Economics 340: International Economics Andrew T. Hill Nontariff Barriers to Trade & Textbook Readings: Pugel & Lindert, International Economics, 11th Edition, pp. 139-162. 10th Edition, pp. 133-153. : Textbook Web Site: Key Graph 3 at http://www.mhhe.com/economics/pugel The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) made tremendous strides to reduce the overall levels of tariffs in the United States and around the world. Since GATT members had multilaterally agreed to eliminate many tariffs, these countries came up with more innovative ways to reduce imports and protect domestic industries. These innovative measures are called nontariff barriers (NTB’s). It is important to note that there are many different types of NTB’s. Any measure that reduces imports and leaves domestic producers unaffected is an NTB. A tax on leather goods would reduce imports, but it would also reduce consumption of domestically produced leather coats, shoes, belts, etc. Therefore, such a tax on leather goods would not be an NTB. There are a great number of nontariff barriers to trade that were not immediately intended to reduce imports and provide protection to domestic producer. Examples: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. American auto safety and emissions regulations enacted in the 1970’s Japanese standards and U.S. baseball bats, European skis, and Canadian lumber French VCR regulations on importation of Japanese VCRs. Japanese restrictions on leather goods. Government procurement. Ontario’s tax on beer sold in cans. More directly, an import quota places a physical limit on the quantity of a good that may be imported during a specific time period. Agricultural products and textiles were global industries that were heavily regulated by quotas. The Uruguay Round of GATT forced the conversion of the agricultural quotas back into tariffs and phased out the quotas on apparel and textiles. (Why would GATT want to try to get countries to change quotas into tariffs when the original reason for GATT in the 1940’s was to reduce tariffs? WE SHALL SEE!) Table 20: Examples of U.S. Import Quotas (prior to the complete of the Uruguay Round) Import Article Wheat (Canada) Swiss cheese (EU) Milk and cream (N.Z.) Animal feeds (Ireland) Chocolate (U.K.) Cheddar cheese (Australia) Ice cream (Belgium) Quota Q (per year) 21.6 million kg 20.5 million kg 5.7 million L 5.4 million kg 3.3 million kg 1.2 million kg 0.9 million kg 43 Import quotas could be assigned in two general ways: 1. Global quota - specifies a set amount allowed to be imported in a given year but does not specify from where. There are some problems with this method of assigning the quota: 2. Selective quota - specifies amount allowed to be imported in a given year and tells where that amount can come from. ● Import Quota Graphically Unlike tariffs, we will only consider the small-country case when looking at the import quota. Differences between the small-country and large-country import quota cases are similar to those differences we saw when considering tariffs. The key to imposing the import quota is to shift the domestic supply curve to the right by the amount of the quota. Why? Because total supply from domestic and foreign producers will be the quantity produced domestically plus the amount that is allowed to be imported under the quota regime. P SNZ Market for widgets in New Zealand P*=price in autarky Pw=free trade price a Q*=equilibrium Q in autarky Qs=Q supplied domestically with b c d free trade Qd=Q demanded domestically e f g h i j DNZ Q with free trade QsQd=imports with free trade Qs’=Q supplied domestically with import quota in place Qd’=Q demanded domestically with import quota in place Qs’Qd’=imports with quota in place Sw=world supply curve SNZ=domestic supply curve SNZ+Q=domestic supply curve + quota PQ=price after the VER is imposed 44 Table 21: Welfare Effects of an Import Quota in a Small-Country Group Autarky Free Trade Quota Net Consumers ____________ ____________ ____________ ____________ Producers ____________ ____________ ____________ ____________ New Zealand As a Whole ____________ ____________ ____________ ____________ As with the tariff cases we studied before, there are a number of specific effects stemming from the imposition of the quota in the market for widgets in New Zealand. The redistributive effect is the economic welfare transferred from consumer surplus to producer surplus as a result of the quota. The protective or production effect of the quota is the welfare loss associated with increased production of the good in the relatively inefficient domestic market. The consumption effect is the welfare loss associated with consumers purchasing less at a higher price. Let’s identify these areas on the graph above. The production (protection) effect combined with the consumption effect are called deadweight losses. The redistributive effect is the area __________. The productive (protective) effect is the area __________. The consumption effect is the area __________. The revenue effect of the quota is the amount of the import quota times the amount by which the price is increased in the country as a result of the import quota’s imposition. The revenue effect of the quota is the area __________. The big question is where does the revenue effect go? To whom does this economic welfare accrue? There are three distinct places that the revenue effect can go depending on the conditions that prevail when the quota is put in place. 1. Import companies might bargain favorably with the foreign producers and purchase the good at the prevailing world price. In this case, the importing companies would obtain the revenue effect as additional profits. I call these importing companies “domestic middlemen”. In this case, the economic welfare represented by the revenue effect would remain in the United States Example: Walmart purchases sweaters from Venezuelan producers. There is a U.S. import quota on sweaters from Venezuela. Walmart purchases the sweaters at the prevailing world price from Venezuela, but sells the sweaters in their stores in the United States at the higher PQ price. 2. Foreign producers might organize as sellers and drive up the delivered price of the good. Therefore, the foreign producers would capture the revenue effect for themselves. In this case, the revenue effect would be economic welfare that would 45 leave the home country and would be added to the deadweight losses to get the total net loss from the quota. 