US Forest Service National Interagency Support Cache Optimization and Review Report March 3, 2009 Prepared for: USDA Forest Service WO Strategic Planning & Performance Accountability/ Management Analysis Staff Washington, DC Prepared by: Management Analysis, Inc. 2070 Chain Bridge Road, Suite 550 Vienna, VA 22182 U.S. Forest Service National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) Optimization and Review Table of Contents 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background .......................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Purpose of the Study ............................................................................................ 1 1.3 Participants ........................................................................................................... 2 1.4 NISC End State, Missions, and Principles ........................................................... 2 1.5 Overview of the National Interagency Support Cache Program .......................... 3 The Model ................................................................................................................... 4 2.1 Data Collection ..................................................................................................... 4 2.1.1 Cache Details ................................................................................................ 4 2.1.2 Cache Workload............................................................................................ 7 2.1.3 Fire Information .......................................................................................... 10 2.1.4 Potential Site Information ........................................................................... 10 Analysis..................................................................................................................... 12 3.1 Assumptions ....................................................................................................... 12 3.2 Study Limitations ............................................................................................... 14 3.3 Model Runs ........................................................................................................ 14 3.4 Output Analysis .................................................................................................. 17 3.5 Costs ................................................................................................................... 18 Recommendations ..................................................................................................... 19 4.1 Defined Roles of Caches within the National System ....................................... 19 4.2 New Location – Sparks, NV .............................................................................. 23 4.3 Southern California Cache ................................................................................. 23 4.4 Next Steps .......................................................................................................... 24 Conclusion ................................................................................................................ 25 Attachments Attachment # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Title Current Cache Locations Forest Service Data Call Correspondence from Chief Data Call Forms How the Model Works Potential Cache Locations Five-Year Cost Summaries for Current Cache Locations Expanded Personnel Costs Initial Model Run Detailed Results Maps of Results from Initial Model Run Sparks Model Run Detailed Results Calculation of Facility Baseline Costs Shipment Factors for Sparks Model Run Mileage Analysis for Model Results Sparks One-Time Facility Start-up Costs U.S. Forest Service National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) Optimization and Review Executive Summary One of the goals identified in the February 2007 National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) strategic plan is to address cache infrastructures and develop a most efficient organization. The most efficient organization would be one where caches have the national facilities, equipment, and staffing necessary to deliver supply logistics support to all incident response needs and are geographically located for maximum efficiency. The strategic plan noted that the objective of optimally locating caches should be met by 2010 to support the achievement of the Cache Infrastructure and Most Efficient Organization goal. The NISC system was originally designed to meet traditional seasonal wildland fire support needs of the past. As additional expectations of all-hazard, fuel reduction project support, and extended fire seasons combined with increased wildland fire activity have become realities, the amount and type of support traditionally required of the caches has changed. The current national cache locations are able to adequately provide the equipment and services required for both their geographical area and nationally, but the organization may not be meeting these needs in the most efficient manner. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the current National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) system to determine the optimal number and location of national caches. The NISC Evaluation and Review provides an analytical assessment of the size, location, and workload of the optimal cache system. The study also provides recommendations to leadership regarding the implementation of the optimized system. The Team developed a mathematical model to help analyze alternative cache locations and associated response time and cost, and to identify the most optimized national cache system. The model used workload data from six fiscal years (2002-2007) and the results provide the most ideal solutions for the distribution of shipment workload through a relatively unconstrained NISC system. Because it is not possible to program all real-life operations, costs, and feasibilities into the model, its development required an iterative approach with multiple revisions and evaluations. The results of the model developed during this Study showed that the NISC system is generally operating in the correct locations and with the correct number of facilities. The results indicated that relocating two locations into a single Type 1 cache would increase the cost effectiveness of the entire system. The results of this study provide a general idea of the workload impacts that the recommendations would have, but an additional run of the model in which real-life workload constraints were placed on the cache facilities that would remain in the system would need to be conducted to understand the actual impacts the relocation would have on workload. In addition, the results indicated that the Ontario Interagency Support Cache (LSK) is not located in a cost-effective location, and should be evaluated for relocation to a different Southern California location. U.S. Forest Service i NISC Optimization and Review Going forward, the model developed for this study will be a lasting resource. The model can be updated to include the latest NISC workload, and can be re-run as needed to provide current results regarding the distribution of shipments and optimal locations. The model can also be updated to include the most recent cost data (e.g., facilities, personnel, shipments), and to reflect any changes in the NISC system. With a few design changes, the model can also optimize results based on time, mileage, or a combination of these and cost. With some additional data and redesign, the model can also study centralized refurbishment or other cost optimization considerations. U.S. Forest Service ii NISC Optimization and Review U.S. Forest Service National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) Optimization and Review 1 Introduction 1.1 Background One of the goals identified in the February 2007 National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) strategic plan is to address cache infrastructures and develop a most efficient organization. The most efficient organization would be one where caches have the national facilities, equipment, and staffing necessary to deliver supply logistics support to all incident response needs and are geographically located for maximum efficiency. The strategic plan noted that the objective of optimally locating caches should be met by 2010 to support the achievement of the Cache Infrastructure and Most Efficient Organization goal. The NISC system was established, in large part, on the basis of where the infrastructure already existed. The system is comprised of a three-tiered network of national interagency facilities that include Geographic Area Caches, Support Satellite Caches, and Local Area Support Caches. In addition to these interagency caches, Local or Initial Attack caches directly support local state, federal agencies, and administrative units not otherwise supported by the NISC system. The NISC system was originally designed to meet traditional seasonal wildland fire support needs of the past. As additional expectations of all-hazard, fuel reduction project support, and extended fire seasons combined with increased wildland fire activity have become realities, the amount and type of support traditionally required of the caches has changed. An evaluation of the current NISC system with regard to the location and workload for the support required has not been conducted since service expectations have changed. The caches’ ability to deliver equipment and supplies in a real-time basis has also changed as a result of improved transportation networks, technologies, and resources. The current national cache locations are able to adequately provide the equipment and services required for both their geographical area and nationally, but the organization may not be meeting these needs in the most efficient manner. 1.2 Purpose of the Study The purpose of this study is to evaluate the current National Interagency Support Cache (NISC) system to determine the optimal number and location of national caches. The NISC Evaluation and Review provides an analytical assessment of the size, location, and workload of the optimal cache system. The study also provides recommendations to leadership regarding the implementation of the optimized system. U.S. Forest Service 1 NISC Optimization and Review 1.3 Participants The NISC Optimization and Review participants included a mix of United States Forest Service (USFS) and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) representation, as well as consultant support. The following were the participants in this Study. Representing Forest Service Bureau of Land Management Forest Service Oversight Committee Consultant Support Name Tory Henderson Matt Cnudde Robert Behrner Jeri Billiard Paul Naman Robert Kuhn Kolleen Shelley Art Smith Aaron Sanders Pamela Hein Role Team Leaders Subject Matter Expert Subject Matter Expert Subject Matter Expert Subject Matter Expert WO FAM Planning & Budget Program Specialist, CIO/ISO Business Management President, Management Analysis, Incorporated (MAI) Engineer, MAI Senior Industrial Engineer, MAI The Team also acknowledges the Cache Managers and other subject matter experts throughout the NISC program who provided data and information that was incorporated into this study. 1.4 NISC End State, Missions, and Principles The February 2007 NISC Strategic Plan stated that the NISC vision is: To have a National Interagency supply program that is cost effective and efficient in all business practices in order to support the wildland firefighting community and other all-hazard incidents. The wildland fire community has continued to expand its capability through the use of agreements, training cooperators, and international partners. This capability has been recognized by leaders as a model to adopt and implement in all types of emergency responses. The NISC has been required to adjust its ability to meet these changes and demands. In order to continue to be successful with this level of support, changes in the program must occur. The end result of these changes will be the vision as stated, and will in particular provide the public with the most cost-effective incident response program. The Study Team’s mission was to determine the number of national cache locations required based upon the workload of the current cache system. This study therefore determined the optimal number and locations for potential caches while taking the existing caches into account. The results and recommendations of this study are designed to complement the National Interagency Support Cache mission: To provide the best value integrated logistics solutions for wildland firefighting equipment and supplies for Federal and State wildland firefighting agencies. U.S. Forest Service 2 NISC Optimization and Review The Team developed a mathematical model to help analyze alternative cache locations and associated response time and cost, and to identify the most optimized national cache system. Once this system was identified, the Team was able to analyze the gap between the current system and the optimized system to allow for the development of a strategic plan to work towards the mission objectives of the Forest Service and the end state described above. 1.5 Overview of the National Interagency Support Cache Program The NISC system provides support within respective zones of influence (i.e. geographic area), outside zones of influence, and nationally to small and large fires and to all-hazard incidents. As noted earlier, the NISC system is comprised of a three-tiered network of national interagency facilities that include Geographic Area Caches, Support Satellite Caches and Local Area Support Caches. In addition to these interagency caches, Local or Initial Attack caches directly support local state, federal agencies, and administrative units not otherwise supported by the NISC system. Customers of the NISC system include all federal and state agencies and other cooperators, including disaster agencies, local government entities, and military or foreign governments. National Interagency Support Caches Currently there are 11 Geographic Area Caches, independently hosted, staffed, and managed. Their foremost responsibility is to service all customers in a designated Geographic Area and also serve as the primary source and collector of information for the Fire Loss/Use Program. These caches have a complex role of meeting Geographic and National emergency supply needs. Often referred to as Type 1 caches, these caches are capable of individually supporting most emergency response activities individually. National Interagency Support Satellite Caches The National Interagency Support Satellite Caches support the Geographic Area Caches, but service only a segment of the designated Geographic Area. These caches are associated with the Geographic Area Cache, but are independently staffed and managed. Often referred to as Type 2 caches, these caches have information management systems integrated with the supporting National Interagency Support Cache. Local Area Interagency Support Caches Local Area Interagency Support Caches are independently hosted, staffed, and managed but may work in partnership with a National Interagency Support Cache. Local interagency caches provide direct support to more than one agency and generally cover more than a single administrative unit within the Geographic Area. Often referred to as Type 3 caches, these caches contribute to national mobilization and inventory management activities. Local or Initial Attack Caches Various states, federal agencies, and administrative units have small, localized caches that generally provide single agency support to one administrative unit. These localized caches may or may not adhere to National Fire Equipment Standards (NFES) and are considered outside the scope of this study. U.S. Forest Service 3 NISC Optimization and Review 2 The Model The NISC Optimization model was developed using an Access database, and incorporates six years of historic cache workload data, as well as other key factors and information as discussed in Section 2.1 below. The model is run by fiscal year and identifies the most cost-effective distribution of shipment workload among the various potential cache locations for that fiscal year. A summary of how the model works is provided in Attachment 4. 2.1 Data Collection Multiple data elements and sources were evaluated in the course of developing the model. The primary sources of data include a data call completed by cache managers, data from FIRECODE, and data from the ICBS system. The data incorporated into the model was reviewed and analyzed for accuracy and completeness to ensure the best outputs from the model. The following outlines the data collection efforts, the data that was incorporated into the model, and the type of editing and cleansing applied to the data. The data was also used to calculate each cache’s actual operating cost for Fiscal Year 2007. Additional calculations were also made to forecast the operating cost for each cache over five years. These calculations can be seen in Attachment 6. 2.1.1 Cache Details Data collection forms were developed by the Study Team to solicit information from each cache. This initial data collection started as an informal request from the Team to the Cache Managers, followed by an official letter of request from the Chief. Attachment 2 lists the caches included in the data call. The Team also made phone calls and follow-up requests for data clarification during site visits to NIFC in Boise, ID. The main data collection form was developed and tailored as needed to each cache. The form requested information including, but not limited to, the location of the base (including latitude and longitude), facility data (including structures, square footage and year built), major equipment, additional capacity, and various costs (e.g., overhead, vehicle, administrative). The data collection form is provided in Attachment 3. 2.1.1.1 Personnel Data The data collection forms included a section for the Cache Managers to report data regarding their direct and indirect support staff for Fiscal Year 2007. The data requested included position type, appointment type, series and grade, and the estimated number of hours worked (regular, overtime, holiday, Sunday). The reported data was compiled and personnel costs were calculated using OMB Circular No. A-76 costing rules. These rules provide standard cost factors for calculating the cost of federal operations (e.g., general and administrative overhead, liability insurance) and reflect the use of current pay rates, inflation, and fringe benefit factors (note: Fiscal Year 2007 factors were used for this study). For consistency, federal General Schedule positions are costed at a step 5 U.S. Forest Service 4 NISC Optimization and Review and Wage Grade positions at a step 4. The grades reported by each Cache Manager were used to generate estimated annual personnel costs. The Study Team reviewed and validated the personnel data reported by each Cache Manager. The nature of the cache workforces resulted in different methodologies to calculate personnel costs based upon the type of position: 1. Direct Federal Staff - Federal employees hired by a cache as a direct support position were costed using standard OMB Circular A-76 costing rules, as described above. 2. Federal Militia - Federal employees who do not work in the cache system on a regular basis, but are detailed to the facilities during periods of high incident activity were considered to be Federal Militia. These positions were costed identically to Federal Government cache personnel. These positions are similar to contract temporary employees who work on an "as needed" basis. The costs were quantified separately from dedicated cache personnel because all of the additional cost factors are not incurred by the cache system for these positions. 3. State Employees – Two caches, Coeur d’Alene and Northeast, have state employees as their primary staff. These employees primarily work on state incidents, but help with federal incidents during peak activity. The costs for these positions were prorated based on estimated percentages of time the employees spend performing federal work. State employees could occasionally be detailed to a cache and the costs associated with that time would be also accounted for using this method. 4. Administratively Determined Hires - Administratively Determined (AD) emergency workers are hired by the caches during periods of high incident activity. AD hires are also similar to contract employees and are hired on an "as needed" basis. The AD pay scale is determined for the Agency in March of each year for consistent hiring practices. The pay rate is based on the position the individual is hired to perform. 5. Subcontract Employees – On occasion, caches hire subcontractors to perform work at the cache. These costs were quantified separately and correspond to the costs that were invoiced to the Government. 