Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Colombia, a Golden Opportunity October 2007 Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo General data República de Colombia • Official Name: Republic of Colombia • Capital: Bogotá, 7MM inhabitants • Population (2005): 42 MM inhabitants (77% urban, 23% rural) • GDP (2006): USD135 Billion • GDP p-capita (2006): USD 3,214 • GDP p-capita at PPP (2006): USD 9.300 • GDP Growth (2006): 6,8% • Annual Inflation (2006): 4.5% • Exports (2006): USD 24,392 MM • Imports(2006): US 26,163 MM • FDI* (2006): USD 6.296 MM • Literacy Rate: 92.1% • Currency: Colombian peso Source: Presidency of Colombia, Central Bank, Proexport * Foreign Direct Investment Economy Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia GDP Growth The country has been growing steadily, faster than the average of the Latin American Region. The GDP growth in 2006 was 6.8%, the highest since 1978. For the present year it is expected an impressive behavior of the economy. GDP Growth: Colombia vs. Latin America (2000-2007 1st sem) % 7.48 8 6.8 7 5.13 6 5 4 3 2.2 2 1.4 1.7 2001 2002 3.84 3.9 2003 2004 1 0 -1 2000 Latin America 2005 Colombia 2006 2007 - 1st Semester Source: Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), DANE, Forecasts ECLAC and National Planning Department, and World Economic Forum for Latin America in 2007 Economy Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Inflation Colombia’s inflation rate is at its lowest level in 42 years. It is the only Latin-American country that has never defaulted and one of the few that never experienced hyperinflation. Inflation Rate (1997 – 2007 1st sem) % 18 17.7 16.7 15 12 9.2 9 8.8 7.7 7.0 6.5 5.5 6 4.9 4.5 4,7 3 1997 Source: DANE 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 - 1st Semester Economy Foreign Direct Investment Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Colombia received in 2005 and 2006 the highest inflows of FDI recorded to date: FDI Flows (2000 – 2007f) USD MM 12.000 10.255 10.000 Sab Miller´s investment USD 4,715 MM 8.000 8.000 First Semester 2007 6.000 4.000 2.000 2.395 2.525 2.139 1.758 2000 2001 2002 2003 5.661 6.463 2005 2006 4.109 3.117 0 * Proexport forecast Source: Balance of Payments, Central Bank 2004 2007 (f) Economy FDI Flows of UK in Colombia (2000 – 2006) USD MM Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia FDI flows (2000 - 2006) USD 3.747 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 405 400 198 200 -9 35 17 2002 2003 2004 0 2000 2001 Source: Balance of Payments –Colombian Central Bank 18 2005 2006 Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo Exports República de Colombia Colombian total exports doubled between 2002 and 2006. Exports (2000 – 2007f) USD MM 45.000 27.000 40.000 24.391 35.000 21.188 30.000 25.000 20.000 16.730 13.158 12.330 11.975 2000 2001 2002 13.128 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 2003 Traditional F: Proexport´s Forecast Source: DANE, Proexport 2004 Non Traditional 2005 2006 2007f BILATERAL TRADE COLOMBIA-UK (2000-2006) Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Colombian exports to U.K. have increased since 2000. Bilateral trade reached US695 and grew 38,4% from 2000 to 2006. 800.000 USD Thousands 700.000 600.000 500.000 400.000 300.000 200.000 100.000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Years EXPORTS FOB Source: DANE, OEE-Mincomercio IMPORTS CIF TRADE BALANCE TOTAL TRADE Economy Number of Foreign Visitors Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia The number of foreign visitors has doubled between 2002 - 2006 Arrivals of foreigners into Colombia (2001 – 2007f) Number of Travelers 1.300.000 1.200.000 1.050.569 933.244 900.000 790.940 615.623 600.000 566.761 624.909 300.000 0 2001 2002 F: Proexport´s Forecast Source: Security Administration Department - DAS 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007f Economy Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia British visitors to Colombia British visitors to Colombia (2001 – 2006) Number of Travelers 9.000 7.687 8.000 7.000 5.563 6.000 4.771 5.000 4.000 2.625 3.000 1.998 2.000 1.000 803 0 2001 Source: DAS 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Business Environment Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia According to the World Bank Doing Business report in 2007 Colombia has become one of the top reformers in the world on Business Environment. Security Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Security levels have increased dramatically thanks to the democratic security policy of President Uribe Source: Opinion survey by National Association of Industrials (ANDI), Proexport´s Forecast *EOIC: Industrial opinion survey Market Confidence Marzo 22 de 2007 Edíción impresa de The Economist Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Market Confidence Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Standard & Poor´s upgrades Colombia from BB to BB+, March 2007 Fitch Ratings upgrades Colombia to BB+, June 2007 Moody´s also upgraded Colombia in June 2007 Market Confidence Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia “The growing confidence in Colombia brings a new set of challenges. The streets are safer, and citizens are road tripping again. Export-import activity is steadily growing. Tourism has nearly tripled in five years, and beach-lined, historic Cartagena is among South America's most expensive real estate markets” Roben Farzad, Mayo 28, 2007 Market