Carnegie Mellon Potential of Hydro Power and Storage for the Integration of Wind Generation CMU Electricity Conference March 9th, 2011 Gabriela Hug Assistant Professor ghug@ece.cmu.edu 1 Carnegie Mellon O tli Outline • • • • • Introduction Control Concept & Modeling Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch Conclusions 2 Carnegie Mellon I t d ti Introduction • Goal – up to 20% wind penetration by 2030 • Challenges: – Intermittency and variability – Missing infrastructure • Balancing Potential: – – – – Storage Demand response Conventional generation Curtailment 3 Carnegie Mellon H d P Hydro Power • Types of Hydro Power Run-of River Power Plant Storage Power Plant Pumped Hydro Power Plant 4 Carnegie Mellon O tli Outline • • • • • Introduction Control Concept & Modeling Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch Conclusions 5 Carnegie Mellon C t l Concept Control C t • Predictive Control – Use model of plant to be controlled to predict influence of input – Choose input sequence which gives best performance over horizon – Apply first step and measure new state 6 Carnegie Mellon M d li Modeling: Storage St • Storage Limits on – Storage size – Charging and discharging rate No simultaneous charging and discharging 7 Carnegie Mellon M d li Modeling: Hydro H d Power P • Pumped Hydro Power Plant • Storage g Power Plant 1 β ⋅ PSO (k ) QS I (k ) 8 Carnegie Mellon M d li Modeling: Hydro H d Power P • Run-of River Power Plant – Retention differentiates a river from a tank – Goal: • Minimize discharge variations • Minimize deviations of water levels from reference value (and keep within limits) 9 Carnegie Mellon M d li Modeling: Hydro H d Power P • Saint Venant Equations => dependency between water discharge and water level at each individual point in the river => Linearization and discretization in time and space • Dependency between discharge and electric power 10 Carnegie Mellon M d li Modeling: Generation G ti and d Load L d • Conventional Generation – Capacity limit – Ramp rate • Intermittent Generation – Predictions of output – Allow curtailment • available Load – Predictions of demand – Allow demand control available 11 Carnegie Mellon O tli Outline • • • • • Introduction Control Concept & Modeling Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch Conclusions 12 Carnegie Mellon C Case 1 1: Wi Wind d and d Run-of R f Ri River Plants Pl t • Objective Function minimize discharge changes minimize level deviations • Constraints smoothen wind power – River Ri flflow model d l – Constraints on water level and turbine/weir discharges 13 Carnegie Mellon C Case 1 1: T Testt S System t • Cascade of four run of river power plants (20km apart) • • • • • Operating Point: 3000m3/s (1200m3/s through weirs) Water Level Constraints: ±12cm Weir discharge and inflow constant 10% rms prediction error 2 hours prediction horizon horizon, 5 minute resolution 14 Carnegie Mellon C Case 1 1: Si Simulation l ti Results R lt 15 Carnegie Mellon C Case 1 1: Si Simulation l ti Results R lt 16 Carnegie Mellon O tli Outline • • • • • Introduction Control Concept & Modeling Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch Conclusions 17 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: G Generation/Storage ti /St Dispatch Di t h • Economic Objectives – Minimize generation costs – Minimize conversion losses • Environmental Objectives – Minimize CO2 emissions/cost (natural gas, coal) – Minimize impact on water flow (hydro) • Quality of Service – Minimize demand side management – Minimize wind curtailment 18 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: Si Simulation l ti Setup S t • Thermal Power Plants Capacity • Ramp Rate Economic Cost Environmental Cost 4 PG + ΔPG Coal 700 MW 25 MW / 0.5h 0.02 PG2 + 5PG + c Natural Gas 500 MW 100 MW / 5min 0.06 PG2 + 20 PG + c 2 PG + 10ΔPG Nuclear 450 MW 3 MW / h 0.01PG2 + 2 PG + c PG R Renewable bl River Flow Hydro y (4 ( plants) p ) 3000 m3/s Capacity Wind 1000 MW Weir discharge Economic Cost 0.5PG + c 1200 m3/s Environmental Cost Δh 2 + 250δq 2 Non-Usage 0.01 ⋅ (PGref − PG ) 2 19 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: Si Simulation l ti Setup S t • Storage Capacity Storage • 400 MWh Economic Cost 5Ploss Load Maximum Load 2500 MW Critical 70% Quality of Service 100 ⋅ (PLref − PL ) 2 20 Carnegie Mellon Case 2: Simulation Results 21 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: Si Simulation l ti Results R lt 22 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: R Reference f 23 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: R Reference f 24 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: Si Simulation l ti Results R lt 25 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: Si Simulation l ti Results R lt 26 Carnegie Mellon C Conclusions l i • Electric power systems field is currently in a major transition ⇒ Major challenges need to be resolved • Predictive control allows for full exploitation of device potentials • Storage reduces need for fast-ramping fast ramping backup generation and required ramp rates if optimally controlled • Existing hydro power provides storage capacity • Coordination achieves overall optimal performance • Integration of intermittent renewable generation asks for hybrid solution 27 Carnegie Mellon 28 Carnegie Mellon C Conventional ti l Hydro H d Power P 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 29 Carnegie Mellon M d li Modeling: Hydro H d Power P • Linear Model – River Flow – Discharge to Electric Power 30 Carnegie Mellon C Case 1 1: Si Simulation l ti Results R lt • Smoothness of Total Power Output 31 Carnegie Mellon C Case 2 2: G Generation/Storage ti /St Dispatch Di t h • Objective Function • Constraints – – – – Ramp rates R t Capacities Water level limits G Generation ti = Demand D d 32