MANAGEMENT STUDY OF THE AERIAL DELIVERY OF FIREFIGHTERS Prepared for: US FOREST SERVICE WASHINGTON DC Prepared by: Management Analysis, Incorporated 2070 Chain Bridge Road, Suite 550 Vienna, VA 22182 February 2008 Assessment contacts Elizabeth Walatka US Forest Service WO Strategic Planning, Budget & Accountability Robert Kuhn US Forest Service WO FAM Planning & Budget ewalatka@fs.fed.us rkuhn@fs.fed.us U.S. Forest Service Aerial Delivery of Firefighters (ADFF) Study Table of Contents 1 2 3 4 5 6 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background ......................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Purpose of the Study ........................................................................................... 1 1.3 Participants.......................................................................................................... 1 1.4 ADFF Study End State, Missions, and Principles .............................................. 2 1.5 Overview of the Aerial Delivery of Firefighters Program .................................. 3 The Model ................................................................................................................... 4 2.1 Data ..................................................................................................................... 4 2.1.1 Data Collection ........................................................................................... 4 2.1.2 Data Clean-up ............................................................................................. 7 Analysis....................................................................................................................... 7 3.1 Assumptions........................................................................................................ 7 3.2 Study Limitations ................................................................................................ 9 3.3 Model Runs ....................................................................................................... 10 3.4 Output Analysis ................................................................................................ 10 3.5 Costs.................................................................................................................. 11 Recommendations and Alternatives ......................................................................... 11 4.1 Alternative #1: Total Mobility Concept ............................................................ 12 4.1.1 Overview ................................................................................................... 12 4.1.2 Guiding Principles .................................................................................... 13 4.1.3 Attributes................................................................................................... 13 4.1.4 Solution ..................................................................................................... 13 4.2 Alternative #2: Regional Concept..................................................................... 19 4.2.1 Overview ................................................................................................... 19 4.2.2 Guiding Principles .................................................................................... 19 4.2.3 Attributes................................................................................................... 20 4.2.4 Solution ..................................................................................................... 20 4.3 Alternative #3: Inter-Regional Concept ............................................................ 21 4.3.1 Overview ................................................................................................... 21 4.3.2 Guiding Principles .................................................................................... 22 4.3.3 Attributes................................................................................................... 22 4.3.4 Solution ..................................................................................................... 23 Recommendation ...................................................................................................... 24 5.1 Aircraft .............................................................................................................. 24 5.1.1 Fixed-Wing Platforms ............................................................................... 24 5.1.2 Rotor-Wing Platforms ............................................................................... 25 5.2 Smokejumper Program ..................................................................................... 26 5.3 Helicopter Program ........................................................................................... 27 Conclusion ................................................................................................................ 27 Attachments Attachment # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Title Study Principles Current Base Locations How the Model Works Data Sources Data Collection Forms Platforms Commercial Airport Analysis Initial Attack Scenarios Data Clean-Up Model Outputs Actual Versus Model Comparison Summary of Inter-Regional Concept Recommendation U.S. Forest Service Aerial Delivery of Firefighters (ADFF) Study Executive Summary The Aerial Delivery of Firefighters (ADFF) Study and model development began as a recommendation in the Forest Service’s (FS) Feasibility of Conducting a Competitive Sourcing Competition on Aviation Activities in the U.S. Forest Service to update the 1999 ADFF Study. The 1999 ADFF Study did not reflect current operating strategies, current capabilities, advances in equipment and technology, or changes in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). The FS recognized there are opportunities to reorganize, to better coordinate aviation resources, to ensure consistent staffing and resource sharing, and to improve responses to incidents. The mission of Forest Service aviation is diverse, supporting not only Fire Aviation Management (FAM) and appropriate management response options including wildland fire use and prescribed fires, but also work for other natural resource areas. While the study is based on the primary role of ADFF in incident management response, the outcomes of the study do not preclude the implementation of aviation-related options in the FAM program or in the overall FS aviation program. The current study analyzed the types of platforms (fixed-wing or helicopter), location and types of bases, and the appropriate mix of each to meet the mission of the FS. In order to determine the best mix, the ADFF Study Team developed assumptions, collected data from the field and existing databases, utilized subject matter experts, and developed a model focused on determining the most economical use of resources. The model used fire data from the past nine years as the basis for determining the best solution for the FS. The results of this study include several alternatives for FS Leadership, and a model that can be updated with new fire data to identify and support future recommendations. The recommendations provided to Leadership are both feasible and reduce some costs to the FS for ADFF operations. Specifically, the data from the model indicated the current smokejumper locations are not optimal for the responding to the fires of the past nine years. For example, there are existing spike base locations that can be used that are closer to the fires than the current smokejumper bases, and can provide a more cost-effective response. The model identifies that minimizing the number of full smokejumper bases, which have significant infrastructure and operating costs, while maximizing spike bases and proximity to probable fire areas, is the most cost-effective way to proceed. This is similar to the approach currently utilized by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM). The model also identified numerous helibases that were not needed in order to provide ADFF for the last nine years, as long as the FS updates its platforms to higher performance models. The Study Team developed three alternatives based on the model results: the Total Mobility Concept, the Regional Concept, and the Inter-Regional Concept. The Total Mobility Concept allocates resources through a centralized decision point, free to move to any location and priority in the country. The Regional Concept allows Regions to maintain responsibility to staff and plan ADFF resources according to local need, and in U.S. Forest Service i ADFF Study view of inter-regional responsibilities. The Inter-Regional Concept allows adjacent Regions to share base locations and ADFF resources. The primary difference between these alternatives was in the smokejumper operations; helitack/rappel operations were the same for all three alternatives because a total mobility concept was not achievable for helicopters. The Team believed the strength of the helicopters was their multi-use capability, as opposed to range and speed. Therefore, a greater dispersal of helicopters geographically was deemed more advantageous. The Study Team’s final recommendation was to implement the Inter-Regional Concept for both smokejumper and helitack operations. In order to standardize the alternatives for each recommendation, the Team opted to recommend fixed-wing aircraft as either large or small, and rotor-wing aircraft as Type I, II, or III. The model selected small aircraft 87% and large aircraft 13% of the time. Type II helicopters were recommended the majority of time at just over 55%, followed by Type III’s at 25%, and Type I’s at 20%. For the smokejumper program, the Study Team recommends the use of both permanent and satellite bases. In this alternative, three primary bases are converted to satellite bases, and a specific number of aircraft are assigned to each. The Study Team proposes McCall, Missoula, Redding, and Redmond as the primary bases, and Fresno, Grangeville, Lufkin, Ogden, San Bernadino, Silver City, West Yellowstone, and Winthrop as the satellite bases. This recommendation also results in 15 helibases in the Western part of the U.S. and 66 in the Eastern part of the U.S., for a total of 81. In total there are over 25 helibase closures or consolidations. The Study Team’s final recommendation of the Inter-Regional Concept results in no savings over the current configuration for smokejumper operations. This solution is also at least $1.43 million more annually than the ideal model results for smokejumper operations. For helitack operations, the Inter-Regional recommendation results in approximately $1.91 million of savings annually over the current configuration, but is at least $997,135 more expensive annually than the ideal model results. The Study Team disagreed with the model results in terms of savings because making major investments in infrastructure to increase the operational capability of the smaller bases would not be feasible for the FS in most cases. Additional savings can be achieved if FS Leadership or the Study Team consider more consolidations and closures, or more closely follow the ideal model results. Furthermore, the FS can continue to evaluate the other two alternatives developed by the Team to determine if there is a more cost-effective and efficient solution. The model developed for this Study will continue to be a useful tool for FS Leadership and ADFF operations. Each year, the most recent fire data can be added to the model and the model run again to generate the ideal solution. Additionally, new aircraft and updated costs (facilities, maintenance) can be incorporated into the model to ensure the most accurate costs are used in the model runs. The FS will be able to continually assess to what extent operations are efficient and cost-effective. U.S. Forest Service ii ADFF Study U.S. Forest Service Aerial Delivery of Firefighters (ADFF) 1 Introduction 1.1 Background The Forest Service’s (FS) Feasibility of Conducting a Competitive Sourcing Competition on Aviation Activities in the U.S. Forest Service (Aviation Activities Feasibility Study) included the recommendation to update the 1999 Aerial Delivery of Firefighters (ADFF) Study in order to evaluate and recommend the best mix of helicopter-delivered versus fixed-wing-delivered firefighters. The aerial delivery of firefighters includes various methods of transporting personnel to an emerging fire or initial and extended attack, including the use of helicopters and airplanes to deliver smokejumper, helitack, and rappel crews. The 1999 ADFF Study provided guidance for improving the ADFF program; however, the study does not reflect the current operating strategies, current capabilities, the advances in equipment and technology, or the changes in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). While the current fleet of fixed-wing and helitack aircraft is able to respond to fires, there are opportunities to reorganize, to better coordinate aviation resources, to ensure consistent staffing and resource sharing, and to improve responses to incidents. On 22 May 2007, Gail Kimbell, Chief of the Forest Service, announced the start of this ADFF Study, and recommended additional studies based on the results of the Aviation Activities Feasibility Study. The 2007 ADFF Study has a larger scope to address the overall mission needs of the FS, rather than only individual location or regional needs. 1.2 Purpose of the Study The purpose of this Study is to update the previous 1999 ADFF study based on the guidance provided in the Aviation Activities Feasibility Study. The recommendation was as follows: “Update the Aerial Delivery of Firefighter Study (ADFF) to evaluate and recommend the best mix of helicopter versus airplane delivered firefighters. The Study should include an analysis of optimal locations for staging crews based upon improved helicopter capabilities.” The 2007 ADFF study provides an analytical assessment of the size, location, and tradeoff of smokejumper and helitack and rappel programs in support of initial attack of wildland fires. This study also provides recommendations to FS Leadership on the specific mix of platforms and locations (see Attachment 12). 1.3 Participants The 2007 ADFF Study participants included a mix of FS and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) representation, as well as consultant support. The following were the participants in this Study. U.S. Forest Service 1 ADFF Study Forest Service Participants Larry Brosnan Robert Kuhn Ed Hollenshead George Weldon Maggie Doherty Neal Hitchcock Jon Rollens Ken Snell Don Bell Kevin Lee Dave Doan Mary Wagner Assistant Director of Fire and Aviation Management (FAM), Washington Office (WO) FAM-WO Planning and Budget; Competitive Sourcing Lead Team Co-Leader; Director, Region 5 (FAM) Team Co-Leader; Deputy Director, Region 1 (Fire, Aviation & Air) Aviation Management Specialist, WO Deputy Director for Fire Operations, NIFC Assistant Director, Region 6 (Aviation) Deputy Director, Region 6 (FAM) Pilot, Region 6 (Deschutes National Forest, Regional Aviation Expert) SME (smokejumper), Region 1 State Representative Deputy Regional Forester, Region 4 Bureau of Land Management Participants Grant Beebe Brad Gibbs Subject Matter Expert (Fire Protection Analysis System) Subject Matter Expert (Helicopter Program Manager) Consultant Support Art Smith Aaron Sanders Kristin Eckels President, Management Analysis, Incorporated (MAI) Senior Engineer, MAI Senior Management Analyst, MAI The Team also acknowledges the Regional Fire staff and other subject matter experts throughout the FS who provided data and information that was incorporated into this study. 1.4 ADFF Study End State, Missions, and Principles At the initial meeting, the ADFF Study Team defined the end state and mission of the study, and developed a set of guiding principles to be applied throughout the process and in the development of the final recommendations. The Team’s end state was as follows: Through performance of the 2007 ADFF study and interpretation and application of data and modeling, the Forest Service (FS) aviation programs will be highly effective and cost efficient in meeting the Agency’s mission objectives. The Study Team also defined their mission for the 2007 ADFF Study in reaching the proposed end state. The study would address: the platform (rotor- and fixed-wing), the location (helibases and jump bases), the mission (related to current and anticipated needs), and the mix of ADFF assets. The results of this study and the recommendations would be designed to complement the purposes and roles identified in the Principles and the mission of Forest Service Aviation: U.S. Forest Service 2 ADFF Study The mission of Forest Service aviation is diverse, supporting not only Fire Aviation Management (FAM) and appropriate management response options including wildland fire use and prescribed fires, but also work for other natural resource areas. While the study is based on the primary role of ADFF in incident management response, the outcomes of the study do not preclude the implementation of aviation-related options in the FAM program or in the overall FS aviation program. The Team’s goal was for the model to be designed so it could be expanded to evaluate other elements of the fire program in the future (e.g., to evaluate the mix of engines versus aviation assets). Further, the model outputs would be interpreted and leveraged to meet the mission objectives of the FS and end state described above. The principles developed by the Team included objectives and offense, unity of command and synergy, safety and effectiveness, focus, speed, and positioning and reserves. The full description of these principles is provided in Attachment 1. 