10 Recommandments For Conducting Business in China Keith Lomason Executive Director — China Who is Magna? Auto supplier – ranking in world (sales*) #4 Sales growth – CAGR since 1994 22% Content per vehicle – CAGR since 1994** 18% Market cap *Automotive News ranking **Excluding vehicle assembly sales ~$7.5B 2004 Sales Growth $20.7B 35% 22% CAGR $1.9B 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Magna International Inc. 2005 Group Structure Organization Structure COSMA MAGNA DONNELLY MAGNA STEYR MAGNA POWERTRAIN DECOMA INTIER INTIER INTERIORS SEATING MAGNA CLOSURES A Global Presence for Global OEMs* Magna Facilities 222 Production Canada 62 USA 82,700 22,000 10 53 18 18,200 81 25 Mexico 13 10,800 S. America 3 500 *As at September 2005 8 58 Engineering, R&D Magna Employees 7 2,400 Asia Pacific 28,800 Europe Magna International, China Magna International, China Coordinate Market Development, Purchasing, and SQA activities for all groups that wish to participate. Develop and maintain high-level contacts with customers, government officials and other key players related to our success. Provide short and long-term office space and services for Magna groups. Magna Int’l China office Magna in China 2006: 2,500 Employees, 19 Facilities MAGNA POWERTRAIN 11 Magna Powertrain, Changzhou 6 Litens Automotive, Suzhou 7 MAGNA International, CHINA Shanghai, Pudong 16 INTIER INTERIORS 13CIAI, Changshu 16CIAI, Changchun 15Interlink, Suzhou Tianjin 18 8 COSMA 8 MTTS Tianjin, Tianjin (Operational 7/2006) 14 Cosma, Anting 9 10 INTIER SEATING 1 Intier JiaoYun Automotive Seating, Anting (Previously SLASSCO, Shanghai) 17Intier-Das Mechanisms, Suzhou 19Intier-Das Seating, Fuzhou 18Intier-Das Seating, Beijing 4 Chengdu Wuhan 12 11 10 14 13 15 6 1 17 5 2 4 7 9 19 5 MAGNA CLOSURES Intier Automotive Co., Kunshan Guangzhou 3 New/Operational Facilities 2006 2 MAGNA DONNELLY Optera Touch Screen Co., Shanghai Auto Elect Tech. Co., Shanghai Fu Hua Window Systems Co. – Glass JV, Shanghai MD Mirrors, Shanghai MD Mirrors, Guangzhou 3 MAGNA STEYR MSF Engineering Center, Wuhan 12 Global Production Shift Towards Lower Cost/Higher Growth Markets 80 70 ME/Africa Millions 60 S. Am erica 50 South Asia 40 C/E Europe 30 China/T-w an 20 W. Europe 10 Japan/Korea 0 N Am erica 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 The industry enters a new stage of utilizing new capacity in Emerging Markets Mature markets will grow more slowly as production is displaced Demand diversification in non-mass markets (domestic vs. export) allows for more sustainable demand The Labor Cost Shift Growth of Sourcing from ULCCs and LCCs HCCs Average of $23-27 per hour Inflation of 2-3% per annum LCCs Average of $8-10 per hour Inflation of 3-4% per annum ULCCs Average of $3 per hour Inflation of 6-7% per annum Hourly Compensation Including Benefits US$ 2009 Source: Boston Consulting Group, EIU, S&P, other sources Global platform rationalization enables for a shift to Ultra-Low Cost Countries (ULCCs) Several OEMs looking to ‘escape’ competitive High Cost Countries (HCCs) A number of situations where Low Cost Countries (LCCs) will lead the charge into export markets Why China? 1990’s 2000’s Lower Costs • Market Share Market Potential • Scattered opportunities PRC Govt. & Industry - Grow with existing customers PRC Govt. & Industry - Grow with new customers “good deal” - Grow into new products/capabilities hungry for investment hungry for investment partnerships offered The “Ten Recommandments” Preface: Every investment must be: – Evaluated on its own merits – Structured in the best way to benefit your company Adhering to as many of the following suggestions as possible will help ensure a successful operation in the China environment Recommandment One: Investment Vehicle = WFOE Exception should be made ONLY if partner provides strategic Market Share There are many functions you can start in China today that do not require a local contact: – Purchasing – Engineering – Sales and Marketing Your group will probably be better served in the long run if you commit to the cost of a sales office for 2-3 years to gain business as a WFOE than you will be if you rush to market via a partnership built on a desire to have a presence in China Recommandment Two: Location = Central Government Economic Development Zones (CEDZ) Maximum tax rate of 15%* Central government approved and managed Listed in WTO documents (legal structure) More developed infrastructure than most other areas 55 locations – there is one near where you want to be! Comparing Economic Development Zones and Non-EDZs Investment and Operational Costs INVESTMENT INFORMATION FOR KEY AUTOMOTIVE LOCATIONS IN CHINA Area Name Customers Corp. Income Tax Purchase Land use 30 Years USD/Sqm Standard Factory cost USD/sqm Build Lease/yr 72.5-96.7 17.4-23.2 Utilities LOCAL Salary USD/year Water Elect. Nat. Gas $/Met ton $/kw hour $/m3 GM 25,000 Dept Mgr Office 5,800 2200-3000 General Prod Social Benefits as Technical % of Salary Anting, Shanghai SGM, SVW 24% 25 0.199 0.104 0.157 Changchun, Jilin CEDZ FAW-VW 15% 20-33 60-100 26 0.56 0.08 0.18 5000 Chongqing CEDZ Changan Suzuki & Ford 15% 27 60 7.2-21.7 0.33 0.055 0.12 12000 4500-7500 2200-4500 Changshu CAIP 15-24% 9-15 72-97 11.6-21.7 0.26 0.06 0.29 4500 Changzhou CZYJ Auto Component Co. 15% 20 72-97 11.6-21.7 0.21 0.06 0.22 Fuzhou, Fujian CEDZ Southeast Motors 15% 10-30 97-145 0.97-1.45 0.23 0.06 Guangzhou, Guangdong CEDZ Honda, Toyota 15% 30-50 96-360 21.7-50.7 0.15 0.07 Haikou, Hainan CEDZ Mazda 15% 13 4.3-10.1 0.16 0.07 1200 870 1450 30% Kunshan, Jiangsu CEDZ SGM, SVW 15% 18 60-120 11.6-17.4 0.19 0.07 N/A 20,000 7,000 4,000 2,500 3,500 30% Liuzhou, Guangxi CEDZ SGM Wuling 15% 11-22 3.6-6.0 0.19 0.06 0.49 3,500 2,500 1,500 1,500 2,000 27.4-28.7% Nanjing, Jiangsu CEDZ Iveco, Ford, Fiat 15% 18-21.8 96 15.7 0.32 0.08 N/A 5000 4000 3300 1300 2500 25% Pudong, Shanghai CEDZ SGM, SVW 15% 73-108 240 26-53 0.16 0.07 0.31 30,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 5,000 38.80% Puxi, Shanghai SGM, SVW 32% 63 483 44 0.27 0.07 Shenyang, Liaoning CEDZ Brilliance, BMW, SGM 15% 13 66-100 1.2-1.8 0.08 0.05 Songjiang, Shanghai SGM, SVW 24% 25-30 180 25.2 0.18 Suzhou, Jiangsu SEDZ near SGM, SVW 15% 38701 240 21.6-36 0.28 Wuhu, Anhui CEDZ Chery, Hyundai 15% 11 60 14.5 Yantai, Shandong CEDZ SGM DongYue 15% 12 85 1.2 2500 3000 7500 1750-2600 1160-1450 10000 N/A 6000 3500 5000 2600-3200 900-1200 1750-2200 1900 2200 870-1450 1200-2200 720-960 45.50% 43.50% 40% 960-1200 30-42% 870 1160-1740 30-42% 1350 1800 37-40 1500-1800 2200-3000 37.50% 30,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 5,000 60% N/A 5000 4000 1750 1150 1450 42.50% 0.07 N/A 12,500 7,500 3,000 0.06 0.28 14500 12000 1850 0.16 0.06 0.42 4,000 1,800 1,450 0.22 0.07 0.29 4000-6000 2500-3500 2000-2900 1050-1450 1750-2500 30% 1350 1950 14-20% 850 1,185 42% 870-1150 1450-1750 32% Social Benefit Standards 2004 Standard ------------------------------INSURANCES AS A % OF SALARY-----------------------------Housing *Total(%) Area Pension Unemployment Medical Accident Maternity Fund(%) of Salary Anting, Shanghai 22.50 2.00 12.00 1.00 1.00 7.00 45.50 Changchun, Jilin CEDZ 22.00 2.00 12.00 0.50 N/A 7.00 43.50 Changshu 18.00 2.00 8.00 0.4-0.8 1.00 8-12 29.4-41.8 Changzhou 18.00 2.00 8.00 0.4-0.8 1.00 8-12 29.4-41.8 Chongqing CEDZ 20.00 2.00 9.00 2.00 N/A 7.00 40.00 Fuzhou, Fujian CEDZ 18.00 2.00 6-8 0.5-1.5 0.70 10.00 37.2-40.2 Guangzhou, Guangdong CEDZ 18.00 2.00 8.00 0.50 1.00 8.00 37.50 Haikou, Hainan CEDZ 20.00 2.00 8.00 N/A N/A 30.00 Kunshan, Jiangsu CEDZ 20.00 2.00 6.00 1.10 0.90 8.00 30.00 Liuzhou, Guangxi CEDZ 20.00 2.00 4.00 0.5-1.8 0.90 27.4-28.7 Nanjing, Jiangsu CEDZ 14.00 2.00 8.00 0.3-0.8 1.00 25.3-25.8 Pudong, Shanghai CEDZ 20.00 2.00 8.00 0.60 N/A 8.00 38.80 Puxi, Shanghai 24.00 2.00 7.00 N/A N/A 15-20 48-53 Shenyang, Liaoning CEDZ 23.50 2.00 8.00 1 N/A 8.00 42.50 Songjiang, Shanghai 18.00 