Probing Dark Energy via Supernova Observations : How Parametrization alters Conclusion Je-An Gu (顧哲安) National Center for Theoretical Sciences 2007/03/08 @ NTHU Content Introduction (Basic Knowledge; Motivation) Fits (fitting formulae) to dL– z Relation [& wDE(z)] (parametrization) Reconstruction of wDE(z) and Fit Testing Summary and Discussion Introduction (Motivation; Basic Knowledge, SNAP) Accelerating Expansion Based on FLRW Cosmology (homogeneous & isotropic) Supernova (SN) Type Ia Supernova (SN Ia) : – thermonulear explosion of carbon-oxide white dwarfs – • Correlation between the peak luminosity and the decline rate ⇒ absolute magnitude M ⇒ luminosity distance dL (distance precision: σmag = 0.15 mag → δdL/dL ~ 7%) • Spectral information → redshift z SN Ia Data: dL(z) [ i.e, dL,i(zi) ] [ ~ x(t) ~ position (time) ] Basic Knowledge Luminosity distance dL F: flux (energy/area×time) L: luminosity (energy/time) F= L 4π d L2 2 ⎛ dr 2 2 2 2 2⎞ + r dΩ ⎟⎟ FLRW Cosmology ds = −dt + a (t ) ⎜⎜ 2 ⎝ 1− k r ⎠ d L ( z ) = a0 r ( z )(1 + z ) = r ( z )(1 + z ) for a0 ≡ 1 (flat RW) , r(z) : coordinate distance (flat RW) r (z) = ∫ z 0 1 dz' H ( z' ) (1+z = a0/a) Basic Knowledge Magnitude m F2 / F1 = 100 ( m1 − m2 ) / 5 ( i.e. F ∝ 100 − m / 5 ) Absolute Magnitude M = m (10pc) ( m −M ) / 5 2 100 = F10pc / F = (d L / 10pc ) Distance Modulus μ ≡ m − M μ ≡ m − M = 5 log10 (d L / Mpc ) + 25 SN Ia Data: dL(z) → μ(z) Δm( z ) = m( z ) − mΛ ( z ) 1998 ↑ fiducial model Ω Λ = 0.7, Ω m = 0.3 SCP (Perlmutter et. al.) (can hardly distinguish different models) 2004 Fig.4 in astro-ph/0402512 [Riess et al., ApJ 607 (2004) 665] Gold Sample (data set) [MLCS2k2 SN Ia Hubble diagram] - Diamonds: ground based discoveries - Filled symbols: HST-discovered SNe Ia - Dashed line: best fit for a flat cosmology: ΩM=0.29 ΩΛ=0.71 2006 Riess et al. astro-ph/0611572 2006 Riess et al. astro-ph/0611572 Supernova / Acceleration Probe (SNAP) observe ~2000 SNe in 2 years statistical uncertainty σmag = 0.15 mag → 7% uncertainty in dL σsys = 0.02 mag at z =1.5 σz = 0.002 mag (negligible) z 0~0.2 0.2~1.2 1.2~1.4 1.4~1.7 # of SN 50 1800 50 15 Observations mapping out the evolution history (e.g. SNe Ia , Baryon Acoustic Oscillation) Phenomenology Data Analysis (invoking “fitting formula” / “parametrization”) Model / Theory Motivation Potential impact of improved future SNe data on our understanding of dark energy. [ To obtain DE info, e.g. wDE(z) ] Answering the questions: wDE = –1 ? wDE′ = 0 ? Showing the importance of a “good” fit to the dL– z relation in order to draw conclusion on above issues. Observations / Data mapping out the evolution history (e.g. SNe Ia , Baryon Acoustic Oscillation) Fitting Formula / Parametrization (model-independent ?) N N ⎛ ⎞ i ⎜⎜ e.g. d L ( z ) = ∑ c i z ; w φ = ∑ w i (1 + z )i ⎟⎟ i =o i =0 ⎠ ⎝ Information