EC0 42 History of Economic Thought Professor Malamud BEH 502 895 – 3294 Email: bernard.malamud@unlv.edu Website: http://faculty.unlv.edu/bmalamud Office Hours:MW 11:30 – 12:30 pm; 2:30 – 3:30 pm; and by appointment ECON 442 History of Economic Thought Professor Malamud, BEH 502 course outline: http://faculty.unlv.edu/bmalamud/ • the ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back…the ideas which civil servants and politicians and even agitators apply to current events are not likely to be the newest. But, soon or late, it is ideas, not vested interests, which are dangerous for good or evil. John Maynard Keynes, General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (1936) • In the short-run, it is true, ideas are unimportant and ineffective, but in the long-run they can rule the world. Lionell Robbins, The Great Depression (1934). J.R. Stanfield, The Economic Thought of Karl Polanyi, 1986 • …the gearing of markets into a self-regulating system of tremendous power was not the result of any inherent tendency of markets…but rather of highly artificial stimulants administered…by state intervention. (Polanyi, 1944) Where did the ideas for intervention come from? • Adam Smith…generalized the theory of market self-adjustment operating effectively…throughout the economic cosmos …domestically and internationally, micro-economically and macroeconomically. It was Smith’s grand synthesis which articulated the self-regulating system of markets.* • The Millian-Ricardian abstract method started from starkly unqualified assumptions…led immediately and inevitably to sharply laissez-faire doctrines. (Hutchison, 1978) • [British economic advance] is a triumph of theory. We are governed by philosophers and political economists. (Senior,1851) • This London…is the greatest practical illustration…of those principles which it is the business of the political economist to expound. (Cairnes, 1870) The Course • • • • • History of Economic Thought History of Economic Doctrine History of Economic Theory History of Economics Economic History Some of Each Contrasting World Views Harmony Chaos Natural Law Knowledge Ignorance Rationality Animal Spirits Laissez – faire Authority Progress Stasis Dominant Thoughts and Thinkers: Worldly Philosophers Time Span Individual Emphasis Natural Law/ Laissez – faire 1725 - 1750 1750 - 1775 {Richard Cantillon} François Quesnay 1775 – 1800 Adam Smith 1800 – 1825 Ricardo - Malthus 1825 – 1850 John Stuart Mill 1850 – 1875 1875 – 1900 1900 – 1925 Karl Marx Jevons/Walras/Marshall Wicksell – Fisher 1925 – 1950 1950 – 1975 1975 – 2000 Community Emphasis Instability/Social Role John Maynard Keynes Milton Friedman Robert E. Lucas Paul Samuelson James B. Clark Medalists (subsequent Nobel Awards) • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1947 Paul A. Samuelson (1970) 1949 Kenneth E. Boulding 1951 Milton Friedman (1976) 1953 No Award 1955 James Tobin (1981) 1957 Kenneth J. Arrow – (1972, with John R. Hicks) 1959 Lawrence R. Klein (1980) 1961 Robert M. Solow (1987) 1963 Hendrik S. Houthakker 1965 Zvi Griliches 1967 Gary S. Becker (1992) 1969 Marc Leon Nerlove 1971 Dale W. Jorgenson 1973 Franklin M. Fisher 1975 Daniel McFadden – (2000, with James J. Heckman) 1977 Martin S. Feldstein 1979 Joseph E. Stiglitz – (2001, with George A. Akerlof and A. Michael Spence) • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1981 A. Michael Spence – (2001, with George A. Akerlof and Joseph E. Stiglitz) 1983 James J. Heckman – (2000, with Daniel McFadden) 1985 Jerry A. Hausman 1987 Sanford J. Grossman 1989 David M. Kreps 1991 Paul R. Krugman (2008) 1993 Lawrence H. Summers 1995 David Card 1997 Kevin M. Murphy 1999 Andrei Shleifer 2001 Matthew Rabin 2003 Steven Levitt 2005 Daron Acemoglu 2007 Susan Athey 2009 Emmanuel Saez 2010 Esther Duflo 2011 Jonathan Levin Nobel Laureates in Economics: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sveriges_Riksbank_Prize_in_Economic_Scien ces_in_Memory_of_Alfred_Nobel Nobel laureates in our course • Paul Samuelson • John Hicks • Milton Friedman • James Tobin • Franco Modigliani • Robert Solow • Gary Becker • Robert Lucas • Finn Kydland/Edward Prescott • Joseph Stiglitz...Paul Krugman The Dismal Science as We Know It Overarching Themes in Economic Thought •Value prices microeconomics Distribution factor prices •Growth •Macro-stability…and its discontents •‘flation •BOOM and bust •Economic Organization »Role of Market »Role of State Wisdom of the Ancients • Oikonomia: run harmonious households&communities Heraclitus (~535 – 475 bc) Harmony thru conflict Self – regulating market Pythagorus (~582 – 507 bc) Harmony thru numbers Equilibrium Democritus (~460 – 370 bc) • Diminishing marginal utility • Time preference present value Plato (~427 – 347 bc): preserve the status quo “…the State is the soul writ large.” First principles: • Human inequalities division of labor {good} social stratification { scientific breeding} • Private property acquisitiveness {bad} turbulence Wealth corruption Plato’s Ideal Republic: A stationary state • The elite: Communal property/communal women Society parallels the mind – Philosophers …the State is the soul writ large – Soldiers Thinking • Shared Austerity Philosophers Soldiers (Response to scarcity) Fighting No incentive to advance Workers Merchants Craving