Design of a Recruiter-Student Connection System Using Social Networking Sponsored by STEMlete LLC Agenda • • • • • • • • • • • 2 Context Stakeholder Analysis Scope Gap Analysis Problem Statement Win-Win Analysis Need Statement Requirements Possible Solutions Simulation Project Plan Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Private vs. Public Universities • Have different funding models • Have different mandates • Have different admission policies and procedures. 3 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Public Universities • Our main focus will be on public universities for many reasons: – Funded by state taxpayers. – Policies are created or overseen by state legislatures. – Admissions policies are transparent. 4 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking HS Recruitment Process 5 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Current Undergraduate Recruitment Process 6 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Undergraduate Recruitment • To fulfill enrollment targets: – Market towards under-filled programs – Market towards sources of applicants in the past • To stay under budget: – Focus on high producing/low cost systems – Recruit more out-of-state students • To improve quality of enrolled students: – Increase size of applicant pool – Beat competing recruiters 7 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Social Networking Websites • Enable individuals to self-organize into communities for swift communication • Break geographical and social barriers to communication and connection • Allows connections to be identified at the global level 8 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Universities recruiting tools 9 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Commonly Used Tools CRM Tool – manages interactions with current and future students Cappex.com & Other college search sites – send list of prospective students to universities College Board website – Inquiry contact, marketing 10 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Social Networking & Universities Interaction 11 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Process Summary Accepted Student Graduate Student High School University Acceptance Process Enrolled Student Student Enrollment Process As-Is Find a recruiter Dragnet “Get Lucky” Future Recruiter finds student Targeted pursuit Make informed choices 12 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Agenda • • • • • • • • • • • 13 Context Stakeholder Analysis Scope Gap Analysis Problem Statement Win-Win Analysis Need Statement Requirements Possible Solutions Simulation Project Plan Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Recruiters • • • • • • Students Recruiters Universities Social Networks Government Advertisers 14 Stakeholder Interactions Diagram Stakeholder Interactions Diagram Stakeholder Analysis Universities Primary Goals • Fulfill enrollment targets for all schools and departments • Stay under budget Secondary Goals • Improve quality of students that enroll 17 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Stakeholder Analysis Goals Social Networking Websites • Make a profit • Stay under budget and stay in business • Maintain relevance to users Students • Earn an income • Acquire experience • Attend best colleges • Stay under budget 18 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Stakeholder Analysis Goals Government 19 • Improve quality of life for citizens • Improve the economy • Enable innovation • Increase size of labor pool • Maintain funding for operation • Generate revenue • Stay under budget Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Stakeholder Tensions University • Budget constraints force trade-off between goals • Utilize fewer social network features • Less personal connections/guidance to prospects Social Networking Websites • Limited incentive for university to change process • Receive lower profit • Limited ways to connect recruiters to student Students • Recruiting budget constraints limit connection quality • Less opportunities for experience and guidance 20 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 esign of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Agenda • • • • • • • • • • • 21 Context Stakeholder Analysis Scope Gap Analysis Problem Statement Win-Win Analysis Need Statement Requirements Possible Solutions Simulation Project Plan Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Scope • George Mason University (GMU) undergraduate recruitment process – High school & university connection – Transfer process will not be not considered – Costs will include: labor of resources • Travel/event expenses & marketing material costs – Quality of students will be based on GPA & SAT scores 22 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Gap Analysis Freshman Applicants GPA 3.95 Average GPA 3.85 9% 3.75 2% 4% 3.65 3.55 3.45 3.35 3.25 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Application Year Applied Admitted 23 2010 2011 2012 Enrolled Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Gap Analysis Freshman Applicants SAT 1570 Average SAT 1470 27% 1370 1270 2% 3% 1170 1070 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Application Year Applied 24 Admitted Enrolled Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Problem • The labor, travel, and material costs to establish strong personal connections early in a student’s career is high due to geographical dispersion and high information costs. • The highest quality students are being lost to competing universities in the current system set up to manage these costs. 