Confidence Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia “In the space of just five years something remarkable has happened – the cities have become relatively safe. Murder and kidnapping rates have plunged, and there are no more bombs. The only explosion are in property prices” Rory Caroll June 8th, 2007 Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo Market Confidence República de Colombia “Last year, for the third year in a row, Colombia’s economy grew by 5% and registered a surge in investment.” March 2007 Market Confidence Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia “Colombia has been fighting to prove that it is a safe and worthwhile investment destination and has now put itself firmly back onto the investment map. Courtney Fingar , January 2007 Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia 10 full-color pages, with international models displaying bathing suits and accessories by both Colombian and international designers. The location was San Pedro de Majagua, in Islas del Rosario. Foreign investors present in Colombia Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Almost 700 multinational companies have operations in Colombia Recent cases of FDI in Colombia BHP Billiton(2007): •Increase capacity in oil and coal mines. British Petroleum (2007): • Will operate the concession of block RC#4 with 35% interest. •Also Block RC#5, was awarded to BP Exploration. PGS Petroleum Geo System (2007): •Geological services Shell (2007): • Along with Ecopetrol will explore Caño Sur Block Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Recent cases of FDI in Colombia AmeriSur(2007) • Acquires 48,7% of Fenix Block HSBC (2006): •Invest in the Colombian banking market. . PetroLatina (formerly Taghmen Energy) (2006): • Gas and petroleum exploration Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Commercial Agenda Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Colombia is pushing forward on its internationalization process Internationalization Panorama 2002 México CAN Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo Commercial Agenda República de Colombia Negotiating agenda 2010 EFTA Unión Europea Estados Unidos Canadá Cuba México Triángulo Norte Centroamericano CAN MERCOSUR Chile FTA’s convergences Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia FTA’s convergences Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia FTA’s convergences Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia FTA’s convergences Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia COMMERCIAL AGENDA: Double Taxation Agreements-DTAs Investment Agreements -BITs Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Colombia is carrying out an agressive internationalization process DTA’s and BIT’s negotiated by 2002 DTA BIT DTA + BIT COMMERCIAL AGENDA: Double Taxation Agreements-DTAs Investment Agreements -BITs Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Both instruments will be available to every negotiating partner Joint Negotiating Agenda 2010: DTA and BIT JOINT AGENDA Chile Venezuela EFTA México UK USA Canada Netehrlands France Japan Italy Germany China India Belgium Sweden Danemark Andean Comunnity Total countries: 23 DTA BIT DTA + BIT Government Support Competitive Tools 1. Special Free Trade Zones 2. Legal Stability Contracts Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo Government Support República de Colombia Single-Company FreeTrade Zones Companies do not require to be established in a pre determined geographic zone to apply for Free Trade Zone Regime and enjoy 15% Corporate Tax amongst other benefits Agroindustrial Free Trade Zone (Investment or Employment) Investment in Millions Employment 7,8 GBP 500 Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo Government Support República de Colombia Special Services Permanent Free Trade Zone Investment in Millions Direct Employment 0,98 – 4,9 GBP 501 4,9 – 9,8 GBP 351 – 500 9,8 – 15,6 GBP 150 – 350 50% of employment can be hired, for duly qualified health services companies. Special Goods Free Trade Zone Investment in Millions Direct Employment 15,6 GBP 150 Each additional 2,4 MM GBP reduces 15 jobs Colombia offers legal stability contracts to guarantee investment projects. Objectives Conditions Duration Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo República de Colombia To promote new investements and to enhance the existing ones in colombian territory, protecting any provisions critical for the investment projects*. Amount of the investment: 7,500 current minimum legal wages. (732.854 GBP aprox.) One time payment of a premium to the government equivalent to 1% of the investment made. Up to 20 years Proposal Technical evaluation report Evaluation and approval of the request Approval * Excludes laws on mandatory taxes issued during state of emergency, social security, indirect taxes, financial sector regulations and public utility services rate regime. Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo Conclusions * Colombia is República de Colombia experiencing a marked improvement in its macroeconomic performance, security and stability for businesses * We are committed to generating the most favorable conditions for both domestic and foreign investment. * This is reflected in very attractive instruments such as the free-trade zones regime, legal stability contracts and extended markets for investors * Opportunities are created by information asymmetries in the market. Colombia is one of those as there is a mismatch between perception and reality