+ Do Now 03/13 What is the key factor that has allowed for populations to grow significantly over the last few decades? How is this possible? What has caused fertility rates to drop? Discuss some factors. + Hunger Games? If you were worried about Earth’s dynamic changing into the Hunger Games (fighting for survival), and you were president or the national leader of your country, what would you do to ensure that this didn’t happen? What measures would you take? Why? + Sort the Lot In front you, you have a set of diagrams that you must try to match to a specific country and its description. Match country, diagram, and description Work in pairs! + Today we will… 4.6: I can analyze an age-structure diagram for various countries and compare them and explain what each diagram shows about a population’s growth. 4.7: I can discuss the influences certain population groups might have on other age groups. What do age diagrams show us about different countries population growth? What comparisons can we draw between different countries’ age groups? What can this tell us about potential growth? What are some of the causes that effect different age groups? + Age Structure and Influences + Population Age Structure: Growth and Decline The numbers of males and females in young, middle, and older age groups determine how fast a population grows or declines Demographers plot age structure diagrams— something you will be doing—these show the distribution of males and females in each age group. We plot percentages or numbers of males and females in the population in each of three age categories: prereproductive (0-14); reproductive (15-44); and postreproductive (45 and up) + Population Age Structure: Growth and Decline Male Female Male Female Expanding Rapidly Guatemala Nigeria Saudi Arabia Expanding Slowly United States Australia China Prereproductive ages 0–14 Reproductive ages 15–44 Male Female Male Stable Japan Italy Greece Female Declining Germany Bulgaria Russia Postreproductive ages 45–85+ Fig. 6-11, p. 131 + + India China Sub-Sahara Africa + Teens are the Future The number of people younger than 15 determine what the country’s population growth will be. The more teenagers, the more likely the population is to grow in the future! Birth rates will rise because a large number of girls will be moving on into their reproductive years! In developing countries, the percentages of young people are even higher compared to developed countries like the United States. However, the more young people—which in many developing countries constitute a large proportion—the higher the unemployment rate. In parts of Latin America, Asia, and Africa, 20-50% of the young group (15-24) are unemployed, thus leading to social unrest. + Teens are the Future! + Quick Check Discussion What do age diagrams show us about different countries population growth? What role do teenagers play in the population? How does having an overabundance of young people lead to turmoil in countries? What can you predict about the following population’s growth in the future? + Population Groups: Influences Certain population groups have large influences over others, depending on what age group they are in. It’s important to understand how certain age groups may influence others politically and economically. + Baby Boom Back in the day…1940s-60’s, the US had a baby boom, which helped to add around 80 million people to the population. These individuals, known as baby boomers, tend to make up half of all adult Americans. This means that the number of older Americans will grow sharply over the next 20 years or so. This large proportion of older Americans leads to some political questions: these individuals usually vote for specific policies that influence us, the younger generations. How can we balance the needs of seniors with the needs of the rest of the population without killing the economy?! + Baby Boom + Baby Boom As baby boomers retire, this allows for younger people to have more access and opportunities to jobs that require technical skills beyond high school and education due to less competition. The only problem is that many people in the younger generation cannot move up to higher professions simply because the baby boomers still hold these positions themselves. Slow decline Manageable Rapid decline Economic problems Proportionally fewer young people working Labor shortages + Stability in the Population About a 7th of the worlds population lived in countries that were essentially stable or declining population sizes. The rates of population growth are starting to slow down in China and India and Iran due to strong family planning programs. + Quick Check Discussion What effects do baby boomers have on the rest of the population? How are young people—like you—going to be affected? + In general… Population Age Diagrams tell us about the shift in our population over time, which allows us to predict if we will shrink or grow The general patterns show us that certain countries are explanding rapidly, slowly, stable, or declining. Age groups can have a large effect on others Teenagers are important in determining population growth Hunger games: stop teenagers from forming families in the future? + Active Practice How has Florida’s population growth played a role in political influence? What are the main factors that have caused Florida’s population growth and how might this relate to the younger demographic group? Elaborate on how Florida’s population growth will continue to grow. Explain. How do you think this might affect your generation? Elaborate.