25 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Win-Win Social Networks Make a profit by enabling universities and students to reach their goals in the most time and cost effective manner Students Be identified for the best opportunities early in their academic career and receive experienced guidance 26 Universities Identify, compare, and recruit the highest quality students at the lowest cost, regardless of location Need There is a need for an increase in the quality of students enrolled to be established under budget and in enough quantities to meet target enrollment rates. 27 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Agenda • • • • • • • • • • • 28 Context Stakeholder Analysis Scope Gap Analysis Problem Statement Win-Win Analysis Need Statement Requirements Possible Solutions Simulation Project Plan Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Requirements • The system shall produce between 2580 and 2690 enrollments. • The system shall maintain or reduce the cost of the undergraduate recruiting process compared to enrollment service revenue by at least 8%. 29 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Requirements • The system shall maintain or decrease the difference between the average GPA of accepted students and enrolled students to less than 2%. • The system shall maintain or decrease the difference between the average SAT of accepted students and enrolled students to less than 2%. 30 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Possible Solutions • No change • Add social networking tool • Change resource allocation to social networking tools 31 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking No Change Pros Cons • No significant drop in enrollment rates, budget or student quality will occur. • Freshman enrollment rates may continue to decrease • Losses will still be seen in failed recruiting attempts for the top students Add Social Networking Tool Pros • Potential increase in enrollment rates • Potential increase in student quality • Potential decrease in cost Cons • Potential risk to enrollment rates, budget or student quality will occur. Change Resource Allocation Pros • Potential increase in enrollment rates • Potential increase in student quality • Potential decrease in cost Cons • Potential risk to enrollment rates, budget or student quality will occur. Alternatives Requirements - = No Potential Alternatives Fulfillment Meet enrollment target Reduce or maintain cost Close GPA gap Close SAT gap = Potential to Fulfill No Change Add Social Networking Tool Change Resource Allocation Agenda • • • • • • • • • • • 36 Context Stakeholder Analysis Scope Gap Analysis Problem Statement Win-Win Analysis Need Statement Requirements Possible Solutions Simulation Project Plan Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Method of Analysis 37 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Method of Analysis 38 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Simulation Goal • Determine the recruitment process that produces the highest quality students at the lowest cost, and which social networking tools will facilitate this. 39 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Design of Experiment Student Surveys (High school and College) • Google Forms • Distributions for student demographics • Social networking preferences • Develop assumptions 40 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Design of Experiment Interview/Survey of Admissions Employees • Distributions for the number of applicants, admissions, and enrollments and their associated GPAs and SAT scores • Admissions process and sub-processes • Finalize scope • Develop assumptions 41 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Design of Experiment • Queuing model in Arena – Model processes a high school student goes through once contact is made with the university until the student exits the system or enrolls 42 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Preliminary Simulation Goal: Determine the recruitment process that produces the highest number of applications of the highest quality students at the lowest cost and determine which social networking tools facilitate this modified process. 