Gerenser 1 Potential Impacts of Emerald Ash Borer (Agrilus planipennis) on Plant Community and Biomass Dynamics in Mature Ash Forests in New York Great Lakes Basin State Parks Kalie A. Gerenser SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry Edna Bailey Sussman Foundation Final Report 2011 Description of Research The main goal of my research was to quantify ecological impacts of emerald ash borer (EAB) on understory plant community and overstory biomass dynamics in 8 New York State Parks (NYSP) within the GLB containing high-value, mature ash forest stands. Parks include: Beaver Island, Buttermilk Falls, Chimney Bluffs, Green Lakes, Harriet Hollister Spencer, Jacques Cartier, Letchworth, and Wellsley Island. Many of the parks contain forest types that are designated as significant ecological communities by the NY Natural Heritage Program (NHP) and likewise, they contain relatively high densities of ash. A complete ecological survey was performed to give insight on the potential destructive behavior EAB will cause for forests containing either green or white ash species so New York State Office of Parks, Recreation and Historic Preservation (OPRHP) personnel can proactively prepare a management plan. Essentially, the 8 state parks can be used as a baseline for the remaining state parks that also contain similar high-value ash forests. By working in conjunction with the OPRHP, the following questions are currently working to be answered: (1) Within each park, how important is ash for the functioning of the ecosystem and the community? (2) Within each park, approximately how much biomass will be lost with ash mortality? (3) What species (native or invasive) will potentially colonize the gaps created by (white, green) ash mortality? (4) Can we predict what affected green ash and white ash forests will look like in the future? Narrative of Work Completed In April 2011, I began sampling in the 8 state parks. 20 x 20 m fixed-area plots were used to sample tree species importance values and biomass in the different forest types represented in each park. Overstory trees greater than 10 cm diameter at breast height (DBH) were quantified (species, DBH, height) for use in allometric equations to predict the biomass loss due to ash mortality. Plots were identified using ArcGIS, and were based on the presence and species of ash as a canopy layer (by selecting for communities that often contain white ash and/or green ash). Plots were randomly selected if they were greater than 50 m apart and 50 m away from human disturbances (roads, buildings, trails). Plots were only sampled if they were located in mature (mid to late successional) stands with at least 10% ash. Height was taken for five trees at each site to form a linear regression equation (y = 0.26x + 12.53, 2 R =0.3872) to calculate the remaining tree heights. Within each 20 x 20 m plot, four 3 x 3 m subplots were used to record the diameter and species of subcanopy shrubs and saplings. Within each subplot, two 50 x 50 cm microplots were used to record the species and percent cover of both native and invasive herbaceous understory vegetation. Particular emphasis was placed on identifying invasive species that may benefit from these canopy gaps and thus, foster further changes. Gerenser 2 Total aboveground biomass data was analyzed using allometric equations, which requires the measured DBH and height of each tree. The importance value (IV) was also calculated by taking the average of the relative density and relative dominance. This value is vital in determining the influence of trees and saplings in the community to predict which species will potentially replace ash subjected to EAB-induced mortality. Preliminary Results Table 1 Summary data for 34 plots deployed in forested stands with a green ash and/or white ash component in eight NY state parks in the Great Lakes Basin in 2011. Park No. plots No. tree species Ash IV (%) Ash Biomass (%) No. invasive plants Dominant ash species Green White Green White Green White Green White Green White Beaver Island 3 --- 8 --- 36.9 --- 33.8 --- 2 --- Buttermilk Falls 4 --- 13 --- 16.0 --- 10.8 --- 2 --- Chimney Bluffs 3 2 7 10 39.2 33.0 46.1 39.9 1 1 Green Lakes --- 4 --- 6 --- 34.5 --- 46.0 --- 4 Harriet Hollister --- 3 --- 7 --- 18.9 --- 20.8 --- 0 Jacques Cartier 3 --- 7 --- 60.5 --- 56.8 --- 0 --- Letchworth 3 4 8 12 40.0 37.5 43.3 45.8 3 2 Wellesley Island 3 2 9 9 41.2 22.6 21.2 17.1 1 2 A total of 34 plots were sampled in the eight state parks. Tree species richness was 26 and overall plant richness was 41. All tree species were native. There were 36 native and 5 non-native herbaceous plants in the field plots, including garlic mustard, lesser burdock, autumn olive, stinging nettle, and multiflora rose. Nonnative species found within the plots, but not physically inside the measured microplots, include