RATEOFCONVERGENCEFOR MULTI PLECHANGE- POI NTSESTI

advertisement
Appl
.Mat
h.J.Chi
ne
s
eUni
v.Se
r
.B
2005,20(4):416422
RATEOFCONVERGENCEFOR MULTI
PLECHANGEPOI
NTSESTI
MATI
ON OFMOVI
NGAVERAGEPROCESSES
LiYunxi
a Zha
ngLi
xi
n
.I
,t
Abs
t
r
ac
t
nt
hi
spa
pe
r
hel
e
a
s
ts
qua
r
ee
s
t
i
ma
t
ori
nt
hepr
obl
e
m ofmul
t
i
pl
ec
ha
ngepoi
nt
s
e
s
t
i
ma
t
i
on i
ss
t
udi
e
d.He
r
e,t
hemovi
nga
ve
r
a
gepr
oc
e
s
s
e
sofALNQD s
e
que
nc
ei
nt
heme
a
n
s
hi
f
t
sa
r
edi
s
c
us
s
e
d.Whe
nt
henumbe
rofc
ha
ngepoi
nt
si
sknown,t
her
a
t
eofc
onve
r
ge
nc
eof
c
ha
ngepoi
nt
se
s
t
i
ma
t
i
oni
sde
r
i
ve
d.Ther
e
s
ul
ti
sa
l
s
ot
r
uef
orρmi
xi
ng,φ
mi
xi
ng,α
mi
xi
ng,
a
s
s
oc
i
a
t
e
da
ndne
ga
t
i
ve
l
ya
s
s
oc
i
a
t
e
ds
e
que
nc
e
sunde
rs
ui
t
a
bl
ec
ondi
t
i
ons.
*+ I
,t
r
-./c
t
0
-,
.1i
Thec
hangepoi
ntpr
obl
e
mi
sve
r
yi
mpor
t
anti
nmanyappl
i
c
at
i
ons
t
he
rt
hes
t
at
i
s
t
i
c
s
on t
he e
c
onome
t
r
i
c
sl
i
t
e
r
at
ur
ec
ont
ai
ns a vas
tamountofwor
k on i
s
s
ue
sr
e
l
at
e
dt
o
s
t
r
uc
t
ur
alc
hange,andt
hec
hangepoi
nt
sofar
andom pr
oc
e
s
shavebe
e
nwe
l
lde
t
e
c
t
e
dand
.2nc
l
oc
at
e
df
ormor
et
hanf
or
t
yye
ar
s
et
hec
hangepoi
nt
sar
epr
ope
r
l
yl
oc
at
e
d,t
heor
i
gi
nal
mode
ls
houl
dbemodi
f
i
e
dac
c
or
di
ngl
yt
opr
ovi
debe
t
t
e
ri
nt
e
r
pr
e
t
at
i
onofdat
aandmor
e
.The
ac
c
ur
at
ef
or
e
c
as
t
s
r
e
f
or
ec
hangepoi
nt
se
s
t
i
mat
i
on pl
ays a ve
r
y ac
t
i
ve r
ol
ei
n
e
c
onome
t
r
i
cmode
l
l
i
ng.
Mos
tofe
ar
l
ye
f
f
or
t
shavebe
e
nde
vot
e
dt
ot
hede
t
e
c
t
i
onofauni
quec
hangepoi
ntby
.Ther
.Among
many di
f
f
e
r
e
ntme
t
hods
andom pr
oc
e
s
s
e
sdi
s
c
us
s
e
d we
r
e al
s
o di
f
f
e
r
e
nt
t
he
s
e,t
hemovi
ngave
r
agepr
oc
e
s
swhi
c
h hasbe
e
n wi
de
l
ys
t
udi
e
d by many aut
hor
si
s
415
.3ai
s
t
i
mat
ori
na
pr
opos
e
dt
hel
e
as
t
s
quar
e(LS)e
s
pe
c
i
al
l
yus
e
f
uli
nt
hee
c
onome
t
r
i
c
s
.I
movi
ngave
r
agepr
oc
e
s
s
nt
hatpape
rt
hec
ons
i
s
t
e
nc
yandt
her
at
eofc
onve
r
ge
nc
eoft
he
.i
.dvar
e
s
t
i
mat
orf
ori
i
abl
e
sormar
t
i
ngal
edi
f
f
e
r
e
nc
e
sar
eobt
ai
ne
d.
