NPF conference September 17-18, 2008 Intelligent Fields and Integrated Operation Integrated Operations beyond 2020 Jon Kleppe and Jon Lippe Center for Integrated Operations in the Petroleum Industry Many ideas in this presentation are based on contributions from our partners: RESEARCH PARTNERS INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS COLLABORATING INTERNATIONAL ACADEMIC PARTNERS What happened the last 15 years? -with relevance to Integrated Operations Technology (ICT) •The internet and www •email for all •PC revolution •PDA and Cell phones •ISDN, ADSL, WLAN •Microsoft, Linux •High performance computing and visualization •IO specific: Fiber optics on the NCS, operation centers People and Organizations •Business Process Reengineering (BPR) •Knowledge management •Core competence strategy thinking (Gary Hamel) •Flat organizations •Multidiscipline teams •IO integrated teams in reservoir, production, drilling Processes •Global outsourcing and production •E-Commerce •Value chain management, Integration of business processes of customers and suppliers What will happen with the workforce the next 15 years? ROLE IN BUSINESS Veterans, Advisors Radio Lux generation (age 55-70) Hierarchy Seniors, Top managers Color TV generation (age 40-55) Challenges, Entrepreneurs Cell Phone/email generation (age 25-40) Recruitment base Predictability Flexibility, mobility Gaming generation (age 10-25) Virtual Life ROLE IN BUSINESS Veterans, Advisors Color TV generation (age 55-70) Predictability Seniors, Top managers Challenges, Entrepreneurs Recruitment base Cell Phone/email generation (age 40-55) Flexibility, mobility Gaming generation (age 25-40) Virtual Life ? Virtual teams in a “Flat world” "In the future you can collaborate with anyone, anywhere, at anytime, and at almost any level of interaction" David Coleman, Founder and Managing Director of Collaborative Strategies, (www.collaborate.com) Collaboration technology Cave technology 1990 – collaboration Virtual collaboration 2020 Virtual collaboration Multiple display2020 faces Collaboration technology 2008 Interactive technology 2020 • Like Jack Bauer in “24” • Mobile computing and wireless networks will be many times faster than today’s work stations • Extended collaborative services available (visualization, VR, data sharing, communication, virtual meetings) • Seamless and safe data management/exchange through the web, communication standards • “Intelligent” data retrieval, search engines based on semantic web Collaboration Collaboration 2008: A NEED FOR INTEGRATION OF INFORMATION Most information systems today are still designed by specialists, for specialists Models in different domains will communicate Interconnection between models The new petroleum engineer: T-competence Attitudes Collaboration skills Knowledge about other disciplines Specialized knowledge New specialist: Team coordinator “Specialist General practioner” Specialists are still needed, but their competence is extended The role of the universities in education of “IO ready” petroleum engineers The Future Workspace Perspectives on Mobile and Collaborative Working MOSAIC project, final report (http://www.ami-communities.eu) “Ad-hoc networks of mobile professionals supported by ubiquitous* collaboration services” Ubiquitous* (Wikipedia): Seeming to appear everywhere at the same time Shell Draugen and Ormen Lange operations Actors in Production Optimization Ormen Lange Operation room Nyhamna office Draugen Operation room Kristiansund office (Råket) Contractors Norske Shell Stavanger office Expert groups Shell Global Source: Camilla Tveiten, NTNU/SINTEF, Courtesy Shell Communication pattern Shell Draugen and Ormen Lange operations Actors in Production Optimizing Source: Camilla Tveiten, NTNU/SINTEF, Courtesy Shell Consequences for organization and management Complexity of networks between integrated teams makes traditional hierarchical structures less efficient Teams will connect “like neurons”, depending on what gives added value. The networking process is hard to manage directly. Management is redefined: What will be words like “control”, “responsibility”, “reporting to…” mean in the new IO environment? Top level management building culture -Development of culture, values, goals, KPI’s -Long term strategies and decisions Middle management Team facilitators/coordinators, network coordinators Conversion from middle management to team facilitation and coordination Will it be the same people? Retraining? Team responsibility -Smart decisions. Quality assurance will have to take place inside the team - Connect to other teams and specialists, collect information and expert support Integrated operation will expand to the whole value chain from exploration to marketing …giving added value, but also increasing the complexity of communication Technology: Remote operation Sensor and data transmission technology Nano technology/wireless sensors and new signal transmissions New opportunities for information from reservoir, downhole, subsea and top site Drilling information Amount of available data The amount of data will increase drastically need for automatic data processing Workload oil company Total amount of data to be analyzed Workload service/system supplier Amount of data to be analyzed by supplier Courtesy to Trond Lilleng, StatoilHydro Time CONSEQUENCES 1. Suppliers will receive a larger and larger portion of data analysis tasks 2. Suppliers will have deep competence of models and tools, and need to be integrated in the optimization teams Team performance MODEL BASED DECISIONS Time Team integration, communication Model based decision making Total team performance Shift from reality to “virtuality” Practical experience Holistic view Practical experience is hard to represent in mathematical models Will it still be ”valid”? Model based thinking Analytical approach Models are simplifications of reality Are we aware of their limitations?