1.5 Overview of the Aerial Delivery of Firefighters Program The aerial delivery of firefighters occurs both by rotor- and fixed-wing aircraft. Smokejumpers are delivered via a variety of fixed-wing aircraft, which are both owned or contracted by the FS. Rappel crews and firefighters are delivered by helicopters contracted by the FS. A map showing all smokejumper and helibase locations is provided in Attachment 2. ADFF are used for initial response (on all fires), emerging fires, implementing management actions on wildland fire use fires, implementing specific actions on long duration fires, and providing fire leadership. ADFF is a rapid response and support tool that provides a unique capacity in terms of speed, range, mobility, versatility, agility, and focus. These resources are used to deliver overhead and highly skilled operational personnel to provide quick and accurate situational assessment, determine management needs, provide initial command structure and tactical action as required, and perform logistical support of extended operations. Additional support to natural resource management programs is common. Helitack/Rappel Helicopters have been used by the FS since 1947 to transport personnel and cargo to fires. Specifically, helicopters are used for initial attack to deliver helitack crews (firefighters) and equipment. Helitack personnel also rappel from helicopters to quickly reach fires in remote locations where aircraft are unable to land. Helicopters can also be equipped with buckets or fixed tanks to drop water or retardant during firefighting operations, including initial attack. Additionally, helicopters can be used to evacuate injured firefighters or transport personnel to other locations. Currently, there are approximately 95 helicopters stationed in 85 locations for ADFF. Smokejumper Fixed-wing aircraft are used for various firefighting operations, as well as other FS missions. For firefighting operations, fixed-wing aircraft are used for smokejumper U.S. Forest Service 3 ADFF Study delivery, air attack, cargo transport, surveillance, reconnaissance, and fire retardant and water delivery. The smokejumper program began in 1939 in the Pacific Northwest Region, with the first jump occurring in 1940 in Idaho. Smokejumpers are used to provide quick initial attack on wildland fires in remote areas. Smokejumpers are provided with cargo and supplies to be self-sufficient for 48 hours. There are currently seven permanent and three seasonal spike base locations for smokejumper operations. There are currently 12 fixed-wing aircraft in service for ADFF (not including air tankers). 2 The Model The ADFF study model was developed using an Access database, and incorporates nine years of historic and five years of extrapolated fire data, as well as other key factors and information, as discussed in Section 2.1. The model is run by fiscal year, and identifies the most efficient and cost effective response for each fire. A summary of how the model works is provided in Attachment 3. 2.1 Data Multiple data elements and sources were evaluated in the course of developing the model, including established databases, subject matter experts, and existing FS studies and reports. The Study Team also utilized data gathered by the interagency Fire Program Analysis (FPA) study project. A list of data sources is provided in Attachment 4. The data incorporated into the model was reviewed and analyzed for accuracy and completeness to ensure the best outputs from the model. The following outlines the data collection efforts, types of data incorporated into the model, and the type of editing and cleansing applied to the data. 2.1.1 Data Collection 2.1.1.1 Base Information Data collection tools were developed by the Study Team to solicit information from all bases around the country where ADFF resources are used. This initial data collection started as an informal request from the Team to points of contact within each Region, and was followed by an official letter of request from the Chief. Two data collection forms were developed and tailored to the information needed from both the smokejumper bases and the helibases. The forms requested information including, but not limited to, the location of the base (including latitude, longitude), runway data, personnel, facility types and square footage, additional capacity, and various costs (e.g., overhead, vehicle, administrative). The data collection forms are provided in Attachment 5. In total, the Team received responses from all smokejumper bases and helibases. As needed, the Team followed up with locations to clarify the data received and compared information with existing databases. U.S. Forest Service 4 ADFF Study 2.1.1.2 Fire Information The fire data included in the model come from the Kansas City (KC) Fire Database (accessed through the FIRESTAT system), which captures all fires in which ADFF were used. This data was provided as .raw files and consolidated into one database using Personal Computer Historical Analysis (PCHA). For the model, all fires prior to Fiscal Year 1998 were deleted, which resulted in a nine year fire database. The fire data was then extrapolated to generate a five year forecast of fire activity. Based on the nine years of fire data, the number of ADFF fires predicted for Fiscal Years 2007 through 2011 are as follows: Fiscal Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Number of Fires 2,077 2,109 2,182 2,189 2,195 2.1.1.3 Platform Information Platform data (both fixed-wing and rotor-wing aircraft) was gathered using a variety of resources, with specific input from Study Team members and subject matter experts. The Team focused on gathering information on the capabilities, costs, and operating requirements for each type of aircraft. Aircraft parameters and data included speed, fuel burn rate, range, required flight crew, and maximum number of passengers. The model also incorporates both fixed-wing and rotor-wing aircraft not currently in use, but under consideration for future use by the FS. The specific aircraft incorporated into the model are provided in Attachment 6. 2.1.1.4 Commercial Airport Information In order to ensure the best and most accurate responses to fires, the Study Team included commercial airports in the model data. The list of commercial airports was reviewed to eliminate those that would not be of use to the FS. The airports were classified into the following categories: • Airports with runways greater than 4,000 feet (suitable for all aircraft) • Airports with runways between 3,000 and 4,000 feet (suitable for most aircraft, but not all) • Airports with runways less than 3,000 feet (suitable for helicopters only) • Airports with and without Jet A fuel (airports without Jet A fuels would incur additional costs for the FS) The airports with runways greater than 3,000 feet were entered into the model as both potential smokejumper and helibases. Any airport with a runway less than 3,000 feet was entered only as a helibase. To further narrow down the list of U.S. Forest Service 5 ADFF Study potential commercial airports, the model was further refined using the 2006 fire season data. A breakdown of how the model was run with this information is provided in Attachment 7. Based on the initial results generated by the model, only one commercial airport was considered feasible to use for ADFF activities. Although commercial airports are available, the FS would incur costs to operate from these airports; therefore, it is more economical to operate from existing facilities with the appropriate infrastructure in place. 2.1.1.5 Ground Response to Fires The fire data was further refined to ensure only ADFF fires were included in the model. This meant removing fires that were responded to with only engines, tractors, dozers, and other ground response mechanisms. For example, there were a total of 9,450 fires on FS land in 2006, which was reduced to 2,222 that had an ADFF response. Between 1997 and 2006 there were a total of 87,444 fires, which was reduced to 18,147 fires with an ADFF response. The removal of non-ADFF fires from the model more accurately reflects how the FS uses ADFF to respond to fires, and generates a more realistic allocation of resources. The raw data and information obtained from the KC Fire Database and used in the model included the Region, KC Fire ID, Code (e.g., A1, A2, A3, H1, H2, H3), and the number of units. For the number of units, the following criteria were used: • Airtanker and Helo are listed by the number of aircraft • Engine and dozer/plow are listed by number of modules • Crew is listed by the number of crews • Suppression personnel, smokejumpers, helitack, and rappel are listed by the number of persons 2.1.1.6 Initial Attack Criteria The Study Team developed initial attack response criteria and assigned a response category to each fire. Attachment 8 provides a list of the initial attack response scenarios. These responses were included in the model to ensure the correct level of response for each fire. 2.1.1.7 Delivery Using the expertise of subject matter experts, as well as information from FPA, the Study Team determined estimated delivery times for both smokejumpers and helitack/rappel to use in the model. For smokejumper operations, the Team estimated approximately 30 minutes for take off and landing of a fixed-wing aircraft, and four minutes for delivery of a pair of smokejumpers and their cargo. For helitack, the Team estimated approximately 25 minutes for take off and landing and an additional 15 minutes at the fire site for landing, rappelling, or helitack. Since there are multiple options for delivery of firefighters with helicopters, an average time per mission was selected, rather than a time per firefighter. U.S. Forest Service 6 ADFF Study 2.1.1.8 Personnel Costs The costs incorporated into the model for personnel were generated using the OMB Circular No. A-76 COMPARE software. This program calculates personnel using standard cost factors (general and administrative overhead, liability insurance) and reflects the current pay rates, inflation, and fringe benefit factors. Each position is costed at a step 5. The grades of current ADFF positions reported by each base were used to generate estimated personnel costs. 2.1.2 Data Clean-up Once the data was received and consolidated, several actions were taken to clean-up and clarify the information in order to ensure the best possible outcomes for the model. Clean-up activities included deleting fields not necessary for the modeling effort, removing duplicate entries, filling in missing information (e.g., latitude and longitude, state, dates), and removing fires where the protection agency was not the FS. A full listing of all the data changes and clean-up actions is provided in Attachment 9. 3 Analysis 3.1 Assumptions The Study Team reviewed the assumptions used in the 1999 ADFF study, and refined and developed additional assumptions to apply to the current study. Throughout the data analysis and discussions by the Team, additional assumptions were added and existing assumptions refined further. The following are the final data assumptions for the model: - Smokejumper base facilities operate year-round. Although personnel do not necessarily jump year-round, they are able to respond as necessary. The exception is West Yellowstone, which is closed December through April annually. - Strategic command of all aerial delivered firefighting resources or assets and personnel will be at the national level; operational control will be at a level below. In some situations, operational control may shift to a national level. - Data gathered for this effort was the best available, but there may be some disconnects and errors. The data used in this model was reviewed for these instances, and was adjusted as needed. Whenever the data was adjusted it was specifically noted in the report. - The model assumes no impediment to moving resources across Geographic Area Coordination Center (GACC) boundaries, states, and regions. In other words, the model has no restrictions for crossing boundaries (regional and state lines) to respond to fires and inter-agency incidents on an as needed basis. The model assumes any coordination with states is taken if necessary. - The model allocates resources (firefighters and platforms) based on the historic fire data (e.g., location, size, elevation), not the actual responses taken by the FS. U.S. Forest Service 7 ADFF Study - The model uses quantitative projections for future fire events. In order to estimate these trends and project future fire events, the model uses an eight year rolling average of fire data. - The net value of losses through fire damage cannot be readily calculated and has not been historically consistent. - The model assumes an unrestricted view or approach to doing business that is free of bias. - The FS will have continuing need for aerial delivered firefighters for the foreseeable future. - Aircraft used for ADFF functions can be acquired through purchase or contract. The purpose of this study is to determine the number of aircraft, mix of platforms, and locations; the acquisition of these will be determined through the OMB Circular No. A-11 Exhibit 300 process. - Any additions to fixed-wing aircraft operations will be co-located with already existing runways. In other words, new runways will not be built. - Interagency and state partners (including Canada) are considered part of the capability of ADFF. The FS routinely uses partners and views them as interchangeable in the mix of assets used for wildland fire assets. However, the recommendations for this study are based solely on the capabilities of the FS. The current agreements in place among these agencies and Canada are viable and static in nature; therefore, they are considered a “wash” cost and are not factored into the model. - The FS has blended bases and crews (e.g., shared facilities and crews with BLM). For the purposes of this model, all blended bases have been considered as FS bases. - The model does not evaluate other agency fires or resources. Any support provided to non-FS fires or received from non-FS resources are considered equal and reciprocal, and therefore not included in the model. - The model incorporates data from the entire ADFF service area (with the exception of Alaska, which was not included). The 1999 ADFF study focused only on the Western states. - The model only incorporates platforms that have been approved for use and those currently in use. A list of aircraft is provided in Attachment 6. - The model allows for aircraft to respond to up to two fires within one flight (bundling). ADFF personnel and aircraft return to the home base from where they departed. - Aircraft are not restricted to specific bases. The model allows for aircraft to be placed at any facility acceptable for take off and landing requirements for helicopters, and at any smokejumper base for fixed-wing aircraft. - The model addresses not only the initial attack but also the ongoing support and additional support provided to emerging fires and long-duration fires, including U.S. Forest Service 8 ADFF Study wildland fire use. The model address this through a “utilization factor,” which apportions the FOR/Exclusive use rate based on the historical time spent on ADFF, versus the time spent on other missions. - The model does not determine the specific number of FTE needed for ADFF, but utilizes the optimum crew size and configuration (based on the fire’s parameters) for determining the most effective and efficient response. - The current responses to fire incidents/historical workload data and utilization of resources have been satisfactory to date. The model is designed to refine and improve upon this utilization. 3.2 Study Limitations The Study Team identified some limitations of the study, outputs, and recommendations generated from the model. These limitations are: - Large fire support is a part of the model output in so far as the cost of each platform is discounted based upon the total use, which includes large fire support. Recommendations must recognize the need (in numbers and kind of aircraft) for large fire support that would not otherwise be apparent. - The model is an economic model and favors delivery cost and speed. This must be considered when recommendations are being formulated. - The effects on local suppression effectiveness when resources are concentrated in another area (e.g., lack of local knowledge, ability to support ground resources, fire behavior) cannot be modeled, but should be considered. - The effects on local capacity to do other work (e.g., fuels treatments, planning, NEPA, other forest work) are unknown and must be estimated. - The model has the advantage of knowing ahead of time the number of firefighters needed for a particular fire. In reality, that number is not known until an aircraft reaches a fire and is able to evaluate the conditions. - Process limitations include inability to include all regions, state representation, and line officer participation in the Team composition. - The recommendations are based solely on capabilities of the FS and do not evaluate interagency contributions to requirements. - Model address not only the initial attack, but also the on-going and additional support provided to emerging fires and long duration fires, including wildland fire use. The model addresses this through a “utilization factor,” which apportions the FOR/Exclusive use rate based on historical time spent on ADFF, versus the time spent on other missions. For helicopters, the utilization rate was 52%; for fixed-wing, the utilization rate was 73%. For future use platforms, if the model considered contracts, a utilization rate of 95% was used based on utilization rates of current contracted smokejumper aircraft. - For a percentage of the initial attack responses for which the initial attack response determined a bucket was desirable, the Team forced a bucket response U.S. Forest Service 9 ADFF Study to capture the versatility of the helicopter platform and to maintain a reasonable balance between fixed-wing and rotor-wing ADFF resources. - The Study Team only looked at the fires that had a historical response with ADFF. - The results only reflect the cost of the ADFF initial attack portion of the program; however, aircraft and personnel are used in other roles, and thus total program costs may not be accurately reflected. 