Re
c
e
nt
l
y,t
hel
i
t
e
r
at
ur
eaddr
e
s
s
i
ngt
hei
s
s
ueofmul
t
i
pl
es
t
r
uc
t
ur
alc
hange
si
sr
e
l
at
i
ve
l
y
s
par
s
e.I
nt
hi
sc
ont
r
i
but
i
onwedi
s
c
us
sal
e
as
t
s
quar
ee
s
t
i
mat
or(LS)ofmul
t
i
pl
ec
hange415
poi
nt
se
s
t
i
mat
i
on pr
opos
e
dby3ai .Wehaves
t
udi
e
dt
hec
ons
i
s
t
e
nc
yoft
hee
s
t
i
mat
or
be
f
or
e.He
r
e,t
her
at
eofc
onve
r
ge
nc
eoft
hec
hangepoi
nt
se
s
t
i
mat
i
on i
sde
r
i
ve
d,whi
c
h
415
e
xt
e
ndst
her
e
s
ul
t
sof3ai .
1128.
Re
c
e
i
ve
d:200305.
MR Subj
e
c
tCl
a
s
s
i
f
i
c
a
t
i
on:60F05,62F10,62F12,62J
:me
,mul
,movi
,ALNQD,l
Ke
ywor
ds
a
ns
hi
f
t
t
i
pl
ec
ha
ngepoi
nt
s
nga
ve
r
a
gepr
oc
e
s
s
e
a
s
ts
qua
r
e.
Suppor
t
e
dbyt
heNa
t
i
ona
lNa
t
ur
a
lSc
i
e
nc
eFounda
t
i
onofChi
na(10471126).
.
;<V=nO<
m,>
tm?
@ATABF[BN]A@CAN[AFB@ DELTI
FLA[GANCAFBI
NTSASTI
DATI
BN...:
19
,wec
Fi
r
s
t
ons
i
de
raki
ndofde
pe
nde
nc
ede
f
i
ne
di
n[12],whi
c
hc
anber
e
gar
de
das
)andi
as
ympt
ot
i
c
al
l
yl
i
ne
arne
gat
i
vequadr
antde
pe
nde
nc
e(ALNQD,f
ors
hor
t
swe
ake
r
*
t
hane
i
t
he
rLNQD orρ mi
xi
ng.I
nt
hel
as
ts
e
c
t
i
on,wewi
l
lpoi
ntoutt
hatal
lourr
e
s
ul
t
s
ar
eal
s
ot
r
uef
orρmi
xi
ng,φ
mi
xi
ng,αmi
xi
ng,as
s
oc
i
at
e
d,ne
gat
i
ve
l
yas
s
oc
i
at
e
ds
e
que
nc
e
s
.
unde
rs
omes
ui
t
abl
ec
ondi
t
i
ons
P
Le
tMbeac
l
as
soff
unc
t
i
onsoft
hef
or
m N(O1,O2,...,OP)QR SR(PT 1)whi
c
har
e
c
oor
di
nat
e
wi
s
emonot
oni
c
al
l
ynonde
c
r
e
as
i
ng.Fort
wor
andom var
i
abl
e
sU andV,de
f
i
ne
[ov(N(U),\(V))
ρW (U,V)X YZ s
up
,
(]ar
N(U))1^2(]ar
\(V))1^2
2
2
whe
r
et
hes
upi
st
ake
nove
ral
lN,\_ Ms
uc
ht
hat‘[N(U)]ab and‘[\(V)]ab.For
anydi
s
c
oi
nts
ubs
e
t
sd,efg,de
f
i
ne
ρW (d,e)X s
uphρW (U,V)QU _ i(d),V_ i(e)j,
ml T Yandmlp Yf
j,andi(e)i
whe
r
ei(d)X hk l_ dmln
orf
i
ni
t
e
l
ymanylq
r
sde
f
i
ne
d
lo
s
i
mi
l
ar
l
y.
st
u
v
wv
x
v
ywz.z.A s
e
que
nc
ehn
l_{ji
ss
ai
dt
obeas
ympt
ot
i
c
al
l
yl
i
ne
arne
gat
i
vequadr
ant
lo
W
W
)Xs
(d,e)T|
,d,ef{ar
uphρ (d,e)odi
s
t
ef
i
ni
t
ejS Yas|
de
pe
nde
nt(ALNQD)i
fρ (|
Sb.
}~ Thtmydt
lawdx
htmav
wr
t
s
ul
x
hemode
ldi
s
c
us
s
e
di
nt
hi
s
Wec
ons
i
de
ras
e
que
nc
eofr
andom var
i
abl
e
sV1,...,Vn,t
:
pape
ri
sasf
ol
l
ows
*
*
VtX µ*
,t
≤t
1≤ l≤ |
.
l + Ut
lW 1 + 1≤ t
l,
(2.1)
Uti
sas
t
at
i
onar
ymovi
ngave
r
agepr
oc
e
s
sgi
ve
nby
b
UtX
k mn
,
(2.2)
Pt
WP
P
XY
b
ot
_ {ji
whe
r
ehmP,PT Yji
sas
e
que
nc
eofr
e
alnumbe
r
swi
t
hk PX 1|mP|a b andhn
sa
t
2
,Ya ‘n
s
e
que
nc
eofs
t
at
i
onar
yALNQD r
andom var
i
abl
e
swi
t
h‘n
Thi
smode
l
tX Y
ta b.
