The Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing IMPORTANT: Terms of Use Users shall not modify or distribute this Presentation. Users shall not remove, erase or tamper with any copyright, trademark, or other proprietary notice printed or encoded or recorded in the Presentation, nor shall users fail to preserve any proprietary notice in the Presentation. Source: © 2013 Roger C. Gibson. Derived from the work “Asset Allocation and the Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing”, © 1998 Roger C. Gibson. Updated by author. This presentation is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any security or product nor does it constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. A Blindfolded Preference Test Source: © 2013 Roger C. Gibson. Derived from the work “Asset Allocation and the Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing”, © 1998 Roger C. Gibson. Updated by author. This presentation is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any security or product nor does it constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Fifteen Equity Portfolios 1972−2012 Compound Annual Return 12 11 10 9 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 Standard Deviation Source: © 2013 Roger C. Gibson. Derived from the work “Asset Allocation and the Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing”, © 1998 Roger C. Gibson. Updated by author. This presentation is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any security or product nor does it constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Fifteen Equity Portfolios 1972−2012 1 Asset Class Portfolio C (Real Estate Securities) 2 Asset Class Portfolio 12 Compound Annual Return ACD BCD CD 3 Asset Class Portfolio 4 Asset Class Portfolio BC AC ABCD ABC 11 ABD BD AD AB 10 B (Non-U.S. Stocks) A (U.S. Stocks) D (Commodity-Linked Securities) 9 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 Standard Deviation Single-Asset-Class Portfolios A ---- U.S. Stocks B ---- Non-U.S. Stocks C ---- Real Estate Securities D ---- Commodity-Linked Securities Three-Asset-Class Portfolios: Equally Allocated, Annually Rebalanced ABC ---- U.S. Stocks, Non-U.S. Stocks, Real Estate Securities ABD ---- U.S. Stocks, Non-U.S. Stocks, Commodity-Linked Securities ACD ---- U.S. Stocks, Real Estate Securities, Commodity-Linked Securities BCD ---- Non-U.S. Stocks, Real Estate Securities, Commodity-Linked Securities Two-Asset-Class Portfolios: Equally Allocated, Annually Rebalanced AB --- U.S. Stocks, Non-U.S. Stocks AC --- U.S. Stocks, Real Estate Securities AD --- U.S. Stocks, Commodity-Linked Securities BC --- Non-U.S. Stocks, Real Estate Securities BD --- Non-U.S. Stocks, Commodity-Linked Securities CD --- Real Estate Securities, Commodity-Linked Securities Four-Asset-Class Portfolio: Equally Allocated, Annually Rebalanced ABCD --- U.S. Stocks, Non-U.S. Stocks, Real Estate Securities, Commodity-Linked Securities Source: © 2013 Roger C. Gibson. Derived from the work “Asset Allocation and the Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing”, © 1998 Roger C. Gibson. Updated by author. This presentation is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any security or product nor does it constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Fifteen Equity Portfolios Performance Statistics 1972−2012 Compound Annual Returns & Future Values of $1.00 Standard Deviations (Volatility) Sharpe Ratios Ranked High to Low Ranked Low to High Ranked High to Low Portfolio % C CD BCD ACD BC ABCD AC ABC ABD AD BD AB A B D 12.10 11.71 11.60 11.55 11.48 11.41 11.37 11.14 10.79 10.66 10.61 10.18 9.99 9.81 9.06 $ 108.23 93.63 90.16 88.36 86.24 83.89 82.65 75.94 66.75 63.57 62.43 53.26 49.54 46.31 35.08 Portfolio % Portfolio ACD ABCD BCD ABD AD CD AC ABC BD BC A C AB B D 13.18 13.71 14.22 14.87 14.94 15.14 16.16 16.49 17.20 17.35 17.94 18.50 18.56 22.69 25.05 ACD ABCD BCD CD AC C ABD BC AD ABC BD AB A B D 0.51 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.37 0.34 0.33 0.29 0.26 Average Performance Statistics: Four-, Three-, Two- & One-Asset-Class Portfolios Compound Annual Returns & Future Values of $1.00 Standard Deviations (Volatility) Sharpe Ratios Ranked High to Low Ranked Low to High Ranked High to Low Portfolio % $ Four 11.41 83.89 Three 11.27 80.30 Two 11.00 73.63 One 10.24 59.79 Portfolio Four Three Two One % 13.71 14.69 16.56 21.05 Portfolio Four Three Two One 0.49 0.46 0.41 0.33 Source: © 2013 Roger C. Gibson. Derived from the work “Asset Allocation and the Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing”, © 1998 Roger C. Gibson. Updated by author. This presentation is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any security or product nor does it constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance Statistics 1972−2012 Entire Period 1972−2012 Portfolio A U.S. Stocks Return Compound Annual Return 1 Portfolio B Non-U.S. Stocks 1 Portfolio C Real Estate Securities Rank Return Rank Return 3 9.81 4 12.10 9.99 1 Portfolio D Commodity-Linked Securities 1 Portfolio ABCD Equal Allocation 1 Rank Return Rank Return Rank 1 9.06 5 11.41 2 Future Value $1 $49.54 $46.31 $108.23 $35.08 $83.89 Standard Deviation 17.94 22.69 18.50 25.05 13.71 .33 .29 .43 .26 .49 Portfolio C Real Estate Securities Portfolio D Commodity-Linked Securities Portfolio ABCD Equal Allocation Sharpe Ratio By Sub-Period Portfolio A U.S. Stocks Return 1 Portfolio B Non-U.S. Stocks 1 Rank Return Rank Return 5.11% 5 10.53% 4 1980s 17.55% 2 22.77% 1990s 18.21% 1 -0.95% 10.87% 1970s 2 2000s 2010s 3 # of below-average returns 1 Compound Annual Return 2 1972–1979 3 2010–2012 2 1 1 1 Rank Return Rank 11.08% 3 22.06% 1 14.17% 2 1 15.64% 4 10.66% 5 17.23% 3 7.33% 4 9.14% 3 3.89% 5 10.80% 2 5 1.58% 4 10.63% 1 5.05% 3 5.07% 2 2 4.04% 4 18.37% 1 2.54% 5 9.05% 3 4 1 3 Return Rank 0 Best performance numbers are highlighted and in blue. Source: © 2013 Roger C. Gibson. Derived from the work “Asset Allocation and the Rewards of Multiple-Asset-Class Investing”, © 1998 Roger C. Gibson. Updated by author. This presentation is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation of any security or product nor does it constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results.