Japanese barberry, Japanese honeysuckle, common dandelion, and pale swallowwort. There were no non-native plant species observed within the plots or along the edges of field plots in Jacques Cartier and Harriet Hollister Spencer State Parks. Nineteen plots were deployed in forests with green ash as a component in five state parks. Green ash was the dominant tree species, based on both aboveground biomass (29.6%) and importance value (33.2%). In terms of biomass, the next most dominant species were sugar maple, eastern cottonwood, and silver maple. With regards to IV, sugar maple, shagbark hickory, and eastern cottonwood were the most important. Important sapling species based on IV include sugar maple, American hophornbeam, and green ash. Sixteen plots were deployed in forests with white ash as a component in 4 state parks. White ash was the dominant tree species on the basis of aboveground biomass (36.0%) and importance value (31.1%). Sugar maple, white oak, red maple, and red oak were the next highest species in terms of biomass, which was similar in terms of IV with sugar maple, red maple, and white oak having the next highest IVs. Important sapling species based on IV include sugar maple, black cherry and American beech. Gerenser 3 Preliminary Conclusions Overall, white ash and green ash both appear to be important overstory tree species in a significant amount of the surveyed plots located in mature ash forests. The only other species that surpassed this IV is sugar maple, suggesting that if EAB does destroy all ash trees, sugar maple should be the next species to focus management efforts. This is also seen in the sapling count, which shows sugar maple as an important understory species in plots where both white and green ash are a component. The sapling count shows little to no white ash for replacement, but a small amount of green ash saplings to suggest a possible regeneration, however EAB has been known to attack even the smallest saplings. There is the question of what understory vegetation will win the battle for establishment in the canopy gaps created by ash mortality. It may be invasive plants or the seedlings of native trees, such as sugar maple, green ash, black cherry, and American beech. As for the biomass estimations, a large amount of biomass is expected to be lost as a result of ash mortality. In green ash forests, green ash comprises 29.6% of the aboveground biomass, while in white ash forests, white ash comprises 36.0% of the aboveground biomass. This large decrease in biomass is expected to alter the forest community structure significantly, and likewise, offset the carbon sink. Future Work To complete my thesis, community data will be analyzed using PC-ORD, which will provide graphical relationships of tree and plant species within the forested communities and elucidate invasive plants current importance value in these parks as many of them may benefit from the gaps created in the canopy by ash mortality. Right now, I only identified 5 invasive plants in my plots. However, there appear to be plenty of potential invaders lurking on the edges. Although they may not be in the forest now, the canopy gaps created by ash mortality may facilitate their spread to the forest understory. This analysis, combined with the previous results, will provide the OPRHP with the appropriate information they need to create an EAB plan of action for the NYSP. Future work could continue by revisiting all of the sites at periodic intervals during and after EAB hits. It would be interesting to compare the plant community and biomass dynamic data to those taken after an EAB-induced ash decline in order to gain a better understanding of EAB’s impact at different stages of infestation. Acknowledgements My sincerest appreciation goes to my advisor, Dr. Melissa K. Fierke for believing in my scientific abilities, despite me not being a typical graduate student. I would also like to thank my two committee members, Dr. Gregory McGee, at SUNY ESF and Melissa Plemons at the Office of Parks, Recreation, and Historical Preservation (OPRHP). Melissa Plemons graciously agreed to sponsor this project, which really helped make it a shining success. I would also like to thank my loving parents, Louis and Mary Ann Gerenser, who offered to help countless times during my field season. My wonderful fiancé Jeffrey Brady, also deserves great thanks for not only helping with the field research, but also for sharing and embracing my passion for nature. Lastly, I would like to thank the Edna Bailey Sussman Foundation for their outstanding contribution to my research. The foundation has been, and will continue to be acknowledged in all presentations and publications that may result from this research. Pictures One of the 50 x 50 cm microplots A green ash surrounded by invasive garlic mustard in Letchworth State Park Gerenser 4