about Physical Quantities Characterizing our universe or DE models to be reconstructed (e.g. wφ , ρφ , statefinders{r,s} , ……) Fits (Fitting Formulae) to dL– z Relation Two Fits polynomial fit of dL N Fit 1 dL (z ) = ∑ ci z i { dL(0) = 0 ⇒ c0 = 0 } i =0 Huterer & Turner, 1999, PRD N Fit 2 w φ ( z ) = ∑ w i (1 + z ) i =0 i Maor, Brustein, & Steinhardt, 2001, PRL Astier, astro-ph/0008306 Weller & Albrecht, 2001, PRL Fit 1 N dL (z ) = ∑ ci z i i =0 (flat RW) { dL(0) = 0 ⇒ c0 = 0 } (polynomial fit of dL) ρ&φ = −3H (1 + wφ ) ρφ r (z) = ∫ a& 8πG H= = ( ρ m + ρφ ) a 3 1+wφ ← H & ρφ ρφ ← H (or r ′) & ρm(z) [r (z ) = dL (z ) /(1 + z )] (a0 ≡ 1) a −1 = 1 + z z 0 1 dz' H ( z' ) (H = 1/r ′) (well known) Å [ data Î dL or ci ] ( Ωi ≡ ρi / ρc ) 3 ′ ′ ′ 1 + z 3Ω H (1 + z ) + 2r / r ⇒ 1 + wφ = 3 2 3 Ω H (1 + z ) − 1/ r ′ 2 m 0 2 m 0 2 Fit 2 N w φ = ∑ w i (1 + z )i i =0 1+ z fit dL (z) = Ho ∫ (1 + z′)−3 / 2 d z′ z 0 Ω m + Ωφ (1 + z′) (Ω φ 3w 0 [ ] ⎧ N ⎫ i exp ⎨3 ∑ (1 + z′) − 1 w i / i ⎬ ⎩ i =1 ⎭ = 1− Ωm ) Other Fits / Parametrizations • w(a)= w0+waz/(1+z) Linder 2003, PRL 90, 091301 • H ( x) h( x ) = = Ω m x 3 + A0 + A1 x + A2 x H0 x = 1 + z , A0 + A1 + A2 = 1 − Ω m Alam, Sahni, Saini & Starobinsky, astro-ph/0311364 Reconstruction of wDE (z) Testing Parametrizations ( Weller & Albrecht 2001, PRD, astro-ph/0106079 ) Procedures of Testing Parametrizations Background cosmology [pick a DE Model with wDEth(z)] ↓ generate Data w.r.t. SNAP (Monte Carlo simulation) employ a Fit to the dL(z) or w(z) reconstruct wDEexp’t (z) ↓ compare wDEexp’t and wDEth Fit 1 N d ( z ) = ∑ ci z i fit L background cosmology: ΛCDM { Ωm = 0.3, ΩΛ = 0.7 } i =0 ⎛ Ω ≡ ρi ⎞ ⎜ i ρ c ⎟⎠ ⎝ 1 + z 3Ω m H 02 (1 + z )2 + 2r ′′ / r ′3 1+ wφ = 3 Ω m H 02 (1 + z )3 − 1/ r ′2 ¾Best Fit: Minimizing the χ2 function: ⎛d χ ({ c i }) = ∑ ⎜⎜ k =0 ⎝ N 2 z exp' t L (function of ci’s) (zk ) − d (zk ) ⎞ ⎟⎟ δd L ( zk ) ⎠ fit L 2 ¾Error Evaluation: Gaussian error propagation: [from dL(z) to w(z)] dL(z) → w(z) δw φ = ∑ 2 i j ∂w φ ∂w φ ∂c i ∂c j σ ij σ ij : covariant matrix of the simulated sample of c i δd L ( zk ) = σ mag d L ( zk )(ln10) / 5 N dL (z ) = ∑ ci z i N=3 N=3 i =0 N=5 wDE N=4 z N=4 mean value: error bar: N=3 Æ N=4 Æ N=5 wrong; N=4.5 Æ ok best reconstruction for wφ but only – 1.3 < wφ < – 0.7 at the 1σ level Fit 2 N w φ = ∑ w i (1 + z )i i =0 1+ z z fit dL (z) = H o ∫0 ¾Best Fit: (1 + z′)−3 / 2 dz′ Ω m + Ωφ (1 + z′) 3w 0 [ ] ⎧ N ⎫ exp⎨3∑ (1 + z′)i − 1w i / i ⎬ ⎩ i =1 ⎭ (Ω φ minimizing the χ2 function: ⎛d χ ({ w i }) = ∑ ⎜⎜ k =0 ⎝ Nz 2 exp' t L (zk ) − d (zk ) ⎞ ⎟⎟ δd L (zk ) ⎠ fit L ¾Error Bar: Gaussian error propagation: δw φ = ∑ 2 i j ∂w φ ∂w φ ∂w i ∂w j σ ij = ∑ (1 + z)i+ j σ ij i j δd L ( zk ) = σ mag d L ( zk )(ln10) / 5 2 = 1− Ωm ) Background Cosmology: Periodic Potential V (φ ) = V0 [1 + δ sin( βφ )] e − λφ PNGB Inverse Tracker SUGRA Brane