The Egyptian Revolution 1952-Present History of Movements Egyptian Revolution of 1952 Overthrowing of King Farouk by the “Free Officers Movement” military coup, lead by Nasser and Naguib Wider aims to overthrow pro-Western monarchies 1977 Bread Riots Hundreds of thousands of Egyptians protest the termination of state subsidies on rice, flour, and cooking oil. After two days, the army was deployed and the new policies were cancelled. History of Movements 2003: Demonstrations against the American-led invasion of Iraq 20,000 participants, first time the people denounced Mubarak Also the first time that demonstrators mislead the police, leaving from various mosques 2004: Wave of strikes after July “government of businessmen” installation Over 2 million workers participate in over 3,000 demonstrations Some success: government forms two trade unions and quadruples monthly minimum wage to 400 LE 2006: Solidarity demonstrations for Lebanon during the Israeli assault 2008: Solidarity demonstrations for Gaza In direct criticism of Mubarak’s foreign policy 3 The Lead-up to 2011 Tunisian President Ben Ali ousted in December 2010 Some analysts warn that Egypt is likely to be next Others refute this possibility, citing Egyptian apathy and illiteracy Issues: police brutality, unemployment, poverty, low wages, widespread corruption “State of Emergency” law in place since Sadat’s assassination in 1981, renewed every three years by parliament Egypt has experienced economic growth, but most has not trickled down to lower classes 4 Khaled Saeed Died June 6, 2010 under questionable circumstances in Alexandria Arrested by plainclothes Egyptian police for theft and weapons possession Allegedly beat to death while being arrested, with multiple witnesses and autopsy photos Saeed’s friends say he had footage of police in drug deal Police claim he died of drug overdose Named a catalyst of the 2011 revolution “We Are All Khaled Saeed” group (now has 800,000 members) and silent protests 5 Key Figures Wael Ghonim: 30 years old, AUC alum, Google’s head of marketing in the Middle East Pseudonym “Al Shaheed,” or “The Martyr” Ran Facebook el-Baradei fan page, “We Are All Khaled Saeed,” and Jan. 25 protest event page Taken by plainclothes police officers, two weeks in custody with no information on protests Ayman Nour: former member of Egyptian Parliament, chairman of El Ghad (“Tomorrow”) Party Imprisoned in January 2005 and from Dec. 2005-Feb. 2009. Ran for president in March 2005, was first runner-up with 7% Injured (rock to head) in 2011 protests Has stated intentions to run for6the presidency now Key Figures Mohamed al-Baradei: Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency under the United Nations, which was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2005 Seen as possible Presidential candidate since 2009, but likeliness is disputed by both the people and Baradei Field Marshal Mohammed Tantawi of the Armed Forces: Served under Mubarak as Defense Minister, close ally of his Now functioning as Egypt’s Head of State of International Relations for time being 7 Kefaya Means “Enough” in Arabic, a.k.a. Egyptian Movement for Change Pro-democracy movement, anti-Hosni and Gamal Mubarak Not a political party- a “national coalition movement” for Mubarak’s resignation Launched out of 2003 demonstrations against American-led invasion of Iraq Peak of strength in 2005 constitutional referendum and presidential election campaigns, has diminished since. 8 Muslim Brotherhood During the 2011 revolution: Has officially rejected violent means to secure its goals, gained popular support by providing social services Denied responsibility for the beginning of the protests Members of the Brotherhood were detained and later released throughout the demonstrations Involvement in the revolution is highly debatable: many sources state that they had very little influence, while others claim that the Brotherhood is waiting to take over the fragile new government 9 April 6 Youth Movement 2008: Egyptian Facebook group started by Ahmed Maher January 2009: 70,000 members; 98,737 as of last night Originally to support workers planning to strike on April 6, 2008 Promoted “Million Man March” February 1, 2011 Core concerns: free speech, democracy, economy, fair elections Members have been arrested and attacked at least three times 1/29/2011: Wikileaks document shows US considers group goals “unrealistic” One of 10 groups to meet with the Armed Forces Supreme Council on February 16 10 National Police Day Protests Day 1: January 25, 2011 - the “Day of Rage” “Police Day” commemorates a British attack on an Egyptian police station, sparking anti-British riots across the country Six months later, Nasser led the Egyptians to revolution in 1952. -The Police were seen as heroes, and a symbol of the resistance against foreign occupation. -Modern Egyptian police are known for corruption and brutality. This is a government holiday in Egypt, so businesses and schools were closed, allowing many people to participate in 2011. Nationwide protests against Mubarak’s regime began. Tens of thousands of protesters filled Cairo’s Tahrir Square, and other Egyptian cities, including Alexandria and Suez. The Muslim Brotherhood denies responsibility. The 2011 Revolution Day 4: January 28, 2011 Riot police remain in Tahrir from the January 25th protests, though no major demonstrations take place in Cairo until Friday, the 28th. After Friday prayer, hundreds of thousands take to the streets. Mobile phones & internet service is cut off by the government. Protesters clash with riot police, armed with tear gas (made in the U.S.A.), water cannons, batons, and rocks. A curfew is set for 7 PM, but not enforced. As night falls, the National Democratic Party Headquarters is torched, and police retreat from the streets. The 2011 Revolution Day 4: January 28, 2011, continued In the absence of the police (and perhaps on governmental orders, in an attempt to scare protesters back to their homes) looters take to the streets and the National Museum. Neighborhood watch groups are set up. Prison breaks are announced. The military arrives to the welcoming arms of the people. Mubarak addresses the people shortly after midnight, stating that he will dismiss his cabinet, but will not step down. The 2011 Revolution Days 5 and 