2.1.1.1.1 Refinement of Personnel Data A few caches have programs and workload that are considered outside the scope of this study (e.g., Symbols Program, National Radio Cache, Publications). Based on interviews with representatives from these caches, the Study Team estimated the amount of time spent by certain positions for each of these programs, and that time was removed from the personnel cost calculations. The transportation data collected and used in the model (see Section 2.1.2) included personnel costs for driving time for the reported 2007 shipments. To avoid double counting the personnel costs associated with driving time, the personnel data reported for each cache was adjusted. The hours reported in the U.S. Forest Service 5 NISC Optimization and Review shipment data for federal and state employees were removed from the personnel costs according to the corresponding pay rates. AD costs for driving time were adjusted by removing all positions hired as drivers. The personnel costs associated directly with cache workload were quantified to allow the model to increase or decrease a cache’s personnel costs as it calculates potential changes in workload. The costs for positions such as material handlers and small engine mechanics were isolated for each cache and were included as a separate field in the model. As workload for a given cache increased or decreased in the model results, these costs were adjusted in proportion. These costs can be found in Attachment 7. The Study Team also set workload thresholds at which supervisory and administrative positions would be increased or decreased. The number and cost impact of the increase or decrease of positions were defined by the Team for each individual cache. The matrices identifying the increases or decrease to supervisory and administrative staff that were used in the model can be seen in Attachment 7. 2.1.1.2 Facility and Equipment Information The cache manger data call requested facility and equipment information for each cache. Information requested ranged from structural details to the annual lease cost for equipment at the facility. All data requested and used in the model was from Fiscal Year 2007, unless otherwise specified. In a few instances, changes which were known to occur in Fiscal Year 2008 or 2009 were reflected in the model. The costs for these changes were deflated by Fiscal Year 2007 factors for consistency. Each cache reported specific details for each structure at their cache facility including square footage and installed equipment in each structure. Cache Managers also provided a list of all other equipment at their facility and the planned replacement year for owned equipment. The total annual equipment lease costs were calculated and included in the total annual operating cost for each cache. The planned investment costs for any equipment owned by the cache was calculated and summarized. These costs were not included in model, but were included in the Five-Year Cost Summaries for Current Cache Locations (Attachment 6) for each cache because the investment is planned for the future. The annual cost of real property leases was reported, as well as the costs for any supplemental facilities leased by the cache. Two caches, Rocky Mountain and Wenatchee, have signed lease agreements for the future. The agreed-upon lease costs were used in the model to represent the true facility costs. The data call also requested additional Fiscal Year 2007 annual costs such as operating and maintenance (O&M), supply, training, and other cost pools. Varying budgeting methodologies resulted in some caches reporting certain items under different cost headings (e.g., supplies being included as part of O&M). These situations were noted where applicable. All apparent anomalies in the data, U.S. Forest Service 6 NISC Optimization and Review such as unusually high or low costs, or a lack of reported costs were clarified through further rounds of inquiry. Major maintenance and renovation requirements were also reported in the data call. Reported requirements also included a planned year and an estimated cost. The annual cost of planned maintenance for each cache that was included in the model was calculated by the sum of the annual cost of capital (using the OMB five-year Cost of Capital cost factor) and the cost of casualty insurance (using the OMB casualty insurance cost factor). Cache Managers also provided detailed data regarding the cost of refurbishment contracts for Fiscal Year 2007. The total annual cost of refurbishment contracts was included in the model as part of each cache’s annual operating cost. The labor cost of any internal refurbishment performed in Fiscal Year 2007 is accounted for in the hours reported for personnel costs. Each cache’s expansion capability (i.e. the potential to process increased workload) was also reported. The data call requested each cache’s expansion capability: (1) without any capital investment, and (2) with an estimated capital investment. The reported expansion capabilities that did not require capital investment were reviewed and refined by the Team on a cache-by-cache basis. The final determinations were used as expansion caps in the model. For example, if a cache with 500 shipments in 2007 is able to expand 100% without any capital investment, the initial expansion cap set in the model was 1000 shipments. The data provided by each cache regarding expansion with capital investment was reviewed by the Team, but ultimately was not used in the model. Initial model runs and Team deliberations determined that no current cache would expand its activities beyond current physical limitations as a result of the model, and new cache locations would be designed to suit their workload requirements. 2.1.2 Cache Workload Discussions with the Study Team revealed that cache workload must be measured by both the number of shipments and the number of issues at each location. The number and type of shipments is a primary cost driver for the effectiveness of a cache location. The number of cache issues is a primary cost driver for the material handling portion of the cache’s workload. Therefore, data for both are needed to develop an accurate model and are discussed in further detail below. 2.1.2.1 Shipment Data In addition to the main data collection form, the Study Team developed four additional forms to collect information pertaining to the shipment workload from each cache. As shown in Attachment 3, the forms were distinguished by the vehicle type (contracted or Government owned) and whether the shipment was from one cache to another or to an incident. Each variation required a different set of data fields, therefore required four different data forms. The shipment data collected encompassed Fiscal Year 2007 only. Shipment data is not recorded electronically at the caches, but is captured in a transportation log of some sort at each cache’s discretion. The shipment data was compiled and U.S. Forest Service 7 NISC Optimization and Review reviewed. Any suspect data points were identified and adjustments were made, as necessary based upon input from the cache and/or Study Team. The compiled shipment data for 2007 was matched up with the issue data retrieved from ICBS (See Section 2.1.2.2). Upon review, the Team determined that the Cache Managers did not report any pick-ups at their cache because only shipment data was requested. The Team assumed that a single pick-up “shipment” is equivalent to a single issue. Rather than make an additional request for data, the issues identified as pick-ups for 2007 in ICBS were added to the reported shipment data for 2007 to ensure that the workload for each cache was fully captured. A billing rate of $19.12 (equivalent to the average loaded WG-06 hourly pay rate) was used for all pick-ups for standardization purposes, and a vehicle use rate of $0.29/mile (the 2007 GSA rate for POV usage when a GOV is available) was also used. These rates were considered moderate rates that would not bias the results significantly. No per diem costs were used for pick-ups, as is expected in the vast majority of cases. Each shipment reported in the data call identified the appointment type and billing rate for the driver. Once compiled, the appointment types were standardized for all reported shipments. The reported billing rates included the driver’s base salary and a benefit percentage. Some caches did not report a billing rate, but provided a grade level for shipments. The 2007 OPM pay rate (step 5 for General Schedule and step 4 for wage grade) for these shipments was assigned according to locality. To keep all cost factors and calculations consistent, the reported billing rates for permanent full time and seasonal positions were unloaded to remove the benefit percentages that were assumed to be included in the reported rate. The benefit rates included in the billing rate vary depending on the retirement plan of the individual. The distribution of each retirement type was determined using the reported personnel data, and the ratios were applied to the billing rate data to determine the unloaded billing rate. A 36.45% fringe factor was the applied to all unloaded billing rates (with the exception of AD, contract and temporary employees) to determine the revised billing rate for the shipment. The application of this fringe factor is consistent with how the personnel costs were calculated. The NISC Study Team estimated that the billing rate for temporary employees included an 8% fringe factor. The billing rate for temporary employees was not modified because this fringe factor was similar to the 7.65% OMB fringe factor. AD employees do not receive benefits; therefore the billing rates for temporary employees did not require adjustment. The transportation information reported in the data call was used to calculate the cost per mile associated with each shipment type for each cache. The model used the calculated costs to evaluate and assign shipments to caches during each model run. The total miles traveled by each cache that were input into the model and the results produced by the model can be seen in Attachment 13. 2.1.2.2 Cache Issues A request for material from a cache creates an issue. A material handler gathers the requested materials for each issue and places it in the staging/shipping area. U.S. Forest Service 8 NISC Optimization and Review Depending on the location and type of incident, multiple issues may be placed on the same shipment for cost purposes. As noted in Section 2.1.2.1, issues may also be picked up at the cache, rather than shipped to a location. Some caches have a higher percentage of pick-ups, resulting in a higher material handling cost per shipment compared to other caches that have a higher percentage of shipments. Data regarding the exact number of issues generated at each cache for the past six years was obtained from the ICBS system for Fiscal Years 2002 through 2007. This data was reviewed to remove any issues that were recorded for inventory tracking purposes only and for issues that were a result of state-specific workload (specifically at Northeast and Coeur d’Alene). The issues were then matched up with documented latitude and longitude data for the incident, whenever possible (See Section 2.1.3). The system also provided data regarding the type of transportation used to ship the issue. When entering the data into the system, employees rarely know the most cost-effective shipment method at the time and may therefore identify the shipment type as “best”. The transportation method is often not updated in the system once the issue is shipped to reflect the actual shipment type used. The Team agreed that the transportation typically chosen with “best” is commercial ground, so the data was adjusted to reflect this as the vehicle type for these shipments. 2.1.2.3 Translating Issue Workload to Shipment Workload The model is designed to help achieve the minimal cost per shipment, therefore the number of issues needed to be translated into shipments before they could be input into the model. As noted earlier, the translation is not a one-to-one match up, and was further complicated by the fact that actual shipment data for each cache was only gathered for 2007. The Team assumed that the shipment to issue ratios that could be calculated from actual 2007 data would generally be the same for the previous years. Using the reported 2007 shipment data and the issue data, the overall ratio of shipments to issues was calculated. These ratios were also broken down by vehicle type. The ratios were then applied to the issue data from Fiscal Years 2002 through 2006 to translate the data into shipments while still maintaining the same mix of vehicle type as was reported in the 2007 shipment data. The billing rates and usage rates from 2007 were assumed to remain the same for prior years. Once the estimated number of shipments and costs were calculated for prior years, the data also needed adjustment to account for instances where multiple issues may be included in one shipment. The Team estimated that a shipment with multiple issues would have, on average, an additional 100 miles roundtrip per extra issue included in the total travel distance to account for the delivery of each additional issue to other locations. The Team also assumed that the frequency of multi-issue shipments would vary by the characteristics of the geographic regions in which the fire occurred rather than by the cache making the shipment. The ratios of shipments to issues were therefore calculated for each Forest Service Region for each fiscal year. For example, if a region had 200 U.S. Forest Service 9 NISC Optimization and Review issues and 100 shipments were made to the same region in a year, then the multiissue shipment ratio would be 2. The model incorporated the ratios by adding mileage to each shipment to a given region in proportion to the calculated ratio for that region. In the example above, the 100 extra issues would represent 10,000 additional miles (100 * 100) over the roundtrip distances based on the shipments’ destinations. The mileage of each shipment in the model to this region was increased by the formula: (ratio-1)*100, or in this case: (2-1)*100 or 100 miles. By increasing every shipment by 100 miles, the desired outcome of increasing the total mileage for all shipments to this region by 10,000 miles is accomplished. The ratio adjustments occur automatically in the model, regardless of which cache makes the shipment. 2.1.3 Fire Information FireCode data was available and downloaded for five of the six years used in the model, Fiscal Years 2003 through 2007. A previous study conducted on the Aerial Delivery of Firefighters (ADFF) provided an additional source of fire locations for Fiscal Years 2002-2006. The translated shipments, developed from the methods described above, had numerous identifying fields from ICBS such as: incident order number, incident name, receiving unit, etc. The ADFF data contained only state, fire names, and latitude and longitude data. Because each incident had less identifying characteristics in the ADFF data, FireCode data was used as the primary source for locating the latitude and longitude of the shipment destinations. Any shipments that were not found in FireCode data were looked up in the ADFF data. If a shipment was not found in either data set, the latitude and longitude for the receiving unit location was used for the shipment. Once the review was completed, every shipment for Fiscal Years 2002 through 2007 had a destination latitude and longitude for the model to use to calculate shipping distance, time, and cost. 2.1.4 Potential Site Information U.S. Forest Service 10 NISC Optimization and Review In order to fully evaluate the current national cache system, new potential sites for national cache locations must be considered by the model. A list of nearly 2,500 existing Department of Interior (DOI) and Forest service units of district level of authority or higher was compiled and served as a starting point for the identification of potential sites. The Team decided that this level of DOI and Forest Service (FS) presence would be necessary if a location was to serve as an effective national cache. Upon analysis, the 2,500 DOI and FS units resided in 947 different U.S. cities. Each city was then evaluated for acceptability as a potential site according to the following criteria: Population greater than 5,000 or within 50 miles of a metropolitan area Further than 120 miles from the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico (hurricane concerns) Readily accessible by paved roads or highways Not specifically excluded by the NISC Study Team upon an initial examination of the list A few specific sites (e.g. Tallahassee, FL and Lufkin, TX) were included despite their hurricane risk, because the state facilities present at the location provided potential partnership opportunities. Once the cities were evaluated using the criteria described above, 342 cities remained for consideration in the model. These cities can be seen in Attachment 5. In a subsequent step, all potential locations within 100 miles of an existing national cache were eliminated from the list. The potential sites and existing caches were then run in a version of the model that assigns shipments strictly based on distance to further eliminate potential locations that received the fewest shipments. This process was repeated until each potential location received at least 100 shipments, and resulted in lists of 35-40 locations (including existing caches) for consideration. A different final list of potential locations was created for each fiscal year because the fire locations and shipments for each fiscal year were different. The model was run using the list for the applicable fiscal year. The team also conducted Internet research to ensure that adequate warehousing capability existed for potential sites which were potential “finalists”. Costing for these potential sites used LSK as a baseline for modeling personnel costs, as decided by the Team. It was further decided that a Type I cache could perform satisfactorily with 40% of the facility space at LSK, so 40% of LSK’s facility costs were used for the baseline cache costs. At Lufkin and Tallahassee, the Team felt there would be no building or land costs related to facilities there due to the existing presence, and therefore those costs were excluded from the total cost of new caches in those locations. U.S. Forest Service 11 NISC Optimization and Review Finally, a location adjustment was applied to each proposed site to account for varying labor and material costs in different locations. The location adjustment factors utilized in the model were developed by RS Means, a leading supplier of construction and facility maintenance cost information. Adjustment factors are based on a national average of 1.0 and are available for numerous cities in each state. For example, the location adjustment factor for Ontario, CA is 1.07; indicating labor and material costs in this city are generally seven percent higher than the national average. If an adjustment factor for a specific location was not available in RS Means, a factor for the closest city within the same state was used to estimate the annual cache costs for that location. 3 Analysis 3.1 Assumptions The following assumptions were developed through model development, data analysis and discussions with the Team:  Interagency caches will continue to be needed to support wildland firefighting efforts in the future.  Cache facilities operate year round. Although staffing levels fluctuate at various times throughout the year, the cache is able to respond as necessary.  While the model outcome affects the location and workload of the cache system, the method of doing business will remain the same in the future.  The model does not consider non-federal costs and/or resources. Costs for the Northeastern Cache (NEK), which is collocated with the State of Minnesota, and for Coeur d’Alene, which is an Idaho Department of Lands facility, have been adjusted to reflect only the costs that are billed to the Federal Government.  Data gathered for this effort was the best available, but there may be some disconnects and errors. The data used in this model was reviewed for these instances, and was adjusted as needed. Adjustments made to the data were documented and noted where applicable.  The model assumes no impediment to moving resources across Geographic Area Coordination Center (GACC) boundaries, states, and regions. In other words, the model has no restrictions for crossing boundaries (regional and state lines) to deliver shipments. The model assumes any required coordination is taken, if necessary.  The model assumes that each cache will maintain the same ratios for shipment types for previous years. Gathering actual shipment data for Fiscal Year 2002 through 2006 would be both cost and time prohibitive, so the shipment type ratios were applied to the issue data from ICBS to translate issues for each cache to shipments.  Fluctuations in shipment workload at each cache would affect the staffing required at each location. Personnel costs for Material Handler and Mechanic type positions were isolated for each cache. As the model runs, the percentage U.S. Forest Service 12 NISC Optimization and Review that workload fluctuates is applied to the total personnel costs for that cache and is increased or decreased accordingly. In addition, thresholds were determined for the expansion/decrease in management and administrative positions. Once a cache reached a workload threshold during a model run, the personnel costs were increased or decreased by the identified amount. The Study Team determined the specifics regarding the number of positions that would increase/decrease on a cache by cache basis. The cost impacts were also calculated on an individual cache basis and the cost of liability insurance was included in the total personnel cost impact. Attachment 7 provides a summary of the cost impacts for these positions at the different workload thresholds.  