Potential of Hydro Power and Storage Gabriela Hug Assistant Professor

advertisement
Carnegie Mellon
Potential of Hydro Power and Storage
for the Integration of Wind Generation
CMU Electricity Conference
March 9th, 2011
Gabriela Hug
Assistant Professor
ghug@ece.cmu.edu
1
Carnegie Mellon
O tli
Outline
•
•
•
•
•
Introduction
Control Concept & Modeling
Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants
Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch
Conclusions
2
Carnegie Mellon
I t d ti
Introduction
•
Goal
– up to 20% wind penetration by 2030
•
Challenges:
– Intermittency and variability
– Missing infrastructure
•
Balancing Potential:
–
–
–
–
Storage
Demand response
Conventional generation
Curtailment
3
Carnegie Mellon
H d P
Hydro
Power
•
Types of Hydro Power
Run-of River Power Plant
Storage Power Plant
Pumped Hydro Power Plant
4
Carnegie Mellon
O tli
Outline
•
•
•
•
•
Introduction
Control Concept & Modeling
Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants
Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch
Conclusions
5
Carnegie Mellon
C t l Concept
Control
C
t
•
Predictive Control
– Use model of plant to be controlled to predict influence of input
– Choose input sequence which
gives best performance over
horizon
– Apply first step and measure
new state
6
Carnegie Mellon
M d li
Modeling:
Storage
St
•
Storage
Limits on
– Storage size
– Charging and
discharging rate
No simultaneous charging and discharging
7
Carnegie Mellon
M d li
Modeling:
Hydro
H d Power
P
•
Pumped Hydro Power Plant
•
Storage
g Power Plant
1
β
⋅ PSO (k )
QS I (k )
8
Carnegie Mellon
M d li
Modeling:
Hydro
H d Power
P
•
Run-of River Power Plant
– Retention differentiates a river from a tank
– Goal:
• Minimize discharge variations
• Minimize deviations of water levels from reference value (and keep within
limits)
9
Carnegie Mellon
M d li
Modeling:
Hydro
H d Power
P
•
Saint Venant Equations
=> dependency between water discharge and water level at each individual
point in the river
=> Linearization and discretization in time and space
•
Dependency between discharge and electric power
10
Carnegie Mellon
M d li
Modeling:
Generation
G
ti and
d Load
L d
•
Conventional Generation
– Capacity limit
– Ramp rate
•
Intermittent Generation
– Predictions of output
– Allow curtailment
•
available
Load
– Predictions of demand
– Allow demand control
available
11
Carnegie Mellon
O tli
Outline
•
•
•
•
•
Introduction
Control Concept & Modeling
Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants
Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch
Conclusions
12
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
1
1: Wi
Wind
d and
d Run-of
R
f Ri
River Plants
Pl t
•
Objective Function
minimize discharge changes
minimize level deviations
•
Constraints
smoothen wind power
– River
Ri
flflow model
d l
– Constraints on water level and turbine/weir discharges
13
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
1
1: T
Testt S
System
t
•
Cascade of four run of river power plants (20km apart)
•
•
•
•
•
Operating Point: 3000m3/s (1200m3/s through weirs)
Water Level Constraints: ±12cm
Weir discharge and inflow constant
10% rms prediction error
2 hours prediction horizon
horizon, 5 minute resolution
14
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
1
1: Si
Simulation
l ti Results
R
lt
15
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
1
1: Si
Simulation
l ti Results
R
lt
16
Carnegie Mellon
O tli
Outline
•
•
•
•
•
Introduction
Control Concept & Modeling
Case 1: Wind and Run-of River Power Plants
Case 2: Generation/Storage Dispatch
Conclusions
17
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: G
Generation/Storage
ti /St
Dispatch
Di
t h
•
Economic Objectives
– Minimize generation costs
– Minimize conversion losses
•
Environmental Objectives
– Minimize CO2 emissions/cost (natural gas, coal)
– Minimize impact on water flow (hydro)
•
Quality of Service
– Minimize demand side management
– Minimize wind curtailment
18
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: Si
Simulation
l ti Setup
S t
•
Thermal Power Plants
Capacity
•
Ramp Rate
Economic Cost
Environmental Cost
4 PG + ΔPG
Coal
700 MW
25 MW / 0.5h
0.02 PG2 + 5PG + c
Natural Gas
500 MW
100 MW / 5min
0.06 PG2 + 20 PG + c
2 PG + 10ΔPG
Nuclear
450 MW
3 MW / h
0.01PG2 + 2 PG + c
PG
R
Renewable
bl
River Flow
Hydro
y
(4
( plants)
p
)
3000 m3/s
Capacity
Wind
1000 MW
Weir discharge
Economic Cost
0.5PG + c
1200 m3/s
Environmental Cost
Δh 2 + 250δq 2
Non-Usage
0.01 ⋅ (PGref − PG )
2
19
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: Si
Simulation
l ti Setup
S t
•
Storage
Capacity
Storage
•
400 MWh
Economic Cost
5Ploss
Load
Maximum
Load
2500 MW
Critical
70%
Quality of Service
100 ⋅ (PLref − PL )
2
20
Carnegie Mellon
Case 2: Simulation Results
21
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: Si
Simulation
l ti Results
R
lt
22
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: R
Reference
f
23
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: R
Reference
f
24
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: Si
Simulation
l ti Results
R
lt
25
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: Si
Simulation
l ti Results
R
lt
26
Carnegie Mellon
C
Conclusions
l i
•
Electric power systems field is currently in a major transition
⇒ Major challenges need to be resolved
•
Predictive control allows for full exploitation of device potentials
•
Storage reduces need for fast-ramping
fast ramping backup generation and required
ramp rates if optimally controlled
•
Existing hydro power provides storage capacity
•
Coordination achieves overall optimal performance
•
Integration of intermittent renewable generation asks for hybrid solution
27
Carnegie Mellon
28
Carnegie Mellon
C
Conventional
ti
l Hydro
H d Power
P
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
29
Carnegie Mellon
M d li
Modeling:
Hydro
H d Power
P
•
Linear Model
– River Flow
– Discharge to Electric Power
30
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
1
1: Si
Simulation
l ti Results
R
lt
•
Smoothness of Total Power Output
31
Carnegie Mellon
C
Case
2
2: G
Generation/Storage
ti /St
Dispatch
Di
t h
•
Objective Function
•
Constraints
–
–
–
–
Ramp rates
R
t
Capacities
Water level limits
G
Generation
ti = Demand
D
d
32
Download