*
1≤l≤
me
anst
hat|c
hange
saf
f
e
c
tt
hedi
s
t
r
i
but
i
onof(Vt)ats
omeunknowni
ns
t
ant
s(t
l,
*
*
*
*
*
,
,t
)wi
.So,Wewi
|
t
t
ht
nτ
l
le
s
t
i
mat
et
heunknownbr
e
akpoi
nt
s5 X
YXY
|
+ 1X n
lX[
l]
*
*
(τ
...,τ
r
om n obs
e
r
vat
i
ons V1,...,Vn.The me
an val
ue
s ar
e as
s
ume
d wi
t
h
1,
| ) f
*
*
mi
nl|µl+ 1Wµl |6Yandt
henumbe
rofbr
e
aks|i
st
r
e
at
e
dasknown.
Theme
t
hodofe
s
t
i
mat
i
onc
ons
i
de
r
e
di
sbas
e
dont
hel
e
as
t
s
quar
ec
r
i
t
e
r
i
on.Le
t7n,|X
h(t
...,t
,t
at
..at
jbet
.I
t
hes
e
tofal
l
owabl
e|
par
t
i
t
i
ons
n
Y,
1,
|
+ 1)
YX Y
1at
2a.
|at
|
+ 1Xn
,t
t
hes
e
que
l
hef
ol
l
owi
ngs
e
tofal
l
owabl
e|
par
t
i
t
i
onsi
sal
s
oc
ons
i
de
r
e
d:
8n
n,|
7
X h(t
t
...,t
:t
8nj,
Y,
1,
|
+ 1)
lW t
lW 1 T n
whe
r
e8ni
sas
e
que
nc
eofnoni
nc
r
e
as
i
ngnonne
gat
i
venumbe
r
ss
uc
ht
hat8nSYasnSb at
s
omepr
e
s
c
r
i
be
dr
at
e.
G9mL
G0
7pp8
:G;G1:W
+<
=
<>+W
?G5<
-
xE6
GOo,soGx
@o/
∈ *+,-,.
1
Fore
ac
ht
he/
e
a0
.
0
23ar
e4567e
0
.
8
9a.
or
0o:.
he9e
a;0ar
e:
8
r
0
.o<.
a8
;e
=<>
,0
98
;8
98
?
8
;@.
he0
39 o:0
23ar
er
e
0
8
=3a/
0
3<0
.
8
.
3.
8
;@.
he
98
;.
heo<A
e
c
.
8
Be:
3;c
.
8
o;a;=
7,
=e
;o.
8
;@.
her
e
0
3/
.
8
;@0
39 a0C+4t
L
K
HE
C+4t
7D
E
98
;
JH E4NLM FK7O
+ 4FE,GGG,F-H E7∈ I-H EJ
KD EL
DL
KM E
HE
L
K
E
P
4OGQ7
JH E4NLM N4LKM E,LK77O,
+J
DL
KD EL
KM E
V ,X
,X74XY W7 .
7D
Rhe
r
e,:
ora;> 0
e
23e
;c
e SFLTL∈ U,Re =e
;o.
eV
F4W
he aBe
r
a@eF4W
D
X
4XM W
7M EJ LD WH EFLGFora;>1
,t
[
∈ *+,-,Re=e
Mt
[
\ ] D 9a^‘L
[
G
Zar
.
8
.
8
o;0t
:
8
;e\t
KML
K‘
E_ K_ -
aher
a.
eo:c
o;Be
r
@e
;c
eo:.
hec
ha;@e1
Zo8
;.
0e
0
.
8
9a.
8
o;8
0o<.
a8
;e
=8
;.
he:
o/
/
oR8
;@G
∈ UH T8
bcd
ef
d
g hGiGj8
Be
;.
hec
ha;@e1
Zo8
;.
09o=e
/4OGE7,SkLlL
0a0
.
a.
8
o;ar
>/
8
;e
ar
]
noT8
Zr
oc
e
0
0o:.
he:
or
9 4OGO7,Rhe
r
eSmXlX
0a0
e
23e
;c
eo:r
e
a/;39<e
r
0R8
.
hJ XD o‘mX‘
p ] a;=Sq
lL∈ UT8
Do,op
0a0
e
23e
;c
eo:0
.
a.