2.00 8.00 0.5-1.5 0.70 29.2-30.2 Suzhou, Jiangsu SEDZ 4.50 1-2 4.5-9 0.45 3.40 77.5-8213.85-19.35 Wuhu, Anhui CEDZ 23.00 2.00 8.50 N/A N/A 7.50 41.00 Yantai, Shandong CEDZ 21.00 2.00 8.00 0.6-1.2 0.90 6.00 38.5-39.1 * Total (%) of Salary represents money that company must pay to government on behalf of the employees This % is applied to the employees total cash compensation for calculation purposes, but is paid by the company While there is quite a bit of disparity between regions today, this gap will close over time Recommandment Three: If you must use JV, Use One Partner for all China Activity Reduces intellectual property exposure Lower costs for overseas support, training, engineering, etc… Visteon “best practice” comparison from beginning of China activity General motors following practice once investment rules changed, allowing using SAIC together to buy out other China partners Recommandment Four: Quadruple Your Normal Training Plan Education different from that in North America or Europe – Learning through memorization and repetition vs. Free thinking and creativity High turnover - especially in coastal areas In many cases, must continually break “bad habits” Recommandment Five: Go Greenfield - Eventually Very few existing structures are adequate for long-term use – Land cost in China is still relatively cheap, but will only continue to climb Operations can start in rented pre-fab facility, but plan on move to “purpose-built” – More efficient – Higher quality – Better locations (CEDZ) Recommandment Six: Go Quickly – Or Wait Until 2010 Tax reduction/holiday for foreign invested enterprises being reduced – may be eliminated – Even if you have no imminent production, you can establish a company in a CEDZ, from which you can begin your operations Large volumes overall, but extremely fragmented and therefore difficult to justify investment Recommandment Seven: Where Possible, Exploit Export Opportunities Fragile domestic market – it is growing, but has plateaus, is very fragmented and first-time buyers cause swings Improves economies of scale Quality requirements for exports typically higher than domestic requirements resulting in better product than domestic competitor Savings at home may help meet customer demands* – *Recent and ongoing revaluation of RMB will make exports less profitable and imports more reasonable Recommandment Eight: Due Diligence & Business Plan Profits will be harder to come by in future – – – – Market growth is slowing Vehicle prices are dropping Price pressures on OE’s passed on to suppliers Payment terms being extended Hype must be ignored – know what to expect and have robust business plans – most competitive market in the world right now Get ready for OE & Supplier shakeout and consolidation (20% during next 5 years?) Recommandment Nine: Utilize External Experts When Necessary Good legal advice is critical – Keep it focused on key issues – Have solid exit/takeover clauses for JVs – Ensure all tax advantages are utilized Understand that negotiations with a PRC partner begin AFTER the contracts are signed – not a ploy, simply a difference in cultures Establish your own local resources group – Maybe 1 person, maybe 100 – Specific to your needs – Local Networking can not be over emphasized – Can monitor swiftly changing environments Recommandment Ten: Rethink Your Normal Manufacturing Process Overcapacity exists at the OEMs, but is even more prevalent at the Tier-2 level and below OEMs do NOT pay for most tooling up front but want it amortized – this cost can be pushed down to the component supplier If there is overcapacity on a component your company normally manufactures, you will not be able to compete on price – but the OEMs (especially foreign invested) need your engineering and supplier management capabilities Suppliers and sub-suppliers will need constant assistance with SQA and development activities + management costs/- capital & component costs THANK YOU