Of Coase and Carbon: The Coase Theorem in Environmental Economics, 1960-1979 Steven G. Medema University of Colorado Denver ∗ September 2011 Department of Economics, University of Colorado Denver. Email: steven.medema@ucdenver.edu. I am grateful for the instructive comments provided by Daniel Bromley, Emery Castle, Thomas Crocker, Alan Randall, and participants in the workshop at the Property and Environment Research Center (PERC) as I developed this paper, and for the research support provided by PERC, the National Endowment for the Humanities, and the Institute for New Economic Thinking. ∗ 1 Of Coase and Carbon: The Coase Theorem in Environmental Economics, 1960-1979 Steven G. Medema University of Colorado Denver Introduction Environmental economics began to develop as a specialized area of study in the 1950s and 1960s, but it was not until the 1970s that it really emerged as a distinct field of economic inquiry, with the attendant proliferation of scholarly articles and books, the establishment of specialized scholarly journals such as the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, the development of a textbook literature, and the like. The Coase theorem, too, is a product of the 1960s, and, like the field of environmental economics, began to attract more significant attention in the 1970s. While correlation does not imply causation, there is an obvious link here. It would be difficult to sustain the argument that the interest in the Coase theorem per se helped to drive the development of environmental economics, but the fact that the theorem piqued the interest of economists in the possibility of private or “market” solutions to environmental problems may have played a role. On the other hand, there can be little question that the increased interest among economists in environmental issues, derivative of the increased public awareness of the importance of these issues in the 1960s and 1970s, had something to do with the significant increase in the attention paid to the Coase theorem, and externality theory generally, during this period. The purpose of this paper, however, is not to attempt to resolve the issue of causation and its direction. Rather, the goal is to examine the early reception of the Coase theorem in the environmental economics literature, its impact on that literature, and place that it came to have in the environmental economics during the formative stages of the field.1 1 We must admit up front that this is not an easy issue to tease out. Perhaps the most difficult problem posed here is the identification of the literature in “environmental economics” as distinct from the theory of externalities 2 Coase’s Insight As Alain Marciano (2011, pp. 2-3) has noted, the literature on externalities prior to the 1960s is very thin, particularly if one excludes the debate over technological economies and diseconomies that occupied the literature of the 1920s. The reason for the relative paucity of attention is perhaps best described by Scitovsky, who pointed out in 1954 that externalities were seen by economists as interfirm issues, but issues that were “unimportant” and “exceptional” (1954, p. 145)—a theme to which we shall return. This publication trend, and perhaps to some extent the view of the importance and extent of externality relationships, began to change significantly in the 1960s, and part of the impetus for this was the publication of Ronald Coase’s article, “The Problem of Social Cost,” in 1960. Coase’s article is most well known for its elaboration of what George Stigler (1966) later labeled “the Coase theorem.” Using a simple, rather pastoral example of a farmer whose crops are destroyed by a neighboring rancher’s roaming cattle, Coase proposed that, viewed through the lens of economic theory, the basic problem of externality (a term Coase despised and did not use) was the absence of property rights over the resources in question—that there was no law specifying whether the farmer had the right to be free from harm or that the rancher had the right to allow his cattle to roam where they pleased. Coase demonstrated that, once such rights were assigned, the efficient outputs of cattle and crops would obtain and that it did not matter, from an allocative perspective, whether the relevant property rights were assigned to the rancher or the farmer. As Coase put it, It is necessary to know whether the damaging business is liable or not for damage caused since without the establishment of this initial delimitation of rights there can be no market generally, and it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that any such distinction is somewhat arbitrary. The selection criteria employed here to identify “environmental economics” literature include: (i) books and articles whose titles and or subject matter explicitly treat or are pointed toward environmental issues; (ii) works by individuals who are identified with environmental economics or self-identify as environmental economists; and (iii) articles appearing in journals which take as their mission the dissemination of scholarship in environmental economics. We will not, then, be taking on the larger debates over the validity of the Coase theorem during this period (e.g., in the externality theory literature) except to the extent that the issues raised in that literature became part of the discussion and debate within the field of environmental economics. We also ignore the large legal literature on Coase theorem as applied 3 transactions to transfer and recombine them. But the ultimate result (which maximises the value of production) is independent of the legal position if the pricing system is assumed to work without cost. (1960, p. 8) This is the result that came to be known as the Coase theorem,2 and, as set out by Coase, turns on two key assumptions and embodies two central results. The key assumptions are that rights are fully specified and transaction costs are zero. The results are that the externality will be resolved efficiently (the efficiency proposition) and that the outcome will be invariant under alternative assignments of rights (the invariance proposition, or allocative neutrality).3 Although the Coase theorem is only one of several important insights contained in “The Problem of Social Cost”—and, as Coase (1981, 1988) has since told us, not the most important one—it is this aspect of Coase’s analysis that eventually was seized on by economists, legal scholars, and others as the central message of Coase’s analysis and/or as the insight upon which new approaches to legal and economic problems potentially could be grounded. The attention given to the theorem in the literature only increased with time, and scholars working in the area of environmental economics played no small part in this process. Initial Reception: The 1960s As Alan Randall noted in the late 1970s, Coase’s article “attracted the immediate attention of natural resource economists, environmental economists, and the heirs of the Pigovian tradition” (1978, pp. 910), and it did not take long for economists working on environmental concerns to graft Coase’s argument into their analysis. It is in J.W. Milliman’s 1962 article, “Can People be Trusted with to environmental issues, as well as the discussions by non-economist commentators in the environmental science and ecology literatures. 2 I will use the term “Coase theorem” hereafter as a short-hand moniker for Coase’s negotiation result, recognizing that not all of the authors discussed herein apply this term to the negotiation result. 3 Of course, both the assumptions and the results were soon brought it for criticism, but the examination of these issues is not our purpose here. See, for example, Medema and Zerbe (2000). 4 Natural Resources?” that we first witness the propensity to link analysis to the idea of negotiated solutions to environmental problems. Milliman, then an associate professor of Public Administration at Indiana University and the co-author of an influential work on water supply,4 illustrates the entrenched nature of the regulatory approach when he notes that “there is very little acceptance of the thesis that the market system and private property rights can be used to deal effectively with many of our natural resource problems” (1962, p. 200). He thus set out to “examine some of the premises upon which one might base a choice of public versus private decision-making for natural resource use and development” (p. 200). The orientation that informs Milliman’s analysis is not disguised: He consciously assumes that “it is desirable to have a democratic society based upon individual choice” and “the goal of society is to satisfy or carry out individual preferences” (p. 208) Like Coase, Milliman located the externality problem in the absence of property rights over the resources in question: “In general, the solution to a technological spillover problem is to expand the scale of decision-making to correspond with the effects of the action. Very often this can be done by coordinating fragmented property rights as in the case of unitization of oil pools and ground water basins. An incomplete definition of property rights is usually at the heart of the matter.” As a result, he said, “Changes in these property rights either to make them more specific or to enlarge the scale of action, are often called for,” and once the appropriate rights structure has been established, “Very often the pricing system itself may take into account many types of spillover losses and gains (p. 215, emphasis added).5 Milliman did allow, however, that “In some cases direct government intervention is the only available solution,” as will be the case when “the scale of action is too large to be encompassed by ordinary property rights, as in a river basin or an ocean, or in which it is simply impossible to establish a mechanism to give private owners incentives to take into account spillover social benefits and costs, as in the case of air pollution” (p. 215). For Milliman, then, the issue is not 4 See Hirschleifer, de Haven, and Milliman (1960). 5 the validity of Coase’s negotiation result, or even its applicability per se; it is simply a question of the range of applicability, and he is convinced that this range is not insignificant—that is, that many spillover problems embody the characteristics that would lend themselves to solutions via the pricing mechanism. The second appearance of the Coase theorem in the environmental literature came in Allen Kneese’s now-classic book, The Economics of Regional Water Quality Management (1964), a pathbreaking treatise pointing to the possibilities of using economic analysis for the examination of environmental issues and the development of potential policy solutions thereto. Though “The Problem of Social Cost” had been cited in the literature fewer than ten times prior to 1964,6 Kneese took the argument seriously enough to devote some three pages to Coase’s negotiation result in a chapter on “Water Pollution and Resource Allocation by Private Markets.” After laying out the traditional view of externality-induced market failure, Kneese informs the reader that “Free markets do not inevitably result in the neglect of downstream costs by waste disposers” (p. 43), and he invokes Coase’s logic via an example of how the negotiation could internalize damage costs regardless of whether property rights are assigned to waste disposers or downstream water users. Kneese, too, accepted the theoretical validity of both the efficiency and invariance claims made by Coase. Having gone this far, however, he then raised two concerns that would become standard aspects of the discussion of the Coase theorem within the environmental economics literature. The first is that of equity, where Kneese suggests that equity matters in the determination of who is made to bear related to environmental issues and that, in the case of a firm whose pollution damages fishing stocks, “on equity grounds it might be considered justifiable to compensate the fisherman for his loss of fish,” as opposed to having the fisherman pay the polluter to induce a reduction in or the elimination of pollution emissions (p. 44). The second issue raised by Kneese 5 Milliman adds that “Coase makes this point in convincing fashion in a critique of modern welfare economics related to the problem of externalities” (p. 215 at n. 350). 