8
o;ar
>r5stur
a;=o9 Bar
8
a</
e
0R8
.
hvq
L
L
O
vq
r0
0
39e.
ha.
Lp]G
0
3Z
v‘q
‘OH w p ]
L
H
:
or0
o9ewY oG
4OGx7
L
∈U
5e
.Sy+T+n o <eaZo0
8
.
8
Be;o;1
8
;c
r
e
a0
8
;@0
e
23e
;c
e0
3c
h.
ha./
8
9y+D oa;=/
8
9+y+D ],/
e
.
+z ]
+z ]
{
y+
y+
7oBe
,
t
e.
heBa/
3eo:t.
ha.98
;8
98
?
e
0C+4t
r*+,-,.
ha.8
0
+ <
{
y+
t
r
@98
;C+4t
7,
+ D a
y+
t
∈ *+,-
7T8
,Rh8
7Gahe
_
Rhe
r
ear
@98
;S|4}
0.
heZo8
;.
c
h98
;8
98
?
e
0.
he:
3;c
.
8
o;|4}
;:
ora/
/E_X
E
{M~
*
,~
X
X DOp
*
*
‘F*
D9a^E_ K_ -‘F*
G
;=λ
KH EMF
K ‘a
KH EMF
K‘
(+λ),RhereλD98;
E_ K_ -
O
() *f
ee+
G
aoZr
oBeahe
or
e
9 OGE,Re;e
e
=:
o/
/
oR8
;@5e
99a0
.EE/
lL
∈UT<ea0
,d
gg-)GiG 5e
.Sq
e
23e
;c
eo:0
.
a.
8
o;ar
>r5stu r
a;=o9 Bar
8
a</
e
0R8
.
h
L
O
OH w
,op vq
p] :
,.
vq
r0
0
39e.
ha.0
3Z
v‘q
or0
o9ewY oho/
=0
he
;.
he
r
ee
^8
0
.
LD o
Lp ]G
L‘
H
L
∈U
YOa;=c
o;0
.
a;.
00-a;=1-;o.=e
Ze
;=8
;@o;+0
3c
h.
ha.:
or+nE,
-
-
O 9a
OG
v49a^‘q
GGH q
^v‘q
2H E HG
KH 2‘7_ 0-+
K‘ _ 1
-+
4QGE7
O
v49a^‘q
GGH q
,4+n EG
2H E HG
KH 2‘7_ 1
-+
4QGO7
E_ K_ +
E_ K_ +
,
3
;Zar
.
8
c
3/
ar
E_ K_ +
.EQ/
lL
∈UT<ea0
,d
gg-)Gh G5e
.Sq
e
23e
;c
eo:0
.
a.
8
o;ar
>r5stu r
a;=o9 Bar
8
a</
e
0R8
.
h
L
O
Do,opvq
vq
5e
.kLD
L
Lp]G
J
]
mq ,5+ D
MX
X
Do X L
J
]
+
kL,Rhe
noT8
r
eSmXlX
0a0
e
23e
;c
eo:
L
DE
r
e
a/;39<e
r
0R8
.
hJ XD o‘mX‘p ]Gr0
0
39e.
ha..
hea0
0
39Z.
8
o;4OGx78
;ahe
or
e
9 OGE8
0
0
a.
8
0
:
8
e
=,.
he
;.
he
r
ee
^8
0
.
0ac
o;0
.
a;.10
3c
h.
ha.
RATEOyCONVERGENCEyOR MULTI
PLECHANGEPOI
NTSESTI
MATI
ON...4
19
.
LiYunxi
a,e
tal
E max|Sk|2 ≤ Cn.
(3.3)
1≤ k≤ n
[13]
Le
mma3.3 .Xti
sde
f
i
ne
dasi
nLe
mma3.2.Suppos
et
hatt
heas
s
umpt
i
oni
nLe
mma3.
2i
ss
at
i
s
f
i
e
d,t
he
nt
he
r
ee
xi
s
t
sac
ons
t
antA s
uc
ht
hatf
orm>0andanyα>0wehave
1
1
P(s
up |Sk|≥ α)≤ A 2 .