3.3 Model Runs The model conducts in-depth calculations for ADFF fire response (using hourly, daily, and annual costs) to determine the cost of responding to fires from all available bases. The model attributes base, aircraft, and personnel costs (on a per flight basis) to all ADFF flights. Using the data in the model, the lowest cost response that meets the needs of each fire is selected. The variables are refined by subject matter experts, and the model is re-run until results have stabilized to generate feasible and realistic responses. The model was initially run using Fiscal Year 2006 data only in order for the Team to carefully review the outputs, identify anomalies, and make changes as necessary. By running the single, most recent year, the Team could compare the model results to what the actual responses were to identify significant differences. One of the most important results of this initial run was the review of the cost data for bases and aircraft. This run allowed the Team to identify the discrepancies in the operation and maintenance and major maintenance costs, and to look for alternative sources for the same data. As a result, the costs used for this category are more equal and reliable. The Team also looked at aircraft selected by the model to determine if these choices were realistic. Once the initial results for 2006 were reviewed by the Team, the model was run using all nine fiscal years. The results were provided to the Team, who once again reviewed and evaluated the model outputs. Based on a consensus by the Team, the commercial airports, with the exception of Angelina County, were removed from the database, and the model was run again. A summary of the outputs from the last model run are provided in Attachment 10. Additionally, a comparison between Fiscal Year 2006 and the model outputs for both platforms and bases is provided in Attachment 11. 3.4 Output Analysis The results generated by the model identified several areas for the FS to implement more cost-effective and strategic approaches to ADFF. Specifically, the data indicated the current smokejumper locations are not optimal for the responding to the fires of the past nine years. By minimizing the number of full smokejumper bases, which have significant infrastructure and operating costs, while maximizing spike bases and proximity to probable fires, the FS would be able to operate in a more cost-effective manner. This is similar to the approach currently utilized by BLM. The model outputs indicate the FS could close one or more smokejumper bases without a significant impact. U.S. Forest Service 10 ADFF Study The model outputs place the ratio of smokejumper missions to helitack/rappel missions at nearly one-to-one (50/50). Based on their professional judgment, the Team felt this was a reasonable ratio. The effectiveness of the smokejumper program and the versatility of the helicopter program compliment each other very well. The Team also evaluated the location of helicopter operations and how potential locations, consolidations, and closures would impact the FS’s response to fires. For example, the Team took into consideration interagency agreements, locations relative to other consolidations or closures, and terrain. 3.5 Costs A cost comparison of the nine fiscal years is provided in Attachment 11. The tables in this attachment compare the model results using all potential platforms and bases versus results using only the current platform types (Fiscal Year 2006) and bases (excluding Angelina County Airport). The model demonstrates a minimum average annual savings of $545,380 based on platform selection. This number is a minimum because the results based on current platforms are idealized by the model, and are not the actual responses by the FS in Fiscal Year 2006. Additional savings would result from any base closures/changes implemented based on the model results. The model allocates aircraft cost on a per-flight basis, with the total aircraft costs identified as discussed in Section 2.1.1.3. One factor that impacts the costs of aircraft is whether the platform can be used for purposes outside of ADFF. These multi-use aircraft typically have a lower cost per flight in the model. As a result, aircraft like the Sherpa become more costly and less feasible for the FS because they are mostly used for smokejumper operations. The use of multi-purpose aircraft for ADFF results in more flexibility for the FS, as well as better utilization of aircraft throughout the year. The overall cost to the FS is also reduced because they are multi-purpose and can be used throughout the year, rather than remaining idle during the non-fire seasons. 4 Recommendations and Alternatives The Study Team recognized the model provided the ideal or most economic solution; however, real-life operations, costs, and feasibility of implementing recommendations also needed consideration. In order to ensure the recommendations to the Chief are the best possible alternatives for the FS, the Team looked at the significant deviations from the current operations, as well as the affects any of these changes would have on FAM work, delivery, effectiveness, interagency relationships and cooperative agreements, and political and public relationships. The results of this study include several alternatives for FS Leadership developed by the Study Team, as well as a model that can be updated with new fire data to identify and support future recommendations. Each alternative considers efficiencies related to the following: reducing the number of base locations and required facilities; reducing administrative and management costs; improving platform standardization (operational protocol efficiencies); and reducing aviation fleet costs. The recommendations and alternatives include: U.S. Forest Service 11 ADFF Study - Total Mobility Concept: Resources are located and allocated through a centralized decision point, and free to move to any location and priority in the country. - Regional Concept: A focused alternative where Regions maintain responsibility to staff and plan ADFF resources according to local need, and in view of inter-Regional responsibilities. - Inter-Regional Concept: Base locations and ADFF resources are shared by adjacent Regions. The Team developed guiding principals and attributes to assist with refining these alternatives. The Team was also able to review the current organizations and practices, and used the modeling results to both reflect new ways of doing business and determine alternative approaches to deliver aerial firefighters. The Team found the evaluation of this single aspect for fire management response (independent of other resources and programs) challenging. Models can only do so much and reasonable planning assumptions are hard to define. Although the Team did not embrace each specific output of the model, the data did provide the Team with a new and different perspective for considering alternatives. For example, the inclusion of new types of aerial platforms in the model showed positive results in terms of cost and efficiency, and can continue to be a consideration for the future. The alternatives developed by the Study Team include changing the role of some bases, establishing a new base, and the retirement of other bases. These changes should be implemented over a period of time, and cannot be done independently. Furthermore, alternatives that display significant change may require further information or analysis, while those alternatives with minimal change may be implemented immediately. Also, based on the time constraint and scope of the project, the alternatives do not include an evaluation of the anticipated effects of the changes on the entire spectrum of FAM work (e.g., large fire support, interagency cooperation, and hazardous fuels accomplishments), the overall FS mission, interagency relationships and cooperation, and political and public relationships. The following provides additional detail on the process, alternatives, and results. A summary of the Study Team’s recommendations is also provided in Attachment 12. 4.1 Alternative #1: Total Mobility Concept 4.1.1 Overview The Total Mobility Concept uses a centralized decision point to place, move, and allocate ADFF resources. These resources can be moved to any location in the country to meet the priorities and demands of each Region. This concept utilizes existing permanent bases where little infrastructure investment is required, but also as close in proximity to workload as possible. Since the workforce is concentrated at these locations, the bases are large enough to accommodate both personnel and aircraft. The Total Mobility Concept also utilizes satellite bases during periods of high activity. These satellite bases are not intended to be operated year-round, but have U.S. Forest Service 12 ADFF Study sufficient infrastructure to support ADFF needs, and are used for a longer period of time than spike bases. This alternative provides the closest to a “boundary-less” operation and allocation of ADFF resources. 4.1.2 Guiding Principles There are several guiding principles for the Total Mobility Concept. First, there is an advantage to having permanent bases located centrally to high fire activity areas, but this is secondary to taking advantage of existing bases exhibiting attributes necessary to support the concentration of workforce and aircraft. Second, Regional and GACC boundaries and operating protocols do not impeded the allocation of these resources. Since this is a total mobility approach, resources can be allocated among and within Regions and GACCs. Third, satellite base operations exhibit a light footprint and do not require additional administrative support, infrastructure development, or other investments. 4.1.3 Attributes The Total Mobility Concept may require the development of protocols and systems to ensure deployment and allocation meet the intent of the alternative. The ADFF assets provided in the “Summary Base Management Details” spreadsheet were used as the starting point for the analysis of this alternative. The grouping of primary and satellite bases is based on workload (missions), geographic orientation, and logistical considerations (support to satellite bases from the primary base), seasonality, aircraft capability, and existing infrastructure. Seasons are based upon the timing and concentration of missions within each grouping, derived from the fire occurrence database. Aircraft number and mix are identified based on model outputs (missions) specific to the use of large and small capacity aircraft (smokejumper platforms) or helicopter types, and the associated capability common or prevalent within each grouping. 4.1.4 Solution 4.1.4.1 Smokejumper Operations Model outputs identify Winthrop, West Yellowstone, Grangeville, Silver City, Fresno, and San Bernardino as the high-mission bases; however, the Team followed the principle established for this alternative that permanent bases would be located where little additional infrastructure investment was required, and as proximate to the workload as possible. Therefore, the Team identified Missoula, McCall, and Redding as the most logical primary bases. The Study Team then applied the alternative attributes and identified satellite bases for each. The recommended primary bases and groupings of satellite bases are as follows: Redding Fresno U.S. Forest Service McCall Grangeville 13 Missoula West Yellowstone ADFF Study San Bernardino Lufkin, TX Silver City Redmond Ogden Winthrop, WA The Study Team then reviewed the annual average number of missions and core season for each primary base and its satellite bases, and established a number of aircraft for each. The results are expressed in terms of large and small capacity aircraft, rather than identifying specific models. The recommended smokejumper aircraft for each primary base grouping are as follows: Season Total Missions (avg. annual) Missoula May 1 - Sept 15 270.4 McCall June 1 - Aug 30 242.7 Redding Feb 1 - Oct 1 406.8 Primary Base Aircraft 1 - large 3 - small 1 - large 2 - small 2 - large 3 - small In the short term, fleet composition may include current government-owned aircraft year-round, with four contracted aircraft available during the core season of June 1 to Sept 15. Costs This alternative results in no savings over the current configuration. Additionally, this alternative is at least $1.43 million more expensive annually than the model results. Closing smokejumper bases as recommended by the model could save the FS a significant amount annually. For example, closing Redmond, which is part of McCall’s grouping and had low mission count, would save $713,136 annually. The estimated costs for the four largest smokejumper locations are as follows: Base Redding McCall Redmond Missoula Cost $713,304 $701,580 $713,136 $716,244 The aircraft for this alternative (12 fixed-wing aircraft, four large and eight small) are the same as the other two options. 4.1.4.2 Helitack/Rappel Operations For the Total Mobility Concept alternative, a total of 20 helicopter base facilities will be retired. The totals shown below do not include the 41 type I and II national large fire support helicopters; however, fuels helicopters are included if indications are they contribute to initial attack. Normal fire season timeframes apply in terms of activity and staffing. U.S. Forest Service 14 ADFF Study Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Eastern US Group Abingdon, VA 30.8 1 type III Big Swag, KY 35.9 1 type III Ducktown, TN 42.7 1 type II Glassy Mountain, GA 36.3 1 type III Lufkin, TX 38.8 2 type III Mena, AR* 1.3 1 type III Mt. Ida, AR* 5.1 1 type III Ocala, FL 35.0 1 type III Seed Orchard, SC 28.6 1 type III Weyers Cave, VA 16.9 1 type III Cadillac, MI** 2.3 0 Hoosier, IN** 10.8 1 type III Rhinelander, WI** 5.0 0 Ely, MN** 5.1 1 type III Rolla, MO** 31.3 1 type III *Consolidating Mena to Mt. Ida and dropping one helicopter would save $29,302. **Three helicopter bases are shared between five bases. Note: R-9 Bases will continue in the current status. Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Western US Group Ronan, MT 32.1 1 type III Missoula, MT 27.9 1 type III Grangeville, ID 14.4 2 type III West Yellowstone, MT 7.2 1 type II Libby, MT 3.6 1 type III Hamilton, MT 1.7 1 type III Helena, MT* 0.1 0 Hungry Horse, MT* 0.3 1 type III Musselshell, ID* 0.8 0 Shenango, MT* 0.0 0 Coeur D’Alene, ID* 0.0 0 Black Hills, SD 8.8 1 type III U.S. Forest Service 15 ADFF Study Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Durango, CO 10.6 1 type III ** Monument, CO 4.6 1 type III Rifle, CO 4.4 1 type III Ft. Washakie, WY* 0.3 1 type III Payson, AZ 41.4 2 type III Silver City, NM 33.9 1 type III Pittman Valley, AZ 6.7 1 type III Reserve, NM 35.8 1 type III Round Valley, AZ 1.6 1 type III Sandia, NM 5.3 1 type III TA 49, NM 2.6 0 Prescott, AZ* 0.7 1 type III BDI, AZ* 0.3 0 Tucson, AZ* 0.0 0 Challis, ID 2.1 0 Indianola, ID 3.9 0 Krassel, ID 1.3 1 type III McCall, ID 86.6 0 Salmon, ID 1.8 1 type II, 2 type III Ogden, UT 1.3 0 Provo, UT 14.7 3 type III Bridgeport, CA 4.9 1 type III Swan Valley, ID 8.0 1 type III Vernal, UT 1.1 0 Garden Valley, ID* 0.0 0 Lucky Peak, ID* 0.6 1 type II, 1 type III Price Valley, ID* 0.1 2 type II Hailey, ID* 0.1 1 type III Teton, WY* 0.0 2 type III Green Mountain, UT* 0.0 1 type III Pocatello, ID* 0.0 0 Fresno, CA 18.3 0 Keenwild, CA 2.4 1 type III Montague, CA 1.9 0 Quincy, CA 1.6 1 type II Redding, CA 31.1 0 Heaps Peak, CA 3.8 1 type II U.S. Forest Service 16 ADFF Study Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Chuchupate, CA* 0.2 1 type II Trimmer, CA* 0.3 1 type II Chileao, CA* 0.8 1 type II Bald MT, CA* 0.2 1 type II Big Hill, CA* 0.1 1 type II Scott Valley, CA* 0.6 1 type II White Cloud, CA* 0.8 1 type II Independence, CA* 0.2 1 type II Kernville, CA* 0.2 1 type II Klamath River, CA* 0.2 1 type II Trinity, CA* 0.6 1 type II Peppermint, CA* 0.0 1 type II Ramona, CA* 0.0 1 type II Santa Maria, CA* 0.0 0 Santa Ynez, CA* 0.0 1 type II Orland, CA* 0.0 0 Arroyo Grande, CA* 0.0 1 type II *These locations have less than one mission on average. ** The Team proposes adding one helicopter to Durango, CO, which currently has none. The Team proposes moving Musselshell to Grangeville (savings of $85,315), Shenango to West Yellowstone (savings of $195, 334), and dropping Coeur D’Alene (savings of $69,828). 1 The Team also proposes moving BDI to Silver City (savings of $44,731), maintaining Prescott in current status (cost of $237,567), dropping TA 49 (savings of $43,339) and moving both Tucson and a helicopter to Payson (savings of $90,884). This alternative also includes the consolidation of Challis (savings of $26,234 over current and model results) and Indianola (savings of $84,671 over current and model results) to Salmon. The Team also recommends the consolidation of Garden Valley (savings of $69,974) to Lucky Peak (costs of $130,936). The consolidation of Ogden (currently does not have a type III helicopter) to Provo results in a savings of $56,406 over the model results, and consolidating Mountain Green to Provo will save $135,613. The Team recommends moving Trinity (savings of $99,024) and Klamath River (savings of $74,687) into Redding (costs of $56,406 over current), and Kernville (savings of $60,620) to Fresno (costs of $56,406 over current). Bases with less 1 Costs and savings are shown as an estimated annual figure. U.S. Forest Service 17 ADFF Study than one average mission will transition to surge capability and will be located with other helicopter bases. Although the model suggests consolidation of Krassel, McCall, and Price Valley to McCall, the Team suggests the current configuration based on infrastructure (Price Valley costs $187,757). Both Vernal (costs of $43,303) and Teton (costs of $68,042) should remain intact due to interagency commitments. The Team recommends Hailey (costs of $35,604) remain due to its geographic location in proximity to adjacent consolidated bases. Closing Pocatello will save approximately $56,935. Ramona (costs of $44,093) remains intact as a base due to its geographic location and proximity to other bases. The Team also recommends moving Arroyo Grande (savings of $101,130) to Chuchupate, closing Orland (savings of $12,680), and closing San Bernardino (savings of $31,829). The Team recommends consolidating Frazier (savings of $107,274) and Sled Springs (savings of $96,734) to Prineville (costs of $116,021). The Redmond requirements will be met from Prineville base (savings of $56,406 over model). The John Day base remains intact. The Team also recommends moving Wenatchee (savings of $90,758) to Winthrop (costs of $56,406 over current). Lakeview base remains due to interagency component, and Rogue Siskiyou base (costs of $80,321) remains as terrain is not conducive to smokejumping. The closing of Oakridge results in savings of $4,807. The following bases would have no ADFF: Helicopter Bases Average Missions Van Nuys, CA 0.0 Hemet, CA 0.0 Mariposa, CA 0.3 Casitas, CA 0.0 Chester, CA 0.2 San Bernardino, CA 0.0 The Team recommends the following consolidations: Helicopter Bases Move to: Savings Bald Mt. Sacramento $48,138 Big Hill Sacramento $61,177 Scott Valley Sacramento $68,103 Peppermint Sacramento $60,113 White Cloud Chester* $51,261 Heaps Peak $65,493 Hemet $64,663 Santa Maria Mariposa $17,344 Santa Ynez Casitas $40,050 Van Nuys Independence U.S. Forest Service 18 ADFF Study The following become “surge” capability aircraft: Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type John Day, OR 1.7 1 type II Lakeview, OR 3.1 1 type II Winthrop, WA 18.3 0 Redmond, OR 33.2 0 Oakridge, OR* 0.6 0 Prineville, OR* 0.0 1 type III Siskiyou, OR* 0.4 1 type III Wenatchee, WA* 0.9 1 type II, 1 type III Frazier, OR* 0.0 1 type III Sled Springs, OR* 0.0 1 type II Costs The above proposal results in approximately $1.91 million of savings annually over the current configuration, but is at least $997,135 more expensive than ideal model results. 