2012 Blue Hen Poll Public Release www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll The Blue Hen Poll • Annual Scientific Survey • Applied research, quantitative literacy, and communication skills • “For Students, By Students” • The Blue Hen Poll is a “Tool” www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 2 BLUE HEN POLL METHODOLOGY Andrew Hellwege www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 4 Methodology • Public opinion of full-time undergraduates at Newark campus • Sample of 5,000 students – Census of racial minority students – Random sample of white and international students • Weighted data to ensure representativeness of results www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll Methodology • Web survey – Inexpensive and convenient • Survey conducted between March 11 – April 9 – Reminder emails sent out • Response rate: 32% – Approximately double average response rate of surveys at UD www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll Students and Politics • Political Engagement for Students • What will students do? • 2012 Presidential Election www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 111 Interest in Politics Among Students Are Students interested in Politics? Not very or Not at all Interested in Politics 38% Very or Somewhat Interested in Politics 62% 0% 20% 40% 60% www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 80% 100% 112 Fall Plans in Politics Percentage of students saying they will participate in these activities 100% 92% 86% 2008 80% 2012 60% 40% 32% 29% 20% 11% 17% 24% 15% 0% Intend to vote in 2012 Pres. Election Wear button, hat, t-shirt, sticker? Attend a poltical event www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll Attend a Poltical Group meeting 113 Partisanship Among Students 2008 2012 6% 5% 20% Dem. Rep. 53% Ind. 41% 29% Other 22% 24% www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 114 Measuring Overall Political Participation 100% Percentage of students saying how much they will participate in the five questions we asked on political participation Percent 80% 60% 40% 16% 20% 5% 4% -5 (Weak) -4 11% 16% 9% 14% 9% 8% 2 3 2% 6% 4 5 (Strong) 0% -3 -2 -1 0 1 www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 115 Average Level of Participation Political Participation Index by Party ID 1.4 0.9 0.4 Republican -0.1 -0.6 -1.1 0.07 Independent Other Democrat -0.47 -0.97 -1.30 -1.6 www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 116 Percent Presidential Poll 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Students First Choice in the 2012 Presidential Election 61% 10% 2% Obama 13% 9% 1% Romney Santorum Paul 1% 1% Gingrich Another No choice Unsure www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 117 Welcome and Thanks www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 1 www.udel.edu/bluehenpoll 118