As noted in Section 2.1.2, the analysis conducted on the reported transportation data assumed that the ratios of CSRS and FERS retirements for the personnel reported in the Cache Manager Data Call would be consistent; no actuarial analysis was conducted.  The model assumed distance restrictions for each cache equal to the farthest shipment for each cache in each fiscal year.  The maximum expansion capability for each cache was assumed to be equal to the cache’s maximum workload capability without capital investment. (Note: this assumption was added after model runs demonstrated that further expansion of existing sites through capital investment was not cost effective.)  The purpose of this study is to evaluate the current NISC system, determine the optimal number of caches, and identify the optimal location of those caches.  The model assumes that all cache locations can accommodate all types of shipments.  The model incorporates data from the entire cache system (with the exception of Alaska, which was not included).  The model only incorporates caches that have been identified as potential sites and those currently in use. A list of potential sites is provided in Attachment 5.  A single pick-up issue is assumed to be equivalent to a single shipment.  Shipments are not restricted to specific caches. The model allows for shipments to be assigned to any location, with the exception of pick-ups. Pick-ups only occur in the model results when the shipment is assigned to the same cache that shipped it in that fiscal year. Otherwise, the shipment becomes a “normal” shipment, using the pick-up billing rate. Essentially, this allows for per diem to be incurred, as applicable.  The current responses to fire incidents/historical workload data and utilization of resources have been satisfactory to date. The model is designed to refine and improve upon this utilization.  New facilities were assumed to have an annual cost equivalent to those at the Ontario cache (LSK). However, the Team determined that a facility 40% of LSK’s size is all that is required, so the costs and size were reduced by 60% for new facility considerations. U.S. Forest Service 13 NISC Optimization and Review  The model assumes that the only operational costs that vary between each fiscal year model run are associated with transportation. All other costs remain constant and in 2007 dollars. 3.2 Study Limitations The Study Team identified some limitations of the study, outputs, and recommendations generated from the model. These limitations are:  The incident support required of the cache system is a part of the model output, in that the cost of operating each cache is based upon federal workload input. Recommendations must recognize the need for other localized support that would not otherwise be apparent.  The model is an economic model designed to minimize cache shipment costs.  Certain resource limitations cannot be modeled (e.g., availability of vehicles, material handling capabilities), but should be considered with the implementation of any recommendations.  The model has the advantage of knowing workload requirements. In reality, workload varies with each fire season. Previous workloads are only an indication of future requirements, not a predictor.  Process limitations include inability to include all regions, state representation, and line officer participation in the Team composition.  The recommendations are based solely on capabilities of the NISC system and do not evaluate state contributions to requirements beyond their historical contributions to federal workload.  The cost results of the model only reflect the estimated operational cost for the cache. Additional overhead costs incurred by the Federal Government (e.g., percentages of Regional Forester time) may not be accurately reflected.  To accurately calculate the total operational costs of the cache system from the model outputs, a minimum workload level would need to be set for each cache to avoid a situation where a cache would have no workload but still incur an operational cost for remaining open. However, the objective of determining the optimal number and location of national caches for this study would not have been achieved if minimum workload thresholds were imposed in the model. 3.3 Model Runs The model conducted in-depth calculations for NISC shipments to minimize the shipment costs for a given workload from all available cache locations. The model attributed cache facility, personnel, and transportation costs (on a per shipment basis) to all shipments. Using the data in the model, the lowest cost shipment was selected and assigned to the cache. The variables of the model were refined by subject matter experts, and the model was run again until results stabilized to generate feasible and realistic workload distributions. U.S. Forest Service 14 NISC Optimization and Review The model was initially run using Fiscal Year 2007 data only in order for the Team to carefully review the outputs, identify anomalies, and make changes as necessary. By running the single, most recent year, the Team could compare the model results to what they observed the workload to be to identify significant differences. One of the most important results of this initial run was the review of the cost data for the caches. This run allowed the Team to identify the discrepancies in the operation, personnel, and transportation costs, and to look for alternative sources for the same data. The Team also reviewed specific shipment and issue workload to remove any workload considered out of scope for this study. Once the initial results for 2007 were reviewed by the Team, the model was run using all six fiscal years. The results were provided to the Team, which once again reviewed and evaluated the model outputs. This initial model run provided results for an optimal unconstrained NISC system. The results for this initial model run can be seen in Attachment 8. The Team evaluated the outputs and determined that the current locations of caches should remain relatively the same, with the potential addition of Sparks, Nevada. Sparks, Nevada was added as a potential location and all other new locations were removed from consideration and the model was run again. A summary of the outputs from the Sparks run is provided below in Table 1. U.S. Forest Service 15 NISC Optimization and Review Table 1 – Summary of Results of Sparks Model Run Cache Name Cache Code Six-Year Average Model Results (Shipments) Standard Deviation of Model Results (± from Six-Year Average Model) 2007 Actual Shipments from Cache % Difference of SixYear Average Six-Year Average Actual Shipments Actual Shipments from 2007 Actuals Standard Deviation % Difference of Six-Year Average of Actual Model Results Shipments from Six-Year (± from Six-Year Average Actual) Average Actuals Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache CO-RMK 33 80.75 79 -58% 252 249.06 -87% Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK 0 0.00 151 -100% 421 206.87 -100% MN-NEK 815 0.00 582 40% 684 115.14 19% OR-NWK 1176 302.85 1094 7% 1074 455.36 9% OR-LFK 757 586.63 568 33% 342 149.23 122% WA-WFC 577 281.69 627 -8% 545 195.32 6% AZ-PFK 573 214.74 347 65% 608 211.58 -6% KY-SAK 950 109.00 530 79% 612 232.40 55% Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK 622 676.18 1228 -49% 796 502.83 -22% Great Basin Cache ID-GBK 873 935.48 1925 -55% 1929 531.45 -55% MT-BFC 229 226.24 204 12% 237 135.22 -3% CA-LSK 255 279.16 204 25% 418 182.11 -39% CA-NCK 977 0.00 649 51% 785 204.21 24% ID-CDK 327 84.07 243 35% 234 94.00 40% Sparks 765 42.87 N/A N/A N/A 156.65 N/A Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Sparks, Nevada - New Cache Standard Deviation A standard deviation measures how widely values are dispersed from the average value of the number of shipments for all six model years. A standard deviation of zero indicates that all shipment values were the same for all years. Here, it means that the model assigned the maximum number of shipments allowable for the cache for all years. A low standard deviation indicates a low variation between the number of shipments the model assigned for each of the years. This indicates that the workload levels for that cache would be relatively steady for each of the six years. A high standard deviation indicates a large variation between the years, and thus a significant workload fluctuation. U.S. Forest Service 16 NISC Optimization and Review 3.4 Output Analysis The results generated by the initial runs of the model identified several areas for the implementation of more cost-effective and strategic approaches to the shipment of materials in the NISC system. Specifically, the results indicated that not all of the current locations of national caches in the system are optimal for the minimization of shipment costs for the six years of workload evaluated. The model assigned shipments to most of the current locations for each model year, indicating that while it may be advantageous to relocate or open a new location for a given workload year, most of the existing facilities proved to be in locations that enable the NISC system to adjust to changing wildland fire workload requirements. Although the locations are currently in generally correct locations, the variation in the model results for each year identifies the need for a reevaluation of each cache’s role within the system. The model outputs for both the initial model run and the Sparks run indicate that two current national caches, Rocky Mountain (RMK) and Silver City (SFK), potentially be adjusted to a different level of service rather than maintain a Type 1 level without significant impact to the current system. Neither model run assigned shipments to either of the caches for any of the six model years, with the exception of RMK in 2002. The workload for SFK and RMK was absorbed by the other caches and had a relatively low impact on the overall system. When the additional capacity of the Sparks cache is added to the system, four functioning caches experience a relatively low average workload over the six-year period. Those caches are Northwest (NWK), Wenatchee (WFC), Southwest (PFK), and Billings (BFK). Table 1 shows the six-year averages of the Sparks model run for all caches and also the standard deviation of the results for each cache. The standard deviation of the results for the caches that experienced a low workload impact on average was somewhat high, but Billings was the cache that experienced the most significant workload fluctuations across the years. Workload fluctuations of less than 10% were assumed to have a relatively low cost impact on the cache, because workload fluctuations would be handled by addition or removing personnel overtime. In contrast, the remaining caches showed significant workload changes on average from their current levels during the Sparks run. The Northeast Interagency Fire Cache (NEK) experienced a 19% workload increase for all model years. This increase corresponds to the maximum expansion that was programmed into the model for NEK, and indicates that it has lower shipment costs. Further analysis into the model results showed that NEK had a higher number of pick-up shipments than most caches, which may have skewed the cost of their shipments to make them appear less expensive. In addition, NEK’s response distances were limited to the maximum shipping distance in 2007 (as with all the other caches), which may have allowed some longer shipments to be assigned to NEK that would not be practical. The Northern California Interagency Support Cache (NCK) experienced a workload change similar to NEK where the shipments the model assigned to the cache for each year corresponded to the maximum expansion of the cache (24%). Great Basin (GBK) and Ontario (LSK) Interagency Support Caches showed the most significant decreases in average workload. These caches were not assigned shipments for multiple years during the Sparks run and for almost all of the years during the initial U.S. Forest Service 17 NISC Optimization and Review model run. These results indicate that while these two caches may be located in close proximity to workload, they are not cost effective for the NISC system. The Sparks run indicated a significant workload increase for three caches: La Grande Fire Cache (LFK), Southern Area Incident Support Cache (SAK), and Coeur D’Alene Interagency Support Cache (CDK). LFK showed the most significant workload increase at 122% above its current workload. This workload increase indicates that LFK should have a more significant role in the NISC system in the future, coinciding with its eminent relocation to a new facility. Like LFK, the workload increase at CDK indicates the need for an increased role in the NISC system. This change also indicates the need for a potential increase in federal presence at the cache because CDK is a state-run facility. The workload increase for SAK supports the theory that the NISC system needs to increase its presence in the Southern United States in response to an increased all-hazard response workload (e.g. hurricane support). The initial model run identified a few locations as advantageous for a given workload year, but SAK was the most cost effective for the average of all years for both the initial and the Sparks model runs. The model results from the Sparks run indicate that locating a facility in Sparks, NV is advantageous to the NISC system in terms of responding to workload in a cost-effective manner. The model assigned a fairly consistent workload level to Sparks for each of the six model years, as indicated by the low standard deviation in Table 1. 3.5 Costs A cost summary of the six fiscal years for the initial model run can be found in Attachment 8 and for the Sparks run can be found in Attachment 10. The tables in these attachments compare the initial costs of the cache as input into the model and the resulting cost of the cache found by the model. The initial model run showed an average annual savings of $21,627,293.58. This savings is unrealistic, given that facilities cannot be opened and closed each year depending on workload, because some additional operating costs will be experienced. The cost summaries for the Sparks run in Attachment 10 provide a more realistic idea of potential savings, because the system was held at a specific number of cache locations. The model demonstrated an average annual savings of $937,507.35 for the Sparks run. This savings is inflated because the model assumes that if no shipments are assigned to a cache, in a given year then there will be no cost incurred to the system for that cache for the year. Since this would not occur in reality, the model outputs were revised to reflect the total cost of the system that includes a baseline cost for cache facilities to remain open even if the cache is not assigned any shipments by the model. The baseline costs that were calculated for each cache can be seen in Attachment 11. The costs were calculated using costs that were initially input into the model and adjusting those costs to reflect the model’s output. For example, if the model output showed a cache to have a 25% increased workload on average over the six model years, the cache’s baseline cost was calculated assuming that the cache would maintain the 25% increased workload in the future. The adjusted model results showed an estimated annual savings of $644,925.61. The potential savings would be further increased if minimum thresholds were programmed U.S. Forest Service 18 NISC Optimization and Review into the model to maintain a cost for a cache that does not have any workload. The workload would be redistributed to meet the minimum thresholds of the system and the output costs for some caches would decrease accordingly. The objective of determining the optimal number and location of national caches for this study would not have been achieved if minimum workload thresholds were imposed in the model. Additional savings could be realized with a downsizing/relocation of LSK to a smaller facility in a less expensive location. Across the six years, LSK’s actual workload was 418 shipments per year, quite low when cost and size are taken into consideration. The Sparks run of the model assigned LSK far fewer shipments on average, indicating a local role for LSK, which would allow for the aforementioned downsizing and/or relocation. 4 Recommendations The results of the model provide the most ideal solutions for the distribution of shipment workload through a relatively unconstrained NISC system. It is not always possible to program some real-life operations, costs, and feasibilities into a model, therefore all recommendations need to be evaluated with these factors in mind. Development of a model of this nature requires an iterative approach with multiple revisions and evaluations. The following are recommendations for changes to the current NISC system in order to gain efficiencies and become more cost effective in the future. These recommendations are justified using data and analysis from both model runs, as well as other external considerations. 4.1 Defined Roles of Caches within the National System As Section 1.5 described, the NISC system consists of a tiered network of national interagency facilities that include Geographic Area Caches, Support Satellite Caches and Local Area Support Caches. Caches currently operate autonomously within their regions. The implementation of ICBS-R technology to the cache system will make cache operations visible at a national level and facilitate the implementation of standard operating practices to all national caches. As the NISC system migrates to a national outlook rather than the current regional approach, clearly defining roles of each cache within the national system provides an opportunity to gain operational efficiencies that may have been limited previously. Technology advancements that allow the cache system to view inventory at a national level will allow the NISC system to employ the most cost-effective shipment options from a systematic viewpoint. Table 2 below identifies the 14 national caches that were included in this study and their current role in the organization. The table also describes the recommendation for the role of the cache for future operation based upon the results of the model runs. Figure 1 following the table shows the location of the recommended caches. U.S. Forest Service 19 NISC Optimization and Review Table 2 – Summary of Current and Recommended Roles of Caches Cache Name Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Current Role Type 1 Recommended Role Evaluate for different service level Recommendation Justification Neither model run assigned a significant number of shipments to this cache for any of the workload years. Silver City Fire Cache Type 1 Evaluate for different service level Neither model run assigned a significant number of shipments to this cache for any of the workload years. Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Type 1 Type 1 No Change Recommended Northwest Area Incident Support Cache Type 1 Type 1 No Change Recommended La Grande Fire Cache Type 2 Type 1 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Type 2 Type 2 The model results assigned a significantly higher amount of shipments to LFK given its expansion capability. The number of shipments assigned to LFK by the model clearly shows the need for an increased role in the NISC system. No Change Recommended Type 1 Type 1 No Change Recommended Type 1 Type 1 No Change Recommended Type 1 Type 1 Type 1 Type 1 - Support Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Type 3 Type 3 No Change Recommended The model results showed a significantly decreased workload for GBK. The facility and operation costs for GBK are higher, but it's proximity to national coordination activities at NIFC justify maintaining GBK's role in the system at the Type 1 level. The annual anticipated workload level would be decreased for GBK, but it would serve as an expansion site for the NISC system in the event of strained resources. It would also maintain the majority of its prior refurbishment, kit building, and publication activities, as well as the National Radio Cache. No Change Recommended Type 1 Type 2 The model results assigned LSK an average annual number of shipments equivalent to Type 2 Satellite Caches. However, Section 4.3 below provides discussion regarding the relocation of LSK to an alternative Southern California location, where it could potentially maintain its Type 1 status. Northern California Interagency Support Cache Type 1 Type 1 No Change Recommended U.S. Forest Service 20 NISC Optimization and Review Cache Name Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Sparks, Nevada - New Cache U.S. Forest Service Current Role Type 3 Recommended Role Type 3 Recommendation Justification The model results assigned an increased number of shipments to CDK. The maximum workload level for CDK was set at a level correlating to that of a Type 2 or Type 3 cache, and the model reached the maximum for four of the six workload years. Consideration should be given to increasing the partnership at CDK to increase the federal presence and/or workload handled by the facility. N/A Type 1 The addition of this new location to the model resulted in a workload assigned to this cache at the level of a Type 1 facility. 