43 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Preliminary Simulation 44 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Preliminary Simulation 45 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Preliminary Simulation 46 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Inputs (In progress) Research and survey data will determine what inputs are used in the model. Entities Currently the only numerical data available on student entry into the system is a broad overview, although the model below depicts multiple known sources of entry into the system 47 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Inputs (In progress) Attributes Attributes will be assigned for GPAs, SAT scores, and predetermined values for whether a student will contact the university, apply, be accepted, and enroll. A cost will also be added to each student’s total recruitment cost to reflect costs associated with subscriptions to the various social networking sites. 48 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Inputs (In progress) Sample Statistical Analysis Freshman Applications Budget Executive Summaries 2001-2012 Distribution: Expression: Square Error: Number GPA SAT Uniform Weibull Beta UNIF(8.11e+003, 1.47e+004) 0.036111 3.03 + WEIB(0.299, 2.06) 0.023713 1.05e+003 + 66 * BETA(0.77, 0.613) 0.047138 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test Test Statistic 0.233 0.0859 0.17 Corresponding p-value > 0.15 > 0.15 > 0.15 Data Summary Number of Data Points 12 12 12 Min Data Value 8110 3.08 1050 Max Data Value 14700 3.54 1120 Sample Mean 11800 3.29 1090 Assumptions • The scope will be finalized after a full data analysis of the survey and interview results. Assumptions will be developed to supplement information deemed essential that is unobtainable. Most assumptions will either involve simplification of processes or estimation of cost. 50 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of a Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Value Hierarchy Choose Best Recruitment Alternative Enrollment Yield Cost (# Students) ($) 0.5 Quality Recruits (Avg GPA & SAT) 0.3 0.2 Agenda • • • • • • • • • • • 52 Context Stakeholder Analysis Scope Gap Analysis Problem Statement Win-Win Analysis Need Statement Requirements Possible Solutions Simulation Project Plan Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking Work Breakdown Structure Overview Social Networking Management Research Analysis CONOPS Alternatives Documentation Simulation Meetings Stakeholders Context Analysis Vision Statement Potential Match List Requirements As-is Model Material Review Undergraduate Recruiting Process Stakeholder Analysis Mission Statement Advanced Search Feature Deliverables Alternative Models Use Cases Connection Suggestion Preliminary Report Results Mentor/Mentee IEEE Paper Trade Off Analysis Task Delegation George Mason Process Gap Analysis Project Schedule Historical Data Problem Statement Project Risk/Mitigation Athletic Recruiting Process Need Statement Poster Validation Critical Path Analysis Social Networking Sensitivity Analysis Final Report Verification Value Hierarchy Presentations Conclusions Budget Work Breakdown in Detail Management Analysis Research Meetings Context Stakeholders Material Review Stakeholder Recruiting Process Task Delegation GAP George Mason Schedule Problem Statement Historical Data Risk/Mitigation Need Statement Athletic Recruiting Budget Sensitivity Social Networking Critical Path Analysis Value Hierarchy Work Breakdown in Detail Documentation Simulation Alternatives Requirements Requirements Potential Match List Deliverables Deliverables Advanced Search Preliminary Report Preliminary Report Connection Suggestion IEEE Paper IEEE Paper Mentor/Mentee Poster Poster Final Report Final Report Presentations Presentations Budget • Pay rate: $45/hour • Highest costs: • Research • Simulation design & build • Management Estimated Total $289,885.07 Direct Labor Costs $136,096.28 (47%) Adjusted Labor Costs $153,788.79 (53%) Budget PV/AC/EV $200,000.00 $180,000.00 $160,000.00 $140,000.00 $120,000.00 $100,000.00 $80,000.00 $60,000.00 $40,000.00 $20,000.00 $0.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Planned Value - (PV) Actual Cost - (AC) Earned Value - (EV) CPI/SPI 2.50 2.00 Ratio 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Weeks Cost Performance Index - (CPI) Schedule Performance Index - (SPI) 12 Project Schedule Project Schedule Project Schedule Milestones Preliminary Project Plan & Briefing 1 9/30/13 Modified Project Plan & Briefing 2 10/21/13 Dry Run Presentation 11/4/13 Faculty Presentation 11/15/13 Final Report, Draft Conference Paper & Poster 12/2/13 Preliminary Simulation Results 12/23/13 Finalized Simulation Design & IEEE Proposal 1/27/13 Critical Path Analysis Context research (completed) Problem definition (completed) Obtain admissions data (In progress) Design simulation (In progress) Build simulation (In progress) Results analysis (In progress) Risk/Mitigation Risk Risk Level Mitigation Delayed access to data 15 In progress Access to incomplete data 20 In progress Incorrect assumptions 23 In progress Consequences Likelihood Low Risk 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 2 3 4 5 2 2 4 6 8 10 3 3 6 9 12 15 4 4 8 12 16 20 5 5 10 15 20 25 High Risk Questions? 66 Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research SYST 490 – 2013 Design of Recruiter – Student Connection System using Social Networking