6 involves the costs of transacting in the context of environmental conflicts—an issue he finds somewhat problematic: it is possible for market transactions to avoid the resource misallocations that could result from externalities, but such transactions are not always easy (inexpensive) to organize. The damaging effects of water pollution are so widespread and diffuse, especially in highly developed areas, that establishing a market which would permit the minimization of production costs at optimal output would be very complex (expensive). As a rule, such markets do not become established. (pp. 45-46) In light of this, Kneese moved in other, more traditional, directions for the analysis of water pollution policy. Kneese was also at the center of the one significant debate over Coase’s analysis in the 1960s environmental economics literature, though this came with a somewhat interesting twist. We have seen that Kneese accepted the basic theoretical validity of Coase’s claim regarding the allocative neutrality of alternative property rights assignments, but he also argued that Pigovian taxes and subsidies would generate identical results—though he did not connect this to Coase’s negotiation analysis. Others did, however, as Kneese’s assertion regarding taxes and subsidies spawned a notinsignificant literature that grew up alongside the Coase theorem debates, examining the general question of symmetry between what were labeled “bribes” and “charges,” which included not only negotiated settlements between parties to an externality, but also (and primarily in this literature) the use of taxes and subsidies imposed by the state.7 That is, in addition to being taken as a hint about a potential new framework for dealing with environmental issues, Coase’s result was seen as potentially relevant for the standard Pigovian policy framework. The central issue that emerged within these debates, for our purposes, was the effect of long-run behavior on the invariance result, 6 Nearly all of these references were by James Buchanan, and not all dealt with Coase’s negotiation result. 7 owing to the potential for entry into an industry. The argument was that bribes received for reducing polluting activity raise the profitability of polluting firms. This, in turn, would trigger entry into the industry, resulting in industry output that was greater under a system of bribes than under a system of charges—thereby negating the invariance proposition.8 Though Kneese made only minimal revisions to his discussion of the Coase theorem in the 1968 revision of his book, a project undertaken with Bower,9 he did find this debate over long-run asymmetries sufficiently important to mention them as one of the qualifications to the negotiation model (Kneese and Bower 1968, p. 82). Kneese and Bower also pointed to the problems associated with the “technically complex” nature of “the linkages between dischargers and damaged parties,” suggesting that transaction costs increase with the number of parties to the externality not only because there are more entities among whom agreement must be reached, but also because it becomes increasingly difficult to determine the extent to which particular parties contribute to the damage incurred by others (p. 84). All of this, then, led to a conclusion that was at least as pessimistic as that expressed by Kneese in 1964: “Although it is possible for market transactions to take externalities into account under certain circumstances, transactions of this kind are rarely organized” (1968, p. 84). In sum, the 1960s discussion of the Coase theorem within the environmental literature brought out two issues that became central to the debates over the Coase theorem: (i) the realism of the zero transaction costs assumption, both as regards the effect of the number of parties per se on the possibility of coordinating bargains and the effect of imperfect information; and (ii) the implications of entry and exit for the theorem’s invariance proposition. 7 See, e.g., Kamien, Schwartz, and Dolbear (1966), Bramhall and Mills (1966), Freeman (1967), Baumol (1972), and the overviews of this debate in Kneese and Maler (1973) and Baumol and Oates (1975, 1988). 8 Freeman (1968) added the qualification that symmetry requires that the parties are using the same rate of discount. This thread was not picked up to any extent in the subsequent literature, perhaps because the informational context necessary to generate different rates of discount would seem to violate the assumption of zero transaction costs. 9 The 1968 book was entitled Managing Water Quality: Economics, Technology, Institutions. 8 One final question that arises when we consider the environmental economics literature of the 1960s is the relationship between the Coase theorem and the suggestions by Crocker (1966) and Dales (1968b) that a market can be established in pollution rights. It is rather common today for scholars to credit Coase with the insight that gave rise to the idea that such markets could be established. Yet, when we examine the literature from the 1970s, most of the credit for marketable permits seems to go to Crocker and Dales.10 What, if anything, is Coase’s proper legacy here? Crocker make no mention of Coase in his 1966 article, though he has recently suggested that “The Problem of Social Cost” was one of several works that had an impact on his thinking at the time. In his case, though, that impact was more in the way of confirming the validity of his own ideas about the possibility of using markets to deal with environmental problems rather than stimulating those ideas (Crocker 2011). Like Crocker, Dales does not cite Coase in his now-classic book, Pollution, Property, and Profits (1968), but he does note in his acknowledgments the substantial influence that “The Problem of Social Cost” had on his thinking and that his chapters dealing with the possibilities of pollution rights “owe much to” to work of Coase, Gordon (1958) and Charles A. Reich (1964).11 It is quite clear that the marketable pollution permits system has more in common with Arrow’s analysis (which, of course, came later) than with Coase’s discussion in “The Problem of Social Cost.” Where the intersection with Coase’s work is closest, in fact, is in his article on “The Federal Communications Commission” (1959)—the article that gave rise to “The Problem of Social Cost.” Here, Coase suggested that policy makers consider the establishment of a market in broadcast frequencies, one in which rights were either auctioned or given to spectrum users, with provision for the purchase and sale of those rights between users and prospective users. The approach to pollution 10 See, for example, Chisholm et all (1974), Harlow (1974), the 1976 Fisher and Peterson JEL survey, Marin (1978), and Maloney and Pearse (1979) all of which cite Dales and not Coase in this context. 11 The influence of Coase on Dales’s thinking is quite evident in his 1968 Canadian Journal of Economics article, which covers some of the same territory as his book, but the impact of Coase’s work on Dales seems to have been more in the area of how property rights influence economic activity than on the idea that one can create a market in pollution rights. See Dales (1968a). 9 advocated by Crocker and Dales has much in common with Coase’s proposal for the allocation of the frequency spectrum, though the similarity seems to be nothing more than coincidental. The 1970s: Controversy and Consensus As we moved into the 1970s, the environmental economics literature began to grow significantly, and references to the Coase theorem mushroomed within and alongside of it. We find more than 50 references to the theorem in the environmental economics journal literature and a number of additional references in scholarly books and textbooks in the field. The theorem was also considered sufficiently important to be the subject of a two-issue symposium in the Natural Resources Journal in 1973-74 and to be a topic of discussion in Fisher and Peterson’s Journal of Economic Literature survey article in 1976—an article that may be characterized as the first “state of the art” presentation of environmental economics to the broader community of academic economists12 and which Bromley (1978, p. 43) identifies, along with the treatise by Baumol and Oates (1975) as the sign of the maturation of the field of environmental economics. The Coase theorem was invoked in two basic contexts in the environmental economics literature of the 1970s. The first, and most common of these, involved authors making reference to the theorem when discussing policy options for various environmental problems—ranging over traditional industrial pollution of air and water (the examples here are numerous), the valuation of pollution damage (Fisher and Krutilla 1975), mining on the ocean floor (Eckert 1974), and transnational externalities (d’Arge 1975). In many instances negotiated or market solutions were classified with taxes and subsidies, and direct controls, as the basic options for dealing with the 12 This is not to say that there were not environmental articles appearing in leading journals, but the Journal of Economic Literature was known at that time for publishing broad survey pieces that would be of interest to large segments of the community of economists. 10 policy issues at hand.13 A second group of articles were targeted more directly at the theorem per se, usually to criticize it on various grounds. The Natural Resources Journal symposium in 1973-74 is the most prominent illustration of this genre, but the work of Mishan (1971a,b), Randall (1972, 1975, 1978), and Dick (1976) is also important and attracted significant attention. Several themes emerge from these two branches of the literature. Validity The references to the Coase theorem within the environmental economics literature by and large treat it as correct, an accepted truth.14 One gets a sense for the broad-based acceptance of the theorem from the fact that even E.J. Mishan, perhaps the theorem’s staunchest critic, accepted its theoretical validity and tells us in his classic Journal of Economic Literature survey article in 1971 that a “consensus” on the subject of externalities, such as pollution, emerged in the early 1960s, and this consensus embodied the view that, “assuming transaction costs are low enough, it [is] a matter of indifference from the point of view of allocation whether a manufacturer is compelled to compensate the victims or whether the victims offer bribes to the manufacturer” (1971b, pp. 16-17). It is also interesting to note at this stage exactly what environmental economists were accepting as valid—that is, how they characterized the “Coase theorem.” A significant number of authors followed the basic contours laid out by Coase, but of particular interest here is the fact that not all environmental economists invoked Coase’s assumption that the costs of transacting are zero. Some statements allow that the theorem holds with “low” or “small” transaction costs. Others, such as Johnson (1971, p. 361 at n. 36) suggest that the efficiency and invariance results hold “as long as 13 Interestingly, negotiated solutions and tax/subsidy solutions were often grouped together under the a heading such as “market” solutions, reflecting the sense that both utilized the pricing mechanism, as against the option of direct controls. This makes for an interesting contrast with the view expressed by Coase and by many others, both at that time and today, that the dividing line between market and government solutions has the tax/subsidy option on the “government” side. Samuels (1974, pp. 15-16) argues still another position—that because government is the force behind the creation and enforcement of property rights, both property rights an tax/regulatory solutions are governmental solutions. 