BU7527 Example sheet — 1 Mike Peardon — mjp@maths.tcd.ie School of Mathematics, TCD Monday, 28th September Try to answer these questions before tomorrow’s lectures. We will go through solutions in class. 1. Two dice are rolled. What is the probability the biggest number showing on either of the dice was more than four given the smallest number was more than two? 2. A group of friends, three men and six women are going out and call a taxi. A random selection of four friends get into the taxi. Find the probability the taxi contains 1. Two men and two women. 2. Four women. 3. At least two men. 3. In a game, a player takes turns to roll a die and keeps a count of N , the number of turns taken. If the number showing is less than or equal to N , the game stops. Find P (N = n) at the end of the game for all possible values of n. 4. Two fair dice are rolled. If we define two events A and B such that A is said to have occurred if the first roll is a six and B is said to have occured if the sum of the two rolls is seven then are A and B independent? What if the sum of the rolls is ten? 5. Bayes theorem: The probability your friend finds a mathematics lecture interesting is 95% and mathematics lectures make up 10% of their modules this semester. The probability they find a lecture for any other course interesting is 5%. You overhead your friend saying they have just enjoyed an interesting lecture. What is the probability they have just attended a mathematics lecture? 6. Binomial experiment: To improve profits, the airline BinomialAir sells more tickets for each flight than there are seats on its planes. Each plane has 20 seats and the airline always sells 24 tickets. On average, 19 passengers actually check in. What is the probability that on a particular flight, more passengers check in than can be accommodated on the plane? 1