Portfolio Management Unit – II Session No. 10 Topic: Investor Characteristics Session Plan • • • • • Recap the Previous Session What is Traditional Finance? What is Behavioral Finance? What is personality typing? Summarizing and Q & A Recap • What are the fundamental factors influencing the investors characters? • Why “Self-made” investors may have greater familiarity with risk taking? • How an individual differentiate the size of Portfolio to meet his future needs? • Why the investors’ ability to accept risk should gradually decline through his life time? Psychological Profiling • Focus on psychological influences process by which an individual establishes his or her investment preferences. • Individual brings to the investment decision making process an objective set of – financial circumstances, – goals, and constraints • Behavioral patterns and personality characteristics often also play an important role in setting individual risk tolerance and return objectives. • Psychological profiling, sometimes referred to as • Personality typing, • Bridges the differences between traditional finance (economic analysis of objective financial circumstances). Psychological Profiling • Traditional Finance • Much of the standard history of economic and financial theory rests on the philosophy that financial market participants are rational. • Information-based investors • Objectives that maximize the expected utility of wealth. • In models of traditional, or standard, investment decision making, investors are assumed to: Exhibit risk aversion - prefer the investment with the lowest volatility Hold rational expectations - forecasts will reflect all relevant information Practice asset integration - investors choose among risky investments Psychological Profiling • Behavioral Finance • • • • Individuals approach/behavior in uncertain situations. In these studies, psychological considerations appear to play an important role Guiding investor behavior, especially during periods of stress. These decision-making models attempt to incorporate the principles of behavioral finance, in which individual investors are recognized to: Exhibit loss aversion - investors evaluate opportunities in terms of gain or loss rather than in terms of uncertainty with respect to terminal wealth Hold biased expectations - misplaced confidence in one’s ability to assess the future Practice asset segregation - investment choices individually Psychological Profiling • Personality Typing • Classification of Investors by their personality dimensions, socioeconomic background, personal experience, and current wealth status. • Personality typing understand through survey and scenario analysis. • It helps the investment advisers to better understand the behavioral drivers – individual’s goal-setting, asset allocation, and risk-taking decisions, Client management Psychological Profiling • The critical question that must be answered with respect to client questionnaires is whether the results consistently assign respondents to risktaking and decision-making styles that explain the respondents’ actual behavior. • A stratified random sample involves independent sampling from subgroups that, when combined, represent a population’s overall characteristics. • Results from the sample questions (each question addresses a specific category of investor risk tolerance and decision-making style) are tabulated and used to identify systematic differences in decision-making style and risk tolerance. • Based on these measures, four investment personality types are established. • Correlation analysis can be used to assess a questionnaire’s usefulness. By assigning ranks to personality types (1 = Methodical, 2 = Cautious, 3 = Individualistic, 4 = Spontaneous) Psychological Profiling Psychological Profiling Psychological Profiling • Cautious Investors • Cautious investors are generally averse to potential losses. • This aversion may be a consequence of their current financial situation or of various life experiences, but most exhibit a strong need for financial security. • Cautious investors usually desire low-volatility investments with little potential for loss of principal. • Although these individuals generally do not like making their own decisions • Cautious investors dislike losing even small amounts of money. • They often miss opportunities because of over analysis or fear of taking action. • Their investment portfolios generally exhibit low turnover and low volatility. Psychological Profiling • Methodical Investors • This group relies on ‘‘hard facts.’’ • Methodical investors may intently follow market analysts or undertake research on trading strategies. • Even when their hard work is rewarded, they typically remain on a quest for new and better information. • Their reliance on analysis and database histories generally keeps them from developing emotional attachments to investment positions, and their discipline makes them relatively conservative investors. Psychological Profiling • Spontaneous Investors • Spontaneous investors are constantly readjusting their portfolio allocations and holdings. • With every new development in the marketplace, they fear a negative consequence. • Although spontaneous investors generally acknowledge that they are not investment experts, they doubt all investment advice and external management decisions. • Spontaneous investors are quick to make decisions on investment trades and generally are more concerned with missing an investment trend than with their portfolio’s level of risk. Psychological Profiling • Individualist Investors • This group has a self-assured approach to investing. • Individualists gain information from a variety of sources and are not averse to devoting the time needed to reconcile conflicting data from their trusted sources. • They are also not afraid to exhibit investment independence in taking a course of action. • Individualist investors place a great deal of faith in hard work and insight, and have confidence that their long-term investment objectives will be achieved. Psychological Profiling Summarizing Q & A • What is Traditional Finance? • What is the consequence of traditional assumptions on individual economic behavior? • What is Behavioral finance? • How individuals are taking decisions based on behavioral finance? • How the personality typing bridges the difference between traditional finance and behavioral finance? Team Assignment The students are asked to prepare a Personality typing questionnaire based on decision making style and risk tolerance to identify the four different type of investors.