11 bargaining can take place among the affected parties.” This is relevant both because it is not what Coase assumed and because such claims are untrue in the case of a continuous externality and potentially untrue if externalities are binary.15 We shall have more to say below about this aspect of the discussion. It may be, though, that the tendency to state the theorem in terms of positive, but low, transaction costs has something to do with the notion of relevance—the subject to which we now turn. Relevance In spite of what seems to have been a wide-spread acceptance of the theorem’s validity, there was an almost universal sense—following Kneese’s early lead and often citing him for support—that the Coase theorem was not applicable to the major environmental problems that preoccupied environmental economists and policy makers at this time. The primary culprit here was said to be transaction costs, owing to the large number of parties involved significant externality problems such as air and water pollution. The direct costs of negotiation, the free-rider (non-rivalry/nonexcludability) problems posed by the process of getting a large number of “victims” to agree to appropriately compensate a polluter to reduce emissions, and problems associated with fragmented resource ownership combine to generate significant, indeed insuperable, barriers to the ability of parties to reach negotiated solutions that would generate efficient levels of the externality in question.16 Simply put, the assumption of zero transaction costs was considered utterly unrealistic, a sentiment nicely reflected in Randall’s characterization of the Coase theorem environment as a “transactions costs-free fairyland” (1975, p. 741 at n. 44). So, while the theorem was regularly invoked, it was almost immediately dismissed as a relevant option for dealing with the “major issues 14 A partial list includes Kneese (1971), d’Arge (1971), Baumol and Oates (1971, 1975), Johnson (1971), Cho (1971), Mishan (1971a,b), Meyer (1971), Parish (1972), Crocker (1973), Chisholm et al., 1974), Harlow (1974), Eckert (1974), d’Arge (1975), Oates and Baumol (1975), Randall and Pagoulatos (1976). 15 If an externality is binary—it either exists or it does not and is not subject to incremental adjustment—then the efficiency and invariance results hold if the gains from exchange exceed the costs of transacting. 12 of environmental policy” (Oates and Baumol 1975, p. 97), leaving “governmental solutions” as, in the words of Brumm and Dick (1976, p. 449), “the only viable alternative” for internalizing the costs associated with environmental problems.17 Many authors were content to simply and briefly wave aside the theorem as irrelevant for major pollution problems and get on with their analysis of more traditional remedies.18 Others, however, made their irrelevance critiques at some length, and with a certain stridency—even vehemence. Mishan, for example, chose to highlight the fictional nature of a zero-transaction-costs world by constructing a mock interview with a Coasean Dr. Pangloss, who believes that markets, with or without transaction costs, can solve all problems. Mishan’s views regarding relevance are nicely summarized in his characterization of the Panglossian position: Dr. Pangloss’s arguments is … are perfectly valid in a Panglossian universe—one in which a variety of pollutants are concentrated only in certain areas, say urban areas; in which accurate and relevant knowledge is available to all without cost; in which the question of justice is irrelevant, and in which there are not future generations to consider (1971a, p. 115). But in the real world, Randall (1974, p. 44) argued, “an economist would be hard pressed to find any situation where the assignment of liability has an absolutely neutral effect on resource allocation” (1974, p. 44).19 Having noted the wide-spread acceptance of the view that transaction costs are insuperable, Fisher and Peterson (1976, p. 25) concluded that one can only get to the Coase theorem’s result in the real world by assuming its conclusions—that “The market cannot be credited 16 One can find this sentiment expressed in virtually all of the articles cited in note 14, above. One also finds a similar view in the Coase-inspired property rights approach. See, e.g., Furubotn and Pejovich (1971). 17 See also Fisher and Peterson (1976, esp. p. 25), Dick (1976, p. 194), and Randall (1978, p. 10). Oates and Baumol (1975, p. 97 at n. 3) also dismiss the possibility of auctioning pollution rights for large-scale externality problems. On this, at least, they were poor prognosticators. 18 A classic example here is Baumol (1972), who, in his seminal analysis of Pigovian taxes and subsidies intentionally abstracts from the possibility of negotiated solutions by assuming from the outset the presence of high transaction costs associated with large numbers of parties impacted by the externality. Even so, Baumol does call the Coase theorem an “interesting point,” though he suggests that Coase’s examples of the potential for negotiation are “relatively unimportant cases”—further illustration of the idea that many economists were contemplating major pollution externalities as the relevant subject matter. 13 with any particular virtue here unless one takes the extreme Coasian view that all externalities are internalized via private negotiations.” The implications of this are straightforward, according to Randall: “Unless ways can be found to reduce the transactions costs associated with market solutions, market solutions will remain the plaything of academic economists, largely ignored by policy makers and the public,” and that the onus to show that such schemes are feasible lies “squarely on the shoulders of academic supporters of market solutions” (1972, p. 182).20 The voices of the relevance critics were numerous, and at times loud, but there were also arguments being put forward in support of the possibility and actuality of Coase-theorem-type solutions. Contexts identified as relevant included inter-state externalities (Upton 1975), where it was argued that governors of states could negotiate to internalize spillovers; fisheries (Cheung 1970; Maloney and Pearse 1979); and water rights (Johnson 1971; Burness and Quirk 1979). Schultze and d’Arge (1974, p. 769) suggest that it may be legitimate to rely on property rights assignments and attendant Coasean mechanisms to resolve two-party disputes over small-scale nuisances such as motorcycle noise, and Storey (1976, p. 77) goes so far as to assert that “transaction costs can be assumed to be zero” in two-party cases.21 Even Samuels and Mishan, perhaps the theorem’s staunches critics, did not write off the possibility that the Coasean solution might have some policy relevance, with Samuels allowing that zero transaction costs may obtain in “exceptional” circumstances and Mishan noting that “with respect to bodies of land and water, extension of private property rights may effectively internalize what would otherwise remain externalities” (1972, p. 62). 19 See also Schultz and d’Arge (1974, p. 769). Randall strikes a more conciliatory point elsewhere, allowing that market solutions do have “attractions” and recommending that economists and policy makers look for mechanisms to reduce transaction costs so that we can perhaps “gain some of the benefits that seem to be offered by the market method of reducing externality problems” (Randall 1972b, p. 47). 21 Storey goes on to point out that transaction costs loom large in the case of pollution damage, such as the water pollution issues that are the subject of his article. Fischel (1978, p. 72), too, emphasizes that the Coase theorem might have some relevance to small-scale environmental problems—neighborhood effects—in the context of zoning, though, like others mentioned here, he acknowledges that it is unlikely to apply to larger environmental issues, such as air and water pollution, that are dispersed over a wide area or subject to source-identification problems. 20 14 What all of this means with regard to actual attempts to apply negotiated solutions is unclear, beyond the fact that they were thought to be possible in certain situations. Whether this means that the authors believed that the result would be efficient in some global sense and even unaffected by to which party rights were initially assigned, or simply potentially more efficient than tax or direct regulatory options is not discussed. Virtually all of the relevance discussion during the 1970s took place at the theoretical level, with little in the way of attempts to assess the theorem’s relevance empirically. A few environmental economists, however, believed that the prevalence of private solutions for various types of externality problems in the real world context made them suitable candidates for consideration as environmental policy options. Dudley Johnson (1971, p. 361) suggested that externalities “are relatively common occurrences that do not preclude efficient market solutions” and that assigning private property rights over water resources may facilitate market solutions just as we see with other “everyday” externalities, such as when “your neighbor paints his house chartreuse, offending your sensibilities and perhaps lowering your property value.” Dales (1975) makes a similar point, adding that in other situations externalities are constrained by social custom or through more regularized market processes (p. 497).22 Alexander (1971, p. 12, emphasis added) even goes so far as to argue that “Private negotiations have historically been significant in pollution control and abatement and in forcing the recognition of side effects,” though the only example that he cites involves negotiations between the owners of aluminum reduction plants and nearby farmers and ranchers over the harm done by the emission of hydrogen fluoride. All of this, then, represented at best casual empiricism, and did nothing to document the relevance of Coasean negotiation processes or the relevance of the Coase theorem itself to real-world environmental problems. 22 Dales cites Cheung’s work on beekeepers and apple orchard owners as an example of internalization through the market. 15 The one empirical study of this type that was undertaken during this period, by Thomas Crocker (1971), sounded notes that were at once optimistic and cautionary. Crocker examined the history of interactions among polluters and nearby property owners in Polk County, Florida, where fertilizer companies emitted pollutants that impacted citrus and beef cattle production over an area of roughly 400 square miles. Crocker found that a change in property rights structures that “shift[ed] the burden of initiating negotiations from receptors to emitters” did indeed have a significant impact outcomes, largely due to the impact of these alternative rights structures on the transaction costs associated with the negotiation process (p. 463). This gave credence to the view that negotiations over environmental externalities are possible. But it also led Crocker to a further conclusion that reflected the sentiment found in many of the discussions of the theorem’s relevance: “Though there can be no denial that in the absence of [transaction] costs property right assignments are neutral with respect to the economic efficiency of outcomes, the Polk County case is a concrete example of the non-neutrality of these assignments in the presence of [transaction] costs” (p. 464). Thus, while Crocker’s study did not illustrate the strict Coase theorem processes at work, it did provide empirical support for the idea, then gaining currency within the property rights literature and derived from Coase’s original insight, that market mechanisms can be fruitfully applied to certain environmental and natural resource problems, but that the effectiveness of such exercises hinges importantly on a “proper” assignment of rights23. Interestingly, Alexander (1971, p. 12) drew even stronger implications from the Polk County case, asserting that because negotiations took place “in many cases,” private solutions should be pursued before government remedies are contemplated.24 As the foregoing discussion makes clear, there was a clear consensus among environmental economists in the 1970s that the Coase theorem could not be usefully applied to the examination of 23 See, e.g., Demsetz (1964, 1966, 1967, 1972a,b) and Cheung (1969, 1970). Crocker gives this point further emphasis in his 1973 contribution to the Natural Resources Journal Coase theorem symposium, where he presents a more general analysis of the potential costs associated with various institutional structures. 