6: January 29-30, 2011 Mubarak appoints a Vice President, Omar Suleiman, for the first time in his rule. al-Baradei addresses protesters in Tahrir Square. Embassies begin to encourage foreigners to evacuate. Curfews are continuously established and extended, but not enforced. Internet is still widely blocked. The US offers statements from President Obama, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and Robert Gibbs. The 2011 Revolution Day 7 & 8: January 31- February 1, 2011 Internet is still widely blocked. Mubarak names his new cabinet on State Television. Worldwide, leaders call for “free and fair” elections, the reinstatement of internet access, and nonviolent demonstrations in Egypt. Media outlets experience difficulty broadcasting: Al Jazeera Arabic is blocked, while State Television continues to broadcast calm images of the Nile River. Mubarak announces that he will not run for re-election and will reform the constitution. Clashes between pro- and anti-Mubarak protesters break out in Alexandria. February 1st is named the “Million Man March”. The 2011 Revolution Days 9-13: February 2-6, 2011 Internet services are partially restored. The press is oppressed, with cameras broken and CNN’s Anderson Cooper attacked. “Pro-Mubarak” protesters enter Tahrir Square on the 2nd, with some riding horses and camels. February 4th is deemed the “Day of Departure”. The leadership of the ruling National Democratic Party resigns, including Mubarak’s son, Gamal. Cairo attempts to start returning to normal: banks reopen for 3.5 hours, and traffic police return to the streets. The 2011 Revolution Days 14-16: February 7-9, 2011 Thousands remain camped out in Tahrir square. The Egyptian government approves a 15% raise in salaries in an attempt to calm the protests. Labor unions join street protests. Suleiman announces a list of constitutional amendments. Death tolls range from 50 to 302 since the beginning of Egypt’s uprising. The 2011 Revolution Day 17: February 10, 2011 Gaber Asfour, Mubarak’s newly appointed Culture Minister steps down Mubarak addresses the people yet again amid rumors that he will be stepping down. Instead, he promises the end of Emergency Law, repeats that he will not run again, and will “continue to shoulder” his responsibilities during this “peaceful transition”. Protesters in Tahrir react furiously, waving shoes in the air and calling for mass protests the next day, Friday. Mubarak Steps Down Day 18: February 11, 2011 Background: President from 1981-2011, and Chairman of the National Democratic Party Vice President under Sadat until assassination, survived an estimated six assassination attempts himself Air Chief Marshal in Egyptian Air Force On February 11, 2011, Vice President Suleiman announces resignation of Mubarak after 18 days of protests. Power is handed over to the Army. Effect on Middle East Major uprisings in Algeria, Bahrain, Iran, Jordan, Libya, Tunisia, Morocco, Western Sahara, Yemen Tunisia’s Ben Ali flees to Saudi Arabia, Mubarak resigns, Jordan’s King Abdullah names a new prime minister, Yemen President Saleh won’t seek another term in 2013 Minor incidents in Iraq, Kuwait, Mauritania, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, and Syria Use of social media such as Facebook and Twitter prominent, as well as common demands International Response Obama: Refrain from violence, maintain universal human rights, unblock internet, concrete steps towards reform. “We support the people, but cannot dictate actions.” Criticized for not backing up rhetoric with action. David Cameron, Britain’s Prime Minister First world leader to visit Egypt since Mubarak resigned. Met with Tantawi, but not Muslim Brotherhood “What’s so refreshing... is this is not an Islamist revolt.” 21 Israel’s Response Fear of “New Egypt”: “...privileges Israel’s peace treaty with Egypt over internal Arab affairs.” Statements for Stability: Israel calls on the US and European countries to curb criticism of Mubarak to “preserve stability in the region.” Mubarak means sustained stability, even if he doesn’t mean democracy. 22 Israel’s Response President Shimon Peres: Hope the Egyptian people will be granted the “freedom and hope they desire.” Only history can judge the toppled regimes. Defense Minister Ehud Barak: Recent events in Egypt do not risk Israel’s ties with its neighbor to the south. 23 Muslim Brotherhood Participated in talks with Suleiman as a “banned but tolerated” organization in opposition groups “Few signs” of aspirations to transform Egypt into a repressive Islamist state. Just want to participate. Will apply to become an official political party as soon as necessary changes are made to Egyptian Constitution “No secret agenda... or eyes set on the presidency.” Calls for gradual approach to peaceful popular reform. “...Rights for all: not just for Muslims, but for all Egyptians.” Spokesman says the peace treaty decision is up to the entire Egyptian people 24 Muslim Brotherhood Will not field a presidential candidate this year, and will compete for no more than 1/4 of parliamentary seats. “Give a chance to other groups to form...create a balance- secular, liberal, religious.” Reasons for low profile- avoid stirring fear in West and secular Egyptians? Critiques: is what they say what they want? Until now, was only counterweight to Mubarak. Now faces more opposition from emerging parties, and internal discord between liberals and fundamentalists Broader voter turnout could vote out Brotherhood 25 Now What? Pan-Arabism Possible resurgence around common drive for democratic freedoms Temporary military rule in Egypt until elections can be held- as soon as 6 months. Generals imposed Martial Law on February 13th while dissolving Parliament and suspending the constitution Pledge to remain committed to “all international treaties” - including the 1979 Israel peace treaty. 26 Now What? Former ministers being brought to court for profiteering and abuse of public funds. Requests for freeze on Mubarak’s assets signify he may be held accountable for actions. People stress need for follow-through Release of political prisoners detained without charge on February 20 No presidential candidate from the “military establishment” Rumors of Mubarak’s health condition in Sharm al-Sheikh Egyptian court licenses a moderate Islamic party 27 28