4.2 Alternative #2: Regional Concept 4.2.1 Overview The Regional Concept alternative maintains the current operating and management procedures. Each FS Region will have sufficient bases and capacity to meet anticipated needs within the Region. Additionally, both satellite and permanent bases will be located, staffed, and optimized according to Regional needs. Management of the ADFF resources will also be handled by each Region individually. Within this concept, the Region will have permanent bases located where little additional infrastructure investment is required and in close proximity to workload. Satellite bases are staffed during the periods of high activity, and have sufficient infrastructure to support ADFF resources as needed. Under the Regional Orientation alternative, national mobilization of ADFF resources is secondary to the Regional needs and demands. Sharing of aircraft among Regions will occur as fire seasons migrate. 4.2.2 Guiding Principles The guiding principles for the Regional Orientation alternative include the following. First, successful operation of ADFF on a national basis will require frequent and intensive communication and coordination with Regional FAM. Although the priorities remain within the Region, the FS will still share resources nationally to meet demands during surge periods in other Regions. U.S. Forest Service 19 ADFF Study Second, aircraft contracts or assignments will be nationalized, and will be able to move among Regions to meet the core fire season needs, particularly during surge periods. This concept will be added to and reflected in Regional Operating Plans. However, as mentioned, the priorities will remain within the Region. Third, aircraft type, crew configurations, and base locations are identified and planned to maximize intra-Regional efficiencies and program effectiveness. 4.2.3 Attributes The Regional Concept may require the development of protocols and systems to ensure deployment and allocation meet the intent of the alternative. The ADFF assets provided in the “Summary Base Management Details” spreadsheet were used as the starting point for the analysis of this alternative. Base identification recognizes that inter-Regional support will continue to occur as much as it does today, but is focused on meeting the Regional workload and in view of investments already made today. The grouping of primary and satellite bases is based on workload (missions), geographic orientation, and logistical considerations (support to satellite bases from the primary base), seasonality, and aircraft capability. Seasons are based upon the timing and concentration of missions within each grouping, derived from the fire occurrence database. The aircraft number and mix are identified based on model outputs (missions) specific to the use of large and small capacity aircraft (smokejumper platforms) or helicopter types, and the associated capability common or prevalent within each grouping. 4.2.4 Solution 4.2.4.1 Smokejumper Operations Each region will have a core smokejumper base with satellite base(s) as reflected in the table below. Redding San Bernadino Fresno Lufkin, TX Redmond Winthrop McCall Ogden Missoula Grangeville West Yellowstone Silver City The Study Team reviewed the annual average number of missions and core season for each primary base and its satellite bases, and established a number of aircraft for each. The results are expressed in terms of large and small capacity aircraft, rather than identifying specific models. The recommended smokejumper aircraft for each primary base grouping are as follows: Primary Base Missoula U.S. Forest Service Season Total Missions (avg. annual) Aircraft May 1 - Sept 15 500.5 2 - large 3 - small 20 ADFF Study McCall June 1 - Aug 30 Total Missions (avg. annual) 8.3 Redding Mar 1 - Oct 1 297.4 Redmond June 1 – Sept 15 113.7 Primary Base Season Aircraft 1 - small 1 - large 3 - small 1 - large 1 - small In the short term, fleet composition may include current government-owned aircraft year-round, with four-contracted aircraft being made available during the core season of June 1 to Sept 15. Costs This alternative results in no savings over the current configuration. Additionally, this alternative is at least $1.43 million more expensive annually than the model results. Closing Ogden, or both Ogden and McCall, could result in annual savings of $389,731 or $1,091,035 respectively over current configuration. The estimated costs for the five largest smokejumper locations are as follows: Base Redding McCall Redmond Missoula Ogden Cost $713,304 $701,580 $713,136 $716,244 $389,731 The aircraft for this alternative (12 fixed-wing aircraft, four large and eight small) are the same as the other two options. 4.2.4.2 Helitack/Rappel Operations The helitack operations are the same as shown in Section 4.1.4.2. Costs With all consolidation steps, the approximate savings are $1.91 million annually over the current configuration; however, it is at least $997,135 more expensive than the ideal model results. With no consolidation steps, the proposal is $86,694 more expensive than the current configuration, and at least $3.18 million more expensive than ideal model results annually. 4.3 Alternative #3: Inter-Regional Concept 4.3.1 Overview The Inter-Regional Concept alternative proposes the sharing of base locations and ADFF resources by adjacent Regions. ADFF resources will be managed through a centralized decision point within an inter-Regional group. Thus, coordination will be handled on a Regional, rather than national, level. Each Regional grouping will have a base-level capacity available through the duration of the primary fire season, including shoulder seasons. (Shoulder seasons are defined as periods of time immediately prior and immediately after the primary fire season.) U.S. Forest Service 21 ADFF Study Bases and ADFF resources will be organized at the inter-Regional level, and will be located so as to meet the workload needs of the inter-Regional group. Surgecapacity will be provided through rotation of additional ADFF resources according to historical seasonal peaks (see table below). Regional Group Regions 8,9 Regions 1,2,3,4 Regions 5,6,10 February May X Surge Capacity Timeframe August June - July September X X X X October November X X *Note: Surge timeframes may vary. Consolidation was given to utilize Regional groupings proposed under the Transformation effort. The Study Team chose to identify groupings focused on similar fuels, fire occurrences, and fire season timing. Within these surge periods, the Regional groups identified in the table will operate as a cohesive unit to allocate resources. The priorities for allocation of resources will be evaluated at a group level, rather than by individual Region. 4.3.2 Guiding Principles There are several guiding principles for the Inter-Regional Orientation alternative. First, locating permanent bases in proximity to high fire activity areas within the inter-Regional grouping is advantageous. Second, Regional and GACC boundaries and operating protocols do not impede the allocation of ADFF resources within the inter-Regional groupings. Regions and GACCs will coordinate the allocation of Resources within the groupings, regardless of individual Region priorities. Third, satellite operations will not require additional administrative support, infrastructure development, or other significant investments. Fourth, base-level capacity will provide the core capability to meet the average need on the shoulder seasons, occurring within the inter-Regional grouping. This capacity will be maintained through the duration of the seasons occurring in each interRegional grouping. Surge-level capacity provides peak initial attack response capability within and among each inter-Regional grouping, and is supplemental to base-level capacity. 4.3.3 Attributes The Inter-Regional Concept may require the development of protocols and systems to ensure deployment and allocation meet the intent of the alternative. The ADFF assets provided in the “Summary Base Management Details” spreadsheet were used as the starting point for the analysis of this alternative. Base identification maximizes long-term efficiencies and reduces infrastructure. Current investments are considered, but are secondary to achieving these long-term efficiencies. U.S. Forest Service 22 ADFF Study Grouping of primary and satellite bases is based on workload (missions), geographic orientation, and logistical considerations (support to satellite bases from the primary base), seasonality, and aircraft capability. Seasons are based upon the timing and concentration of missions within each grouping, derived from the fire occurrence database. Aircraft number and mix are identified based on model outputs (missions) specific to the use of large and small capacity aircraft (smokejumper platforms) or helicopter types, and the associated capability common or prevalent within each grouping. 4.3.4 Solution 4.3.4.1 Smokejumper Operations The Study Team reviewed the annual average number of missions and core season for each primary base and its satellite bases, and established a number of aircraft for each. The results are expressed in terms of large and small capacity aircraft, rather than identifying specific models. The recommended smokejumper aircraft for each primary base grouping are as follows: Total Missions (avg. annual) Aircraft Primary Base Regions 1, 2, 3, 4 508.8 2 – large 4 – small Missoula McCall Regions 5,6,8,9,10 411.1 2 – large 4 – small Redmond Redding Regional Group Satellite Base West Yellowstone Grangeville Ogden Silver City Winthrop San Bernadino Fresno Lufkin Costs This proposal results in no savings over the current configuration, and is at least $1.43 million more expensive annually than model results. The proposed aircraft of 12 fixed-wing, four large and eight small, is the same as the other two options. The costs for the four primary smokejumper bases are as follows: Base Cost $713,304 $701,580 $713,136 $716,244 Redding McCall Redmond Missoula Closing Redding and McCall under this configuration would save approximately $1.41 million annually over the current configuration, eliminate one base that is in close proximity to another, and still leave one major smokejumper base with full facilities for each regional group. 4.3.4.2 Helitack/Rappel Operations The helicopter operations are the same as shown in Section 4.1.4.2. U.S. Forest Service 23 ADFF Study Costs With all consolidation steps, the approximate savings are $1.91 million annually over the current configuration; however, it is at least $997,135 more expensive annually than the ideal model results. 5 Recommendation 5.1 Aircraft In order to standardize alternatives for each recommendation, the Team opted to recommend fixed-wing aircraft as either large or small, and rotor-wing aircraft as Type I, II, or III. Attachment 6 of this report contains a listing of all fixed-wing and rotor-wing platforms considered by this model. 5.1.1 Fixed-Wing Platforms As discussed previously, the fixed-wing aircraft considered as viable solutions for this model include all platforms currently used by the agency for smokejumper operations, and all other aircraft currently approved or being considered by the Interagency group known as the Smokejumper Aircraft Screening and Evaluation Board (SASEB). The following table shows the total array of fixed-wing assets recommended as model solutions, correlated with the number of times the model chose that platform as an “optimal solution.” Aircraft Make and Model King Air 200 DHC-6/Twin Otter (Owned) Dash 8 DC-3TP (Owned) Mission Total Per Aircraft Type 729.6 Percentage 79.3% 71.0 66.3 53.1 7.7% 7.2% 5.8% Category Total Percentage Small 800.6 87.0% Large 119.4 13.0% As illustrated in the table above, the model indicated that small aircraft were optimal approximately 87% of the time, and that the King Air 200 was the most economic small aircraft, followed by the Twin Otter. Large aircraft included the Dash 8 and DC-3TP. Although the King Air 200 is an approved smokejumper aircraft, it is not currently used in the smokejumper fleet. This is because the practitioners are inclined to use other comparable platforms that have more internal room and bigger doors for exiting. In addition, the model has the advantage of knowing ahead of time the number of firefighters (and therefore, the size of aircraft) needed for a particular fire, when in reality that number is not known until an aircraft reaches a fire and sizes it up. The Team has considered these operational realities when making the final fixed-wing platform recommendations. Although the model indicates the majority of smokejumper aircraft should be small, the Study Team recommends a more balanced mix of large versus small standard category airplanes to preserve mission flexibility. Opportunities to utilize a large platform for transporting overhead or a crew can achieve benefits for the U.S. Forest Service 24 ADFF Study FS. The Team recommends one third of the fleet be comprised of large smokejumper platforms. The model recommends an aircraft comparable to the King-Air 200 (seating capability, cost, speed, multiple-use considerations) for the mainstay of the smokejumper fleet. However, the Study Team recommends a mix of King Air 200’s and DHC-6 Twin Otters for the small aircraft platform. This provides greater flexibility in back country operations, and the ability to transport two additional firefighters. New, larger smokejumper aircraft should also be introduced into the smokejumper program as practical. Dash 8s or other comparable large aircraft still need to be approved through the SASEB evaluation, but would be a consideration for ADFF operations. Continued use of the DC-3s is viable until these aircraft reach a point where maintenance is no longer economical. Continuing airworthiness programs will be also required for all fixed-wing platforms used in the smokejumper program. Due to the operation and maintenance costs, the Sherpa fleet was not chosen as optimal for any missions, and plans for fleet replacement of these aircraft should be developed and implemented. 5.1.2 Rotor-Wing Platforms Helicopter platforms considered by this model include all models currently in use for aerial delivery of firefighters, as well as several new models not currently used, but approved for use by the Interagency helicopter community (see Attachment 6). The following table represents the total array of standard category helicopter platforms recommended as model solutions, correlated with the number of times the model chose that platform as an “optimal solution.” Aircraft Make and Model 206L-IV-TR AW139 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 212HP SA-330J S-61A Short W/Metal Blades BV-234-LR40 A119 EC-155B1 S-70 S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades S-92A U.S. Forest Service Mission Total Per Aircraft Type 193.6 155.0 149.7 139.9 94.0 Percentage Type 23.6% III 18.9% II 18.3% II 17.1% II 11.5% I 38.0 4.6% 21.6 13.7 7.3 3.9 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 2.0 0.2% 0.9 0.1% 25 I I III II I Total Missions per Type III 207.2 II 451.9 I 160.3 Percentage 25.3% 55.2% 19.5% I I ADFF Study As illustrated in the table above, Type II helicopters are recommended the majority of time at just over 55%, followed by Type III’s at 25%, and Type I’s at approximately 20%. Although the solutions above provide very useful guidelines in terms of the appropriate mix of helicopter types (I, II, or III), they cannot be applied in a literal sense based on the realities of the availability of helicopters (at least in the short-term). For example, though two helos with large percentages of use in the optimal modeled solution happen to be the AW139 and the “Super 205,” there are currently only a few available to the wildland fire community. In reality, comparable substitutions for available helicopter models must be considered. It should be noted that several aircraft in the above table (including the AW139, the second most-often selected helo by the model) are not currently used in the wildland fire community; thus a tremendous opportunity exists to achieve efficiencies not currently realized in the helicopter program. The model mostly selected high performing helicopters, which confirms their economic efficiency. However, as discussed, the availability of some optimal platforms is insufficient, and comparable platforms must therefore be substituted. In addition, current contracting practices do not allow targeting a specific model of aircraft. When soliciting for helicopter services, the FS should target performance parameters indicated by the model. However, specifications should be broad enough to obtain a sufficient number of reasonably priced offers. Platforms currently not in the system, but suggested as efficient, should be integrated into the mix of assets; however, there will be a period of several years needed to adapt some helicopters to specialty delivery programs (e.g., rappel). For purposes of alternative costing, the Study Team recommends using the ratio of helicopter models listed in the platform section, correlated with the mix (percentages) recommended above. 