Private Forest Landowner GHG Mitigation in the Southeast: Where is the Carbon? Christopher S. Galik Brian C. Murray Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions, Duke University D. Evan Mercer United States Forest Service, Southern Research Station 2012 Southern Forest Economics Workshop Annual Meeting Charlotte, NC; March 20- 21 Presentation Outline • Background – Supply of Carbon in the South • Methods – Linking NWOS and FIA datasets • Results – Where is the Carbon? • Conclusion – A Few Insights into Program Design Supply of Carbon – Forest management South-wide potential Derived from Murray et al. (2005) Supply of Carbon – Potential barriers to participation Galik et al. (under review) Methods – combining NWOS and FIA datasets 1. Link NWOS data on private landowner demographics and behavior with FIA data on forest conditions and management; 2. Covers thirteen Southern states (AL, AR, FL, GA, KY, LA, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, and VA); 3. Carbon estimates were compiled using state FIA data tables from FIA DataMart; Methods – combining NWOS and FIA datasets 4. For each NWOS plot, compiled aboveground and belowground carbon totals, summing across conditions for each plot to yield carbon totals for each plot and condition; 5. C values multiplied by the amount of land held by each landowner and the proportion of plot in each condition to yield estimates of stored carbon for each landowner record. So Where is the Carbon? - Step One: Landowner size So Where is the Carbon? - Step Two+: Management Attributes So Where is the Carbon? - Step Three: Forest Condition Conclusions • Small landowners make up a significant proportion of sample but a small proportion of total carbon; •Analysis appears to support availability of significant amounts of forest carbon in the Southeast; and • Delivered tons will be affected strongly by market conditions and program design. Questions? christopher.galik@duke.edu 919.681.7193 Selected References: Galik, C.S., D.M. Cooley, and J.S. Baker (under review). Assessing production and transaction costs of U.S. forest carbon offset projects. Murray, B. C., Sohngen, B. L., Sommer, A. J., Depro, B. M., Jones, K. M., McCarl, B. A., et al. (2005). Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Potential in U.S. Forestry and Agriculture. EPA-R-05-00. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Atmospheric Programs.