ASSIGNMENT 5 - SOLUTIONS 1. Find the centroid ofp the solid bounded above by the sphere x2 + y 2 + z 2 = 4 and below by the cone z = x2 + y 2 . Solution. Let G be the given solid and denote its volume by ZZZ VG = 1 dV. G The coordinates of the centroid are given by RRR RRR RRR G x dV G y dV G z dV x̄ = , ȳ = , z̄ = . VG VG VG To compute each of these four integrals we use spherical coordinates. The solid G is given by x = r sin φ cos θ y = r sin φ sin θ z= r cos φ where 0 ≤ r ≤ 2, 0 ≤ θ ≤ 2π, 0 ≤ φ ≤ π4 (the limits of integration for φ are obtained, by observing that the angle of the cone is π4 , see, for example, Assignment 4, Exercise 2 4). Note that ∂(x,y,z) ∂(r,φ,θ) = r sin φ. We first compute ZZZ Z 2π Z π Z 2 4 r2 sin φ dr dφ dθ VG = 1 dV = G = = 0 0 π 4 0 Z Z π 8 2π 4 sin φ dφ dθ = sin φ dφ dθ 3 r=0 3 0 0 0 0 √ Z Z π √ 8 2π 8 2π 8π 2 4 [− cos φ]φ=0 dθ = (1 − ) dθ = (2 − 2). 3 0 3 0 2 3 Z 2π Z 2 r3 Let us now compute ZZZ 2π Z x̄VG = π 4 Z x dV = G π 4 Z = 0 π 4 = 2 Z 2π Z 0 Z 0 0 r3 sin2 φ cos θ dθ dr dφ h i2π r3 sin2 φ sin θ dr dφ = 0, θ=0 0 ZZZ Z ȳVG = 2π Z y dV = G Z = π 4 0 Z = 0 Z 0 2 Z 2π 0 π 4 Z r3 sin2 φ cos θ dr dφ dθ 0 0 2 Z 0 2 Z 0 π 4 Z 2 r3 sin2 φ sin θ dr dφ dθ 0 r3 sin2 φ sin θ dθ dr dφ 0 2 h i2π r3 sin2 φ − cos θ dr dφ = 0, θ=0 0 1 2 ASSIGNMENT 5 - SOLUTIONS Z ZZZ 2π Z z dV = z̄VG = 0 G 0 π 4 Z 2 r3 sin φ cos φ dr dφ dθ 0 Z 2π Z π h r 4 i2 4 sin(2φ) dφ dθ = 4 = sin φ cos φ dφ dθ 4 r=0 2 0 0 0 0 h cos(2φ) i π 4 = 2π. = 2 · 2π · − 2 φ=0 Thus x̄ = 0, ȳ = 0, and 2π 3 √ = √ . z̄ = 8π 4(2 − 2) 3 (2 − 2) Z 2π Z π 4 2. A fair die is rolled repeatedly five times. What is the probability that 1 turns up exactly three times? What is the probability that 1 turns up at least three times? Solution. Let X be the random variable representing the number of times 1 turns up in the five rolls. Note that X has binomial distribution B(n; p), with n = 5(number of trials) and p = 16 (the probability of ”success” in one trial). Then q = 1 − p = 65 , and the probability that 1 turns up exactly three times is n 3 n−3 5 P (X = 3) = p q = (1/6)3 (5/6)2 = 0.03215. 3 3 The probability that 1 turns up at least three times is P (X ≥ 3) = P (X = 3) + P (X = 4) + P (X = 5) 5 5 5 4 3 2 (1/6) (5/6) + (1/6)5 (5/6)0 (1/6) (5/6) + = 4 5 3 = 0.0354938. 3. If the probability of producing a defective light bulb is p = 0.005, what is the probability that a lot of 2000 light bulbs will contain more than 6 defectives? Solution. Let X be the random variable that represents the number of defective lightbulbs contained by the lot. X has a binomial distribution with n = 2000 and p = 0.005, but since p is very small and n is large, we can approximate it by the Poisson distribution with λ = np = 10. Hence P (X ≤ 6) = P (X = 0) + P (X = 1) + P (X = 2) +P (X = 3) + P (X = 4) + P (X = 5) + P (X = 6) 0 10 101 −10 102 −10 103 −10 104 −10 105 −10 = · e−10 + ·e + ·e + ·e + ·e + ·e 0! 1! 2! 3! 4! 5! ≈ 0.13 = 13 % so that P (X > 6) = 1 − P (X ≤ 6) ≈ 87 % 4. If the lifetime X of a certain kind of automobile battery is normally distributed with a mean of 4 yr and a variance of 1 yr, and the manufacturer wishes to guarantee the battery for 3 yr, what percentage of the batteries is he expected to replace under the guarantee? Solution. P (X ≤ 3) = Φ( 3−4 1 ) = Φ(−1) = 0.1587 = 15.87 % ASSIGNMENT 5 - SOLUTIONS 3 5. Let X be a random variable with binomial distribution B(n; p). What is the probability that X takes an even value? Solution. If k is an integer with 0 ≤ k ≤ n, the probability that X takes the value k is n k n−k P (X = k) = p q , k where q = 1 − p. Hence X takes an even value with probability X n k n−k n 0 n n 2 n−2 n 4 n−4 p q = p q + p q + p q + ... P (X is even) = k 0 2 4 k even 0≤k≤n Consider now the binomial expansions n X n k n−k n (p + q) = p q k k=0 n 0 n n 1 n−1 n 2 n−2 n 3 n−3 n n n−n = p q + p q + p q + p q + ... + p q , 0 1 2 3 n n X n n n (q − p) = (−p + q) = (−p)k q n−k k k=0 n 0 n n 1 n−1 n 2 n−2 n 3 n−3 n = p q − p q + p q − p q + ... + (−p)n q n−n . 0 1 2 3 n Note that when adding the two sums above, the ”odd” terms cancel, and we obtain twice the sum of the ”even” terms, more precisely n 0 n n 2 n−2 n 4 n−4 n n (p + q) + (q − p) = 2 p q +2 p q +2 p q + ... 0 2 4 X n k n−k = 2 p q k k even 0≤k≤n = 2P (X is even). Use now the fact that p + q = 1, to obtain 1 1 P (X is even) = [(p + q)n + (q − p)n ] = [1 + (1 − 2p)n ]. 2 2