Crook County (OR) Invasive Weeds Project Western Wild land Environmental Threat Assessment Center (WWETAC): Jerry Beatty - Center Director Terry Shaw - Chief Scientist T: (541) 416-6600 E: jbeatty@fs.fed.us, cgshaw@fs.fed.us 3160 NE Third St, PO Box 490 Prineville, OR 97754 Project Location & Background: Crook County Oregon is located in the geographic center of the state and covers 2979 square miles of high desert forest and range land. The county has the fastest growing population in Oregon (9.3% in 2005) and is also one of the fastest growing in terms of employment. Traditional ranching practices are under threat from this rapid development and vectors such as invasive species of weeds. Additionally, our urban interface is being impacted by the increased fire risk these species pose. WWETAC & Crook County GIS Crook County GIS: Sim Ogle, Steve Dougill, Stephanie Hill T: (541) 416-3930 E: crookgis@co.crook.or.us W: http://gis.co.crook.or.us/wwetac/ 267 NE Second St. Suite 200 Prineville, OR 97754 3. Produce Base Maps Before beginning the analysis process, base maps of all 15 species were created and distributed to the project and weed control field teams. This is the first time that all the agencies involved have been able to view the problem at a countywide scale and in terms of multiple species. Updates were made based on their comments and integrated into the project geodatabase. Distribution of Invasive Species in Crook County Federal Land = light green Jefferson Crook County Weed Master: Kev Alexanian T: (541) 447-7958 Crook County Courthouse 300 NE Third Street Prineville, OR 97754 5. Communication Each stage of the project is being well document with the goal that the model created for integrating, analyzing, and modeling weed data can be cooperatively applied in surrounding counties. A project web and FTP site has been established to communicate project related information and provide the means to download data. < Web site http://gis.co.crook.or.us/wwetac/ Wheeler Building on the counties established weed assessment and mitigation programs and the expertise of WWETAC and County GIS personnel a joint Invasive Weeds Project was established in early 2006. Working with the Forest Service and WWETAC has opened doors in other federal agencies and counties in terms of their willingness to cooperate and share data. In terms of direct benefits the counties GIS dept. has been able to expand its software and analytical capabilities creating a significant long-term benefit for the county. Grant Project Work Flow: ^ Interactive ArcIMS Mapping Site 1. Integration An interactive GIS mapping site has also been created for the project. Users can access the site and view the current location of invasive weeds. The web GIS is currently password protected. Please contact crookgis@co.crook.or.us to register. Integrate local knowledge, state and federal sources of invasive weeds data within a GIS framework. This approach forms a baseline for weed monitoring and the application of future control efforts. CC_GIS CC_Weeds BOR USFS BLM Harney Deschutes Collation & Integration 6. Analysis & Modeling ArcGIS Geodatabase 2. Identify Potentially Controllable Species Project team initially identified 15 invasive species in the county. The number is steadily increasing as more data comes in from the field. In May two more were added. 1. Scotch Thistle - ONAC - Onopordum acanthium 2. Russian Knapweed - CERE - Acroptilion repens 3. Spotted Knapweed - CEMA - Centaurea biebersteinii 4. Diffuse Knapweed - CEDI - Ceanothus divergens 5. Medusa Head - TACA - Taeniatherum caput-medusae 6. Dalmatian Toadflax - LIDA - Linaria dalmatica 7. Yellow Toadflax - LIVU - Linaria vulgaris 8. Leafy Spurge - EUES - Euphorbia esula 9. Yellow Flag Iris - IRPS - Iris pseudacorus 10. Yellow Star Thistle - CESO - Centaurea solstitialis 11. White Top - CADR - Cardaria draba 12. Perennial Pepperweed - LILA - Lepidium latifolium 13. African Rue - PEHA - Peganum harmala 14. Mediterranean Sage - SAAE - Salvia aethiopis 15. Hounds Tongue - CYOF - Cynoglossum officinale ArcGIS Geodatabase These species were entered into custom feature classes inside the project geodatabase. The GIS dept. then worked with the Weed Master and his staff to record the current and historical locations of the15 species. The locations were recorded as point, polyline and polygon features depending on the information available. Work in Progress: 4. Assemble Data for Analysis Dividing the county into a 1000ft x 1000ft grid (approx. size of a PLSS* 1/4 1/4 grid) we began assembling the data sets necessary to begin the analysis and modeling phases of the project. Each dataset was saved in vector and raster formats and added to the project geodatabase. The layers include: Geology Habitat Roads (Buffered 1/8th mile) The next stage was to analyze the data with the intention of modeling the relationship between species, habitat, acreage, environmental records and land use. In order to be suitable for analysis a given species must be present in greater than 100 grid cells. This criterion cut the species to 8. For these species intersections were conducted based on their current locations using elevation and rainfall range, habitat and geology types as inputs. The resulting layer indicates, at a county scale, where suitable growth habitats exist. Using the suitability layer as an input we counted the largest grouping of grid cells (center to edge). This value was doubled and used as a unique buffer distance to restrict the likely habitat to a more realistic extent. If the grouping was linear it was not included to concentrate analysis on clusters of weeds. Of the 8 species 2 (CERE & EUES) had > 90% of their locations within 660ft of a water body (rivers & lakes). A further 2 species (CEDI & CYOF) had > 90% of their locations within 660ft of a road. However this is problematic because much of the sampling was conducted along roads. Preliminary results indicate that the present field survey method limits analysis potential. More detailed spatio -temporal sampling needs to take place, over extended periods of time, as well as control sampling away from road networks. Work in the next year will include statistical analysis of the data coupled with the evaluation and use of GARP** and RSAC*** models. Our goal is to try and predict the movement of these invasive species. Water (Buffered 1/8th mile) Elevation 20yr Average Rainfall 1961-1990 These layers were processed to enable raster and vector modeling of the data. For example '20yr Average Rainfall' was converted to 'Average Rainfall Per Grid Cell'. This process was repeated for all datasets. Additional layers are being sought, including growing season data, fire history and dates of detection. Slope and aspect layers were specifically not included because of the spatial scale of the project. Ranges of elevation (specific to the observed species distribution) were utilized. * (PLSS) Public Land Survey System Additionally many of the 15 White Top - Raw Data species are ideal candidates for 1000ftx1000ft Grid Location General Suitability detection using remote sensing Suitability Buffer imagery which would expand the scope and accuracy of any modeling attempted. **(GARP) UCSD Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production *** (RSAC) USFS Remote Sensing Applications Center