound per capita in the same period. roin 1929 through 1947 tho civilian per capita consumption of canned plums and cruneo averaged 0. pound annually. From 1946 to 1947 per capita consutior. of canned piums and prunes incre&ed greatly. In 1946, pex cwit&i cousuirotion of canned pluiis and prunes was 0.6 pound and in 1947 it Increased to 1,0 pound, It civilian per capita oonsunptlon of canned lun' and prunes was aintaired at the rate o± 1.0 pound annuaU, ,0O0,0O0 cases con- taIn.ng No. 2* cans would be recuired.** The produotlorn of 3,576,009 cases of canned prunes in 1946 rade ponsiblo oouswption at th rate of 1.0 pound per capita in 1.94?. However, it would appear that con- eumption was not maintathed at the rate 1.0 pound per capita because production of canned prunes in th inited totes was 1,80,94l cases in 194? and about 1,000,000 cases in l9. Yeer-to-year variations of civfliau per capita oonsunption of canned plums and prunes in the Uriitec ates were iii1ar in timin to year to year variations of corropoiidin consption of all canned fruit in the period from trirough i%2.. (See Fig. 10 *Piw.1 tonpaça sold for carnin wa .nali fro;t l4 to 1946. Table XLII (appendix) iudIctes productiun end. utilization of plwu in i-ar ni taiIforn1a, t to legtjnc T.Luru pro'iucing states durinc; tho'a vers. a civilian population of 135,OCXi3O00 in ti:te united States. 'o cx r .1 10 T'.iJ rvtr13 ZT1' tO.T C'' - ..:!i J) "i c't - - 9T - 9. 9. 2"T 9'T 9* 6'crt T1 9* r*nt OT,r it ..I /-' 0c :a3zno3 PTtO 231 - ic 61 113'8T q'c -E.I I. C'' c'c 3* C'4 c'6t 001 9f.3[ *ct 4* 90 0'! 9, /' I* TC31 Ifr 6' rc 0*Tt 04 '2' C'I -. T'9 C" TT /06 8'! T'2: 0,2: -"I 7 Ts 3'T 12:6! oa1 0T5t 9' 'T Lt5t 17 9*9 C'1 Cs'! 0' t. 6' 8' t0. 9' I 0c :!JIrr$ 9* 90 ' 9' 2:0 - (sptxno) (cptmo) Tt) TO - (spiino) 8' rT' t -1Ir. 'iL t4T t6t (Fpuno) :Oi 9UTci r' t0 l:I r] O V1t.TT0 Id 'A110 rcr\L1(.r '2 ,i D ci 2:18! 1181 0181 806t (pur.o) (ptmo..) U1I tcL_ 4-608T xtr 1'tVITrIAIO TvjcL .T 'GuIWV vi:o jt&i :yriro :o FIGURE 10 ANNUAL PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF CANNED PLUMS & PRUNES AND OF ALL CANNED FRUITS IN THE UNITED STATES, BY YEARS 1929--1947 Pounds, All Canned Fruits All Canned Fruits .- Canned Plums & Prunes Pounds, Canned Plums and Prunes -.---.- -. 40 2.0 30 1.5 20 15 Eft. \ All Canned Fruite 1.3 0.9 .8 I c , urns and Prunes / - 10 .7 .5 9 8 7 6 .4 \\\, \\,/ .3 5 4 .2 3 2 .1 r Ration Period .05 1929 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35 '36 '37 '33 '39 '40 '41 '42 '46 '47 Aowever, the re1atje :n lt of the variations of con- auption of canned plums and prunes was greater than for a.Ll caxuied fruits. Th 1oarithmjc scales in Figure 10 were selected to aid. conparisons of relative chanes in the t1vo series, It night appear that consumption of the relatively inensjv-e product, canned prunes, would decline less than the aver3e for all canned fruits when national incene declined. According to Figure 101 consumption of canned plums and prunes decreased relatively ire than the total of all crmd fruit2 iii th dcpr3siofl oi' the 1930's, Siilarl, it uight appear that consuiption of canned. prunes would increao less than tie iverae for all canned fruits when national iucoie increased. }iowever according to igure 10, consuxration of canned plums and prunes increased while the con3uup- tion of all canned fruits decreased fros 194 to j47 in the postdo2'].d War II boom. Evidently once alone w not ao iartnt as other tctors causing eonmpt1ori o canned. fruits in the United States during the perjpds cited. jt TT )T. J TY .10 Z0T2TT r, ThBLi xii P...C}c.. ;P L iAJGIfl L..i? 14 :::, Canne irit Co-iparth1e 13rndc revai1i, .Price po: ;oc1i Cane N. 2 ojee Frunc Peac1e *cicaJ Source: .;-Vklli O1i iice pr eoic u .o. ot Bargifl ro Lri n (per cent ot rice) 3C .oO fruit Lockt&L1 vo1u.z Appro-. Average 4 Arioots CiJu) li4A; LTx VJY, 2.90 ;.6b fto acut 1 .29 34 .3 37 to 10 per c;it ii; upon bUSiXAC .uthor' personal mrvey of onridentia1 traie orce. 49 19 cents per can. That niade a gross rrgir or 36 per cent of the packer price between the packer and the consumer. ama o the mediui to n1ler-sjzed stores selling canned prunes at 19 cents got less of this per cent due to theIr higher wholesale coats arising from their sa1ler voiwe ol' bualness. .A few stores were found to be selling iO. 2- Choice canned prunes at 22 cents to 26 cents per can with other canned fruits also gener-lly higherpricod than average. 0ncaral1 store was selling a well-known brand of canned prunes, o, 2 Choice, at 30 conts er can. ost store mayiaera agreed that rnrgins on canned prunes were generally about the aae es on other canned fruits ror several years prior to 1949. 