16 large-scale externality problems that loomed so large in the social conscience during this time. Mishan probably summed up the general sentiment best when he said that “the possibilities of protecting the citizen against such common environmental bights as filth, fumes, stench, noise, visual distractions, etc. by a market in property rights are too remote to be taken seriously” (1972, p. 62). But there was one commentator—Australian economist Ralph Parish—who argued that the Coase theorem did indeed offer a recipe for dealing with these problems. Parish accepted that basic premise that the Coase theorem shows that “when significant external diseconomies or economies exist, a strong incentive exists for them to be internalized by negotiation between the affected parties” (1972, p. 35). Like other commentators of the period, Parish acknowledged that transaction costs tend to get in the way of such negotiations, meaning that the assignment of liability does matter in such cases. However, he continues, this does not mean that the Coase theorem offers no guidance as to how to deal with the externality. Indeed, it offers a prescriptive solution: “Ideally—at least from the point of view of the welfare economist—a pollution-control programme should attempt to bring about a situation similar to that which would be the outcome of negotiations between the affected parties, if the costs of negotiation were zero” (p. 35). What we have here, then, is what appears to be the first argument for the Coase theorem as the basis for a “mimic the market” approach in the environmental arena—the approach that was to become foundational in the economic analysis of law. The solution to the problem was not to be found “in” the market, but in using the guidance provided by the market mechanism. Although this notion of mimicking the market gained currency very quickly within the law and economics movement, one finds no further reference to it in the environmental economics literature of the 1970s, a fact which may be accounted for by a difference in perspective between those working in the these two fields.25 24 Alexander’s report was published in March 1971, six months before Crocker’s article was published, and there is no reference to Crocker’s work in this report. There is also no reference to Alexander in Crocker’s article. 17 Framework The problems posed by large-numbers-induced transaction costs were not the only reason for environmental economists’ qualms about grafting the Coase theorem onto the analysis of environmental issues; it also raised the question of the appropriate framework to be used for the analysis of environmental problems. Though it was clear that environmental issues represented instances of externality, the issue of compatibility arose precisely because environmental economics was attempting to borrow from the received theory of externalities.26 The analysis of externalities through the 1960s had focused almost exclusively on the general class of activities in which the actions of one party impose costs on or generate benefits to another party or parties, where these costs and benefits are not reflected in the agents’ decision calculus. Simple examples—such as Pigou’s railway sparks case, Meade’s discussion of beekeepers and orchard owners, and the case of the polluting factory soiling clothing at the neighboring laundry— were referenced or developed to illustrate these interactions, and simple models were built to analyze them—all indicative of the fact that the theory was not created to deal with large numbers environmental problems and the particular challenges that they posed, but with the more general (or generic) issue of spillover effects. This focus on two-party situations was brought in for criticism by Ayres and Kneese (1969) and more expansively and forcefully by Kneese (1971), d’Arge (1971), and Mishan (1971b).27 The problems identified here were two. First, Ayres and Kneese argued that the important articles in the externality literature deal with externalities as “exceptional cases” and as “a comparatively minor aberration from Pareto optimality in competitive markets” (p. 282 at n.2); that is, externalities were not seen as a significant problem, either scope or magnitude. This, of course, is the perspective 25 Some additional insight into this point may be found in the penultimate section of the present paper. See, for example, Pigou (1932), Meade (1952), Coase (1960), Davis and Whinston (1962), Buchanan and Stubblebine (1962), and Turvey (1963). 27 See also Fisher and Peterson (1976). 26 18 reflected in Scitovsky (1954). Pollution problems, in contrast, were viewed by Ayres and Kneese both as much more significant and much more pervasive. A second issue, also forcefully argued by d’Arge (1971), is that while the externalities literature focused on two-party interactions, environmental problems often involve the interaction of many parties—certainly many receptors and perhaps also many emitters—and over large, common pool resources, where the assignment of accurate relative values to alternative uses of a resource are difficult. The two-party context, he says, obscures power relationships that often attend situations of externality and assumes a fullinformation context that is not present in reality. Because of this, transaction costs will often be large and externalities not the anomaly that the two-party analysis suggests. Kneese summed up the combined effect of these criticisms when he noted that, for the environmental economist at least, “the essence of the externality problem is that the conditions of this simple two-party case” contemplated by the traditional approach to externalities “are not met in reality” (1971, p. 154). It would appear that the framework problem was an artifact of economists moving away from their “home turf” but attempting to grapple with these new problems using familiar tools. In essence, said d’Arge, “It seems … that in concentrating on two-party or localized effects, economists have not taken heed of the warnings of ecologists and have ignored one of the major dictums of economic thought: ‘that everything depends on everything else’” (1971, p. 27). The limitations of the two-party framework led several scholars to advocate for a general equilibrium approach that includes recognition of the interaction between economic behavior and the environment28 and to which the treatise by Baumol and Oates (1975) represents a classic, affirmative response. The publication of this book, with its general equilibrium analysis of Pigovian instruments, altered the nature of the discussion and, as Daniel Bromley put it, made it “safe to conclude that neoclassical economics now has a body of literature concerned with environmental policy in the 19 large, rather than solutions for small numbers cases in which voluntary solutions seem so compelling” (1978, p. 44). Even so, not all authors condemned the traditional approach. Many environmental economists continued to conceptualize problems with simple two-party models (both partial and general equilibrium), and one—Roy Ruffin (1972, p. 111)—explicitly defended the two-party, partial equilibrium approach. Ruffin’s view was that though the more simple framework abstracts from certain important phenomena, including “the transaction costs (both search and bargaining costs) of voluntary agreements between polluters and the polluted,” there remains “much to be said for a model that has a simple geometric solution—its simplicity and directness illuminates a social problem much greater than the palpable one being studied (Robinson Crusoe)” (1972, p. 111). How, then, does the Coase theorem fit into this framework debate? One could argue that the theorem had nothing to do with any of this. It could simply be that, as Mishan (1971b, p. 1) put it, this mis-match between theory and problem “not altogether inexplicable,” since “Economists respond to real world problems with a time lag, initially making use of familiar, if less relevant, bits of apparatus.” But there is more at work here than a simple time lag. At the most basic level, the qualms about two-party models arose within the context of, and seem to have been stimulated by, discussions of the Coase theorem. That is, the theorem brought to the fore the question of the adequacy of the two-party framework. How? The answer may lie in the theorem’s detachment from the real world, highlighted by many of its critics. Ruffin’s defense of the two-party framework, applied to the consideration of, say, Pigovian taxes, has more than a bit of cogency. Though there are limitations to such models, one can still gain significant insights into the effects of Pigovian instruments from them. Indeed, it may be that, had the Coase theorem not entered the picture, the need for a more complex framework would not have appeared to be so urgent. But the theorem 28 See, e.g., d’Arge (1971), Randall (1972b), and Samuels (1974). One might reasonably argue as to whether general equilibrium framework was any less abstract than the extant two-party models, especially in light of its assumptions 20 seems to have contributed significantly to the unease that some environmental economists felt over the two-party models, and this unease seems quite justified. Given that many environmental economists gave the Coase theorem’s mechanisms some credence in a two-party context and that the theorem explained that externalities would be internalized under such conditions if property rights were assigned over the relevant resources, remaining wedded to two-party models could be considered problematic: scholars would be dealing with externalities and externality policy in a framework where government intervention was not necessary, whereas the large numbers nature of many environmental problems was felt to require some form of governmental action. The theory, then, needed be reexamined in order to develop a framework that would allow economists to come to grips with the specific characteristics of environmental problems and develop a rationale for why they could not be satisfactorily resolved through the market. Correctness To this point, the issues raised with regard to the Coase theorem have all gone to the question of its relevance. But the discussion of the theorem by environmental economists during this period was by no means confined to this alone. There was also a multi-pronged debate over the theorem’s correctness—that is, over whether an assignment of property rights over externality-relevant resources would in fact generate an efficient and invariant outcome in a world of zero transaction costs As Randall has noted, “Right from the start, it seems, there were some theoretical and applied economists who had vague feelings that something was wrong” with the Coase theorem, and much of this concern went to the theorem’s claims about allocative invariance. (1974, p. 41, emphasis added).29 The result, of course, was a lengthy debate over the theorem’s correctness, much of it taking place in the externality theory literature. That this debate dominated the Coase theorem about transaction costs. 29 It was not just environmental economists who saw the invariance claim as the most shocking implication of the Coase theorem; George Stigler expressed similar sentiments on multiple occasions—though as a believer rather than as a critic. 