Periodic Potential Pure Exponential Two Exponentials Trapped Minimum Model Exponential Tracker wDE Background Cosmology: N=0 Periodic Potential V (φ ) = V0 [1 + δ sin( βφ )] e N=2 TH − λφ N=1 z N=0 N=0 fit: N=1 fit: N=2 fit: Error bars: N=1 N=2 wφ = const cannot reproduce the evolving model poor for z > 0.6 better {N=1} ~ {N=2} for z < 0.7 ; {N=2} increases rapidly for z > 0.7 Distinguishing Λ and other models via N=1 fit (Ωm=0.3) wDE z Periodic Potential Inverse Tracker SUGRA V (φ ) = V0 [1 + δ sin( βφ )]e − λφ V (φ ) = M 4+α / φ α V (φ ) = M 4 +α φ −α exp (φ / M pl )2 / 2 [ ] Background Cosmology: Periodic Potential Ωm=0.3 V (φ ) = V0 [1 + δ sin( βφ )] e − λφ N=0 N=1 N=0, χ2 = 31 (poor) N=1, χ2 = 0.47 (good enough) N=2 N=2, χ2 = 7.3×10-3 Background Cosmology: Periodic Potential V (φ ) = V0 [1 + δ sin( βφ )] e − λφ w, N=1 (Ωm=0.3) w, N=2 dL, N=3 dL, N=2 best fit Can we reconstruct an evolving wφ with SNe ? N N i =0 i =0 ~ zi w φ ( z ) = ∑ w i (1 + z )i = ∑ w i ⎛k ⎞ ~ w i = ∑ ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟w k k =0 ⎝ i ⎠ N ⎛ k ⎞⎛ l ⎞ Gaussian error propagatio n : δw = ∑ ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟⎜⎜ ⎟⎟σ kl kl ⎝ i ⎠⎝ i ⎠ ~ = w +w , w ~ =w Use N = 1 fit : w 0 0 1 1 1 2 i The evolution coefficients with error bars for the linear fit ~ +w ~z wφ = w 0 1 “+” : evolution ; “–” : no evolution; “0” : marginal evolution ~ w 0 δw~0 ~ w 1 δw~1 PNGB Inverse Tracker SUGRA Brane Periodic Potential Pure Exponential Two Exponentials Trapped Minimum Model Exponential Tracker ~ +w ~z wφ = w 0 1 Distinguish wφ = const and evolving wφ 68.3% confidence 99% confidence SUGRA SUGRA wφ=const. (-1< wφ <0) Periodic Periodic Conclusion ¾ Fit 2 N ⎡ i⎤ ⎢w φ = ∑ w i (1 + z ) ⎥ i =0 ⎣ ⎦ better ¾ SNAP data + {w, N=1} fit distinguishing Λ and other models? telling us whether wφ evolves? Good Not so good Another Example • Alam, Sahni, and Starobinsky, 2004, JCAP, astro-ph/0403687 “The case for Dynamical dark energy revisited ” ( Hey! Surprise! Constant wDE is disfavored!! ) • Jönsson, Goobar, Amanullah, and Bergström, 2004, JCAP, astro-ph/0404468 “No evidence for dark energy metamorphosis? ” ( You must be kidding me …… ) Alam, Sahni, and Starobinsky, 2004 ρ DE ( x ) / ρ 0c = A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 x ≡ 1+ z ( ~ a truncated Taylor series of the dark energy density ) A1x + 2 A2 x 2 • w DE ( x ) = −1 + 3( A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 ) • Flatness : Ωm + ΩDE = 1 Î A0 + A1 + A2 = 1−Ωm Prior : Ωm = 0.3 ( Ω i ≡ ρi / ρ c ) Alam, Sahni, and Starobinsky, 2004 • Parametrization : wDE ρ DE ( x ) = A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 ρ0c • Prior : flatness ; Ωm = 0.3 z ⇓ Constant wDE is disfavored. Testing the parametrization : ρ DE ( x ) / ρ 0c = A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 