1most all of the cRnred prunes industry sources agreed that rst aspects of sales appeal to cuisuxers received little ohaais and that canned prunes were regarded as a nprlcett item. That is, price was the only aspect stressed by uany associated with the marketing of canned prunes. The author noteit the following things regarding canned prunes in retail stores during the flelowork for this study: Canned prunes were often placed at or nesr the top or bottom of display shelves. No store when visited ehIbited any sort of fancy display ror canned prunes. The only speci1 atte3pt used. to dra customTri attention to canned prunes were notices of especially lo prIces in two stores visited. *nsensus of store managers' seemed to be that a price andln in nine was just as effective as one ending Ira eight or seven and much riore effective than one ending in zero or one. They s:id that this fact accounted for much of the variations in retail urgins between various canned fruits. It might appoar that for lack of an oranjzed approach to the problem of small sales that a mediocre type of price competition had developed in the canned prune industry at least by l94. Consumer Studr The limited research and data concerning canned prunes before 1949 caused the industry to desire research to help increase sales of canned prunes, The conditions which were noted to exist In the canned prune industry from 1929 through 1948 seeied to indicate the possibility that, of tbe various aspects of s1e3 appeul to consumers, only price received emphasis during that period. since the success of the development of the canned prune industry from 1929 through 1948 seemed mediocre, the author believed that study interidd to enable increased sales of canned prunes should be concentrated upon some of the other aspects of sales appeal to conaumers such as flavor, quaiity, texture, and packaging. To accomplish such a purpose It was decided to determine consumer criticisms regarding commercially canned prunes as suggestive of methods to increase sales of canned prunes. iolQiuent of the ueetionnair The problem of det?rmining consumers' criticism of canned prunes wms thought to be xost satisfactorily accomplished by interviewing consumers themselves. Therefore, a questionnaire was dev- eloped mainly to determine contIdrs' reasons ror not bu in canned prunea. The free-response typo w- selected since this procedure ws believed to mjnimi2 bias y tne interviewer. hach question, each section, and finally the complete questionnaire were tested in Corvallis etore actual euwTatioTL . reproduction of the W5 begun. questionnaire asi in igure 12 of the appendix of this report. Illustrations of cmrnied fresh prunes and used darien the enwiorsa;e canjie. dried (prepared prunes, ation also appear in the appendix. (ee figures 13 nd 14, appendix) Questionnaire Outline Introduction 1) PreliLiflery 1) contact with U.:ISTS for iut;rview zirks To inaurc that only those consumers fahliliar with canned prunes pore asked questions requiring fcJiiarity with canned prunes. .1ain 3ody of t!e .uest1onnaire .-Section To determine those conswaera who had eaten coisraercialiy canned ruries. To determiuc homc-cxmers of prunes roy inclusion in the group asked questions regardis hoc-canning. (D-.ection) deter;dne charactri.stics 01' cc:.cmcially canned --.ect1ou 1) To prunes which, if c::.angod, would eLcouI'a;e consumers to buy taore eanrze rneo. 52 C-Soc tion 1) To detrnijne "brand consciousness" for can-ned prunes as coipured to coffee, D-Sect ion 1) To determine bow and why consuiner oiic-c&u prunes 1nsteLd of buyiw commercially cwuieu .runos. I-Sect Ion 1) To determine which canned fruit ot:er than prunes are eaten a often as oncu u iionth arid wn3ther or not they are home-canned. ectlon .) To determine frequency of consurption of th'ied pruxiea. G-e et Ion To determine lenth of residence of consumers in the Pacific Iorthwest. 1) H-Section To determine size and age distribution of families of consunrs interviewed, 1) I-'?ect1on 1) o determine arolte fu:11.:: i.ieome of consumers interviewed and fruquency o cnswtion of calmed prunes. ion Four-hundred consumers were intrvjewed in vcriou.s t. ea of grocery stores throughout the illametto Valley of Oregon in hrch of 1949. distribution of the c iumr geographically Portland 42 /-i per cent, lei and ugene each Preceutage was as fo11ows 12 1/2 per cent, Corvallis 6 1/4 per cent, .L1bafly l 3/ per cent, and small valley towns (.3rooka, Four-eorner, ImidepenLierzce, arid i1onuth) 12 i/ oer cent. Grocery store types arid the prcentse of the total number of conswuers interviewed in each type were cxain-atore self-service 3 or cent, large independcnt self-service 9 1/2 per cent, high class J' 1/4 per cent, acrAail corner rocory type 9 per cent, and iixed valley town grocery-store types l 1/4 per cent,* Provision for four complete interviews was made on each ques- tionnairo. A system of colors was devised tc facilitate earation of the four interviews on each questionnaire during enumeration and tabulation. Periodic checking of the questionnaires for obvious oversights during enuRieration was intended to rocuco errors. Tabulation Unused questionnaires were used to record totals of each town and type of store as those totals were deterjined. Grand totals of towna and store types were then crosa-caecked by comparison, and 1ocationi. ci' cooperating grocery-stores appear in Table XLIII in the appendix. 