Section 5 E: Modifications of imputed values F: Other point variables Andreea Erciulescu CSSM - NRI Project February 28, 2012 Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 1 / 18 Part E : Modifications of imputed values Previous steps: • Imputation was complete • Tabulations comparing imputed and observed erosion values were constructed • Comparisons were made against estimated GLS estimates (described in section 15) • An erosion table was computed for each state as part of the diagnostics; the variables used are: • • • • USLE on (non)cultivated cropland USLE on all land requiring USLE WEQ on (non)cultivated cropland WEQ on all land requiring WEQ • EGLS estimates were also calculated for the change in urban acres and the change in some aquatic variables Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 2 / 18 Point erosion variables The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) is a soil loss model designed to predict long-term average rate of erosion on a field slope based on specific factors: U=RKLCP where • U is soil loss • R is rainfall factor • K is soil erodibility factor • L is slope length-gradiant factor • C is management factor • P is practice factor Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 3 / 18 Point erosion variables - cont. The Wind erosion equation (WEQ) is an erosion model designed to predict long-term average annual soil losses from a field having specific characteristics. It is a function of the following factors: • K0 is knoll erodibility index • If is soil erodibility index • Cw is climate factor • Ld is unsheltered distance • Kr is soil ridge roughness • V is vegetative cover Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 4 / 18 Method - option not used in 2007 • Enter multipliers for the C factor of USLE • Enter multipliers for wind V factor (vegetative cover) • Enter multipliers for urban changes Why? These multipliers make it possible to adjust imputed values so that the sum agrees with the EGLS estimates, if required1 . 1 The default value of the multipliers is 1 Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 5 / 18 USLE Multipliers • Mu,00 ,Mu,01 ,Mu,02 ,Mu,03 . Table: The imputed USLE C factors are multiplied by 2000 P01 P02 P03 Mu,00 Mu,00 Mu,00 2001 Mu,01 Mu,01 Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) 2002 2003 Mu,02 Mu,03 Mu,03 2003 MidW, NPlains South Central 1.04 1.04 2003 NE, SE, W 1.028 1.028 Mu,02 February 28, 2012 6 / 18 WEQ Multipliers • Mw ,00 ,Mw ,01 ,Mw ,02 ,Mw ,03 . Table: The imputed Q values (Q = 12 exp(−0.0014V )) P01 P02 P03 2000 Mw ,00 Mw ,00 Mw ,00 2001 Mw ,01 Mw ,01 2002 Mw ,02 2003 Mw ,03 Mw ,03 Mw ,02 The modified Q is transformed to V and V is rounded to an acceptable value. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 7 / 18 URBAN Table: The changes from 1997 to 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003 1997 to 2000 2001 2002 2003 linear extrapolated Core urban 1839 2198 2584 3047 P01 1850 2564 945 Yearly rate 613 359 386 463 463 The core ratio from 2001 to 2003 = 3047/2198 = 1.386 ⇒ the predicted value for 2003 is 1.386 ∗ 1850 = 2564. The multiplier for the linearly extrapolated changes for P01, from 2001 to 2002 and from 2002 to 2003, is 2564500−1850400 = 7141 945600 9456 = 0.75518. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 8 / 18 URBAN Table: The changes from 1997 to 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003 1997 to 2000 2001 2002 2003 linear extrapolated Core urban 1839 2198 2584 3047 P02 1834 2162 2211 Yearly rate 613 359 386 463 463 The core ratio from 2002 to 2003 = 3047/2584 = 1.18 ⇒ the predicted value for 2003 is 1.18 ∗ 1834 = 2162. The multiplier for the extrapolated changes for P02, from 2002 to 2003, 328 is 2162−1834 2211−1834 = 377 = .87. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 9 / 18 URBAN - cont. Table: The changes from 1997 to 2000,01,02,03 1997 to 2000 2001 2002 2003 linear extrapolated Core urban 1839 2198 2584 3047 P01 P02 1850 2564 945 1834 2162 2211 Yearly rate 613 * 359 386 463 463 Notes: • The core estimated change from 1997 to 2000 is (1839/3047 =) 60.4% of the change from 1997 to 2003. • In the interpolation for the 2003 panel, 60.4% of the total change was allocated to the 1997 to 2000 period and 13.2% to each of the changes 2000 to 2001, 2001 to 2002, and 2002 to 2003. • These percentages were used as the probabilities in allocating small changes to the individual periods. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 10 / 18 Part F: Other point variables Overview • Imputation of remaining point variables • The variables are placed in groups of related variables (i.e. ”FOREST” or ”CONCERN”) • Let the current inventory year be T , first year missing be S, and the most recent inventory prior to and after S for which the data were collected be A and B, respectively. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 11 / 18 Part F: Other point variables Steps 1 Find an appropriate donor D for the variable using the C-factor criteria and ... details later 2 If no donor is find, four different cases are considered ... details later 3 Complete the imputation ... details later Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 12 / 18 Step 1. • Let R denote the point to be imputed for a given group of variables. • Find match for years A and B for all members of the groups - all groups except WIND require an exact match for the members of the group. • Donor selection criteria for WIND group: • if wind variables are missing in year A (or B), then, the donor should not have wind variables for the year A (or B). • if we have wind data for year A (or B), the match criteria are: Knollt,R − 2 ≤ Knollt,D ≤ Knollt,R + 2 Kt,R − 0.1 ≤ Kt,D ≤ Knollt,R + 0.1 0.9Lt,R − 200 ≤ Lt,D ≤ 1.2Lt,R + 200 0.9Vt,R − 200 ≤ Vt,D ≤ 1.2Vt,R + 200 • Find an appropriate donor D for the variable using the C-factor criteria. • Can relax donor criteria as done in C-factor except can’t relax the match in 1997 and year T . • Use donor for all variables in the group for all years requiring imputation from a single donor. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 13 / 18 Step 2. If no donor is found, then each variable is imputed using broaduse as follows: 1. A year of change is determined for the point • Determine first year of change in broaduse if change occurs. • If no change in broaduse occurs, select a year of change (Ch ) at random with probability t−A T −A , where t is the year to be imputed. 2. If the variables defined at time A and B, and if the broaduse is the same for all years Imputed value = Time A Value if t < Ch Imputed value = Time B Value if t ≥ Ch 3. If a point has the same broaduse for all years requiring imputation and for year B and the variable is observed only in year B, then the year B value is used for years requiring imputation. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 14 / 18 Step 2. - cont. 4. If broaduse of the point is not the same for all years, then the missing years are imputed on the basis of the broaduse sequence • variable observed at A → the value from A is carried forward as the imputed value until broaduse changes • variable observed at B → the value from B is carried backward as the imputed value until broaduse changes Example Year 97 00 01 02 Year Broaduse 01 01 02 03 → Broaduse Ownership 6 ? ? 1 Ownership Step 3 is required to complete the imputation. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) 97 01 6 00 01 6 01 02 ? 02 03 1 February 28, 2012 15 / 18 Step 3. If imputation is not complete after the first two steps, then use default values specific to each variable. Example - cont. Year 97 00 01 02 Broaduse 01 01 02 03 Ownership 6 6 ? 1 Use Table 5.8. For Ownership, rule is to impute randomly the 2001 value for ownership, choosing the 1997 value, 6, with probability 1/5 and the 2002 value, 1, with probability 4/5. What if imputation is not required? Such situations are called ”Not applicable” (see Table 5.8) and the variables ← −1. Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 16 / 18 Step 3. - cont. If imputation is not needed. Example Year 97 00 01 02 Coveruse 001 003 341 003 Forest ? ? ? ? Forest Imputed -1 -1 99 -1 From Table 5.8, if land coveruse is not 341 or 3422 , then FOREST is NA (code =-1), but if coveruse is 341 or 342, default value for FOREST is 99 (non-stocked). 2 341 - forest land grazed, 342- forest land, not grazed Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 17 / 18 End Thank you! Andreea Erciulescu (Survey) February 28, 2012 18 / 18