21 NISC Optimization and Review Figure 1 – Map Showing Recommended Type 1 Cache Locations from Sparks Model Run U.S. Forest Service 22 NISC Optimization and Review 4.2 New Location – Sparks, NV The results of the initial model run indicated that alternative cache locations should be considered to enhance the effectiveness of the NISC system. Results from all six model years of the initial model run were evaluated to determine what changes could be made to the current system that would be reasonable in terms of cost and system impact. Because the model results showed that that majority of current locations were feasible, the Team decided to consider the addition of one cache location to the system. The location that appeared the most feasible from all six years of model runs and also appeared to be large enough to support a national cache was Sparks, NV. The model was run again for all six workload years and Sparks continued to appear to be a more cost-effective option for the NISC system than several existing alternatives. The start-up of a facility in Sparks is estimated to cost $220,829.78, as shown in Attachment 14. This start-up would be a capital investment required by the NISC system, which is partially offset by the savings generated from the recommendation to change RMK and SFK’s roles. As shown in Figure 1, Sparks’ proximity to California, Southern Oregon, and Utah would allow it to support wildland firefighting efforts in those areas where a cache was not previously located. 4.3 Southern California Cache The results from the initial model run assigned LSK essentially no shipments for all six years of workload data. The results for three of the six years for the initial run assigned a significant number of shipments to two alternative southern California cities, Porterville and Three Rivers. These results indicate that the current LSK cache is not the most costeffective location in Southern California and that other locations could feasibly respond to the workload managed by LSK in the past. Figures 5, 6, and 7 in Attachment 9 show the model results for Fiscal Years 2002, 2003, and 2004 and the proximity of the locations. During the Sparks run, these locations that were removed from consideration and the model assigned workload to LSK for only three of the six years. These years were the same three years (2002-2004) that showed the significant workload for the two alternative locations in the initial model run, which indicates that if either of these locations were included in the Sparks run, they would have received LSK’s shipments in those years. Table 3 below shows the model results for these three locations for each of these runs. U.S. Forest Service 23 NISC Optimization and Review Table 3 – Model Results for Southern California Locations Results from Initial Model Run Three Rivers, CA Porterville, CA Ontario, CA (LSK) Results from Sparks Run Ontario, CA (LSK) 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 585 0 0 628 0 1 0 327 0 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 0 1 0 510 510 510 Average Annual Cost (Model Output) $2,058,221.67 $1,042,470.69 $0.00 $2,388,209.00 Over the past few years, Southern California has experienced significant wildland fire activity that has received national attention. The National Wildland Fire Agencies and California’s State Fire Agency, CAL Fire, have a strong partnership throughout the State of California. As a result, there is a political need to maintain a cache location in Southern California to support wildland firefighting efforts, but the model results indicate the best location for that cache may not be in Ontario. Another consideration for locations in Southern California that cannot be modeled is traffic patterns. The relocation of LSK may result in longer delivery distances, but not an increase in time required for delivery as a result of less traffic around the new location. Recognizing the need for a cache location in Southern California, there is scope for further refinement/optimization of the cache locations. This could be accomplished by running the model in the Sparks run set-up again and allowing Three Rivers and/or Porterville to be optional location(s) during the model runs. Based on the data provided by the initial and the Sparks run, it is probable that shipments would no longer be assigned to LSK and would be more cost-effectively reallocated to another Southern California location. 4.4 Next Steps This study provides a good indication of what the optimal NISC system would look like and demonstrates that the current system is relatively close to optimal in terms of location. To get an even more realistic cost profile of the final optimized cache system, the model could be revised to place minimum shipment restrictions on caches based upon clearly defined roles for tiers of the system, as described above, and any additional realworld restrictions. The Sparks run was designed to optimize shipment costs among available resources and this refinement will provide a clearer picture of how the optimized system would operate in terms of both cost and workload. The refinement would be further enhanced by collecting and incorporating 2008 workload data into the model to validate the assumptions that were made during the initial design of the model. The refinement would also require an update of 2008 costs. Conducting a validation of the model would provide the opportunity to research the actual costs of starting up a facility in Sparks, NV; Porterville, CA; or Three Rivers, CA. Combining these two tasks will facilitate the timely implementation of any additional recommendations. U.S. Forest Service 24 NISC Optimization and Review 5 Conclusion The results of the model developed during this Study showed that the NISC system is generally operating in the correct locations and with the correct number of facilities. The results indicated that reducing two existing Type 1 caches (RMK and SFK) locations into a single Type 1 cache in a new location would increase the cost effectiveness of the entire system. The results of this study provide a general idea of the workload impacts that the recommendations would have, but an additional run of the model in which real-life workload constraints were placed on the cache facilities that would remain in the system would need to be conducted to understand the actual impacts the relocation would have on workload. In addition, the results indicated that LSK is not located in a cost-effective location, and should be evaluated for relocation to a different Southern California location. Going forward, the model developed for this study will be a lasting resource. This model can be updated to include the latest NISC workload, and can be re-run as needed to provide current results regarding the distribution of shipments and optimal locations. The model can also be updated to include the most recent cost data (e.g., facilities, personnel, shipments), and to reflect any changes in the NISC system. With a few design changes, the model can also optimize results based on time, mileage, or a combination of these and cost. With some additional data and redesign, the model can also study centralized refurbishment or other cost optimization considerations. U.S. Forest Service 25 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 1 – Current Cache Locations Name Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Code CO-RMK City Lakewood State CO Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK Hurley NM Northeast Interagency Fire Cache MN-NEK Grand Rapids MN Northwest Area Incident Support Cache OR-NWK Redmond OR La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK La Grande OR Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache WA-WFC Wenatchee WA Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache AZ-PFK Prescott AZ Southern Area Incident Support Cache KY-SAK London KY Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK Missoula MT Great Basin Cache ID-GBK Boise ID Billings Interagency Fire Cache MT-BFC Billings MT Ontario Interagency Support Cache CA-LSK Ontario CA Northern California Interagency Support Cache CA-NCK Redding CA Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache ID-CDK Coeur d'Alene ID U.S. Forest Service Attachment 1-1 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 2 – Forest Service Data Call Correspondence from Chief [This attachment provided in a separate document] U.S. Forest Service Attachment 2-1 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 3 – Data Call Forms [This attachment provided in a separate document] U.S. Forest Service Attachment 3-1 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 4 – How the Model Works 1. The NISC Model runs in Access, responding to data drawn from data calls, FireCode, ICBS, and prior studies. 2. The model is iterative, making assumptions about cache shipment workload before each run, and modifying these assumptions automatically after each run. Once the assumptions for the given run are within a fraction of a percent of the outputs of the run, the model is complete. The starting assumption (first model run) for each cache is the actual shipment workload for that fiscal year, or in the case of potential caches, the average of the workload for all existing caches for that fiscal year. 3. There are several input tables utilized by the model as it runs. a. The table of existing and potential caches provides the names and locations of the various caches and potential sites, as well as annual operating costs, and costs for the personnel that would expand/decrease with a shift in cache workload. Additionally, this table contains the current assumption for shipment results for each cache, the actual results from the previous model run, and the maximum number of shipments available to the cache. Finally, this table contains a maximum roundtrip shipping distance cap for each cache, based on the greater of the longest actual shipment in the applicable fiscal year or 2,000 miles. For potential caches, 2,000 miles is used as the starting point for the current assumption for shipment results. The cap is set at 10% above the starting shipment count. Expansion costs for potential caches were based on the personnel manning of CA-LSK, and facility costs were set at 40% of CA-LSK, since that was determined to be a proper Type I cache size. b. The shipment table contains all of the current (or estimated for fiscal year 2002-2006) shipments to which the caches must respond, including billing rates for drivers and vehicles, and per diem rates. Also, the (estimated) cost of each shipment as it was conducted in the applicable fiscal year is included in this table, so that the model can use actual costs when considering use of the same cache that was actually used for each particular shipment. c. The mileage ratio table provides a translation from straight-line roundtrip miles to an estimate of the actual miles traveled for a given shipment, on a cache-by-cache basis. This table was generated using the shipment data provided for 2007, combined with calculations on the straight-line roundtrip distance for each of those shipments. The average value was used for each cache. When a particular cache is used by the model to perform a shipment, the straight-line distance calculated by the model is transformed into an estimated actual roundtrip distance by the factors in this table. For potential caches, an average ratio of 1.7 was used. d. The billing hours and miles traveled table has averaged the billing hours per mile traveled for the different vehicle types utilized by the Forest U.S. Forest Service Attachment 4-1 NISC Optimization and Review Service. This table has one value for each vehicle type, averaged across all caches. This will translate the roundtrip mileage into billing hours in the model results, for costing and per diem purposes. e. The regional issues to shipments ratios table provides the ratio of number of issues to a given region to number of shipments to that region, for the applicable fiscal year. As described earlier in the report, these ratios account for the fact that shipments often have multiple issues, and thus travel further than the estimated roundtrip distance from cache to incident. The additional mileage assumed for each extra issue on a shipment is 100 miles. f. The Cache Artificial Expansions tab contains, for every cache, additional supervisory and administrative position costs which would be incurred if that cache were to expand by certain predetermined percentages and savings if the cache were to shrink by certain percentages. For the purposes of the model, the expansion of the cache is determined by number of shipments. Each cache has a different set of percentages and costs at those percentages. Potential caches are again modeled after CALSK. This table also includes the current expansion/reduction in cache workload indicated by the previous model run, as well as the current assumption for expansion/reduction. 4. The first step that the model takes when run is to calculate the cost of every possible shipment and cache combination, using the data from the aforementioned tables. This is done in several stages, and the only limitation to whether or not a cache can handle a certain shipment in this step is the distance, which must be less than the maximum response distance. Local pickups are handled differently and will be described in the next step. a. The model takes every shipment from the shipment table, and matches each one up to every cache from the cache table. Using a function that calculates distance based on latitude and longitude points, combined with the ratios from the mileage ratio table, it puts the cache, shipment, and mileage information into the All Possible Responses table if the resultant mileage is less than the maximum allowed for that cache. b. Using the calculated mileage, vehicle type, and average billing hours per mile for that vehicle type, the model next calculates the billing hours for each of these possible shipments and puts those into the table. It is at this point that the mileage is increased using the issues to shipments ratio for the applicable destination region. The mileage is increased by 100 miles * (ratio – 1) to account for multiple issue shipments. c. Using the original billing rates for each of the shipments, from the shipments table, the model calculates personnel billing costs for each possible shipment and puts those into the table. d. Using the billing hours, and the per diem rates from the original shipments in the shipments table, the model assigns per diem costs based on per diem U.S. Forest Service Attachment 4-2 NISC Optimization and Review days calculated as follows: 12-18 billing hours = 1 per diem day. 18-24 billing hours = 1.5 per diem days and so on in 6 hour increments. Less than 12 billing hours results in 0 per diem days. Per diem costs are loaded into the table after calculation. e. Using the original vehicle use rate from the shipments table and the calculated miles traveled vehicle usage costs are calculated for all possible shipments, and loaded into the table. f. Finally, a support cost (“Shipment Factor”) is calculated based on the total annual cache costs and the estimated shipment results for that cache, for all shipments. These Shipment Factors are equal to the total annual cache costs divided by the estimated number of shipments. This represents all of the cache operating costs, divided across the cache’s workload, i.e. its shipments. As the shipments change in the model results, the shipment assumptions change for the next run, and the Shipment Factors change with them. g. The support cost is modified by the expansion/reduction of the cache, using the cache table and the cache artificial expansions table. The cache table contains a field that represents the cost of a 100% expansion in cache operations. This field is multiplied by the actual expansion/reduction assumption for the current model run, and is added or subtracted from the total annual cache costs as the shipment factor is calculated. Also, if the percentage is above or below the specific percentages detailed in the artificial expansions table, those costs are also added or subtracted from the total annual cost as applicable. In this way, if a cache is assumed to be operating with a reduced shipment workload, the model also reduces personnel costs to account for this workload assumption, giving a cache cost more appropriate to the anticipated workload. h. All of these costs are added together to calculate the total shipment cost for each possible shipment. As a result of the inclusion of all possible responses in this table, the original caches will have all of their original shipments as possibilities. In these cases, the original calculated shipment costs (plus the shipment factors) are used as the costs for those shipments. This accomplishes two objectives: in the event of local pickups, which would not be local pickups for another cache (assumed), this prevents the adding of the multiple issue factor to the shipment costs. It is assumed that a pickup has only one issue. Also, it reduces model runtime as the calculations for these shipments are already done. 5. With all the possible combinations of shipment and cache in one table, the model sorts this table by shipping distance, in ascending order. The purpose of this is to make certain the model attempts to minimize distance and cost together, instead of just cost at the expense of distance. 6. From the sorted list of shipments, the model extracts a list of the shipment ID numbers, which establishes the order in which the model will now select the lowest cost option for each shipment. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 4-3 NISC Optimization and Review 7. In order of the shipment ID selected above, the model looks at each shipment, and selects the shipment and cache combination that resulted in the lowest cost in step 4. As each shipment is selected, the model tracks that one additional shipment has been assigned to the appropriate cache. Once the model has assigned a number of shipments to a particular cache equal to the maximum allowed number of shipments for that cache, it no longer considers that cache for further shipments. In this way, no cache exceeds the preset maximum capacity. 8. Once all shipments are assigned, the model produces a summary table that shows the number of shipments for each cache (with at least one shipment), the ratio of shipments in the model results to the shipments in the shipment table, and the current assumption of how much the cache would expand or shrink from the artificial expansions table. 9. The final steps the model takes are refining the assumptions for the next run. a. The shipment assumption is adjusted by 1/75 of the difference between the model results and the current assumption. For example, if the model assumption was 100 shipments for a cache, and the model results assigned 175 shipments, then the assumption for the next run would be 100 + 75/75 or 101 shipments instead of 100. b. The expansion assumption is adjusted by 1/40 of the difference between the model results and the current assumption. This is a smaller ratio than the shipment assumption because it operates on a smaller scale (-100 to 100) than the shipments (0 to 1,000 or more). These values were adjusted until a stable model resulted. c. The supervisory and administrative expansion costs, which are always calculated in advance of the model run, are revised in the artificial expansion table based on the expansion assumption resulting from the just-completed run of the model. 10. Then, the model is run again using the new, automatically updated, assumptions, until the assumptions and results are within a fraction of a percent. This was done for all six fiscal years (2002-2007). 11. Using the results from these runs, it was determined that Sparks, NV was the most effective and viable new cache location, and the model was run again for all 6 fiscal years with just Sparks, NV as a potential cache and no other potential new locations were considered. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 4-4 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 5 – Potential Cache Locations Alabama Anniston Daviston Decatur Eufaula Heflin Montgomery Talladega Tuskegee Arkansas Clarksville Danville Dardanelle Fort Smith Garfield Harrison Hector Hot Springs Jasper Jessieville Manila Marianna Mena Russellville Turrell Little Rock U.S. Forest Service Arizona Camp Verde Chinle Chino Valley Coolidge Flagstaff Globe Hereford Mesa Page Payson Phoenix Prescott Rimrock Sacaton Safford Scottsdale Tucson Whiteriver Yuma California Antioch Arcadia Bakersfield Barstow Calipatria Clovis Danville Davis Delano El Cajon Eureka French Camp Goleta Indio Los Banos Mammoth Lakes Martinez Moreno Valley Nevada City Oakland Paicines Petaluma Placerville Porterville Redding Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco South Lake Tahoe Susanville Thousand Oaks Three Rivers Twentynine Palms Vallejo Ventura Whiskeytown Willows Yreka Attachment 5-1 Colorado Bayfield Boulder Canon City Colorado Springs Commerce City Craig Delta Durango Estes Park Fort Collins Fruita Glenwood Springs Golden Grand Junction Gunnison Idaho Springs La Junta Lakewood (Denver) Montrose Morrison Pueblo Salida Steamboat Springs Florida Gainesville Ocala Olustee Tallahassee Georgia Andersonville Chatsworth Clarksville Columbus Dry Branch Eatonton Fort Oglethorpe Gainesville Kennesaw Macon Plains NISC Optimization and Review Iowa Prairie City West branch Idaho Boise Burley Coeur d'Alene Emmett Idaho Falls Lapwai Mountain Home Nampa Pocatello Sandpoint Twin Falls Indiana Bedford Chesterton Columbus Madison Seymour Vincennes Kentucky Frankfort Lexington London Louisiana Bentley Homer Natchitoches Pineville Provencal Shreveport Winnfield Minnesota Grand Rapids U.S. Forest Service Missouri Columbia Diamond Independence Republic Rolla Springfield St. Louis Mississippi Boyle Brooksville Cruger Forest Grenada Jackson Jackson Natchez Oxford Pearl Tupelo Vicksburg Yazoo city Montana Anaconda Bigfork Billings Bozeman Butte Great Falls Hungry Horse Huson Lewiston Livingston Marion Miles City Missoula Whitehall North Carolina Asheville Flat Rock Greensboro Nebo Pisgah Forest Raleigh North Dakota Berthold Bismarck Devils Lake Dickinson Moffit Pingree Valley City New Mexico Alamogordo Albuquerque Aztec Carlsbad Cloudcroft Dexter Farmington Gallup Grants Holloman AFB Las Cruces Las Vegas Los Alamos Portales Roswell Ruidoso Santa Fe Silver City Socorro Taos Tijeras Watrous Attachment 5-2 Nevada Boulder City Carson City Elko Fallon Las Vegas Reno Sparks Washoe Valley Winnemucca Ohio Cincinnati Nelsonville Oklahoma Ardmore Elk City Idabel Oklahoma City NISC Optimization and Review Oregon Ashland Baker City Bend Central Point Corvallis Cottage Grove Dufur Estacada Eugene Glide Hood River Idleyld Park Klamath Falls La Grande Medford North Bend Parkdale Pendleton Portland Prineville Redmond Rhododendron Roseburg Salem Sandy Sherwood Sweet Home The Dalles Vale South Carolina Columbia U.S. Forest Service South Dakota Columbia Fort Pierre Huron Madison Nemo Rapid City Spearfish Yankton Tennessee Bristol Cleveland Gatlinburg Greeneville Knoxville Murfreesboro Nashville Paris Ripley Stanton Unicoi Union City Wartburg Texas Abilene Amarillo College Station Decatur El Paso Fritch Lufkin Umbarger Zavalla Utah American Fork Brigham City Cedar City Ephraim Heber City Logan Ogden Pleasant Grove Price Provo Richfield Salt Lake City Vernal Wyoming Casper Cheyenne Cody Evanston Green River Jackson Lander Rawlins Rock Springs Sheridan Worland Virginia Charlottesville Covington Harrisonburg Marion Roanoke Washington Amboy Burbank Cathlamet Cheney Cle Elum Colville Mountlake Terrace Naches North Bend Olympia Pasco Richland Ridgefield Spokane Vancouver Walla Walla Washougal Wenatchee Attachment 5-3 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 6 – Five-Year Cost Summaries for Current Cache Locations [This attachment provided in a separate document] U.S. Forest Service Attachment 6-1 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 7 – Expanded Personnel Costs Expanded Staffing Summary The following table provides the total personnel costs for different categories for Fiscal Year 2007. *NEK currently uses State Employees and details from other caches to perform material handling duties. *Only five locations currently use Small Engine Mechanics: CDK, GBK, NEK, NRK, and NWK. *Driver costs have been removed from the expanded staffing because the model will calculate the expansion/decrease in transportation costs for each cache. Including driver type positions with the expanded staffing costs will be double counting the personnel costs associated with transportation. Similarly, the hourly workload associated with Government personnel drivers for each cache has been removed from the total personnel hours. *AD costs below reflect the costs for Fiscal Year 2007 for the Cache System for Material Handlers and Mechanics Only. The total costs represented in this table were obtained from a combination of the NISC Center Manager Data Call and a report from a USFS financial data system. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 RMK SFK NEK NWK LFK WFC PFK SAK NRK GBK BFK LSK NCK AKK Federal Staff Costs* (Material Handler and Small Engine Mechanic Type Positions only) $112,631.04 $190,011.39 N/A $793,693.81 $103,904.61 $176,157.32 $245,556.80 $55,263.05 $668,183.48 $613,494.44 $102,406.24 $419,778.77 $325,716.66 $825,853.72 15 CDKt $0.00 $301,736.00 $0.00 AD Hires (Material Handler and Mechanic Positions Only) N/A $14,321.50 $29,164.90 $328,034.17 $79,554.87 $5,139.20 $62,384.60 $21,712.94 $10,693.44 $1,384,239.17 $39,647.00 $131,342.51 $290,666.00 Not Reported (TBD) $0.00 $4,632,651.32 $360,791.15 $60,948.97 $2,396,900.30 Cache State Employees Federal Militia Employees $0.00 $0.00 $57,307.09 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,748.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $60,948.97 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Subcontract Employees $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $125,181.57 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $137,729.57 $0.00 $262,911.14 *Includes Personal Liability Insurance Costs (Factor of 0.007) t Beginning in 2008, CDK will no longer be hiring AD staff. All temp workforces will be state employees. Inflation Rates 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 U.S. Forest Service 2.99% 2.90% 3.20% 3.40% 3.40% Attachment 7-1 NISC Optimization and Review Expanded Management Cost Calculations The following tables show the number of positions that are to be added/removed at each change in workload level, and the cost implications of those changes for each cache. These tables were developed by the Team in Boise, ID on 10/6/2008. Lead Material Handlers Number of Govt. Lead Material Handlers Added from Current 1 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 2 SFK 3 NEK 4 NWK 1.00 5 LFK 0.50 0.50 0.50 6 WFC 1.00 1.00 1.00 7 PFK 8 SAK 9 NRK 11 BFK 12 LSK 13 NCK 15 CDK 1.00 -50% -75% -0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -1.00 -1.00 -2.50 -3.00 -4.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.00 25% 10 -25% RMK 50% 75% GBK 100% -15% -30% -45% 1.00 -0.50 -1.00 -1.00 Number of Temp Lead Material Handlers Added from Current 25% 1 50% RMK 2 SFK 3 NEK 4 NWK 5 LFK 6 WFC 75% 100% 1.00 1.00 7 PFK 1.00 1.00 8 SAK 1.00 1.00 9 NRK 11 BFK 1.00 1.00 1.00 12 LSK 1.00 2.00 2.00 13 NCK 1.00 1.00 2.00 15 CDK 10 U.S. Forest Service GBK 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.00 1.00 1.00 -25% -50% -75% -15% -30% -45% Attachment 7-2 NISC O Costs of Govt. Lead Material Handlers Added from Current 25% 50% 75% 100% -25% -50% -75% 1 RMK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 2 SFK $44,766 $44,766 $44,766 $44,766 $0 $0 $0 3 NEK $0 $60,889 $60,889 $60,889 $0 $0 $0 4 NWK $54,648 $54,648 $54,648 $109,295 $0 $0 $0 5 LFK $0 $27,196 $27,196 $27,196 -$27,196 -$27,196 -$27,196 6 WFC $0 $53,081 $53,081 $53,081 $0 $0 $0 7 PFK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 -$49,351 -$49,351 8 SAK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 9 NRK $0 $0 $0 $0 -$135,266 -$162,320 -$216,426 11 BFK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 12 LSK $0 $0 $0 $52,740 -$52,740 -$52,740 -$52,740 13 NCK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 -$55,246 -$55,246 15 CDK $0 $0 $0 $54,107 $0 $0 $0 25% 50% 75% 100% -15% -30% -45% 10 GBK $0 $0 $0 $51,287 -$25,644 -$51,287 -$51,287 Costs of Temp Lead Material Handlers Added from Current 25% 50% 75% 100% -25% -50% -75% RMK $0 $0 $22,075 $22,075 $0 $0 $0 SFK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 3 NEK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 4 NWK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 5 LFK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 6 WFC $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 7 PFK $0 $0 $20,156 $20,156 $0 $0 $0 8 SAK $0 $0 $20,633 $20,633 $0 $0 $0 9 NRK $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 11 BFK $0 $22,098 $22,098 $22,098 $0 $0 $0 12 LSK $0 $21,540 $43,080 $43,080 $0 $0 $0 13 NCK $0 $22,563 $22,563 $45,127 $0 $0 $0 15 CDK $22,098 $22,098 $22,098 $22,098 $0 $0 $0 25% 50% 75% 100% -15% -30% -45% $0 $20,947 $20,947 $20,947 $0 $0 $0 1 2 10 U.S. Forest Service GBK Attachment 7-3 NISC O Total Costs of Lead Materials Handler Additions/Deletions 25% 50% 75% 100% -25% -50% -75% 1 RMK $0 $0 $22,075 $22,075 $0 $0 $0 2 SFK $44,766 $44,766 $44,766 $44,766 $0 $0 $0 3 NEK $0 $60,889 $60,889 $60,889 $0 $0 $0 4 NWK $54,648 $54,648 $54,648 $109,295 $0 $0 $0 5 LFK $0 $27,196 $27,196 $27,196 -$27,196 -$27,196 -$27,196 6 WFC $0 $53,081 $53,081 $53,081 $0 $0 $0 7 PFK $0 $0 $20,156 $20,156 $0 -$49,351 -$49,351 8 SAK $0 $0 $20,633 $20,633 $0 $0 $0 -$216,426 9 NRK $0 $0 $0 $0 -$135,266 -$162,320 11 BFK $0 $22,098 $22,098 $22,098 $0 $0 $0 12 LSK $0 $21,540 $43,080 $95,820 -$52,740 -$52,740 -$52,740 13 NCK $0 $22,563 $22,563 $45,127 $0 -$55,246 -$55,246 15 CDK $22,098 $22,098 $22,098 $76,205 $0 $0 $0 10 GBK 25% 50% 75% 100% -15% -30% -45% $0 $20,947 $20,947 $72,234 -$25,644 -$51,287 -$51,287 Number of Assistant Cache Managers Added/Removed 25% 50% 1 RMK 25% $0 $0 2 SFK $0 $0 3 NEK $0 $0 4 NWK 1.00 $0 $0 5 LFK 1.00 $0 $0 6 WFC 1.00 $0 $0 7 PFK $0 $0 8 SAK 9 NRK 11 BFK 12 13 15 CDK 10 GBK 75% 100% -25% -50% -75% $0 $0 -1.00 $0 $0 -1.00 $0 $0 LSK $0 $0 NCK $0 $0 -1.00 25% U.S. Forest Service 50% 50% 75% 100% -15% -1.00 -30% -45% 25% 50% -1.00 -1.00 $0 $0 Attachment 7-4 NISC O Cost of Added / Removed Admin Positions 25% 1 50% 75% 100% -25% RMK -50% -75% -$58,910.92 -$58,910.92 2 SFK -$35,303.77 -$79,936.56 -$79,936.56 3 NEK -$24,102.14 -$68,734.93 -$68,734.93 4 NWK -$22,241.55 -$77,529.72 5 LFK -$19,878.68 -$19,878.68 6 WFC -$22,241.55 -$22,241.55 7 PFK -$44,632.80 -$44,632.80 8 SAK 9 NRK -$71,993.95 -$71,993.95 11 BFK -$71,993.95 -$49,752.40 -$49,752.40 12 LSK -$60,878.53 -$60,878.53 13 NCK -$49,752.40 -$49,752.40 15 CDK -19,312.00 -19,312.00 25% 10 50% 75% 100% -15% -30% GBK -45% -$14,144.00 Cost of Decreasing Grade Levels of Management Positions -50% -75% 1 RMK 25% -$28,275.17 -$28,275.17 2 SFK -$26,536.80 -$26,536.80 3 NEK -$24,881.32 -$24,881.32 4 NWK 5 LFK 6 WFC 7 PFK -$26,536.80 -$26,536.80 8 SAK -$26,536.80 -$26,536.80 -$26,536.80 9 NRK 11 BFK 12 LSK 13 NCK 15 CDK -15% -30% -45% 10 GBK 25% U.S. Forest Service 50% 50% 75% 75% 100% 100% -25% Attachment 7-5 NISC O Total Cost Effect of Changes to Personnel Costs 25% 50% 75% 100% -25% -50% -75% 1 RMK $0.00 $0.00 $22,075.01 $22,075.01 $0.00 -$87,186.09 -$87,186.09 2 SFK $44,766.02 $44,766.02 $44,766.02 $44,766.02 -$35,303.77 -$106,473.36 -$106,473.36 3 NEK $0.00 $60,889.00 $60,889.00 $60,889.00 -$24,102.14 -$93,616.26 -$93,616.26 4 NWK $54,647.58 $54,647.58 $54,647.58 $176,922.52 $0.00 -$22,241.55 -$77,529.72 5 LFK $0.00 $27,195.64 $27,195.64 $109,020.62 -$27,195.64 -$47,074.32 -$47,074.32 6 WFC $0.00 $53,081.34 $53,081.34 $134,906.31 $0.00 -$22,241.55 -$22,241.55 7 PFK $0.00 $0.00 $20,155.95 $20,155.95 $0.00 -$120,520.43 -$120,520.43 8 SAK $0.00 $0.00 $20,632.81 $20,632.81 -$26,536.80 -$26,536.80 -$26,536.80 9 NRK $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 -$274,887.60 -$301,940.85 -$356,047.37 11 BFK $0.00 $22,098.27 $22,098.27 $22,098.27 $0.00 -$49,752.40 -$117,379.75 12 LSK $0.00 $21,540.00 $43,079.99 $95,819.61 -$52,739.62 -$113,618.15 -$113,618.15 13 NCK $0.00 $22,563.50 $22,563.50 $45,126.99 $0.00 -$104,998.00 -$104,998.00 15 CDK $22,098.27 $22,098.27 $22,098.27 $76,204.79 $0.00 -$19,312.00 -$19,312.00 25% 50% 75% 100% -15% -30% -45% 10 GBK $0.00 $20,946.83 $20,946.83 $72,234.12 -$25,643.64 -$118,914.63 -$133,058.63 Total Cost Effect of Workload Changes to Personnel Costs with Liability Insurance Costs 25% 50% 75% 100% -25% -50% -75% 1 RMK $0.00 $0.00 $22,229.53 $22,229.53 $0.00 -$87,796.39 -$87,796.39 2 SFK $45,079.39 $45,079.39 $45,079.39 $45,079.39 -$35,550.90 -$107,218.67 -$107,218.67 3 NEK** $0.00 $60,889.00 $60,889.00 $60,889.00 -$24,270.85 -$94,271.57 -$94,271.57 4 NWK $55,030.12 $55,030.12 $55,030.12 $178,160.97 $0.00 -$22,397.24 -$78,072.43 5 LFK $0.00 $27,386.01 $27,386.01 $109,783.76 -$27,386.01 -$47,403.84 -$47,403.84 6 WFC $0.00 $53,452.91 $53,452.91 $135,850.66 $0.00 -$22,397.24 -$22,397.24 7 PFK $0.00 $0.00 $20,297.04 $20,297.04 $0.00 -$121,364.07 -$121,364.07 8 SAK $0.00 $0.00 $20,777.23 $20,777.23 -$26,722.55 -$26,722.55 -$26,722.55 9 NRK $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 -$276,811.81 -$304,054.44 -$358,539.70 11 BFK $0.00 $22,252.96 $22,252.96 $22,252.96 $0.00 -$50,100.67 -$118,201.41 12 LSK $0.00 $21,690.78 $43,381.55 $96,490.35 -$53,108.79 -$114,413.48 -$114,413.48 13 NCK $0.00 $22,721.44 $22,721.44 $45,442.88 $0.00 -$105,732.99 -$105,732.99 15 CDK $22,252.96 $22,252.96 $22,252.96 $76,738.22 $0.00 -$19,447.18 -$19,447.18 25% 50% 75% 100% -15% -30% -45% 10 GBK $0.00 $21,093.46 $21,093.46 $72,739.76 -$25,823.15 -$119,747.04 -$133,990.04 *When expansion table of the model is filled, Overhead percentage are automatically added. **Liability Insurance Costs do not affect State Positions, therefore only a portion of the total costs will include liability insurance. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 7-6 NISC O Attachment 8 – Initial Model Run Detailed Results Actual Number of Shipments Input into Model Cache Name Cache Code Max. Num. Shipments 2007 2006* 2005* 2004* 2003* 2002* Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache CO-RMK 198 79 191 107 122 273 740 Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK 151 151 476 306 297 589 706 Northeast Interagency Fire Cache MN-NEK 815 582 769 585 616 681 869 Northwest Area Incident Support Cache OR-NWK 1371 1094 957 716 599 1194 1883 La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK 1136 568 383 383 127 239 351 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache WA-WFC 692 627 674 246 646 723 355 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache AZ-PFK 661 347 661 657 546 472 966 Southern Area Incident Support Cache KY-SAK 994 530 994 645 318 471 712 Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK 1396 1228 639 553 276 1590 491 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK 2086 1925 2086 1325 1457 1955 2823 Billings Interagency Fire Cache MT-BFC 434 204 434 86 103 339 256 CA-LSK 510 204 336 251 479 598 640 CA-NCK 977 649 934 473 727 928 1001 ID-CDK 364 243 329 169 175 361 128 N/A 852 679 705 465 463 744 852 Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache All Potential Locations *Shipments for years prior to 2007 were determined by applying the issue to shipment ratios from 2007 to the actual issues for each cache. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 8-1 NISC Optimization and Review Cache Code Max. Num. Shipments 2007 2003 2002 CA-NCK 977 977 977 977 MN-NEK 815 815 815 815 23 852 747 0 0 Southern Area Incident Support Cache KY-SAK 994 727 4 994 Central Point, OR Sparks, NV Whiteriver, AZ Northern Rockies Cache 8 19 22 MT-NRK 852 852 852 1396 0 0* 0 1396 747 747 747 1396 852 852 852 0 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache WA-WFC 692 692 692 0 La Grande Fire Cache Jackson, WY OR-LFK 30 1136 852 1136 747 0 747 145 852 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache AZ-PFK 661 0 0 661 OR-NWK 1371 79 260 1371 ID-CDK 364 364 364 34 10 36 4 9 1 18 16 27 6 1 42 32 14 11 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 852 0 747 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 523 0 628 162 0 0 0 747 747 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 572 852 852 852 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MT-BFC 434 0 80 0 17 852 0 0 327 Cache Name Northern California Interagency Support Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Winnemucca, NV Northwest Area Incident Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Idaho Falls, ID Three Rivers, CA Tallahassee, FL Casper, WY Price, UT Taos, NM Cedar City, UT Los Alamos, NM Page, AZ Heber City, UT Chinle, AZ Bend, OR Nampa, ID Billings Interagency Fire Cache Porterville, CA U.S. Forest Service Attachment 8-2 NISC Optimization and Review Cache Code ID-GBK Max. Num. Shipments 2086 Ontario Interagency Support Cache CA-LSK 510 0 Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache CO-RMK 198 1 Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK 151 0 Cache Name Great Basin Cache Year 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Total Six-Year Annual Average U.S. Forest Service Attachment 8-3 2007 3 Estimation of Savings $6,932,964.64 $30,238,499.36 $30,138,073.58 $23,957,141.68 $15,010,678.71 $23,486,403.52 $129,763,761.50 $21,627,293.58 NISC Optimization and Review Summary of Savings by Year For Initial Model Run Operating Costs for 2007 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Tallahassee, FL Yuma, AZ Goleta, CA Olustee, FL Pocatello, ID Devils Lake, ND Sparks, NV Elko, NV Elk City, OK Cedar City, UT Vernal, UT Jackson, WY Chinle, AZ Idaho Falls, ID Vincennes, IN Ephraim, UT Heber City, UT Total U.S. Forest Service CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attachment 8-4 Actual Costs Input $1,233,160.73 $716,249.21 $634,586.94 $2,490,449.07 $911,645.33 $972,972.68 $980,555.62 $1,006,511.90 $2,535,785.52 $4,650,382.23 $1,055,633.12 $1,833,897.45 $1,381,172.01 $814,216.21 $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $1,203,154.06 $966,766.62 $1,011,998.66 $933,287.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $910,798.83 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $944,532.08 $933,287.66 $978,265.41 $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $38,087,223.90 Initial Model Output $1,114,976.45 $0.00 $981,014.92 $2,403,193.08 $1,817,265.35 $1,488,683.54 $0.00 $1,411,706.11 $4,461,018.35 $3,741,881.51 $0.00 $0.00 $3,357,738.85 $1,885,694.78 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2,333,136.92 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $4,252,102.49 $0.00 $1,905,846.92 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $31,154,259.26 NISC Optimization and Review Savings from 2007 Actual Costs $118,184.28 $716,249.21 ($346,427.98) $87,255.99 ($905,620.02) ($515,710.86) $980,555.62 ($405,194.21) ($1,925,232.83) $908,500.72 $1,055,633.12 $1,833,897.45 ($1,976,566.84) ($1,071,478.57) $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $1,203,154.06 $966,766.62 $1,011,998.66 $933,287.66 ($1,321,138.25) $1,011,998.66 $910,798.83 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 ($3,285,081.51) $944,532.08 ($972,559.25) $978,265.41 $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $6,932,964.64 Operating Costs for 2006 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Tallahassee, FL Page, AZ Whiteriver, AZ Yuma, AZ Goleta, CA Olustee, FL Nampa, ID Pocatello, ID Forest, MS Natchez, MS Devils Lake, ND Valley City, ND Los Alamos, NM Boulder City, NV Sparks, NV Winnemucca, NV Elko, NV Elk City, OK Oklahoma City, OK Bend, OR Central Point, OR Cedar City, UT Vernal, UT Jackson, WY Chinle, AZ Idaho Falls, ID Vincennes, IN Ephraim, UT Heber City, UT Total U.S. Forest Service CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attachment 8-5 Actual Costs Input $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $648,432.71 $2,482,946.91 $907,816.69 $963,984.59 $979,059.18 $999,684.17 $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $1,376,447.24 $814,216.21 $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $1,203,154.06 $966,766.62 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $933,287.66 $731,464.25 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $910,798.83 $793,154.00 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $740,277.06 $933,287.66 $978,265.41 $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $49,040,700.30 Initial Model Output $0.00 $0.00 $581,323.00 $1,700,513.18 $0.00 $1,360,621.00 $1,038,492.22 $998,021.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,146,981.00 $0.00 $1,457,219.00 $728,155.00 $1,223,871.54 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,476,746.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,451,118.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,866,958.00 $1,339,291.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,171,103.