54 OHdFTR V RJJSULT OF IT:d1IhW VITa ILk V.LL. Totals or replies to each question of the questionnaire are discussed below in the sane order that the questions appear cii the questionnaire. Letters precede rep.tie in the preliminsi'y remarks on the questionnaire. Consecutive nuisbers from one through 101 precede replies in the main body of the questionnaire. Coesondin letters or numbers aipear Lu. columns heeded ierersnce letter (1ef. Letter) or reference number (Ref. 1umber) in the tables below. In the section dea1in with fu.ri.iy income, 1-hection, consumers' replies were indiceted In ti.c corrOeponui!; space in the table in that section. In the columns heeded "Repiy In the tables below arc the re1Ies received to the question which is the subject of each table. In the columns heed uber of heplies" are numbers denotlug the nuer of ti....e e:ci rsi wee indicated bp ce.s'r8. it aoi:e cases consu.erS save two or more replies to a siugle qu.tion. The base of the ,ercentees in the coluiis headed "Percent of . . ." is the number of consumers interviewed for that question. 2hoes numbers of consuiaers npper in rentheocs above the headings of the coldnac.s in the tblos below and are designated (. . . consuisers). IntroCiuc ist of the consumers interviewed were women beoau e questions (O OT O(yr, ;zzi: 'J'- 'OU2' JC t1 - -- Ti -x -: 0 t( UT r.Y . ;r;? tJi1i rrrl r oçc: : * --i irr .rrt: -;r:' :; : 't,X'iU t, . -- irpoø.z1 - f Lt'r.'i& C1.; a ,;) zc 56 Those eonswrs who re:plied canned dried (prepared) prunes" to the question in Table XIII were asked if they had ever eaten canned fresh 'unes, That we done to thterine their familiarity with canned fresh prunes for inclusion in the group which was later to be asked to critize coiwnercially canned prun 8. i?or the ten who replied "neither' in Table III above interviewin procoeded inwiediately to the questions reardix2g oth:r canned fruits -ection. TABLE XIV The quetiou: Have ever eaten this other type of orLnd prunes? (79 consumers) Eef. Letter one one None uer of Beplies lereent of 7 lee 71 29 Don't krgw 0 Part II of the preiiiiinary rexark was concerned with whether or not confusion was evidenced by consuuers after being shown illus- tration of two different types of canned prunes and asked which one they thought of when just "canned prunaa" wa ientiones, The enumerator interpreted reaction to the question in Table XIII above far nan of these replies. Threehundred sixty-six consumers of the 400 interviewed did not appear to be confused as to the difference between the two types of canned prums shown to them. The preliainary rairarks were intended to determine thoae co uxcers interviewed who were femlliar ononh with canned fresh prunes to allow their inclusion with the group who wouI later be asked questions which deriided familiarity wit'.; conned prunes. To deteriia osiy those c Ifi eac;i question of ca..ab1e of O..0 the interview heforo it was asked a policy of to. -intire n 9ody of the ,uestionnaire Jcctjon The main purpose or A-Section was to dternmine those consunrs who bad eaten ccmcrc1a1iy canned prunes. eaten coirixiercially cnecL prtrne were duct. &:;3 This was dona in such manner that 11 con umrs who had ked to criticize that pro- at the ze times the group was deterrn.nad which was to bo asked qu.est ions regarding hoie-canning of prunes, D-&etion. The queEticns regarding home- eann±n of prunes ware asked to det'erxnine how and why conauxrrs hou-can prunes instead of buying cexsrmorcially canned prunes. Two-hundred twentythree of the 400 consumers interviewed said that they usually horne-cannd prunes. Fata previously ted indicate thet such a large proportion of home-canners of prunes wa probably a characteristic of the Pacific i\orthwest. uetion: Do you usually lloLne-ewa prunes? (400 consuxuers) hoply Ref. Nuniber 1 * *fl of heplies es 223 Not applicable (pie xu.reriarks) reply did not aipe of 400 l6 9 403 on the questionnaire 42 2 100 A number ol' tots for ttiticollj iJfiennt d1ff..rrt In the queatlonnairc data wcr In SAL area as nearly io.:o- genout In soea1 uiO. ecociic cTrotcr1ics a tao WIl1ata Valley, few snicint a]ff rupingo of i::& oc eotd betwess isenre. stj. ucb a: i:: sound In tne tests for sigiuricant oui :c: tuat rare were uue Qne of tho tests for u oin1ficant difle use was: Are oaz.nera of prune suieantli rro critical then nou-hoe canners wae. (;t5tLli eL Ifl igure lb in te o Other test.. for i Lien: dioiences were eoeuteo oetweea some varions posoible diff eces beteeu ineoee ;roua, lct of rcidence In the Facific Northwest, audi between Lortleno anu ;.iio outside of Portland. :bout sevei out of every porsons interviewed ;ho saId that they uteil houe-cennod prunes indicsteu that tie had eaten coercial1y cusna3. at OOLC tiiia or other. :rni.Le ($ee Table LVi) None indicata not knowing whether or not he had ever eaten cors- inercially canned prunee A2L1 XVI The qu sion: Nee ycu aver en cc.ner s1l UXuLed jruree consumarz) Ref. Tiioiher 2 3 4 Reply of holiea 1.60 1)cn.'t know 63 0 2.23 Percor.t o± 223 72 26 About the sue proportion of the L9 4ere wh indLtd con that tJiey did not uouaily fione-cen prunes seid that thcy had eaten ooinaerciaUy enncd prunes at soiae tirae Lo none jndjcatd ot (oe Table LVII) thr or not h Uore yer caima rancs. T..Li:. Xyi The queetioi: 90v ;jou evr o:t c.:. c Ref. Nwrther eiaLLv caaneci prunes? con Fe ply iiimber 6 Yes 7 No a loia't knoi 'orcrit of 1ep1ie of 169 fl 70 i1 C) -- 1 C9 3-:ctjon. .iiC total nUrfoer of conswners interviewed vTho they had eaten coria11y eannee prune wa. . ndioated that co;isteci 10 in Table XVI and 118 in Table VU. These 2? eonsurcrs