7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Asset Pricing Chapter VII. The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Another View About Risk June 20, 2006 Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Equilibrium theory (in search of appropriate risk premium) Exchange economy Supply = Demand: for all asset j, I P wij Y0i = pj Qj i Implications for returns Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Traditional Approach All agents are mean-variance maximizers Same beliefs (expected returns and covariance matrix) There exists a risk free asset Common linear efficient frontier Separation/Two fund theorem T=M Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions a. The market portfolio is efficient since it is on the efficient frontier. b. All individual optimal portfolios are located on the half line originating at point (0, rf ) The slope of the CML r M −rf σM r p = rf + r M − rf σp σM Asset Pricing (1) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions E (r) CML M E (rM) rf j sM s Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Refer to Figure 7.1. Consider a portfolio with a fraction 1- a of wealth invested in an arbitrary security j and a fraction a in the market portfolio r̄p = αr̄M + (1 − α)r̄j 2 σp2 = α2 σM + (1 − α)2 σj2 + 2α(1 − α)σjM As α varies we trace a locus that - passes through M (- and through j) - cannot cross the CML (why?) - hence must be tangent to the CML at M d r̄ Tangency = dσpp |α=1 = slope of the locus at M = slope of CML = Asset Pricing r̄M −rf σM 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions r̄j = rf + (r̄M − rf ) Define:βj = σjM 2 σM (2) σjM 2 σM r j = rf + r M − rf σM βj σM = rf + r M − rf σM ρjM σj Only a portion of total risk is remunerated = Systematic Risk Asset Pricing (3) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions r̃j = α + βj r̃M + εj (4) 2 σj2 = βj2 σM + σε2j , (5) β̂j = σ̂jM . 2 σ̂M r̄j − rf = (r̄ M − rf ) βj β is the only factor; SML is linear Asset Pricing (6) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proof of the CAPM relationship Appendix 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions E(r) SML E(ri) E(rM) rf Slope SML = ErM – rf = (E(ri) – rf) /bi bM bM =1 bi Asset Pricing b 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions With r̃j = C F̃ t+1 j pj,t E − 1, the CAPM implies ˜ CF j,t+1 pj,t or E cov ! −1 ˜ CF j,t+1 pj,t = rf + βj (E r̃M − rf ) = rf + ˜ CF j,t+1 pj,t ! −1 = rf + 1 pj,t ! − 1, r̃M (E r̃M − rf ), 2 σM ˜ cov (CF j,t+1 , r̃M )[ E (r̃M ) − rf 2 σM Solving for pj,t yields E “ ˜ CF ” j,t+1 ˜ − cov (CF j,t+1 , r̃M )[ pj,t = Er̃M −rf σ2 M 1 + rf which one may also write E pj,t = “ ˜ CF ” j,t+1 − pj,t βj [E r̃M − rf ] 1 + rf Asset Pricing . ] , ]. 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier Goal: Understand better what the CAPm is really about - In the process: generalize. No risk free asset Vector of expected returns e Returns are linearly independent Vij = σij Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions T w Vw = w1 w2 σ12 σ12 σ21 σ22 w1 w2 = w1 σ12 + w2 σ21 w1 σ1 = w12 σ12 + w1 w2 σ21 + w1 w2 σ12 + w22 σ22 = w12 σ12 + w22 σ22 + 2w1 w2 σ12 ≥ 0 since σ12 = ρ12 σ1 σ2 ≥ −σ1 σ2 . Definition 7.1 A frontier portfolio is one which displays minimum variance among all feasible portfolios with the same E(r̃p ) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions (λ) (γ) 1 min w T Vw w 2 N P T wi E(r̃ i ) = E (r̃p ) = E s.t. w e = E i=1 N P T w 1=1 wi = 1 i=1 Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions wp = CE − A −1 B − AE −1 V e} + V 1 {z | D } D }| {z } | {z | {z vector vector γ λ |{z} |{z} scalar = scalar i 1 h i 1 h −1 B V 1 − A V −1 e + C V −1 e − A V −1 1 E D D wp = g + |{z} h |{z} E |{z} vector vector scalar If E=0, wp = g If E=1, wp = g + h Asset Pricing (7) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Proposition 7.1 The entire set of frontier portfolios can be generated by (are affine combinations of) g and g + h. Proof To see this, let q be an arbitrary frontier portfolio with E (r̃q ) as its expected return. Consider portfolio weights (proportions) πg = 1 − E (r̃q ) and πg+h = E (r̃q ); then, as asserted, [1 − E (r̃q )] g +E (r̃q ) (g + h) = g +hE (r̃q ) = wq . Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Proposition 7.2 The portfolio frontier can be described as affine combinations of any two frontier portfolios, not just the frontier portfolios g and g + h. Proof To confirm this assertion, let p1 and p2 be any two distinct frontier portfolios; since the frontier portfolios are different, E (r̃p1 ) 6= E (r̃p2 ). Let q be an arbitrary frontier portfolio, with expected return equal to E (r̃q ). Since E (r̃p1 ) 6= E (r̃p2 ), there must exist a unique number α such that E (r̃q ) = αE (r̃p1 ) + (1 − α) E (r̃p2 ) (8) Now consider a portfolio of p1 and p2 with weights α, 1 − α, respectively, as determined by Equation (8). We must show that wq = αwp1 + (1 − α) wp2 . Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions αwp1 + (1 − α) wp2 = α [g + hE (r̃p1 )] + (1 − α) [g + hE (r̃p2 )] = g + h [αE (r̃p1 ) + (1 − α) E (r̃p2 )] = g + hE (r̃q ) = wq , since q is a frontier portfolio. Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions For any portfolio on the frontier, σ 2 (r̃p ) = [g + hE (r̃p )]T V [g + hE (r̃p )] , with g and h as defined earlier. Multiplying all this out yields; C σ (r̃p ) = D 2 A E (r̃p ) − C 2 Asset Pricing + 1 , C (9) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions (i) the expected return of the minimum variance portfolio is A/C; (ii) the variance of the minimum variance portfolio is given by C1 ; (iii) Equation (9) is the equation of a parabola with vertex 1 A C , C in the expected return/variance space and of a hyperbola in the expected return/standard deviation space. See Figures 7.3 and 7.4. Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The Set of Frontier Portfolios: Mean/Variance Space E(r) A/C 1/C Var(r) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The Set of Frontier Portfolios: Mean/Variance Space E(r) Minimum variance portfolio A/C w=g+h 1 w=g sqr(1/C ) SD(r) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.1 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Proposition Portfolio 7.2 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The Set of Frontier Portfolios: Short Selling Allowed E(r) B Corresponds to short selling A to buy more of B MVP Corresponds to short selling B to buy more of A A SD(r) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset Definition 7.2 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.3 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio Proposition 7.4 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Efficient Portfolios: Characteristics Definition 7.2: Efficient portfolios are those frontier portfolios for which the expected return exceeds A/C, the expected return of the minimum variance portfolio. Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset Definition 7.2 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.3 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio Proposition 7.4 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Proposition 7.3 Any convex combination of frontier portfolios is also a frontier portfolio Proof Let (w̄1 ...w̄N ), define N frontier portfolios (w̄i represents the vector defining the composition P of the ith portfolio) and αi , t =, ..., N be real numbers such that N i=1 αi = 1. Lastly, let E (r̃i ) denote the expected return of the portfolio with weights w̄i . The weights corresponding to a linear combination of the above N portfolios are: N X αi w̄i = i=1 N X αi (g + hE (r̃i )) i=1 = N X αi g + h i=1 = N X αi E (r̃i ) i=1 2 3 N X g +h4 αi E (r̃i )5 i=1 Thus N P i=1 αi w̄i is a frontier portfolio with E (r ) = N P i=1 Asset Pricing αi E (r̃i ). 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset Definition 7.2 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.3 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio Proposition 7.4 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Proposition 7.4 The set of efficient portfolios is a convex set. This does not mean, however, that the frontier of this set is convex-shaped in the risk-return space. Proof Suppose each of the N portfolios under consideration was efficient; then E (r̃i ) ≥ CA , for every portfolio i. N N P P However, αi E (r̃i ) ≥ αi CA = CA ; thus, the convex i=1 i=1 combination is efficient as well. So the set of efficient portfolios, as characterized by their portfolio weights, is a convex set. Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.5 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Proposition 7.5 For any frontier portfolio p, except the minimum variance portfolio, there exists a unique frontier portfolio with which p has zero covariance. We will call this portfolio the zero covariance portfolio relative to p, and denote its vector of portfolio weights by ZC (p). Proof by construction Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.5 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The Set of Frontier Portfolios: Location of the Zero-Covariance Portfolio E(r) p A/C MVP ZC( p) E[rZC( p)] (1/C ) Var(r) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) Proposition 7.5 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Let q be any portfolio (not necessary on the frontier) and let p be any frontier portfolio. E r̃j = E r̃ZC(M) + βMj E (r̃M ) − E r̃ZC(M) (10) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The Zero-Beta CAPM (i) agents maximize expected utility with increasing and strictly concave utility of money functions and asset returns are multivariate normally distributed, or (ii) each agent chooses a portfolio with the objective of maximizing a derived utility function of the form W(e, σ 2 ), W1 > 0, W2 < 0, W concave. (iii) common time horizon, (iv) homogeneous beliefs about e and V Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions (-) All investors hold mean-variance efficient portfolios (-) The market portfolio is convex combination of efficient portfolios (is efficient) E (r̃q ) = E r̃ZC(M) + βMq E (r̃M ) − E r̃ZC(M) (11) E r̃j = E r̃ZC(M) + βMj E (r̃M ) − E r̃ZC(M) (12) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The Standard CAPM 1 min w T Vw w 2 s.t.w T e + (1 − w T 1)rf = E Solving this problem gives E (r̃p ) − rf −1 wp = V rf 1) |{z} |(e − {z } | {z H } nxn nx1 | {z } a number nx1 Asset Pricing (13) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions [E (r̃p ) − rf ]2 , and H [E (r̃q ) − rf ] [E (r̃p ) − rf ] cov (r̃q , r̃p ) = wqT Vwp = H σ 2 (r̃p ) = wpT Vwp = E (r̃q ) − rf = Hcov (r̃q , r̃p ) E (r̃p ) − rf Asset Pricing (14) (15) (16) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions E (r̃q ) − rf = cov (r̃q , r̃p ) [E (r̃p ) − rf ]2 E (r̃p ) − rf σ 2 (r̃p ) E (r̃q ) − rf = cov (r̃q , r̃p ) [E (r̃p ) − rf ] σ 2 (r̃p ) or E (r̃q ) − rf = (17) cov (r̃q , r̃M ) [E (r̃M ) − rf ] , σ 2 (r̃M ) or E (r̃q ) = rf + βqM [E (r̃M ) − rf ] Asset Pricing (18) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions What have we accomplish? The pure mathematics of the mean-variance portfolio frontier goes a long way. In particular in producing a SML - like relationship where any frontier portfolio and its zero -covariance kin are the heroes The CAPM = a set of hypothesis guaranteeing that the efficient frontier is relevant (mean-variance optimizing) and the same for everyone (homogeneous expectations and identical horizons) Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions The implication: every investor holds a mean-variance efficient portfolio Since the efficient frontier is a convex set, this implies that the market portfolio is efficient. This is the key lesson of the CAPM. It does not rely on the existence of a risk free asset. The mathematics of the efficient frontier then produces the SML. In the process, we have obtained easily workable formulas permitting to compute efficient portfolio weights with or without risk-free asset. Asset Pricing 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Traditional Approach to the CAPM 7.3 Valuing Risky Cash Flows with the CAPM 7.4 The Mathematics of the Portfolio Frontier: Many Risky Assets and No Risk-Free Asset 7.5 Characterizing Efficient Portfolios (No Risk-Free Assets) 7.6 Background for Deriving the Zero-Beta CAPM: Notion of a Zero Covariance Portfolio 7.7 The Zero-Beta Capital Asset Pricing Model (Equilibrium) 7.8 The Standard CAPM 7.9 What have we accomplish? 7.10 Conclusions Conclusions The asset management implications of the CAPM The testability of the CAPM: what is M? the fragility of betas to this definition ( The Roll Critique) The market may not be the only factor (Fama-French) remains: do not bear diversifiable risk Asset Pricing