k≥ m k
αm
(3.4)
*
*
*
Pr
oofofThe
or
e
m 2.1.De
not
eΔτ = mi
n |τ
ndl
e
t0<γ<1/2.De
f
i
ne
j -τ
j
- 1|a
1≤ j
≤r
+1
-1
*
,kp
≤ qm- m
q r ≤ nγΔ*
,
(3.t)
τs
wn
s
ot
hepr
oofc
ons
i
s
t
si
nde
t
e
r
mi
ni
nuanuppe
rvoundf
orP(m
x
jk,γ,n).yorthatpurpose,
j
k,γ,n
= lmn
o
n,r
f
i
r
s
tde
c
ompos
ej
s
k,γ,n a
j
p
,γ,n
=z j
mn
k,γ,n { l
τ
*
,t
|kn
k≥ t
k,
o
n,t
}s,
(3.~)
whe
r
et
heuni
oni
sove
ral
ls
uvs
e
t
s} oft
hei
nde
xs
e
tl1,...,rs.Wemayc
omput
ean
*
n on,r,t
|kn }s.Ofc
our
s
e,t
hi
s
uppe
rvoundf
ore
ac
hi
ndi
vi
duals
e
tj
m
k,γ,n{ l
k≥ t
k,
,f
uppe
rvounddoe
snotde
pe
ndon},andwec
ons
i
de
r
ornot
at
i
onals
i
mpl
i
c
i
t
y,onl
yt
he
*
s.De
'
n on,r,t
|knl1,...,r
ss.So
c
as
ewhe
r
e}=l1,...,r
not
ej
m
k,γ,n= j
k,γ,n{l
k≥t
k,
wn ' )n
t
hepr
oofc
ons
i
s
t
si
nde
t
e
r
mi
ni
nuanuppe
rvoundf
orP(m
n
jk,γ,n ow.
,wede
'
'
'
yi
r
s
t
c
ompos
et
hes
e
tj
sj
k,γ,n a
k,γ,n=z }j
k,γ,n(
}),wheretheunionisover
s,and
al
lt
hes
uvs
e
t
sτofl1,...,r
-2
*
k
*
j' (})=lmn o ,kp ≤ t- t ≤ nγΔ},
|kn },0≤ t- t ≤ kp ,|k∉ }s.
k,γ,n
n,r
k
*
k
k
-2
*
*
*
*
*
nj
'
yoranym
e
not
enk,k=t
nk,k+ 1=t
nk=t
ndnk =t
he
k,γ,n,d
k -t
k- 1,
k-t
k,
k-t
k- 1 a
k -t
k- 1,t
*
*
.Not
de
pe
nde
nc
eoft
he
s
equant
i
t
i
e
sonmandm i
si
mpl
i
c
i
t
et
hatnk=nk,k+nk,k+ 1andnk =nk,k
+nk- 1,k,andnk,k/nk≥(1-γ)Δ*
τ.
'
:
nj
De
f
i
nef
oral
lm
hef
ol
l
owi
nuquant
i
t
i
e
s
k,γ,n t
*
Jn(m
)= Qn(m
)- Qn(m
),
r
Kn(m
)=
nk,knk,k+ 1 2
1
p
k,
nΣ
nk
k= 1
Vn(m
)=
nk,k Sk,k Sk,k+ 1
1
nk,k+ 1
nΣ
nk nk,k
nk,k+ 1
k= 1
W n(m
)=
Sk,k nk,k
2
p
+
Sk,k+ 1
k n
k,k+ 1
nΣ
nk
nk
k= 1
r
( (
)
),
r
(
whe
r
e,f
or1≤ i≤ j≤ r+ 1,Si,j=
2
Σ
t
j
-
nk+ 1,k+ 1 Sk+ 1,k+ 1 Sk,k+ 1
nk+ 1,k+ 1
nk,k+ 1
n*
k+ 1
(
2
)),
(3.7)
*
*
Xtandp
,
Us
i
nut
he
s
enot
at
i
ons
k=µ
k+ 1-µ
k.
t
=t
i
- 1+ 1
nj
'
)mayvede
)= Kn(m
)+ Vn(m
)+ Wn(m
).