wtio were rami1ia with c;±eeal1y canned rns were asked ir eom mercially canned prunes could be eied so that tiey would buy (rre of) thea. eons.ers a -is1 part or te interview was o.1aaized to . ctarrt :art, Ref. hcrceiat of Rilie 9 60 Ye 3 10 11 3 !on' t know iftren of th 1C likin& for then. h. t. th. imiriediatol rcj4ies in aL1e evIou].h de rinLecd fct of wttber or not jrune were uuai1i ;oe-onned. hat tbe ai ally and an indicated a rn; and non' t known u.en th XVIII were 16 78 uir: c;o rli;d "iion't know" In Table XVIII Indicated a dialike fcr catITL of 2?8 or thoeo c--cri... ;eiaers mdi- terviev jceeded v t... uestIo:e 1o1 he-cenLere of prune, D-..ection, indicted that tho tid not usua1ij ori-c.n rine or Lviein rr eda 1m1edi6LL to qstione cerni othr eann3. rruita, h-ectiori, The i& nsuxe-. COU1CL be c;- o t iclid that cer touid buj (;oro ef) tbea were aiei just what tooe chan8ee snoeld be, and texture of cc given b.j the eo rcial1 arcIailj caxmed canned icr niewed. Critioir of the flavor, juaIity, ..... ftur all voluntary replIe3 chanin o the fk- a nd labele of canned were uge3td to tho8e ccreera who did not crItcie those were ivcn, t thcae ruxies 6]. aspects of comrcia11y canned pruneo o1unt:rliy. Voluntary replies were enumerated in the co1uirs headed "not propteU on the que- Uortnire and the totaLs appear in the corr. idin colunn in Table below, Fteplies given arter suggestion of cwin packages and labels were enwuem.te in the que.tionnaire eolwn beaded "prompted" end appear in the corresponding colunn in Table below, TA]3L Xii The question; fow could eorecially cairneti prunes rio chae in any way so you would bu or) thea? (16L cors riber h)1y Ref. .iimber of .'...lien iot pronipted *i1cvor 14 Percent of 165 41 3b *ta1ity and Texture 1 14 17 *7jetj 19 rg reaaorw 14 Price 1be1s confusing 20 21 8 8 10 3 **orce ci' habit 20 th 3peclfic critic1ss or cor..c..i'rcia1iy canieo r.nea below. Those giving no reason ior dialie ror eoIi3mex'ciauy canned prunes put here replies consumers gave The question; How eouLd coerciai1y canned prunes be changed in o ci1d (more 01') ih i? an wa Ref. 1tumber (1( consumers) h03 ly NuRiber of 13 21 :i1Cs Percent of lob 1 14 34 22 Labels cc using *See specific orltisxns of ooxrnevcia11y canned prunes below. 62 Spscific critic. o c'ciauly canned p Since the replies nzied with one asteriak in Teblea XD an U were not specific, all conmer wio criticized cerciaily canned pruue in regard to thoae replies were asked to make their oritioiam more specific. The replies are indicated in Tables XXZ tirouh XXV. The degree of a setness seeied to e the critical tac rogE11'd1n the flavor of eoiiereially canned prunes. The most corn nn criticism was that sweet enough. orcja1l canned prunes were often not The next mot coion criticism of the flavor of cr:oierc1a11y e.nnec'. rrune was tha' re otten tGo TAB1Lf' XXX The jestion: dU Ret. Number 28 29 L1ht atOLLt t 0 IIaV( Lit (68 consumers) d ooly Iuriiber or epiies Percent ot oo sweet Not sweet enough .ciU 3]. Rancid 32 .hcquirod &islikc, chi.Ldhooc 34a 34e 34d itcquired dislike, other TOO JUo1 tU) Not enougn. srup Flat Criticisms of tOWh kii or CO erciaJJ4 cnnei 1:rune, bere the ruost nusrous of those specific criticiea r.'.rcin quelity and texture. Two other relaie1y co1axroi co:jlaLts or quality nd texture of corcial1y ciened irunes were ttret the fruit was 63 often either too firm or too soft, T.BJ2 XLII The question; hat about the quality (texture) to which you are erring would you like to see changed? (58 consumers) Ref. Number Reply Percent i'umber ot e or Rerliss 35 3s 3? 38 39 40 41a 41b 41. c Too firm 12 Too 8Oft I3roken skin. 21 15 Tough skin Strinr texture 1 28 2 Color S 10 Generally poor quality 3 3 S Dry 1 naU fruit 2 2 U The difficulty of finding small sizes or cans rs was nearly the only corraon critiisxi concerning the packae of c ci prunes g1ven by consumers intervtewe4. TABLr XXIII The question: What about t-e package ( see changed? (3 Ret. Number uld you like to consumers) Reply i'JuluDer or Replies 42 43 Size: Too large 44 Laterial; Glass hard to find Jill other 4Ca Too small Pc reent of 32 29 2 2 6 1. 103 Fourteen consuraera Inte viewed, criticized the snape an p 64 of coisrci&iJ.y anne prunes. Twelve cl tou- consumers said that they would buy (nr) canned prunes 11 he product wau avai1- able as haLves inteac o ti vole rrui as was the custowry style for corc5.aLly canned prunes. r ould you bu.y (14 consunrs) ieply hot. i.unber 4? 48 Yes 4 Don't know of iep1iea Iercont of 14 12 1 7 14 100 No The iost coon dietary co.;.1aint of I ierciaiiy cawed rurLes given by consumers inerviewed wau ti. at tbj wore too acid, of the replies this section applieci to otner canncd rruits well as to canned prunes. xxv The chuetion: could you iriake your dieta canned prunes Lucre specific? mplaint of coxiirercia11y (14 con wer.) Ref. iuia,er 51 o' Acid AllerCy Diabetic ioui.:e Arthritis 11 otner uuther ep1iea Percent of 14 7 2 3 2 14 2]. 