Eldorado National Forest Fireshed #6 Fireshed Analysis Firesheds on the Eldorado National Forest Reasons for choosing Fireshed #6 for this analysis • Both the Placerville and Amador Ranger Districts were currently involved in producing Environmental Impact Statements for recent fires (Fred’s and Power fires) • Very little Wildland/Urban Interface (WUI) within the fireshed • Private land ownership is primarily commercial forest land • High potential for large fires within the fireshed Public Participation • SPLAT concept discussed and explained at two well attended public meetings (Quintette and Volcanoville) • Very few people reside in the Fireshed due to the large percentage of the private land in use as commercial forest land • Very low level of public interest in developing SPLATs due to the lack of individuals living within the Fireshed and the relative remoteness of the Fireshed Topography of Fireshed #6 Defense and Threat Zones within Fireshed #6 PAC’s and Goshawk Habitat Within Fireshed #6 21,002 Acres 13% of the Fireshed 15,352 Acres 9% of the Fireshed Fire Simulation Decisions for FARSITE Modeling Given that: •Normal wind conditions for the fireshed are generally southwest winds •The fireshed runs primarily west to east •It was desired to “burn” the majority of the fireshed •The Forest does not have the computing power (read dual processor machine) to do a 20 odd day burn We decided to: •Choose three ignition points •Place them in the south east, south central, and south west areas of the fireshed •Look for clusters of historical fire stars in those area •Establish ignition points near those clusters •And simulate a free burning fire for a period of 96 hours Ignition Point Selection South West Ignition Point (West Ignition) South East Ignition Point (East Ignition) South Central Ignition Point (Ellicots Ignition) FARSITE Modeling Parameters for Fireshed #6 Each of the simulated fires were burned under the following parameters: •Time Step: 2 hours •Perimeter Resolution: 60 meters •Distance Resolution: 30 meters •Enable Crown Fire: On •Fire Acceleration: On •Time Period: 4 days Fire Simulations using FARSITE for Fireshed #6 Fire simulations were initiated at each ignition point under the following conditions: •Current Condition: in order to assess expected fire behavior now and give a baseline for comparison •“Stylized” SPLAT Condition: in order to determine what is theoretically possible for fire behavior reduction across the fireshed and give us a “best case” scenario •SPLAT Condition: in order to determine if our designed SPLATs effectively reduce fire behavior and how they compare to the current and stylized SPLAT conditions Fire Size Current Condition Ellicots (south central) Ignition Point 89,814 Acres Stylized SPLAT Condition Ellicots (south central) Ignition Point 52,838 Acres SPLAT Condition Ellicots (south central) Ignition Point 75,378 Acres SPLAT Condition 75,378 acres burned, 10% of burn area treated, 17% reduction in size from current condition Stylized SPLAT Condition 52,838 acres, 10% of burn area treated 41% reduction in size from current condition Current Condition 89,814 acres burned Fireline Intensity Current Condition, Fireline Intensity, Ellicots Bridge Ignition Point Stylized SPLAT Condition, Fireline Intensity, Ellicots Bridge Ignition Point SPLAT Condition, Fireline Intensity, Ellicots Bridge Ignition Point Current Condition 5,200 acre portion of the burned area Stylized SPLAT Condition 5,200 acre portion of the burned area SPLAT Condition 5,200 acre portion of the burned area Crown Fire Activity Current Condition, Crown Fire Activity, East Ignition Point Stylized SPLAT Condition, Crown Fire Activity, East Ignition Point SPLAT Condition, Crown Fire Activity, East Ignition Point Current Condition 5,200 acre portion of the burned area Stylized SPLAT Condition 5,200 acre portion of the burned area SPLAT Condition 5,200 acre portion of the burned area Flame Lengths & Rates of Spread Flame Lengths Predicted flame lengths for all three conditions Acres and percentage of change from the Current Condition Rates of Spread Predicted rates of spread for all three conditions Acres and percentage of change from the Current Condition In Conclusion Thank You