Oligopoly Monopolistic Competition and Product Differentiation

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Monopolistic Competition and Product
Differentiation
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Outline for Lectures 20 and 21. Read Chapters 12
and 13 and the assigned class reading.
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Announcements
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http://www.theonion.com/content/news/pepsi_to_cease_advertising
Oligopoly
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An oligopoly is an industry with only a small number of
producers.
†
It is a common market structure.
„
„
What is an oligopoly and why it occurs.
Collusion.
Game theory and the “prisoners’ dilemma”
Tacit collusion
Antitrust policy.
†
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Cigarettes, batteries, breweries, breakfast cereals, autos, and airlines,
among others.
It arises from the same forces that lead to monopoly, but in weaker
form.
When no one firm has a monopoly, but producers
nonetheless realize that they can affect market prices, an
industry is characterized by imperfect competition,
Possible behaviors (discussed last class)
„ Cartel:
http://theinformantmovie.warnerbros.com/
on price “Bertrand equilibrium”
„ Game theory
„ Compete
The Prisoners’ Dilemma
Clearly better
Definitions
Strategic interactions of Duopolists:
the market for Lysine
Best response:
highest payoff given
other player’s
strategies
Dominant
strategy: always
the best response
Nash equilibrium
Nash equilibrium:
all players play
their best
responses, given
other player’s
actions.
Nash outcome
1
…
5
There are a rich range of possible behaviors in
even simple games.
†
Left (player D)
Right (Player D)
D wins $0
C wins
$100
Bottom
(player C)
C wins
$100
D wins
$100
Bottom
(player C)
C wins
$200
†
D wins
$100
C wins
$100
D wins $0
C loses
$10,000
Player C does not have a dominant strategy. But
player D does, so C can predict that D will play
“right.” Thus C will play “bottom” and this is the
Nash equilibrium.
Right (Player D)
D wins $0
D wins
$100
C wins
$200
Player C does not have a dominant strategy. But
player D does. But player C may not be willing to
risk the possibility that D will play “left,” so C may
choose to minimize potential losses by choosing
“top.”
How Repeated Interaction Can Support Collusion
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Not all games have dominant strategies – it depends
on the structure of the game.
†
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Top
(player C)
C wins
$100
A Couple Further Words on Prisoners
Dilemma Games
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Left (player D)
D wins
$100
D wins $0
C loses
$100
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Perhaps firms will play a “maximin” strategy
(maximize the minimum gain).
A Nash equilibrium even with no dominant strategy
Top
(player C)
†
…
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Today’s homework gives an example.
So far we have just talked about one-shot games.
M t oligopolists
Most
li
li t will
ill iinteract
t
t repeatedly
t dl in
i th
the market.
k t
A “tit for tat” strategy involves playing cooperatively at
first, and then doing whatever the other player did in the
previous period.
† Firms can make greater short-term profits by cheating, but
long-term profits will be higher if they cooperate implicitly.
†
„
This is referred to as “tacit collusion.”
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The Kinked Demand Curve
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Oligopoly in Practice
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Raise prices, others
won’t, so you lose
lots of sales
(elastic demand).
Lower prices,
others retaliate, so
demand is very
steep to the right
of Q*.
Antitrust laws.
Sherman Act of 1890 (forbids conspiring to restrict trade
and forbids attempts at monopolization).
† Clayton Act (1914) allows private suits, restricts mergers.
†
„
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Abundant case law (complex area).
Life can be hard for would-be colluders
Hard with many firms.
Hard with complex products and pricing schemes.
† Differences in “seniority” or costs.
† Bargaining power of buyers (like Walmart…)
†
†
Changes in MC
may have little
effect on output!
So What Should You Make of
Oligopoly?
11
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aS_d0Ayjw4o
In economics we typically ask how self-interested
individuals would behave and analyze their
interactions.
This approach is unfortunately limited in the case of
oligopoly, because we do not know the extent (and nature)
of noncooperati
noncooperative
e interactions or whether oligopolists will
collude.
† The perfectly competitive model and the logic of supply and
demand can be very useful in analyzing oligopolistic
markets, however.
†
„
In cases where this isn’t enough, economists write down models of the
strategic interactions of firms, recognizing complications the arise from
price wars, anti-trust policy and other issues. These models can be
complicated!
3
Public Policy and Competition
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Common issues of market structure and competition.
†
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the merger allow the companies to operate more efficiently,
creating benefits for consumers?
„ Or will the merger hinder competition?
Size of the market – 4-firm concentration ratios, or the
Herfindahl-Hirshman index (sum of shares, squared).
† What is the market? Globalization and the internet has
expanded markets.
„ Office
Depot and Staples – what is the effect of competition on
Potential entrants.
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What substitutes are there for products?
†
†
…
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Potential substitutes will limit the ability to earn high profit.
Airlines purchase planes from oligopolists, leading to
interesting strategic issues.
Do customers have market power?
†
Cartels hinder competition
How “contestable” are markets?
Who are suppliers?
†
prices?
15
Concentration ratios, HHI indices; the amount of product
differentiation.
…
Many issues arise when considering these questions.
†
The rivalry among existing firms.
†
Exxon-Mobil wants to merge. Exxon is the 4th largest and
Mobil is the 13th largest U.S. company (measured in sales).
„ Will
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What factors will regulators consider?
Intel sells to Dell. Proctor and Gamble sells to Walmart.
Two final competition thoughts
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Therefore, cartels are illegal. But firms will engage
in other practices that may be anti-competitive.
†
Throughout the world, there has been a wave of
deregulation. This has delivered important benefits
to consumers.
†
†
Minimum resale price maintenance agreements.
Exclusive dealings
g
† Tie-in sales (bundling)
† Predatory pricing.
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But some regulation is necessary – airline safety, bank
soundness, food safety.
† We need to be constantly vigilant about “regulatory
capture.”
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