c
ompos
e
dasJn(m
f
oral
lm
Jn(m
k,γ,n,
'
nj
Wehavef
oral
lm
k,γ,n,
mi
n Kn(m
)≥ (1- γ)Δ*
τk
(3.8)
m
n j'
k,γ,n
and
r
Vn(t
)≥-
S2
S2
|Sk+ 1,k+ 1| |Sk,k|
1
k+ 1,k+ 1
k,k+ 1
nk,k+ 1 2
+
+ 2|Sk,k+ 1|
+
.(3.9)
Σ
nk= 1
nk
nk+ 1,k+ 1
nk,k
nk+ 1,k+ 1
(
(
))
.MaM
.B
Appl
h.d.Chh
ne
g
eUnh
v.Ue
P
pV0
.V0,oo.p
Vol
),Vn(t
),Wn(t
)andt
,t
The
nby(3.7)-(3.9),t
hee
xpr
e
s
s
i
onsofKn(t
he
i
rbounds
he
r
e
e
xi
s
t
sC>0s
mal
le
noughs
o
^
P(t
I
n (Kn(t
)N Vn(t
)N W n(t
))L 0)L
n∈ H
J,K,n)LP( mi
M
∈ HI
J,K,n
P
UV
QN S,QN S
V
W C(SX K)YZ
[\ N
V
)n
QN S,QN S
O P] HmaxT
QR S
t
∈
I
J,K,n(
OTP] HmaxT
t
∈
Q∈
]
O P]
O P]
O P]
OP
^
U
W C(SX K)nY \ N
n
^
U
W C(SX K)Y J N
n
^
‘U
‘ ‘U
‘ ‘U ‘
n
] n N n ^W C(SX K)Y \^N
‘U
‘ ‘U ‘
‘U
‘
N
W C(SX K)Y J N
n
n ^
]
^
‘U ‘
‘U
‘
W C\ N O P
max
W C\ N
n
n
^ ]
^
I
J,K,n( )
t
∈ HI
T)
J,K,n(
Q_ T
t
∈ HI
T)
J,K,n(
Q_ T
t
∈ HI
T)
J,K,n(
max
max
P
Z
[
Q
Q,QN S
QN S,QN S
Q,Q
Q,QN S
QN S,QN S
Q,Q
QN S,QN S
Q,Q
QN S,QN S
Q,Q
Z
[
I
J,K,n( )
V
Z
[
Q,QN S
Q,QN S
Q,Q
O P] HmaxT ‘U
t
∈
V
Q,Q
max
t
∈ HI
T)
J,K,n(
Q_ T
Z
[
Q,QN S
V
Q,QN S
max
Q_ T
QR S
V
Q,QN S
Q∈ T
t
∈ HI
T)
J,K,n(
Q,QN S
a
XS
‘W C(SX K)YZ
\
[J
^.
Q,QN S
)on H
I
,byfe
Thusbec
anobt
ai
nt
heboundsf
ordn(t
i
r
s
t
mmas3.V,3.3andi
t
s
J,K,n.e
,f
c
or
ol
l
ar
y,t
he
r
ee
xi
s
tf
i
ni
t
ec
ons
t
ant
sCS,CV s
uc
ht
hat
oral
lSLQLPandf
oral
lC>0,
g
j
l CS
‘UQ,Q‘
‘O hR Sih‘
L V ,
WCLP
W
C
s
u
p
t
∈ HI
Q,Q
J,K,n n
kgW n(SX K)YZ[
g
m Cn
]
^
P max
g
UV
Q,QN S
WCLP s
u
p
ih W
O
t
∈ HI
Q,QN S
g
Ln
J,K,n n
h
RS
]
^ ]
P max
nn(SX K)CY )^L
Z
[
CV
.
C
(3.S0)
(3.SS)
,t
,\
,noront
oe
xt
he
r
ee
xi
s
tf
i
ni
t
ec
ons
t
ant
sC3,Cp(t
hatdonotde
pe
ndon\
hes
ubs
e
tT)
s
uc
ht
hatf
oral
lnWS,
V
V
j
l C3\
‘UQ,QN S‘
‘O hR Sih‘
P max max
WCLP s
L
V,
u
p
W
C
Q∈ T t
∈ HI
Q,QN S
T) n
J,K,n(
kgW J\X V
g
m JC
]
^
g
P]max
max ‘UQ,QN S‘W C^L P]max max
XV
Q∈ T t
∈ HI
T)
J,K,n(
Q_ T 0L g
L J\
Oi
h
h
RS
W C^L
(3.SV)
CpJ
3.S3)
V. (
CV\
The
nby(3.S0)-(3.S3)behaqef
oranyJ>0,
P(t
n∈
HI
V
S
rN
VN
J
n\
]
)L KK
J,K,n
\
\
V
] ] ^^^,
V
.Thust
bhe
r
eKKst i
sac
ons
t
ant
hec
onc
l
us
i
oni
sobt
ai
ne
dbhe
nn\ut andJut.
vw xy
z{
|}{
~{
n}{
nc
{as
s
um~y
i
ons
;M∈ ZN }i
,
Suppos
e {ε
sas
t
at
i
onar
ys
e
que
nc
eofr
andom qar
i
abl
e
sbi
t
h Eε
M
MR 0
V
0sEε
,t
er
om t
hepr
oofbef
i
ndt
hat(3.3)hol
dsbhe
ne
qe
r(3.V)i
st
r
ue.Thus
he
Mst.
RATEOFCONVERGENCEFOR MULTI
PLECHANGEPOI
NTSESTI
MATI
ON...4
21
.
