US ONLINE GROCERY SHOPPING A Fresh Look at a High-Growth Channel August 2013 1 A Service KELLY TACKETT Research Director Contents 1. Introduction 2. Grocery e-commerce shopper assessment 3. Competitive landscape 4. Outlook and implications 2 1. Introduction 1. Introduction Currently, only a tiny portion of US consumer spending on grocery is occurring online. Planet Retail estimates online grocery spending totals USD25.86 billion, or roughly 1.3% of total category spend. Additionally, health & beauty represents more than two-thirds (67.9%) of current online grocery spending. While health & beauty specialists and drugstores bolstered their online presence during the past decade, traditional total online grocery spend supermarkets largely ignored the channel and pure-play e-tailers focused on the fresh component of the grocery offer worked to fine-tune the business model – characterized by high operating costs, low margins and high shrink rates so as to avoid replicating the colossal failure of channel pioneer Webvan during the dot-com bust. health & beauty $25.86bn 67.9% On the demand side, shoppers’ accessibility to the grocery category offline has only increased during the past decade, with the proliferation of retailers selling food (e.g. dollar stores, drugstores, warehouse clubs) as a traffic driver. 4 1. Introduction Changing forces in both supply and demand, however, suggest strong growth potential for online grocery retailing. Key drivers of supply: An increasing variety of e-commerce grocery operating models that are lowering the cost of entry. An increase in interest in e-commerce by expansion-minded mainstream supermarket retailers that have little domestic runway left for their traditional formats. Peapod, the Ahold-owned online grocery retailer, opened a click & collect format in partnership with Ahold’s Stop & Shop banner in August 2012. 5 The Peapod Pick-Up program picks items from a Peapod stockroom and delivers them to a storage locker at the side of the store. Amazon quietly launched its Amazon Fresh grocery delivery service to California in late June 2013. © amazon.com The entrance of e-commerce giant Amazon.com and mass retailing behemoth Walmart into the channel.