21 literature in the 1960s and (especially) 1970s is indisputable and is recognized in Norgaard and Hall’s assessment that, “During the 15 years since Coase’s article, the profession has done little more than precisely define the assumptions necessary to verify or disprove his conclusions within his limited framework or slight alterations thereof,” rather than, as they were, pursuing the implications and potential applications of the theorem for the design of environmental policy (1974, p. 260). Here, as with the relevance discussion, environmental economists were quick to jump into the fray, both as creators and as borrowers of Coase theorem critiques.30 Those factors cited regularly by environmental economists as invalidating the theorem included income effects31 and entry/exit effects,32 in the development of which critiques environmental economists played a significant role from the 1960s, as well as problems associated with non-separabilities33 and non-convexities34 that were developed in the larger literature on externalities.35 It was also “demonstrated that the Coase theorem does not hold for pollution control across communities (Berglas 1977) or across countries (d’Arge 1975) if factors of production are mobile, and that the presence of threats (Page 1973; Dick 1976, pp. 186-87) and uncertainty (Greenwood and Ingene 1978) also invalidate the theorem.36 These challenges to the theorem’s correctness focused largely on the issue of allocative neutrality—that is, on the question of whether the outcome of negotiations over externalities will be invariant across alternative assignments of 30 See, e.g., the various contributions by Mishan and by Randall, as well as Samuels (1974), Brumm and Dick (1976), and Dick (1976). 31 Income effects quickly became a standard criticism or qualification, which is not surprisign in light of the fact that environmental spillovers impact population groups. See, e.g., Mishan, Randall, Fisher and Peterson (1976), and Bromley (1978). 32 See, e.g., Frech (1973). 33 See, e.g., Marchand and Russell (1973). 34 See, e.g., Starrett (1972) and Laffont (1976). But see also Endres (1977) within the environmental literature and Medema and Zerbe (2000) who refute the non-convexities critique. 35 These various challenges are nicely summarized in Dick’s article, “The Voluntary Approach to Externality Problems: A Survey of the Critics,” published in the second volume of the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management in 1976. 36 The word “demonstrated” appears in quotation marks here because many, if not all, of the supposed disproofs can be challenged on grounds that they violate one or more of the theorem’s underlying assumptions. This, however, is not the place to get into these issues. But see Medema and Zerbe (2000). 22 property rights.37 Randall, for one, argued that the income effects critique and the relevance-related impact of transaction costs combined to “demolish” any claim of allocative neutrality (1972a, p. 177) and that “For almost all externality situations which can be expected to occur in practice, it is no longer possible to claim, as has been done in the past, that selection of a status quo liability rule affects only the distribution of income” (1972b, p. 44). The force of this demolition, Randall concluded, “removes one of the prime advantages that had been claimed for the market solution to externality problems” (1972a, p. 172). The one other significant challenge to the theorem’s validity that we find in the environmental economics literature during this period goes to the deeper, philosophical issue of whether externalities can even exist in the first place in a world of zero transaction costs.38 D’Arge (1973, p. 558) posited that an externality constitutes a “perturbation” in “an otherwise perfect economic system.” The problem, however, is that a perturbation is something that is not known about in advance, whereas a zero transaction costs world is one characterized by perfect knowledge.39 In short, such perturbations should not exist in a world of zero transaction costs; any and all potential externalities should be internalized before they manifest themselves. This, for Schultze and d’Arge (1974, p 763), raises “a major logical problem,” in that this theory of externalities cannot explain why externalities exist in the first place. Dick (1976, p. 77) is more direct in his assessment, arguing that “it is economic nonsense to talk about externalities in a zero transaction costs world.”40 However, the potentially problematic nature of this challenge did not seem to impact the larger discussion of the theorem, as one finds no evidence of it in the 1970s literature beyond the articles cited here. 37 In fact, some writing in the environmental economics literature associate the Coase theorem with the invariance result alone (e.g., Dick 1976, p 187; Kneese and Maler 1973, p. 705). 38 See also Crocker (1973, p. 562), Schultze and d’Arge (1974), Samuels (1974), and Dick (1976, p. 193). 39 See, for example, Stigler (1972, p. 12) and Demsetz (1968, p. 33). 23 Adaptation The various challenges leveled against the theorem’s correctness had no discernible impact on the attention paid to the Coase theorem (unless to increase it), but they did have an impact on the terms of the discussion. This is most apparent in the statements of the theorem, which, in the hands of some, evolved to meet the challenges posed by these critiques. While some authors continued to state what we might call a base, “Coase 1960” version of the theorem, others added additional assumptions or qualifications regarding the absence of income and wealth effects, the separability of production and cost functions, etc.—and in doing so taking the theorem beyond even the Panglossian statement by Mishan, quoted above.41 These layers of qualification being laid onto the theorem gave it, in Randall’s opinion, “a distinct ‘if pigs could fly’ character” (1978, p. 10)42 and likely served to further reinforce the general sense among environmental economists of the theorem’s irrelevance. Perhaps because so much of the controversy over the theorem—going back to the bribes and charges debate, but including income and other effects—went to the question of allocative neutrality, we also witness the emergence during this period of two Coase theorems—one, the “strong” version, claiming both efficiency and invariance, and another, the “weak” version, claiming efficiency alone.43 The latter had fairly widespread support as a valid proposition, but as we moved through the 1970s the validity of the strong version came increasingly into question. In short, in spite of the supposed disproofs, the theorem proved resilient, surviving both in modified and unmodified form. Equity and Fairness The implications of the Coase theorem for considerations of equity or fairness, first raised by Allen Kneese in 1964 and largely stimulated by the idea of “victims” bribing polluters to reduce emissions, 40 What these authors apparently fail to recognize, of course, is that this was Coase’s point in the first place and his major criticism of the Pigovian approach, which, too, assumed the existence of externalities and the necessity of Pigovian remedies in a world of zero transaction costs, when, in fact, such were unnecessary (Coase 1960, 1988). 41 The most common qualification is for income and wealth effects. See, e.g., Norgaard and Hall (1974), Samuels (1974), and Randall (1978). This qualification also become somewhat common in the externality theory literature. 42 Samuels (1974, p. 8) argues that the income and wealth effects qualification reduces the theorem to a tautology. 24 continued to receive play within the environmental economics literature in the 1970s.44 The strongest voice here was E.J. Mishan (1971a,b), and his views can be taken as representative of the equity critiques. Mishan argued that while the claims of competing resource users in situations of externality “are indeed Pareto symmetric,” they “may not be ethically symmetric”—that there is something ethically wrong with an assignment of rights under which the victim pays. But this was not the only fairness-related concern raised in the literature. There was also concern that pollution costs fall disproportionately on the poor, and so should be mitigated by more wealthy polluters who are better able to bear these costs.45 Problems associated with the long-term nature of certain forms of environmental degradation, too, were raised in this context, with the argument being that the interests of future generations are not likely to be sufficiently taken into account in Coasean negotiations carried out by members of the present generation and that governmental solutions were more likely to be framed with these inter-generational issues in mind (Mishan 1971b, pp. 24-26). The roots of these concerns over equity have been ascribed by Randall (1974) to what he has labeled Coase’s effective “amoralization of the externality issue,” and it is difficult to disagree with his assessment that equity concerns raised by the Coase theorem played a significant role in the hostility expressed toward it: In essence, Coase seemed to be saying that in cases where two parties have conflicting interests there are no moral precepts to guide the resolution of the conflict. Viscous criminals being bribed to desist and of little children being regarded as “hitting” automobiles in pedestrian crossings, with Coasians failing to be morally offended, were invoked …46 Mishan 43 See, e.g., Randall (1972b, pp. 6-7). See, e.g, Mishan (1971a,b), Randall (1972a, 1975), Samuels (1974), Liebfhafsky (1973) and Weld (1973). 45 Common (1988), in contrast, argues that this conventional story of wealth polluters and poor victims may well not be true in some instances. 46 Randall here makes reference to a paper by John Weld entitled, “The Social Cost of the Coase Theorem,” presented at the Symposium on Environmental Economics and the Law, held at the University of Califoria, Riverside in February 1972. Weld’s paper is referenced in several articles from the 1970s but never appeared in print. 