5.2 Smokejumper Program For the smokejumper program, the Study Team recommends the Inter-Regional Concept alternative. Although the model selected specific bases for permanent designation, the Study Team instead chose to designate some of these as satellite bases. In this alternative, three primary bases are converted to satellite bases. Significant expenditures would be required to make non-primary bases operational as main bases with the increased number of aircraft and smokejumpers. Also, some bases are very seasonal in nature and need only to be staffed for short periods. The Team also chose to keep some bases designated by the model for satellite operations as permanent. This helps to ensure that an adequate number of permanent bases exist to support the satellite operations. The Team believes that this alternative has the highest probability of successful implementation; however, consideration must be given to the effects of change on the FS workforce. Consolidation and centralization do not always result in the savings that are shown on paper, as loss of program effectiveness can occur. Even though the model does not consider organizational structure, the Study Team suggests reaffirming centralized National Smokejumper Management. Smokejumpers U.S. Forest Service 26 ADFF Study are a national resource and should be managed and organized consistently across the regions. The Team recommends the standardization of base organizations, with optimum supervisor-to-firefighter ratios, as well as permanent to seasonal workforce ratios. It is important to have a sufficient number of smokejumpers to fill available seats on a seven-day basis. 5.3 Helicopter Program For the helicopter program, the Study Team also recommends the Inter-Regional Concept alternative with some adjustments. With Redmond remaining as a smokejumper base, it may no longer be required to relocate helicopters from eastern Oregon to Prineville. This alternative would relocate 18 to 20 helicopters and crews to new locations, all but one of which are existing helibases. As the Team analyzed results, it became apparent that total mobility is not as achievable for helicopters. The strength of the helicopter is its multiple use capability, as opposed to its range and speed. Therefore, a greater dispersal of helicopters geographically is advantageous. Initial attack helicopters must be managed as a geographic area resource and controlled by the geographic area coordination centers. Consideration must also be given to the effects of change on the FS workforce, as mentioned in the Smokejumper Program section above. The Team recommends the standardization of base organizations, with optimum supervisor-to-firefighter ratios, as well as permanent to seasonal workforce ratios. It is important to have a sufficient number of helitack personnel to fill available seats on a seven-day basis. 6 Conclusion The Study Team’s alternatives provide three viable options for the FS to consider as decisions are made regarding ADFF operations and the most economical and efficient location of bases and aircraft. Although the final recommendation presented by the Team does not follow the ideal model results, the Team carefully analyzed the data and compared the results to what they considered “reality.” The Study Team believes the selected recommendation incorporates the ideal model results into the reality of operations for both helitack and smokejumpers. Additional savings can be achieved if FS Leadership or the Study Team consider more consolidations and closures, or more closely follow the ideal model results. In particular, the Team’s recommendation results in no savings for the FS for smokejumper operations, although the model results indicate the closure of one or more smokejumper bases is feasible with no significant impact. Furthermore, the FS can continue to evaluate the other two alternatives developed by the Team to determine if there is a more costeffective and efficient solution. Going forward, the model developed for this study will be a lasting resource for the FS. This model can be updated to include the latest fire data, and can be re-run as needed to provide current results to the FS. The model can also be updated to include the most U.S. Forest Service 27 ADFF Study recent cost data (e.g., facilities, maintenance, aircraft), and to reflect any changes in the aircraft used by the FS. U.S. Forest Service 28 ADFF Study Attachment 1 Study Principles Objective and Offense: Expression of the purpose of ADFF to meet FS land management goals and the role in the Agency’s resource management capacity. ADFF provides a unique capacity in terms of speed, range, mobility, and versatility, and is a rapid response and support tool. ADFF resources are used to deliver incident leadership and highly skilled personnel to provide quick and accurate situation assessment, determine management needs, provide initial command structure and tactical action, and perform logistical support of extended operations as required. The model will help define locations, aircraft types, and organizations to enhance the efficient provision of these capabilities across the fire management landscape. Unity of Command and Synergy: Expression of the relationship of ADFF to the rest of the Agency’s fire management capacity and how ADFF Assets are integrated seamlessly into overall fire management. The primary uses of ADFF assets are for providing rapid response, initial incident leadership and tactical action, and logistical support to extended operations. Platform types and mix will be designed to enhance the efficient provision of these capabilities and complement the Agency’s other fire management capabilities. The recommended locations, types, and distribution of ADFF assets will take into consideration the overall fire management strategies of the FS. Platforms will also be recommended to maximize utilization of aircraft capacity in performance of both primary and secondary roles of aviation support. Safety and Effectiveness: Expression of the limitations of ADFF in terms of risk versus gain. The use of aircraft in firefighting has a low frequency but high consequence risk of harm to ADFF personnel and aircrews. ADFF is also limited in the number of resources that can respond to emerging incidents, and the effectiveness of this response is dependent upon the specific mission, fire behavior, location, and resistance to control. Use of ADFF is occasionally limited by weather and fire conditions (e.g., turbulence, fog, smoke, etc.). Locations, aircraft types, organizations, and performance expectations will be evaluated within operational effectiveness and constraints and to minimize risk. Focus: Expression of how ADFF assets are prioritized in terms of worksite location. Due to its attributes of speed, range, mobility, and versatility, ADFF provides rapid leadership, response, and support to incidents. The location, mix, and use of aviation resources is influenced by the need to protect at-risk assets and the public’s safety, as well as the expansion of wildland-urban interface areas, highvalue resource areas, and other initial rapid response and command areas. U.S. Forest Service A-1 ADFF Study Speed: Expression of how ADFF assets are prioritized in terms of time imperatives. The need for rapid initial command and response to emerging incidents relative to mission, values at risk, resource benefits, and public safety are key variables in determining location, kind, and number of ADFF assets. Positioning and Reserves: Expression of how ADFF assets are positioned and managed to achieve offense, focus, and speed. The recommended locations, types, and distribution of ADFF resources will support both administrative and operational needs, and will be designed to improve organizational flexibility, agility, mobility, force multiplication, cost efficiency (including infrastructure), logistical support capacity, and command and control effectiveness. The recommendations will also support hierarchal command choices and needs, and will meet fire management objectives beyond the local level. U.S. Forest Service A-2 ADFF Study Attachment 2 Current Base Locations U.S. Forest Service A-3 ADFF Study Attachment 3 How the Model Works The following is a brief synopsis of how the model works. 1. Using a drop down menu, the user selects which fiscal year (FY) he or she desires to analyze on the ADFF Main form. Then, the user selects “Update Response Data” and the model begins to run. 2. For each fire in the database, the model pairs up a fire with all the bases that can respond to it, based on the distance between the base and the fire. To allow for refueling after attacking the fire, a range equal to the maximum range of the aircraft type (SJ or Helo) at the base is used as a cutoff. 3. If two fires are within 50 nautical miles (NM) and two hours (discovery date) of one another, the model “bundles” them so that they can be attacked together. 4. The model then looks at all the fire and base couplings, and determines which aircraft from the list can attack each fire from each base to which it has been coupled. This determination is based on: a. Aircraft type (SJ or Helo; has to match the base type) b. Aircraft range has to be great enough to reach the fire from the base c. The number firefighters that can be delivered by the aircraft, at the appropriate elevation (higher of fire or base), has to meet or exceed the firefighters needed by the fire As an aircraft-base-fire grouping is selected, the cost of that response is determined based on the cost data included in the model. The model now has a listing of all firebase combinations and all possible aircraft responding within those combinations. 5. Next, using similar criteria, the model evaluates if each of the fire bundles (two fires each) can be attacked from a base-aircraft combination. If so, the two fires are removed from the list generated in step 4, as they will be responded to in this “bundled” manner. The firefighter number required by the “bundle” is equal to the sum of the firefighter numbers required by each of the individual fires. 6. At this point, the model has a list of the most cost-effective options. However, capacity constraints (number of aircraft and personnel available) have been established at each base based on data calls to those bases. The capacity constraints work as follows: a. For each day (Julian Day), fires are responded to chronologically, using the lowest-cost option. Once a fire response is initiated, the aircraft available at the base are decreased by one, and the number of firefighters available at the base are decreased by the number firefighters required at the fire (both are restored the next day). b. If a base reaches zero aircraft or zero personnel, and there are still lowest-cost options at other bases for that day, the next lowest-cost option at a different base will be selected, until the model reaches a base that has enough capacity U.S. Forest Service A-4 ADFF Study (personnel and aircraft). These options are all selected from the responses generated in steps 4 and 5. c. Finally, if a certain aircraft position at a base has flown for over seven hours, it will not be restored until the next day. This ensures aircraft are not flying for more than 49 hours per week, which approximates to the six days, eight hours max, one day off rule. 7. Once the model has finished responding to as many fires as capacity constraints allow, response tables and forms are generated for use in decision-making. 8. A series of queries is then executed that modifies two input variables based on the outputs of the previous model run, in order to increase the accuracy of the cost calculations. These queries are run by the form “Refine Responses,” and they average the field corresponding to the number of annual flights a base is expected to have (starts at 250) with the actual model flights calculated for that base, and the field corresponding to the number of annual flights an aircraft is expected to have (starts at 100) with the actual model flights calculated for that aircraft (capped at 100 for fixedwing, 50 for helos). 9. After the responses have been “refined,” the model needs to be run again with the new assumptions in place, which makes the costs calculated in that run closer to the actual costs that would exist as a result of that model run. This refinement is done until the variation in total costs from one run to the next is negligible (<0.5 %). 10. The “Refine Responses” form also generates a table of all platforms with their response counts, and all bases with their response counts, for that run. Further queries can be run that determine the total cost of all responses and the total number of fires attacked by that model run. 11. Once the model is “fully refined,” a series of queries generates a table that shows platform response counts by base, including the timeframe during which the each platform has responses in the model, for use in assigning aircraft to bases. U.S. Forest Service A-5 ADFF Study Attachment 4 Data Sources Data Rotor-wing aircraft currently in use Rotor-wing aircraft not currently in use Fixed-wing aircraft currently in use Fixed-wing aircraft not currently in use Fire database Source Comments Two separate efforts and data files. Brad Gibbs Jon Rollens, Don Bell Compiled and completed by Jon Rollens with information obtained from contractors. Compiled and completed by Don Bell. Jon Rollens, Don Bell Compiled and completed by Don Bell Initial Attack Responses FIRESTAT system, Neal Hitchcock Neal Hitchcock, Grant Beebe Fire Categories Study Team Commercial Airport List Neal Hitchcock, Don Bell Base Data Individual bases/regions From Forest Service .raw files provided on CD. All fires prior to FY 1998 were deleted. Identified and then assigned to respective fire categories. Based on size class, fire intensity level, and fuel model. Categories were identified by the Team and refined by Neal Hitchcock and Grant Beebe. Provided by Neal Hitchcock and refined by Don Bell. From data call forms and INFRA. U.S. Forest Service Jon Rollens A-6 ADFF Study Attachment 5 Data Collection Forms ADFF Study Data Call: Helitack/Rappel Base Form City: State: Base Name: Latitude: Longitude: Class of Airspace: Elevation: Runways: Length(s) of Runways: Helitack/Rappel Complement: Additional Capacity: Appointed: Seasonal: Helitack/Rappel Personnel: Aircraft: Aircraft: Base Purpose (single vs multi-purpose, etc.): Detailed Base Description: Facility Purpose Sq Ft Year of Construction Major Equipment Note: Exclude Aircraft costs from all areas of this form. All costs are annual costs for FY 2006 unless otherwise specified. Land Lease (annual cost, acreage, expiration date, renewal cost if known): Annual Cost Acreage Expiration Date Renewal Cost (if known) Annual Base Operating and Maintenance Cost (utilities, housekeeping, food service, etc. as applicable): Supply and Equipment Annual: Fire Replacement: Purchasing Costs: Major Maintenance and Renovation Requirements and Costs (identify both requirement and cost): Facility Requirement Year Required Cost U.S. Forest Service A-7 ADFF Study Administrative costs of supporting Helicopter program (estimated annual hours by pay grade): Position Title Grade Est. Annual Straight Time Overtime Holiday Sunday Hrs. Hours Hrs. Hrs. Hrs. Warehouse and logistical support costs of Helicopter program (estimated annual hours by pay grade): Position Title Grade Est. Annual Straight Time Overtime Holiday Sunday Hrs. Hours Hrs. Hrs. Hrs. Training costs: Training for Support Personnel: * Non-Helo-personnel-conducted training of Helo Personnel: Income from Housing/Rent Payments: Unemployment Costs: Administrative Overhead/Cost Pools (per FTE, identify employing entities): Vehicle Costs: Programmed Miles: OWCP: Completed by: Email: Date: Phone: * Do not include Helitack/Rappel time U.S. Forest Service A-8 ADFF Study Base Name: ADFF Study Data Call: Smokejumper Base Form City: State: Latitude: Longitude: Class of Airspace: Elevation: Runways: Length(s) of Runways: Smokejumper Complement: Appointed: Seasonal: Additional Capacity: Smokejumper Personnel: Aircraft: Aircraft: Base Purpose (single vs multi-purpose, etc.): Detailed Base Description Facility Purpose Sq Ft Year of Construction Major Equipment Note: Exclude Aircraft costs from all areas of this form. All costs are annual costs for FY 2006 unless otherwise specified. Land Lease (annual cost, acreage, expiration date, renewal cost if known): Annual Cost Acreage Expiration Date Renewal Cost (if known) Annual Base Operating and Maintenance Cost (utilities, housekeeping, food service, etc. as applicable): Supply and Equipment Annual: Fire Replacement: Purchasing Costs: Major Maintenance and Renovation Requirements and Costs: Facility Requirement Year Cost Required U.S. Forest Service A-9 ADFF Study Administrative costs of supporting SJ program (by pay grade): Position Title Grade Est. Annual Straight Time Overtime Hours Hrs. Hrs. Holiday Hrs. Sunday Hrs. Warehouse and logistical support costs of SJ program (by pay grade): Position Title Grade Est. Annual Straight Time Overtime Hours Hrs. Hrs. Holiday Hrs. Sunday Hrs. Training costs: Training for Support Personnel: * Non-SJ-conducted training of SJ Personnel: Income from Housing/Rent Payments: Unemployment Costs: Administrative Overhead/Cost Pools (per FTE, identify employing entities): Vehicle Costs: Programmed Miles: OWCP: Completed by: Date: Email: Phone: * Do not include Smokejumper time U.S. Forest Service A-10 ADFF Study Attachment 6 Platforms The following are the current fixed-wing and rotor-wing aircraft in use by the Forest Service: Aircraft Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ SJ SJ SJ SJ Manufacturer Make/Model Aerospatiale Aerospatiale Bell Bell Bell Bell Bell Boeing Sikorsky Sikorsky AS-350B-2 W Sand Filter AS-350B-3 W/Sand Filter 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP 214ST 407 BV-234-LR40 S-58T-PT6-6-STC S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades Sikorsky Construcciones Aeronauticus S.A (CASA) DeHavilland* Dornier Douglas** Shorts Brothers C-212-CC N109BH DHC-6/Twin Otter D228-202 DC-3TP C23/Sherpa *Both owned and contracted. **Currently owned; contracted option is considered. The following are the fixed-wing and rotor-wing aircraft approved by the Forest Service, but not currently in use: Aircraft Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo U.S. Forest Service Manufacturer Make/Model Aerospatiale Agusta Agusta Bell Bell Bell Eurocopter Eurocopter Eurocopter Eurocopter McDonnell Douglas McDonnell Douglas McDonnell Douglas Sikorsky Sikorsky Sikorsky SA-330J A119 AW139 222UT 412 412HP EC-130B4 EC-135 T2+ EC-145 EC-155B1 MD600N MD900 with the PW 206 A MD902 with the PW 207 E S-70 S-76C+ S-92A A-11 ADFF Study Aircraft Type SJ SJ SJ SJ SJ SJ SJ Manufacturer Make/Model Beech Craft* Beech Craft* Casa Cessna DeHavilland Douglas** Pilatus 200 B90 235 208 Dash 8 DC-3TP (Contracted) PC12 *Considered both owned and contracted. **Currently owned; contracted option is considered. U.S. Forest Service A-12 ADFF Study Attachment 7 Commercial Airport Analysis The model was run using commercial airports with the 2006 fire season data. The following shows how the model was refined to generate the most feasible and economic response. 