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,261,788.00 $18,802,200.94 NISC Optimization and Review Savings from 2006 Actual Costs $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $67,109.71 $782,433.73 $907,816.69 ($396,636.41) ($59,433.04) $1,663.17 $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 ($91,347.89) $1,833,200.79 ($80,771.76) $86,061.21 ($568,700.62) $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $1,203,154.06 $966,766.62 ($464,747.34) $1,011,998.66 $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $933,287.66 $731,464.25 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 ($439,119.34) $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $910,798.83 $793,154.00 ($854,959.34) ($327,292.34) $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 ($430,825.94) $933,287.66 $978,265.41 $877,065.50 ($384,722.50) $30,238,499.36 Operating Costs for 2005 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Tallahassee, FL Whiteriver, AZ Forest, MS Natchez, MS Devils Lake, ND Valley City, ND Los Alamos, NM Boulder City, NV Sparks, NV Elko, NV Central Point, OR Cedar City, UT Tuskegee, AL Clarksville, AR Coolidge, AZ South Lake Tahoe, CA Kennesaw, GA Idaho Falls, ID Pearl, MS Socorro, NM Roseburg, OR Price, UT Provo, UT Total U.S. Forest Service CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attachment 8-6 Actual Costs Input $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $648,432.71 $2,482,946.91 $907,816.69 $963,984.59 $979,059.18 $999,684.17 $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $1,376,447.24 $814,216.21 $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $933,287.66 $933,287.66 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $967,020.99 $899,554.41 $899,554.41 $944,532.08 $1,203,154.06 $899,554.41 $933,287.66 $877,065.50 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $43,638,863.53 Initial Model Output $0.00 $0.00 $608,275.00 $0.00 $1,762,680.00 $0.00 $1,295,357.00 $1,149,792.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,142,787.22 $1,210,884.00 $738,379.34 $618,041.99 $1,826,461.81 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,068,790.59 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2,079,341.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $13,500,789.95 NISC Optimization and Review Savings from 2005 Actual Costs $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $40,157.71 $2,482,946.91 ($854,863.31) $963,984.59 ($316,297.82) ($150,107.83) $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $233,660.02 ($396,667.79) ($83,208.42) $90,978.60 ($881,929.73) $877,065.50 $877,065.50 $933,287.66 $933,287.66 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 ($56,791.92) $967,020.99 $899,554.41 $899,554.41 $944,532.08 $1,203,154.06 $899,554.41 ($1,146,053.34) $877,065.50 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $30,138,073.58 Operating Costs for 2004 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Tallahassee, FL Page, AZ Whiteriver, AZ Mammoth Lakes, CA Placerville, CA Three Rivers, CA Delta, CO Ocala, FL Miles City, MT Grants, NM Ruidoso, NM Los Alamos, NM Sparks, NV Central Point, OR Madison, SD American Fork, UT Cedar City, UT Charlottesville, VA Montgomery, AL Total U.S. Forest Service CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attachment 8-7 Actual Costs Input $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $648,432.71 $2,482,946.91 $907,816.69 $963,984.59 $979,059.18 $999,684.17 $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $1,376,447.24 $814,216.21 $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $1,158,176.25 $1,158,176.25 $1,158,176.25 $1,068,220.83 $910,798.83 $1,011,998.66 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $955,776.57 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $1,000,754.25 $899,554.41 $40,569,134.15 Initial Model Output $0.00 $0.00 $929,982.46 $0.00 $0.00 $922,728.54 $1,323,732.88 $0.00 $851,344.30 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2,259,897.43 $1,189,260.65 $503,698.46 $633,701.81 $1,659,354.92 $1,512,474.92 $0.00 $0.00 $2,209,145.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,185,323.15 $1,431,347.92 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $16,611,992.46 NISC Optimization and Review Savings from 2004 Actual Costs $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 ($281,549.75) $2,482,946.91 $907,816.69 $41,256.05 ($344,673.70) $999,684.17 $1,722,694.49 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 ($883,450.19) ($375,044.44) $151,472.46 $75,318.78 ($714,822.84) ($567,942.84) $1,158,176.25 $1,158,176.25 ($1,050,968.76) $1,068,220.83 $910,798.83 $1,011,998.66 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 ($173,324.49) ($419,349.26) $955,776.57 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $1,000,754.25 $899,554.41 $23,957,141.68 Operating Costs for 2003 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Tallahassee, FL Whiteriver, AZ Placerville, CA Three Rivers, CA Craig, CO Durango, CO Idaho Falls, ID Shreveport, LA Miles City, MT Nebo, NC Valley City, ND Taos, NM Los Alamos, NM Sparks, NV Central Point, OR Roseburg, OR Provo, UT Cedar City, UT Jackson, WY Total U.S. Forest Service CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attachment 8-8 Actual Costs Input $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $648,432.71 $2,482,946.91 $907,816.69 $963,984.59 $979,059.18 $999,684.17 $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $1,376,447.24 $814,216.21 $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $1,158,176.25 $1,158,176.25 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $955,776.57 $1,011,998.66 $899,554.41 $899,554.41 $933,287.66 $944,532.08 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,000,754.25 $967,020.99 $922,043.24 $40,434,200.98 Initial Model Output $0.00 $0.00 $624,269.46 $1,524,723.97 $719,659.56 $1,011,683.00 $0.00 $534,527.93 $2,166,885.00 $3,697,923.99 $632,409.71 $1,676,784.06 $1,567,604.43 $527,037.35 $599,746.19 $424,886.67 $1,095,971.57 $0.00 $1,907,298.33 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,232,991.57 $1,351,433.93 $1,397,725.06 $0.00 $0.00 $1,292,412.90 $1,437,547.57 $25,423,522.27 NISC Optimization and Review Savings from 2003 Actual Costs $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $24,163.25 $958,222.94 $188,157.13 ($47,698.41) $979,059.18 $465,156.24 $407,153.79 $924,745.55 $423,223.40 $156,416.73 ($191,157.19) $287,178.87 $55,424.73 $284,133.92 ($151,439.49) $1,158,176.25 ($749,122.08) $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $955,776.57 $1,011,998.66 $899,554.41 $899,554.41 $933,287.66 ($288,459.49) ($339,435.26) ($385,726.40) $1,011,998.66 $1,000,754.25 ($325,391.91) ($515,504.33) $15,010,678.71 Operating Costs for 2002 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Lufkin, TX Tallahassee, FL Tucson, AZ Whiteriver, AZ Placerville, CA Porterville, CA Durango, CO Grand Junction, CO Miles City, MT Moffit, ND Ruidoso, NM Santa Fe, NM Taos, NM Fallon, NV Sparks, NV Central Point, OR Columbia, SC Cleveland, TN Price, UT Cedar City, UT Harrisonburg, VA Casper, WY Evanston, WY Jackson, WY Total U.S. Forest Service CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attachment 8-9 Actual Costs Input $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $648,432.71 $2,482,946.91 $907,816.69 $963,984.59 $979,059.18 $999,684.17 $2,574,038.79 $4,622,669.54 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $1,376,447.24 $814,216.21 $655,170.92 $709,020.59 $944,532.08 $944,532.08 $1,158,176.25 $1,158,176.25 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $955,776.57 $933,287.66 $933,287.66 $933,287.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $922,043.24 $899,554.41 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $967,020.99 $922,043.24 $922,043.24 $922,043.24 $44,088,640.70 Initial Model Output $0.00 $0.00 $540,406.00 $2,458,347.00 $841,854.35 $0.00 $952,051.00 $1,151,973.00 $0.00 $1,516,028.53 $0.00 $0.00 $1,340,164.00 $334,471.62 $0.00 $926,723.00 $0.00 $1,214,115.00 $0.00 $1,042,470.69 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,286,474.00 $0.00 $1,516,756.00 $1,268,211.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,260,359.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1,577,509.00 $0.00 $1,374,324.00 $20,602,237.18 NISC Optimization and Review Savings from 2002 Actual Costs $1,229,948.00 $714,532.69 $108,026.71 $24,599.91 $65,962.34 $963,984.59 $27,008.18 ($152,288.83) $2,574,038.79 $3,106,641.01 $1,055,633.11 $1,833,200.79 $36,283.24 $479,744.59 $655,170.92 ($217,702.41) $944,532.08 ($269,582.92) $1,158,176.25 $115,705.56 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $1,011,998.66 $955,776.57 $933,287.66 $933,287.66 ($353,186.34) $1,011,998.66 ($504,757.34) ($256,212.34) $922,043.24 $899,554.41 ($293,338.01) $967,020.99 $967,020.99 ($655,465.76) $922,043.24 ($452,280.76) $23,486,403.52 Attachment 9 – Maps of Results from Initial Model Run Figure 2 – Map Showing Results from Initial Model Run for 2007 Workload U.S. Forest Service Attachment 9-1 NISC Optimization and Review Figure 3 – Map Showing Results from Initial Model Run for 2006 Workload U.S. Forest Service Attachment 9-2 NISC Optimization and Review Figure 4 – Map Showing Results from Initial Model Run for 2005 Workload U.S. Forest Service Attachment 9-3 NISC Optimization and Review Figure 5 – Map Showing Results from Initial Model Run for 2004 Workload U.S. Forest Service Attachment 9-4 NISC Optimization and Review Figure 6 – Map Showing Results from Initial Model Run for 2003 Workload U.S. Forest Service Attachment 9-5 NISC Optimization and Review Figure 7 – Map Showing Results from Initial Model Run for 2002 Workload U.S. Forest Service Attachment 9-6 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 10 – Sparks Model Run Detailed Results Actual Shipment Input for Sparks Run Actual Shipments Input Into Model Cache Name Cache Code Max. Num. Shipments 2007 2006* 2005* 2004* 2003* 2002* Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache CO-RMK 198 79 191 107 122 273 740 Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK 151 151 476 306 297 589 706 Northeast Interagency Fire Cache MN-NEK 815 582 769 585 616 681 869 Northwest Area Incident Support Cache OR-NWK 1371 1094 957 716 599 1194 1883 La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK 1136 568 383 383 127 239 351 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache WA-WFC 692 627 674 246 646 723 355 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache AZ-PFK 661 347 661 657 546 472 966 Southern Area Incident Support Cache KY-SAK 994 530 994 645 318 471 712 Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK 1396 1228 639 553 276 1590 491 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK 2086 1925 2086 1325 1457 1955 2823 Billings Interagency Fire Cache MT-BFC 434 204 434 86 103 339 256 Ontario Interagency CA-LSK 510 204 336 251 479 598 640 Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support CA-NCK 977 649 934 473 727 928 1001 Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support ID-CDK 364 243 329 169 175 361 128 Cache Sparks, Nevada - New Sparks 852 679 705 465 463 744 852 Cache *Shipments for years prior to 2007 were determined by applying the issue to shipment ratios from 2007 to the actual issues for each cache. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 10-7 NISC Optimization and Review Actual Model Results from Sparks Run Model Results – Number of Shipments Per Cache Cache Name Cache Code Max. Num. Shipments 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache CO-RMK 198 0 0 0 0 1 198 Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK 151 0 0 0 0 0 0 Northeast Interagency Fire Cache MN-NEK 815 815 815 815 815 815 815 Northwest Area Incident Support Cache OR-NWK 1371 1371 1371 766 804 1371 1371 La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK 1136 1136 1136 1136 0 0 1136 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache WA-WFC 692 692 692 2 692 692 692 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache AZ-PFK 661 135 661 661 661 661 661 Southern Area Incident Support Cache KY-SAK 994 727 994 994 994 994 994 Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK 1396 1396 75 26 0 1396 838 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK 2086 0 1596 1 130 1427 2086 Billings Interagency Fire Cache MT-BFC 434 71 434 0 0 434 434 510 510 977 977 364 352 747 852 Ontario Interagency CA-LSK 510 0 1 0 510 Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support CA-NCK 977 977 977 977 977 Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support ID-CDK 364 364 364 364 156 Cache Sparks, Nevada - New Sparks 747t 747 747 747 747 Cache t Increased max shipments in 2002, due to the significantly higher workload to the cache system. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 10-8 NISC Optimization and Review Adjustments for Reported 2007 Shipping Data Evaluation of the final model results identified a number of shipments that may have had incorrect mileage reported. Investigation into the issue showed two possible causes: 1. FIRECODE data contained an error for some incident locations where the same location was used multiple times and 2. some caches may have misreported transportation mileage. The model was designed to calculate straight-line roundtrip costs using latitudes and longitudes of locations; therefore the data adjustments identified below do now have an impact on the model results. The costs calculated below only need to be added to the transportation costs calculated for 2007 to accurately reflect the costs incurred by each cache. Total Number of Shipments Reported for 2007 79 Number of Questionable Shipments Percent of Total Number of Shipments Total Affected Mileage for Questionable Shipments 7,053.58 1 No Apparent Errors in Reported Data Shipments were calculated from issue data, therefore no errors present. 3 Shipments were calculated from issue data, therefore no errors present. 2 Attachment 10-9 $0.84 $1.16 $0.79 $1.45 $0.63 $1.07 $0.94 $0.83 $9,039.73 $22,692.98 $11,212.03 $30,254.29 $15,143.94 $404.08 $60,368.67 $174,452.88 $2.92 $1.18 $5,271.11 $26,875.95 $12.75 $362,111.01 Average Cost per Mile CO-RMK 37 46.84% 1 NM-SFK MN-NEK 582 61 10.48% 11,573.32 OR-NWK 1094 42 3.84% 14,523.76 OR-LFK 568 73 12.85% 14,064.90 WA-WFC 627 106 16.91% 21,850.08 AZ-PFK 347 46 13.26% 26,317.58 KY-SAK 530 6 1.13% 421.70 MT-NRK 1228 266 21.66% 62,520.38 ID-GBK 1925 786 40.83% 200,461.97 2 MT-BFC CA-LSK 204 17 8.33% 2,092.43 CA-NCK 649 99 15.25% 26,676.99 3 ID-CDK Totals 8431 1539 18.25% 387,556.68 **These costs will be added to the total transportation costs identified as being input into the model for 2007. U.S. Forest Service $0.95 Estimated Cost to Add into Transportation Costs** $6,395.34 NISC Optimization and Review Final Input Costs for Model Transportation Costs CO-RMK NM-SFK MN-NEK OR-NWK OR-LFK WA-WFC AZ-PFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC CA-LSK CA-NCK ID-CDK Facility Operating Costs $1,110,181.23 $554,750.01 $404,012.16 $2,092,598.55 $721,966.17 $755,725.12 $848,645.92 $593,347.17 $1,877,285.28 $3,737,487.71 $693,448.35 $1,695,017.35 $1,065,777.89 $418,357.44 U.S. Forest Service 2007 $129,374.78 $161,499.18 $239,614.48 $420,543.40 $200,891.15 $247,501.82 $147,053.60 $413,568.78 $718,868.82 $1,087,347.22 $362,184.73 $144,151.13 $342,270.02 $395,858.75 2006 $291,936.47 $444,609.74 $183,657.70 $916,562.32 $226,865.33 $516,414.39 $295,817.86 $949,006.99 $569,208.53 $3,140,196.40 $1,320,215.20 $573,886.85 $1,309,862.68 $494,021.27 Attachment 10-10 2005 $127,052.84 $342,369.91 $130,540.98 $713,615.50 $229,133.31 $50,085.02 $138,432.18 $715,494.23 $1,018,249.46 $2,221,371.79 $308,556.01 $267,505.49 $511,715.30 $320,344.16 2004 $120,600.91 $176,133.67 $137,667.75 $664,356.05 $46,813.60 $134,234.41 $101,963.49 $372,039.26 $397,112.30 $2,882,049.69 $176,357.90 $630,582.95 $763,264.41 $169,478.63 NISC Optimization and Review 2003 $302,694.15 $284,984.74 $131,238.63 $734,673.54 $123,690.74 $280,662.76 $85,866.08 $468,251.87 $1,129,928.81 $2,512,075.49 $352,353.23 $607,749.62 $538,024.57 $83,816.57 2002 $729,384.11 $401,931.75 $385,606.31 $1,116,704.17 $125,668.81 $116,855.11 $266,323.33 $478,974.28 $720,372.39 $4,089,722.30 $576,344.22 $817,891.54 $819,803.52 $233,953.63 Summary of Savings by Year For Sparks Model Run Year 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Total Six-Year Annual Average U.S. Forest Service Estimation of Savings ($1,245,791.60) $2,726,879.19 $3,383,873.77 $964,219.06 ($663,235.15) ($1,296,391.59) $3,869,553.69 $644,925.61 Attachment 10-11 Note: Costs highlighted in yellow represent the base operating cost for the cache when no shipments were assigned to it (i.e. the cost of the cache remaining open.) Calculations for these costs can be seen in Attachment 11. Shipments were moved between caches using the estimated cost per shipment shown in the Shipment Matrix (Attachment 13). NISC Optimization and Review Operating Costs for 2007 Workload Cache Name Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Sparks, Nevada - New Cache Total U.S. Forest Service Revised Model Output Cache Code CO-RMK $1,239,556.01 $0.00 $0.00 $1,239,556.01 NM-SFK $716,249.19 $0.00 $0.00 $716,249.19 MN-NEK $643,626.64 $760,850.00 $760,850.00 ($117,223.36) OR-NWK $2,513,141.95 $6,099,215.00 $6,099,215.00 ($3,586,073.05) OR-LFK $922,857.32 $1,688,759.00 $1,688,759.00 ($765,901.68) WA-WFC $1,003,226.94 $1,290,454.00 $1,290,454.00 ($287,227.06) AZ-PFK $995,699.52 $671,521.82 $671,521.82 $324,177.70 KY-SAK $1,006,915.95 $1,151,015.00 $1,151,015.00 ($144,099.05) MT-NRK ID-GBK $2,596,154.10 $4,824,834.93 $2,749,677.00 $0.00 $2,749,677.00 $1,173,899.00 ($153,522.90) $3,650,935.93 MT-BFC $1,055,633.08 $1,506,230.00 $1,506,230.00 ($450,596.92) CA-LSK $1,839,168.48 $0.00 $982,445.00 $856,723.48 CA-NCK $1,408,047.91 $1,941,075.00 $1,941,075.00 ($533,027.09) ID-CDK $814,216.19 $867,460.00 $867,460.00 ($53,243.81) $0.00 $1,942,519.00 $1,942,519.00 ($1,942,519.00) $21,579,328.22 $20,668,775.82 $22,825,119.82 ($1,245,791.60) 19 Initial Model Output Savings from Actual Costs for 2007 Workload Actual Costs Input Attachment 10-12 NISC Optimization and Review Operating Costs for 2006 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Actual Costs Input Revised Model Output Initial Model Output Rocky Mountain Incident CO-RMK $1,402,117.70 $0.00 Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK $999,359.75 $0.00 Northeast Interagency MN-NEK $587,669.86 $582,108.49 Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident OR-NWK $3,009,160.87 $4,542,907.00 Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK $948,831.50 $1,687,352.30 Wenatchee Interagency WA-WFC $1,272,139.51 $1,070,635.54 Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott AZ-PFK $1,144,463.78 $2,183,154.00 Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident KY-SAK $1,542,354.16 $1,643,843.00 Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK $2,446,493.81 $2,060,185.29 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK $6,877,684.11 $4,396,757.66 Billings Interagency Fire MT-BFC $2,013,663.55 $1,306,907.00 Cache Ontario Interagency CA-LSK $2,268,904.20 $1,680,048.90 Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support CA-NCK $2,375,640.57 $1,800,246.00 Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support ID-CDK $912,378.71 $879,657.78 Cache Sparks, Nevada - New 19 $0.00 $1,937,176.15 Cache Total $27,800,862.07 $25,770,979.12 Revision: The one shipment the model assigned to LSK was moved to Sparks U.S. Forest Service Attachment 10-13 Savings from Actual Costs for 2006 Workload $0.00 $1,402,117.70 $0.00 $999,359.75 $582,108.49 $5,561.37 $4,542,907.00 ($1,533,746.13) $1,687,352.30 ($738,520.80) $1,070,635.54 $201,503.97 $2,183,154.00 ($1,038,690.22) $1,643,843.00 ($101,488.84) $2,060,185.29 $4,396,757.66 $386,308.52 $2,480,926.45 $1,306,907.00 $706,756.55 $982,445.00 $1,286,459.20 $1,800,246.00 $575,394.57 $879,657.78 $32,720.93 $1,937,783.82 ($1,937,783.82) $25,073,982.88 $2,726,879.19 NISC Optimization and Review Operating Costs for 2005 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Actual Costs Input Initial Model Output Revised Model Output Savings from Actual Costs for 2005 Workload Rocky Mountain Incident CO-RMK $1,237,234.07 $0.00 $0.00 $1,237,234.07 Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK $897,119.92 $0.00 $0.00 $897,119.92 Northeast Interagency MN-NEK $534,553.14 $736,831.46 $736,831.46 ($202,278.32) Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident OR-NWK $2,806,214.05 $4,148,085.99 $4,149,457.55 ($1,343,243.50) Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK $951,099.48 $1,743,451.89 $1,743,451.89 ($792,352.41) Wenatchee Interagency WA-WFC $805,810.14 $747,854.90 $632,056.00 $173,754.14 Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott AZ-PFK $987,078.10 $1,322,336.88 $1,322,336.88 ($335,258.78) Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident KY-SAK $1,308,841.40 $1,630,424.25 $1,630,424.25 ($321,582.86) Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK $2,895,534.74 $1,195,570.48 $1,195,570.48 $1,699,964.26 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK $5,958,859.50 $3,773,639.54 $1,173,899.00 $4,784,960.50 Billings Interagency Fire MT-BFC $1,002,004.36 $0.00 $649,999.00 $352,005.36 Cache Ontario Interagency CA-LSK $1,962,522.84 $0.00 $982,445.00 $980,077.84 Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support CA-NCK $1,577,493.19 $4,498,172.45 $4,498,172.45 ($2,920,679.26) Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support ID-CDK $738,701.60 $1,564,548.78 $1,564,548.78 ($825,847.18) Cache Sparks, Nevada - New 19 $0.00 $2,198,637.92 $0.00 Cache Total $23,663,066.52 $23,559,554.55 $20,279,192.75 $3,383,873.77 Revision - The two shipments the model assigned to WFC were moved to LaGrande. The one shipment the model assigned to GBK was also moved to La Grande. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 10-14 NISC Optimization and Review Operating Costs for 2004 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Actual Costs Input Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache Great Basin Cache Billings Interagency Fire Cache Ontario Interagency Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache Sparks, Nevada - New Cache Total CO-RMK $1,230,782.14 $0.00 $0.00 Savings from Actual Costs for 2004 Workload $1,230,782.14 NM-SFK MN-NEK $730,883.68 $541,679.91 $0.00 $928,848.00 $0.00 $928,848.00 $730,883.68 ($387,168.09) OR-NWK $2,756,954.60 $5,136,331.02 $5,136,331.02 ($2,379,376.43) OR-LFK WA-WFC $768,779.77 $889,959.53 $0.00 $922,644.00 $825,909.00 $922,644.00 ($57,129.23) ($32,684.47) AZ-PFK $950,609.41 $1,712,997.00 $1,712,997.00 ($762,387.59) KY-SAK $965,386.43 $2,049,538.00 $2,049,538.00 ($1,084,151.57) MT-NRK ID-GBK MT-BFC $2,274,397.58 $6,619,537.40 $869,806.25 $0.00 $1,933,621.75 $0.00 $863,675.00 $1,933,621.75 $649,999.00 $1,410,722.58 $4,685,915.65 $219,807.25 CA-LSK $2,325,600.30 $2,363,095.00 $2,363,095.00 ($37,494.70) CA-NCK $1,829,042.30 $2,253,649.00 $2,253,649.00 ($424,606.70) ID-CDK $587,836.07 $954,221.54 $954,221.54 ($366,385.46) $0.00 $1,782,508.00 $1,782,508.00 ($1,782,508.00) $23,341,255.38 $20,037,453.32 $22,377,036.32 $964,219.06 U.S. Forest Service 19 Revised Model Output Initial Model Output Attachment 10-15 NISC Optimization and Review Operating Costs for 2003 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Actual Costs Input Initial Model Output Rocky Mountain Incident CO-RMK $1,412,875.38 $1,120,652.70 Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK $839,734.75 $0.00 Northeast Interagency MN-NEK $535,250.79 $666,289.00 Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident OR-NWK $2,827,272.09 $3,390,041.00 Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK $845,656.91 $0.00 Wenatchee Interagency WA-WFC $1,036,387.88 $1,004,750.00 Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott AZ-PFK $934,512.00 $1,831,276.00 Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident KY-SAK $1,061,599.04 $1,394,019.00 Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK $3,007,214.09 $2,110,680.00 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK $6,249,563.20 $6,536,446.13 Billings Interagency Fire MT-BFC $1,045,801.58 $1,259,359.00 Cache Ontario Interagency CA-LSK $2,302,766.97 $2,245,938.00 Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support CA-NCK $1,603,802.46 $1,710,383.00 Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support ID-CDK $502,174.01 $534,910.00 Cache Sparks, Nevada - New 19 $0.00 $1,356,652.00 Cache Total $24,204,611.14 $25,161,395.83 Revision - The one shipment assigned to RMK by the model was moved to Sparks. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 10-16 Revised Model Output Savings from Actual Costs for 2003 Workload $0.00 $1,412,875.38 $0.00 $839,734.75 $666,289.00 ($131,038.21) $3,390,041.00 ($562,768.91) $825,909.00 $19,747.91 $1,004,750.00 $31,637.88 $1,831,276.00 ($896,764.00) $1,394,019.00 ($332,419.96) $2,110,680.00 $6,536,446.13 $896,534.09 ($286,882.93) $1,259,359.00 ($213,557.42) $2,245,938.00 $56,828.97 $1,710,383.00 ($106,580.54) $534,910.00 ($32,735.99) $1,357,846.15 ($1,357,846.15) $24,867,846.28 ($663,235.15) NISC Optimization and Review Operating Costs for 2002 Workload Cache Name Cache Code Actual Costs Input Initial Model Output Revised Model Output Rocky Mountain Incident CO-RMK $1,839,565.34 $1,860,601.00 $0.00 Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache NM-SFK $956,681.76 $0.00 $0.00 Northeast Interagency MN-NEK $789,618.47 $752,134.00 $752,134.00 Fire Cache Northwest Area Incident OR-NWK $3,209,302.72 $2,389,887.00 $2,389,887.00 Support Cache La Grande Fire Cache OR-LFK $847,634.98 $1,824,789.00 $1,824,789.00 Wenatchee Interagency WA-WFC $872,580.23 $1,298,416.00 $1,298,416.00 Support Cache Southwest Area Prescott AZ-PFK $1,114,969.25 $1,283,026.00 $1,283,026.00 Incident Support Cache Southern Area Incident KY-SAK $1,072,321.45 $1,143,453.00 $1,143,453.00 Support Cache Northern Rockies Cache MT-NRK $2,597,657.67 $5,523,492.89 $5,523,492.89 Great Basin Cache ID-GBK $7,827,210.01 $5,078,676.00 $5,151,237.06 Billings Interagency Fire MT-BFC $1,269,792.57 $1,552,407.00 $1,552,407.00 Cache Ontario Interagency CA-LSK $2,512,908.89 $2,555,594.00 $2,555,594.00 Support Cache Northern California Interagency Support CA-NCK $1,885,581.41 $2,088,364.00 $2,088,364.00 Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support ID-CDK $652,311.07 $1,464,993.60 $1,464,993.60 Cache Sparks, Nevada - New 19 $0.00 $1,598,513.00 $1,716,733.85 Cache Total $27,448,135.81 $30,414,346.49 $28,744,527.40 Revision - The 198 shipments the model assigned to RMK were split between GBK and Sparks. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 10-17 Savings from Actual Costs for 2002 Workload $1,839,565.34 $956,681.76 $37,484.47 $819,415.72 ($977,154.02) ($425,835.77) ($168,056.75) ($71,131.55) ($2,925,835.22) $2,675,972.95 ($282,614.43) ($42,685.11) ($202,782.59) ($812,682.53) ($1,716,733.85) ($1,296,391.59) NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 11 – Calculation of Facility Baseline Costs The following pages contain summaries of the estimated baseline costs for the caches to remain open at the revised standard workload level. The revised standard workload levels are equivalent to the percentage the six-year average of the model results is from the 2007 workload level (as shown in Table 1 in the report). Modification of standard workload levels primarily affects personnel costs, and a detailed explanation of any corresponding personnel changes is also provided. The estimate baseline cost assumes the cache will have no shipping workload and therefore needs no hiring of seasonal staff. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-18 Estimated Annual Operating Costs for La Grande for Revised Model Results Actual FY 2007 122% Increased Workload Line 1 Personnel Costs $205,800 $342,472 Line 2 Line 3 Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $800 $649,228 $800 $441,541 $1,441 $0 $2,397 $0 $1,441 $2,397 $0 $135,000 $0 $135,000 $135,000 $135,000 N/A N/A $0 $0 $280,446 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $79,555 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $0 $200,891 $0 $0 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $232,341 $229,341 N/A $304,143 $298,143 $3,000 $0 $24,696 $6,000 Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs $41,097 Line 5 Additional Costs $0 $0 Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance $880,524 $825,909 3a 3b 3c Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease 3d 3e Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires 3f 3g U.S. Forest Service Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. Assume this cost would increase by a minimum of 30% Assume this cost would double. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost. Attachment 11-19 Staffing Profile of La Grande at Revised Standard Workload Level Number of FTE* (In-scope Work) Estimated Base Staffing at 122% Position Grade 2007 Workload Estimated Annual Position Title Increase in Type Level Level Cost of Position(s) Workload on Average Cache Manager FT GS-09 1.000 GS-11 1.000 $81,825.00 Assistant Cache Manager FT GS-09 1.000 $67,627.00 Supply Clerk Seasonal** GS-04 0.498 FT GS-04 1.000 $39,757.00 Lead Materials Handler Seasonal** WL-05 0.498 FT WL-05 1.000 $54,391.00 Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Position Grade Hours for 2007 Required for Number of Estimated Annual Type Level Workload Adjusted Positions Cost of Position(s) Level Workload Level Material Handler FT WG-05 0 4,160 2.000 $98,872.00 Temp** WG-05 4,245 8,320 8.000 $161,528.00 AD** N/A 4,967 7,970 N/A $127,998.20 Total Personnel Cost $342,472.00 Incurred for Base Operations *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-20 NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Southern Area for Revised Model Results Line 1 Personnel Costs $284,559 55% Increased Workload $250,674 Line 2 Line 3 Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $30,449 $657,522 $30,449 $211,581 $1,992 $1,755 $0 $0 $1,992 $1,755 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs $0 $111,092 $0 $111,092 Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires $93,000 $18,092 $0 $0 $464,124 $0 $0 $44,939 $93,000 $18,092 $0 $0 $8,705 $0 $0 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $5,616 $413,569 $0 $8,705 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $80,314 $47,475 N/A $90,029 $52,223 Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs $8,000 $24,839 $34,147 $8,000 $29,807 $30,081 Line 5 Additional Costs $0 $0 Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance $1,006,677 $522,785 Actual FY 2007 3a 3b Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost 3c 3d 3e 3f 3g U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-21 This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. Assumes a 55% increase There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. Assume this cost would increase by a minimum of 10% Assume a 20% increase This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Staffing Profile of Southern Area at Revised Standard Workload Level Number of FTE* Position Title Cache Manager Assistant Cache Manager Supply Clerk Lead Materials Handler/Warehouse Worker Position Type Grade Level 2007 Workload Level FT FT FT AD** Seasonal** GS-11 GS-09 GS-07 N/A WL-05 1.000 1.000 1.000 1236.5 Hours - (In-scope Work) Estimated Base Staffing at 55% Increase in Workload on Average 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.500 Estimated Annual Cost of Position(s) $81,825.00 $67,627.00 $55,288.00 $25,174.00 Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Position Grade Hours for 2007 Required for Number of Estimated Annual Type Level Workload Adjusted Positions Cost of Position(s) Level Workload Level Warehouse Worker FT WG-05 2,394 2,080 1.000 $45,934.00 Temp** WG-05 0 2,080 2.000 $37,556.00 AD** N/A 1,754 2,270 N/A $24,606.80 Total Personnel Cost $250,674.00 Incurred for Base Operation *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-22 NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Northern Rockies for Revised Model Results Actual FY 2007 $981,694 22% Decreased Workload $386,291 $17,737 $1,393,338 $6,872 $0 $17,737 $413,293 $2,704 $0 $6,872 $2,704 $0 $39,000 $0 $39,000 $0 $39,000 $0 $39,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $1,049,721 $85,315 $60,949 $0 $1,748 $0 $33,595 $0 Subcontract Employees $125,182 $0 Refurbishment Contracts $109,378 $85,315 Transportation Costs $718,869 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs Training Costs N/A $297,745 $229,425 $11,000 N/A $286,274 $217,954 $11,000 Cost Pools Overhead Costs $57,320 $117,803 $57,320 $46,355 $0 $0 $2,510,572 $863,675 Line 1 Personnel Costs Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs 3b 3c Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease 3d Equipment Lease Travel Costs 3e Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires 3f 3g Line 4 Line 5 Additional Costs Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-23 Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no militia staff were hired. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no state staff were hired. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no contract staff were hired. Refurb contracts assumed to decrease by 22% There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. Assume this cost would decrease by 5% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Staffing Profile of Northern Rockies at Revised Standard Workload Level Position Title Cache Manager Assistant Cache Manager Lead Supply Tech Supply Tech Lead Materials Handler/ Warehouse Worker Position Type Grade Level Number of FTE* (In-scope Work) Estimated Base Staffing at 22% Decrease in Workload on Average 1.000 1.000 0.500 1.500 - FT FT GS-12 GS-09 2007 Workload Level 1.000 1.988 FT FT Seasonal** FT AD** Seasonal** GS-06 GS-05 GS-05 WL-05 N/A WL-05 0.958 0.356 0.000 4.000 249.000 0.170 Estimated Annual Cost of Position(s) $98,072.00 $67,627.00 $22,242.00 $81,160.50 - Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Hours for Number Estimated Grade Required for Position Type 2007 of Annual Cost of Level Adjusted Workload Positions Position(s) Workload Level Level Material Handler FT WG-05 4,160 2.000 $98,304.00 Temp** WG-05 14,549 9,360 9.000 $180,675.00 Seasonal WG-05 897 500 N/A $8,630.00 Detail** State** N/A 80 N/A Militia** GS-06 834 N/A - Supervisory Small Engine Mechanic Small Engine Mechanic Contract** N/A 5712 3024 N/A $50,984.64 AD** N/A 934 900 N/A $9,756.00 FT WS-05 93 - 0.000 - Contract** AD** FT Seasonal** Seasonal Detail & Militia** N/A N/A WG-07 WG-06 GS-06 1385 301 2,037 0 2,526 301 2,037 2,526 N/A N/A 0.979 N/A N/A $6,321.00 $41,127.03 $47,028.53 Total Personnel Cost $386,290.53 Incurred for Base Operation *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-24 NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Great Basin for Revised Model Results $933,203 55% Decreased Workload $421,012 $10,000 $10,000 $3,809,723 $692,366 $6,532 $2,947 $0 $0 $6,532 $2,947 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease $0 $920,310 N/A $80,000 $0 $420,155 N/A $0 Equipment Lease $840,310 $420,155 Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees $0 $2,683,135 $0 $0 $89,370 $0 State Employees AD Hires $0 $1,397,188 $0 $0 $0 $198,600 $0 $89,370 $1,087,347 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $199,746 $198,524 N/A $179,894 $178,672 Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs $1,222 $0 $111,984 $1,222 $0 $50,521 Line 5 Additional Costs $0 $0 Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance $4,864,911 $1,173,899 Actual FY 2007 Line 1 Personnel Costs Line 2 Material and Supply Costs Line 3 Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs 3a 3b 3c 3d 3e Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs 3f 3g U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-25 Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost Secondary Facility is not needed with a decrease in workload Assumed that a 50% decrease in workload would decrease the amount of equipment that needed to be leased by 50% This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. Refurb contracts assumed to decrease by 55% There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. Assume this cost would decrease by a minimum of 10% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Number of FTE* Position Title Supervisory General Supply Specialist (Cache Manager) General Supply Specialist Supply Technician Supply Clerk Accounting Technician Material Handling Supervisor Material Handling Lead Traffic Management Specialist Transportation/Fleet Management Assistant Vehicle Operator/Driver Staff Assistant, Site & Facilities Management (In-scope Work) Position Type Grade Level 2007 Workload Level FT GS-12 0.567 Estimated Base Staffing at 55% Decrease in Workload on Average 0.600 FT FT Temp** AD** FT FT GS-11 GS-07 GS-04 N/A GS-07 WS-06 0.844 0.783 0.320 978 Hours 0.333 1.074 0.750 0.250 - $41,466.00 $13,822.00 - FT AD** WL-05 N/A 1.462 20387.25 Hours 0.500 9174.26 Hours $25,644.00 $161,100.01 FT GS-09 0.761 0.750 $50,721.00 FT GS-08 0.705 - Seasonal** FT WG-08 GS-07 0.091 0.498 0.100 0.500 Estimated Annual Cost of Position(s) $58,843.00 $5,866.00 $27,644.00 Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number Hours of Hours Estimated Position Grade Required for Number of for 2007 Annual Cost of Type Level Adjusted Positions Workload Position(s) Workload Level Level Material Handler FT WG-06 2,995.37 2,080.00 1.000 $50,917.00 WG-05 8,946.35 4,160.00 2.000 $93,292.00 Seasonal** WG-05 3,056.26 1,040.00 1.000 $23,245.00 AD** N/A 64,327.00 28,197.15 N/A $452,846.23 Small Engine Mechanic FT WG-08 4,140.65 2,080.00 1.000 $58,663.00 Total Personnel Cost $421,012.00 Incurred for Base Operation *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-26 NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Northern California for Revised Model Results Line 1 Personnel Costs $596,109 24% Increased Workload $411,429 Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $42,000 $669,845 $4,173 $0 $42,000 $39,489 $2,880 $0 $4,173 $2,880 $0 $0 Actual FY 2007 3b Equipment/Vehicle Replacement 3c Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires $0 N/A N/A $0 $0 $640,072 $0 $0 $290,666 $0 N/A N/A $0 $0 $8,849 $0 $0 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $7,136 $342,270 $0 $8,849 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $25,600 $21,600 N/A $27,760 $23,760 $4,000 $0 $71,533 $4,000 Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs $49,371 Line 5 Additional Costs $0 $0 Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance $1,379,487 $542,289 3d 3e 3f 3g U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-27 Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. Assumes a 24% increase There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. Assume this cost would increase by 10% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Staffing Profile of Northern California at Revised Standard Workload Level Number of FTE* Position Title Cache Manager Assistant Cache Manager Supply Technician Lead Materials Handler (In-scope Work) Position Type Grade Level 2007 Workload Level FT FT GS-11 GS-09 1.000 0.980 Estimated Base Staffing at 24% Increase in Workload on Average 1.000 1.000 FT FT GS-06 WL-05 1.631 0.990 1.631 1.000 Estimated Annual Cost of Position(s) $81,825.00 $67,627.00 $81,146.00 $55,246.00 Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Position Grade Hours for 2007 Required for Number of Estimated Annual Type Level Workload Adjusted Positions Cost of Position(s) Level Workload Level Material Handler FT WG-05 4,174 5,200 2.500 $125,585.00 Seasonal** WG-05 2,080 2,600 2.500 $62,582.50 Temp** WG-05 3,037 3,640 3.500 $71,806.00 AD** N/A 18,700 23,188 N/A $360,425.84 Total Personnel Cost $411,429.00 Incurred for Base Operations *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-28 NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Southern California for Revised Model Results Line 1 Personnel Costs $734,789 39% Decreased Workload $345,869 Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $10,000 $876,688 $5,144 $0 $10,000 $585,072 $2,421 $0 $5,144 $2,421 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease $0 $550,000 $550,000 $0 $550,000 $550,000 Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires N/A $0 $0 $307,544 $0 $0 $131,343 N/A $0 $0 $19,551 $0 $0 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $32,050 $144,151 $0 $19,551 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $14,000 $6,000 N/A $13,100 $5,100 $8,000 $0 $88,175 $8,000 Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs $41,504 Line 5 Additional Costs $0 $0 Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance $1,709,651 $982,445 Actual FY 2007 3b 3c 3d 3e 3f 3g U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-29 Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. Assumes a 39% Decrease There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. Assume this cost would Decrease by 15% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Number of FTE* Position Title Cache Manager Assistant Cache Manager Supply Clerk Supply Technician Lead Materials Handler Position Type Grade Level 2007 Workload Level FT FT GS-11 GS-09 1.000 1.000 FT FT FT GS-05 GS-07 WL-06 1.000 1.000 1.000 AD** N/A 3520.5 Hours (In-scope Work) Estimated Base Staffing at 39% Decrease in Workload on Average 1.000 1.000 Estimated Annual Cost of Position(s) $90,099.30 $74,464.86 0.500 1.000 $24,572.60 $60,878.53 - 2,150 Hours $37,754.00 - Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Estimated Position Grade Hours for 2007 Required for Number of Annual Cost of Type Level Workload Adjusted Positions Position(s) Level Workload Level Material Handler FT WG-05 7,161 4,160 2.000 $95,854.00 Temp** WG-05 10,012 6,240 6.000 $123,096.00 AD** N/A 4,378 2,670 N/A $42,884.62 Total Personnel Cost $345,869.29 Incurred for Base Operations *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred workload. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-30 Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Northeast for Revised Model Results Actual FY 2007 19% Increased Workload Line 1 Personnel Costs $218,551 $148,774 Line 2 Line 3 Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs $11,250 $381,115 $11,250 $103,265 Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $1,530 $0 $1,041 $0 $1,530 $1,041 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease $0 $7,568 N/A $0 $7,568 N/A $7,568 $0 $0 $342,267 $0 $57,307 $37,786 $7,568 $0 $0 $64,906 $0 $55,909 $0 $0 $7,560 $0 $8,996 $239,614 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $29,750 $7,500 N/A $29,750 $7,500 Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs $2,250 $20,000 $26,226 $2,250 $20,000 $17,853 Line 5 Additional Costs $0 $0 Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance $637,142 $281,142 3a 3b 3c 3d 3e Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs 3f 3g U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-31 Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. Refurb contracts assumed to increase by 19% There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Number of FTE* Position Title Cache Manager Assistant Cache Manager Supply Technician (In-scope Work) Position Type Grade Level 2007 Workload Level Estimated Base Staffing at 19% Increase in Workload on Average FT FT GS-11 GS-09 1.000 0.866 1.000 1.000 $81,825.00 $67,627.00 FT GS-05 1.335 1.500 $66,949.00 Estimated Annual Cost of Position(s) Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Estimated Position Grade Hours for 2007 Required for Number of Annual Cost of Type Level Workload Adjusted Positions Position(s) Level Workload Level Material Handler AD** Camp 3,506.25 2,173.00 N/A $23,555.32 Crew Warehouse 1,816.00 2,161.00 N/A $34,705.66 Seasonal WG-05 166.00 200.00 N/A $4,034.00 Detail & Militia** State N/A 2,368.00 2,818.00 N/A $55,909.12 Total Personnel Cost $148,774.00 Incurred for Base Operation *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-32 Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Coeur D’Alene for Revised Model Results Line 1 Personnel Costs Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs 3b 3c Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease 3d 3e Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs 3f 3g Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs Line 5 Additional Costs Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance U.S. Forest Service Actual FY 2007 40% Increased Workload $47,764 $47,764 $0 $760,681 $9,334 $9,000 $0 $176,078 $9,334 $9,000 $334 $334 $0 $6,043 $0 $8,460 N/A N/A N/A $6,043 $0 N/A $8,460 $0 $703,929 $0 $198,293 $106,581 $116,908 $0 $112,434 $0 $0 $3,196 $0 $4,474 $395,859 $0 N/A $41,375 $41,375 N/A $41,375 $41,375 $0 $0 $5,732 $0 $0 $5,732 $0 $0 $814,177 $229,574 Attachment 11-33 Notes Personnel Cost corresponds to the revised staffing profile in the table below. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost Assumes a 40% increase This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. Refurb contracts assumed to increase by 40% There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Number of FTE* (In-scope Work) Estimated Base Staffing at 40% Estimated Position Grade 2007 Workload Position Title Increase in Annual Cost of Type Level Level Workload on Position(s) Average Assistant Cache FT GS-09 0.706 0.706 $47,764.00 Manager State N/A 0.523 0.523 $30,547.00 Finance Technician State N/A 0.523 0.750 $27,694.00 Warehouse Leader AD N/A 713 Hours State Temp** N/A 1.000 $22,098.00 Material Handling and Small Engine Mechanic Staffing Calculations Based on Workload Hours Required Number of Number of Hours Estimated Position Grade Hours for 2007 Required for Number of Annual Cost of Type Level Workload Adjusted Positions Position(s) Level Workload Level Storekeeper State N/A 5,239.00 7,334.60 N/A $141,404.00 Seasonal** Warehouse Worker AD** N/A 5,198.00 7,277.20 N/A $116,871.83 Mechanic and State FT N/A 2,183.00 3,056.20 N/A $54,193.00 Equipment Operator Pump Mechanic N/A 1,520.00 2,128.00 N/A $33,612.00 State Seasonal** Total Personnel Cost $47,764.00 Incurred for Base Operation *Number of FTE shown reflects the amount of time the positions perform cache specific workload. **Temporary, Seasonal and AD staff are hired on an as needed basis. For the purposes of this calculation the workload is assumed to be zero, therefore the costs associated with these positions is not incurred. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-34 Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Wenatchee for Revised Model Results Actual FY 2007 $330,751 6% Increased Workload $330,751 Line 1 Personnel Costs Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $3,600 $510,656 $2,315 $0 $3,600 $258,015 $2,315 $0 $2,315 $2,315 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires $0 $24,700 $19,000 N/A $5,700 $0 $252,641 $0 $0 $5,139 $0 $24,700 $19,000 N/A $5,700 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $0 $247,502 $0 $0 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $231,000 $197,000 N/A $231,000 $197,000 $9,000 $25,000 $39,690 $9,000 $25,000 $39,690 $0 $0 $884,697 $632,056 3b 3c 3d 3e 3f 3g Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs Line 5 Additional Costs Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-35 Notes Personnel Costs assumed to remain constant for workload changes ±10% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Northwest for Revised Model Results Actual FY 2007 $1,075,690 9% Increased Workload $1,075,690 Line 1 Personnel Costs Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $75,432 $1,199,969 $7,530 $0 $75,432 $587,846 $7,530 $0 $7,530 $7,530 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires $0 $33,601 $0 $7,200 $26,401 $0 $1,089,713 $0 $0 $328,034 $0 $33,601 $0 $7,200 $26,401 $0 $477,590 $0 $0 $0 $0 $341,136 $420,543 $0 $477,590 $0 N/A $69,125 $45,800 N/A $69,125 $45,800 $18,300 $5,025 $129,083 $18,300 $5,025 $129,083 $0 $0 $2,480,174 $1,868,051 3b 3c 3d 3e Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs 3f 3g Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs Line 5 Additional Costs Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-36 Notes Personnel Costs assumed to remain constant for workload changes ±10% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Billings for Revised Model Results Actual FY 2007 $265,111 3% Decreased Workload $265,111 Line 1 Personnel Costs Line 2 Line 3 3a Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $3,000 $720,011 $1,856 $0 $3,000 $350,075 $1,856 $0 $1,856 $1,856 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires $0 $56,767 $54,967 N/A $1,800 $0 $473,641 $0 $0 $37,381 $0 $56,767 $54,967 N/A $1,800 $0 $103,705 $0 $0 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $74,075 $362,185 $0 $103,705 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $187,747 $180,845 N/A $187,747 $180,845 $6,902 $0 $31,813 $6,902 $0 $31,813 $0 $0 $1,019,935 $649,999 3b 3c 3d 3e 3f 3g Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs Line 5 Additional Costs Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-37 Notes Personnel Costs assumed to remain constant for workload changes ±10% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Estimated Annual Operating Costs for Southwest for Revised Model Results Line 1 Line 2 Line 3 3a 3b 3c 3d 3e 3f 3g Actual FY 2007 $446,744 6% Decreased Workload $446,744 Material and Supply Costs Other Specifically Attributable Costs Capital Equipment and Facility Assets Major Maintenance and Renovation Costs Personnel Liability Insurance Costs $501 $494,471 $3,127 $0 $501 $318,969 $3,127 $0 $3,127 $3,127 Equipment/Vehicle Replacement Rental and Lease Costs Main Facility Lease Supplemental Facility Lease Equipment Lease Travel Costs Subcontracts Federal Militia Employees State Employees AD Hires $0 $0 N/A N/A $0 $0 $294,280 $0 $0 $62,385 $0 $0 N/A N/A $0 $0 $118,777 $0 $0 $0 Subcontract Employees Refurbishment Contracts Transportation Costs $0 $84,841 $147,054 $0 $118,777 $0 Utilities (included with O&M) Other Attributable Costs O&M Costs N/A $197,064 $134,050 N/A $197,064 $134,050 $28,014 $35,000 $53,609 $28,014 $35,000 $53,609 $0 $0 $995,325 $819,823 Personnel Costs Line 4 Training Costs Cost Pools Overhead Costs Line 5 Additional Costs Line 6 Total Cost of Cache Performance U.S. Forest Service Attachment 11-38 Notes Personnel Costs assumed to remain constant for workload changes ±10% This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost This calculation assumes the workload to be zero; therefore no AD staff was hired. There are no shipments incurred for the baseline cost calculation for Revised Model Results. This cost is directly correlated to Line 1 - Personnel Cost. NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 12 – Shipment Factors for Sparks Model Run Starting Shipment Factors The shipment factor corresponds to the non-transportation costs incurred by the cache to process a shipment. Cache Name 2007 2006 2005 2004 Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache $14,052.93 $5,812.47 $10,375.53 $9,099.85 Silver City Fire Cache $3,673.84 $1,165.44 $1,812.91 $1,867.85 Northeast Interagency Fire Cache $694.18 $525.37 $690.62 $655.86 Northwest Area Incident Support Cache $1,912.80 $2,186.62 $2,922.62 $3,493.49 La Grande Fire Cache $1,271.07 $1,885.03 $1,885.03 $5,684.77 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache $1,205.30 $1,121.25 $3,072.05 $1,169.85 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache $2,445.67 $1,283.88 $1,291.70 $1,554.30 Southern Area Incident Support Cache $1,119.52 $596.93 $919.92 $1,865.87 Northern Rockies Cache $1,528.73 $2,937.85 $3,394.73 $6,801.76 Great Basin Cache $1,941.55 $1,791.70 $2,820.75 $2,565.19 Billings Interagency Fire Cache $3,399.26 $1,597.81 $8,063.35 $6,732.51 Ontario Interagency Support Cache $8,308.91 $5,044.69 $6,753.06 $3,538.66 Northern California Interagency Support Cache $1,642.18 $1,141.09 $2,253.23 $1,465.99 Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache $1,721.64 $1,271.60 $2,475.49 $2,390.61 Sparks, Nevada - New Cache $1,490.43 $1,435.46 $2,176.34 $2,185.74 Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache N/A N/A N/A N/A Silver City Fire Cache N/A N/A N/A N/A Northeast Interagency Fire Cache $545.04 $503.00 $543.80 $535.18 Northwest Area Incident Support Cache $1,849.85 $2,020.69 $2,849.37 $3,327.22 La Grande Fire Cache $901.01 $1,055.30 $1,060.31 N/A Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache $1,121.13 $1,100.66 $266,688.34 $1,112.42 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support Cache $3,441.73 $1,283.88 $1,290.25 $1,417.72 Southern Area Incident Support Cache $876.89 $596.93 $661.73 $874.49 Northern Rockies Cache $1,446.46 $8,530.12 $21,137.98 N/A Great Basin Cache N/A $2,019.48 $1,487,296.39 $12,747.48 Billings Interagency Fire Cache $6,989.20 $1,597.81 N/A N/A Ontario Interagency Support Cache N/A $988,383.18 N/A $3,395.20 Northern California Interagency Support Cache $1,460.91 $1,124.23 $1,864.65 $1,321.33 Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache $1,604.79 $1,234.10 $2,270.09 $2,514.69 Sparks, Nevada - New Cache $1,436.27 $1,402.89 $1,882.26 $1,882.39 *Note: Caches that were assigned zero shipments for a given year are noted as "N/A" as a shipment factor. U.S. Forest Service Attachment 12-1 2003 $4,066.60 $941.85 $593.26 $1,752.60 $3,020.78 $1,045.26 $1,797.98 $1,259.76 $1,180.68 $1,911.76 $2,045.57 $2,834.48 $1,148.47 $1,158.88 $1,360.21 $860,898.21 N/A $520.38 $1,695.23 N/A $1,080.47 $1,538.81 $752.05 $1,257.59 $2,167.67 $1,741.50 $3,144.47 $1,124.76 $1,157.16 $1,354.75 2002 $1,500.24 $785.76 $464.92 $1,111.31 $2,056.88 $2,128.80 $878.52 $833.35 $3,823.39 $1,323.94 $2,708.78 $2,648.46 $1,064.71 $3,268.42 $1,187.79 $4,462.99 N/A $488.32 $1,222.30 $1,104.76 $1,448.84 $1,079.94 $644.94 $3,087.57 $1,513.02 $2,010.72 $3,084.77 $1,077.31 $2,849.28 $1,187.79 Average $7,484.60 $1,707.94 $604.04 $2,229.91 $2,633.93 $1,623.76 $1,542.01 $1,099.23 $3,277.86 $2,059.15 $4,091.21 $4,854.71 $1,452.61 $2,047.77 $1,639.33 $432,680.60 N/A $522.62 $2,160.78 $1,030.34 $45,425.31 $1,675.39 $734.51 $7,091.94 $301,148.81 $3,084.81 $249,501.91 $1,328.86 $1,938.35 $1,524.39 NISC Optimization and Review Table Showing How the Number of Shipments Affect the Shipment Factors Cache Name 2007 Operating Cost* Model Shipments Input Shipment Factor 2007 Operating Cost* Model Shipments Output Shipment Factor Rocky Mountain Incident Support Cache Silver City Fire Cache Northeast Interagency Fire Cache $404,012.16 Northwest Area Incident Support Cache $2,092,598.55 La Grande Fire Cache $721,966.17 Wenatchee Interagency Support Cache $755,725.12 Southwest Area Prescott Incident Support $848,645.92 Cache Southern Area Incident Support Cache $593,347.17 Northern Rockies Cache $1,877,285.28 Great Basin Cache $3,737,487.71 Billings Interagency Fire Cache $693,448.35 Ontario Interagency Support Cache $1,695,017.35 Northern California Interagency Support $1,065,777.89 Cache Coeur d'Alene Interagency Support Cache $418,357.44 Sparks, Nevada - New Cache $0.00 *Note: Operating costs do not include transportation costs. U.S. Forest Service 582 1094 568 627 $694.18 $1,912.80 $1,271.07 $1,205.30 $444,211.05 $2,536,144.04 $1,023,541.76 $775,821.92 815 1371 1136 692 $545.04 $1,849.85 $901.01 $1,121.13 347 $2,445.67 $464,633.06 135 $3,441.73 530 1228 1925 204 204 $1,119.52 $1,528.73 $1,941.55 $3,399.26 $8,308.91 $637,495.60 $2,019,254.82 $0.00 $496,233.34 $0.00 727 1396 0 71 0 $876.89 $1,446.46 N/A $6,989.20 N/A 649 $1,642.18 $1,427,307.06 977 $1,460.91 243 679 $1,721.64 $1,490.43 $584,141.87 $1,072,890.72 364 747 $1,604.79 $1,436.27 Attachment 12-2 NISC Optimization and Review Attachment 13 – Mileage Analysis for Model Results Actual Miles Traveled by Cache Cache Code 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 AZ-PFK 364,461 565,284 287,780 250,990 246,185 564,532 CA-LSK 66,899 225,279 148,816 297,146 300,164 390,689 CA-NCK 220,977 838,519 308,409 296,298 516,014 485,826 CO-RMK 90,546 170,667 76,953 91,372 206,181 448,318 ID-CDK 55,022 81,335 46,211 38,187 63,420 46,128 ID-GBK 2,351,860 3,729,492 2,612,656 3,188,810 3,177,158 5,448,799 KY-SAK 1,222,368 1,852,293 1,042,613 438,481 836,446 602,264 MN-NEK 525,594 446,406 279,134 360,019 370,171 818,674 MT-BFC 93,464 259,612 48,013 43,457 116,217 118,062 MT-NRK 686,563 514,577 399,390 346,751 855,883 615,282 NM-SFK 213,188 662,162 269,727 182,388 365,871 493,488 OR-LFK 124,457 177,141 223,248 53,704 89,062 115,235 OR-NWK 431,267 549,798 400,838 360,494 520,849 980,044 WA-WFC 166,693 292,036 52,240 100,801 182,138 108,983 Miles Traveled by Cache in Sparks Model Run Results Cache Code Sparks 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 757,326 941,760 887,441 550,378 737,048 964,258 AZ-PFK 0 1,159,774 907,759 1,061,946 872,822 780,254 CA-LSK 0 157 0 438,805 344,476 1,077,946 CA-NCK 1,021,866 1,955,034 3,008,188 1,681,330 1,293,651 1,084,377 ID-CDK 187,749 265,692 185,875 120,945 134,680 401,274 ID-GBK 136 1,968,751 8,807 1,006,167 5,356,951 4,688,237 KY-SAK 1,857,044 1,711,290 4,043,967 3,913,443 3,884,031 3,337,077 MN-NEK 3,528,166 1,335,769 1,350,575 1,029,928 777,958 2,685,632 MT-BFC 156,281 274,964 0 0 210,545 530,502 MT-NRK 2,089,959 44,062 189,197 0 451,112 4,052,587 967,867 709,212 757,386 0 0 787,230 OR-NWK 1,187,318 979,454 1,934,627 2,170,595 831,261 1,680,240 WA-WFC 638,988 981,697 1,283 209,677 208,532 740,524 OR-LFK U.S. Forest Service Attachment 13-1 NISC Optimization and Review Cost Per Mile for Actual Mileage Cache Code 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 AZ-PFK $2.73 $2.02 $3.43 $3.79 $3.80 $1.98 CA-LSK $27.49 $10.07 $13.19 $7.83 $7.67 $6.43 CA-NCK $6.37 $2.83 $5.11 $6.17 $3.11 $3.88 CO-RMK $13.69 $8.22 $16.08 $13.47 $6.85 $4.10 ID-CDK $14.80 $11.22 $15.99 $15.39 $7.92 $14.14 ID-GBK $2.05 $1.84 $2.28 $2.08 $1.97 $1.44 KY-SAK $0.82 $0.83 $1.26 $2.20 $1.27 $1.78 MN-NEK $1.22 $1.32 $1.92 $1.50 $1.45 $0.96 MT-BFC $11.29 $7.76 $20.87 $20.02 $9.00 $10.76 MT-NRK $3.78 $4.75 $7.25 $6.56 $3.51 $4.22 NM-SFK $3.36 $1.51 $3.33 $4.01 $2.30 $1.94 OR-LFK $7.42 $5.36 $4.26 $14.32 $9.50 $7.36 OR-NWK $5.83 $5.47 $7.00 $7.65 $5.43 $3.27 WA-WFC $6.02 $4.36 $15.43 $8.83 $5.69 $8.01 Cost Per Mile for Model Results Cache Code Sparks 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 $2.56 $2.06 $2.48 $3.24 $1.84 $1.66 AZ-PFK - $1.88 $1.46 $1.61 $2.10 $1.64 CA-LSK - $10,700.95 - $5.39 $6.52 $2.37 CA-NCK $1.90 $0.92 $1.50 $1.34 $1.32 $1.93 ID-CDK $4.62 $3.31 $8.42 $7.89 $3.97 $3.65 ID-GBK $0.00 $2.23 $428.48 $1.92 $1.22 $1.08 KY-SAK $0.62 $0.96 $0.40 $0.52 $0.36 $0.34 MN-NEK $0.22 $0.44 $0.55 $0.90 $0.86 $0.28 MT-BFC $9.64 $4.75 - - $5.98 $2.93 MT-NRK $1.32 $46.76 $6.32 - $4.68 $1.36 OR-LFK $1.74 $2.38 $2.30 - - $2.32 OR-NWK $5.14 $4.64 $2.14 $2.37 $4.08 $1.42 WA-WFC $2.02 $1.09 $582.90 $4.40 $4.82 $1.75 U.S. Forest Service Attachment 13-2 NISC Optimization and Review Shipment Matrix – Estimation of Shipment Costs Between Caches Attachment 14 – Sparks One-Time Facility Start-up Costs CORMK NMSFK MNNEK ORNWK OR-LFK WAWFC AZPFK KY-SAK MT-NRK ID-GBK MTBFC CA-LSK CANCK ID-CDK Sparks CO-RMK X $314.84 $473.41 $534.86 $462.51 $560.29 $323.64 $700.37 $407.94 $732.94 $277.31 $483.03 $552.43 $486.61 $473.21 NM-SFK $314.84 X $770.97 $647.86 $621.12 $730.18 $171.65 $848.86 $629.80 $530.19 $554.19 $338.95 $580.09 $689.77 $488.66 MN-NEK $473.41 $770.97 X $815.88 $713.75 $757.25 $795.68 $516.66 $587.46 $685.24 $438.26 $941.61 $910.82 $658.90 $859.14 OR-NWK $534.86 $647.86 $815.88 X $103.14 $134.86 $492.62 $1,208.66 $235.80 $152.24 $438.26 $443.23 $161.41 $192.70 $203.25 OR-LFK $462.51 $621.12 $713.75 $103.14 X $471.15 $109.06 $481.92 $1,118.12 $429.26 $91.04 $279.30 $472.16 $240.32 $106.94 WA-WFC $560.29 $730.18 $757.25 $134.86 $471.15 X $589.29 $1,192.14 $176.23 $200.07 $342.97 $566.33 $296.25 $98.36 $330.84 AZ-PFK $323.64 $171.65 $795.68 $492.62 $109.06 $589.29 X $967.13 $518.14 $393.80 $485.02 $183.52 $410.78 $564.76 $320.12 KY-SAK $700.37 $848.86 $516.66 $1,208.66 $481.92 $1,192.14 $967.13 X $1,016.33 $1,058.13 $849.26 $1,149.11 $410.78 $1,098.09 $355.26 MT-NRK $407.94 $629.80 $587.46 $235.80 $1,118.12 $176.23 $518.14 $1,016.33 X $154.99 $167.10 $552.01 $366.69 $83.16 $1,173.49 ID-GBK $732.94 $530.19 $685.24 $152.24 $429.26 $200.07 $393.80 $1,058.13 $154.99 X $248.06 $401.42 $228.70 $174.82 $201.97 MT-BFC $277.31 $554.19 $438.26 $379.51 $91.04 $342.97 $485.02 $849.26 $167.10 $248.06 X $573.60 $475.97 $249.44 $434.60 CA-LSK $483.03 $338.95 $941.61 $443.23 $279.30 $566.33 $183.52 $1,149.11 $552.01 $401.42 $573.60 X $312.32 $573.41 $240.53 CA-NCK $552.43 $580.09 $910.82 $161.41 $472.16 $296.25 $410.78 $1,250.66 $366.69 $228.70 $475.97 $312.32 X $344.54 $91.78 ID-CDK $486.61 $689.77 $658.90 $192.70 $240.32 $98.36 $564.76 $1,098.09 $83.16 $174.82 $249.44 $573.41 $344.54 X $354.47 Sparks $473.21 $488.66 $859.14 $203.25 $106.94 $330.84 $320.12 $1,173.49 $355.26 $201.97 $434.60 $240.53 $91.78 $354.47 X U.S. Forest Service Attachment 14-1 NISC Optimization and Review The following is a summary of estimated one-time costs associated with the start-up of a new Forest Service facility. These costs are not intended to encompass all annual operating costs. Cost Per Unit Equipment and Supplies Computer Equipment Service Agreement/Extended Warranty on all Computer Equipment purchased during Start-up Miscellaneous Office Equipment (e.g. Printer, Copier, etc.) Videoconferencing Equipment Office Furniture Miscellaneous Office Furniture (Chairs, Tables, Bookcases, Projector) Office Supplies Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) Travel Travel to Sparks, NV for Coordination Purposes - Cache Manager and Assistant Manager Cabling Installation Cisco Catalyst Express 500-24 PC port 10/0000 PoE Switch Belkin 250' CAT 5e Horizontal UTP Bulk Cable, Blue Belkin RJ45 CAT 5e Patch Cable 10' Green Belkin RJ45 Plug, 50 Pack U.S. Forest Service Number of Units Total Cost Source $1,510.33 5 $7,551.65 $188.34 5 $941.70 $699.00 1 $699.00 $9,454.00 1 $9,454.00 $3,469.00 $3,000.00 5 1 $17,345.00 $3,000.00 $10,000.00 1 $10,000.00 $792.12 8 $6,336.96 GSAadvantage.gov $1,091.50 4 $4,366.00 Expedia.com and Domestic Per Diem rates $1,707.71 1 $1,707.71 CDW-G GSA Schedule $33.91 3 $101.73 CDW-G GSA Schedule $1.98 $17.37 13 1 $25.74 $17.37 CDW-G GSA Schedule CDW-G GSA Schedule Attachment 14-2 dell.com, hp.com, and apple.com dell.com, hp.com, and apple.com Staples.com picturephone.com and Staples.com Unicor's Catalog Unicor's Catalog Based on LSK actual costs. Comments Assumes 5 Offices Required Assumes 5 Offices Required Assumes 5 Offices Required Supply costs for first-year of operation included in cost estimate. New PPE purchased for each new full-time employee. Estimated two trips per person four days and three nights each. NISC Optimization and Review Hubbell Server Cabinet Hubbell Cabinet Roof Fan Tripp Lite CAT5e or CAT5 48 Port Rackmount Patch Panel Structured Cabling Technician (Hourly Rate) Advanced Structured Cabling Technician (Hourly Rate) Communications Installation T1 and Phone Lines - Install T1 and Phone Lines - Router T1 and Phone Lines - Equipment T1 and Phone Lines - Office Wiring T1 and Phone Lines - Service Other Costs Relocation of Staff Furniture Set-Up Fee Relocation of Material Handling Equipment Training Training - Staff Training Materials Uninflated Total One-Time Stand-Up Costs Estimated Annual Operating Cost U.S. Forest Service Cost Per Unit $1,635.89 $372.06 $76.80 Number of Units 1 1 1 Total Cost Source $1,635.89 $372.06 $76.80 CDW-G GSA Schedule CDW-G GSA Schedule CDW-G GSA Schedule ECHO 24, Inc. GSA Schedule ECHO 24, Inc. GSA Schedule $45.00 24 $1,080.00 $51.30 24 $1,231.20 $500.00 $1,500.00 $5,000.00 $800.00 $1,886.00 1 1 1 1 1 $500.00 $1,500.00 $5,000.00 $800.00 $1,886.00 $50,000.00 2 $100,000.00 $3,458.65 1 $3,458.65 $480.93 24 $11,542.32 Original Equipment Industries Model Calculation and Amount of Equipment Reported at LSK. $3,650.00 8 $29,200.00 Estimate $1,000.00 1 $1,000.00 Estimate (2007 Rate) Comments Qwest Qwest Qwest Qwest Qwest Estimate Relocation of Cache Manager & Asst. Manager Cost of Installation Assumed to be 17% of Total Order. Average of cost/shipment between RMK/SFK and Sparks. Includes Training Fees & Associated Off-Site Travel Costs. $220,829.78 $1,011,998.66 Attachment 14-3 NISC Optimization and Review U.S. Forest Service Attachment 14-4 NISC Optimization and Review