44 25 scored early points with the issue of income distribution. Surely decent people could see a moral problem in poor citizens bribing an affluent producer of effluents, while Coasians looked on benignly. (1974, p. 53)47 John Weld went even further, defending the traditional approach to causation and liability by arguing that polluter liability and similar restrictions exist for a reason—they reflect social norms, an “evolved consensus which is embodied in the common law, that you should “use your land as not to injure another” (1973, pp. 598, 599). Bromley (1978, p. 57) takes a still stronger position, going so far as to suggest that it may be best to rule out the market in certain situations, that a rule of inalienability “would seem most appropriate” for externality situations that are “detrimental to human health or to long-run ecological integrity.” While assessments such as those made by Randall and Weld focused on Coase and the Coaseans as the primary source of the inattention to equity issues, Mishan laid the blame more broadly—at the feet of economists and the economic method generally. In his view, economists’ fixation on the Coase theorem is but one example of what he saw as their excessive preoccupation with efficiency at the expense of equity: It is not, of course, hard to understand the somewhat exaggerated weight attached by economists to the allocated aspects of an economic problem as distinct, say from those concerned with equity. For the former aspects lend themselves nicely to formal theorizing and, with patience and a little finesse, impressive measures of social losses and gains can be foisted on credulous civil servants and a gullible public. Yet, the priority given to allocative aspects in real economics problems cannot, I think, be justified; certainly not by recourse to welfare economics. The more “affluent” a 47 It bears noting that Coase (1960, p 43) argued that it is “desirable” that policy decisions over issues such as these “be carried out in broader terms” than just efficiency, including “aesthetics and morals.” Given this, Randall’s charge against Coase himself is likely too strong, though it may have validity against others—e.g., within the 26 society becomes, the less important is allocative merit narrowly conceived. And in a society in the throes of accelerating technological change (one in which, of necessity, pertinent knowledge of the human, social, and ecological consequences of what we are doing is generally slight and partly erroneous) complacency on the part of any economist, guided in his professional discussions by considerations alone of allocative merit or economic growth potential, is both to be envied and deplored. (1971b, p. 26) Samuels (1974, p. 12) offers a similar challenge, questioning why the efficiency criterion should be given privileged status over any other, including “the goals of egalitarian radicals.” Yet, in spite of these equity-grounded critiques of the Coase theorem, economists, environmental or otherwise, continued to frame their discussions of externalities largely in terms of efficiency—whether for ideological reasons or out of professional habit.48 Even so, the fact that the Pigovian subsidy remedy, like the assignment of property rights to “victims,” was and continues to be so roundly panned in the literature—also on fairness grounds—suggests that equity issues have loomed fairly large in the calculus of environmental economists. But not all of those who raised the issue of equity came down on the side of Mishan et al. Chisholm, Walsh, and Brennan (1974), for example, strike a rather different tone, contesting the standard dichotomy between wicked polluters and virtuous victims. In their view, “The truth of the matter is that all consumers contribute to pollution by the very act of consumption; firms pollute, not because they derive fiendish delight from doing so, but because the individual consumers of their products pay them to do so” (p. 4). The argument, of course, is that if consumers, too, are a cause of the pollution, it becomes reasonable to consider the option of making them bear some amount of the cost. A second point that was raised in favor of the Coase theorem on this score was one that seems property rights tradition—who built upon Coase’s work. Of all of the commentators on the equity issue, only Weld (1973, p. 596) appears to have noticed (albeit rather dismissively) this aspect of Coase’s discussion. 48 On this see Bromley (1990). 27 almost so obvious that it is surprising to see that it has not received more play in the literature.49 As Australian economist Ralph Parish pointed out in 1972, because, in a zero transaction costs world, the assignment of liability does not matter from an efficiency perspective, “the question of liability for pollution damage could be decided entirely on the grounds of equity” (1972, p. 34). That is, the theorem tells us that, if the judges and legislators are so inclined, rights can be assigned to “victims” on equity grounds without fear of adverse efficiency consequences. In short, the Coase theorem itself is as strong a weapon in the hands of those concerned with equity as in the hands of those concerned with efficiency. It seems as if the fear that the theorem’s efficiency and invariance arguments could be used to justify granting polluters the right to pollute in unrestricted fashion may have blinded many environmental economists to this fact. The Textbooks The one additional data source that we have on the reception of the Coase theorem within environmental economics is the textbook literature of the period. An examination of this literature is interesting because textbooks may be said to reflect professional consensus on a subject, and because they reveal to us what a student educated in a particular field is expected to know at a particular point in time. As such, the treatment of the Coase theorem within this literature deserves at least a passing mention. Of the eight environmental economics textbooks published during the 1970s that were surveyed for this study, six treat the Coase theorem: Crocker and Rogers (1971), Edel (1973), Thompson (1973), Seneca and Taussig (1974), Pearce (1975), and Kneese 1977). In addition, the environmental economics reader edited by Dorfman and Dorfman (1972) reprinted an edited version 49 But see Medema (1999). 28 of “The Problem of Social Cost.”50 As with the scholarly literature, several clear themes emerge from the textbook treatments. First, Crocker and Rogers, Seneca and Taussig, and Pearce all devote extensive attention to the Coase theorem, though none of them name it as such. It is noteworthy, though, that more space is given over to critiques of the theorem than to the presentation of the bargaining process at work and of its results. Pearce, for example, devotes three pages to a presentation of the theorem and seven pages to his critique of it! There is also little indication given by the textbook authors of any applicability to real environmental problems, large or small, and the common theme is the impediment posed by transaction costs. This more or less parallels the perspective that one finds in the scholarly literature, though the textbook literature lacks the allowance we find in some quarters of the scholarly literature for the possibility of negotiated solutions in small numbers cases. A further noteworthy feature of the textbook literature is that issues of equity find their way into the discussion. Crocker and Rogers raise the equity issue in a general way in the midst of their Coase theorem discussion, allowing that the efficiency oriented argumentation in their book must be “bugging the hell out of” many of the student readers, and that a “living, breathing, and feeling human being” cares about who is made to pay or is paid (1971, p. 71). Edel (1973, p. 99) goes a step further in telling the students that the “victim pays” notion “violates many people’s ideas of fairness in a way that compensation payments [from polluters to victims] do not.” While acknowledging that equity is important, Crocker and Rogers justify their emphasis on efficiency with the argument that efficiency concerns “are often neglected” in environmental quality discussions and that, as economists, these are the issues that they are at least “partially competent to discuss” (1971, p. 71), a 50 The textbooks that do not treat the Coase theorem are by Ramsay (1972) and Hines (1973). Hines does, however, make passing (and rather dismissive) mention of Dales’s proposal for auctioning pollution permits. There was also a second reader published during this period, by Redfern and Shulstad (1974). It does not include “The Problem of Social Cost,” but the authors do mention it in their introduction. While it is now standard for environmental economics and intermediate microeconomics textbooks to include a discussion of the Coase theorem, it may or may 29 viewpoint that is relevant to Mishan’s critique of the economist’s method of dealing with environmental issues, discussed above. Pearce, though, confronts the students’ potential fairness qualms head on, arguing that there is no a priori reason to think in terms of “those who ‘innocently’ suffer” (1976, p. 84) and that the decision as to the morality of one party or the other bearing costs ultimately comes down to a social value judgment. In short, then, the Coase theorem very quickly made its way into the textbook discussions in environmental economics, which may be taken as indicative of the impact of the theorem on the field. As one might expect, the same themes that we identified within the scholarly literature are found within the textbook treatments. What is less obvious is why the textbooks, which tend to focus on ideas that are considered “settled truths” within a field and that potentially have some measure of analytical or practical applicability, would have devoted attention to an idea that remained highly controversial and had for the most part been dismissed in the scholarly literature—and was dismissed in the textbook literature—as essentially irrelevant. Some clues may be found by considering the general question of why environmental economists were so interested in the Coase theorem—a question to which we now turn. Why were Environmental Economists so Interested in the Coase Theorem? It should be clear by this point that while the Coase theorem features prominently in the environmental economics literature of the 1970s, it does so in a curious way. Although many environmental economists were inclined to accept the theorem as a valid theoretical proposition, and some even suggest that, in certain contexts, voluntary solutions to environmental problems may be possible—and even, as Bromley (1978, p. 44) put it, “compelling”—there is virtually no evidence of anyone suggesting that it has a role to play in dealing with the large-scale environmental problems not be surprising that the proportion of environmental economics textbooks treating the theorem in the 1970s was both higher than that in the intermediate microeconomics textbook literature and began in force much earlier. 30 that were the focus of the literature during this period. What we find, instead, are a host of references to the theorem, often with a paragraph or two of accompanying commentary, indicating that the theorem is irrelevant for the analysis of major environmental issues because the large number of parties involved negates the assumption of zero transaction costs and because the presence of consumer “victims” generates income effects that negate the invariance proposition. The in-depth treatments of the Coase theorem that we do find in the literature from this period are almost wholly critical of the theorem and the policy conclusions that some drew from it. This raises the question as to why many environmental economists felt compelled to bring up the Coase theorem in the first place. Why was it deemed worthy of the significance conferred by a two-issue symposium in the Natural Resources Journal, a “Survey of the Critics” in the second volume of the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Mishan’s scathing Pangloss article in a special issue of the Swedish Journal of Economics dedicated to “Environmental Economics,” and treatments in the textbook literature? After all, the theorem was widely panned as irrelevant, and there does not appear to be any larger “pro-Coase-theorem” current in the environmental economics literature that authors should have felt compelled to discuss and critique. One part of the answer undoubtedly lies in the fact that the economic analysis of environmental problems consciously drew from and was constructed upon the theory of externalities. The environmental economics literature did not evolve out of externality theory; rather, it evolved out of a concern on the part of some economists to grapple with environmental issues, in response to the larger social concerns of this period. It was stimulated by a perceived real-world problem rather than developing via a strictly internalist move—a “natural” progression of the literature—within the larger field of economics. Given the resonance of the pollution issue with the theory of externalities, it is understandable that economists would turn to this theory as a source of theoretical frameworks and models with which to analyze environmental issues. And given that the Coase theorem quickly 31 became a part of the landscape of externality theory,51 it is perhaps no surprise that environmental economists felt compelled to mention and even grapple with the theorem as they developed paradigms for inquiry. But the impact of the state of externality analysis here goes beyond mere theoretical borrowing by scholars in this emerging field. The Coase theorem was very much “in the air” during the 1970s, discussed in department hallways and seminar rooms, in addition to the scholarly literature.52 And among those talking about externality issues, there was a not insubstantial cadre suggesting that the theorem showed that tax and regulatory remedies, such as the Clean Air Act, were not necessary for an efficient resolution of environmental problems—that Coasean mechanisms would effectively internalize the relevant costs. Thus, while the environmental economics literature would suggest that the critics were reacting against an invisible straw man, attention to the larger background against which this emerging literature played out reveals a different picture and gives credence to the claims made by scholars such as Mishan and Randall that the theorem had a degree of support among economists generally as a framework through which one could do environmental policy analysis. A second conjecture here goes to the propensity of economists to be attracted to the study of interesting theoretical problems and puzzles, irrespective of their relevance. This is a typical historical explanation for many of the turns that we have seen in economics during the post-WWII period, as economists increasingly adopted more highly mathematical approaches and developed increasingly abstract models that many believed were loosed from “real-world” moorings. Does this conjecture hold up for environmental economics? There is a case to be made in each direction. 