14 7 0 .0 0-Section C-Section ws to determine whet per cent of the conswrors who boueht canned prunes hd selected a "favorit&' brand, This per cent wee to be coapared to the per cent of those same consuirrs who had selected a "favorite" brand for coffee, Of the 206 consuiiiers who indicated that they had purchased canned prunes at soz tir per cent said that they had a "favorite" brand. Eighty-four per cent of the seine consuinere said that they had a "favorite" brand of' coffee. The 206 consurners questioned Included some who did not buy coffee and some who indicated no "favorite" brand, just any "good" brand of coffee. It would ap'eer that etablishinont of brand rame for not relativel, canned prunes fl The c tion: 1 a complete as for coffee. D.....r'. 4'( u have a "favorite" orind of consuirs) Ref. .umb;r 56 5? 58 of ieplIes Percent of 206 148 72 Nurr'oer Yes io Lit't know 0 296 1ef. Number heply (coffee) Yes 60 61 Don't know wLber of hspl!es 1?Z 33 Pare rnt of 206 84 16 0 206 100 )- etion Those corLsuuers interviewoä who indicated that they uua11y hon-cenned prunes werJ aked quetiona re ruin home-cwmin of prunes for the purposes of determining: The iethods used to nooe-can piwes hy thoso methods wore used ) het ws conoidered to oe the greateot vantage of canning 4) How prunes for cnri n. at hiae uua1l obtaLaed S 'ota1s s.ti j;ercantaeo diffet ir. )-.. etion because gave to or itore rep1ie to a i.t . con- uOStiorL er5e 17 ren wore interviewed. iar.a ;ortioii of conoumre ho inoicato. that they usually ho=-canne prunes oLo inoicted that tiey uaed the open-kettle method. which ' This w....-. in. dieet contrsot tL c....oiercie.L canning o1 prunes entirely b tao cold-peek method. . small nu..&ier of iaiervieees saia ihat they usually hoie-car;nod brano h. ethods. two AxV hz; nen-kettle or cold-pack runesf coasuerS) uber of eplies 62 Open-kettle 6 Cold-pack Oven-pack Two or more x:ietnoda 4 54 42 to does not appear on questionnoire 3 6 2% *Reol hE.]eCflt of 223 10 f'.; Tt r freount jef:.r.:iL. Of l:c... cir.hjr1, j 1]vor cid- to. iVX ci .nd. ccld-pack iioaoc wo. tn&t tie o1 both open-kettle rurs oi th'y considered tbeir ivor tri method ea1er ox' thct tLy LsL. The question: do ttid. Ii u )reVeI' ths o.e-kettle (oo1d-pek) metToth 2Z3 oi-er ujyen-itettlo Iefu.ber &) 38 68 6Bs 69b iu ber eply erccnt of eLes of Uo1d-k 1tber Percent of hues of 223 21 9 19 8 A3Vx' oen-kett led evor cold-pacKed 6? 1a 10 boter sfor flavor etc. 16 Fct tar s:ao 1d-pack"eierythjn 47 86 £aviiç ir ne, 1w Ecxee6t rLe-uAdred twenty-nine conwnei luterviewed gave t?et resson. L.L OL.r rec-os ror 4 re:jiio. Ln replies to that rlsvor, cwi1t;; 4 i;s irequeirjy as w advantao of home-caanjn, received he iost ti.cr. i bett. w1 oilen-kettic ithd £o. t; uco tex'curc -cnn1 qiestion it i uio no :ix. o1nent. TL3L xxix question: ht do yo e.ir to be the greatest aav 3 eonsuner) Bar Percent ie)1y Nimber or Rei.iea ot 223 *ving in money 72 Better flavor etc. Better quality and texture 73a Convenience r, 3 Dont t, o 129 34 25 11 20 9 lb lb any aUVL1tae 22 7 ioU According to thlo survey xany conirere i t: for camiin Valley who home-canned pruneo ot insxpenive1y or even tree. Others urciiased pruxis ror caaiing. TABL1 xxx Th o questio How do you uzually et iour prunes to cariI (223 conzimiers) Jercent or ioplie or 223 Number heply N'imber Re 42 19 Given frce 44 20 1 .adside stand 41 74 75 Have on prone trees 77 3u3 on. tre 73 5Uj ifl grocery 7 Lu in vrious ways 80a 18 20 1 216 9 98 o tion The purposec or L-oeticn were te determine which canned fruits other than prunes e... ten c often as once or more per ri;nth and evc Trtj 'i- :;u. TT'fl -to .; TAtoT 0 .J" rc'.: "ti-oU tO.X 01 TttO 'T (iPoO3) TJ P a tr spO'q pT(Iuzoa ..tJtJAflSUOO TI! TI got ;o eçj :c U9Z9d 0 (omioo $&) c rriZj puuo iO ye fl0! op 0)TXfl.ICI I 9 PXUT 'G.xa1. $UtflO io uo poumuoa u q /TTPI 3J& 1 POTtt p9tZO.UC: uizrip PMOfl ALfflu O 7tT trt.. evrt O. pot 1tOTW PU1 UC Oü1 OTEm() eT iEVa t.-u -i:oJ TIU OT{ Jo pOif UOT êC 1$Ot7 UOQcc .Sflf UtJu. sO!-CD tXOT.T.IOJUt ZETPT 00 O. L4UA wruoz 0t4 cq p .ITAT iot Ii1O_errcq 69 The question; Do y.i. .nai1, ae-o,:. these trujts?* coui.)rJ) (39 Ref., Nwber .o1jes or oc Yes 302 76 8? 22 190 Don' t eat eannoU fruits *These frutta flCi5CL in a.Le does not ser recPie aiove., ',LtjO1JC, t. ir IUded in tue interview to d quency or eon:tu; or crid prLnC About three-rourth ci. tie eT he ate r1eo 'ics or tLiO LL'.0 I,nterv1ewe iite the freer 1i1eattu tXiZJt :owev-, oni. 5o uC tiireeiAt1i 1flCa(J tiat jr ate urie1 jrunes as per 10 L±IC or rnore ntn. T The question: bout Low orei Us ou caP i.rieU (hot canneL uricd) Ref. Nwilbdr 90 91 -. ho sly Once or :rra par antn ith once per Not at 11 Less thr of P.pUes 143 15 1'.ji ij99 Percent of 3c9 1 71 0-Section The purpose of G-Section wa to determine the length or r dence in the Italian prune prothioin Pacific :orthwet or the couumers interviewed. This iriroriation was useci o test ior signitcant dflreronces uetveen coiwiers living in the Pacific ortiweat for ny years and other consuers whoe residence there wa shorter. About three-fourtris of the consimers internewed said that they had livoc in the Pacific ::ortlLwest (Oreon-Iashington-Idaho) over 10 years. TABL .LIY stion; bout how 1ong have jou lived the Pa (399 coiiers) Ref. Nurnber 1ep1y Nwnber Of LBp1ie8 93 ¶34 9 9? Less than 1 year 1 to 3 years 3 to S years 5 to 10 years Over 10 years Percent of 39 24 6 33 8 19 30(j 399 H-Sect ion The purpose of ii-ection ws to tiiiie the size of the family of each conewr interviewed and th..... we distritiutione of the persons con&tituting those reni1ies. Totals or data obtained concerning the sizes of falfäiies and age distributions are given in Table 2Q(XV below. Faiii1y we ilterpreteQ to xiean houseo1d. 72 TABLT xxxv usatlon; How iay people are there ir your family-age-grouj siown on the questionnaire? coniaers) (399 iepy Ier. Number 98 99 100 101 6 years ola or loss 7 to 12 yoars old 1 to 18 years old NuxaDer or Ioc1ies Percent of 399 178 94 over 16 years 1241 1 person 2 persons 3 persona 4 persons b persons b persons or more 21. 