LiYunxi
a,e
tal
c
onc
l
us
i
onofThe
or
e
m 2.1i
sal
s
ot
r
ueunde
rt
hec
ondi
t
i
on(3.2).So,t
hec
onc
l
us
i
onof
The
or
e
m 2.1i
st
r
ue,i
foneoft
hef
ol
l
owi
ngc
ondi
t
i
onsi
ss
at
i
s
f
i
e
d:
(i
){ε
;t
∈Z+ }i
samar
t
i
ngal
es
e
que
nc
e.
t
(i
){ε
;t∈ Z+ }i
i
sas
e
que
nc
eofρmi
xi
ng (orφ
mi
xi
ng)r
andom var
i
abl
e
swi
t
h
t
Σ
∞
∞
1/2
ρ(2i)< ∞(orΣ i= 1φ
(2i)< ∞).
i
=1
(i
){ε
;t
∈Z+ }i
|2+ δ<∞ andα(n)
i
i
sas
e
que
nc
eofαmi
xi
ngr
andom var
i
abl
e
swi
t
hE|ε
t
t
2+δ
.
δ
(i
;t
∈Z+ }i
.
v){ε
sas
e
que
nc
eofne
gat
i
ve
l
yas
s
oc
i
at
e
dr
andom var
i
abl
e
s
t
=O(n- θ)f
>
ors
omeδ>0andθ
;t
∈Z+ }i
.
(v){ε
sas
e
que
nc
eofas
s
oc
i
at
e
dr
andom var
i
abl
e
s
t
.I
)-(v)r
)
Pr
oof
tne
e
dst
ove
r
i
f
yt
hec
ondi
t
i
on(3.2)f
ort
hes
e
que
nc
ei
n(i
e
s
pe
c
t
i
ve
l
y:(i
1/2
)Fi
Eas
y,(i
i
r
s
tnot
i
c
eρ(n)≤φ (n).Andt
he
nwer
e
f
e
rt
o[8,9]f
or(3.2).(i
v)Wer
e
f
e
r
)ByThe
≤∞ andθ
≥pr
/(2(r
-p)),t
t
o[11].(i
i
i
or
e
m 4.1of[10]i
f2<p<r
he
n
n
E
Σε
i
+m
p
r p/r
≤ Knp/2 max(E|ε
∀n≥ 1,m ≥ 1
i
+ m|) ,
i
=1
1≤ i
≤n
andt
he
nbyat
he
or
e
m of[6]
p
r p/r
E max|ε
..+ ε
np/2 max(E|ε
∀n≥ 1,m ≥ 1.
m+ 1 +.
m+ k| ≤ K'
i
+ m|) .
1≤ k≤ n
1≤ i
≤n
2+δ
.The
n
δ
2
p 2/p
Emax|ε
..+ ε
Emax|ε
..+ ε
≤ Cn
m+ 1 +.
m+ k| ≤ (
m+ 1 +.
m+ k|)
=2+δ,andps
>pr
/2(r
-p)>
Now,c
hoos
er
uf
f
i
c
i
e
nt
l
yne
ar2s
uc
ht
hatθ
k≤ n
k≤ n
[7]
and(3.2)i
sve
r
i
f
i
e
d.(v)Ne
wmanandWr
i
ght e
s
t
abl
i
s
he
dt
hef
ol
l
owi
ngi
ne
qual
i
t
y:
2
2
..+ ε
E(ε
..+ ε
Emax(ε
1 +.
k) ≤ 2
1 +.
n),
k≤ n
whi
c
hl
e
adst
o
n- 1
n
2
2
E(ε
..+ ε
Eε
1 +.
n) = n
1+ 2
Σ Σ Cov(εi,εj)≤ 2nσ2.
i
= 1j
=i
+1
I
tf
ol
l
owst
hat
2
2
Emax(ε
..+ ε
x(ε
..+ ε
nσ2,
m+ 1 +.
m+ k) = Ema
1 +.
k) ≤ 4
k≤ n
k≤ n
t
hus(3.2)i
sve
r
i
f
i
e
d.
Re
f
e
r
e
nc
e
s
1 Ba
.Le
,JTi
,1994,15:453472.
iJ
a
s
ts
qua
r
e
se
s
t
i
ma
t
i
onofas
hi
f
ti
nl
i
ne
a
rpr
oc
e
s
s
e
s
meSe
rAna
l
2 Ba
,Pe
,Ec
iJ
r
r
onP.Es
t
i
ma
t
i
nga
ndt
e
s
i
ngl
i
ne
a
rmode
l
swi
t
hmul
t
i
pl
es
t
r
uc
t
ur
a
lc
ha
nge
s
onome
t
r
i
c
a,
1998,66:4778.