51 Even though the number of reference to Coase’s negotiation result in the 1960s is relatively small, this fact is accounted for by the smallness of the externality literature rather than the degree of interest in the Coase theorem within it. 52 I would like to thank Alan Randall for alerting me to this point and Emery Castle and Robert McCormick for confirming it. 32 One might reasonably argue that environmental economists were more practically oriented than the profession at large, as is sometimes the case for those whose research is focused on social policy issues. Evidence for this can be found in the assertion by Thomas Crocker, one of the pioneers of environmental economics, that “In contrast to the well-ordered, narrow path conferred by the universal paradigm of its parent discipline, the frequent demands starting in the 1930s for public policy applications in resource economics have given life to an eclectic interplay between real problems and abstract theory,” as well as “a lesser willingness than its parent discipline to protect theory from data” (1999, pp. 35, 36).53 Randall seems to lend support to this view with his assessment that, starting with Allen Kneese, environmental economists for the most part “resisted the lure of a simplistic, just leave it to the market’ answer” (1974, pp. 40-41). There is also, however, a case to be made for the opposing view. Mishan’s critique, referenced above, of the economist’s fascination with efficiency and lack of attention to issues of equity, grounded, he says, in economists love of “formal theorizing” suggests that abstract theory at times carried the day. Environmental economists were not immune to this, and the attention given to the Coase theorem may be a reflection of it.54 A further piece of evidence here comes from the use general equilibrium theory for the analysis of environmental issues, particularly the effects of Pigovian instruments. This theoretical framework is no more tightly wedded to reality than the Coasean one, with both operating in a world of costlessly adjusting markets, and the general equilibrium models assuming costless state action (e.g., zero information and bureaucracy costs).55 Though the negotiation result was originally formulated as a strictly intuitive proposition by Coase, and then converted into an intuitive “theorem” at the hands of Stigler, by the 1970s we were 53 See also Bromley (2008, esp. pp. 22-23). One finds a similar sentiment expressed by Crocker (1973, p. 561), as well as in Liebhafsky’s (1973, p. 632) statement that the Coasean position deals with the law “‘as if it contained only the axioms and corollaries of a book of mathematics” and that this view was attractive to many economists (quoting Oliver Wendell Holmes in Nebbia v. New York, 291 U.S. 502). 54 33 beginning to see a range of mathematical treatments of it, though much of this work was outside of environmental economics per se (both in terms of literature and context of analysis). The scores of articles authored by economists of all stripes attempting to prove or disprove the theorem, many of them done seemingly as “one-offs” by individuals who had no subsequent engagement with the relevant literature, speak powerfully to the attractive theoretical puzzle posed by the theorem. Randall (1978, p. 7) offers a somewhat different take on this same theme, attributing “much of the early success” of the Coase-inspired property rights approach to “the combination of neoclassical orthodoxy with [the property rights scholars’] fascinating and somewhat heretical habit of visualizing potential trades in situations where trading is illicit or, at least, not customary.” This of course, calls to mind the attraction of many economists to and the controversies within economics over economics imperialism and, more recently, the “freakonomics” genre.56 In sum, then, the challenge that the theorem posed to traditional ways of thinking about externality problems, and, by extension, environmental issues, and the interesting theoretical puzzle that it embodied, may be said to be one of the sources of attraction, even if that attraction took the form of criticism. Finally, one cannot overlook the role that normative, and even ideological (broadly conceived), factors may have played in these discussions. As Randall pointed out in 1974, “many of those who have worked so hard to pierce the Coasian balloon have invested that effort mainly because they found the policy implications of the Coase Theorem rather offensive” (1974, p. 35).57 We can identify two normative or ideological themes within these arguments. The first goes to issues of equity and fairness, which we have discussed at some length above, and reflects the view that holding “victims” liable is simply wrong. These arguments represent something of a rejection of the reciprocal view of externalities laid out by Coase in “The 55 One could argue that those who rejected the Coase theorem on realism grounds and then proceeded to advocate for a general equilibrium approach were more than a bit inconsistent in their demands regarding realism. 56 This also raises the question of whether environmental economics constitutes an instance of economics imperialism, but this is not the place to pursue this issue. 34 Problem of Social Cost.”58 One prominent illustration of this, and of the problematic nature of such assertions, can be found in Mishan’s argument for the priority of rights of non-smokers on the ground that “the freedom to breath fresh air does not, of itself, reduce the welfare of others.” In like manner, he says, “the freedom desired by members of the public to live in clean and quiet surroundings,” as against having noisy vehicles or polluting factories operating nearby “does not, of itself, reduce the welfare of others” (1971b, p. 25). But these statements are patently false; freedom for the nonsmoker reduces the welfare of the smoker and the freedom of the residents to enjoy amenity reduces the welfare of owners of the automobiles and of the plant, as well as the plant’s employees and the customers, both of which groups are impacted by the higher costs of production associated with costly pollution abatement activities. The second aspect of the normative/ideological cast of these discussions of the Coase theorem is what one might call the “pro-abatement” tone that is evidenced in so much of the environmental economics literature—a view that pollution levels must be reduced and that, in the Coase theorem context, leaving things to the market will almost certainly result in significant environmental degradation owing to the failure of the Coase theorem to work its magic in the real world (e.g., Samuels 1974, p. 22). Randall even goes so far as to ask whether one can adopt the Coasean position “without appearing blatantly anti-environment” (1974, p. 54). The discussion here ties directly back to the notion of relevance. As Randall pointed out, those who see the Coase theorem as relevant for dealing with environmental issues make one of two arguments. The first, grounded in the notion of allocative neutrality, is that there is no reason to move away from a system where polluters are not liable, since a change in the assignment of liability would have no allocative impact in any event (Randall 1974, p. 38). Randall refers to the doctrine of 57 Randall cites Samuels (1974) and Mishan’s various works as examples. Interestingly, others, including some not favorably disposed to the Coase theorem as a mechanism for dealing with externality problems, suggest that alerting economists to the reciprocal nature of externalities is one of the 58 35 allocative neutrality as “the clincher” to the Coasean approach and argues that “its demise,” owing to the various critiques of the theorem, “is disastrous to the laissez-faire people.” As both Samuels (1974) and Randall (1975) point out, it makes the policy significance of the Coase theorem the exact opposite of what those disposed to market solutions assert—property rights assignments, in reality, affect distribution and allocation, as well as “the whole range of macroeconomic variables” (1975, p. 739).59 A second concern relates to the implications that some were drawing for the evaluation of environmental and other policies in a world of positive transaction costs.60 The argument here was that transaction costs are simply another form of cost, like production costs, and that exchange which exhausts all gains from trade, net of transaction costs, is Pareto optimal. The conclusion drawn from this was that externalities are efficiently internalized through the market if transaction costs are the only factor precluding further exchange, meaning that government intervention to internalize the externality is unnecessary and even efficiency-diminishing. Randall summarizes this position as follows: “when a market for an external economy does not exist it should not exist, since the benefits from such a market clearly cannot exceed the costs of its operation. The absence of an observable market is itself a market solution.” The implication, then, is that “any externalities which are observed to exist unmodified should not be modified”—a notion that Samuels rejects on the grounds that it assumes “the propriety of allocations made through market adjustments” and which Randall labels a “fallacy” because it ignores the possibility that other corrective actions (e.g., Pigovian instruments) may be less costly than the market solution (1972a, pp. 176-77).61 It goes almost without saying that both of these “Coasean” positions would be anathema to those who believed that pollution should be reduced from its existing levels. As Mishan put it the major contributions of Coase’s article. This is a theme that Samuels, for one, emphasized repeatedly. See, e.g., Samuels (1974). 59 See also Randall (1974, p. 53). Dick (1976, p. 194) argues this same point. 60 See the references to Demsetz and Cheung cited in note 23, above. 