139 88 91 37 23 399 22 23 9 100 I-section It was to examine the relationship between family incorae and frequency of consumption or canned prunes that I.-ection was included in the interview, About 88 per cent (33 of the 400 interviewed) indicated their approximate family inconia. By the aame question it was determined that about one-half (191 of the 400 interviewed) of the consumers ate canned prunes as often as or more per month, 10 distinction was made in Table 0QVI between home-carned and coiercia1iy canned prunes. 73 your t 9 consumers Total family Income Group per week Once or irre per Less tAan once per month Not at Total all Lees than 2b pox' week 87 42 to 49 per week 50 to 74 per week ;7b to 99 per week 1OO to 20 39 l24 per week l2b to l49 per week 8 ].50 to Iv 2OO per lb 2 2 ek and over *Indieater 8 coneuiirs interviewed indi.oated a family incoae Of lees per week and a frequency of cozaswption of cannect prunes or than once or ztre per month. Little relationship wa found to between size of ineon equeney of cons ption of canned prunes. The Incomes per week were combined into four groups In Table )VII as indicated In Table II. In the lowest income group (Group I a hIj.her percentage of oonsuers interviewed indicated that they consumed canned prunes once or more per month than in ny of the other three income groups in Table OVI. However, the lowest income group also Indicated a higher percentage of consumers who did 74 (.JLfled :'i'ir run o1 oir tIr iiicoae ot;. Income Onc or ore (pei cent) e; tw once (pai cts Lot at all c3ntj 40 13 bO 60 30 1.0 *ee Table **In1cat t2 per cn or tie 8? corners in GroUp I or table t:ey its CwX(i nce or iore pr nth. 75 CH&}'TiB VI .irx) OC.lCiE The essential facts disclosed by this study are: 1. The commercial canning of prrnes did not expand enough to absorb the surpluses and prevent a large decline in the prune industry in Oregon between 12 and 1948. 2. Western Oregon is particularly weli-suied to the production of prunes for canning. 3. o5t of the production of canned pruneb in the United. .ttos has been in western Oregon. 4. Production of canned prunes hc fiuetuate widely from year to year. 5. CarryoTer of canned plums and prunes has heipcd to equalize the supply of canned plums and prunes rrora year to lear. . The volume of plums canned has been relatively snill. 7. Imports and exports of canned prunes have been relatively small. 6. Standardization on a single trade name for canned prince is desirable. tJany home-scanners open-kettle prunes because they prefer the resulting product. There may be a market ror such a product canned commercially. There is much opportunity for the etablishiuent of brand-Aaiat for canned prunes. 76 1].. Sales of canned prunes hav riot been greatly benefited by prices rclativeli low in r:latiou to other canned fruits. Sales of canned prunes have been mad alier b undependable flavor, quality, and texture; insufficient avcilabilit of small-sized packages; and luck of orguiized :promtion for the product. irunes canned vhen under-ripe or over-ripe could e rny of the colaints encountered in the fieldwork for this study regarding commercially canned prunes. * There is need for further study of picking and Lrnndllng tech- niques of prunes for canning and of cannery practices retarding canning of prunes. *prunes do not increase in sugar coutent after picking as do mary otier fruits such as peaches and pears; acid conten and color &iso depend upon when prunes are picked. (3, pp. 13, 14 and 18). 77 BIBLIO Critchf laid, Burke H. Demend, rarkezin, arid production of Oregon and Washintoa prunes. (JLh üepartrnent Gireular No. 43.6. Washington, U. C. April 1927. 48p. . 1.iuins and prunes: revised satlxiates of production, 1909-41. USii. Bureau of gricu1thrul icononiics. .ashlngton, U. C. eptcmber l43, ôp. Crop Heporti.n J3oird. Studies relating to harvesting of It&lian prunes for cairning and fresh fruit shir13nt. ODon Agricultural Experiment Station Circular o. ?b. Ha tinan, Henry. Corval1i, Oregon. Juzie 1928, 4. 24p. Miller, H. 13. Prunes in Oregon. Oregon grlcu1tura1 nxperiwent Station $ulietin o. 45. Corvallis, Oregon. rune 1597. 127p. e1on, M. N. and Belden, /. H. The market situation andì outlook for the Oregon canned fresh prune. Oregon Agricultural bperiment ation Bulletin Ito, 283. Corvallis, Oregon. May 1930. 30p. United States Tariff Oom4osjon. Suruaries of tariff iforxation, Vol. 7, part . Vshington, U. 0. 1948. 184p, 7. Western camer and packer, vol. 37, no, b. Mule man Publications of California. San Francisco, .pri1 25, li4b. 292p. P1'ZNDIX 'ct vçipr ao.ij o '6! o;jo ;o .0 Ct UOTIPM Ot UOT4'OT1TL-T T.:tI0 T1OTZTijTtflper .I q O 0 O O oc' 0 uo 0 09 08 oc O 0 o oc ot 09 0 09 'T1O .o ojo WodeH :ao.rno nv Os 08 08 0. O o- 09 09 O1 O poo oc 08 00 08 08 09 08 0? 