3 Ki
.A c
m T S,Ba
e
k JI
e
nt
r
a
ll
i
mi
tt
he
or
e
mf
ors
t
a
t
i
ona
r
yl
i
ne
a
rpr
oc
e
s
s
e
sge
ne
r
a
t
e
dbyl
i
ne
a
r
l
y
,St
,2001,51:299305.
pos
i
t
i
ve
l
yqua
dr
a
nt
de
pe
nde
ntpr
oc
e
s
s
a
t
i
s
tPr
oba
bLe
t
t
4 La
,St
vi
e
l
l
eM.De
t
e
c
t
i
onofmul
t
i
pl
ec
ha
nge
si
nas
e
que
nc
eofde
pe
nde
ntva
r
i
a
bl
e
s
ocPr
oca
ndt
he
i
r
,1999,83:79102.
Appl
O22
.bcd
.p
_‘‘a
e.f.geh
ij
k
jlih
m.nj
o
.20,Qo.O
qol
5 La
,J
vi
e
l
l
eM,Moul
i
ne
sE,Le
a
s
ts
qua
r
e
se
s
t
i
ma
t
i
onofa
nunknownnumbe
rofs
hi
f
t
si
nat
i
mes
e
r
i
e
s
,2000,21:3359.
Ti
meSe
rAna
l
6 MEr
,AF
i
F
GH.A Ie
ne
r
a
lmome
nti
ne
qua
l
i
t
Jf
orma
Ki
mum ofLa
r
t
i
a
ls
umsofs
i
nIl
es
e
r
i
e
s
t
aSF
iMa
t
h
,19N2,OO:6PP5.
MunIa
r
P Qe
wma
nRM,Sr
i
IhtA L.Ani
nva
r
i
a
nF
eLr
i
nF
i
Ll
ef
orF
e
r
t
a
i
nTe
Le
nTe
nts
e
que
nF
e,AnnUr
oba
b,19N1,
9:6P16P5.
N Sha
,Rhi
oVi
ma
n.Wnt
hei
nva
r
i
a
nF
eLr
i
nF
i
Ll
ef
orXmi
Ki
nIs
e
que
nF
eofr
a
nTom va
r
i
a
bl
e
s
ne
s
eAnn
O33.
Ma
t
hSe
rY,19N9,10:O2P-
9 Sha
oVi
ma
n.Ma
Ki
ma
li
ne
qua
l
i
t
Jf
orLa
r
t
i
a
ls
umsofXmi
Ki
nIs
e
que
nF
e,AnnUr
oba
b,1995,23:9ON965.
10 Sha
oVi
ma
n,ZuMa
o.Se
i
Iht
e
Twe
a
kF
onve
r
Ie
nF
ef
ore
mLi
r
i
F
a
lLr
oF
e
s
s
e
sofTe
Le
nTe
nts
e
que
nF
e,Ann
212P.
Ur
oba
b,1996,2O:209N11 SuRhun,[ha
oLi
nF
he
nI,Sa
nIZue
ba
o.Mome
nti
ne
qua
l
i
t
i
e
sa
nTwe
a
kF
onve
r
Ie
nF
ef
orne
Ia
t
i
ve
l
J
1N2.
a
s
s
oF
i
a
t
e
Ts
e
que
nF
e,SF
i
e
nF
ei
nRhi
na,199P,O0:1P212
[ha
nI Li
Ki
n.A f
unF
t
i
ona
lF
e
nt
r
a
ll
i
mi
tt
he
or
e
m f
ora
s
JmLt
ot
i
F
a
l
l
J ne
Ia
t
i
ve
l
J Te
Le
nTe
ntr
a
nTom
,AF
,2000a,N6:23P259.
f
i
e
l
Ts
t
aMa
t
hMunIa
r
13
[ha
nI Li
Ki
n,LiZunKi
a. Mul
t
i
Ll
eF
ha
nIeLoi
nt
se
s
t
i
ma
t
i
on ofmovi
nIa
vor
a
Ie Lr
oF
e
s
s
e
sunTe
r
,Lr
6NN.
Te
Le
nTe
nF
ea
s
s
umLt
i
ons
oIr
e
s
si
nQa
t
ur
a
lSF
i
e
nF
e,200O,1O:6N1-
,Ma
[he
\
i
a
nI]ni
ve
r
s
i
t
JofHi
na
nF
ea
nTEF
onomi
F
s
nIG
hou310012,Rhi
na.
,[he
^e
La
r
t
me
ntofMa
t
he
ma
t
i
F
s
\
i
a
nI]ni
ve
r
s
i
t
J,Ma
nIG
hou31002N,Rhi
na.
Download