Why Economists Often Under-Value Privacy Peter Swire Federal Trade Commission Staff Briefing May 28, 2015 Overview of the Talk I wrote in 2013 about economists: “My appreciation of this different view arose when I was in government, discussing privacy with people from many intellectual and political backgrounds. In these conversations, I came to believe that there was one important predictor of people who did not ‘get’ the privacy issues. That predictor was having received graduate training in economics.” Some recent policy discussions have suggested that economic analysis, preferably quantifiable, should be sole or dominant way to assess privacy issues Today: Why economists don’t value privacy as much as others Some possible answers from within economics Some answers from outside of economics My Critique is Founded in My Own Economics Experience My view that economists generally under-value privacy was developed within my own extensive experience in economics Economics major in college, plus grad work Lots of my scholarship is law and economics Special Assistant to President Obama for Economic Policy, 2009-2010 (Larry Summers) Earlier versions of today’s talk: “Efficient Confidentiality for Privacy, Security, and Confidential Business Information” (Brookings 2003) “Privacy and the Use of Cost/Benefit Analysis”, FTC Workshop 2003 I gave a version of this talk at Penn Law School this spring Privacy and Neo-Classical Economics The model of the competitive market assumes perfect information Limits on information to match buyers and sellers make the market less competitive, reducing efficiency Efficiency is the primary goal Posner and other economists thus see privacy limits as presumptively inefficient & contrary to the single most important model in economics For an economist, some special justification is needed to overcome the presumption of inefficiency of data limits Economics Alternatives: Behavioral & Experimental Economics Acquisti and others have challenged the neo-classical approach in a variety of ways Various biases and heuristics are used by individuals, so more information does not necessarily help achieve an efficient outcome How choices are framed (endowment effect, etc.) can have large effect on outcome, and online businesses generally control the frame In my view, these are promising empirical and theoretical critiques of the neo-classical approach Acquisti: “it is not possible to conclude unambiguously whether privacy protection entails a net ‘positive’ or ‘negative” change in purely economic terms: its impact is context specific.” Many economists, though, fundamentally start with the model of perfect competition having perfect information - in a complex world, it’s a simpler model to keep in mind An Economics Counter-Narrative of Property (1) Many economists, interestingly, favor copyright laws and other intellectual property Copying is a limit on information transfer, but property rights are protected by copyright law against “theft” Similar rationale for the combination to a safe (or SSN or other data that is a “leak” and can harm me) – inefficient to let the criminal steal my property – privacy as an intermediate good (Joe Farrell), where don’t want data flow because it facilitates identify or other theft An Economics Counter-Narrative of Property (2) A key point is the baseline Coasian analysis, with high negotiating costs, key is who has the property right If assume individual owns, then large costs from privacy invasions; HIPAA Privacy Rule CBA makes this point. Endowment effect heightens this effect. If assume business owns, then large costs from restrictions on flow We have high transaction costs, so allocation of the property right matters: opt-in vs. opt-out matters Economics, in a Coasian view, does not have much to say about to whom the allocation should go initially Interestingly, this insight makes the European approach easier for an economist to understand. The (property/fundamental) right is assigned to the individual. Critiques from Outside of Economics – the Role of “Power” (1) Much writing about privacy addresses possible mis-uses of power Government/citizen Employer/employee Holder of dossier/subject of surveillance My experience – if you ask people what they are concerned about, the answer is often “they will know things about me and have power over me” Economists, by contrast, have a very narrow definition of power “Market power” where monopoly exists Chicago School of antitrust rarely finds that Economists and Power (2) Economists see horizontal, contractual relationships where others see vertical, power relationships. U.S. has reacted in other settings by putting limits on freedom of contract. Corporation as a “nexus of contracts” among consenting parties, Jensen & Meckling Others see power relationship of top managers vs. mere employees Employees should have “freedom of contract” for labor Others support minimum wage, maximum hour laws, and could have minimum standards for privacy Others think it was not voluntary “assumption of the risk” when a factory worker had a limb smashed by an unsafe assembly line Consumers voluntarily accept EULAs, T&Cs Others see adhesion contracts that merit regulatory scrutiny; in part due to power imbalance, have the whole realm of consumer protection law Other Things Economist Don’t Address That Others Do Anita Allen recent list included: civility, human dignity, limited government, toleration, autonomy, individualism; self-expression, reputation, repose, intellectual life, intimacy and formality Plus, possible long-run effects of pervasive surveillance Revised Sunstein version of CBA recognizes importance of being systematic, but go well beyond quantitative: Short run vs. long run, and the importance of avoiding a long-run slide into a surveillance society. With discounting, may not get large numbers for large harms in the future. Privacy worries are hard to quantify, and literature on “dwarfing of soft variables” shows that quantifiable items over-valued Rights don’t count: if privacy is a human right, violations of those rights are often not included in the cost/benefit analysis Conclusion Economists are trained to be skeptical of limits on information flows, because optimal market has perfect information Economists may also consult their own intuitions and believe others have the same view – interesting to see empirical research about privacy attitudes of economists vs. others Internal critiques – multiple critiques from within economics show reason for caution in applying the “perfect information” intuition External critiques – non-economists can say: “There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt in your philosophy.” My suggestion – use the economic techniques that have served the FTC well, but do so with humility Avoid believing that an economics-only approach, or a quantitative approach, is the optimal regulatory strategy