0? 0? oc oc 9c 9c 8UTt! tTv Lri.xqa 09 09 Ttfl)f '51 0?1 oc oc 08 09 08 09 09 09 09 .t9qux9oe .xquzsLo .Ieqo;o oc oc c oc oc c ec 91 frt 9c .xaqut@oe .IqtLO qt 81 /, 6 8! 6 6 91 crt 6? 1? 6? 6? 9? 9? 81 81 6 t? 9! . 6? 12 2! 1? t? 1? 1? I? ! TUOj 98Tfl12c1 Rm 9P6T t fl)flV-5I tT0i 'IN.7V0 t1CJ. )2 'i -g 'OR 'L 1kT 'IH0V!d Y) T0 5E0TVA UB .XBG IONOt4V IIi.Ajocx a'iriva 96 79 .' £ PROi)UCTIUN C rear P..iucion 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 140,000 3.932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 9. &41j_4 i._'.'_ RC -'- .-' 139,(00 JC0 "one 27, 6)0 125,600 113,600 138,600 145,600 224,600 220,600 102,700 260,700 213,800 167,700 181,700 170,700 257,700 172,0X) ].82,0C3 171,000 258,000 159,000 249,000 288,000 167,700 181,700 170,700 257,700 158,800 248,800 223,800 (r' 223,00 'i.-'- 3i5,Q00 L0L6 213, 3Oo 1S,800 ') .'. 125, )30 113,600 138,600 145,603 150,600 224,600 220,600 102,700 260,700 150, 100 214,.00 , -, / , 'J ?7, 300 l26,00L 114,300 139,000 146,000 151,000 225,000 221,000 103,000 274,0 .j)14 184,000 1941 18i, 000 1942 194 1944 174,800 177,800 172, QuO 170, dUO 196,00u 159,000 17L4, 00 177, 00 170,800 195, 1 i5; ,800 id 2/ Dirrerijces between not .7a'vcC L( GjL for i; osenoici iold consist of £rit anO iLied CC)iiCLjn In California tk fre3n fruit to 1 r.CA / ?roi.L.ion for 19L incli lost in tne 'J process pçrocLatoi r IC) C) . 0 .0.iivInt of 4,000 ric. tons, not inciutk in proJuction. i TABL; XL s';.sL Uti 34 AVs'' P!LIC.. 1'iH, C 1,35 jj i.., - BL i;3b TL,f L,j 113: L4P T4i r42 7 5 Fresh B Fresh 31 r 17 55 Cap.iied 65 71 45 25 28 L2.50 11.;3 17 22 50 9.50 95 1).00 45.20 27.70 140 Jrjiug rtio: 3 o 4 n.is fre;. t, 1 : 219 213 23) 1i 114 104 15.80 36.03 435U 54.90 560 65,80 43.40 :5530 5.70 65.80 13.70 31.30 33.50 24.30 / Pro lininary 194 0S0 151 Frozen / // 26r i.4j Uoilar S Dry Basis Dried 2 Other roc. 193-4tL p. i far J XCiUciOS utiitiesLtUes iroer W Incluctes s;ia11 ii. sr ;ieu 1 / ijuivaien1 per Sourcea: '. it packing-hois aoor ro AgricL1tura1 ri.or .p 1943 tatistics, 1936-37-3-39, 10, 41, 44, 46, 47, 48, Oash.La .. 8. 0, 81 TABLE XLI PRCiTIa. C. cIL L: CLL1iL AD TI Ii CEiT TIiI ORNL i-}CDuCT 'IT1'2UT;D OF Tril. TOT DJOTLi IN tELI CHT14 (On Bais o Standard Cae 12b-4o or 24/2t's) Year Production Per Cent ot Total U. S. 192 1926 128,0O 47.6 1926 1029 1930 1931 1932 1933 - 31.6 - 134 18.9 10136 11.8 74,290 b6,7b 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 - 190,b32 10l10? 69,970 85,70? 79,958 93,058 - 10.8 3.2 3.7 5.0 6.6 3.? 7.4 - Not known * CALl- 0? OAFathD RUNS 0ron-4ashinton-Idao 125-28; Oreon-Vhi nton, IdahoCalirornia 1929-4?. Source; "Western Canner and Packer," April 2b 194 and Nurnber , p. 135. V03 1934 1935 1936 1937 i93 1939 1940 19l 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 p f JPi SuiJ) i ..fiLL.TI:i. i......, ü Sold iresn exnoci 66,400 2,150 2,475 7:1150 64,250 49,945 05,510 65,840 53,790 57,060 67,030 69,030 , 77,900 93,660 71,000 105,160 70,550 5,560 64,750 98,110 1,050 52420 6,i00 70,100 64,900 6P,70 6,23O 6,4O Cr &e4 1,4)0 , ') 2,32 L _[ 2,150 2,a30 / / / uaiities of fresh prunes Ciifornin (tuns ) J 1nc)ue U e Xu11owi Source3: Arcu1ur'1 SIi.is tics 1147, Thbio 257. * p Includes SOLE Preli; :i2 irry tP' 1,1:.o 5,200 4,000 J .1.) :3,100 2, o.20 1944-1, 50(.; 1945-1 ,000 4,200 1946-500 w 83 'i!A3E XLVIII COO.khiTliG fl.TAIL c. :y ST3 areway ?llc 1212 Mi1wukje Blvd. Ji Powell :tect Baseithe -uer ärket ICimov' a M1er & Franic Co. (A Sateway.'.-Couzt Stxeet Berg' Paraiiurit ?.ark3t Nob Hill. Murkt i'f!( W"-' a.hW Saroway--i11aiette Street Irish & Swartz Fononr .iliott' $ Grocery COIV.LLIs Safewey D*y's Su.:ti Carnpu rket Zduer Market Corner Groery (11th St,) ALBANY Safway cr000bor1a (East Albany) SMALL VflJ TCiNS Brook3--Ra1ip & ui&te 4-Corners--rickon' s Siper !arket Indepenaence--M & F Store buth--Barney' Grocery FIg. 12 Part I IT!DDUCTION an thterviewin people to ot their opinions for an Oregon State College research project. '1e are making a little study of the canned prune industry. I would be glad to have your ideas on a fz questions. I dont want your nane--ust your opinions. Please feel perfectly free to ask me to explain any of those nuostions which I do not make clear to you at first. PRELIflIA2Y AENABKS--(To make sure we are talking about the sane product) 'hen I mentioned canned orunes which of these pictures more nearly fits B...l23L what came to your mind? A...l 2314 Canned fresh prunes C . et . . 2 1 3 Canned dried(nrenared) prunes 'have you ever eaten this other type of canned prunes? 14 Yes . . . No Don't 1ow 1 1 1 2 3 3 14 2 2 3 14 14 A below. "no" and) (A 0 C and 'Yec" answer to P o to Fart II; then ("Lcn't know' anriers to A ;o to Part II; thnecs. F G H I below. ) If label o t.SiOp is volunteered at this point check "A' below; if not II A . . 1 2 3 14 chect "A'. A. . . . . 1 Nave you ev:r canned arun (Answers 2 . 1 . 2 3 3 3 14 Have iou ever eaten riiaa. i 1 2 'T5_No...l 2314 :erctil oUen A-Yes amow 1 cosIly hore-can runos? 700 i-Y's . 6-Ye' 1 14 7-No 1 14 A-Acn't 7novr . 2 2 2 1 3 14 3 14 3 14 6 ro on to all aOCstlons. Answers 3-14, 7-8 o to Sees. ASAHI.) 