1. All airports with runways greater than 4,000 feet and Jet A fuel were classified as both smokejumper and helibases. All airports with runways less than 4,000 feet and Jet A fuel were used as helibases. These two scenarios were run against one another in the model. 2. Airports with fewer than 6 responses (i.e., closest to fewer than 6 fires in 2006) were deleted from the list. 3. All airports with runways between 3,000 and 4,000 feet and with Jet A fuel were entered as smokejumper bases and run against the previous entries in the model. 4. Any of these airports with fewer than 6 responses were deleted from the list. 5. All airports with runways greater than 4,000 feet and no Jet A fuel were entered as both smokejumper and helibases. All airports with runways less than 4,000 feet and no Jet a fuel were entered as helibases. The model was run again with these entries. 6. Any of these airports with fewer than 6 responses were deleted from the list. 7. All remaining airports with runways between 3,000 and 4,000 feet and no Jet A fuel were entered as appropriate, and the model was run again. 8. Any of these airports with fewer than 6 responses were deleted from the list. 9. All United States FS bases from the model were entered into this earlier, closestbase-determining version, and the model run again. 10. Any of the remaining airports with fewer than 6 responses were deleted from the list. 11. The output from this analysis was used to determine which commercial airports were included in the final model based on construction costs and number of responses. U.S. Forest Service A-13 ADFF Study Attachment 8 Initial Attack Scenarios 1. 2 firefighters – no support 2. 2 firefighters + 2 more – no support 3. 2 firefighters + 2 more, bucket support (300 gallon bucket or 1 additional firefighter) 4. 2 firefighters + 4 more – no support 5. 2 firefighters + 4 more, bucket support (300 gallon bucket or 1 additional firefighter) 6. 2 firefighters + 4 more, retardant 7. 2 firefighters + 4 more, retardant, bucket support (600 gallon bucket or 2 additional firefighters) 8. 2 firefighters + 6 more – no support 9. 2 firefighters + 6 more, retardant 10. 2 firefighters + 6 more, retardant, bucket support (600 gallon bucket or 2 additional firefighters) 11. 2 firefighters + 8 more – no support 12. 2 firefighters + 8 more, retardant 13. 2 firefighters + 8 more, retardant, bucket support (900 gallon bucket or 3 additional firefighters) 14. 2 firefighters + 10 more – no support 15. 2 firefighters + 10 more, retardant 16. 2 firefighters + 10 more, retardant, bucket support (1200 gallon bucket or 4 additional firefighters) Additional iterations add multiple helicopter support drops and perhaps multiple retardant drops in scenarios 13-17. U.S. Forest Service A-14 ADFF Study Attachment 9 Data Clean-Up The following outlines the steps taken to convert the raw data provided by the Forest Service into usable data for the model. 1. All fires occurring prior to CY 1997 were deleted. The total number of fires in the ten year database is 92,348. 2. Fields that were blank or not necessary for the modeling effort were deleted. (Note: Any fields deleted that were used for filling in blank data were deleted after they were used): PCHA_Fire_ID Local_Fire_Number BLM_Unit_ID SO_Number, County_Code District_Num Region_Num Protection_Agency Ownership_At_Origin Dispatch_Date Second_Action_Date Declared_Wildfire_Date Contained_Date Township Quarter_Township Range Quarter_Range Section SubSection Meridian_Code Lat_Long_Source_ID Slope_Describe BLM_Slope_Code Elevation_Code Topo_Landform_Code Report_Cause Gen_Cause_Num Spec_Cause_Num People_Cause_Num Local_Veg_Cover_Type Fuel_At_Org Map_On_File Data_Source FMAZKC FMAZGIS FMAZManual FMAZUsed FMAZ RLGIS RLManual RLUsed RL NFDRSGIS NFDRSFMManual NFDRSFMUsed NFDRSFM Herb_AnnualKC Herb_AnnualGIS Herb_AnnualManual Herb_Annual Station_IDKC Station_IDManual Station_IDUsed Station_ID Station_Date FILCalc FILManual FILUsed FIL ROS ROSWx ROSFIL ROSROS Remarks DiscJulian Agency_Acres_Burned ProtectionForOther_Acres Other_Acres_Burned Topography Agency Unit NIFMIDStatusID Fire_Intensity_Source Admin_Unit Disc_Year Fire_Number NIFMIDAcres FMUID SensitivityPeriod DH Report_Unit FMUIDManual U.S. Forest Service A-15 ADFF Study FMUIDGIS ProtectionType ExcludeDup FPAUse WFMI_ID WFMI_Org WFMI_Unit WFMI_UnitID DATUM FireCode 3. All duplicate fires two acres or larger were deleted. Duplication was determined by finding fires where every column was identical, excluding KC Fire ID. If entries had identical KC fire ID, these were also deleted as duplicates, as long as the other data was the same between the two entries. 4. Missing Latitude and Longitude information was filled in by interpolating that information from fires with the same Forest Number, State, Range, Quarter Range, Section, and Subsection. 5. Latitude and Longitude were changed to decimal format by adding Latitude/Longitude degrees, Minutes/60, and Seconds/3600, so that distance could be easily determined. 6. Some fire classifications were determined to require one of two potential initial response scenarios. In these cases, the different fuel models (FM) - within the categories of Grass, Shrub, Timber, and Slash - were analyzed to determine which FMs/combinations of FMs would add up to half of the total fires within each category. One initial response was then assigned to the FMs that accounted for one half of the fires in the category, and the other initial response was assigned to the other half of the FMs. 7. There were 260 fires with blank or incorrect FMs. These fires were given an FM of A because it is by far the most prevalent. 8. There were 730 fires with a Fire Intensity Level (FIL) of 0; these were assigned an FIL of 1. 9. There were three fires with no state assigned. The state was determined based on Forest Number, Latitude, and Longitude. 10. All fires where the protection agency was not Forest Service (USFS, FS, or blank) were deleted. This Study includes the assumption that the Forest Service lends resources to DOI fires as much as DOI lends resources to FS; therefore only FS fires will be included. 11. Ignition Date years were changed to match the year of other date fields for 10 fires indicated as burning across multiple years 12. Blanks in Fire Out Date were filled in as follows: a. If Control Date field was not blank, Fire Out Date = Control Date. b. If Control Date field was blank, but the fire was not escaped and suppression costs were less than $30,000, Fire Out Date = First Action Date. c. If First Action Date field was blank, but the fire was not escaped and suppression costs were less than $10,000, Fire Out Date = Discovery Date. U.S. Forest Service A-16 ADFF Study d. If Suppression Costs were >$30,000 and the fire was not escaped, used the typical time interval between Control Date and Fire Out Date for fires with similar Sizeclass and Total Acres Burned. e. If the fire was escaped, used twice the typical interval for fires with similar Sizeclass and Total Acres Burned, or if there were other similar escaped fires, used similar interval to those. 13. Blanks in the Ignition Date field were filled in with Discovery Date field. 14. Blanks in the Prescribed Fire field were filled in with N (assumed that all prescribed fires would be properly documented). 15. Blanks in the Escaped Fire Field were filled in as follows: a. If Prescribed Fire field = Y, Escaped Fire field = N. b. If Suppression Cost < $100,000 or Control Date was within 2 days of Discovery Date, Escaped Fire field = N (based on similar fires in database). c. If Suppression Cost < $1M and Control Date was within 2 days of Discovery Date, Escaped Fire field = N. d. Otherwise, Escaped Fire field = Y. 16. Blanks in the Control Date field were filled in as follows: a. If not escaped and Suppression Cost was not over $30,000, Control Date = First Action Date. b. If no First Action Date, not escaped, and Suppression Cost was not over $10,000, Control Date = Discovery Date. c. If Suppression Cost > $30,000 but not escaped, used typical time interval between First Action Date and Control Date for fires with similar Sizeclass, Total Acres burned, and that were not escaped. d. If fire was escaped, Control Date was equal to date and time exactly in between First Action Date and Fire Out Date, if those fields were not blank. Otherwise, used similar fires as above, but escaped fires instead of fires that were not escaped. 17. Blanks in the First Action Date field were filled in as follows: a. If Suppression Cost > $0, First Action Date = Discovery Date. b. Otherwise left blank (assumed no first action taken). 18. A list of response codes for all fires from 1997-2006 was received, and from that, a list of all fires that received an ADFF response in those years was generated. The model runs only on those fires which had an ADFF response, and the proportion of response (# of firefighters in the model) is proportional to the historical ADFF response proportions. 19. Several fields from the base responses that should be attributed to the firefighters themselves and not the bases were identified. They are: Annual Fire Replacement Costs, Administrative Costs, Logistical Costs, Training Costs, Unemployment U.S. Forest Service A-17 ADFF Study Costs, Cost Pools, and OWCP. These costs were used to create an annual cost per firefighter for both SJ and Helo personnel, which was applied based on base type. 20. Data provided by subject matter experts and bases (where information submitted was judged to be accurate) was used to generate administrative and logistical costs per firefighter, for both SJ and Helo personnel. This data was used instead of the actual submitted data, which was too varied to be accurate. 21. The Study Team determined the annual operation and maintenance (O&M) and major maintenance costs submitted by the bases were not accurate for use in the model. Therefore, this information was pulled data from the INFRA database for each base (all SJ bases were found), and a percentages of CRV used to determine more accurate O&M costs. Deferred maintenance costs for base facilities were used as the major maintenance costs. For helibases which did not have data in INFRA, an average value across all helibases based on reported square footage was used. 22. Since the model assigned a higher volume of flights to Grangeville, the barrack facilities increased by 50% (40 personnel -> 60 personnel), and O&M and major maintenance costs also increased accordingly. 23. The firefighter delivery capacities for helicopters were increased in proportion to the number of gallons in the bucket using the following formula: 300 gallons = 1 firefighter. U.S. Forest Service A-18 ADFF Study Attachment 10 Model Outputs Bases Missions Base Type SJ SJ SJ SJ SJ SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Base Name Grangeville Air Center West Yellowstone Fresno Air Attack San Bernardino North Cascade Smokejumper Base Silver City McCall Ducktown Payson Helibase Lufkin Glassy Mtn Big Swag Reserve Ocala ANGELINA COUNTY Silver City Redmond Ronan Rolla Region 5 Smokejumpers Abingdon Seed Orchard Missoula North Cascade Smokejumper Base Fresno Air Attack Weyers Cave Provo Helibase Grangeville Air Center U.S. Forest Service FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average 289 217 9 270 290 116 302 303 301 233.0 205 191 207 113 111 105 188 146 84 165 182 159 131 110 73 233 161 102 229 147 125 133 164 111 18 143 46 157.2 150.6 112.4 131 11 186 111 78 167 94 78 155 112.3 117 81 40 78 11 6 48 43 1 114 69 36 45 12 5 35 29 11 96 91 57 42 42 63 41 23 71 115 76 2 47 8 21 7 41 14 110 79 88 35 84 99 47 45 76 99 62 0 7 1 0 11 29 8 140 110 40 46 70 37 35 73 24 95 90 121 43 118 96 95 1 107 99 121 0 30 3 0 4 38 3 109.4 86.6 42.7 41.4 38.8 36.3 35.9 35.8 35.0 7 8 68 17 67 1 58 82 0 34.2 34 45 58 15 15 11 12 36 20 17 30 64 50 23 27 31 15 43 11 29 33 63 17 7 65 7 52 38 52 35 31 55 21 55 51 7 33.9 33.2 32.1 31.3 38 5 42 44 14 56 25 45 11 31.1 19 0 19 31 16 33 33 55 20 1 0 43 78 69 10 0 3 10 32 17 34 83 97 56 0 0 26 30.8 28.6 27.9 15 6 36 16 17 15 18 20 22 18.3 41 14 26 0 20 11 18 13 16 23 2 14 4 42 4 17 1 43 9 13 14 33 47 3 20 0 1 18.3 16.9 14.7 19 5 7 41 0 0 17 19 22 14.4 A-19 ADFF Study Missions Base Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Base Name FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average Hoosier Helibase Durango Black Hills Swan Valley West Yellowstone Pittman Valley Sandia Helibase Ely Air Attack Base Mt Ida Rhinelander Helibase Bridgeport Helibase Ogden Spike Monument Rifle Indianola Heaps Peak Libby Helibase McCall Lakeview TA-49 Helibase Keenwild Cadillac Helibase Challis Montague Moyer Hamilton Helibase John Day Quincy Round Valley Redmond Mena Ogden Spike Krassel Vernal Helibase Wenatchee Missoula Smokejumper Base Chilao Musselshell Work 2 1 13 11 0 19 8 0 3 1 5 3 0 1 4 32 0 8 20 25 7 0 0 5 0 1 12 1 26 10 2 35 4 0 0 5 23 5 12 15 1 5 0 0 17 0 3 9 7 8 21 7 1 0 16 30 22 24 17 1 1 16 0 34 0 0 13 3 1 0 15 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 13 1 10.8 10.6 8.8 8.0 7.2 6.7 5.3 5.1 5.1 14 14 5 2 6 0 1 0 3 5.0 0 8 22 0 0 32 3 0 0 23 5 0 7 3 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 11 0 12 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 0 7 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 14 3 0 4 2 5 5 7 0 7 3 0 0 3 3 0 4 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 11 7 1 37 3 0 0 0 1 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 10 0 0 0 0 2 1 12 0 0 6 0 4 0 0 2 1 0 9 0 3 0 0 4 22 1 2 1 9 0 8 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 6 1 3 8 0 0 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 6 1 3 1 0 0 2 0 3 12 0 7 0 0 0 2 1 0 6 0 12 17 0 0 0 0 8 7 4 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 7 0 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.4 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0.9 7 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 2 0.8 0.8 U.S. Forest Service A-20 ADFF Study Missions Base Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Base Name Center White Cloud Prescott Lucky Peak Helibase and Fire Station Oakridge Helibase Scott Valley Trinity Siskiyou Rappel Base BDI Hungry Horse Mariposa Trimmer Ft Washakie Bald Mountain Chester Chuchupate Independence Kernville Klamath River Region 5 Smokejumpers Big Hill Helena Tanker Base Hailey Price Valley Arroyo Grande Casitas Coeur d'Alene Frazier Garden Valley Hemet Shenango Helibase Mt Green Orland Peppermint Pocatello Helibase U.S. Forest Service FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average 0 3 0 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0.8 0.