BINOMIAL MEAN & STANDARD DEVIATION Section 6.3C It is estimated that 28% of all students enjoy math. If 30 people are selected at random, find the probability that a. b. c. exactly 18 enjoy math. at least 24 enjoy math. Between 17 and 28 enjoy math. Mean • If 90% of all people between the ages of 30 and 50 drive a car. Find the mean number (expected #) who drive in a sample of 40. Formulas Mean : np Variance : npq 2 St.Dev. : npq If 8% of the population carry a certain gene, find the expected number who carry the gene in a sample of 80. Find the standard deviation. A club has 50 members. If there is a 10% absentee rate per meeting, find the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the number of people who will be absent form each meeting. GEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTION Geometric – “Go Until” 40% of a large lot of electrical components are from ABA Company. If the components are selected at random, what is the probability that a component from ABA will not be selected until the third pick? Let’s derive a formula! Geometric Distribution Formula p( x) (1 p) x 1 p Flip a coin, what’s the probability that the 1st head occurs on the 4th trial? A batter has a 0.295 chance of getting a hit. Find the following probabilities: *doesn’t get a hit until his fourth time at bat *Gets his first hit on one of his first three times at bat *Doesn’t get a hit until after his third attempt The Probability that a person is colorblind is 8%. Find the probability that a colorblind person .. *is found on the sixth interview *is found before the second interview Is found among the first four interview Is found after four interviews. Geometric Mean • If Y is a geometric random variable with probability of success p on each trial, then its mean (expected value) is 1 𝐸 𝑌 = 𝜇𝑥 = . 𝑝 • That is, the expected number of trials required to get the first success is 1 . 𝑝 Suppose you roll a pair of fair, six-sided dice until you get doubles. Let T = the number of rolls it takes. • Find the probability that we roll doubles on the 3rd roll. • In the game of Monopoly, a player can get out of jail free by rolling doubles within 3 turns. Find the probability that this happens. • What is the expected number of trials required to get doubles? Homework • Worksheet