Birth Cohorts Nov. 29, 2006 http://www.iastate.edu/~soc.134 © 2006 David Schweingruber Basic demographic terms Demography: the study of human population Demographer: sociologist who studies trends in population characteristics Three major components Fertility: the incidence of childbearing in a country’s population Mortality: the incidence of death in a country’s population Migration: the movement of people into and out of a specified territory ©©2006 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Birth cohorts Birth cohort: set of people who were born during the same era and who face similar societal circumstances brought about by their shared position in the overall age structure of the population (p. 463) Birth cohorts effect everyday lives in two ways: • Cohort effect: phenomenon in which members of a birth cohort tend to experience a particular life event or rite of passage—puberty, marriage, childbearing, graduation, entry into the workforce, death—at roughly the same time (p. 463) • Period effect: phenomenon in which a historical event or major social trend contributes to the unique shape and outlook of a birth cohort (p. 464) ©©2006 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber 2.5% High immigration & birth rates 250,000 Baby boom 2.0% 200,000 1.5% 150,000 1.0% 0.5% Great Depression, low immigration Population 50,000 1995 1990 1985 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 1945 1940 1935 -0.5% 1930 1925 1915 1910 1905 1920 1918 flu epidemic 0 0.0% Growth rate 1980 100,000 Annual growth rate 300,000 1900 U.S. population (thousands) U.S. population & growth rates,1900-98 ©©2006 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Total births & birth rates in U.S., 1910-95 Baby boom 45 Echo boom 4,000,000 40 35 Depression Generation 3,000,000 30 Baby bust 2,500,000 2,000,000 25 20 GI Generation War babies 1,500,000 15 1,000,000 10 Total births Birth rate 500,000 5 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 1945 1940 1935 1930 1925 1920 0 1915 0 1910 Total births 3,500,000 Births per 1,000 people 4,500,000 ©©2006 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber Some generational labels GI Generation: 1910s & 1920s Depression Generation: 1930-39 War babies: 1940-45 Baby Boomers: 1946-1964 (78 million) Baby Busters (Gen X): 1965-1979 (60 million) Echo Boomers (Millennium Gen, Gen y): 1980-late 90s (7080 million) ©©2006 2000David DavidSchweingruber Schweingruber