Monopolistic Competition and Product Differentiation Outline for Lectures 20 and 21. Read Chapters 12 and 13 and the assigned class reading. Announcements http://www.theonion.com/content/news/pepsi_to_cease_advertising Oligopoly 2 An oligopoly is an industry with only a small number of producers. It is a common market structure. What is an oligopoly and why it occurs. Collusion. Game theory and the “prisoners’ dilemma” Tacit collusion Antitrust policy. Cigarettes, batteries, breweries, breakfast cereals, autos, and airlines, among others. It arises from the same forces that lead to monopoly, but in weaker form. When no one firm has a monopoly, but producers nonetheless realize that they can affect market prices, an industry is characterized by imperfect competition, Possible behaviors (discussed last class) Cartel: http://theinformantmovie.warnerbros.com/ on price “Bertrand equilibrium” Game theory Compete The Prisoners’ Dilemma Clearly better Definitions Strategic interactions of Duopolists: the market for Lysine Best response: highest payoff given other player’s strategies Dominant strategy: always the best response Nash equilibrium Nash equilibrium: all players play their best responses, given other player’s actions. Nash outcome 1 5 There are a rich range of possible behaviors in even simple games. Left (player D) Right (Player D) D wins $0 C wins $100 Bottom (player C) C wins $100 D wins $100 Bottom (player C) C wins $200 D wins $100 C wins $100 D wins $0 C loses $10,000 Player C does not have a dominant strategy. But player D does, so C can predict that D will play “right.” Thus C will play “bottom” and this is the Nash equilibrium. Right (Player D) D wins $0 D wins $100 C wins $200 Player C does not have a dominant strategy. But player D does. But player C may not be willing to risk the possibility that D will play “left,” so C may choose to minimize potential losses by choosing “top.” How Repeated Interaction Can Support Collusion 8 Not all games have dominant strategies – it depends on the structure of the game. Top (player C) C wins $100 A Couple Further Words on Prisoners Dilemma Games Left (player D) D wins $100 D wins $0 C loses $100 7 Perhaps firms will play a “maximin” strategy (maximize the minimum gain). A Nash equilibrium even with no dominant strategy Top (player C) 6 Today’s homework gives an example. So far we have just talked about one-shot games. M t oligopolists Most li li t will ill iinteract t t repeatedly t dl in i th the market. k t A “tit for tat” strategy involves playing cooperatively at first, and then doing whatever the other player did in the previous period. Firms can make greater short-term profits by cheating, but long-term profits will be higher if they cooperate implicitly. This is referred to as “tacit collusion.” 2 The Kinked Demand Curve 9 Oligopoly in Practice 10 Raise prices, others won’t, so you lose lots of sales (elastic demand). Lower prices, others retaliate, so demand is very steep to the right of Q*. Antitrust laws. Sherman Act of 1890 (forbids conspiring to restrict trade and forbids attempts at monopolization). Clayton Act (1914) allows private suits, restricts mergers. Abundant case law (complex area). Life can be hard for would-be colluders Hard with many firms. Hard with complex products and pricing schemes. Differences in “seniority” or costs. Bargaining power of buyers (like Walmart…) Changes in MC may have little effect on output! So What Should You Make of Oligopoly? 11 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aS_d0Ayjw4o In economics we typically ask how self-interested individuals would behave and analyze their interactions. This approach is unfortunately limited in the case of oligopoly, because we do not know the extent (and nature) of noncooperati noncooperative e interactions or whether oligopolists will collude. The perfectly competitive model and the logic of supply and demand can be very useful in analyzing oligopolistic markets, however. In cases where this isn’t enough, economists write down models of the strategic interactions of firms, recognizing complications the arise from price wars, anti-trust policy and other issues. These models can be complicated! 3 Public Policy and Competition 13 Common issues of market structure and competition. 14 the merger allow the companies to operate more efficiently, creating benefits for consumers? Or will the merger hinder competition? Size of the market – 4-firm concentration ratios, or the Herfindahl-Hirshman index (sum of shares, squared). What is the market? Globalization and the internet has expanded markets. Office Depot and Staples – what is the effect of competition on Potential entrants. What substitutes are there for products? Potential substitutes will limit the ability to earn high profit. Airlines purchase planes from oligopolists, leading to interesting strategic issues. Do customers have market power? Cartels hinder competition How “contestable” are markets? Who are suppliers? prices? 15 Concentration ratios, HHI indices; the amount of product differentiation. Many issues arise when considering these questions. The rivalry among existing firms. Exxon-Mobil wants to merge. Exxon is the 4th largest and Mobil is the 13th largest U.S. company (measured in sales). Will What factors will regulators consider? Intel sells to Dell. Proctor and Gamble sells to Walmart. Two final competition thoughts 16 Therefore, cartels are illegal. But firms will engage in other practices that may be anti-competitive. Throughout the world, there has been a wave of deregulation. This has delivered important benefits to consumers. Minimum resale price maintenance agreements. Exclusive dealings g Tie-in sales (bundling) Predatory pricing. But some regulation is necessary – airline safety, bank soundness, food safety. We need to be constantly vigilant about “regulatory capture.” 4