Parametrization vs. Reality ⎧Reality : fR ( x ) ~ sin x ⎨ ⎩Parametrization : fP ( x ) = a0 + a1x In this case, it is not surprising to have something wrong. ⎧Reality : fR ( x ) = constant ⎨ ⎩Parametrization : fP ( x ) = a0 + a1x In this case, fp(x) can exactly realize fR(x). Naively, this parametrization should be good to obtain info. Jönsson, Goobar, Amanullah, & Bergström, 2004 Testing the parametrization : ρ DE ( x ) / ρ 0c = A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 (which can exactly realize ρΛ) Fiducial model : flat ΛCDM (exactly realized by the above) Î Simulated SN data Î Fitting data via ρ DE ( x ) / ρ 0c = A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 Î Obtaining information about parameters As and physical quantities, e.g., wDE(z). Î Comparing with the flat-ΛCDM fiducial model Jönsson, Goobar, Amanullah, & Bergström, 2004 Jönsson, Goobar, Amanullah, & Bergström, 2004 Jönsson, Goobar, Amanullah, & Bergström, 2004 Data • Parametrization : analyzed by invoking ρ DE ( x ) = A0 + A1x + A2 x 2 ρ0c Physical Information Conclusion very unstable Very sensitive to the fine details of the data Summary and Discussion Observations / Data mapping out the evolution history (e.g. SNe Ia , Baryon Acoustic Oscillation) Fitting Formula / Parametrization analyzed by invoking (model-independent ?) N N ⎛ ⎞ i ⎜⎜ e.g. d L ( z ) = ∑ c i z ; w φ = ∑ w i (1 + z )i ⎟⎟ i =o i =0 ⎠ ⎝ Information about Physical Quantities Characterizing our universe or DE models to be reconstructed (e.g. wφ , ρφ , statefinders{r,s} , ……) Summary & Discussion • Different parametrizations may give different conclusions. • A suitable parametrization for answering the question whether w = constant is yet to be worked out. [ Linder 2003 (PRL 90, 091301): w(a)= w0+waz/(1+z) ] • For answering different questions or for obtaining different physical information, we may need different parametrizations. Happy Women’s Day !! International Women’s Day (March 8) http://www.un.org/ecosocdev/geninfo/women/womday97.htm Pure exponentia l : V (φ ) = V0e − λφ 4 −1 V0 = 10 −120 M pl , λ = M pl , φ (0) = 0.135M pl , φ&(0) = 0 Pseudo - Nambu - Goldstone - boson (PNGB) : V (φ ) = M 4 [cos(φ / f ) + 1] 4 M 4 = 1.001× 10 −120 M pl , f = 0.1 M pl , φ (0) = 1.184 × 10 −4 M pl , φ&(0) = 0 Cosmologic al tracker solutions : V (φ ) = M 4 +α / φ α M = 9.09 × 10 −31M pl V (φ ) = M 4e M / φ Supergravi ty (SUGRA) potential : M 4 +α φα ⎡1 ⎛ φ exp⎢ ⎜ ⎢ 2 ⎜⎝ M pl ⎣ M = 2.11× 10 −12 M pl , α = 6 ⎞ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ 2 ⎤ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ M = 1.611× 10 −8 M pl α = 11 PNGB Inverse Tracker SUGRA Brane Periodic Potential Pure Exponential Two Exponentials Trapped Minimum Model Exponential Tracker Dark Energy Phenomenology : How Parametrization alters Conclusion 2007/03/08 @ NTHU