3. The domestic government might auction off import licenses to the highest bidders thereby recouping the quota revenue as government revenue. In this case, the import quota and the tariff would be very similar in their welfare effects. How would the import license auction take place and why would the sale of the import licenses guarantee the recouping of the revenue of the import quota given a perfectly competitive auction? ● Import Quotas Versus Tariffs In order for an import quota and tariff to be called equivalent, they must have the same effect on imports and on the prevailing market price. So, an import quota and a tariff that reduce imports by the same amount and raise the prevailing domestic price by the same amount are called equivalent. P SNZ P SNZ SNZ+Q a a b c e f g h Sw+t i d j Sw DNZ b c e f g h i j d DNZ Q Tariff Sw Q Import Quota The tariff and the import quota illustrated immediately above are equivalent because they reduce imports by the same amount from __________ to __________. They also raise price by the same amount. The consumption effect, redistributive effect, production (protective) effect, and revenue effect are the same under the tariff as in the case of the import quota. However, there is more to the comparison of the tariff and the import quota than just this static comparison. Over time, we would expect that there may be significant increases in 46 demand for the good in question. What effect does an increase in demand have in each case? P SNZ P SNZ SNZ+Q a a b c e f g h Sw+t i j d Sw DNZ b c e f g h i j d Sw DNZ Q Q Import Quota Tariff An equivalent increase in demand has been illustrated with the dashed line in each graph. Now, let’s illustrate the consumption effect, production (protection) effect, revenue effect, and redistributive effect after the increase in demand. Legend Consumption effect Production (Protective) effect Redistributive effect Revenue effect Let us now compare the graphs immediately above with those on the previous page. As a result of the increase in demand, show the changes (or lack thereof) in the prevailing domestic price, level of imports, size of the deadweight losses (DWLs), and the size of the revenue effect. Tariff Import Quota P P DWLs DWLs Revenue Effect Revenue Effect Imports Imports 47 From this analysis, we can conclude that the import quota is more restrictive than the tariff since the import quota will result in an increase in the domestic price, an increase in DWLs, an increase in the revenue effect, and leave imports unchanged in response to an increase in demand. Under the tariff regime, the price and DWLs will remain unchanged while imports will increase. So, the import quota restricts imports more and provides a greater level of protection to the domestic firms. The import quota’s effects are more damaging to domestic and world economic welfare since demand increases will result in larger losses with the quota than with the tariff. So, given increases in demand over time, the effective rate of protection provided by the import quota will increase over time. ● Voluntary Export Restraint In the 1980’s, another form of nontariff barrier to trade that emerged was the voluntary export restraint (VER). The voluntary export restraint is an agreement between the exporting country and the importing country whereby the exporting country places a restriction on the quantity of a good that can be exported from the exporting country to the importing country. The VER looks very similar to the import quota graphically. There is a fundamental difference that we will investigate. P SNZ Market for widgets in New Zealand P*=price in autarky Pw=free trade price a Q*=equilibrium Q in autarky Qs=Q supplied domestically with b c d free trade Qd=Q demanded domestically e f g h i j DNZ Q with free trade QsQd=imports with free trade Qs’=Q supplied domestically with VER in place Qd’=Q demanded domestically with VER in place Qs’Qd’=imports with VER in place Sw=world supply curve SNZ=domestic supply curve SNZ+Q=domestic supply curve + VER quantity PQ=price after the VER is imposed The redistributive effect, consumption effect, production (protective) effect, and revenue effect are exactly the same as they were in the import quota case above. However, the revenue effect in the case of the VER will always accrue to the foreign producers as increased profit. 48 Therefore, while with a properly placed import quota or a tariff, it is possible for the revenue effect to stay in the domestic economy, in the case of the VER, the revenue effect will be a loss to the domestic economy. So, while the economic losses associated with the properly imposed import quota with import licenses or the tariff is only the deadweight losses, in the case of the VER, the economic losses will be the deadweight losses and the revenue effect. The primary reason why a domestic government might be willing to enter into a voluntary export restraint agreement with the exporting country’s government is for political reasons. The VER, if an agreement can be reached, can be viewed by the domestic population as a “victory” by the domestic government in a “trade battle” with the exporting government. The exporting government will usually be very willing to negotiate VER’s because such agreements help the exporting country’s producers. Moreover, VER’s are nontariff barriers which are under the exporting country’s control. While the domestic government can lift tariffs and import quotas at will, the exporting country has complete control as to when it will lift the VER. For instance, a VER agreement between the United States and Japan negotiated during the Reagan Administration has been continued to today not because the U.S. has insisted on it, but rather because the Japanese have unilaterally decided to extend it since the net effect of the VER for Japanese producers was so positive. ✍ Predicated Essays for Non-tariff Barriers 1. Which is a more restrictive trade barrier—an import tariff or an equivalent import quota? HINT: Consider an increase in demand when answering. 2. Which tends to result in a greater welfare loss for the home economy: (a) an import quota levied by the home government or (b) a voluntary export quota imposed by the foreign government? 3. Given your understanding of the different effects of tariffs and quotas, why has the World Trade Organization (formerly GATT) attempted to reduce sharply the current reliance on quotas and other quantitative measures often in favor of tariffs? 49