36 case in his Journal of Economic Literature essay, “Rationalizing the status quo in this way brings the economist perilously close to defending it” (1971, p. 17), and the status quo was viewed by many as wholly objectionable. The clear sentiment that emerges from the writings of the theorem’s strongest critics is that the market should not be the sole arbiter of rights over resources such as air and water. Although the Coase theorem was (and is) a descriptive, positive statement with no direct normative implications, those strongly opposed to it tended to object to what they perceived as its normative thrust. Samuels (1974) pointed to what he saw as “the laissez faire, non-interventionist tenor of the usual Coasian discussions” (p. 13) and labeled the Coase theorem as “part of the apologetics and theology of the market” (p. 27). As such, he said, “the Coasian analysis is but an attempt to lend the credo of science to normative justification of the market and its fantasies of markets everywhere, and to have everything seen in that light” (1974, p. 11). Randall described the Coasean position in similar terms: “If there is one normative statement which sums up their position, it is this: The opportunity for trades, of all types, should be maximized,” and private trading is “the solution to any and all perceived economic and/or institutional problems” (1978, p. 7). The role of government here, then, is reduced to “allocative impotence” (1974, p. 37).62 We even find this point of view reflected in the textbook literature, with Pearce associating the Coasean position with “Advocates of a free market” and “those who are concerned to minimize government activity” (1976, p. 84) and Edel (1973, p. 98) sounding similar concerns. We see in the strong critiques of the theorem leveled by Randall, Samuels, and Mishan the suggestion—essentially confirmed by Mishan in the above quotation (see also 1971a)—that they put a great deal of stock in the idea that economists were very attracted to the Coase theorem owing to their predisposition toward decentralized market solutions, and in the potential for the continuation, and even increase, in that attachment (1972, p. 176; 1974, pp. 37-38). One gets the sense from 61 See also Randall (1974, pp 45-46; 1975, p. 735) and Samuels (1974, pp. 4-5). 37 reading these works that there was a perceived need to “demolish” the theorem (to use Randall’s term) in order to put an end to fantasies about market solutions and, perhaps more importantly, any prospective attempts to make status-quo-favorable efficiency judgments that would deflect attention from the goal of achieving a reduction in environmental pollution, which Mishan (1971b, p. 26) labeled “the most urgent economic problem of our fragile civilization.” In short, there can be no question that the Coasean approach was perceived—by environmental economists and others—as a real threat to the long-accepted status of the Pigovian tradition, an approach that guaranteed reductions in pollution emissions from market-generated levels and did so in a way that imposed costs on emitters rather than “victims.” Mishan makes this explicit, characterizing what he labels a “consensus” on the Coase theorem (1971, pp. 16-17) as the launching point for “an iconoclastic movement to edge the master [Pigou] from his niche in the hall of fame” (1974, p. 1288 at n.1),63 the blame for which he laid squarely at the feet of Coase and, to a lesser extent, Buchanan and Stubblebine (1962). In adopting such a stance, however, economists put themselves at odds with “politicians, administrators, and the general public,” as this latter group, in Randall’s view, “seems to have more faith in systems of standards” to achieve the desired level of pollution reduction (1972, p. 176).64 62 Randall suggests that Coase and Demsetz seem to be of the mind that “the role of central planning [read: government intervention] should be minimized” (1974, p. 35). Samuels (1974) makes a similar argument. 63 See also Samuels (1974, pp. 27-28). That said, not everyone saw things in this way. Horner (1975) notes, in the period since Coase raised the possibility of negotiated solutions, “most of the literature has defended policies based on Pigovian taxes and subsidies to correct the inefficiencies caused by externalities” (1975, p. 34). Fisher and Peterson (1976, p. 25), in like manner, tell us that environmental economists “usually recommend Pigovian taxes to internalize the externalities associated with pollution.” Horner goes on, though, to play into the hands of those disposed to Coasean solutions (with transaction costs, a la Demsetz, Cheung, and the Coase of pages 15 onward in “The Problem of Social Cost”) in saying that Pigovian policies “eliminate the need to consider the transactions costs preventing negotiations and the ambiguity of property rights associated with natural resources such as air and water” (1975, p. 34), thus tacitly admitting that the exclusive focus on Pigovian remedies forecloses the investigation of whether market solutions might entail lower costs than the Pigovian ones. 64 See also Randall (1974, pp. 40-41). Mills and Peterson (1975) lament that economists and economic analysis generally were not allowed to play an influential role in the environmental policy-making process during the first half of the 1970s. 38 It bears emphasizing, though, that the normative or ideological argument cuts both ways. Indeed, as Harlow (1974, p. 540) has pointed out, ideology appears on both sides of the pollution argument, in both the market failure and the pro-market approaches. What is curious about the environmental economics literature is that it evidences little of the pro-market viewpoint, except to the extent that one considers Pigovian taxes and subsidies market instruments, which some during this period did. But whether one is looking at the environmental economics literature or externality theory generally, it seems reasonable to conclude, as Randall did, that “At almost every stage in the debate which sprang up around ‘The Problem of Social Cost,’ it is unclear whether theory fathered policy viewpoints or vice-versa” (1974, p. 36).65 What was apparent to Randall was that the normative thrust attached to the theorem and its technical attraction combined to account for “the fascination which the Coasian debate has held for a sizable number of academic economists.” This debate, he said, “has all the stuff of which great scholarly debates are made—opportunity for highpowered theorizing possibly leading to, or justifying, radical suggestions for policy orientation” (1974, p. 36). Conclusion When discussing his 1937 article on “The Nature of the Firm” at an NBER conference in 1972, Ronald Coase opined that his article was “much cited but little used” (1972, p. 63). Much the same can be said of the status of the Coase theorem in the first two decades of the environmental economics literature, where the standard approach was to mention the theorem as one of several possible solutions to environmental pollution problems, only to quickly wave it aside on the grounds of irrelevance. 65 Dan Bromley and Alan Randall have both suggested to me in correspondence related to this paper that what one might call the “pro-environment” view present much of the environmental economics literature during this period may be the result of self-selection: that the individuals most likely to be attracted to this emerging field were those who had an interest in doing something about the environmental conditions of the day. 39 There can be no question that Coase’s article had a significant influence on the environmental literature, even given the dismissive view of the theorem that one finds in this literature during the 1960s and 1970s. Randall, for all of his criticism of the Coase theorem, calls Coase’s article “truly seminal” and credits it for stimulating a vast literature on externalities (1974, p. 53)—a literature that, of course, fed quickly into the emerging field of environmental economics—and Mishan expressed similar sentiments about impact, if not seminality (1971b, pp.16-17). The theorem’s curious treatment by environmental economists seems to be the result of an interaction between the attention given to the theorem within the larger theory of externalities and the nature of the problems—cases of large-scale environmental pollution—on which environmental economists were focused. Those who were working on pollution issues continued to do so almost exclusively within a Pigovian framework, though the view was perhaps tempered slightly by the acknowledgment that Crocker (1966), Dales (1968), and later Montgomery (1972) had shown that markets or market-like processes could, in theory at least, be considered as possible mechanisms for dealing with externality problems. But one should not make too much even of this, as there was little sentiment during this period that markets constituted viable solutions to environmental problems. The objections to the theorem that received prominent play in the literature are neatly tied to the issues facing environmental economists. The focus on the impact of income effects, which becomes an issue for externalities to which consumers are a party, was logical response to the environmental issues, such as air pollution, that were at the center of the policy debates during this period. And, of course, the large numbers character of these issues somewhat inadvertently put environmental economists on the front lines of economists emphasizing the importance of transaction costs within the exchange process—though little was done in the way of attempting to assess the details of their effects or mechanisms that might be employed to reduce them. On the other hand, environmental economists were not nearly so quick to express concern about the efficiency effects of the costs associated with government action. There was more than a bit of attention given 40 to the difficulties of computing the optimal Pigovian tax—the classic exposition being Baumol (1972)—but far less devoted to the costs associated with the bureaucracy that would oversee the tax/regulatory processes that were seen as the only viable policy alternatives in the 1970s. Of course, this last point featured prominently in Coase’s 1960 discussion of policy responses to social cost issues. Although the point of this paper is to look at the treatment of the Coase theorem result in the environmental literature, this brings us to the issue of the treatment of Coase’s larger message in “The Problem of Social Cost.” It is interesting that environmental economists by and large confined their discussion of Coase during the 1960s and 1970s to his statements about the reciprocal nature of externalities and the Coase theorem. In doing so, they misapprehended both the rationale for Coase’s analysis of the world of zero transaction costs and his discussion of the appropriate responses to life in the real world of positive transaction costs. In the former instance, the efficient internalization of externalities in a world of zero transaction costs revealed that Pigovian remedies are unnecessary in the world contemplated by Pigovian externality theory. But once the economist moves to the real world of positive transaction costs, and with that acknowledges that there are costs associated with government coordination as well, the policy realm becomes one of making choices between imperfect alternatives. The central message of “The Problem of Social Cost” is not the Coase theorem, but its converse—that the resolution of questions of externality policy should ultimately come down to a case-by-case analysis of the benefits and costs of alternative courses of action, including the possibility of allowing the externality to persist if the costs of government action exceed the cost associated with the external effect. That so much of the environmental literature of the 1970s focused on the Coase theorem (and, one might argue, the necessity of using Pigovian instruments) suggests that environmental economists, like economists generally, confined their attention to a relatively small part of Coase’s article, and there is virtually 41 no mention of Coase’s emphasis on the need for a comparative institutional approach to problems of social cost.66 The literature here seems to give effect to Coase’s concern about the use of the term, “externality”—a term that, for Coase, implies the existence of an activity that must be restrained in some way. One possible explanation for this is the role of preconceptions—a point noted by several commentators over the course of the 1970s. 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