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0.6 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0.4 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 A-21 ADFF Study Missions Base Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Base Name Prineville Helibase Ramona San Bernardino Santa Maria Santa Ynez Sled Springs Teton Interagency Helo Helibase Helo Tucson Helibase Helo Van Nuys Fires with Response Total Fires Attack % Total Cost U.S. Forest Service FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 2210 2222 99.5% $18,994,474 0 0 1379 1401 98.4% $14,782,792 0 0 1851 1981 93.4% $19,717,613 0 0 1930 1947 99.1% $18,083,522 0 0 2057 2246 91.6% $20,989,379 0 0 1555 1559 99.7% $15,514,448 0 0 2311 2433 95.0% $23,436,028 0 0 2595 2866 90.5% $26,421,784 0 0 1487 1492 99.7% $13,171,018 0.0 0.0 1930.55 2016.33 95.7% $19,012,340 A-22 ADFF Study Platforms Missions Make/Model FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average 200 206L-IV-TR AW139 964 254 141 543 122 105 644 214 196 806 195 150 681 214 173 758 139 110 803 206 199 733 252 200 634 146 121 729.6 193.6 155.0 205A1-212rotorT5317A 212HP SA-330J 148 112 140 119 193 104 214 246 71 149.7 134 136 105 78 182 152 86 85 231 117 67 43 145 96 256 139 53 0 139.9 94.0 74 38 0 100 76 61 131 107 52 71.0 55 62 98 0 39 101 69 64 73 36 47 33 93 79 61 70 62 33 66.3 53.1 0 0 0 0 89 0 85 119 49 38.0 33 0 0 0 30 0 0 2 9 0 0 6 32 0 0 0 17 0 0 5 8 0 0 7 38 0 0 7 13 75 66 8 14 48 0 0 21.6 13.7 7.3 3.9 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 12 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 AS-350B-2 W Sand Filter 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 AS-350B-3 W/Sand Filter C-212-CC N109BH C23/Sherpa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 DHC-6/Twin Otter Own Dash 8 DC-3TP Own S-61A Short W/Metal Blades BV-234-LR40 A119 EC-155B1 S-70 S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades S-92A 214ST 222UT 235 407 412 412HP U.S. Forest Service A-23 ADFF Study Missions FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average D228-202 DC-3TP DHC-6/Twin Otter EC-130B4 EC-135 T2+ EC-145 MD600N 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MD900 with the PW 206 A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 MD902 with the PW 207 E PC12 S-58T-PT6-6-STC S-76C+ 200 Own 208 B90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 Make/Model B90 Own Fires with Response Total Fires Attack % 2210 1379 1851 1930 2057 1555 2311 2595 1487 1930.55 2222 99.5% 1401 98.4% 1981 93.4% 1947 99.1% 2246 91.6% 1559 99.7% 2433 95.0% 2866 90.5% 1492 99.7% 2016.33 95.7% Total Cost $18,994,474 $14,782,792 $19,717,613 $18,083,522 $20,989,379 $15,514,448 $23,436,028 $26,421,784 $13,171,018 $19,012,340 Helo Missions 42.3% 44.9% 53.5% 39.1% 54.6% 35.0% 47.2% 58.6% 39.7% 47.1% SJ Missions 57.7% 55.1% 46.5% 60.9% 45.4% 65.0% 52.8% 41.4% 60.3% 52.9% U.S. Forest Service A-24 ADFF Study Base and Platform (Summary Base Management Details) Base Name Abingdon Abingdon Abingdon Abingdon Type Helo Helo Helo Helo City Abingdon Abingdon Abingdon Abingdon Abingdon Helo Abingdon VA Abingdon Abingdon ANGELINA COUNTY ANGELINA COUNTY ANGELINA COUNTY ANGELINA COUNTY Bald Mountain Helo Helo SJ SJ SJ SJ Helo Abingdon Abingdon LUFKIN LUFKIN LUFKIN LUFKIN Long Barn VA VA TX TX TX TX CA Bald Mountain Helo Long Barn CA BDI Big Hill Big Swag Big Swag Big Swag Big Swag Big Swag Big Swag Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Douglas Pollack Pines Somerset Somerset Somerset Somerset Somerset Somerset AZ CA KY KY KY KY KY KY Big Swag Helo Somerset KY Big Swag Big Swag Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills Bridgeport Helibase Bridgeport Helibase Bridgeport Helibase Bridgeport Helibase Bridgeport Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Somerset Somerset Custer Custer Custer Custer Custer Custer Bridgeport Bridgeport Bridgeport Bridgeport Bridgeport KY KY SD SD SD SD SD SD CA CA CA CA CA Bridgeport Helibase Helo Bridgeport CA Bridgeport Helibase Cadillac Helibase Cadillac Helibase Cadillac Helibase Cadillac Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Bridgeport Cadillac Cadillac Cadillac Cadillac CA MI MI MI MI Cadillac Helibase Helo Cadillac MI Cadillac Helibase Helo Cadillac MI U.S. Forest Service State VA VA VA VA A-25 Make/Model 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own DHC-6/Twin Otter Own AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J BV-234-LR40 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-92A SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 S-70 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J Average Missions 9 3.8 5.8 0.4 4.6 0.7 6.6 1.6 9.4 17.7 5.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 7 6.2 10.2 0.1 0.9 0.1 2.7 0.1 8.6 1.1 5.3 1 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 ADFF Study Base Name Challis Challis Challis Challis Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Challis Challis Challis Challis State ID ID ID ID Challis Helo Challis ID Challis Chester Helo Helo Challis Chester ID CA Chester Helo Chester CA Chilao Chilao Chuchupate Chuchupate Ducktown Ducktown Ducktown Ducktown Ducktown Ducktown Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Lacanata Lacanata Gorman Gorman Copperhill Copperhill Copperhill Copperhill Copperhill Copperhill CA CA CA CA TN TN TN TN TN TN Ducktown Helo Copperhill TN Ducktown Ducktown Durango Durango Durango Durango Durango Durango Ely Air Attack Base Ely Air Attack Base Ely Air Attack Base Ely Air Attack Base Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Copperhill Copperhill Durango Durango Durango Durango Durango Durango Ely Ely Ely Ely Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno TN TN CO CO CO CO CO CO MN MN MN MN CA CA CA CA CA CA CA Fresno Air Attack Helo Fresno CA Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Fresno Air Attack Helo Helo SJ SJ SJ Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno CA CA CA CA CA U.S. Forest Service City A-26 Make/Model 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR A119 AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 206L-IV-TR S-61A Short W/Metal Blades BV-234-LR40 SA-330J AW139 BV-234-LR40 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own Average Missions 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 7 6.4 9.4 0.2 4.7 0.4 3 0.3 11.1 3.1 3.1 0.4 2.9 0.7 0.3 0.6 3.4 1 0.1 3.7 3.3 1.2 0.6 7.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 135.9 4.8 1.6 ADFF Study Base Name Fresno Air Attack Ft Washakie Ft Washakie Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Type SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo City Fresno Ft Washakie Ft Washakie Clayton Clayton Clayton Clayton Clayton Clayton Clayton Glassy Mtn Helo Clayton GA Glassy Mtn Glassy Mtn Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Clayton Clayton Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville GA GA ID ID ID ID ID ID Grangeville Air Center Helo Grangeville ID Grangeville Air Center Helo Grangeville ID Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center Hailey Hamilton Helibase Hamilton Helibase Hamilton Helibase Helo SJ SJ SJ SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville Grangeville Hailey Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton ID ID ID ID ID ID MT MT MT Hamilton Helibase Helo Hamilton MT Hamilton Helibase Heaps Peak Heaps Peak Heaps Peak Heaps Peak Heaps Peak Heaps Peak Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Hamilton Lake Arrowhead Lake Arrowhead Lake Arrowhead Lake Arrowhead Lake Arrowhead Lake Arrowhead MT CA CA CA CA CA CA Helena Tanker Base Helo Helena MT Hoosier Helibase Hoosier Helibase Hoosier Helibase Hoosier Helibase Hoosier Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Tell City Tell City Tell City Tell City Tell City IN IN IN IN IN U.S. Forest Service State CA WY WY GA GA GA GA GA GA GA A-27 Make/Model DHC-6/Twin Otter Own AW139 S-70 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-92A SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own DHC-6/Twin Otter Own AW139 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 SA-330J S-61A Short W/Metal Blades 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 Average Missions 8.3 0.2 0.1 4.6 3.9 11.4 0.2 4 0.1 0.6 2.6 0.6 8.4 1.3 6.9 1 0.2 1.3 2 0.6 0.1 1 167.1 18 14 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.1 2.7 0.1 0.3 4.2 1 ADFF Study Base Name Type Hoosier Helibase Helo Tell City IN Hoosier Helibase Hoosier Helibase Hoosier Helibase Hungry Horse Hungry Horse Independence Indianola Indianola Indianola Indianola Indianola Indianola Indianola Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Tell City Tell City Tell City Hungry Horse Hungry Horse Independence North Fork North Fork North Fork North Fork North Fork North Fork North Fork IN IN IN MT MT CA ID ID ID ID ID ID ID Indianola Helo North Fork ID Indianola John Day John Day John Day John Day John Day John Day Keenwild Keenwild Keenwild Keenwild Kernville Kernville Klamath River Klamath River Krassel Krassel Krassel Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo North Fork John Day John Day John Day John Day John Day John Day Keenwild Keenwild Keenwild Keenwild Kernville Kernville Happy Camp Happy Camp Yellow Pine Yellow Pine Yellow Pine ID OR OR OR OR OR OR CA CA CA CA CA CA CA CA ID ID ID Krassel Helo Yellow Pine ID Krassel Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Yellow Pine Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview ID OR OR OR OR OR Lakeview Helo Lakeview OR Lakeview Helo Lakeview OR Lakeview Libby Helibase Helo Helo Lakeview Libby OR MT U.S. Forest Service City State A-28 Make/Model S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 S-92A SA-330J 206L-IV-TR BV-234-LR40 AW139 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 AW139 SA-330J 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A Average Missions 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 ADFF Study Base Name Libby Helibase Libby Helibase Libby Helibase Libby Helibase Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Libby Libby Libby Libby State MT MT MT MT Libby Helibase Helo Libby MT Libby Helibase Lucky Peak Helibase and Fire Station Lucky Peak Helibase and Fire Station Lucky Peak Helibase and Fire Station Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Helo Libby MT Make/Model 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J Helo Boise ID 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 0.1 Helo Boise ID 212HP 0.3 Helo Boise ID AW139 0.1 Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin Lufkin TX TX TX TX TX TX TX 14.8 3.6 5.3 0.2 9.3 0.2 1.4 Lufkin Helo Lufkin TX Lufkin Mariposa Mariposa Mariposa McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Lufkin Mariposa Mariposa Mariposa McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall TX CA CA CA ID ID ID ID ID ID ID McCall Helo McCall ID McCall Helo McCall ID McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall Mena Mena Missoula Missoula Missoula Missoula Missoula Helo Helo SJ SJ SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo McCall McCall McCall McCall McCall Mena Mena Missoula Missoula Missoula Missoula Missoula ID ID ID ID ID AR AR MT MT MT MT MT 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 212HP AW139 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades S-70 SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own 206L-IV-TR EC-155B1 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 U.S. Forest Service City A-29 Average Missions 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 15.3 26.7 13.8 2.3 13.8 4 0.3 3.4 0.3 0.1 6.4 1.6 1 1 1.2 0.1 2.9 7.7 2.3 1 8.8 ADFF Study Base Name Missoula Missoula Type Helo Helo City Missoula Missoula Missoula Helo Missoula MT Missoula Helo Missoula MT Missoula Missoula Missoula Smokejumper Base Missoula Smokejumper Base Missoula Smokejumper Base Montague Montague Montague Montague Monument Monument Monument Monument Monument Monument Moyer Moyer Moyer Helo Helo Missoula Missoula MT MT Make/Model BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades S-70 SA-330J SJ Missoula MT Dash 8 0.6 SJ Missoula MT DC-3TP Own 0.2 SJ Missoula MT DHC-6/Twin Otter Own 0.1 Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Yreka Yreka Yreka Yreka Monument Monument Monument Monument Monument Monument Salmon Salmon Salmon CA CA CA CA CO CO CO CO CO CO ID ID ID 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 1 0.9 0.6 1 0.1 1 0.1 0.2 1 Moyer Helo Salmon ID Moyer Mt Ida Mt Ida Mt Ida Musselshell Work Center Musselshell Work Center Musselshell Work Center Musselshell Work Center Musselshell Work Center North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base Helo Helo Helo Helo Salmon Mt Ida Mt Ida Mt Ida ID AR AR AR 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 SA-330J 206L-IV-TR AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 206L-IV-TR AW139 S-70 Helo Pierce ID 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 0.1 Helo Pierce ID 212HP 0.1 Helo Pierce ID AW139 0.1 Helo Pierce ID BV-234-LR40 0.2 Helo Pierce ID S-61A Short W/Metal Blades 0.2 Helo Winthrop WA 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 1.2 Helo Winthrop WA 206L-IV-TR 4.8 Helo Winthrop WA 212HP 6.2 U.S. Forest Service State MT MT A-30 Average Missions 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.2 0.1 2.3 0.1 0.3 4.8 0.1 0.2 ADFF Study Base Name North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base North Cascade Smokejumper Base Oakridge Helibase Oakridge Helibase Type City State Make/Model Average Missions Helo Winthrop WA A119 1.2 Helo Winthrop WA AW139 1.9 Helo Winthrop WA BV-234-LR40 1.1 Helo Winthrop WA S-61A Short W/Metal Blades 0.3 Helo Winthrop WA SA-330J 1.6 SJ Winthrop WA 200 90.1 SJ Winthrop WA Dash 8 9.2 SJ Winthrop WA DC-3TP Own 5.2 SJ Winthrop WA DHC-6/Twin Otter Own 7.8 Helo Helo Oakridge Oakridge OR OR 0.3 0.1 Oakridge Helibase Helo Oakridge OR Ocala Ocala Ocala Ocala Ocala Ocala Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Tallahassee Tallahassee Tallahassee Tallahassee Tallahassee Tallahassee FL FL FL FL FL FL Ocala Helo Tallahassee FL Ocala Ogden Spike Ogden Spike Ogden Spike Ogden Spike Ogden Spike Ogden Spike Ogden Spike Payson Helibase Payson Helibase Payson Helibase Payson Helibase Payson Helibase Payson Helibase Payson Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ SJ SJ SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Tallahassee Ogden Ogden Ogden Ogden Ogden Ogden Ogden Payson Payson Payson Payson Payson Payson Payson FL UT UT UT UT UT UT UT AZ AZ AZ AZ AZ AZ AZ Payson Helibase Helo Payson AZ Payson Helibase Helo Payson AZ 206L-IV-TR 212HP S-61A Short W/Metal Blades 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A AW139 BV-234-LR40 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own DHC-6/Twin Otter Own 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades U.S. Forest Service A-31 0.1 3.7 6.1 12.4 0.4 2 0.4 3.4 6.4 0.3 0.8 0.2 1.3 2.7 0.6 0.1 7.3 11.1 9.4 0.9 8.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 ADFF Study Base Name Payson Helibase Pittman Valley Pittman Valley Pittman Valley Pittman Valley Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo City Payson Williams Williams Williams Williams Pittman Valley Helo Williams AZ Pittman Valley Prescott Prescott Prescott Price Valley Provo Helibase Provo Helibase Provo Helibase Provo Helibase Provo Helibase Provo Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Williams Prescott Prescott Prescott New Meadows Provo Provo Provo Provo Provo Provo AZ AZ AZ AZ ID UT UT UT UT UT UT Provo Helibase Helo Provo UT Provo Helibase Quincy Quincy Helo Helo Helo Provo Quincy Quincy UT CA CA Quincy Helo Quincy CA Quincy Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Quincy Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond CA OR OR OR OR OR OR OR Redmond Helo Redmond OR Redmond Helo Redmond OR Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Helo SJ SJ SJ Redmond Redmond Redmond Redmond Helo U.S. Forest Service State AZ AZ AZ AZ AZ Average Missions 3 1.2 2.1 1.1 2 OR OR OR OR Make/Model SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A AW139 SA-330J BV-234-LR40 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own Redding CA 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 4.7 Helo Redding CA 206L-IV-TR 8.4 Helo Redding CA 212HP 5.1 Helo Redding CA A119 1.3 A-32 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.1 4.3 0.7 0.1 5.2 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 7 8.4 6.1 2.1 5.4 0.8 0.3 1 0.2 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.9 ADFF Study Base Name Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Region 5 Smokejumpers Reserve Reserve Reserve Reserve Type City State Make/Model Average Missions Helo Redding CA AW139 6.4 Helo Redding CA BV-234-LR40 1.2 Helo Redding CA EC-155B1 0.4 Helo Redding CA Helo Redding CA Helo Redding CA S-70 Helo Redding CA SA-330J SJ Redding CA Dash 8 0.1 SJ Redding CA DC-3TP Own 0.1 Helo Helo Helo Helo Reserve Reserve Reserve Reserve NM NM NM NM 8.9 12.8 1.8 10.2 Reserve Helo Reserve NM Reserve Helo Reserve NM Reserve Rhinelander Helibase Rhinelander Helibase Rhinelander Helibase Rhinelander Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Reserve Rhinelander Rhinelander Rhinelander Rhinelander NM WI WI WI WI Rhinelander Helibase Helo Rhinelander WI Rhinelander Helibase Rifle Rifle Rifle Rifle Rifle Rolla Rolla Rolla Rolla Rolla Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Rhinelander Rifle Rifle Rifle Rifle Rifle Rolla Rolla Rolla Rolla Rolla WI CO CO CO CO CO MO MO MO MO MO Rolla Helo Rolla MO Rolla Rolla Ronan Helo Helo Helo Rolla Rolla Ronan MO MO MT 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A U.S. Forest Service A-33 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades 1 0.3 0.1 2 0.2 0.1 1.8 1.2 1.4 0.3 1.8 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.7 0.3 7.4 6.3 3.4 7.6 0.9 2.1 0.1 3.4 3.9 ADFF Study Base Name Ronan Ronan Ronan Ronan Ronan Ronan Type Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Ronan Ronan Ronan Ronan Ronan Ronan State MT MT MT MT MT MT Ronan Helo Ronan MT Ronan Round Valley Round Valley Round Valley Helo Helo Helo Helo Ronan Springerville Springerville Springerville MT AZ AZ AZ Round Valley Helo Springerville AZ Round Valley San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino Sandia Helibase Sandia Helibase Sandia Helibase Sandia Helibase Sandia Helibase Sandia Helibase Scott Valley Scott Valley Seed Orchard Seed Orchard Seed Orchard Seed Orchard Seed Orchard Seed Orchard Helo SJ SJ SJ SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Springerville San Bernadino San Bernadino San Bernadino San Bernadino Tijeras Tijeras Tijeras Tijeras Tijeras Tijeras Enta Enta Moncks Corner Moncks Corner Moncks Corner Moncks Corner Moncks Corner Moncks Corner AZ CA CA CA CA NM NM NM NM NM NM CA CA SC SC SC SC SC SC Seed Orchard Helo Moncks Corner SC Seed Orchard Silver City Silver City Silver City Silver City Silver City Silver City Silver City Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Moncks Corner Hurley Hurley Hurley Hurley Hurley Hurley Hurley SC NM NM NM NM NM NM NM Silver City Helo Hurley NM Silver City Helo Hurley NM Silver City Silver City Helo SJ Hurley Hurley NM NM U.S. Forest Service City A-34 Make/Model 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own DHC-6/Twin Otter Own 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 SA-330J 206L-IV-TR SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades SA-330J 200 Average Missions 10 4.6 1.2 7.9 0.6 0.4 1.2 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.2 99.3 5.4 3 4.7 1.6 1 0.3 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 3 6.1 8.3 0.4 3.4 0.6 0.7 6 9.4 3 2.6 0.2 10.8 2.3 0.1 0.9 0.4 4.1 109 ADFF Study Base Name Silver City Siskiyou Rappel Base Type SJ Helo Hurley Grants Pass State NM OR Siskiyou Rappel Base Helo Grants Pass OR Siskiyou Rappel Base Swan Valley Swan Valley Swan Valley Swan Valley Swan Valley TA-49 Helibase TA-49 Helibase TA-49 Helibase Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Grants Pass Swan Valley Swan Valley Swan Valley Swan Valley Swan Valley Los Alamos Los Alamos Los Alamos OR ID ID ID ID ID NM NM NM Trimmer Helo Prather CA Trimmer Trinity Trinity Helo Helo Helo Prather Weaverville Weaverville CA CA CA Trinity Helo Weaverville CA Trinity Vernal Helibase Vernal Helibase Vernal Helibase Vernal Helibase Vernal Helibase Vernal Helibase Wenatchee Wenatchee Wenatchee Wenatchee Wenatchee West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Weaverville Vernal Vernal Vernal Vernal Vernal Vernal East Wenatchee East Wenatchee East Wenatchee East Wenatchee East Wenatchee West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone CA UT UT UT UT UT UT WA WA WA WA WA MT MT MT MT MT West Yellowstone Helo West Yellowstone MT West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Helo SJ SJ SJ SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone West Yellowstone Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Weyers Cave MT MT MT MT MT VA VA VA VA U.S. Forest Service City A-35 Make/Model Dash 8 AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 EC-155B1 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR AW139 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 AW139 BV-234-LR40 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP AW139 BV-234-LR40 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J 200 Dash 8 DC-3TP Own DHC-6/Twin Otter Own 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP A119 Average Missions 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.8 1.4 2.3 0.2 1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.2 3 0.3 0.2 0.7 123.3 14.4 8.9 10.6 0.9 4.3 5.9 0.2 ADFF Study Base Name Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Type Helo Helo City Weyers Cave Weyers Cave State VA VA Weyers Cave Helo Weyers Cave VA Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Weyers Cave White Cloud White Cloud White Cloud Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Weyers Cave Grass Valley Grass Valley Grass Valley VA VA VA CA CA CA White Cloud Helo Grass Valley CA White Cloud Helo Grass Valley CA U.S. Forest Service A-36 Make/Model AW139 EC-155B1 S-61A Short W/Metal Blades S-70 S-92A SA-330J 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 206L-IV-TR 212HP S-61A Short W/Metal Blades SA-330J Average Missions 1.3 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 2.