ISN Switzerland 09-15-06 Brazil leads Latin America's bio-fuel future As the world seeks to reduce dependency on fossil fuels, some look to Brazil and its sugar-based ethanol fuel program as a potential world leader in renewable energy sources. Editor's Note: This is the first in a three-part series by ISN Security Watch's Carmen Gentile on bio-fuels. Part 2 of the series will appear on Wednesday, 20 September. By Carmen Gentile for ISN Security Watch (15/09/06) Latin America - led by Brazil - is rapidly becoming a world leader in renewable energy sources like biofuels, a quest that has garnered the attention of countries like the US and Britain. Brazil - whose sugar-based ethanol fuel program dates by to the 1970s - is leading by example for countries like neighboring Paraguay, where ethanol and petroleum mixtures for vehicles has become more popular in recent years due to climbing global fuel prices. Cuba, meanwhile, is considering expanding its ethanol fuel output with the help of a Spanish firm in hopes of climbing aboard the alternative fuel bandwagon that Brazil is leading to worldwide prominence. The communist island's economy reportedly grew 12.5 percent in the first half of 2006 in large part due to growing sugar cane exports. Brazil's decades of success with ethanol has recently prompted Britain to seek an alliance with South America's largest country and economy to promote increased sugar production in southern Africa, officials from both nations said earlier this month. South Africa and Mozambique are reportedly on the short list of candidate nations for expanding the ethanol market in the region, according to ethanol experts at the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University. "The commitment of both countries is to develop other [ethanol] supplier countries," media quoted Brazilian Industry and Trade Minister Luiz Furlan as saying earlier this week. "It's a product that needs to become more available to (global) consumers." British Secretary of State for Trade and Industry Alistair Darling, who was in Brasilia in September for the project's launch, said that after test-driving one of Brazil's "flex-fuel" cars - vehicles that run on either gasoline or a combination of ethanol and petroleum-based fuel - he would "now confront any car manufacturer in Europe who tells me that people won't buy cars powered by ethanol." The secretary's endorsement bodes well for the future of ethanol in what is projected to be a lucrative EU market for the oil-based alternative fuel. With oil prices remaining relatively high compared to pre-war prices, many EU leaders have expressed interest in finding an alternative to pump prices that in some countries top US$5 a gallon by US standards. Britain is reportedly keen on pairing up with Brazil because it is a proven leader in the global ethanol market, exporting some 18 million tons of sugar in 2005. "There is an increased interest in renewable fuels and Brazil is already a major supplier on the global market," FAPRI ethanol analyst Simla Tokgoz told ISN Security Watch. Both nations are also reportedly looking into developing the infrastructure necessary to enhance sugar production in both nations, noted fellow FAPRI ethanol specialist Amani Elobeid. "The viability is there," Elobeid said, adding that Britain was a leader among EU nations investigating the feasibility of ethanol as a long-term solution to future fuel needs and recognized Brazil as something of a pioneer in the field. "Britain wants to diversify its sources for ethanol and are using Brazil's expertise to do it," she said. Brazil is already far and away ahead of Britain and other developed countries when it comes to using other forms of organic-petroleum fuel blends like sugarbased ethanol fuels, making its use a matter of law. All Brazilian gasoline must contain 25 percent ethanol and most vehicles produced in the country can run on any mixture of the two fuels. In the 1970s, Brazil's Pro-Ethanol Program subsidized sugar mills to produce extra product specifically for the production of the bio-fuel in the wake of the oil price spike experienced worldwide. Three decades later, the sector is not only self-sufficient, but profitable and looking to expand its exports. Last year, Brazil produced 13 million gallons of ethanol, mostly for home use. However Brazilian energy officials are in talks with several nations, including the US, China and India, to export 65 million gallons in the coming years. Alternative fuels like ethanol have experienced their own price increase in recent months due to the increasing demand for them. That's good news for Brazil's burgeoning sugarcane industry, whose small farmers and agro-businesses are rushing to plant more fields. Earlier this year, Brazil's federal energy company Petrobras signed an agreement to carry out a feasibility study for a new US$225 million pipeline to carry ethanol from the center-west state of Goia to the coastal state of Sao Paulo. The pipeline would have a capacity to transport about 1 billion gallons of the fuel annually to Petrobras' refinery where it would be mixed with gasoline. It would also create new opportunities for ethanol exports through the state's ports, Petrobras said in a statement. Brazil's development and expanded output has caught the attention of US officials, who noted during an April World Economic Forum meeting on Latin America that Washington was searching for ways to "diversify" its fuel options and looking to Brazil as an example of how to do it. "We are embarking on a program to diversify our energy sources and change the mix,” E. Anthony Wayne, US assistant secretary of state for economic and business affairs, said in a statement. “And Brazil is a leader in ethanol production." Amid Brazil's success with traditional sugar-based ethanol, engineers there have designed and developed a new type of diesel fuel that is mixed with various vegetable oils, an innovation energy officials say will save the country millions on imported diesel in the coming years. According to the country's state-run energy firm Petrobras and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, the new bio-diesel mixture would put Brazil on the map among those nations leading the alternative fuel revolution. "Brazil can become the most important nation in the world for renewable energy," da Silva said during the new fuel's introduction in June. Unlike other forms of bio-diesel, H-Bio is mixed by the fuel distributor and not at the refinery, adding to the proposed savings, which Pertrobras said could total as much as US$145 million a year once the new mixture hits the market. Fuel experts like Al Mannato, the fuels issues manager at American Petroleum Institute in Washington, says bio-diesels like the one created by Brazil certainly have their advantages. "The pro is that it's [the vegetable-based portion of the fuel] a renewable energy source," said Mannto. He also noted that bio-diesels "have great lubricity characteristics," meaning they aid in lubricating an engine while it's running, prolonging the engine's life. There are drawbacks, however, the API expert notes, in that bio-diesels are typically expensive to produce and have a tendency to gel in cold weather, which would make them difficult to use in winter in the colder climes of North America and parts of northern Europe. Despite some drawbacks, the production of yet another alternative fuel is good news for Brazilian drivers, who are hoping the savings will be noticeable at the pumps, where fuel regularly goes for about US$5 a gallon by US standards, even with the widespread use of ethanol. Regardless, with the US and others keen on reducing dependency on fossil fuels from the Middle East, ethanol from Brazil and other Latin American nations appears poised to break into the global market.