A Tale of Two Oregons Bruce Weber, Director, Rural Studies Program. Oregon State University Sheila Martin, Director, Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies A Tale of Two Oregons: Common Aspirations, Different Contexts, and Critical Interdependencies in Urban & Rural Oregon Sheila Martin, Director, Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies, Portland State University Bruce Weber, Director, Rural Studies Program, Oregon State University Urban and rural Oregonians hope for the same things… • Good jobs, food and shelter • Strong friendships and families • Good health and healthy environment •Vibrant communities and neighborhoods How are we different? • Density and distance • How we make our money (and how much of it we make) • How fast our populations grow • The faces we see around us • What we do with our land • Who owns the land • Access to services Defining Urban and Rural “Arugula is how I define cities. I go to a grocery store, and either you can get arugula or you can’t.” --Cindy Crawford Oregon’s Metropolitan Areas Population Density Oregon’s Core and Periphery Metro population grew faster since 1969 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 Metro Pop Growth Non Metro Pop Growth 20 05 20 03 20 01 19 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 0 19 69 Population 2,500,000 Core population stagnant since 1969 2,500,000 2,000,000 Population 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 Core Population Suburban Population Periphery 20 05 20 03 20 01 19 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 19 69 0 Metro jobs grew faster since 1969 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 Metro Job Growth Non Metro Job Growth 20 05 20 03 20 01 19 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 0 19 69 Employment 1,400,000 Core job growth stagnant since 1969 1,400,000 1,200,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 Core Jobs Suburban Jobs Periphery Jobs 20 05 20 03 20 01 19 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 0 19 69 Employment 1,000,000 Commute times high in metro /non-metro Map: Average commute times (census) Metro jobs more specialized in services, non-metro in natural resources and government 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% . at N Re s & g in n i M ns o C n io t uc tr a M f nu in ur t ac e, d a Tr g . s an r T & U e iti til s o nf n io t a rm n Fi ce n a I . of Pr Metro & Bu S s. c vi r e Nonmetro es s Ed & ed M s Le e ur s i & H p. os G ov en m n er t Source: OR Employment Dept, QCEW But farm production highest in some metro counties Per Capita Income higher and grew faster in metro counties $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 Metropolitan Nonmetropolitan 05 20 03 20 01 20 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 19 19 69 $0 Source: BEA Average Wage Per Job higher and grew faster in metro counties $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 Metropolitan Nonmetropolitan 05 20 03 20 01 20 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 19 87 19 85 19 83 19 81 19 79 19 77 19 75 19 73 19 71 19 19 69 $0 Source: BEA Transfer payments critical to non-metro Poverty rates higher in non-metro Racial-ethnic diversity in metro/non-metro More non-metro land owned by government 8th Grade Students Meeting Reading Standards in metro/nonmetro How are we Interdependent? • population movements between urban and rural areas • market-driven trade in goods and services, both across and within industry clusters • public sector taxes and spending • public and private infrastructure [finance, information, transportation, communications, utilities, healthcare, education, human services, administration of government] • environmental goods and services Operating Expenditures/Student 2006-07 School Districts on 4-day Weeks Freshman Participation Rates 2006* Community Colleges Source: OUS Institutional Research and the Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development *As a percentage of Public High School Graduates 2005-2006 Freshman Participation Rates 2006* OUS University System Source: OUS Institutional Research *As a percentage of Public High School Graduates 2005-2006 Medically Underserved Areas/Populations Non-metro Oregon generates most power Terrestrial Carbon Sequestration Potential