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 ADFF Study Attachment 11 Actual Versus Model Comparison Platforms The following table shows a comparison between using current platforms and current plus potential platforms. Make/Model 407 DHC-6/Twin Otter Own AS-350B-2 W Sand Filter 214ST S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades DC-3TP Own 205A1-212rotor-T5317A D228-202 200 206L-IV-TR AW139 SA-330J 212HP Dash 8 BV-234-LR40 Fires with Response Total Fires Attack % Total Cost Helo Missions SJ Missions U.S. Forest Service FY 06 Missions Current & Potential Current Platforms Platforms 504 0 401 74 376 0 303 0 177 140 83 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2172 2222 97.7% $21,467,080 63.3% 36.7% A-37 0 62 148 0 964 254 141 136 134 55 33 2210 2222 99.5% $18,994,474 42.3% 57.7% ADFF Study Bases The following table shows a comparison of the bases when using only current platforms and when potential platforms are included. Base Type Helo SJ SJ Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo SJ Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo U.S. Forest Service Base Name Payson Helibase Fresno Air Attack San Bernardino Grangeville Air Center Grangeville Air Center John Day Ronan Provo Helibase TA-49 Helibase Oakridge Helibase West Yellowstone Monument Challis Pittman Valley North Cascade Smokejumper Base Libby Helibase Montague Big Swag Silver City Reserve Ducktown Heaps Peak Black Hills Swan Valley Bald Mountain Siskiyou Rappel Base Abingdon Durango Weyers Cave Rolla Lufkin Chilao Rhinelander Helibase Missoula Ogden Spike Round Valley Wenatchee BDI Glassy Mtn Chuchupate Mariposa Ely Air Attack Base Prescott Scott Valley A-38 FY 06 Missions Current & Potential Current Platforms Platforms 143 78 127 191 116 207 110 19 109 289 88 1 86 58 85 26 84 23 75 0 74 205 73 22 71 7 63 19 58 131 58 53 48 47 44 40 37 32 30 27 23 19 15 14 13 11 11 9 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 48 117 43 40 32 13 11 0 0 19 1 14 15 11 7 14 19 8 2 0 3 6 2 2 0 3 0 ADFF Study Base Type Base Name Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Helo Mena Musselshell Work Center White Cloud Redmond Ft Washakie Indianola Klamath River Region 5 Smokejumpers Hoosier Helibase Hamilton Helibase Ocala Price Valley Quincy Chester Frazier Garden Valley Helena Tanker Base Prineville Helibase McCall Fresno Air Attack Silver City North Cascade Smokejumper Base Helo Sandia Helibase Helo Keenwild Helo Mt Ida Helo Moyer Helo Trinity Helo Kernville Helo Ogden Spike SJ ANGELINA COUNTY Fires with Response Total Fires Attack % Total Cost U.S. Forest Service A-39 FY 06 Missions Current & Potential Current Platforms Platforms 3 0 3 0 3 0 2 45 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 38 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 81 0 41 0 34 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2172 2222 97.7% $21,467,080 8 5 3 2 2 1 1 7 2210 2222 99.5% $18,994,474 ADFF Study Summary Current Platforms FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average Fires with Response 2172 1322 1716 1895 1925 1530 2184 2406 1474 1847.1 Total Fires 2222 1401 1981 1947 2246 1559 2433 2866 1492 2016.3 97.7% 94.4% 86.6% 97.3% 85.7% 98.1% 89.8% 83.9% 98.8% 91.6% Total Cost $21,034,661 $13,822,285 $17,139,636 $18,264,705 $20,740,275 $14,731,215 $22,402,207 $23,787,947 $15,934,638 $ 18,650,841 Extrapolated Total Cost Attack % $21,467,080 $14,427,672 $18,588,239 $18,653,882 $22,178,068 $15,001,477 $23,785,948 $25,841,937 $16,075,174 $ 19,557,720 Helo Missions 63.3% 61.7% 69.3% 66.7% 67.2% 69.1% 61.1% 71.1% 74.0% 66.9% SJ Missions 36.7% 38.3% 30.7% 33.3% 32.8% 30.9% 38.9% 28.9% 26.0% 33.1% Current and Potential Platforms Fires with Response Total Fires Attack % Total Cost FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average 2210 2222 99.5% 1379 1401 98.4% 1851 1981 93.4% 1930 1947 99.1% 2057 2246 91.6% 1555 1559 99.7% 2311 2433 95.0% 2595 2866 90.5% 1487 1492 99.7% 1930.55 2016.33 95.7% $18,994,474 14,782,792 $19,717,613 $18,083,522 $20,989,379 $15,514,448 $23,436,028 $26,421,784 $13,171,018 $19,012,340 Helo Missions 42.3% 44.9% 53.5% 39.1% 54.6% 35.0% 47.2% 58.6% 39.7% 47.1% SJ Missions 57.7% 55.1% 46.5% 60.9% 45.4% 65.0% 52.8% 41.4% 60.3% 52.9% Cost Comparison Ideal Current Platform Costs – Ideal Model Platform Costs Estimated Minimum Model Savings U.S. Forest Service FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 Average 2,472,606 $(355,120) $(1,129,374) $570,360 $1,188,689 $(512,971) $349,920 $(579,847) $2,904,156 $545,380 A-40 ADFF Study Attachment 12 Summary of Inter-Regional Concept Recommendation The FS proposes the Inter-Regional Concept alternative for ADFF (both smokejumper and helitack/rappel operations). This recommendation proposes the sharing of base locations and ADFF resources by adjacent Regions. ADFF resources will be managed through a centralized decision point within an inter-Regional group. Thus, coordination will be handled on a Regional, rather than national, level. Each Regional grouping will have a base-level capacity available through the duration of the primary fire season, including shoulder seasons. Bases and ADFF resources will be organized at the inter-Regional level, and will be located so as to meet the workload needs of the inter-Regional group. Surge-capacity will be provided through rotation of additional ADFF resources according to historical season peaks (see table below). Regional Group February May X Regions 8,9 Regions 1,2,3,4 Regions 5,6,10 *Note: Surge timeframes may vary. Surge Capacity Timeframe August June - July September X X X X October November X X Within these surge periods, the Regional groups identified in the table will operate as a cohesive unit to allocate resources. The priorities for allocation of resources will be evaluated at a group level, rather than by individual Region. Aircraft In order to standardize alternatives for each recommendation, the Team opted to recommend fixed-wing aircraft as either large or small, and rotor-wing aircraft as Type I, II, or III. The following table shows the total array of fixed-wing assets recommended as model solutions, correlated with the number of times the model chose that platform as an “optimal solution.” Aircraft Make and Model King Air 200 DHC-6/Twin Otter Own Dash 8 DC-3TP Own Mission Total Per Aircraft Type 729.6 71.0 66.3 53.1 Percentage 79.3% 7.7% 7.2% 5.8% Category Total Percentage Small 800.6 87.0% Large 119.4 13.0% Although the model indicates the majority of smokejumper aircraft should be small, the Study Team recommends a more balanced mix of large versus small standard category airplanes to preserve mission flexibility. The Team recommends one third of the fleet be large smokejumper platforms, and a mix of King Air 200’s and DHC-6 Twin Otters for the small aircraft platform. U.S. Forest Service A-41 ADFF Study The following table represents the total array of standard category helicopter platforms recommended as model solutions, correlated with the number of times the model chose that platform as an “optimal solution.” Mission Total Per Aircraft Type Percentage Type Total Missions per Type 206L-IV-TR 193.6 23.6% III III AW139 155.0 18.9% II 207.2 205A1-212rotor-T5317A 149.7 18.3% II II 212HP 139.9 17.1% II 451.9 SA-330J 94.0 11.5% I I S-61A Short W/Metal Blades 38.0 4.6% I 160.3 BV-234-LR40 21.6 2.6% I A119 13.7 1.7% III EC-155B1 7.3 0.9% II S-70 3.9 0.5% I S-61A/N Carson Short Comp Blades 2.0 0.2% S-92A 0.9 0.1% Aircraft Make and Model Percentage 25.3% 55.2% 19.5% I I As illustrated in the table above, Type II helicopters are recommended the majority of time at just over 55%, followed by Type III’s at 25%, and Type I’s at approximately 20%. Although the solutions above provide very useful guidelines in terms of the appropriate mix of helicopter types (I, II, or III), they cannot be applied in a literal sense based on the realities of the availability of helicopters (at least in the short-term). In reality, comparable substitutions for available helicopter models must be considered. For purposes of alternative costing, the Study Team recommends using the ratio of helicopter models listed in the platform section, correlated with the mix (percentages) recommended above. Smokejumper Program For the smokejumper program, the Study Team recommends the use of both permanent and satellite bases. In this alternative, three primary bases are converted to satellite bases, and a specific number of aircraft are assigned to the base. The proposed locations are as follows: Total Missions (avg. annual) Aircraft Primary Base Regions 1, 2, 3, 4 508.8 2 – large 4 – small Missoula McCall Regions 5,6,8,9,10 411.1 2 – large 4 – small Redmond Redding Regional Group U.S. Forest Service A-42 Satellite Base West Yellowstone Grangeville Ogden Silver City Winthrop San Bernadino Fresno Lufkin ADFF Study Helicopter Program For the helicopter program, the Study Team recommends the Inter-Regional Concept with some adjustments. As the Team analyzed results, it became apparent that total mobility is not as achievable for helicopters. The strength of the helicopter is its multiple use capability, as opposed to its range and speed. Therefore, a greater dispersal of helicopters geographically is advantageous. This alternative would relocate 18-20 helicopters and crews to new locations, all but one of which are existing helibases. Initial attack helicopters must be managed as a geographic area resource and controlled by the geographic area coordination centers. The following table shows the proposed helicopter bases and location and type of platforms for the Eastern US Group. Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Abingdon, VA 30.8 1 type III Big Swag, KY 35.9 1 type III Cadillac, MI* 2.3 0 Ducktown, TN 42.7 1 type II Ely, MN* 5.1 1 type III Glassy Mountain, GA 36.3 1 type III Hoosier, IN* 10.8 1 type III Lufkin, TX 38.8 2 type III Mena, AR 1.3 1 type III Mt. Ida, AR 5.1 1 type III Ocala, FL 35.0 1 type III Rhinelander, WI* 5.0 0 Rolla, MO* 31.3 1 type III Seed Orchard, SC 28.6 1 type III Weyers Cave, VA 16.9 1 type III *Three helicopter bases are shared between five bases. Consolidating Mena to Mt. Ida and dropping one helicopter would save the FS approximately $29,302 annually. The following table shows the proposed helicopter bases and location and type of platforms for the Western US Group. Helicopter Bases U.S. Forest Service Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Arroyo Grande, CA* 0.0 1 type II Bald MT, CA* 0.2 1 type II BDI, AZ* 0.3 0 A-43 ADFF Study Helicopter Bases U.S. Forest Service Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Big Hill, CA* 0.1 1 type II Black Hills, SD 8.8 1 type III Bridgeport, CA 4.9 1 type III Challis, ID 2.1 0 Chileao, CA* 0.8 1 type II Chuchupate, CA* 0.2 1 type II Coeur D’Alene, ID* 0.0 0 Durango, CO 10.6 1 type III ** Fresno, CA 18.3 0 Ft. Washakie, WY* 0.3 1 type III Garden Valley, ID* 0.0 0 Grangeville, ID 14.4 2 type III Green Mountain, UT* 0.0 1 type III Hailey, ID* 0.1 1 type III Hamilton, MT 1.7 1 type III Heaps Peak, CA 3.8 1 type II Helena, MT* 0.1 0 Hungry Horse, MT* 0.3 1 type III Independence, CA* 0.2 1 type II Indianola, ID 3.9 0 Keenwild, CA 2.4 1 type III Kernville, CA* 0.2 1 type II Klamath River, CA* 0.2 1 type II Krassel, ID 1.3 1 type III Libby, MT 3.6 1 type III Lucky Peak, ID* 0.6 1 type II, 1 type III McCall, ID 86.6 0 Missoula, MT 27.9 1 type III Montague, CA 1.9 0 Monument, CO 4.6 1 type III Musselshell, ID* 0.8 0 Ogden, UT 1.3 0 Orland, CA* 0.0 0 Payson, AZ 41.4 2 type III Peppermint, CA* 0.0 1 type II Pittman Valley, AZ 6.7 1 type III A-44 ADFF Study Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Pocatello, ID* 0.0 0 Prescott, AZ* 0.7 1 type III Price Valley, ID* 0.1 2 type II Provo, UT 14.7 3 type III Quincy, CA 1.6 1 type II Ramona, CA* 0.0 1 type II Redding, CA 31.1 0 Reserve, NM 35.8 1 type III Rifle, CO 4.4 1 type III Ronan, MT 32.1 1 type III Round Valley, AZ 1.6 1 type III Salmon, ID 1.8 1 type II, 2 type III Sandia, NM 5.3 1 type III Santa Maria, CA* 0.0 0 Santa Ynez, CA* 0.0 1 type II Scott Valley, CA* 0.6 1 type II Shenango, MT* 0.0 0 Silver City, NM 33.9 1 type III Swan Valley, ID 8.0 1 type III TA 49, NM 2.6 0 Teton, WY* 0.0 2 type III Trimmer, CA* 0.3 1 type II Trinity, CA* 0.6 1 type II Tucson, AZ* 0.0 0 Vernal, UT 1.1 0 West Yellowstone, MT 7.2 1 type II White Cloud, CA* 0.8 1 type II *These locations have less than one mission on average. ** The Team proposes adding one helicopter to Durango, CO, which currently has none. The Team recommends Ramona remain intact as a base due to its geographic location and proximity to other bases (costs of $44,093), and Hailey (costs of $35,604) remain due to its geographic location in proximity to adjacent consolidated bases. Prescott should be maintained in its current status (costs of $237,567). Both Vernal (costs of $43,303) and Teton (costs of $68,042) should remain intact due to interagency commitments. The John Day base remains intact, Lakeview base remains due to interagency components, and Rogue Siskiyou base (costs of $80,321) U.S. Forest Service A-45 ADFF Study remains as terrain is not conducive to smokejumping. The Redmond requirements will be met from Prineville base (savings of $56,406 over model). The Team recommends closing the following helibases: Helicopter Bases Savings Coeur D’Alene $69,828 Oakridge $4,807 Orland $12,680 Pocatello $56,935 San Bernardino $31,829 TA 49 $43,339 The Team recommends the following consolidations of helibases: Helicopter Bases Move to: Savings Santa Ynez Casitas* $40,050 White Cloud Chester* $51,261 Chuchupate $101,130 Fresno** $60,620 Grangeville $85,315 Heaps Peak * $65,493 Independence Hemet* $64,663 Garden Valley Lucky Peak $69,974 Santa Maria Mariposa* $17,344 Tucson Payson $90,884* Frazier Prineville $107,274 Sled Springs Prineville $96,734 Mountain Green Provo $135,613 Ogden Provo $56,406 Klamath River Redding** $74,687 Trinity Redding** $99,024 Bald Mt. Sacramento $48,138 Big Hill Sacramento $61,177 Peppermint Sacramento $60,113 Scott Valley Sacramento $68,103 Challis Salmon $26,234 Indianola Salmon $84,671 Silver City $44,731 Shenango West Yellowstone $195, 334 Wenatchee Winthrop** $90,758 Arroyo Grande Kernville Musselshell Van Nuys BDI U.S. Forest Service A-46 ADFF Study *Team also recommends moving a helicopter to Payson **Consolidation to Redding of Trinity and Klamath River will incur an additional cost of $56,406. Consolidation of Kernville to Fresno will incur an additional cost of $56,406. Consolidation of Wenatchee to Winthrop will incur an additional cost of $56,406. Consolidation of Garden Valley to Lucky Peak will incur an additional cost of $130,936. The following become “surge” capability aircraft: Helicopter Bases Average Missions Recommended Platform Type Frazier, OR* 0.0 1 type III John Day, OR 1.7 1 type II Lakeview, OR 3.1 1 type II Oakridge, OR* 0.6 0 Prineville, OR* 0.0 1 type III Redmond, OR 33.2 0 Siskiyou, OR* 0.4 1 type III Sled Springs, OR* 0.0 1 type II Wenatchee, WA* 0.9 1 type II, 1 type III Winthrop, WA 18.3 0 Bases with less than one average mission will transition to surge capability and will be located with other helicopter bases. The following bases would have no ADFF: Helicopter Bases Average Missions Casitas, CA 0.0 Chester, CA 0.2 Hemet, CA 0.0 Mariposa, CA 0.3 San Bernardino, CA 0.0 Van Nuys, CA 0.0 Costs and Savings The Inter-Regional recommendation results in no savings over the current configuration for smokejumper operations, and is at least $1.43 million more expensive than model results annually. The costs for the four primary smokejumper bases are as follows: Base Cost $701,580 $716,244 $713,304 $713,136 McCall Missoula Redding Redmond The Inter-Regional recommendation results in approximately $1.91 million of savings (annually) over the current configuration for helitack/rappel operations, and is at least $997,135 more expensive than ideal model results (annually). U.S. Forest Service A-47 ADFF Study