3-Section Could commercially canned prunes he chon;ed in any way so you a'ould buy (more of) then? 11-Don't knor . . . 1 2 3 14 (determine if) 2 5 14 . . 1 9-Yes 12-Live carred prunes--prompt ad tabulate lO-io 2 3 14 under 13-don't li:e canned prunes--try to di300ver nsis of dislike; tabulate 'not prompted'. Proripted Not Prornrted 5 1. 114 Flavor 3 3 3 14 15 14unlity anu iexture4* 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 14 1 1 2 3 3 3 1 2 14 1 2 1 2 3 3 3 1 3 14 1 2 2 1 2 3 14 1 2 2 3 14 3 14 1 1 1 1 2 14 14 14 2 L 14 3 1 2 2 1 3 14 14 2 3 3 1 2 3 24 1 2 3 14 1 2 3 14 1 2 14 1 2 3 3 . 1 1 1 3 3 14 23Conrnonplace 214 Advert isin5 end Brands . . 2 2 2 14 25 Display 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 14 2 2 3 14 3 14 2 3 14 . . 16Shape* l7Pits** l3Pacaade* 19 Dietary .casone 2OFrice 21 Labels confusing 22 Labels inadequate 261orceofHabit 27a Other 27bOther . . 14 14 14 * After all reasons are given without prompting, prompt by mentioning that packages, labels, marketing etc. could be changed. Tabulate "Prompt". **Ak 'urther questions-next page. Fig. 12 Part II B-S ect ion *Further Questions D-S oct ion Flavor What about the flavor do you dislike? 28-Too sweet 1 2 3 29-Not meet ough . . . 1 2 3 30-Acid 1 2 3 31-Rancid 1 2 3 Acquired dislike 32-Childhood 1 2 3 33-Wartime ]. 2 3 1 2 3Laother 3 3Li.bOther 1 2 14 14 14 14 14 14 Li. 3 14 Quality and Texture What about the quality (texture) to which you are referring was poor? 35-Too firm 1 2 3 14 36-Too soft 37-Broken skin 38-Tough skin 39-Strigy Texture 10-Color . . . 1 2 3 Li. 1 2 1 2 3 3 Li. 1 2 2 2 1 l4aOther 1 85 3 3 3 3 1 2 LilbOther Package What about the package çcan, jar) would you like to see changed? Size 142-Too large 2 3 1 1 2 3 143-Too snail Material 1414-Glass hard to find . . 1 2 3 1 2 3 145-Tim hard to find , 1 2 3 Li6a0ther Lb0ther 1 2 3 Shape and Pits Li. Li. L 14 14 14 14 14 (Ask only answer 1 Section A above) ou say you home-can prunes. Do you usually open-kottleor cold-pack them 62-Open-kettle 1 2 3 14 63-Cold-pack 1 2 3 14 614_Both( indicate pref) 1 2 3 14 Why do you prefer the open-kettle( col pack) method? 65-Never cold-packed . . 1 2 3 14 66-Never open-kettled 1 2 3 L 67- Easier1 less bother 1 2 3 14 68-Prefer flavor etc. 2 1 14 3 69aOther 2 1 3 Li. L9bOther 1 2 3 Li. What o you consider to be the greatest advRntage of home-canning? 70-Saving in money . 1 2 3 14 7l-8ettor flavor etc. 1 2 3 14 72-Better qual. and tex 1 2 3 14 73aOther 73bOther 1 2 3 Li. 1 2 3 Li. How do you got your prunes to can? 714-Have ovm prune trees 1 2 3 75-Given free 1 2 3 76-Buy on tree and pick 1 2 3 1 2 77-Roadside stand . . 3 78-Buy in grocery . . 1 2 3 79-Buy various ways . . 1 2 3 80a0ther 8Ob0ther 1 2 1 2 3 3 14 L Li. 14 Li. Li. L Li. E-Section ich canned fruits other than prunes 14 do you eat as often as once a month? 81-Peaches 1 2 L 3 82-Pears 1 2 Would you bur(more)canned prunes a4ci 3 L 83-Apricots 1 2 1 2 3 Li. 3 L 147-yes 1 2 3 Li. 814- Cherries 1 2 148-No 3 L D5-Citrus 2 1 149-Don't know 1 2 3 Li. 3 14 B6aOther 1 2 Dietary Reasons B6bOther 1 2 Get to explain---classify 3 L Do you usually home-can these fruits? 50-Laxative 2 3 L (excepting citrus) 51-Acid 1 2 3 87-Yes. 52-High food value . . . 1 2 3 14 88-No 1 2 3 14 53-Allergy 1 2 Li. 3 89-Don't know 1 2 3 14 1 L 514-Diabetic 2 3 55a0ther 1 2 3 14 F-Section About how ofton do you eat dried (not C-S eot ion canned dried) prunes? classify You needn't tell me '?yhich brand, but 90-Once a month or more 1 2 3 Li. do you have a favorite brand of: 91-Less than oncea month 1 2 3 Li. Canned prunes? 92Not at all 1 2 3 14 56-Yes 1 2 3 L 1 57-No 2 3 Li. 58-Don't know 1 2 3 Li. Coffee? 1 2 3 Li. 59-Ths 60-No 1 2 3 L 61-Don't know 1 2 3 14 . 14 Li. 314 ]. Li. 1 2314 Fig. 12 Part III 86 STATISTICAL I7FOPJAT 107 (confidential) G-S ect ion About how long have you lived in the Pacific 7orth"rest? (0rerash-Ida) 93-Less than 1 year . . . 1 2 3 14 2 1 914-1 to 3 years 14 3 2 1 5 years 3 14 1 96-5 to 10 years 2 3 14 97-over 10 years . . 1 2 3 14 953 to H-Section i-low many pcoi 98-6 years old or less? . . 1 2 3 14 . . . 1 2 3 14 00-13 to 18 years old?. . . 1 2 3 14 1 2 3 14 99-7 to 1 01-over 12 years old? 18 years? I-Section VThero would your family be in this table? Lx1ain this as necessary alnys pointIng out that TOTjL FAJJLY IFCOiE IS 'A7ED. Eat Canned Prunes Total family income er week 7cr month a-prox. Once/no. Less than Lot at or more once/mo. all less thnn Loss than ,25 per week 100 25 to 50 to J9 per week l5O 714 per wed: 250 -75 to 99 per week 35O 100 to 1214 per week 125 to l/49 per week $550 l50 l99 per week 7OO to 200 per week and over and over REMARKS Fig. 14--Canned. fresri prunes--PurpLe P1uDs 88 FIGTE 13 oinoutat1on ror a $iir1cart Dire were e-earer. or pruie s1n11canti- more critical ot ooicweIcia11r cania jrune ;nan were non-h, Iave eator CCiTC111y einnod prunes eriu ot brur.es? oizo co:.erciii1y Don't cri1c1r: canned pru.nos com'l carmed. (b) ore-can rune: Don' t rune8 (c) ore-cfl prunc h1-quarej (a X d - b X c) (a i b i c ,. d) (a p c) (b e b) (c - (9 x 4b)-(70 9b 70 $ b (Jbs 70) TTTT. FT5 (4o - 400O)' (276) TThbi (1L3) (ixj (i13) (10)' f') = 3571Y5bb - 0000??8 Iot $1 ant (with one de ot freedom) flAUSt U lo ie signhlicani or more with one degree 01 eeom.